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Texas Population Atlas - Cities & Counties v3

With 2025-2035 Revenue Projections (Interactive)

ABILENE (City)

Pop 125,182 PPA 1.83 %BO 22.9% Levy $78,365,846 Levy CAGR +8.1% E-Factor 1.37%
96,134 116,218 136,302 156,385 176,469 196,553 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 106,816 115,930 117,063 125,182 131,210 137,435 143,853 150,460 157,253 164,226 171,373 178,685 +0.8% +0.1% +0.7% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% Population Trend: ABILENE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ABILENE had a 2020 population of 125,182 across 106.8 square miles, yielding a density of 1.83 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 178,685, a gain of 53,503 (+42.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.45% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 22.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ABILENE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 32.7%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ABILENE levied $78,365,846 in property taxes on a market value base of $15,855,311,802. The taxable value of $10,342,595,526 reflects 34.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7577 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5921 for Maintenance & Operations (78.1%) and $0.1656 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (21.9%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $611 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 8.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.37% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): ABILENE collected $81,422,231 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $635 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 103.9% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 5.6% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: ABILENE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ABILENE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop106,816115,930117,063125,182131,210137,435143,853150,460157,253164,226171,373178,685
PPA1.561.701.711.831.922.012.102.202.302.402.512.61
%BO19.5%21.2%21.4%22.9%24.0%25.1%26.3%27.5%28.8%30.0%31.3%32.7%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%125,182$10,823,172,124$6,944,209,55064.2%$0.6019$0.185823.6%$0.7877$54,699,539$437$48,065,974$38487.9%
20214.7%125,784$11,481,473,761$7,313,375,52363.7%$0.6019$0.183223.3%$0.7851$57,417,312$456$52,510,275$41791.5%
20228.0%126,387$12,914,921,209$8,221,137,15863.7%$0.5988$0.163321.4%$0.7621$62,653,286$496$58,451,621$46293.3%
20234.1%126,990$14,415,917,121$9,277,540,17764.4%$0.5918$0.141019.2%$0.7328$67,985,814$535$61,478,703$48490.4%
20243.2%127,593$15,100,296,954$9,850,090,97765.2%$0.5921$0.165621.9%$0.7577$74,634,139$585$59,809,975$46980.1%
2025*2.9%128,196$15,855,311,802$10,342,595,52665.2%$0.5921$0.165621.9%$0.7577$78,365,846$611$81,422,231$635103.9%
CAGR4.2%0.5%8.7%9.1%0.3%-0.3%-2.3%-1.5%-0.8%8.1%7.6%5.6%5.1%3.4%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.4%10.7%7.5%6.9%8.9%7.0%7.8%9.9%7.9%7.7%9.5%8.7%$48,065,974
20216.8%9.7%7.0%5.8%10.8%8.0%7.8%10.0%8.0%8.1%10.0%8.1%$52,510,275
20227.7%10.2%6.9%6.5%9.5%7.8%7.9%9.7%8.1%8.4%9.4%7.8%$58,451,621
20237.5%10.3%8.0%7.0%9.8%7.4%8.1%9.3%7.8%8.3%9.0%7.3%$61,478,703
20248.1%2.5%14.8%7.4%9.3%7.6%7.9%9.0%8.2%7.8%9.0%8.4%$59,809,975
20255.9%10.5%5.8%5.8%9.4%6.7%9.6%9.5%9.4%7.3%9.9%10.0%$81,422,231
MEDIAN %7.5%10.3%7.3%6.7%9.4%7.5%7.9%9.7%8.0%8.0%9.5%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ADDISON (City)

Pop 16,661 PPA 5.94 %BO 74.3% Levy $41,505,318 Levy CAGR +6.6% E-Factor 0.53%
7,937 11,033 14,129 17,225 20,321 23,417 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 8,819 14,166 13,056 16,661 17,602 18,427 19,138 19,741 20,246 20,665 21,009 21,289 +4.9% -0.8% +2.5% +0.6% +0.5% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% +0.2% +0.1% Population Trend: ADDISON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ADDISON had a 2020 population of 16,661 across 4.4 square miles, yielding a density of 5.94 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 21,289, a gain of 4,628 (+27.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.31% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 74.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ADDISON is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 94.9%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ADDISON levied $41,505,318 in property taxes on a market value base of $7,790,541,381. The taxable value of $6,806,136,577 reflects 12.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6098 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4398 for Maintenance & Operations (72.1%) and $0.1700 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (27.9%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $2,423 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 7.6% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.53% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): ADDISON collected $17,763,759 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $1,037 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 42.8% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 5.6% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: ADDISON demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ADDISON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop8,81914,16613,05616,66117,60218,42719,13819,74120,24620,66521,00921,289
PPA3.155.054.665.946.286.576.837.047.227.377.497.59
%BO39.3%63.2%58.2%74.3%78.5%82.2%85.3%88.0%90.3%92.1%93.7%94.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%16,661$5,531,574,598$5,028,992,67590.9%$0.4411$0.167627.5%$0.6087$30,610,271$1,837$13,973,914$83945.7%
20214.7%16,755$5,669,812,410$5,116,039,09690.2%$0.4411$0.173628.2%$0.6147$31,446,246$1,877$15,192,289$90748.3%
20228.0%16,849$6,251,323,130$5,651,604,07190.4%$0.4451$0.164727.0%$0.6098$34,464,725$2,046$15,880,219$94346.1%
20234.1%16,943$6,839,484,780$6,172,913,24590.3%$0.4503$0.159526.2%$0.6098$37,643,783$2,222$17,062,548$1,00745.3%
20243.2%17,037$7,419,563,220$6,482,034,83587.4%$0.4398$0.170027.9%$0.6098$39,528,874$2,320$17,359,198$1,01943.9%
2025*2.9%17,131$7,790,541,381$6,806,136,57787.4%$0.4398$0.170027.9%$0.6098$41,505,318$2,423$17,763,759$1,03742.8%
CAGR4.2%0.6%7.6%6.6%-0.8%-0.1%0.3%0.3%0.0%6.6%6.0%5.6%5.0%-1.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.5%10.2%8.9%7.7%8.4%6.7%8.6%10.2%7.3%7.0%8.8%7.8%$13,973,914
20217.1%8.1%8.6%6.1%8.5%7.8%11.0%8.9%8.9%7.6%8.4%9.0%$15,192,289
20229.0%9.9%9.2%7.6%8.6%6.5%7.7%9.2%8.2%8.2%8.3%7.6%$15,880,219
20236.7%8.7%8.0%7.4%8.8%6.8%9.1%8.5%9.9%9.0%9.3%7.8%$17,062,548
20247.3%9.2%7.5%7.2%9.1%7.3%7.6%7.1%12.7%7.7%9.2%8.0%$17,359,198
20257.3%9.9%8.8%7.2%8.5%7.8%8.2%8.3%8.4%8.0%8.5%9.0%$17,763,759
MEDIAN %7.4%9.7%8.9%7.4%8.7%7.2%8.5%8.8%8.8%8.0%8.8%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ALAMO (City)

Pop 19,493 PPA 4.29 %BO 53.6% Levy $16,714,576 Levy CAGR +8.2% E-Factor 2.91%
8,566 13,009 17,452 21,895 26,338 30,781 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 9,518 14,760 18,353 19,493 20,684 21,855 22,994 24,095 25,149 26,151 27,097 27,983 +4.5% +2.2% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% Population Trend: ALAMO (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ALAMO had a 2020 population of 19,493 across 7.1 square miles, yielding a density of 4.29 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 27,983, a gain of 8,490 (+43.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.45% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 53.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ALAMO is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 77.0%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ALAMO levied $16,714,576 in property taxes on a market value base of $4,295,813,418. The taxable value of $3,770,999,743 reflects 12.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4862 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4276 for Maintenance & Operations (88.0%) and $0.0586 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (12.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $832 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.2% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 8.2% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.91% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): ALAMO collected $6,124,327 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $305 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 36.6% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.9% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: ALAMO demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ALAMO
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop9,51814,76018,35319,49320,68421,85522,99424,09525,14926,15127,09727,983
PPA2.093.254.044.294.554.815.065.305.535.765.966.16
%BO26.2%40.6%50.5%53.6%56.9%60.1%63.3%66.3%69.2%71.9%74.5%77.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%19,493$2,989,790,426$2,640,815,91388.3%$0.4591$0.02505.2%$0.4841$11,628,993$597$4,300,284$22137.0%
20214.7%19,612$3,165,926,063$2,794,178,14888.3%$0.4233$0.069814.1%$0.4931$12,743,476$650$4,952,479$25338.9%
20228.0%19,731$3,590,188,123$3,109,779,45086.6%$0.4243$0.060512.5%$0.4849$13,851,422$702$5,616,985$28540.6%
20234.1%19,850$4,001,674,503$3,457,039,04286.4%$0.4154$0.060112.6%$0.4755$15,078,119$760$6,310,197$31841.9%
20243.2%19,969$4,091,250,874$3,591,428,32787.8%$0.4276$0.058612.0%$0.4862$15,918,644$797$6,039,872$30237.9%
2025*2.9%20,088$4,295,813,418$3,770,999,74387.8%$0.4276$0.058612.0%$0.4862$16,714,576$832$6,124,327$30536.6%
CAGR4.2%0.6%8.2%8.0%-0.1%-1.4%18.6%18.5%0.1%8.2%7.5%8.9%8.2%-0.2%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.3%10.5%6.4%7.0%8.8%7.3%8.2%9.2%9.5%7.7%8.9%8.2%$4,300,284
20217.6%10.3%7.4%6.8%9.7%8.3%8.0%9.1%7.8%7.7%9.6%7.8%$4,952,479
20227.6%10.5%7.3%7.4%9.5%8.3%7.8%8.8%7.8%8.4%9.0%7.7%$5,616,985
20237.3%9.7%7.0%7.5%9.3%7.1%7.5%9.9%9.0%9.2%8.8%7.8%$6,310,197
20247.8%11.4%7.7%7.6%9.5%7.8%7.8%8.6%7.5%7.8%8.6%7.7%$6,039,872
20258.4%11.1%7.2%7.2%9.5%8.2%8.1%8.2%7.9%7.7%8.5%7.9%$6,124,327
MEDIAN %7.8%10.6%7.3%7.4%9.6%8.0%8.0%9.0%7.9%7.8%8.9%7.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ALAMO HEIGHTS (City)

Pop 7,357 PPA 6.25 %BO 78.1% Levy $9,561,622 Levy CAGR +5.4% E-Factor 0.81%
5,868 6,424 6,980 7,535 8,091 8,647 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 6,521 7,319 7,031 7,357 7,426 7,493 7,558 7,622 7,685 7,745 7,804 7,861 +1.2% -0.4% +0.5% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: ALAMO HEIGHTS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ALAMO HEIGHTS had a 2020 population of 7,357 across 1.8 square miles, yielding a density of 6.25 persons per acre (PPA). This high density suggests an urbanized area with limited greenfield expansion potential. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 7,861, a gain of 504 (+6.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.08% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 78.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ALAMO HEIGHTS is approaching full build-out. By 2100, build-out is projected at 83.5%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ALAMO HEIGHTS levied $9,561,622 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,788,334,386. The taxable value of $2,583,196,012 reflects 7.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3701 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3113 for Maintenance & Operations (84.1%) and $0.0588 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (15.9%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,294 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.4% CAGR lagged market value growth of 7.1% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.81% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): ALAMO HEIGHTS collected $2,738,351 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $370 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 28.6% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.4% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: ALAMO HEIGHTS demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ALAMO HEIGHTS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop6,5217,3197,0317,3577,4267,4937,5587,6227,6857,7457,8047,861
PPA5.546.225.976.256.316.366.426.476.536.586.636.68
%BO69.2%77.7%74.6%78.1%78.8%79.5%80.2%80.9%81.6%82.2%82.8%83.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%7,357$2,021,568,707$1,911,612,14994.6%$0.3364$0.050012.9%$0.3864$7,387,215$1,004$1,985,052$27026.9%
20214.7%7,363$2,101,747,041$1,980,276,60294.2%$0.3364$0.068016.8%$0.4044$8,009,011$1,088$2,175,516$29527.2%
20228.0%7,370$2,399,282,546$2,188,580,46591.2%$0.3261$0.062016.0%$0.3881$8,492,808$1,152$2,656,658$36031.3%
20234.1%7,377$2,591,102,885$2,379,573,77491.8%$0.3117$0.059216.0%$0.3710$8,827,743$1,197$2,547,688$34528.9%
20243.2%7,384$2,655,556,558$2,460,186,67892.6%$0.3113$0.058815.9%$0.3701$9,106,307$1,233$2,547,753$34528.0%
2025*2.9%7,391$2,788,334,386$2,583,196,01292.6%$0.3113$0.058815.9%$0.3701$9,561,622$1,294$2,738,351$37028.6%
CAGR4.2%0.1%7.1%6.5%-0.4%-1.5%3.3%4.2%-0.9%5.4%5.3%6.4%6.3%1.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.9%11.3%8.8%7.0%8.0%7.1%7.7%8.5%7.2%8.1%8.8%8.6%$1,985,052
20218.0%10.9%7.0%6.3%8.3%8.3%8.7%9.3%7.6%8.0%10.6%7.0%$2,175,516
20228.6%10.4%7.2%6.9%8.6%7.9%8.4%8.6%7.3%8.2%10.1%7.9%$2,656,658
202310.0%11.2%7.4%7.1%8.7%8.0%8.9%8.0%7.5%7.3%7.9%8.0%$2,547,688
20248.2%10.9%7.3%7.5%8.4%8.4%8.3%8.1%7.9%7.5%8.3%9.2%$2,547,753
20258.5%11.1%7.7%6.8%8.9%8.2%8.0%8.6%7.4%7.2%8.9%8.7%$2,738,351
MEDIAN %8.6%11.0%7.4%7.0%8.5%8.2%8.4%8.6%7.5%7.8%8.9%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ALICE (City)

Pop 17,891 PPA 2.33 %BO 29.1% Levy $5,501,752 Levy CAGR +6.1% E-Factor 0.94%
16,101 17,317 18,532 19,748 20,963 22,179 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 20,163 19,010 19,104 17,891 17,920 17,950 17,980 18,010 18,040 18,070 18,100 18,131 -0.6% +0.0% -0.7% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: ALICE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ALICE had a 2020 population of 17,891 across 12.0 square miles, yielding a density of 2.33 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 18,131, a gain of 240 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 29.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ALICE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 29.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ALICE levied $5,501,752 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,168,826,628. The taxable value of $971,701,280 reflects 16.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5662 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3373 for Maintenance & Operations (59.6%) and $0.2289 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (40.4%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $307 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.1% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 5.4% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.94% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): ALICE collected $6,817,500 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $381 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 123.9% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 5.8% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: ALICE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ALICE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop20,16319,01019,10417,89117,92017,95017,98018,01018,04018,07018,10018,131
PPA2.632.482.492.332.342.342.342.352.352.352.362.36
%BO32.8%31.0%31.1%29.1%29.2%29.2%29.3%29.3%29.4%29.4%29.5%29.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%17,891$903,221,651$781,389,88586.5%$0.3710$0.157929.9%$0.5290$4,133,177$231$5,286,346$295127.9%
20214.7%17,893$940,883,646$819,593,29587.1%$0.3492$0.164632.0%$0.5137$4,210,529$235$5,627,385$315133.7%
20228.0%17,896$906,609,701$781,974,63886.3%$0.3687$0.175832.3%$0.5445$4,257,696$238$6,664,603$372156.5%
20234.1%17,899$1,016,854,857$868,215,06685.4%$0.3105$0.181636.9%$0.4921$4,272,669$239$7,041,269$393164.8%
20243.2%17,902$1,113,168,217$925,429,79083.1%$0.3373$0.228940.4%$0.5662$5,239,764$293$6,621,961$370126.4%
2025*2.9%17,905$1,168,826,628$971,701,28083.1%$0.3373$0.228940.4%$0.5662$5,501,752$307$6,817,500$381123.9%
CAGR4.2%0.0%5.4%4.3%-0.8%-1.9%7.7%6.2%1.4%6.1%6.1%5.8%5.8%-0.6%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.8%9.7%8.2%8.5%9.0%7.9%8.6%9.2%8.1%7.1%7.9%8.0%$5,286,346
20217.2%9.1%7.5%6.4%10.8%9.1%7.8%8.4%8.0%8.1%9.4%8.3%$5,627,385
20227.3%8.1%7.1%7.0%9.1%7.8%8.8%9.4%9.0%8.9%8.6%9.0%$6,664,603
20238.2%10.0%8.2%8.4%9.8%8.0%8.4%8.2%7.1%8.4%8.1%7.3%$7,041,269
20248.4%9.3%7.6%8.4%9.0%8.1%7.9%8.6%7.8%8.4%8.1%8.4%$6,621,961
20257.6%9.6%8.0%7.6%9.5%8.2%8.0%8.6%8.5%8.1%7.8%8.6%$6,817,500
MEDIAN %7.7%9.5%7.8%8.0%9.3%8.1%8.2%8.6%8.0%8.3%8.1%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ALLEN (City)

Pop 104,627 PPA 6.22 %BO 77.7% Levy $93,737,510 Levy CAGR +5.4% E-Factor 1.80%
17,606 43,234 68,862 94,490 120,117 145,745 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 19,563 43,554 84,246 104,627 112,189 118,150 122,696 126,079 128,549 130,328 131,597 132,496 +8.3% +6.8% +2.2% +0.7% +0.5% +0.4% +0.3% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: ALLEN (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ALLEN had a 2020 population of 104,627 across 26.3 square miles, yielding a density of 6.22 persons per acre (PPA). This high density suggests an urbanized area with limited greenfield expansion potential. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 132,496, a gain of 27,869 (+26.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.30% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 77.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ALLEN is approaching full build-out. By 2100, build-out is projected at 98.4%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ALLEN levied $93,737,510 in property taxes on a market value base of $27,490,129,012. The taxable value of $22,452,098,416 reflects 18.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4175 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3205 for Maintenance & Operations (76.8%) and $0.0970 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (23.2%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $865 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.4% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.6% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.80% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): ALLEN collected $64,621,365 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $596 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 68.9% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.6% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: ALLEN demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ALLEN
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop19,56343,55484,246104,627112,189118,150122,696126,079128,549130,328131,597132,496
PPA1.162.595.016.226.677.027.297.497.647.757.827.87
%BO14.5%32.4%62.6%77.7%83.3%87.8%91.2%93.7%95.5%96.8%97.8%98.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%104,627$16,863,196,238$14,902,240,72788.4%$0.3905$0.094519.5%$0.4850$72,275,868$691$42,497,224$40658.8%
20214.7%105,383$17,823,695,927$15,787,068,74788.6%$0.3688$0.101221.5%$0.4700$74,199,223$704$50,696,597$48168.3%
20228.0%106,139$21,943,716,693$18,216,215,38983.0%$0.3307$0.090521.5%$0.4212$76,726,699$723$54,317,622$51270.8%
20234.1%106,895$25,376,618,232$19,922,834,99178.5%$0.3231$0.097423.2%$0.4205$83,775,521$784$58,396,244$54669.7%
20243.2%107,651$26,181,075,250$21,382,950,87281.7%$0.3205$0.097023.2%$0.4175$89,273,819$829$61,327,580$57068.7%
2025*2.9%108,408$27,490,129,012$22,452,098,41681.7%$0.3205$0.097023.2%$0.4175$93,737,510$865$64,621,365$59668.9%
CAGR4.2%0.7%11.6%9.4%-1.6%-3.9%0.5%3.6%-3.0%5.4%4.7%9.6%8.8%3.2%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.3%11.7%7.5%6.5%8.3%6.2%7.2%10.0%8.4%7.9%9.7%8.3%$42,497,224
20217.4%10.4%6.7%5.8%10.2%8.2%8.3%9.7%8.2%7.6%9.6%8.1%$50,696,597
20228.7%8.9%7.0%6.2%9.2%7.7%8.0%9.4%8.7%8.4%9.8%8.0%$54,317,622
20238.2%11.1%6.9%6.6%8.9%7.5%8.3%8.6%8.1%7.8%9.4%8.6%$58,396,244
20248.5%9.9%7.5%6.1%8.9%9.4%8.0%8.5%10.5%7.6%8.0%7.2%$61,327,580
20257.7%10.7%6.4%6.1%8.9%9.2%7.3%8.3%9.9%8.6%8.4%8.5%$64,621,365
MEDIAN %8.3%10.6%7.0%6.2%8.9%7.9%8.0%9.0%8.6%7.9%9.5%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ALTON (City)

Pop 18,198 PPA 4.84 %BO 60.4% Levy $4,415,530 Levy CAGR +16.2% E-Factor 5.58%
2,525 8,561 14,597 20,633 26,669 32,705 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 2,806 4,384 12,341 18,198 21,499 24,189 26,194 27,593 28,522 29,120 29,497 29,732 +4.6% +10.9% +4.0% +1.7% +1.2% +0.8% +0.5% +0.3% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: ALTON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ALTON had a 2020 population of 18,198 across 5.9 square miles, yielding a density of 4.84 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 29,732, a gain of 11,534 (+63.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.62% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 60.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ALTON is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 98.8%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ALTON levied $4,415,530 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,222,713,928. The taxable value of $1,011,113,097 reflects 17.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4367 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3385 for Maintenance & Operations (77.5%) and $0.0982 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (22.5%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $222 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 16.2% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 16.1% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 5.58% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): ALTON collected $2,207,331 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $111 falls below regional averages, indicating primarily residential character with retail leakage to neighboring communities. Sales tax represents 50.0% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.5% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: ALTON demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ALTON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop2,8064,38412,34118,19821,49924,18926,19427,59328,52229,12029,49729,732
PPA0.751.163.284.845.716.436.967.337.587.747.847.90
%BO9.3%14.6%41.0%60.4%71.4%80.3%87.0%91.7%94.7%96.7%98.0%98.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%18,198$641,293,584$528,054,46182.3%$0.4367N/AN/A$0.4367$2,306,014$127$1,502,739$8365.2%
20214.7%18,528$714,946,871$590,237,79582.6%$0.3173$0.119427.3%$0.4367$2,577,568$139$1,776,262$9668.9%
20228.0%18,858$864,335,485$717,067,36183.0%$0.3037$0.133030.5%$0.4367$3,131,433$166$1,956,785$10462.5%
20234.1%19,188$1,015,363,151$859,367,62784.6%$0.3290$0.107724.7%$0.4367$3,752,858$196$2,040,074$10654.4%
20243.2%19,518$1,164,489,455$962,964,85482.7%$0.3385$0.098222.5%$0.4367$4,205,267$215$2,082,018$10749.5%
2025*2.9%19,848$1,222,713,928$1,011,113,09782.7%$0.3385$0.098222.5%$0.4367$4,415,530$222$2,207,331$11150.0%
CAGR4.2%1.8%16.1%16.2%0.1%-5.0%16.2%14.2%8.5%6.6%-5.2%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.6%9.6%6.3%6.6%8.9%8.9%9.0%9.4%8.4%8.6%9.3%8.4%$1,502,739
20217.8%9.4%8.4%6.8%9.3%8.6%7.5%8.7%7.7%8.1%9.3%8.3%$1,776,262
20228.0%9.2%7.0%7.9%10.2%8.4%7.4%8.7%8.2%9.0%8.3%7.9%$1,956,785
20237.5%9.1%8.2%7.3%9.5%8.3%7.6%9.2%8.7%7.8%8.7%8.0%$2,040,074
20249.6%8.3%7.5%7.3%9.0%8.2%8.0%8.5%8.7%8.2%7.9%8.8%$2,082,018
20257.7%9.8%7.0%6.6%9.6%8.6%8.6%8.8%8.9%7.8%8.4%8.4%$2,207,331
MEDIAN %7.8%9.4%7.3%7.1%9.5%8.5%7.9%8.8%8.6%8.2%8.6%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ALVIN (City)

Pop 27,098 PPA 1.74 %BO 21.8% Levy $18,010,746 Levy CAGR +7.8% E-Factor 0.05%
17,051 24,893 32,735 40,577 48,419 56,261 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 18,946 21,413 24,236 27,098 29,610 32,279 35,100 38,065 41,166 44,391 47,723 51,147 +1.2% +1.2% +1.1% +0.9% +0.9% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.7% +0.7% Population Trend: ALVIN (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ALVIN had a 2020 population of 27,098 across 24.3 square miles, yielding a density of 1.74 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 51,147, a gain of 24,049 (+88.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.80% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 21.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ALVIN has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 41.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ALVIN levied $18,010,746 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,598,428,279. The taxable value of $2,629,305,927 reflects 26.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6850 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5867 for Maintenance & Operations (85.6%) and $0.0983 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (14.4%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $635 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 13.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.05% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): ALVIN collected $11,038,953 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $389 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 61.3% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 4.1% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: ALVIN demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ALVIN
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop18,94621,41324,23627,09829,61032,27935,10038,06541,16644,39147,72351,147
PPA1.221.381.561.741.902.082.262.452.652.863.073.29
%BO15.2%17.2%19.5%21.8%23.8%26.0%28.2%30.6%33.1%35.7%38.4%41.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%27,098$2,053,571,328$1,653,952,62580.5%$0.6354$0.132617.3%$0.7680$12,702,356$469$8,552,766$31667.3%
20214.7%27,349$2,127,657,027$1,719,868,33280.8%$0.6292$0.138818.1%$0.7680$13,208,589$483$8,793,575$32266.6%
20228.0%27,600$2,572,699,067$2,063,761,34980.2%$0.6000$0.110015.5%$0.7100$14,652,706$531$9,036,735$32761.7%
20234.1%27,851$3,345,492,493$2,447,818,77773.2%$0.5928$0.092213.5%$0.6850$16,767,559$602$9,723,580$34958.0%
20243.2%28,102$3,427,074,551$2,504,100,88373.1%$0.5867$0.098314.4%$0.6850$17,153,091$610$10,051,203$35858.6%
2025*2.9%28,354$3,598,428,279$2,629,305,92773.1%$0.5867$0.098314.4%$0.6850$18,010,746$635$11,038,953$38961.3%
CAGR4.2%0.9%13.7%10.9%-1.9%-1.6%-5.8%-3.6%-2.3%7.8%6.8%4.1%3.2%-1.9%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.6%8.7%7.2%8.4%8.8%7.9%8.6%10.6%8.2%7.7%9.5%8.0%$8,552,766
20217.3%9.3%7.6%6.3%9.5%8.6%8.4%9.6%8.2%8.0%8.9%8.3%$8,793,575
20228.2%9.5%7.0%6.8%9.6%8.1%7.9%9.3%8.2%8.1%9.2%7.9%$9,036,735
20237.1%9.6%7.4%7.2%9.6%7.4%8.1%9.8%7.9%8.8%9.1%8.0%$9,723,580
20247.4%9.3%6.8%7.2%9.3%8.5%7.8%9.7%8.5%8.8%8.4%8.4%$10,051,203
20257.3%11.5%5.4%6.7%9.7%7.8%7.9%9.5%8.5%7.7%9.4%8.6%$11,038,953
MEDIAN %7.3%9.5%7.1%7.0%9.6%8.1%8.0%9.7%8.2%8.1%9.2%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

AMARILLO (City)

Pop 200,393 PPA 3.15 %BO 39.3% Levy $81,302,654 Levy CAGR +8.5% E-Factor 2.08%
142,056 171,370 200,685 230,000 259,315 288,630 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 157,840 173,627 190,695 200,393 207,937 215,568 223,272 231,035 238,843 246,682 254,536 262,391 +1.0% +0.9% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: AMARILLO (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: AMARILLO had a 2020 population of 200,393 across 99.5 square miles, yielding a density of 3.15 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 262,391, a gain of 61,998 (+30.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.34% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 39.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), AMARILLO has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 51.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): AMARILLO levied $81,302,654 in property taxes on a market value base of $25,675,042,626. The taxable value of $20,995,959,635 reflects 18.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3872 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3187 for Maintenance & Operations (82.3%) and $0.0686 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (17.7%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $398 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.2% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.08% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): AMARILLO collected $108,643,286 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $532 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 133.6% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.4% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: AMARILLO demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
AMARILLO
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop157,840173,627190,695200,393207,937215,568223,272231,035238,843246,682254,536262,391
PPA2.482.733.003.153.273.393.513.633.753.874.004.12
%BO31.0%34.1%37.4%39.3%40.8%42.3%43.8%45.4%46.9%48.4%50.0%51.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%200,393$16,607,642,333$14,097,474,45684.9%$0.3445$0.052313.2%$0.3968$55,940,188$279$81,094,100$405145.0%
20214.7%201,147$17,161,252,104$14,597,997,03885.1%$0.3642$0.079117.8%$0.4433$64,718,760$322$91,925,630$457142.0%
20228.0%201,901$20,100,550,113$16,600,080,66882.6%$0.3308$0.075518.6%$0.4063$67,442,808$334$99,980,814$495148.2%
20234.1%202,656$22,641,473,966$18,410,093,42681.3%$0.3144$0.077519.8%$0.3920$72,158,361$356$100,432,056$496139.2%
20243.2%203,410$24,452,421,549$19,996,152,03381.8%$0.3187$0.068617.7%$0.3872$77,431,099$381$104,078,244$512134.4%
2025*2.9%204,165$25,675,042,626$20,995,959,63581.8%$0.3187$0.068617.7%$0.3872$81,302,654$398$108,643,286$532133.6%
CAGR4.2%0.4%10.2%9.1%-0.7%-1.5%5.6%6.1%-0.5%8.5%8.1%6.4%6.0%-1.6%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.6%10.8%7.2%6.8%8.7%7.1%7.8%9.9%8.3%8.1%9.8%8.0%$81,094,100
20216.8%9.8%7.0%6.3%10.0%8.0%8.0%9.9%8.3%8.1%9.4%8.4%$91,925,630
20228.0%9.8%7.0%6.9%9.6%7.8%8.0%9.6%8.1%8.3%9.0%7.9%$99,980,814
20238.1%10.6%7.4%7.2%9.8%7.7%8.0%7.4%8.2%8.7%9.0%7.8%$100,432,055
20248.3%9.7%7.1%7.1%9.2%8.0%8.0%9.2%8.4%8.2%8.7%8.1%$104,078,244
20257.3%10.9%6.8%6.6%9.1%7.8%7.8%9.0%8.3%8.3%9.3%8.6%$108,643,286
MEDIAN %7.8%10.2%7.0%6.8%9.3%7.8%7.9%9.4%8.3%8.2%9.2%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ANDERSON (County)

Pop 193 PPA 0.59 %BO 7.4% Levy $22,541,144 Levy CAGR +6.0% E-Factor 1.03%
164 188 211 235 259 282 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 183 257 222 193 193 193 193 194 194 194 195 195 +3.5% -1.5% -1.4% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.1% +0.0% +0.0% +0.1% +0.0% Population Trend: ANDERSON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ANDERSON had a 2020 population of 193 across 0.5 square miles, yielding a density of 0.59 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 195, a gain of 2 (+1.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.01% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 7.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ANDERSON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 7.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ANDERSON levied $22,541,144 in property taxes on a market value base of $8,529,074,385. The taxable value of $5,145,020,072 reflects 39.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4829 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4414 for Maintenance & Operations (91.4%) and $0.0415 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (8.6%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $116,793 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.0% CAGR lagged market value growth of 15.1% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.03% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Strategic Outlook: ANDERSON demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ANDERSON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop183257222193193193193194194194195195
PPA0.560.790.680.590.590.590.590.600.600.600.600.60
%BO7.0%9.8%8.5%7.4%7.4%7.4%7.4%7.4%7.5%7.5%7.5%7.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%193$4,623,249,054~EstN/A$0.5369$0.075912.4%$0.6128$16,983,382$87,997
20214.7%193$5,055,892,034~EstN/A$0.5369$0.073712.1%$0.6105$17,944,862$92,979
20228.0%193$5,943,553,721~EstN/A$0.5032$0.075313.0%$0.5785$19,465,948$100,860
20234.1%193$8,057,379,604~EstN/A$0.4414$0.04158.6%$0.4829$20,385,914$105,626
20243.2%193$8,122,927,986$4,900,019,11660.3%$0.4414$0.04158.6%$0.4829$21,467,756$111,232
2025~2.9%193$8,529,074,385$5,145,020,07260.3%$0.4414$0.04158.6%$0.4829$22,541,144$116,793
CAGR4.2%15.1%-3.8%-11.4%-7.0%-4.7%6.0%6.0%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

ANDERSON COUNTY (City)

Pop 57,922 PPA 0.09 %BO 1.1% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
43,221 49,447 55,672 61,898 68,123 74,349 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 48,024 55,109 58,458 57,922 59,051 60,202 61,375 62,571 63,790 65,033 66,299 67,590 +1.4% +0.6% -0.1% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: ANDERSON COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ANDERSON COUNTY had a 2020 population of 57,922 across 1062.6 square miles, yielding a density of 0.09 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 67,590, a gain of 9,668 (+16.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.19% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ANDERSON COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 1.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: ANDERSON COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ANDERSON COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop48,02455,10958,45857,92259,05160,20261,37562,57163,79065,03366,29967,590
PPA0.070.080.090.090.090.090.090.090.090.100.100.10
%BO0.9%1.0%1.1%1.1%1.1%1.1%1.1%1.2%1.2%1.2%1.2%1.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.8%9.0%7.2%7.6%8.8%8.0%8.4%9.8%7.8%9.0%9.4%8.2%$2,820,965
20216.7%8.6%6.6%5.7%9.5%7.8%8.6%9.5%9.0%9.2%9.7%9.1%$3,244,561
20227.8%7.3%7.3%6.4%8.5%8.2%12.3%9.0%8.2%8.2%8.3%8.5%$4,128,049
202310.1%14.0%6.9%7.7%10.1%6.2%7.7%6.1%7.8%7.6%7.2%8.6%$4,234,160
20247.0%10.4%7.0%6.8%8.5%7.2%7.5%9.3%7.1%7.6%12.9%8.8%$4,651,969
20258.4%11.6%7.9%6.5%8.0%8.4%7.2%8.4%7.2%7.9%9.9%8.6%$4,872,215
MEDIAN %7.5%9.8%7.2%6.7%8.8%8.0%8.2%9.3%7.9%8.2%9.7%8.7%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ANDREWS (City)

Pop 13,487 PPA 4.30 %BO 53.8% Levy $2,207,406 Levy CAGR +6.3% E-Factor 0.00%
8,686 11,321 13,955 16,590 19,224 21,859 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 10,779 9,652 11,088 13,487 14,404 15,302 16,172 17,005 17,796 18,539 19,232 19,872 -1.1% +1.4% +2.0% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% Population Trend: ANDREWS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ANDREWS had a 2020 population of 13,487 across 4.9 square miles, yielding a density of 4.30 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 19,872, a gain of 6,385 (+47.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.49% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 53.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ANDREWS is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 79.2%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ANDREWS levied $2,207,406 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,476,931,156. The taxable value of $1,223,109,014 reflects 17.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.1805 per $100 valuation consists of $0.1805 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $158 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.3% CAGR lagged market value growth of 7.4% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): ANDREWS collected $9,128,339 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $655 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 413.5% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 4.8% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: ANDREWS demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ANDREWS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop10,7799,65211,08813,48714,40415,30216,17217,00517,79618,53919,23219,872
PPA3.443.083.544.304.594.885.165.425.675.916.136.34
%BO43.0%38.5%44.2%53.8%57.4%61.0%64.5%67.8%70.9%73.9%76.7%79.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%13,487$1,056,047,401$906,285,92785.8%$0.1819N/AN/A$0.1819$1,648,688$122$7,558,463$560458.5%
20214.7%13,578$1,155,827,214$936,207,31881.0%$0.1805N/AN/A$0.1805$1,689,620$124$7,163,440$528424.0%
20228.0%13,670$1,234,827,865$984,920,70179.8%$0.1805N/AN/A$0.1805$1,777,536$130$9,614,905$703540.9%
20234.1%13,762$1,300,421,667$1,066,808,19882.0%$0.1805N/AN/A$0.1805$1,925,322$140$10,142,610$737526.8%
20243.2%13,853$1,406,601,101$1,164,865,72882.8%$0.1805N/AN/A$0.1805$2,102,291$152$9,107,487$657433.2%
2025*2.9%13,945$1,476,931,156$1,223,109,01482.8%$0.1805N/AN/A$0.1805$2,207,406$158$9,128,339$655413.5%
CAGR4.2%0.7%7.4%6.5%-0.7%-0.2%-0.2%6.3%5.6%4.8%4.1%-2.0%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.5%10.1%9.1%8.3%9.4%6.7%11.1%8.0%7.6%6.6%6.9%7.8%$7,558,463
20217.2%9.1%6.3%6.3%10.4%9.4%7.8%9.2%8.4%8.5%9.8%7.5%$7,163,440
20227.1%6.7%5.8%6.7%8.7%8.5%7.9%9.1%9.0%9.6%10.9%10.0%$9,614,905
20238.3%9.8%8.6%7.3%8.6%9.0%8.4%8.9%7.6%7.1%8.4%8.1%$10,142,610
20247.5%9.3%8.2%7.8%8.5%8.6%8.3%8.3%8.3%8.3%8.8%8.0%$9,107,487
20257.3%9.2%7.9%7.3%10.1%7.9%9.5%8.4%7.2%9.4%7.1%8.6%$9,128,339
MEDIAN %7.4%9.3%8.1%7.3%9.1%8.6%8.4%8.7%8.0%8.4%8.6%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ANDREWS (County)

Pop 13,487 PPA 4.30 %BO 53.8% Levy $35,871,903 Levy CAGR +6.9% E-Factor 1.21%
8,686 11,321 13,955 16,590 19,224 21,859 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 10,779 9,652 11,088 13,487 14,404 15,302 16,172 17,005 17,796 18,539 19,232 19,872 -1.1% +1.4% +2.0% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% Population Trend: ANDREWS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ANDREWS had a 2020 population of 13,487 across 4.9 square miles, yielding a density of 4.30 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 19,872, a gain of 6,385 (+47.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.49% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 53.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ANDREWS is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 79.2%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ANDREWS levied $35,871,903 in property taxes on a market value base of $13,450,814,137. The taxable value of $11,784,784,768 reflects 12.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3042 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2935 for Maintenance & Operations (96.5%) and $0.0107 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (3.5%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $2,572 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 22.3% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.21% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Strategic Outlook: ANDREWS demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ANDREWS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop10,7799,65211,08813,48714,40415,30216,17217,00517,79618,53919,23219,872
PPA3.443.083.544.304.594.885.165.425.675.916.136.34
%BO43.0%38.5%44.2%53.8%57.4%61.0%64.5%67.8%70.9%73.9%76.7%79.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%13,487$5,717,766,952~EstN/A$0.4862$0.02374.6%$0.5099$26,180,266$1,941
20214.7%13,578$6,266,766,919~EstN/A$0.4900$0.02504.9%$0.5150$25,930,379$1,910
20228.0%13,670$9,028,141,066~EstN/A$0.4032$0.01684.0%$0.4200$31,616,879$2,313
20234.1%13,762$11,339,320,430~EstN/A$0.3174$0.01263.8%$0.3300$32,612,447$2,370
20243.2%13,853$12,810,299,178$11,223,604,54187.6%$0.2935$0.01073.5%$0.3042$34,163,717$2,466
2025~2.9%13,945$13,450,814,137$11,784,784,76887.6%$0.2935$0.01073.5%$0.3042$35,871,903$2,572
CAGR4.2%0.7%22.3%-9.6%-14.7%-5.4%-9.8%6.9%6.2%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

ANDREWS COUNTY (City)

Pop 18,610 PPA 0.02 %BO 0.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
11,703 25,589 39,474 53,360 67,246 81,131 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 14,338 13,004 14,786 18,610 22,115 26,278 31,222 37,092 44,059 52,326 62,131 73,756 -1.0% +1.3% +2.3% +1.7% +1.7% +1.7% +1.7% +1.7% +1.7% +1.7% +1.7% Population Trend: ANDREWS COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ANDREWS COUNTY had a 2020 population of 18,610 across 1500.7 square miles, yielding a density of 0.02 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 73,756, a gain of 55,146 (+296.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.74% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ANDREWS COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 1.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: ANDREWS COUNTY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ANDREWS COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop14,33813,00414,78618,61022,11526,27831,22237,09244,05952,32662,13173,756
PPA0.010.010.020.020.020.030.030.040.050.050.060.08
%BO0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.3%0.3%0.4%0.5%0.6%0.7%0.8%1.0%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ANGELINA (County)

Pop 0 PPA 0.00 %BO 0.0% Levy $31,133,858 Levy CAGR +9.3% E-Factor 4.31%
Property Tax Overview (2025): ANGELINA levied $31,133,858 in property taxes on a market value base of $11,481,063,596. The taxable value of $7,857,047,804 reflects 31.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4490 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4274 for Maintenance & Operations (95.2%) and $0.0216 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (4.8%). Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 9.3% CAGR lagged market value growth of 13.8% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.31% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: ANGELINA demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ANGELINA
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%N/A$6,508,462,256~EstN/A$0.4178$0.01934.4%$0.4371$20,766,666N/A
20214.7%N/A$7,982,703,025~EstN/A$0.4754$0.01823.7%$0.4936$25,821,108N/A
20228.0%N/A$8,792,025,738~EstN/A$0.4091$0.179830.5%$0.5890$33,863,506N/A
20234.1%N/A$10,805,151,158~EstN/A$0.4141$0.01493.5%$0.4290$27,627,025N/A
20243.2%N/A$10,934,346,282$7,482,902,67068.4%$0.4274$0.02164.8%$0.4490$29,651,293N/A
2025~2.9%N/A$11,481,063,596$7,857,047,80468.4%$0.4274$0.02164.8%$0.4490$31,133,858N/A
CAGR4.2%13.8%0.5%2.2%1.7%0.5%9.3%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

ANGELINA COUNTY (City)

Pop 86,395 PPA 0.17 %BO 2.1% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
62,895 73,557 84,218 94,880 105,542 116,204 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 69,884 80,130 86,771 86,395 88,598 90,857 93,172 95,545 97,977 100,469 103,023 105,640 +1.4% +0.8% -0.0% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: ANGELINA COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ANGELINA COUNTY had a 2020 population of 86,395 across 797.8 square miles, yielding a density of 0.17 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 105,640, a gain of 19,245 (+22.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.25% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 2.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ANGELINA COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 2.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: ANGELINA COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ANGELINA COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop69,88480,13086,77186,39588,59890,85793,17295,54597,977100,469103,023105,640
PPA0.140.160.170.170.170.180.180.190.190.200.200.21
%BO1.7%2.0%2.1%2.1%2.2%2.2%2.3%2.3%2.4%2.5%2.5%2.6%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.8%11.1%6.4%6.9%8.8%7.8%8.1%10.0%8.1%7.8%9.6%7.7%$6,485,238
20217.1%8.7%6.7%6.3%10.9%8.2%8.1%10.2%8.0%8.3%9.5%7.9%$7,280,023
20228.5%10.3%6.6%6.7%9.4%7.5%8.1%9.6%8.3%8.2%9.2%7.6%$8,345,013
20237.8%9.9%7.0%7.3%9.3%7.6%8.4%9.1%7.9%8.4%9.2%8.0%$9,305,112
20248.7%12.0%7.3%7.6%9.4%7.7%7.6%8.5%7.9%7.0%8.6%7.8%$8,971,282
20257.3%11.0%6.8%6.7%9.9%8.0%7.9%9.2%8.4%8.1%8.4%8.5%$9,045,226
MEDIAN %7.8%10.7%6.7%6.8%9.4%7.8%8.1%9.4%8.1%8.1%9.2%7.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ANGLETON (City)

Pop 19,429 PPA 2.69 %BO 33.7% Levy $9,715,554 Levy CAGR +5.2% E-Factor 0.37%
15,780 17,639 19,497 21,356 23,214 25,073 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 17,534 18,130 18,862 19,429 19,836 20,248 20,663 21,083 21,506 21,932 22,361 22,794 +0.3% +0.4% +0.3% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: ANGLETON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ANGLETON had a 2020 population of 19,429 across 11.3 square miles, yielding a density of 2.69 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 22,794, a gain of 3,365 (+17.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.20% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 33.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ANGLETON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 39.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ANGLETON levied $9,715,554 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,595,355,284. The taxable value of $1,971,268,532 reflects 24.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4929 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4094 for Maintenance & Operations (83.1%) and $0.0835 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (16.9%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $495 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 13.4% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.37% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): ANGLETON collected $6,598,205 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $336 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 67.9% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.0% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: ANGLETON demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ANGLETON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop17,53418,13018,86219,42919,83620,24820,66321,08321,50621,93222,36122,794
PPA2.432.512.622.692.752.812.862.922.983.043.103.16
%BO30.4%31.4%32.7%33.7%34.4%35.1%35.8%36.5%37.3%38.0%38.8%39.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%19,429$1,496,678,380$1,136,801,29576.0%$0.5815$0.083712.6%$0.6651$7,561,366$389$5,050,933$26066.8%
20214.7%19,469$1,557,345,771$1,205,760,83777.4%$0.5592$0.073911.7%$0.6330$7,632,960$392$5,153,347$26567.5%
20228.0%19,510$1,855,333,152$1,452,662,21978.3%$0.5171$0.101616.4%$0.6188$8,988,493$461$5,607,318$28762.4%
20234.1%19,551$2,427,548,480$1,806,937,43074.4%$0.4551$0.067913.0%$0.5230$9,450,463$483$5,980,750$30663.3%
20243.2%19,591$2,471,766,937$1,877,398,60276.0%$0.4094$0.083516.9%$0.4929$9,252,909$472$6,373,170$32568.9%
2025*2.9%19,632$2,595,355,284$1,971,268,53276.0%$0.4094$0.083516.9%$0.4929$9,715,554$495$6,598,205$33667.9%
CAGR4.2%0.2%13.4%13.4%-0.0%-6.8%-0.0%6.1%-5.8%5.2%5.0%6.0%5.8%0.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.7%9.9%6.2%8.1%8.3%8.0%8.0%13.8%7.2%7.3%8.8%7.8%$5,050,933
20216.9%10.6%6.6%6.7%10.0%8.4%7.6%9.3%7.7%7.8%10.2%8.2%$5,153,347
20227.3%10.0%6.9%6.8%9.3%8.0%8.2%8.8%7.6%8.6%9.8%8.7%$5,607,318
20237.7%10.8%7.2%7.1%9.4%6.7%7.9%9.5%7.2%8.9%9.0%8.6%$5,980,750
20247.8%9.5%7.0%7.9%8.3%8.4%8.1%8.6%8.4%8.9%8.7%8.5%$6,373,170
20257.5%10.7%7.3%7.8%8.6%8.2%7.7%8.7%8.3%7.9%9.1%8.3%$6,598,205
MEDIAN %7.5%10.4%7.0%7.5%9.0%8.1%7.9%9.1%7.7%8.3%9.1%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ANNA (City)

Pop 16,896 PPA 1.88 %BO 23.5% Levy $20,274,851 Levy CAGR +22.3% E-Factor 11.27%
818 16,422 32,027 47,632 63,237 78,842 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 909 1,225 8,249 16,896 29,758 44,621 56,982 64,696 68,669 70,512 71,325 71,675 +3.0% +21.0% +7.4% +5.8% +4.1% +2.5% +1.3% +0.6% +0.3% +0.1% +0.0% Population Trend: ANNA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ANNA had a 2020 population of 16,896 across 14.1 square miles, yielding a density of 1.88 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 71,675, a gain of 54,779 (+324.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.82% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 23.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ANNA has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 99.6%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ANNA levied $20,274,851 in property taxes on a market value base of $4,989,793,686. The taxable value of $3,997,407,729 reflects 19.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5072 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3602 for Maintenance & Operations (71.0%) and $0.1470 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (29.0%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $869 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 22.3% CAGR lagged market value growth of 26.4% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 11.27% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): ANNA collected $10,652,271 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $457 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 52.5% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 24.0% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: ANNA demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ANNA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop9091,2258,24916,89629,75844,62156,98264,69668,66970,51271,32571,675
PPA0.100.140.921.883.314.966.347.197.647.847.937.97
%BO1.3%1.7%11.5%23.5%41.4%62.0%79.2%89.9%95.5%98.0%99.2%99.6%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%16,896$1,862,506,481$1,479,329,43479.4%$0.4671$0.115919.9%$0.5830$8,624,491$510$3,699,199$21942.9%
20214.7%18,182$2,172,612,894$1,775,297,68081.7%$0.4526$0.116920.5%$0.5695$10,110,320$556$4,769,691$26247.2%
20228.0%19,468$3,166,588,300$2,480,933,72078.3%$0.3965$0.143226.5%$0.5397$13,390,840$688$6,261,700$32246.8%
20234.1%20,754$4,197,374,475$3,267,916,18177.9%$0.3659$0.144828.3%$0.5107$16,689,803$804$7,085,856$34142.5%
20243.2%22,040$4,752,184,463$3,807,054,98080.1%$0.3602$0.147029.0%$0.5072$19,309,382$876$8,736,313$39645.2%
2025*2.9%23,327$4,989,793,686$3,997,407,72980.1%$0.3602$0.147029.0%$0.5072$20,274,851$869$10,652,271$45752.5%
CAGR4.2%6.7%26.4%26.7%0.2%-5.1%4.9%7.8%-2.7%22.3%14.5%24.0%16.0%4.1%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.7%8.7%6.5%6.1%8.0%7.9%9.2%10.7%8.6%8.4%10.2%9.1%$3,699,199
20217.1%8.8%7.1%6.1%9.2%7.9%8.1%9.8%9.1%8.5%9.5%8.7%$4,769,691
20227.7%8.8%6.9%6.6%9.3%7.9%8.2%9.3%9.1%8.5%9.2%8.3%$6,261,700
20237.7%8.8%6.4%6.5%8.5%7.8%8.4%9.0%8.5%9.3%10.0%9.2%$7,085,856
20248.0%8.8%6.5%7.1%8.3%7.4%8.0%9.6%9.0%9.4%9.1%8.9%$8,736,313
20257.1%9.3%6.4%6.3%17.6%7.3%7.3%8.1%7.7%7.1%7.9%7.7%$10,652,271
MEDIAN %7.5%8.9%6.6%6.5%9.0%7.9%8.2%9.5%8.9%8.6%9.4%8.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ARANSAS (County)

Pop 0 PPA 0.00 %BO 0.0% Levy $24,154,537 Levy CAGR +5.7% E-Factor 0.75%
Property Tax Overview (2025): ARANSAS levied $24,154,537 in property taxes on a market value base of $7,705,243,829. The taxable value of $6,553,161,481 reflects 15.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3700 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3263 for Maintenance & Operations (88.2%) and $0.0437 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (11.8%). Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.7% CAGR lagged market value growth of 15.0% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.75% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Strategic Outlook: ARANSAS demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ARANSAS
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%N/A$4,200,055,784~EstN/A$0.4379$0.068413.5%$0.5063$18,396,398N/A
20214.7%N/A$4,740,776,423~EstN/A$0.3885$0.070415.3%$0.4589$18,910,970N/A
20228.0%N/A$5,402,309,260~EstN/A$0.3595$0.057513.8%$0.4170$19,509,776N/A
20234.1%N/A$6,882,290,890~EstN/A$0.3121$0.046312.9%$0.3584$20,885,327N/A
20243.2%N/A$7,338,327,456$6,241,106,17285.0%$0.3263$0.043711.8%$0.3700$23,004,321N/A
2025~2.9%N/A$7,705,243,829$6,553,161,48185.0%$0.3263$0.043711.8%$0.3700$24,154,537N/A
CAGR4.2%15.0%-5.7%-8.6%-2.7%-6.1%5.7%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

ARANSAS COUNTY (City)

Pop 23,830 PPA 0.15 %BO 1.8% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
16,102 20,967 25,831 30,696 35,560 40,425 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 17,892 22,497 23,158 23,830 25,161 26,566 28,047 29,609 31,256 32,992 34,822 36,750 +2.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% Population Trend: ARANSAS COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ARANSAS COUNTY had a 2020 population of 23,830 across 252.1 square miles, yielding a density of 0.15 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 36,750, a gain of 12,920 (+54.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.54% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ARANSAS COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 2.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: ARANSAS COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ARANSAS COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop17,89222,49723,15823,83025,16126,56628,04729,60931,25632,99234,82236,750
PPA0.110.140.140.150.160.160.170.180.190.200.220.23
%BO1.4%1.7%1.8%1.8%1.9%2.1%2.2%2.3%2.4%2.6%2.7%2.8%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.1%8.9%6.7%7.1%8.5%7.4%9.2%10.5%8.8%8.6%9.2%8.1%$1,775,960
20216.7%8.9%6.9%6.2%9.9%8.1%8.7%10.5%9.0%8.2%9.4%7.5%$2,048,194
20227.4%9.1%6.6%6.6%9.5%8.4%8.7%9.2%9.3%8.6%8.7%7.7%$2,338,044
20237.6%8.7%7.5%7.4%9.6%7.6%8.5%9.7%9.1%8.2%8.7%7.7%$2,356,653
20247.6%9.0%7.1%7.5%9.4%8.4%8.6%9.5%8.8%8.0%8.4%7.7%$2,365,203
20257.1%9.5%6.4%7.1%8.8%6.8%8.1%9.3%9.2%8.8%7.9%11.0%$2,641,833
MEDIAN %7.3%9.0%6.8%7.1%9.5%7.9%8.7%9.6%9.1%8.4%8.7%7.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ARANSAS PASS (City)

Pop 7,941 PPA 0.99 %BO 12.3% Levy $9,157,448 Levy CAGR +10.1% E-Factor 2.29%
6,692 7,158 7,625 8,091 8,558 9,024 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 7,436 8,138 8,204 7,941 7,954 7,967 7,980 7,994 8,007 8,020 8,034 8,047 +0.9% +0.1% -0.3% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: ARANSAS PASS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ARANSAS PASS had a 2020 population of 7,941 across 12.6 square miles, yielding a density of 0.99 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 8,047, a gain of 106 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 12.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ARANSAS PASS has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 12.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ARANSAS PASS levied $9,157,448 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,512,495,082. The taxable value of $1,245,621,633 reflects 17.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7352 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3993 for Maintenance & Operations (54.3%) and $0.3359 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (45.7%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,152 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 10.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.29% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): ARANSAS PASS collected $2,935,528 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $369 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 32.1% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 4.5% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: ARANSAS PASS demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ARANSAS PASS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop7,4368,1388,2047,9417,9547,9677,9807,9948,0078,0208,0348,047
PPA0.921.011.020.990.990.990.990.991.001.001.001.00
%BO11.6%12.6%12.7%12.3%12.4%12.4%12.4%12.4%12.4%12.5%12.5%12.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%7,941$851,481,034$741,628,09187.1%$0.4843$0.314939.4%$0.7992$5,927,048$746$2,516,619$31742.5%
20214.7%7,942$1,051,330,450$886,120,19684.3%$0.4472$0.337343.0%$0.7845$6,951,445$875$2,743,724$34539.5%
20228.0%7,943$1,150,560,353$979,806,82685.2%$0.4144$0.360046.5%$0.7744$7,587,252$955$2,898,405$36538.2%
20234.1%7,944$1,412,144,064$1,170,557,06282.9%$0.4076$0.351846.3%$0.7594$8,888,801$1,119$3,001,001$37833.8%
20243.2%7,946$1,440,471,507$1,186,306,31782.4%$0.3993$0.335945.7%$0.7352$8,721,379$1,098$2,998,026$37734.4%
2025*2.9%7,947$1,512,495,082$1,245,621,63382.4%$0.3993$0.335945.7%$0.7352$9,157,448$1,152$2,935,528$36932.1%
CAGR4.2%0.0%14.0%12.5%-1.1%-3.8%1.3%3.0%-1.7%10.1%10.1%4.5%4.5%-5.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%9.8%6.6%6.7%9.0%7.7%8.8%11.1%8.2%8.2%8.8%7.6%$2,516,619
20216.9%9.5%7.1%6.5%10.5%8.3%8.2%9.7%8.3%8.0%9.4%7.6%$2,743,724
20227.6%9.5%6.8%6.9%9.6%8.4%8.3%9.5%8.2%8.1%8.9%8.2%$2,898,405
20237.7%9.0%7.5%7.4%9.8%7.4%8.4%9.9%8.3%8.7%8.7%7.4%$3,001,001
20247.5%8.9%7.2%8.2%10.0%8.2%7.8%9.5%9.9%6.4%8.5%7.8%$2,998,026
20258.0%11.3%7.2%5.8%9.8%8.2%8.0%9.4%8.4%7.6%8.4%7.9%$2,935,528
MEDIAN %7.6%9.5%7.2%6.8%9.8%8.3%8.3%9.6%8.3%8.1%8.7%7.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ARCHER (County)

Pop 0 PPA 0.00 %BO 0.0% Levy $7,086,028 Levy CAGR +11.2% E-Factor 6.24%
Property Tax Overview (2025): ARCHER levied $7,086,028 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,996,374,707. The taxable value of $1,373,607,240 reflects 54.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5159 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4854 for Maintenance & Operations (94.1%) and $0.0305 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (5.9%). Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 11.2% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 8.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 6.24% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: ARCHER demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ARCHER
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%N/A$2,043,858,534~EstN/A$0.5045$0.04938.9%$0.5538$4,407,586N/A
20214.7%N/A$2,109,555,491~EstN/A$0.5779$0.05008.0%$0.6278$5,036,109N/A
20228.0%N/A$2,354,154,920~EstN/A$0.5439$0.04487.6%$0.5887$5,927,953N/A
20234.1%N/A$2,798,278,185~EstN/A$0.5021$0.03246.1%$0.5345$6,539,196N/A
20243.2%N/A$2,853,690,197$1,308,197,37145.8%$0.4854$0.03055.9%$0.5159$6,748,598N/A
2025~2.9%N/A$2,996,374,707$1,373,607,24045.8%$0.4854$0.03055.9%$0.5159$7,086,028N/A
CAGR4.2%8.7%-0.8%-9.2%-7.9%-1.4%11.2%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

ARCHER COUNTY (City)

Pop 8,560 PPA 0.01 %BO 0.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
7,175 7,732 8,289 8,845 9,402 9,959 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 7,973 8,854 9,054 8,560 8,574 8,588 8,602 8,617 8,631 8,645 8,660 8,674 +1.1% +0.2% -0.6% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: ARCHER COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ARCHER COUNTY had a 2020 population of 8,560 across 903.3 square miles, yielding a density of 0.01 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 8,674, a gain of 114 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ARCHER COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: ARCHER COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ARCHER COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop7,9738,8549,0548,5608,5748,5888,6028,6178,6318,6458,6608,674
PPA0.010.020.020.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.02
%BO0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.3%10.8%7.8%7.5%8.5%7.6%7.9%8.2%7.3%7.5%9.7%8.8%$372,724
20216.9%8.7%6.8%6.8%9.9%8.0%6.7%8.9%9.5%9.4%9.9%8.6%$469,313
20228.1%9.4%6.5%6.1%8.3%6.8%8.8%11.4%7.1%8.8%9.8%8.7%$538,410
20236.9%9.0%9.2%6.6%8.5%8.1%8.0%8.7%7.8%9.4%7.9%10.0%$590,044
20248.1%10.4%7.3%7.2%8.0%8.1%7.0%8.7%10.5%8.2%7.9%8.5%$638,509
20257.5%10.7%8.9%7.1%8.4%7.9%7.4%8.3%8.4%8.3%8.5%8.6%$652,268
MEDIAN %7.9%9.9%7.6%7.0%8.5%8.0%7.7%8.8%8.1%8.6%9.2%8.7%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ARLINGTON (City)

Pop 394,266 PPA 6.43 %BO 80.3% Levy $271,019,214 Levy CAGR +7.9% E-Factor 5.14%
237,061 286,921 336,780 386,640 436,499 486,359 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 263,402 332,969 365,438 394,266 401,779 408,830 415,429 421,588 427,321 432,646 437,581 442,145 +2.4% +0.9% +0.8% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: ARLINGTON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ARLINGTON had a 2020 population of 394,266 across 95.9 square miles, yielding a density of 6.43 persons per acre (PPA). This high density suggests an urbanized area with limited greenfield expansion potential. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 442,145, a gain of 47,879 (+12.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.14% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 80.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ARLINGTON is approaching full build-out. By 2100, build-out is projected at 90.1%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ARLINGTON levied $271,019,214 in property taxes on a market value base of $65,088,050,326. The taxable value of $45,184,930,727 reflects 30.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5998 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4146 for Maintenance & Operations (69.1%) and $0.1852 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (30.9%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $681 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 9.5% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 5.14% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): ARLINGTON collected $193,616,052 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.75% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $486 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 71.4% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 12.8% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: ARLINGTON demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ARLINGTON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop263,402332,969365,438394,266401,779408,830415,429421,588427,321432,646437,581442,145
PPA4.295.435.966.436.556.666.776.876.967.057.137.21
%BO53.7%67.8%74.4%80.3%81.8%83.3%84.6%85.9%87.0%88.1%89.1%90.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%394,266$43,081,397,267$30,612,818,36771.1%$0.4085$0.214034.4%$0.6225$190,564,794$483$119,943,322$30462.9%
20214.7%395,017$46,827,863,357$32,029,754,58568.4%$0.4098$0.210033.9%$0.6198$198,520,419$503$157,711,765$39979.4%
20228.0%395,768$52,490,189,946$36,067,893,88668.7%$0.4030$0.196832.8%$0.5998$216,335,228$547$192,792,412$48789.1%
20234.1%396,519$61,832,897,670$41,022,804,06966.3%$0.4080$0.181830.8%$0.5898$241,952,498$610$192,752,363$48679.7%
20243.2%397,271$61,988,619,358$43,033,267,35969.4%$0.4146$0.185230.9%$0.5998$258,113,537$650$194,079,904$48975.2%
2025*2.9%398,022$65,088,050,326$45,184,930,72769.4%$0.4146$0.185230.9%$0.5998$271,019,214$681$193,616,052$48671.4%
CAGR4.2%0.2%9.5%8.9%-0.5%0.3%-2.8%-2.1%-0.7%7.9%7.7%12.8%12.6%2.6%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%10.9%7.3%7.0%8.2%7.2%8.5%9.4%7.5%7.8%10.4%8.4%$119,943,322
20216.1%8.6%5.8%5.1%8.9%8.5%8.5%10.6%9.6%8.6%10.8%9.0%$157,711,765
20227.5%9.6%7.5%6.5%9.3%8.5%8.4%10.2%8.1%8.1%8.9%7.5%$192,792,412
20237.9%9.8%6.9%6.6%9.7%7.8%8.2%8.1%9.0%8.2%9.1%8.8%$192,752,363
20248.3%9.3%6.7%7.1%9.5%8.3%8.6%8.9%9.1%7.9%8.5%7.8%$194,079,904
20257.7%9.9%7.1%6.8%9.0%8.5%8.6%9.2%8.2%7.8%9.0%8.1%$193,616,052
MEDIAN %7.6%9.7%6.9%6.7%9.1%8.4%8.5%9.3%8.6%8.0%9.0%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ARMSTRONG (County)

Pop 0 PPA 0.00 %BO 0.0% Levy $1,678,028 Levy CAGR +4.3% E-Factor 0.00%
Property Tax Overview (2025): ARMSTRONG levied $1,678,028 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,598,630,352. The taxable value of $330,531,142 reflects 79.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5068 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5068 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 4.3% CAGR lagged market value growth of 16.2% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments.
Strategic Outlook: See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ARMSTRONG
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%N/A$835,057,181~EstN/A$0.5759N/AN/A$0.5759$1,349,424N/A
20214.7%N/A$838,219,803~EstN/A$0.5871N/AN/A$0.5871$1,405,322N/A
20228.0%N/A$854,242,081~EstN/A$0.5612N/AN/A$0.5612$1,407,542N/A
20234.1%N/A$1,276,767,234~EstN/A$0.5068N/AN/A$0.5068$1,821,393N/A
20243.2%N/A$1,522,505,097$314,791,56420.7%$0.5068N/AN/A$0.5068$1,598,122N/A
2025~2.9%N/A$1,598,630,352$330,531,14220.7%$0.5068N/AN/A$0.5068$1,678,028N/A
CAGR4.2%16.2%-2.5%-2.5%4.3%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

ATASCOSA (County)

Pop 0 PPA 0.00 %BO 0.0% Levy $35,069,921 Levy CAGR +4.2% E-Factor 0.00%
Property Tax Overview (2025): ATASCOSA levied $35,069,921 in property taxes on a market value base of $11,567,349,949. The taxable value of $7,245,738,366 reflects 37.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4829 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3838 for Maintenance & Operations (94.8%) and $0.0250 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (5.2%). Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 4.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.2% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Strategic Outlook: See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ATASCOSA
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%N/A$6,487,746,450~EstN/A$0.5443$0.04487.6%$0.5891$28,379,357N/A
20214.7%N/A$6,931,185,061~EstN/A$0.5332$0.04387.6%$0.5771$26,745,057N/A
20228.0%N/A$8,205,145,615~EstN/A$0.4987$0.01923.7%$0.5179$28,171,297N/A
20234.1%N/A$10,266,399,277~EstN/A$0.4565$0.01322.8%$0.4697$30,224,194N/A
20243.2%N/A$11,016,523,761$6,900,703,20662.6%$0.3838$0.02505.2%$0.4829$33,399,925N/A
2025~2.9%N/A$11,567,349,949$7,245,738,36662.6%$0.3838$0.02505.2%$0.4829$35,069,921N/A
CAGR4.2%14.2%-6.8%-11.0%-7.4%-3.9%4.2%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

ATASCOSA COUNTY (City)

Pop 48,981 PPA 0.06 %BO 0.8% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
27,479 48,735 69,990 91,246 112,502 133,757 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 30,533 38,628 44,911 48,981 54,905 61,538 68,965 77,276 86,575 96,975 108,603 121,598 +2.4% +1.5% +0.9% +1.1% +1.1% +1.1% +1.1% +1.1% +1.1% +1.1% +1.1% Population Trend: ATASCOSA COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ATASCOSA COUNTY had a 2020 population of 48,981 across 1219.5 square miles, yielding a density of 0.06 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 121,598, a gain of 72,617 (+148.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.14% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ATASCOSA COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 1.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: ATASCOSA COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ATASCOSA COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop30,53338,62844,91148,98154,90561,53868,96577,27686,57596,975108,603121,598
PPA0.040.050.060.060.070.080.090.100.110.120.140.16
%BO0.5%0.6%0.7%0.8%0.9%1.0%1.1%1.2%1.4%1.6%1.7%1.9%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
202010.8%10.7%7.9%9.5%10.1%9.4%6.4%9.1%7.0%6.6%5.8%6.8%$4,367,579
20216.4%8.6%6.7%5.9%8.0%6.9%7.0%9.0%7.5%8.4%9.1%16.5%$4,818,296
20227.5%7.5%7.5%6.5%9.2%8.1%9.0%9.6%9.7%10.7%5.2%9.5%$6,438,678
20236.1%7.7%10.1%9.4%10.0%10.8%8.5%8.0%7.2%7.8%7.4%7.0%$10,418,701
20248.6%9.0%7.6%9.0%9.0%9.5%8.1%10.0%6.8%7.8%7.9%6.7%$8,070,181
20258.0%9.3%7.3%7.9%8.7%8.8%8.8%8.5%8.4%8.3%7.1%9.0%$7,011,328
MEDIAN %7.9%8.9%7.7%8.5%9.2%9.2%8.4%9.1%7.4%8.2%7.3%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ATHENS (City)

Pop 12,857 PPA 1.19 %BO 14.9% Levy $6,481,246 Levy CAGR +2.9% E-Factor 0.78%
9,892 11,321 12,749 14,177 15,606 17,034 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 10,992 11,297 12,710 12,857 13,164 13,477 13,796 14,122 14,454 14,791 15,135 15,486 +0.3% +1.2% +0.1% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: ATHENS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ATHENS had a 2020 population of 12,857 across 16.8 square miles, yielding a density of 1.19 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 15,486, a gain of 2,629 (+20.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.23% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 14.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ATHENS has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 18.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ATHENS levied $6,481,246 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,830,520,440. The taxable value of $1,216,562,047 reflects 33.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5328 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4508 for Maintenance & Operations (84.6%) and $0.0819 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (15.4%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $498 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 2.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 8.3% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.78% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): ATHENS collected $9,553,309 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $734 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 147.4% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.1% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: ATHENS demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ATHENS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop10,99211,29712,71012,85713,16413,47713,79614,12214,45414,79115,13515,486
PPA1.021.051.181.191.221.251.281.311.341.371.411.44
%BO12.8%13.1%14.7%14.9%15.3%15.6%16.0%16.4%16.8%17.2%17.6%18.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%12,857$1,265,685,555$834,301,04565.9%$0.5551$0.105115.9%$0.6602$5,508,231$428$6,556,954$510119.0%
20214.7%12,887$1,309,209,820$867,463,27166.3%$0.5399$0.105316.3%$0.6452$5,597,055$434$6,895,914$535123.2%
20228.0%12,918$1,475,363,877$977,431,38266.3%$0.4583$0.107719.0%$0.5660$5,532,262$428$7,988,565$618144.4%
20234.1%12,949$1,607,272,271$1,063,345,61866.2%$0.4389$0.093917.6%$0.5328$5,664,984$437$8,721,858$674154.0%
20243.2%12,979$1,743,352,800$1,158,630,52166.5%$0.4508$0.081915.4%$0.5328$6,172,615$476$9,305,958$717150.8%
2025*2.9%13,010$1,830,520,440$1,216,562,04766.5%$0.4508$0.081915.4%$0.5328$6,481,246$498$9,553,309$734147.4%
CAGR4.2%0.2%8.3%8.6%0.2%-4.1%-4.9%-0.7%-4.2%2.9%2.6%9.1%8.9%4.4%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.4%10.8%7.1%6.5%7.9%9.3%8.7%10.7%7.4%7.6%8.8%7.8%$6,556,954
20216.6%9.2%7.5%6.0%10.3%8.6%8.1%9.6%8.0%8.2%9.9%7.9%$6,895,914
20227.5%8.8%7.3%6.4%10.4%7.9%7.9%9.6%8.2%8.9%9.5%7.6%$7,988,565
20237.1%10.7%7.3%7.0%9.0%8.0%7.6%9.0%8.1%8.7%9.4%8.0%$8,721,858
20247.8%18.0%0.0%4.5%8.4%7.8%8.5%8.6%8.3%8.5%10.2%9.5%$9,305,958
20258.2%10.4%7.6%7.2%8.9%8.9%7.8%8.8%7.8%7.7%8.5%8.3%$9,553,309
MEDIAN %7.4%10.5%7.3%6.5%8.9%8.3%8.0%9.3%8.0%8.3%9.4%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

AUSTIN (City)

Pop 961,855 PPA 5.04 %BO 63.1% Levy $1,191,950,517 Levy CAGR +4.6% E-Factor 1.83%
447,438 659,907 872,375 1,084,843 1,297,312 1,509,780 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 497,154 656,562 790,390 961,855 1,033,318 1,099,759 1,160,422 1,214,898 1,263,095 1,305,176 1,341,495 1,372,528 +2.8% +1.9% +2.0% +0.7% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% Population Trend: AUSTIN (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: AUSTIN had a 2020 population of 961,855 across 297.9 square miles, yielding a density of 5.04 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 1,372,528, a gain of 410,673 (+42.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.45% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 63.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), AUSTIN is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 90.0%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): AUSTIN levied $1,191,950,517 in property taxes on a market value base of $345,197,689,809. The taxable value of $249,570,879,151 reflects 27.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4776 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3815 for Maintenance & Operations (79.9%) and $0.0961 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (20.1%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,195 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 4.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.7% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.83% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): AUSTIN collected $356,062,670 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $357 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 29.9% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 10.6% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
AUSTIN
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop497,154656,562790,390961,8551,033,3181,099,7591,160,4221,214,8981,263,0951,305,1761,341,4951,372,528
PPA2.613.444.155.045.425.776.096.376.626.857.047.20
%BO32.6%43.0%51.8%63.1%67.7%72.1%76.1%79.7%82.8%85.6%88.0%90.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%961,855$218,996,791,485$178,038,717,79181.3%$0.4209$0.112621.1%$0.5335$949,836,559$988$237,342,567$24725.0%
20214.7%969,001$239,591,320,408$183,470,841,50776.6%$0.4280$0.113020.9%$0.5410$992,577,253$1,024$278,311,232$28728.0%
20228.0%976,147$312,833,353,075$220,662,475,47770.5%$0.3669$0.095820.7%$0.4627$1,021,005,274$1,046$335,448,823$34432.9%
20234.1%983,293$337,052,429,966$239,277,638,73671.0%$0.3577$0.088119.8%$0.4458$1,066,699,714$1,085$346,506,960$35232.5%
20243.2%990,440$328,759,704,580$237,686,551,57272.3%$0.3815$0.096120.1%$0.4776$1,135,190,969$1,146$354,681,125$35831.2%
2025*2.9%997,586$345,197,689,809$249,570,879,15172.3%$0.3815$0.096120.1%$0.4776$1,191,950,517$1,195$356,062,670$35729.9%
CAGR4.2%0.7%10.7%7.5%-2.3%-1.9%-3.1%-1.0%-2.2%4.6%3.8%10.6%9.8%3.6%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.2%11.0%8.4%7.8%8.5%6.9%7.4%8.8%7.9%7.7%8.9%8.4%$237,342,567
20216.9%9.0%6.6%6.2%9.1%8.1%8.4%9.3%8.7%8.8%10.1%9.0%$278,311,232
20227.7%9.0%7.0%7.0%9.0%8.1%8.3%9.2%8.4%8.6%9.1%8.5%$335,448,823
20238.3%9.5%7.7%7.5%9.0%8.0%8.4%9.1%7.8%8.3%8.4%8.1%$346,506,960
20248.3%9.3%7.3%7.9%9.6%8.2%8.2%8.3%8.1%8.0%8.4%8.5%$354,681,125
20257.8%9.9%7.6%7.0%8.8%8.2%8.2%8.2%8.4%8.0%8.8%9.0%$356,062,670
MEDIAN %8.0%9.4%7.4%7.2%9.0%8.1%8.2%8.9%8.3%8.1%8.8%8.5%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

AUSTIN (County)

Pop 961,855 PPA 5.04 %BO 63.1% Levy $28,843,875 Levy CAGR +7.4% E-Factor 1.65%
447,438 659,907 872,375 1,084,843 1,297,312 1,509,780 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 497,154 656,562 790,390 961,855 1,033,318 1,099,759 1,160,422 1,214,898 1,263,095 1,305,176 1,341,495 1,372,528 +2.8% +1.9% +2.0% +0.7% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% Population Trend: AUSTIN (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: AUSTIN had a 2020 population of 961,855 across 297.9 square miles, yielding a density of 5.04 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 1,372,528, a gain of 410,673 (+42.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.45% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 63.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), AUSTIN is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 90.0%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): AUSTIN levied $28,843,875 in property taxes on a market value base of $11,360,933,535. The taxable value of $5,568,153,340 reflects 51.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5170 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3981 for Maintenance & Operations (92.1%) and $0.0410 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (7.9%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $29 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.4% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.65% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Strategic Outlook: AUSTIN demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
AUSTIN
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop497,154656,562790,390961,8551,033,3181,099,7591,160,4221,214,8981,263,0951,305,1761,341,4951,372,528
PPA2.613.444.155.045.425.776.096.376.626.857.047.20
%BO32.6%43.0%51.8%63.1%67.7%72.1%76.1%79.7%82.8%85.6%88.0%90.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%961,855$6,961,592,737~EstN/A$0.5096$0.060010.5%$0.5696$20,659,403$21
20214.7%969,001$7,022,325,316~EstN/A$0.5096$0.057810.2%$0.5674$21,481,428$22
20228.0%976,147$7,766,753,383~EstN/A$0.5096$0.05249.3%$0.5620$23,473,492$24
20234.1%983,293$9,376,193,848~EstN/A$0.4751$0.04498.6%$0.5200$25,112,348$26
20243.2%990,440$10,819,936,700$5,303,003,18149.0%$0.3981$0.04107.9%$0.5170$27,470,357$28
2025~2.9%997,586$11,360,933,535$5,568,153,34049.0%$0.3981$0.04107.9%$0.5170$28,843,875$29
CAGR4.2%0.7%11.7%-4.8%-7.4%-5.6%-1.9%7.4%6.6%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

AUSTIN COUNTY (City)

Pop 30,167 PPA 0.07 %BO 0.9% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
17,848 27,983 38,117 48,252 58,386 68,521 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 19,832 23,590 28,417 30,167 33,040 36,184 39,624 43,387 47,502 52,000 56,918 62,292 +1.8% +1.9% +0.6% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% Population Trend: AUSTIN COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: AUSTIN COUNTY had a 2020 population of 30,167 across 646.5 square miles, yielding a density of 0.07 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 62,292, a gain of 32,125 (+106.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.91% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), AUSTIN COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 1.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: AUSTIN COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
AUSTIN COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop19,83223,59028,41730,16733,04036,18439,62443,38747,50252,00056,91862,292
PPA0.050.060.070.070.080.090.100.100.110.130.140.15
%BO0.6%0.7%0.9%0.9%1.0%1.1%1.2%1.3%1.4%1.6%1.7%1.9%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.9%10.8%6.6%7.2%8.8%8.1%8.0%9.8%8.6%7.2%9.1%9.0%$1,936,305
20218.4%10.4%4.9%5.4%9.9%8.3%8.2%9.8%9.2%10.0%7.1%8.3%$2,086,294
20228.8%8.8%8.1%7.3%9.6%7.6%12.6%4.8%8.2%8.7%7.5%8.0%$2,240,414
20238.2%4.6%8.1%7.5%10.6%7.7%8.6%10.3%8.0%8.7%9.3%8.4%$2,395,363
20248.4%9.4%6.3%8.0%8.5%7.9%7.9%9.1%8.0%8.7%9.1%8.7%$2,484,847
20257.3%9.4%6.6%6.5%7.8%18.5%6.7%7.5%7.6%7.6%7.3%7.3%$3,260,329
MEDIAN %8.3%9.4%6.6%7.3%9.2%8.0%8.1%9.5%8.1%8.7%8.3%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

AUSTIN MTA (City)

Pop 1,050,187 PPA 4.71 %BO 58.9% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
455,059 719,090 983,120 1,247,151 1,511,181 1,775,211 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 505,622 675,913 836,535 1,050,187 1,149,519 1,242,407 1,327,159 1,402,767 1,468,872 1,525,658 1,573,702 1,613,829 +2.9% +2.2% +2.3% +0.9% +0.8% +0.7% +0.6% +0.5% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: AUSTIN MTA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: AUSTIN MTA had a 2020 population of 1,050,187 across 348.5 square miles, yielding a density of 4.71 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 1,613,829, a gain of 563,642 (+53.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.54% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 58.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), AUSTIN MTA is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 90.4%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Strategic Outlook: Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
AUSTIN MTA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop505,622675,913836,5351,050,1871,149,5191,242,4071,327,1591,402,7671,468,8721,525,6581,573,7021,613,829
PPA2.273.033.754.715.155.575.956.296.596.847.067.24
%BO28.3%37.9%46.9%58.9%64.4%69.6%74.4%78.6%82.3%85.5%88.2%90.4%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.2%10.8%8.4%7.8%8.4%6.9%7.5%8.8%8.0%7.8%9.0%8.4%$261,598,747
20216.9%8.8%6.6%6.2%9.1%8.1%8.4%9.2%8.8%8.7%10.1%9.1%$307,525,671
20227.8%8.9%7.0%7.0%9.3%8.1%8.3%9.1%8.5%8.5%9.0%8.5%$370,391,000
20238.2%9.4%7.7%7.4%9.0%8.0%8.4%9.1%7.9%8.3%8.4%8.1%$382,078,061
20248.2%9.2%7.2%7.9%9.5%8.2%8.2%8.3%8.2%8.0%8.4%8.6%$391,572,329
20257.8%9.9%7.6%6.9%8.7%8.2%8.2%8.3%8.5%8.1%8.8%9.0%$396,064,533
MEDIAN %8.0%9.3%7.4%7.2%9.1%8.1%8.2%8.9%8.3%8.2%8.8%8.5%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

AZLE (City)

Pop 13,369 PPA 2.37 %BO 29.6% Levy $11,778,431 Levy CAGR +11.2% E-Factor 4.16%
8,157 12,742 17,328 21,913 26,498 31,083 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 9,064 9,600 10,947 13,369 15,045 16,821 18,677 20,590 22,533 24,477 26,395 28,258 +0.6% +1.3% +2.0% +1.2% +1.1% +1.1% +1.0% +0.9% +0.8% +0.8% +0.7% Population Trend: AZLE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: AZLE had a 2020 population of 13,369 across 8.8 square miles, yielding a density of 2.37 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 28,258, a gain of 14,889 (+111.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.94% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 29.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), AZLE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 62.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): AZLE levied $11,778,431 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,336,751,264. The taxable value of $1,918,039,644 reflects 17.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6141 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5324 for Maintenance & Operations (86.7%) and $0.0817 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (13.3%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $829 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 11.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 12.9% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.16% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): AZLE collected $4,612,461 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.25% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $325 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 39.2% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.6% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: AZLE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
AZLE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop9,0649,60010,94713,36915,04516,82118,67720,59022,53324,47726,39528,258
PPA1.611.701.942.372.672.983.313.653.994.344.685.01
%BO20.1%21.3%24.2%29.6%33.3%37.2%41.4%45.6%49.9%54.2%58.5%62.6%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%13,369$1,370,776,747$1,115,620,88581.4%$0.5860$0.071210.8%$0.6572$7,331,906$548$3,055,622$22941.7%
20214.7%13,536$1,529,159,934$1,255,408,30282.1%$0.5821$0.06419.9%$0.6461$8,111,808$599$3,340,042$24741.2%
20228.0%13,704$1,740,523,220$1,408,216,74680.9%$0.5695$0.05398.7%$0.6234$8,779,190$641$3,644,193$26641.5%
20234.1%13,871$2,212,464,773$1,719,115,32577.7%$0.5222$0.04678.2%$0.5689$9,779,600$705$4,132,702$29842.3%
20243.2%14,039$2,225,477,394$1,826,704,42382.1%$0.5324$0.081713.3%$0.6141$11,217,553$799$4,402,494$31439.2%
2025*2.9%14,207$2,336,751,264$1,918,039,64482.1%$0.5324$0.081713.3%$0.6141$11,778,431$829$4,612,461$32539.2%
CAGR4.2%1.2%12.9%13.1%0.2%-1.9%2.8%4.2%-1.3%11.2%9.9%9.6%8.2%-1.2%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.1%10.0%6.9%6.4%8.6%8.4%8.5%10.0%9.4%7.7%9.3%7.7%$3,055,622
20217.1%9.5%7.0%6.6%10.6%7.8%8.4%9.5%8.1%7.9%9.5%7.9%$3,340,042
20228.0%9.6%6.9%6.5%9.6%7.9%8.1%9.7%8.2%8.1%9.0%8.5%$3,644,193
20237.7%9.5%6.8%6.9%9.7%7.9%8.8%9.2%8.0%8.2%9.3%7.9%$4,132,702
20247.8%9.4%6.9%7.3%9.0%7.7%7.9%9.0%8.6%8.1%9.4%8.9%$4,402,494
20258.1%12.1%7.2%7.3%8.6%7.8%8.0%8.9%8.2%7.5%8.1%8.3%$4,612,461
MEDIAN %7.8%9.6%7.0%6.8%9.4%7.9%8.3%9.4%8.2%8.0%9.4%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BAILEY (County)

Pop 220 PPA 0.86 %BO 10.7% Levy $3,889,031 Levy CAGR +5.9% E-Factor 0.89%
160 191 223 254 286 317 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 178 213 289 220 220 220 221 221 221 222 222 222 +1.8% +3.1% -2.7% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: BAILEY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BAILEY had a 2020 population of 220 across 0.4 square miles, yielding a density of 0.86 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 222, a gain of 2 (+0.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.01% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 10.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BAILEY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 10.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BAILEY levied $3,889,031 in property taxes on a market value base of $759,579,529. The taxable value of $494,681,413 reflects 34.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7803 per $100 valuation consists of $0.7803 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $17,677 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.9% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 1.5% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.89% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Strategic Outlook: BAILEY demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BAILEY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop178213289220220220221221221222222222
PPA0.700.831.130.860.860.860.860.870.870.870.870.87
%BO8.7%10.4%14.1%10.7%10.8%10.8%10.8%10.8%10.8%10.9%10.9%10.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%220$682,599,141~EstN/A$0.6937$0.080810.4%$0.7745$2,946,327$13,392
20214.7%220$675,300,299~EstN/A$0.7190$0.081010.1%$0.8000$3,061,217$13,915
20228.0%220$693,114,442~EstN/A$0.8122$0.07568.5%$0.8879$3,663,449$16,652
20234.1%220$727,019,941~EstN/A$0.7170$0.06588.4%$0.7828$3,634,574$16,521
20243.2%220$723,409,075$471,125,15565.1%$0.7803N/AN/A$0.7803$3,703,839$16,836
2025~2.9%220$759,579,529$494,681,41365.1%$0.7803N/AN/A$0.7803$3,889,031$17,677
CAGR4.2%1.5%2.4%0.1%5.9%5.9%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

BAILEY COUNTY (City)

Pop 6,904 PPA 0.01 %BO 0.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
5,934 6,323 6,713 7,102 7,492 7,881 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 7,064 6,594 7,165 6,904 6,915 6,927 6,938 6,950 6,961 6,973 6,984 6,996 -0.7% +0.8% -0.4% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: BAILEY COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BAILEY COUNTY had a 2020 population of 6,904 across 827.0 square miles, yielding a density of 0.01 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 6,996, a gain of 92 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BAILEY COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: BAILEY COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BAILEY COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop7,0646,5947,1656,9046,9156,9276,9386,9506,9616,9736,9846,996
PPA0.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.01
%BO0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.6%10.7%7.0%5.6%9.7%8.0%8.3%11.3%7.6%7.3%10.5%7.4%$293,824
20216.6%9.6%6.3%5.9%11.4%9.5%7.8%10.5%7.5%7.2%9.7%8.0%$333,460
20227.6%10.5%6.6%6.4%9.2%8.0%7.3%10.4%8.4%7.9%10.2%7.4%$342,626
20237.4%10.0%7.0%6.2%9.1%6.9%7.3%14.5%7.9%7.4%9.1%7.2%$366,520
20248.1%9.9%6.9%6.9%9.2%7.2%8.3%9.5%8.9%7.5%9.2%8.4%$352,988
20256.8%10.0%6.6%6.6%8.2%8.4%7.6%9.7%9.7%9.0%10.0%7.5%$384,496
MEDIAN %7.2%10.2%6.9%6.4%9.3%8.1%7.8%10.6%8.3%7.6%10.0%7.6%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BALCH SPRINGS (City)

Pop 27,685 PPA 4.83 %BO 60.3% Levy $17,375,342 Levy CAGR +13.6% E-Factor 5.41%
15,755 21,080 26,404 31,729 37,053 42,378 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 17,506 19,375 23,728 27,685 29,350 30,946 32,458 33,877 35,196 36,410 37,520 38,526 +1.0% +2.0% +1.6% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: BALCH SPRINGS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BALCH SPRINGS had a 2020 population of 27,685 across 9.0 square miles, yielding a density of 4.83 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 38,526, a gain of 10,841 (+39.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.41% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 60.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BALCH SPRINGS is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 84.0%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BALCH SPRINGS levied $17,375,342 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,817,675,536. The taxable value of $2,186,598,182 reflects 22.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7946 per $100 valuation consists of $0.7634 for Maintenance & Operations (96.1%) and $0.0312 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (3.9%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $609 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 13.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 15.8% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 5.41% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): BALCH SPRINGS collected $11,643,006 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $408 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 67.0% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.4% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: BALCH SPRINGS demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BALCH SPRINGS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop17,50619,37523,72827,68529,35030,94632,45833,87735,19636,41037,52038,526
PPA3.053.384.144.835.125.405.665.916.146.356.546.72
%BO38.2%42.2%51.7%60.3%64.0%67.5%70.8%73.8%76.7%79.4%81.8%84.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%27,685$1,491,419,530$1,235,648,92482.9%$0.7480$0.05506.9%$0.8030$9,922,261$358$8,640,188$31287.1%
20214.7%27,851$1,647,828,590$1,390,507,09184.4%$0.7469$0.04776.0%$0.7946$11,049,373$397$10,007,601$35990.6%
20228.0%28,018$1,978,805,770$1,675,108,10484.7%$0.7526$0.04205.3%$0.7946$13,310,895$475$11,480,635$41086.2%
20234.1%28,184$2,310,513,450$1,888,805,04381.7%$0.7536$0.04105.2%$0.7946$15,008,993$533$11,984,280$42579.8%
20243.2%28,351$2,683,500,510$2,082,474,45977.6%$0.7634$0.03123.9%$0.7946$16,547,945$584$11,917,669$42072.0%
2025*2.9%28,517$2,817,675,536$2,186,598,18277.6%$0.7634$0.03123.9%$0.7946$17,375,342$609$11,643,006$40867.0%
CAGR4.2%0.6%15.8%13.9%-1.3%0.4%-10.7%-10.5%-0.2%13.6%13.0%8.4%7.7%-5.1%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20209.4%9.4%8.8%6.9%8.4%8.3%3.7%9.3%8.8%8.4%9.8%9.0%$8,640,188
20217.5%8.7%7.6%6.2%10.1%9.3%7.9%9.3%8.6%8.0%9.0%7.8%$10,007,601
20227.4%8.9%7.4%6.6%9.0%8.5%8.3%9.6%8.5%7.9%9.1%8.7%$11,480,635
20238.0%9.2%7.6%7.3%9.1%7.7%8.3%8.6%8.4%8.2%9.5%8.0%$11,984,280
20247.9%8.6%7.0%7.4%8.8%8.0%7.8%9.2%9.0%8.5%9.1%8.6%$11,917,669
20257.6%10.5%7.1%6.8%9.2%8.0%8.1%8.8%7.9%8.0%9.2%8.8%$11,643,006
MEDIAN %7.8%9.0%7.5%6.8%9.0%8.2%8.0%9.2%8.6%8.1%9.1%8.6%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BANDERA (County)

Pop 829 PPA 1.09 %BO 13.6% Levy $22,865,302 Levy CAGR +8.6% E-Factor 3.63%
746 807 868 930 991 1,052 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 891 957 857 829 830 831 833 834 835 837 838 840 +0.7% -1.1% -0.3% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: BANDERA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BANDERA had a 2020 population of 829 across 1.2 square miles, yielding a density of 1.09 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 840, a gain of 11 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 13.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BANDERA has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 13.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BANDERA levied $22,865,302 in property taxes on a market value base of $8,774,472,266. The taxable value of $4,395,412,998 reflects 49.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5195 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5010 for Maintenance & Operations (96.4%) and $0.0185 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (3.6%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $27,582 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 17.5% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.63% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: BANDERA demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BANDERA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop891957857829830831833834835837838840
PPA1.171.261.131.091.091.091.091.101.101.101.101.10
%BO14.6%15.7%14.1%13.6%13.6%13.7%13.7%13.7%13.7%13.7%13.8%13.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%829$4,391,467,607~EstN/A$0.6404$0.03655.4%$0.6769$15,637,614$18,863
20214.7%829$5,171,061,626~EstN/A$0.5980$0.02824.5%$0.6262$16,732,015$20,183
20228.0%829$5,986,167,626~EstN/A$0.5825$0.02704.4%$0.6095$19,475,522$23,493
20234.1%829$8,360,579,009~EstN/A$0.5355$0.02404.3%$0.5595$21,849,587$26,357
20243.2%829$8,356,640,253$4,186,107,61750.1%$0.5010$0.01853.6%$0.5195$21,776,478$26,268
2025~2.9%829$8,774,472,266$4,395,412,99850.1%$0.5010$0.01853.6%$0.5195$22,865,302$27,582
CAGR4.2%17.5%-4.8%-12.7%-8.0%-5.2%8.6%8.6%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

BANDERA COUNTY (City)

Pop 20,851 PPA 0.04 %BO 0.5% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
9,505 17,898 26,290 34,683 43,075 51,467 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 10,562 17,645 20,485 20,851 23,073 25,531 28,249 31,254 34,576 38,248 42,306 46,789 +5.3% +1.5% +0.2% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% Population Trend: BANDERA COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BANDERA COUNTY had a 2020 population of 20,851 across 791.0 square miles, yielding a density of 0.04 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 46,789, a gain of 25,938 (+124.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.02% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BANDERA COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 1.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: BANDERA COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BANDERA COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop10,56217,64520,48520,85123,07325,53128,24931,25434,57638,24842,30646,789
PPA0.020.030.040.040.050.050.060.060.070.080.080.09
%BO0.3%0.4%0.5%0.5%0.6%0.6%0.7%0.8%0.9%0.9%1.0%1.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.7%9.6%7.1%6.6%8.6%8.5%8.8%9.3%8.7%7.8%8.8%8.5%$899,561
20217.6%8.9%6.9%6.6%9.6%8.6%8.3%9.6%8.3%8.0%9.2%8.5%$1,015,262
20228.3%9.1%7.5%7.1%9.6%7.9%8.3%9.5%8.3%7.9%8.3%8.3%$1,161,151
20238.4%9.4%7.9%7.5%8.9%8.1%8.5%8.9%8.4%8.0%8.3%7.7%$1,185,835
20248.7%9.2%7.4%7.6%9.2%8.5%8.1%8.5%8.5%7.6%8.1%8.5%$1,197,176
20257.3%9.9%7.4%11.3%9.2%8.2%7.6%8.1%8.2%7.1%8.1%7.7%$1,353,649
MEDIAN %8.0%9.3%7.4%7.3%9.2%8.3%8.3%9.1%8.4%7.9%8.3%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BASTROP (City)

Pop 9,688 PPA 1.68 %BO 21.0% Levy $9,984,958 Levy CAGR +9.8% E-Factor 3.10%
3,735 10,425 17,115 23,805 30,496 37,186 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 4,150 5,340 7,218 9,688 12,099 14,867 17,939 21,219 24,579 27,879 30,989 33,806 +2.6% +3.1% +3.0% +2.2% +2.1% +1.9% +1.7% +1.5% +1.3% +1.1% +0.9% Population Trend: BASTROP (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BASTROP had a 2020 population of 9,688 across 9.0 square miles, yielding a density of 1.68 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 33,806, a gain of 24,118 (+248.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.57% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 21.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BASTROP has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 73.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BASTROP levied $9,984,958 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,465,334,216. The taxable value of $1,999,391,014 reflects 18.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4994 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3032 for Maintenance & Operations (60.7%) and $0.1962 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (39.3%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $917 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 9.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.2% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.10% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): BASTROP collected $13,026,146 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $1,196 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 130.5% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 11.2% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: BASTROP demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BASTROP
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop4,1505,3407,2189,68812,09914,86717,93921,21924,57927,87930,98933,806
PPA0.720.931.251.682.102.583.113.684.264.835.375.86
%BO9.0%11.6%15.6%21.0%26.2%32.2%38.9%46.0%53.3%60.4%67.2%73.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%9,688$1,382,637,635$1,130,779,77081.8%$0.3845$0.194933.6%$0.5794$6,551,738$676$8,206,875$847125.3%
20214.7%9,929$1,543,658,588$1,253,449,73781.2%$0.3740$0.205435.5%$0.5794$7,262,488$731$9,987,649$1,006137.5%
20228.0%10,170$2,086,139,967$1,601,238,80376.8%$0.3166$0.196238.3%$0.5128$8,211,153$807$11,329,866$1,114138.0%
20234.1%10,411$2,328,508,347$1,827,955,10278.5%$0.3032$0.196239.3%$0.4994$9,128,808$877$12,210,253$1,173133.8%
20243.2%10,652$2,347,937,349$1,904,181,91881.1%$0.3032$0.196239.3%$0.4994$9,509,484$893$12,569,892$1,180132.2%
2025*2.9%10,893$2,465,334,216$1,999,391,01481.1%$0.3032$0.196239.3%$0.4994$9,984,958$917$13,026,146$1,196130.5%
CAGR4.2%2.4%14.2%13.9%-0.2%-4.6%0.1%3.2%-2.9%9.8%7.2%11.2%8.6%0.8%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.9%10.2%6.6%6.9%8.1%7.0%8.5%10.0%8.4%8.3%9.3%8.8%$8,206,875
20217.1%9.1%6.9%6.0%9.7%8.5%8.3%9.4%8.7%8.3%9.6%8.4%$9,987,649
20228.2%9.4%7.0%6.8%8.8%8.5%8.5%9.2%8.4%8.4%8.5%8.3%$11,329,866
20238.0%9.6%7.4%7.6%8.9%7.4%8.8%9.5%7.9%8.7%8.4%7.8%$12,210,253
20248.2%9.5%7.3%8.1%8.3%8.7%8.2%8.4%9.7%7.4%7.8%8.3%$12,569,892
20258.3%12.0%7.5%6.7%8.2%8.4%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.1%8.0%8.4%$13,026,146
MEDIAN %8.1%9.6%7.1%6.9%8.6%8.5%8.4%9.3%8.5%8.3%8.4%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BASTROP (County)

Pop 9,688 PPA 1.68 %BO 21.0% Levy $64,238,576 Levy CAGR +8.8% E-Factor 1.38%
3,735 10,425 17,115 23,805 30,496 37,186 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 4,150 5,340 7,218 9,688 12,099 14,867 17,939 21,219 24,579 27,879 30,989 33,806 +2.6% +3.1% +3.0% +2.2% +2.1% +1.9% +1.7% +1.5% +1.3% +1.1% +0.9% Population Trend: BASTROP (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BASTROP had a 2020 population of 9,688 across 9.0 square miles, yielding a density of 1.68 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 33,806, a gain of 24,118 (+248.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.57% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 21.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BASTROP has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 73.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BASTROP levied $64,238,576 in property taxes on a market value base of $26,683,582,258. The taxable value of $16,084,811,587 reflects 39.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3985 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3539 for Maintenance & Operations (88.8%) and $0.0446 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (11.2%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $5,897 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 22.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.38% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Strategic Outlook: BASTROP demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BASTROP
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop4,1505,3407,2189,68812,09914,86717,93921,21924,57927,87930,98933,806
PPA0.720.931.251.682.102.583.113.684.264.835.375.86
%BO9.0%11.6%15.6%21.0%26.2%32.2%38.9%46.0%53.3%60.4%67.2%73.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%9,688$11,472,929,435~EstN/A$0.4857$0.074213.3%$0.5599$43,694,044$4,510
20214.7%9,929$13,579,995,524~EstN/A$0.4625$0.059511.4%$0.5220$47,147,238$4,748
20228.0%10,170$22,506,735,781~EstN/A$0.2832$0.462062.0%$0.7452$92,766,943$9,122
20234.1%10,411$24,084,973,254~EstN/A$0.3525$0.041010.4%$0.3935$55,802,759$5,360
20243.2%10,652$25,412,935,484$15,318,868,17860.3%$0.3539$0.044611.2%$0.3985$61,179,596$5,743
2025~2.9%10,893$26,683,582,258$16,084,811,58760.3%$0.3539$0.044611.2%$0.3985$64,238,576$5,897
CAGR4.2%2.4%22.0%-6.1%-9.7%-3.3%-6.6%8.8%6.2%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

BASTROP COUNTY (City)

Pop 97,216 PPA 0.17 %BO 2.1% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
34,436 205,969 377,502 549,034 720,567 892,100 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 38,263 57,733 74,171 97,216 128,592 169,716 223,335 292,778 381,934 495,123 636,797 811,000 +4.2% +2.5% +2.7% +2.8% +2.8% +2.8% +2.7% +2.7% +2.6% +2.5% +2.4% Population Trend: BASTROP COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BASTROP COUNTY had a 2020 population of 97,216 across 888.2 square miles, yielding a density of 0.17 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 811,000, a gain of 713,784 (+734.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.69% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 2.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BASTROP COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 17.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: BASTROP COUNTY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BASTROP COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop38,26357,73374,17197,216128,592169,716223,335292,778381,934495,123636,797811,000
PPA0.070.100.130.170.230.300.390.520.670.871.121.43
%BO0.8%1.3%1.6%2.1%2.8%3.7%4.9%6.4%8.4%10.9%14.0%17.8%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%9.9%7.6%7.0%8.2%7.6%8.5%10.3%8.0%8.1%9.1%8.3%$5,368,172
20216.9%8.8%6.7%6.0%9.5%8.4%8.3%9.7%8.6%8.6%10.1%8.6%$6,503,945
20227.9%8.9%6.4%6.4%9.2%8.1%8.2%11.8%8.0%8.1%8.8%8.1%$7,837,387
20237.9%9.6%7.2%7.2%9.2%7.9%8.6%9.4%8.0%8.6%8.4%8.0%$8,313,038
20248.1%9.1%7.0%7.7%8.8%8.5%8.1%8.8%8.7%7.8%8.7%8.7%$8,860,731
20258.0%10.9%7.2%6.5%8.5%7.7%8.8%8.7%9.9%7.6%8.0%8.4%$9,644,172
MEDIAN %8.0%9.4%7.1%6.8%9.0%8.0%8.4%9.6%8.3%8.1%8.8%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BAY CITY (City)

Pop 18,061 PPA 3.18 %BO 39.8% Levy $7,436,784 Levy CAGR +4.8% E-Factor 0.00%
15,852 16,844 17,835 18,826 19,818 20,809 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 18,790 18,667 17,614 18,061 18,167 18,274 18,381 18,488 18,595 18,703 18,810 18,918 -0.1% -0.6% +0.3% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: BAY CITY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BAY CITY had a 2020 population of 18,061 across 8.9 square miles, yielding a density of 3.18 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 18,918, a gain of 857 (+4.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.06% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 39.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BAY CITY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 41.7%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BAY CITY levied $7,436,784 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,609,436,307. The taxable value of $1,306,624,510 reflects 18.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5692 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4345 for Maintenance & Operations (76.3%) and $0.1347 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (23.7%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $411 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 4.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.1% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): BAY CITY collected $7,538,875 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $416 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 101.4% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 2.8% CAGR, reflecting stable retail environment.
Strategic Outlook: BAY CITY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BAY CITY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop18,79018,66717,61418,06118,16718,27418,38118,48818,59518,70318,81018,918
PPA3.313.293.103.183.203.223.243.263.283.293.313.33
%BO41.4%41.1%38.8%39.8%40.0%40.2%40.5%40.7%40.9%41.2%41.4%41.7%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%18,061$1,043,363,371$897,701,77886.0%$0.4821$0.172926.4%$0.6550$5,879,947$326$6,693,092$371113.8%
20214.7%18,071$1,149,869,873$968,851,55384.3%$0.4714$0.163625.8%$0.6350$6,152,207$340$6,583,467$364107.0%
20228.0%18,082$1,243,317,025$1,031,765,07683.0%$0.4808$0.154224.3%$0.6350$6,551,708$362$6,835,803$378104.3%
20234.1%18,092$1,439,370,360$1,171,483,61781.4%$0.4345$0.135423.8%$0.5699$6,676,871$369$7,360,450$407110.2%
20243.2%18,103$1,532,796,483$1,244,404,29581.2%$0.4345$0.134723.7%$0.5692$7,082,651$391$7,484,991$413105.7%
2025*2.9%18,114$1,609,436,307$1,306,624,51081.2%$0.4345$0.134723.7%$0.5692$7,436,784$411$7,538,875$416101.4%
CAGR4.2%0.1%10.1%8.5%-1.2%-2.1%-4.9%-2.2%-2.8%4.8%4.7%2.8%2.8%-2.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.1%9.1%7.1%6.8%8.8%8.5%8.9%9.7%9.6%7.9%8.5%8.0%$6,693,092
20217.2%7.2%7.2%7.3%11.2%9.1%8.2%9.6%8.3%8.1%9.5%7.3%$6,583,467
20228.1%9.3%7.2%7.2%9.4%7.8%8.3%9.5%8.1%8.0%8.9%8.2%$6,835,803
20237.2%10.0%8.0%7.2%9.1%7.5%8.5%9.5%8.1%8.3%8.4%8.2%$7,360,450
20247.3%9.5%7.1%7.9%9.2%8.1%7.7%8.5%8.4%7.9%9.0%9.3%$7,484,991
20257.8%10.4%7.6%7.0%9.6%8.0%7.4%8.9%8.0%8.2%8.6%8.4%$7,538,875
MEDIAN %7.3%9.4%7.2%7.2%9.4%8.1%8.3%9.6%8.3%8.1%8.8%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BAYLOR (County)

Pop 0 PPA 0.00 %BO 0.0% Levy $2,083,932 Levy CAGR +3.7% E-Factor 0.00%
Property Tax Overview (2025): BAYLOR levied $2,083,932 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,863,576,498. The taxable value of $465,340,700 reflects 75.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4452 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3770 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 3.7% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.5% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Strategic Outlook: See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BAYLOR
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%N/A$1,148,838,793~EstN/A$0.5788N/AN/A$0.5788$1,715,973N/A
20214.7%N/A$1,138,756,024~EstN/A$0.4793$0.087315.4%$0.5667$1,763,276N/A
20228.0%N/A$1,284,354,603~EstN/A$0.4538$0.079915.0%$0.5337$1,806,819N/A
20234.1%N/A$1,485,647,160~EstN/A$0.3774$0.065614.8%$0.4430$1,878,848N/A
20243.2%N/A$1,774,834,760$443,181,61925.0%$0.3770N/AN/A$0.4452$1,984,697N/A
2025~2.9%N/A$1,863,576,498$465,340,70025.0%$0.3770N/AN/A$0.4452$2,083,932N/A
CAGR4.2%11.5%-8.2%-5.1%3.7%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

BAYTOWN (City)

Pop 83,701 PPA 3.69 %BO 46.1% Levy $50,435,727 Levy CAGR +5.5% E-Factor 1.19%
58,149 74,581 91,013 107,445 123,878 140,310 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 64,610 66,430 71,802 83,701 89,447 95,205 100,929 106,572 112,093 117,453 122,616 127,555 +0.3% +0.8% +1.5% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% Population Trend: BAYTOWN (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BAYTOWN had a 2020 population of 83,701 across 35.4 square miles, yielding a density of 3.69 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 127,555, a gain of 43,854 (+52.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.53% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 46.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BAYTOWN has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 70.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BAYTOWN levied $50,435,727 in property taxes on a market value base of $9,976,582,650. The taxable value of $7,200,783,591 reflects 27.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7004 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4369 for Maintenance & Operations (62.4%) and $0.2635 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (37.6%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $583 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 8.1% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.19% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): BAYTOWN collected $28,748,614 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.25% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $332 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 57.0% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.2% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: BAYTOWN demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BAYTOWN
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop64,61066,43071,80283,70189,44795,205100,929106,572112,093117,453122,616127,555
PPA2.852.933.173.693.944.204.454.704.945.185.415.62
%BO35.6%36.6%39.6%46.1%49.3%52.5%55.6%58.7%61.8%64.7%67.6%70.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%83,701$6,946,715,830$4,868,756,28870.1%$0.4840$0.311139.1%$0.7952$38,713,916$463$20,412,284$24452.7%
20214.7%84,275$7,309,145,491$5,195,751,23971.1%$0.4893$0.295737.7%$0.7850$40,786,647$484$24,240,871$28859.4%
20228.0%84,850$8,603,409,618$6,003,997,15169.8%$0.4631$0.286938.3%$0.7500$45,029,979$531$26,213,866$30958.2%
20234.1%85,424$9,185,420,602$6,774,772,70573.8%$0.4591$0.261036.2%$0.7200$48,778,363$571$27,362,160$32056.1%
20243.2%85,999$9,501,507,286$6,857,889,13472.2%$0.4369$0.263537.6%$0.7004$48,034,026$559$27,984,244$32558.3%
2025*2.9%86,574$9,976,582,650$7,200,783,59172.2%$0.4369$0.263537.6%$0.7004$50,435,727$583$28,748,614$33257.0%
CAGR4.2%0.7%8.1%8.9%0.6%-2.0%-3.3%-0.8%-2.5%5.5%4.8%8.2%7.5%1.6%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.1%11.1%6.0%7.4%8.8%8.0%8.1%9.7%7.7%7.6%9.4%8.0%$20,412,284
20216.9%11.8%6.6%5.9%9.7%7.9%7.7%9.5%9.6%7.8%8.7%8.0%$24,240,871
20228.4%9.8%6.5%6.8%9.5%7.6%8.7%8.7%8.6%8.2%8.9%8.4%$26,213,866
20237.9%9.8%7.5%7.7%10.1%7.3%8.3%10.0%8.1%8.1%7.4%7.8%$27,362,160
20248.0%8.7%6.8%7.8%8.3%8.4%8.0%8.5%8.2%8.8%9.2%9.3%$27,984,244
20257.6%12.9%7.2%5.6%8.6%7.7%8.3%8.1%9.6%7.6%8.1%8.6%$28,748,614
MEDIAN %8.0%10.5%6.7%7.1%9.1%7.8%8.2%9.1%8.4%8.0%8.8%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BEAUMONT (City)

Pop 115,282 PPA 2.18 %BO 27.2% Levy $76,060,912 Levy CAGR +6.7% E-Factor 0.86%
102,479 108,008 113,537 119,067 124,596 130,125 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 114,387 113,866 118,296 115,282 115,474 115,666 115,859 116,052 116,246 116,440 116,634 116,828 -0.0% +0.4% -0.3% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: BEAUMONT (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BEAUMONT had a 2020 population of 115,282 across 82.8 square miles, yielding a density of 2.18 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 116,828, a gain of 1,546 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 27.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BEAUMONT has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 27.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BEAUMONT levied $76,060,912 in property taxes on a market value base of $14,125,448,413. The taxable value of $11,530,268,219 reflects 18.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6597 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4876 for Maintenance & Operations (73.9%) and $0.1720 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (26.1%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $659 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.7% CAGR lagged market value growth of 8.9% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.86% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): BEAUMONT collected $55,693,019 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $483 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 73.2% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 5.1% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: BEAUMONT demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BEAUMONT
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop114,387113,866118,296115,282115,474115,666115,859116,052116,246116,440116,634116,828
PPA2.162.152.232.182.182.182.192.192.192.202.202.20
%BO27.0%26.9%27.9%27.2%27.2%27.3%27.3%27.4%27.4%27.5%27.5%27.6%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%115,282$9,581,811,948$7,880,550,51882.2%$0.5068$0.203228.6%$0.7100$55,951,909$485$42,654,694$37076.2%
20214.7%115,301$10,878,147,239$8,847,531,70381.3%$0.5124$0.192527.3%$0.7050$62,375,099$541$45,185,215$39272.4%
20228.0%115,320$11,592,006,663$9,547,664,33182.4%$0.5146$0.180426.0%$0.6950$66,356,267$575$51,518,689$44777.6%
20234.1%115,339$12,757,594,450$10,517,776,87582.4%$0.4915$0.190027.9%$0.6815$71,677,072$621$50,244,485$43670.1%
20243.2%115,358$13,452,808,012$10,981,207,82881.6%$0.4876$0.172026.1%$0.6597$72,438,964$628$52,008,010$45171.8%
2025*2.9%115,378$14,125,448,413$11,530,268,21981.6%$0.4876$0.172026.1%$0.6597$76,060,912$659$55,693,019$48373.2%
CAGR4.2%0.0%8.9%8.6%-0.2%-0.8%-3.3%-1.8%-1.5%6.7%6.7%5.1%5.1%-0.8%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.2%11.4%8.0%7.0%8.9%7.0%7.6%9.6%7.5%6.6%10.2%8.0%$42,654,694
20217.1%9.4%7.2%5.7%10.7%8.1%7.6%9.9%7.8%7.8%10.7%8.1%$45,185,215
20227.5%10.9%9.4%6.7%9.4%7.1%7.3%9.0%7.2%9.2%9.2%7.1%$51,518,689
20237.8%10.6%7.5%7.4%10.0%7.2%7.8%9.3%7.6%7.9%9.2%7.7%$50,244,485
20247.5%9.2%7.1%7.0%9.7%8.4%8.0%9.5%8.2%8.4%8.9%8.0%$52,008,010
20258.1%9.1%7.7%7.4%9.6%8.0%7.7%8.9%8.0%8.1%9.2%8.2%$55,693,019
MEDIAN %7.7%10.1%7.6%7.0%9.7%7.6%7.7%9.4%7.8%8.1%9.2%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BEDFORD (City)

Pop 49,928 PPA 7.79 %BO 97.4% Levy $35,031,686 Levy CAGR +4.2% E-Factor 1.25%
39,579 42,794 46,010 49,225 52,441 55,656 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 43,977 47,152 46,979 49,928 50,011 50,094 50,178 50,261 50,345 50,429 50,513 50,597 +0.7% -0.0% +0.6% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: BEDFORD (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BEDFORD had a 2020 population of 49,928 across 10.0 square miles, yielding a density of 7.79 persons per acre (PPA). This high density suggests an urbanized area with limited greenfield expansion potential. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 50,597, a gain of 669 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 97.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BEDFORD is approaching full build-out. By 2100, build-out is projected at 98.7%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BEDFORD levied $35,031,686 in property taxes on a market value base of $8,196,738,453. The taxable value of $7,066,743,660 reflects 13.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4957 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3579 for Maintenance & Operations (72.2%) and $0.1379 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (27.8%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $701 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 4.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 8.3% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.25% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): BEDFORD collected $16,529,764 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $331 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 47.2% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.4% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: BEDFORD demonstrates limited greenfield options. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BEDFORD
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop43,97747,15246,97949,92850,01150,09450,17850,26150,34550,42950,51350,597
PPA6.867.367.337.797.817.827.837.857.867.877.887.90
%BO85.8%92.0%91.7%97.4%97.6%97.7%97.9%98.1%98.2%98.4%98.6%98.7%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%49,928$5,684,086,547$4,977,059,09387.6%$0.3846$0.184432.4%$0.5690$28,319,466$567$11,928,529$23942.1%
20214.7%49,936$5,914,707,966$5,191,512,66587.8%$0.3870$0.165029.9%$0.5520$28,657,150$574$13,662,562$27447.7%
20228.0%49,944$6,722,735,667$5,789,010,82286.1%$0.3675$0.128225.9%$0.4957$28,697,632$575$15,385,352$30853.6%
20234.1%49,952$7,658,909,772$6,404,454,80483.6%$0.3518$0.143929.0%$0.4957$31,748,548$636$15,918,683$31950.1%
20243.2%49,961$7,806,417,574$6,730,232,05786.2%$0.3579$0.137927.8%$0.4957$33,363,510$668$16,443,396$32949.3%
2025*2.9%49,969$8,196,738,453$7,066,743,66086.2%$0.3579$0.137927.8%$0.4957$35,031,686$701$16,529,764$33147.2%
CAGR4.2%0.0%8.3%7.8%-0.3%-1.4%-5.6%-3.0%-2.7%4.2%4.2%8.4%8.3%2.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.4%10.3%7.8%6.9%8.9%7.1%7.7%10.0%7.9%8.2%10.0%7.9%$11,928,529
20217.0%9.5%6.8%6.1%10.4%7.7%7.7%9.8%8.1%8.1%10.5%8.4%$13,662,562
20227.7%9.8%7.3%6.5%10.6%7.4%7.6%9.4%8.2%8.3%9.3%7.9%$15,385,352
20237.5%10.6%7.3%7.2%9.4%7.4%8.0%9.0%7.8%8.9%9.1%7.7%$15,918,683
20247.5%10.1%7.1%7.8%9.1%7.5%8.0%8.6%8.7%8.9%8.7%8.1%$16,443,396
20257.1%11.0%7.6%7.0%9.3%5.1%10.6%8.8%8.1%8.0%8.6%8.7%$16,529,764
MEDIAN %7.5%10.3%7.4%7.0%9.4%7.5%7.9%9.3%8.2%8.3%9.3%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BEE (County)

Pop 0 PPA 0.00 %BO 0.0% Levy $16,753,108 Levy CAGR +5.2% E-Factor 0.17%
Property Tax Overview (2025): BEE levied $16,753,108 in property taxes on a market value base of $5,871,252,297. The taxable value of $3,436,333,695 reflects 41.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4865 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4226 for Maintenance & Operations (86.9%) and $0.0639 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (13.1%). Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.9% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.17% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Strategic Outlook: BEE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BEE
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%N/A$3,564,090,581~EstN/A$0.5794$0.116016.7%$0.6954$13,042,106N/A
20214.7%N/A$3,567,624,144~EstN/A$0.6160$0.113015.5%$0.7290$13,761,252N/A
20228.0%N/A$4,283,469,270~EstN/A$0.5084$0.084014.2%$0.5924$14,858,644N/A
20234.1%N/A$5,062,215,086~EstN/A$0.4224$0.066813.7%$0.4891$15,343,394N/A
20243.2%N/A$5,591,668,854$3,272,698,75758.5%$0.4226$0.063913.1%$0.4865$15,955,341N/A
2025~2.9%N/A$5,871,252,297$3,436,333,69558.5%$0.4226$0.063913.1%$0.4865$16,753,108N/A
CAGR4.2%11.9%-6.1%-11.3%-4.7%-6.9%5.2%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

BEE CAVE (City)

Pop 9,144 PPA 2.77 %BO 34.6% Levy $679,512 Levy CAGR +6.8% E-Factor 0.00%
215 5,984 11,753 17,522 23,291 29,060 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 239 656 3,925 9,144 15,714 21,266 24,340 25,651 26,145 26,322 26,386 26,419 +10.6% +19.6% +8.8% +5.6% +3.1% +1.4% +0.5% +0.2% +0.1% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: BEE CAVE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BEE CAVE had a 2020 population of 9,144 across 5.2 square miles, yielding a density of 2.77 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 26,419, a gain of 17,275 (+188.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.34% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 34.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BEE CAVE has substantial development capacity remaining. Projections show reaching theoretical capacity (100% build-out) before 2100, suggesting eventual need for annexation, densification, or growth boundary adjustments.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BEE CAVE levied $679,512 in property taxes on a market value base of $4,438,921,660. The taxable value of $3,397,560,491 reflects 23.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.0200 per $100 valuation consists of $0.0111 for Maintenance & Operations (55.4%) and $0.0089 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (44.6%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $55 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 9.8% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): BEE CAVE collected $15,424,908 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $1,241 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 2270.0% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.9% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: BEE CAVE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Long-term projections indicate eventual capacity constraints requiring proactive planning for annexation, vertical development, or managed growth boundaries. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BEE CAVE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop2396563,9259,14415,71421,26624,34025,65126,14526,32226,38626,419
PPA0.070.201.192.774.766.447.377.777.927.977.998.00
%BO0.9%2.5%14.9%34.6%59.5%80.5%92.1%97.1%99.0%99.6%99.9%100.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%9,144$2,912,715,889$2,486,931,34685.4%N/A$0.0200100.0%$0.0200$497,386$54$10,743,345$1,1752160.0%
20214.7%9,801$3,148,368,811$2,597,540,17082.5%$0.0200N/AN/A$0.0200$519,508$53$13,212,944$1,3482543.4%
20228.0%10,458$4,100,961,600$3,016,796,73273.6%$0.0200N/AN/A$0.0200$603,359$58$14,187,169$1,3572351.4%
20234.1%11,115$4,357,241,946$3,260,059,53474.8%N/A$0.0200100.0%$0.0200$652,012$59$14,069,556$1,2662157.9%
20243.2%11,772$4,227,544,438$3,235,771,89676.5%$0.0111$0.008944.6%$0.0200$647,154$55$14,034,974$1,1922168.7%
2025*2.9%12,429$4,438,921,660$3,397,560,49176.5%$0.0111$0.008944.6%$0.0200$679,512$55$15,424,908$1,2412270.0%
CAGR4.2%6.3%9.8%6.8%-2.2%-14.9%-14.9%6.8%0.3%6.9%0.4%1.0%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20209.0%11.6%7.2%6.8%7.6%6.3%7.4%9.2%8.5%8.3%9.4%8.6%$10,743,345
20217.8%10.1%6.7%6.0%9.1%7.8%8.8%9.5%8.5%8.2%9.5%8.1%$13,212,944
20228.3%10.5%7.2%6.9%9.0%8.4%8.6%9.0%7.9%8.0%8.1%8.1%$14,187,169
20238.3%11.0%7.3%7.3%8.9%7.7%8.7%9.2%8.0%8.3%7.8%7.6%$14,069,556
20248.5%10.3%7.3%7.5%8.7%7.8%8.3%8.7%8.6%7.6%8.3%8.3%$14,034,974
20257.6%11.3%7.3%6.3%8.1%7.7%8.2%8.8%11.6%7.4%7.8%7.8%$15,424,908
MEDIAN %8.3%10.7%7.2%6.9%8.8%7.8%8.4%9.1%8.5%8.1%8.2%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BEE COUNTY (City)

Pop 31,047 PPA 0.06 %BO 0.7% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
22,621 25,655 28,689 31,722 34,756 37,790 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 25,135 32,359 31,861 31,047 31,442 31,843 32,248 32,659 33,075 33,496 33,923 34,355 +2.6% -0.2% -0.3% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: BEE COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BEE COUNTY had a 2020 population of 31,047 across 880.2 square miles, yielding a density of 0.06 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 34,355, a gain of 3,308 (+10.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.13% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BEE COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: BEE COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BEE COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop25,13532,35931,86131,04731,44231,84332,24832,65933,07533,49633,92334,355
PPA0.040.060.060.060.060.060.060.060.060.060.060.06
%BO0.6%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.8%0.8%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%11.1%6.1%7.9%8.7%9.3%8.6%9.0%7.7%7.6%8.6%8.0%$1,533,113
20216.5%7.6%6.9%5.3%8.7%7.4%7.5%10.3%8.1%10.3%10.7%10.7%$1,900,693
20227.6%7.9%7.3%7.7%8.3%7.3%9.2%8.3%9.5%9.5%8.6%8.8%$2,586,543
202311.1%11.0%9.5%9.4%7.6%5.9%7.4%7.9%6.9%7.6%7.8%7.9%$2,306,463
20249.1%8.8%8.4%9.8%8.0%7.4%7.9%8.1%8.5%8.0%7.6%8.3%$2,234,979
20258.0%11.1%6.6%7.8%8.0%7.8%7.7%10.2%7.6%7.2%9.8%8.2%$2,174,067
MEDIAN %8.0%10.2%7.3%8.1%8.4%7.6%8.0%8.9%8.1%8.1%8.8%8.5%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BEEVILLE (City)

Pop 13,669 PPA 3.46 %BO 43.2% Levy $5,150,901 Levy CAGR +8.0% E-Factor 1.74%
11,576 12,787 13,997 15,207 16,418 17,628 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 13,575 13,129 12,863 13,669 13,960 14,253 14,547 14,842 15,137 15,433 15,729 16,026 -0.3% -0.2% +0.6% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: BEEVILLE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BEEVILLE had a 2020 population of 13,669 across 6.2 square miles, yielding a density of 3.46 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 16,026, a gain of 2,357 (+17.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.20% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 43.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BEEVILLE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 50.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BEEVILLE levied $5,150,901 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,046,093,667. The taxable value of $817,603,456 reflects 21.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6300 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4661 for Maintenance & Operations (74.0%) and $0.1639 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (26.0%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $373 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.0% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.74% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): BEEVILLE collected $4,313,678 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $312 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 83.7% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 5.9% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: BEEVILLE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BEEVILLE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop13,57513,12912,86313,66913,96014,25314,54714,84215,13715,43315,72916,026
PPA3.433.323.253.463.533.603.683.753.833.903.984.05
%BO42.9%41.5%40.7%43.2%44.1%45.0%46.0%46.9%47.8%48.8%49.7%50.6%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%13,669$681,244,821$543,690,37179.8%$0.4412$0.222633.5%$0.6638$3,609,125$264$3,605,444$26499.9%
20214.7%13,698$680,976,441$543,365,28179.8%$0.4294$0.234435.3%$0.6638$3,606,967$263$3,785,579$276105.0%
20228.0%13,727$872,028,463$696,641,02379.9%$0.4081$0.135224.9%$0.5433$3,784,781$276$4,189,005$305110.7%
20234.1%13,756$964,951,546$763,402,38779.1%$0.4187$0.190531.3%$0.6092$4,651,029$338$4,350,654$31693.5%
20243.2%13,785$996,279,683$778,669,95878.2%$0.4661$0.163926.0%$0.6300$4,905,620$356$4,538,246$32992.5%
2025*2.9%13,814$1,046,093,667$817,603,45678.2%$0.4661$0.163926.0%$0.6300$5,150,901$373$4,313,678$31283.7%
CAGR4.2%0.2%10.0%9.4%-0.4%1.1%-5.9%-4.9%-1.0%8.0%7.7%5.9%5.7%-3.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.8%11.0%5.7%8.0%8.8%8.8%8.7%9.1%7.6%7.7%8.6%7.3%$3,605,444
20217.2%9.7%7.8%6.7%10.4%8.2%7.9%9.2%7.7%7.9%9.2%7.9%$3,785,579
20227.4%10.0%7.0%7.6%9.4%7.5%9.6%8.7%8.4%7.8%8.3%8.3%$4,189,005
20237.9%9.9%7.1%8.1%9.5%7.4%7.8%8.5%7.6%8.1%9.4%8.9%$4,350,654
20248.0%9.7%8.3%9.2%8.6%7.4%8.2%8.4%7.9%7.5%8.0%8.9%$4,538,246
20258.6%11.2%7.4%7.2%9.3%8.4%8.3%7.9%7.7%7.2%8.2%8.6%$4,313,678
MEDIAN %8.0%10.0%7.3%7.8%9.4%7.9%8.3%8.7%7.8%7.8%8.5%8.5%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BELL (County)

Pop 0 PPA 0.00 %BO 0.0% Levy $137,408,751 Levy CAGR +8.3% E-Factor 3.27%
Property Tax Overview (2025): BELL levied $137,408,751 in property taxes on a market value base of $57,987,727,924. The taxable value of $45,464,989,478 reflects 21.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3445 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2782 for Maintenance & Operations (86.8%) and $0.0455 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (13.2%). Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.3% CAGR lagged market value growth of 16.3% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.27% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: BELL demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BELL
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%N/A$30,136,088,721~EstN/A$0.3532$0.072117.0%$0.4253$95,237,590N/A
20214.7%N/A$33,660,173,364~EstN/A$0.3222$0.072118.3%$0.3943$97,083,139N/A
20228.0%N/A$42,382,261,852~EstN/A$0.2765$0.062818.5%$0.3393$101,345,421N/A
20234.1%N/A$51,345,143,494~EstN/A$0.2634$0.049115.7%$0.3125$110,513,609N/A
20243.2%N/A$55,226,407,547$43,299,989,97978.4%$0.2782$0.045513.2%$0.3445$130,865,477N/A
2025~2.9%N/A$57,987,727,924$45,464,989,47878.4%$0.2782$0.045513.2%$0.3445$137,408,751N/A
CAGR4.2%16.3%-4.7%-8.8%-4.9%-4.1%8.3%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

BELL COUNTY (City)

Pop 370,647 PPA 0.55 %BO 6.9% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
171,979 446,744 721,509 996,274 1,271,039 1,545,804 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 191,088 237,974 310,235 370,647 443,993 530,335 631,348 748,667 883,778 1,037,873 1,211,678 1,405,277 +2.2% +2.7% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% +1.7% +1.7% +1.6% +1.6% +1.5% Population Trend: BELL COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BELL COUNTY had a 2020 population of 370,647 across 1053.8 square miles, yielding a density of 0.55 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 1,405,277, a gain of 1,034,630 (+279.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.68% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 6.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BELL COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 26.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: BELL COUNTY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BELL COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop191,088237,974310,235370,647443,993530,335631,348748,667883,7781,037,8731,211,6781,405,277
PPA0.280.350.460.550.660.790.941.111.311.541.802.08
%BO3.5%4.4%5.7%6.9%8.2%9.8%11.7%13.9%16.4%19.2%22.5%26.0%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.2%10.1%7.1%6.8%8.3%7.6%8.5%9.8%8.6%8.1%9.4%8.5%$23,261,677
20217.1%9.2%7.1%6.0%10.2%8.4%8.2%9.6%8.3%8.3%9.6%8.1%$27,943,716
20227.8%9.4%6.8%6.7%9.2%8.1%8.4%9.4%8.2%8.2%9.4%8.3%$31,580,081
20237.9%10.3%7.2%7.4%9.2%7.6%8.2%9.1%7.7%8.0%9.4%7.9%$33,351,319
20247.9%9.7%6.5%7.4%8.5%7.9%8.2%9.4%9.2%8.1%8.8%8.4%$34,611,942
20258.0%11.8%7.5%7.2%8.8%7.9%8.0%8.8%8.1%7.8%8.1%8.0%$34,784,082
MEDIAN %7.8%9.9%7.1%7.0%9.0%7.9%8.2%9.4%8.2%8.1%9.4%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BELLAIRE (City)

Pop 17,202 PPA 7.49 %BO 93.6% Levy $26,577,012 Levy CAGR +4.0% E-Factor 1.43%
12,445 13,810 15,175 16,540 17,905 19,270 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 13,828 15,642 16,855 17,202 17,246 17,290 17,331 17,372 17,411 17,448 17,484 17,519 +1.2% +0.7% +0.2% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: BELLAIRE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BELLAIRE had a 2020 population of 17,202 across 3.6 square miles, yielding a density of 7.49 persons per acre (PPA). This high density suggests an urbanized area with limited greenfield expansion potential. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 17,519, a gain of 317 (+1.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 93.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BELLAIRE is approaching full build-out. By 2100, build-out is projected at 95.3%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BELLAIRE levied $26,577,012 in property taxes on a market value base of $8,213,832,176. The taxable value of $6,133,628,469 reflects 25.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4333 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3034 for Maintenance & Operations (70.0%) and $0.1299 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (30.0%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,543 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 4.0% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 3.7% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.43% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): BELLAIRE collected $3,642,107 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $211 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 13.7% of property tax levy, offering modest supplemental revenue. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.9% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: BELLAIRE demonstrates limited greenfield options. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BELLAIRE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop13,82815,64216,85517,20217,24617,29017,33117,37217,41117,44817,48417,519
PPA6.026.817.347.497.517.537.547.567.587.597.617.62
%BO75.2%85.1%91.7%93.6%93.8%94.1%94.3%94.5%94.7%94.9%95.1%95.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%17,202$6,764,530,272$4,836,962,51871.5%$0.2915$0.155834.8%$0.4473$21,635,733$1,258$2,426,465$14111.2%
20214.7%17,206$6,932,387,361$4,978,055,44171.8%$0.2959$0.151433.8%$0.4473$22,266,842$1,294$2,794,510$16212.6%
20228.0%17,210$7,358,164,789$5,199,638,09970.7%$0.3036$0.143732.1%$0.4473$23,257,981$1,351$3,239,856$18813.9%
20234.1%17,215$7,677,199,243$5,640,227,32973.5%$0.3010$0.136031.1%$0.4370$24,647,793$1,432$4,008,960$23316.3%
20243.2%17,219$7,822,697,310$5,841,550,92374.7%$0.3034$0.129930.0%$0.4333$25,311,440$1,470$3,412,888$19813.5%
2025*2.9%17,224$8,213,832,176$6,133,628,46974.7%$0.3034$0.129930.0%$0.4333$26,577,012$1,543$3,642,107$21113.7%
CAGR4.2%0.0%3.7%4.8%0.9%0.8%-3.6%-3.0%-0.6%4.0%4.0%8.9%8.9%4.1%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.8%9.6%8.4%6.9%8.1%7.9%7.9%7.0%8.6%8.5%9.4%8.9%$2,426,465
20217.9%8.3%7.1%8.5%9.4%7.6%7.0%6.7%7.6%8.0%13.6%8.4%$2,794,510
20229.2%9.4%7.4%7.5%8.9%7.6%8.1%8.9%7.7%8.3%8.9%8.2%$3,239,856
20237.1%8.6%7.9%7.7%11.7%13.9%7.0%7.5%7.8%6.2%7.4%7.2%$4,008,960
20249.0%9.3%7.6%8.2%8.3%8.1%8.9%8.4%7.4%8.1%8.8%8.0%$3,412,888
20258.3%10.3%8.0%7.0%9.0%7.8%8.5%8.2%9.9%7.8%9.2%6.1%$3,642,107
MEDIAN %8.7%9.4%7.8%7.7%9.0%7.9%8.1%8.0%7.8%8.2%9.2%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BELLMEAD (City)

Pop 10,494 PPA 2.40 %BO 30.0% Levy $2,653,962 Levy CAGR +7.5% E-Factor 2.20%
7,497 9,232 10,968 12,704 14,439 16,175 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 8,330 9,214 9,901 10,494 10,983 11,484 11,997 12,521 13,054 13,597 14,147 14,705 +1.0% +0.7% +0.6% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% Population Trend: BELLMEAD (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BELLMEAD had a 2020 population of 10,494 across 6.8 square miles, yielding a density of 2.40 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 14,705, a gain of 4,211 (+40.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.42% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 30.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BELLMEAD has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 42.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BELLMEAD levied $2,653,962 in property taxes on a market value base of $951,689,146. The taxable value of $773,368,881 reflects 18.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3432 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2880 for Maintenance & Operations (83.9%) and $0.0552 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (16.1%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $247 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.8% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.20% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): BELLMEAD collected $5,506,906 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $513 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 207.5% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.8% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: BELLMEAD demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BELLMEAD
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop8,3309,2149,90110,49410,98311,48411,99712,52113,05413,59714,14714,705
PPA1.912.112.272.402.512.632.742.862.993.113.243.36
%BO23.8%26.3%28.3%30.0%31.4%32.8%34.3%35.8%37.3%38.9%40.5%42.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%10,494$600,388,772$500,307,91483.3%$0.2874$0.090523.9%$0.3779$1,890,433$180$3,907,770$372206.7%
20214.7%10,542$650,302,078$539,806,50783.0%$0.2963$0.078921.0%$0.3752$2,025,284$192$4,309,119$409212.8%
20228.0%10,591$793,995,149$637,678,53380.3%$0.2631$0.060018.6%$0.3232$2,060,779$195$4,696,093$443227.9%
20234.1%10,640$886,660,643$713,867,59380.5%$0.2662$0.056917.6%$0.3232$2,306,999$217$5,140,234$483222.8%
20243.2%10,689$906,370,615$736,541,79181.3%$0.2880$0.055216.1%$0.3432$2,527,583$236$5,276,248$494208.7%
2025*2.9%10,738$951,689,146$773,368,88181.3%$0.2880$0.055216.1%$0.3432$2,653,962$247$5,506,906$513207.5%
CAGR4.2%0.5%10.8%10.2%-0.5%0.0%-9.4%-7.7%-1.9%7.5%7.0%7.8%7.3%0.1%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.0%9.3%6.1%6.9%8.7%8.6%9.3%9.4%8.7%8.1%8.7%8.3%$3,907,770
20217.5%9.0%7.5%6.2%10.5%9.0%8.1%9.2%8.1%7.8%9.3%7.8%$4,309,119
20228.0%9.2%7.2%7.0%9.3%8.4%8.0%9.1%8.5%8.2%8.9%8.2%$4,696,093
20237.7%10.0%7.0%7.2%9.0%8.4%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.4%9.1%8.1%$5,140,234
20248.4%9.3%7.2%7.8%9.5%7.7%8.2%8.7%7.7%8.3%8.8%8.6%$5,276,248
20257.7%10.0%7.2%6.8%9.1%8.3%8.5%8.9%8.5%8.2%8.5%8.2%$5,506,906
MEDIAN %7.9%9.3%7.2%6.9%9.3%8.4%8.3%9.0%8.4%8.2%8.9%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BELTON (City)

Pop 23,054 PPA 1.90 %BO 23.8% Levy $13,174,410 Levy CAGR +8.0% E-Factor 3.49%
11,315 22,927 34,540 46,152 57,764 69,377 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 12,573 14,623 18,216 23,054 27,194 31,761 36,695 41,905 47,278 52,684 57,989 63,070 +1.5% +2.2% +2.4% +1.7% +1.6% +1.5% +1.3% +1.2% +1.1% +1.0% +0.8% Population Trend: BELTON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BELTON had a 2020 population of 23,054 across 18.9 square miles, yielding a density of 1.90 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 63,070, a gain of 40,016 (+173.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.27% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 23.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BELTON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 65.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BELTON levied $13,174,410 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,539,680,124. The taxable value of $2,521,418,280 reflects 28.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5225 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4651 for Maintenance & Operations (89.0%) and $0.0574 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (11.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $524 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.0% CAGR lagged market value growth of 12.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.49% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): BELTON collected $9,646,528 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $384 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 73.2% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 12.5% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: BELTON demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BELTON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop12,57314,62318,21623,05427,19431,76136,69541,90547,27852,68457,98963,070
PPA1.041.211.501.902.242.623.033.463.904.354.795.21
%BO13.0%15.1%18.8%23.8%28.1%32.8%37.9%43.2%48.8%54.4%59.8%65.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%23,054$2,086,397,699$1,465,089,77470.2%$0.5289$0.101116.0%$0.6300$9,230,066$400$6,108,700$26566.2%
20214.7%23,468$2,163,946,023$1,555,928,71071.9%$0.5335$0.181525.4%$0.7150$11,124,890$474$7,400,997$31566.5%
20228.0%23,882$2,657,793,449$1,861,209,28770.0%$0.5080$0.077013.2%$0.5850$10,888,074$456$8,686,275$36479.8%
20234.1%24,296$3,148,817,523$2,230,228,17770.8%$0.4663$0.066312.4%$0.5326$11,878,195$489$9,167,834$37777.2%
20243.2%24,710$3,371,123,928$2,401,350,74371.2%$0.4651$0.057411.0%$0.5225$12,547,057$508$9,783,796$39678.0%
2025*2.9%25,124$3,539,680,124$2,521,418,28071.2%$0.4651$0.057411.0%$0.5225$13,174,410$524$9,646,528$38473.2%
CAGR4.2%1.7%12.7%13.1%0.3%-2.5%-10.7%-7.3%-3.7%8.0%6.1%12.5%10.6%2.0%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.0%9.6%8.9%6.5%8.3%7.1%8.1%9.9%8.5%8.6%9.8%7.7%$6,108,700
20216.8%9.5%6.7%5.6%9.9%7.9%7.9%10.1%8.3%9.0%10.8%7.5%$7,400,997
20226.5%9.6%7.2%6.2%9.6%8.0%8.5%10.0%8.3%8.7%9.6%7.9%$8,686,275
20237.4%10.1%6.9%7.1%9.3%7.4%8.3%9.8%8.0%9.1%9.1%7.5%$9,167,834
20247.7%8.7%6.9%7.4%8.7%7.4%7.6%9.7%9.1%8.8%9.3%8.6%$9,783,796
20257.9%10.9%6.7%6.9%9.0%7.8%8.0%9.0%8.7%8.1%9.0%8.0%$9,646,528
MEDIAN %7.2%9.6%6.9%6.7%9.2%7.7%8.1%9.9%8.5%8.8%9.5%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BENBROOK (City)

Pop 24,520 PPA 3.33 %BO 41.6% Levy $20,606,231 Levy CAGR +6.9% E-Factor 1.40%
17,710 22,509 27,307 32,106 36,905 41,704 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 19,678 20,208 21,234 24,520 26,195 27,893 29,602 31,310 33,006 34,679 36,318 37,913 +0.3% +0.5% +1.4% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% Population Trend: BENBROOK (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BENBROOK had a 2020 population of 24,520 across 11.5 square miles, yielding a density of 3.33 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 37,913, a gain of 13,393 (+54.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.55% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 41.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BENBROOK has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 64.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BENBROOK levied $20,606,231 in property taxes on a market value base of $4,186,261,826. The taxable value of $3,712,834,584 reflects 11.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5550 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5193 for Maintenance & Operations (93.6%) and $0.0357 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (6.4%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $813 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.5% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.40% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): BENBROOK collected $6,977,553 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $275 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 33.9% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.3% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: BENBROOK demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BENBROOK
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop19,67820,20821,23424,52026,19527,89329,60231,31033,00634,67936,31837,913
PPA2.672.742.883.333.563.794.024.254.484.714.935.15
%BO33.4%34.3%36.0%41.6%44.5%47.3%50.2%53.1%56.0%58.8%61.6%64.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%24,520$2,678,349,364$2,417,919,22990.3%$0.6015$0.02103.4%$0.6225$15,051,547$614$4,961,035$20233.0%
20214.7%24,687$2,836,050,032$2,556,318,73490.1%$0.5810$0.03655.9%$0.6175$15,785,268$639$5,132,012$20832.5%
20228.0%24,855$3,304,311,772$2,934,946,64988.8%$0.5740$0.02103.5%$0.5950$17,462,933$703$5,909,027$23833.8%
20234.1%25,022$3,890,057,951$3,353,929,36886.2%$0.5260$0.03906.9%$0.5650$18,949,701$757$7,040,700$28137.2%
20243.2%25,190$3,986,916,025$3,536,032,93788.7%$0.5193$0.03576.4%$0.5550$19,624,982$779$6,575,918$26133.5%
2025*2.9%25,357$4,186,261,826$3,712,834,58488.7%$0.5193$0.03576.4%$0.5550$20,606,231$813$6,977,553$27533.9%
CAGR4.2%0.7%10.5%10.0%-0.4%-2.9%11.2%13.8%-2.3%6.9%6.1%7.3%6.6%0.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.4%9.6%7.3%9.5%9.2%8.1%8.0%9.2%7.3%7.5%9.1%7.6%$4,961,035
20217.5%10.5%6.8%6.2%10.3%8.1%7.2%9.5%7.9%8.2%9.8%8.2%$5,132,012
20227.5%9.6%7.0%5.3%8.9%8.3%8.4%10.5%8.0%8.1%10.2%8.3%$5,909,027
20237.4%8.7%6.4%6.4%9.9%7.3%8.2%9.4%10.1%5.2%13.7%7.3%$7,040,700
20248.1%3.3%13.5%7.6%9.9%8.6%7.8%8.9%7.8%7.6%8.8%8.2%$6,575,918
20257.6%10.7%7.3%6.5%11.0%8.1%9.0%9.6%7.8%7.4%6.5%8.5%$6,977,553
MEDIAN %7.5%9.7%7.2%6.5%10.0%8.2%8.1%9.5%7.9%7.6%9.5%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BEXAR (County)

Pop 0 PPA 0.00 %BO 0.0% Levy $753,902,585 Levy CAGR +6.9% E-Factor 1.87%
Property Tax Overview (2025): BEXAR levied $753,902,585 in property taxes on a market value base of $331,035,811,456. The taxable value of $257,181,298,126 reflects 22.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3000 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2371 for Maintenance & Operations (79.0%) and $0.0629 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (21.0%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.3% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.87% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Strategic Outlook: BEXAR demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BEXAR
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%N/A$212,733,203,664~EstN/A$0.2490$0.052117.3%$0.3011$550,466,176N/A
20214.7%N/A$224,211,856,635~EstN/A$0.2479$0.052117.4%$0.3000$575,617,776N/A
20228.0%N/A$271,862,361,111~EstN/A$0.2479$0.052117.4%$0.3000$623,530,240N/A
20234.1%N/A$308,262,917,954~EstN/A$0.2371$0.062921.0%$0.3000$690,295,966N/A
20243.2%N/A$315,272,201,387$244,934,569,64477.7%$0.2371$0.062921.0%$0.3000$718,002,462N/A
2025~2.9%N/A$331,035,811,456$257,181,298,12677.7%$0.2371$0.062921.0%$0.3000$753,902,585N/A
CAGR4.2%10.3%-1.0%3.8%3.9%-0.1%6.9%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

BEXAR COUNTY (City)

Pop 2,009,324 PPA 2.53 %BO 31.6% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
1,066,854 1,742,375 2,417,895 3,093,416 3,768,937 4,444,457 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 1,185,394 1,392,931 1,714,773 2,009,324 2,243,904 2,490,246 2,745,643 3,006,926 3,270,611 3,533,083 3,790,786 4,040,416 +1.6% +2.1% +1.6% +1.1% +1.0% +1.0% +0.9% +0.8% +0.8% +0.7% +0.6% Population Trend: BEXAR COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BEXAR COUNTY had a 2020 population of 2,009,324 across 1240.3 square miles, yielding a density of 2.53 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 4,040,416, a gain of 2,031,092 (+101.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.88% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 31.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BEXAR COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 63.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: BEXAR COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BEXAR COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop1,185,3941,392,9311,714,7732,009,3242,243,9042,490,2462,745,6433,006,9263,270,6113,533,0833,790,7864,040,416
PPA1.491.752.162.532.833.143.463.794.124.454.785.09
%BO18.7%21.9%27.0%31.6%35.3%39.2%43.2%47.4%51.5%55.6%59.7%63.6%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BIG SPRING (City)

Pop 26,144 PPA 2.14 %BO 26.7% Levy $12,944,288 Levy CAGR +11.8% E-Factor 5.42%
20,814 22,653 24,492 26,331 28,171 30,010 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 23,127 25,233 27,282 26,144 26,187 26,231 26,274 26,318 26,362 26,406 26,450 26,494 +0.9% +0.8% -0.4% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: BIG SPRING (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BIG SPRING had a 2020 population of 26,144 across 19.1 square miles, yielding a density of 2.14 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 26,494, a gain of 350 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 26.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BIG SPRING has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 27.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BIG SPRING levied $12,944,288 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,115,771,416. The taxable value of $1,475,075,428 reflects 30.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.8775 per $100 valuation consists of $0.7944 for Maintenance & Operations (90.5%) and $0.0831 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (9.5%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $495 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 11.8% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 8.3% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 5.42% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): BIG SPRING collected $12,858,166 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $491 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 99.3% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.1% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: BIG SPRING demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BIG SPRING
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop23,12725,23327,28226,14426,18726,23126,27426,31826,36226,40626,45026,494
PPA1.892.062.232.142.142.152.152.152.162.162.162.17
%BO23.6%25.8%27.9%26.7%26.8%26.8%26.9%26.9%27.0%27.0%27.0%27.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%26,144$1,463,663,610$1,101,883,89675.3%$0.6011$0.116216.2%$0.7173$7,903,813$302$9,568,572$366121.1%
20214.7%26,148$1,648,599,355$1,165,376,64570.7%$0.5712$0.101915.1%$0.6732$7,844,826$300$10,656,637$408135.8%
20228.0%26,152$1,834,083,762$1,284,926,49470.1%$0.5788$0.094414.0%$0.6732$8,649,650$331$11,398,719$436131.8%
20234.1%26,156$1,932,866,315$1,349,444,63569.8%$0.5473$0.085813.5%$0.6331$8,542,970$327$13,039,050$499152.6%
20243.2%26,161$2,015,020,396$1,404,833,74169.7%$0.7944$0.08319.5%$0.8775$12,327,893$471$13,570,471$519110.1%
2025*2.9%26,165$2,115,771,416$1,475,075,42869.7%$0.7944$0.08319.5%$0.8775$12,944,288$495$12,858,166$49199.3%
CAGR4.2%0.0%8.3%6.3%-1.5%5.7%-6.5%-10.2%4.1%11.8%11.7%9.1%9.1%-3.9%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.2%10.7%8.2%7.5%9.4%7.4%8.4%8.7%7.4%6.8%9.7%7.5%$9,568,571
20216.4%9.2%6.8%5.9%10.3%12.4%7.7%9.4%7.5%8.2%9.4%6.8%$10,656,637
20227.1%8.6%6.6%6.4%8.7%8.5%7.3%9.8%9.0%9.4%9.7%9.0%$11,398,719
20237.8%12.7%6.8%7.5%9.4%7.0%8.0%8.3%7.5%8.2%8.9%7.9%$13,039,050
20248.6%1.4%16.2%7.9%8.9%8.3%7.9%8.4%7.6%7.9%8.9%8.1%$13,570,471
20257.3%9.4%8.0%7.1%9.8%8.3%7.3%9.1%9.5%7.4%8.3%8.5%$12,858,166
MEDIAN %7.6%9.4%7.5%7.4%9.5%8.4%7.9%9.0%7.7%8.2%9.2%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BLANCO (County)

Pop 1,682 PPA 1.18 %BO 14.7% Levy $13,725,152 Levy CAGR +14.3% E-Factor 9.15%
1,112 1,316 1,521 1,726 1,930 2,135 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 1,236 1,505 1,739 1,682 1,712 1,744 1,775 1,807 1,840 1,873 1,907 1,941 +2.0% +1.5% -0.3% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: BLANCO (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BLANCO had a 2020 population of 1,682 across 2.2 square miles, yielding a density of 1.18 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 1,941, a gain of 259 (+15.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.18% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 14.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BLANCO has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 17.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BLANCO levied $13,725,152 in property taxes on a market value base of $12,954,626,579. The taxable value of $4,151,198,602 reflects 68.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3700 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2875 for Maintenance & Operations (77.7%) and $0.0825 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (22.3%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $8,088 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 14.3% CAGR lagged market value growth of 19.1% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 9.15% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: BLANCO demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BLANCO
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop1,2361,5051,7391,6821,7121,7441,7751,8071,8401,8731,9071,941
PPA0.871.051.221.181.201.221.241.271.291.311.341.36
%BO10.8%13.2%15.2%14.7%15.0%15.3%15.6%15.8%16.1%16.4%16.7%17.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%1,682$6,124,140,263~EstN/A$0.3500$0.040010.3%$0.3900$7,651,418$4,549
20214.7%1,685$7,010,254,227~EstN/A$0.3425$0.047512.2%$0.3900$8,682,902$5,153
20228.0%1,688$9,615,911,669~EstN/A$0.2835$0.058217.0%$0.3417$9,591,739$5,682
20234.1%1,691$11,956,812,981~EstN/A$0.2926$0.072519.9%$0.3651$11,713,998$6,927
20243.2%1,694$12,337,739,599$3,953,522,47832.0%$0.2875$0.082522.3%$0.3700$13,071,573$7,716
2025~2.9%1,697$12,954,626,579$4,151,198,60232.0%$0.2875$0.082522.3%$0.3700$13,725,152$8,088
CAGR4.2%0.2%19.1%-3.9%15.6%16.8%-1.0%14.3%14.1%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

BLANCO COUNTY (City)

Pop 11,374 PPA 0.03 %BO 0.3% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
5,374 11,580 17,787 23,993 30,199 36,405 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 5,972 8,418 10,497 11,374 13,002 14,863 16,989 19,417 22,190 25,356 28,971 33,096 +3.5% +2.2% +0.8% +1.3% +1.3% +1.3% +1.3% +1.3% +1.3% +1.3% +1.3% Population Trend: BLANCO COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BLANCO COUNTY had a 2020 population of 11,374 across 709.3 square miles, yielding a density of 0.03 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 33,096, a gain of 21,722 (+191.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.34% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BLANCO COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: BLANCO COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BLANCO COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop5,9728,41810,49711,37413,00214,86316,98919,41722,19025,35628,97133,096
PPA0.010.020.020.030.030.030.040.040.050.060.060.07
%BO0.2%0.2%0.3%0.3%0.4%0.4%0.5%0.5%0.6%0.7%0.8%0.9%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.1%8.6%7.1%6.9%8.7%8.3%7.9%9.7%8.9%8.2%10.1%8.7%$948,950
20217.8%10.3%6.6%6.3%9.0%8.3%8.3%9.4%7.8%7.6%9.8%8.8%$1,076,218
20228.3%10.5%6.6%5.7%10.1%8.0%8.5%9.4%7.3%8.4%8.8%8.3%$1,204,043
20238.1%9.2%7.0%8.1%9.9%7.9%8.0%9.4%8.2%7.5%8.6%8.1%$1,316,883
20248.0%10.1%6.9%7.8%8.5%9.5%7.5%8.6%7.7%7.6%8.9%8.9%$1,382,379
20258.0%11.8%6.7%7.0%9.2%8.9%7.2%8.4%8.2%7.5%8.4%8.9%$1,366,548
MEDIAN %8.0%10.2%6.8%6.9%9.1%8.3%7.9%9.4%8.0%7.6%8.9%8.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BOERNE (City)

Pop 17,850 PPA 2.90 %BO 36.2% Levy $18,126,646 Levy CAGR +13.9% E-Factor 4.04%
4,229 13,902 23,575 33,248 42,921 52,594 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 4,699 6,178 10,471 17,850 23,873 30,009 35,531 39,970 43,223 45,448 46,897 47,813 +2.8% +5.4% +5.5% +3.0% +2.3% +1.7% +1.2% +0.8% +0.5% +0.3% +0.2% Population Trend: BOERNE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BOERNE had a 2020 population of 17,850 across 9.6 square miles, yielding a density of 2.90 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 47,813, a gain of 29,963 (+167.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.24% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 36.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BOERNE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 97.1%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BOERNE levied $18,126,646 in property taxes on a market value base of $5,132,562,952. The taxable value of $3,843,648,496 reflects 25.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4716 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3532 for Maintenance & Operations (74.9%) and $0.1184 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (25.1%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $869 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 13.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 16.3% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.04% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): BOERNE collected $12,692,800 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $608 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 70.0% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 10.6% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: BOERNE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BOERNE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop4,6996,17810,47117,85023,87330,00935,53139,97043,22345,44846,89747,813
PPA0.761.001.702.903.884.875.776.497.027.387.627.77
%BO9.5%12.5%21.3%36.2%48.5%60.9%72.1%81.2%87.8%92.3%95.2%97.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%17,850$2,668,661,388$2,171,993,72481.4%$0.3908$0.081217.2%$0.4720$10,251,810$574$8,246,389$46280.4%
20214.7%18,452$2,953,574,821$2,373,848,01480.4%$0.3936$0.078416.6%$0.4720$11,204,563$607$9,386,661$50983.8%
20228.0%19,054$3,987,669,954$3,010,419,30275.5%$0.3920$0.059013.1%$0.4510$13,576,991$713$9,966,939$52373.4%
20234.1%19,656$4,865,124,243$3,549,148,09673.0%$0.3582$0.118424.8%$0.4766$16,915,240$861$11,366,136$57867.2%
20243.2%20,259$4,888,155,192$3,660,617,61574.9%$0.3532$0.118425.1%$0.4716$17,263,472$852$12,340,557$60971.5%
2025*2.9%20,861$5,132,562,952$3,843,648,49674.9%$0.3532$0.118425.1%$0.4716$18,126,646$869$12,692,800$60870.0%
CAGR4.2%3.2%16.3%13.9%-1.7%-2.0%7.8%7.9%-0.0%13.9%10.4%10.6%7.2%-2.7%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%8.7%7.0%6.7%7.8%8.4%8.1%9.8%10.0%8.4%8.8%8.7%$8,246,389
20217.5%9.1%6.6%5.7%9.4%8.9%9.2%10.0%8.3%7.9%9.5%7.8%$9,386,661
20228.1%9.7%7.5%6.9%8.8%8.2%8.1%8.9%8.5%8.2%8.8%8.3%$9,966,939
20238.1%10.1%6.8%7.3%8.8%7.8%8.7%9.3%8.8%8.0%8.2%8.0%$11,366,136
20247.8%11.4%7.0%6.9%8.1%8.0%8.6%9.4%8.1%8.0%8.1%8.5%$12,340,557
20257.9%11.6%7.2%6.6%8.3%8.6%8.0%8.6%8.6%7.7%8.2%8.8%$12,692,800
MEDIAN %7.8%10.0%7.0%6.8%8.6%8.4%8.4%9.4%8.6%8.0%8.5%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BONHAM (City)

Pop 10,408 PPA 1.66 %BO 20.8% Levy $5,097,734 Levy CAGR +13.1% E-Factor 5.27%
6,211 8,463 10,715 12,967 15,219 17,471 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 6,902 9,990 10,127 10,408 11,008 11,634 12,284 12,958 13,655 14,376 15,119 15,883 +3.8% +0.1% +0.3% +0.6% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% Population Trend: BONHAM (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BONHAM had a 2020 population of 10,408 across 9.8 square miles, yielding a density of 1.66 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 15,883, a gain of 5,475 (+52.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.53% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 20.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BONHAM has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 31.7%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BONHAM levied $5,097,734 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,522,286,899. The taxable value of $926,860,915 reflects 39.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5500 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3862 for Maintenance & Operations (70.2%) and $0.1638 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (29.8%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $476 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 13.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 16.5% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 5.27% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): BONHAM collected $3,297,594 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $308 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 64.7% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.6% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: BONHAM demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BONHAM
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop6,9029,99010,12710,40811,00811,63412,28412,95813,65514,37615,11915,883
PPA1.101.601.621.661.761.861.962.072.182.302.422.54
%BO13.8%20.0%20.2%20.8%22.0%23.2%24.5%25.9%27.3%28.7%30.2%31.7%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%10,408$788,265,605$452,645,03557.4%$0.4640$0.191029.2%$0.6550$2,964,825$285$2,295,789$22177.4%
20214.7%10,468$862,711,790$504,985,71758.5%$0.4774$0.177627.1%$0.6550$3,307,656$316$2,579,900$24678.0%
20228.0%10,528$1,178,787,217$684,714,42458.1%$0.4358$0.131723.2%$0.5676$3,886,371$369$2,817,522$26872.5%
20234.1%10,588$1,330,981,842$790,555,53359.4%$0.3783$0.181732.5%$0.5600$4,427,111$418$2,975,478$28167.2%
20243.2%10,648$1,449,797,047$882,724,68160.9%$0.3862$0.163829.8%$0.5500$4,854,985$456$3,189,833$30065.7%
2025*2.9%10,708$1,522,286,899$926,860,91560.9%$0.3862$0.163829.8%$0.5500$5,097,734$476$3,297,594$30864.7%
CAGR4.2%0.6%16.5%18.2%1.2%-3.6%-3.0%0.4%-3.4%13.1%12.5%8.6%8.0%-3.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%9.6%7.3%7.0%8.3%8.1%8.7%9.5%8.3%8.1%9.3%8.2%$2,295,789
20217.2%9.0%7.4%6.3%10.5%8.4%7.9%9.9%8.5%7.8%9.1%8.1%$2,579,900
20227.5%9.6%7.2%7.0%9.5%8.1%8.4%9.6%7.9%8.1%9.2%7.9%$2,817,522
20237.6%9.3%7.4%7.2%9.1%7.9%8.4%9.3%8.6%8.8%8.7%7.6%$2,975,478
20247.4%8.9%8.5%7.3%9.8%8.3%7.5%8.9%8.2%8.3%9.1%7.7%$3,189,833
20257.5%10.0%6.8%6.9%9.6%8.3%8.0%9.1%8.3%8.1%9.3%8.1%$3,297,594
MEDIAN %7.5%9.4%7.3%7.0%9.5%8.2%8.2%9.4%8.3%8.1%9.1%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BORDEN (County)

Pop 0 PPA 0.00 %BO 0.0% Levy $3,378,347 Levy CAGR -5.6% E-Factor 0.00%
Property Tax Overview (2025): BORDEN levied $3,378,347 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,057,535,784. The taxable value of $1,029,863,025 reflects 49.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3284 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3230 for Maintenance & Operations (98.4%) and $0.0054 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (1.6%). Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of -5.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.4% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Strategic Outlook: BORDEN demonstrates contracting fiscal capacity. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BORDEN
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%N/A$1,143,463,782~EstN/A$0.7300$0.01001.4%$0.7400$4,056,822N/A
20214.7%N/A$1,311,374,073~EstN/A$0.7425N/AN/A$0.7425$3,419,287N/A
20228.0%N/A$1,562,899,234~EstN/A$0.5650$0.00851.5%$0.5735$3,588,861N/A
20234.1%N/A$1,619,913,289~EstN/A$0.5000$0.00851.7%$0.5085$3,815,191N/A
20243.2%N/A$1,959,557,890$980,821,92950.1%$0.3230$0.00541.6%$0.3284$3,217,473N/A
2025~2.9%N/A$2,057,535,784$1,029,863,02550.1%$0.3230$0.00541.6%$0.3284$3,378,347N/A
CAGR4.2%14.4%-15.0%-11.6%4.0%-15.0%-5.6%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

BORGER (City)

Pop 12,551 PPA 2.24 %BO 28.0% Levy $3,918,558 Levy CAGR -3.0% E-Factor 0.00%
11,295 12,478 13,661 14,844 16,027 17,210 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 15,646 14,302 13,251 12,551 12,571 12,592 12,613 12,634 12,655 12,677 12,698 12,719 -0.9% -0.8% -0.5% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: BORGER (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BORGER had a 2020 population of 12,551 across 8.8 square miles, yielding a density of 2.24 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 12,719, a gain of 168 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 28.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BORGER has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 28.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BORGER levied $3,918,558 in property taxes on a market value base of $819,195,058. The taxable value of $596,754,415 reflects 27.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6566 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5004 for Maintenance & Operations (76.2%) and $0.1563 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (23.8%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $312 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of -3.0% CAGR lagged market value growth of 6.2% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): BORGER collected $5,616,701 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $447 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 143.3% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 4.8% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: BORGER demonstrates contracting fiscal capacity, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BORGER
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop15,64614,30213,25112,55112,57112,59212,61312,63412,65512,67712,69812,719
PPA2.792.552.362.242.242.242.252.252.252.262.262.27
%BO34.8%31.9%29.5%28.0%28.0%28.0%28.1%28.1%28.2%28.2%28.3%28.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%12,551$612,192,929$502,832,97482.1%$0.6481$0.189622.6%$0.8376$4,211,875$336$4,586,609$365108.9%
20214.7%12,553$610,242,820$502,160,80582.3%$0.6137$0.193424.0%$0.8071$4,052,965$323$4,999,773$398123.4%
20228.0%12,555$686,315,610$554,532,96880.8%$0.5450$0.165023.2%$0.7100$3,937,184$314$5,513,489$439140.0%
20234.1%12,557$773,698,051$604,045,62578.1%$0.4875$0.160024.7%$0.6475$3,911,195$311$5,648,913$450144.4%
20243.2%12,559$780,185,770$568,337,53872.8%$0.5004$0.156323.8%$0.6566$3,731,960$297$5,533,284$441148.3%
2025*2.9%12,561$819,195,058$596,754,41572.8%$0.5004$0.156323.8%$0.6566$3,918,558$312$5,616,701$447143.3%
CAGR4.2%0.0%6.2%3.1%-2.4%-5.0%-3.8%1.0%-4.8%-3.0%-3.0%4.8%4.8%5.6%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.7%10.5%7.9%6.3%9.1%8.3%8.5%9.4%7.9%7.2%9.2%8.0%$4,586,609
20217.0%9.0%7.8%7.2%7.9%8.4%8.2%10.4%8.4%7.8%9.5%8.2%$4,999,773
20228.0%9.1%7.8%7.5%9.9%8.3%7.4%9.6%8.6%8.3%8.1%7.4%$5,513,489
20237.8%9.1%7.9%7.4%9.1%7.1%8.5%8.3%7.7%9.9%8.8%8.4%$5,648,913
20248.1%9.2%8.4%7.8%8.7%8.1%7.9%8.2%8.4%8.2%8.1%9.0%$5,533,284
20258.4%9.5%7.4%6.7%8.7%7.7%8.1%8.4%8.2%7.9%8.6%10.3%$5,616,701
MEDIAN %7.9%9.2%7.9%7.3%8.9%8.2%8.2%8.9%8.3%8.1%8.7%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BOSQUE (County)

Pop 0 PPA 0.00 %BO 0.0% Levy $12,526,771 Levy CAGR +4.8% E-Factor 0.00%
Property Tax Overview (2025): BOSQUE levied $12,526,771 in property taxes on a market value base of $9,303,788,698. The taxable value of $3,523,655,355 reflects 62.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3600 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3369 for Maintenance & Operations (93.6%) and $0.0231 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (6.4%). Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 4.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 20.5% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments.
Strategic Outlook: See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BOSQUE
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%N/A$4,209,438,455~EstN/A$0.4750$0.04328.3%$0.5182$9,908,532N/A
20214.7%N/A$5,387,845,588~EstN/A$0.4350$0.02786.0%$0.4628$10,177,132N/A
20228.0%N/A$7,269,932,028~EstN/A$0.3803$0.01974.9%$0.4000$10,517,455N/A
20234.1%N/A$7,126,612,074~EstN/A$0.3546$0.02546.7%$0.3800$11,409,822N/A
20243.2%N/A$8,860,751,141$3,355,862,24337.9%$0.3369$0.02316.4%$0.3600$11,930,258N/A
2025~2.9%N/A$9,303,788,698$3,523,655,35537.9%$0.3369$0.02316.4%$0.3600$12,526,771N/A
CAGR4.2%20.5%-6.6%-11.8%-5.1%-7.0%4.8%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

BOSQUE COUNTY (City)

Pop 18,235 PPA 0.03 %BO 0.4% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
13,612 15,814 18,016 20,218 22,420 24,622 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 15,125 17,204 18,212 18,235 18,708 19,194 19,692 20,204 20,728 21,266 21,818 22,384 +1.3% +0.6% +0.0% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: BOSQUE COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BOSQUE COUNTY had a 2020 population of 18,235 across 983.0 square miles, yielding a density of 0.03 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 22,384, a gain of 4,149 (+22.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.26% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BOSQUE COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: BOSQUE COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BOSQUE COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop15,12517,20418,21218,23518,70819,19419,69220,20420,72821,26621,81822,384
PPA0.020.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.04
%BO0.3%0.3%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
202011.8%14.6%0.0%0.0%13.5%0.0%15.9%0.0%13.0%0.0%17.4%13.9%$447,455
202110.9%15.3%0.0%9.4%13.2%11.8%0.0%13.6%0.0%0.0%14.2%11.7%$559,189
20226.9%11.0%7.2%6.5%8.9%7.6%8.0%11.1%7.9%7.7%9.1%8.0%$893,498
202311.7%15.3%0.0%11.7%13.0%12.0%0.0%0.0%11.2%12.0%13.0%0.0%$648,714
20240.0%13.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%12.6%12.3%13.9%13.0%12.5%0.0%22.5%$648,849
20250.0%0.0%10.5%9.7%12.7%12.1%11.8%0.0%13.6%14.5%14.9%0.0%$736,772
MEDIAN %7.6%11.9%0.0%6.8%11.0%10.2%8.5%4.8%10.4%8.5%11.7%8.5%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BOWIE (County)

Pop 5,448 PPA 1.54 %BO 19.3% Levy $33,977,672 Levy CAGR +8.2% E-Factor 2.94%
4,571 5,152 5,732 6,313 6,894 7,475 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 5,079 5,219 5,218 5,448 5,604 5,764 5,928 6,095 6,265 6,438 6,615 6,796 +0.3% -0.0% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: BOWIE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BOWIE had a 2020 population of 5,448 across 5.5 square miles, yielding a density of 1.54 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 6,796, a gain of 1,348 (+24.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.28% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 19.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BOWIE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 24.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BOWIE levied $33,977,672 in property taxes on a market value base of $13,257,253,520. The taxable value of $9,513,195,513 reflects 28.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3989 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3678 for Maintenance & Operations (92.2%) and $0.0310 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (7.8%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $6,149 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 9.4% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.94% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Strategic Outlook: BOWIE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BOWIE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop5,0795,2195,2185,4485,6045,7645,9286,0956,2656,4386,6156,796
PPA1.441.481.481.541.591.631.681.731.771.821.871.92
%BO18.0%18.5%18.5%19.3%19.8%20.4%21.0%21.6%22.2%22.8%23.4%24.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%5,448$8,802,773,070~EstN/A$0.3758$0.048511.4%$0.4243$23,589,764$4,330
20214.7%5,463$9,093,638,695~EstN/A$0.3775$0.046811.0%$0.4243$24,247,763$4,439
20228.0%5,479$10,688,486,811~EstN/A$0.3858$0.03909.2%$0.4249$28,882,594$5,272
20234.1%5,494$11,976,524,006~EstN/A$0.3617$0.03528.9%$0.3969$30,127,478$5,484
20243.2%5,510$12,625,955,733$9,060,186,20371.8%$0.3678$0.03107.8%$0.3989$32,359,688$5,873
2025~2.9%5,526$13,257,253,520$9,513,195,51371.8%$0.3678$0.03107.8%$0.3989$33,977,672$6,149
CAGR4.2%0.3%9.4%-0.4%-8.6%-7.4%-1.2%8.2%7.9%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

BOWIE COUNTY (City)

Pop 92,893 PPA 0.16 %BO 2.1% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
73,498 82,569 91,639 100,710 109,781 118,851 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 81,665 89,306 92,565 92,893 94,667 96,474 98,315 100,190 102,100 104,046 106,028 108,047 +0.9% +0.4% +0.0% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: BOWIE COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BOWIE COUNTY had a 2020 population of 92,893 across 885.0 square miles, yielding a density of 0.16 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 108,047, a gain of 15,154 (+16.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.19% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 2.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BOWIE COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 2.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: BOWIE COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BOWIE COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop81,66589,30692,56592,89394,66796,47498,315100,190102,100104,046106,028108,047
PPA0.140.160.160.160.170.170.170.180.180.180.190.19
%BO1.8%2.0%2.0%2.1%2.1%2.1%2.2%2.2%2.3%2.3%2.3%2.4%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.4%10.6%7.3%6.9%8.1%7.2%8.6%9.9%8.4%8.1%9.4%8.0%$7,441,627
20217.2%9.6%6.8%6.2%9.9%8.5%8.0%9.8%8.5%8.3%9.0%8.2%$8,756,952
20228.1%9.8%6.8%6.8%9.4%8.1%8.0%9.4%8.0%8.4%8.8%8.4%$9,447,848
20238.1%9.9%7.3%7.7%9.0%7.4%8.2%9.7%7.9%8.5%8.3%7.9%$9,950,481
20248.4%8.2%7.2%7.7%9.1%8.3%8.0%8.7%8.6%8.1%8.9%8.6%$10,019,005
20258.0%11.1%7.2%6.7%8.7%8.1%8.0%9.5%8.2%7.8%8.5%8.4%$10,308,513
MEDIAN %8.0%9.8%7.2%6.8%9.0%8.0%8.0%9.6%8.3%8.2%8.9%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BRAZORIA (County)

Pop 2,866 PPA 1.72 %BO 21.4% Levy $173,507,569 Levy CAGR +5.1% E-Factor 0.05%
2,496 2,661 2,826 2,991 3,156 3,320 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 2,774 2,787 3,019 2,866 2,870 2,875 2,880 2,885 2,889 2,894 2,899 2,904 +0.0% +0.8% -0.5% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: BRAZORIA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BRAZORIA had a 2020 population of 2,866 across 2.6 square miles, yielding a density of 1.72 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 2,904, a gain of 38 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 21.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BRAZORIA has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 21.7%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BRAZORIA levied $173,507,569 in property taxes on a market value base of $94,154,759,318. The taxable value of $56,980,680,006 reflects 39.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3035 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2435 for Maintenance & Operations (94.0%) and $0.0181 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (6.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $60,498 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 9.5% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.05% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Strategic Outlook: BRAZORIA demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BRAZORIA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop2,7742,7873,0192,8662,8702,8752,8802,8852,8892,8942,8992,904
PPA1.661.671.811.721.721.721.721.731.731.731.741.74
%BO20.8%20.9%22.6%21.4%21.5%21.5%21.6%21.6%21.6%21.7%21.7%21.7%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%2,866$62,464,812,811~EstN/A$0.3616$0.03047.8%$0.3920$135,649,337$47,331
20214.7%2,866$64,907,937,054~EstN/A$0.3556$0.03098.0%$0.3865$140,551,331$49,041
20228.0%2,866$74,652,505,595~EstN/A$0.3679$0.02325.9%$0.3911$168,081,120$58,647
20234.1%2,867$88,453,224,061~EstN/A$0.2944$0.01966.2%$0.3139$161,167,975$56,215
20243.2%2,867$89,671,199,350$54,267,314,29160.5%$0.2435$0.01816.0%$0.3035$165,245,304$57,637
2025~2.9%2,868$94,154,759,318$56,980,680,00660.5%$0.2435$0.01816.0%$0.3035$173,507,569$60,498
CAGR4.2%0.0%9.5%-7.6%-9.9%-5.1%-5.0%5.1%5.0%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

BRAZORIA COUNTY (City)

Pop 372,031 PPA 0.43 %BO 5.3% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
172,536 456,424 740,312 1,024,200 1,308,089 1,591,977 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 191,707 241,767 313,166 372,031 445,704 532,802 635,282 755,184 894,556 1,055,326 1,239,157 1,447,252 +2.3% +2.6% +1.7% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% +1.7% +1.7% +1.7% +1.6% +1.6% Population Trend: BRAZORIA COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BRAZORIA COUNTY had a 2020 population of 372,031 across 1363.3 square miles, yielding a density of 0.43 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 1,447,252, a gain of 1,075,221 (+289.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.71% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 5.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BRAZORIA COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 20.7%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: BRAZORIA COUNTY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BRAZORIA COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop191,707241,767313,166372,031445,704532,802635,282755,184894,5561,055,3261,239,1571,447,252
PPA0.220.280.360.430.510.610.730.871.031.211.421.66
%BO2.7%3.5%4.5%5.3%6.4%7.6%9.1%10.8%12.8%15.1%17.8%20.7%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.5%14.0%7.6%7.3%9.1%9.4%7.6%8.6%6.7%6.6%7.4%7.1%$34,797,279
20217.1%9.7%7.0%6.7%9.4%8.6%8.3%9.1%8.4%8.3%9.2%8.2%$32,759,579
20227.9%9.3%7.0%7.3%9.4%8.0%8.2%9.4%8.1%8.4%8.9%8.0%$36,694,211
20237.9%10.5%8.3%7.1%9.3%7.4%8.0%9.9%7.9%8.0%8.0%7.7%$40,518,514
20247.7%10.0%7.9%7.2%8.8%8.1%8.0%9.3%9.6%8.0%9.3%6.1%$42,271,987
20257.6%10.3%7.1%6.9%8.6%7.9%8.1%8.3%7.8%9.2%10.0%8.1%$44,293,923
MEDIAN %7.8%10.1%7.4%7.2%9.2%8.0%8.0%9.2%8.0%8.2%9.1%7.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BRAZOS (County)

Pop 0 PPA 0.00 %BO 0.0% Levy $139,026,927 Levy CAGR +6.2% E-Factor 1.24%
Property Tax Overview (2025): BRAZOS levied $139,026,927 in property taxes on a market value base of $42,549,855,255. The taxable value of $34,499,109,218 reflects 18.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4197 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3818 for Maintenance & Operations (91.0%) and $0.0379 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (9.0%). Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.6% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.24% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Strategic Outlook: BRAZOS demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BRAZOS
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%N/A$27,070,353,454~EstN/A$0.4407$0.054311.0%$0.4950$103,949,753N/A
20214.7%N/A$28,124,787,086~EstN/A$0.4423$0.051210.4%$0.4935$107,333,159N/A
20228.0%N/A$32,624,384,892~EstN/A$0.3893$0.04019.3%$0.4294$108,221,647N/A
20234.1%N/A$38,798,875,945~EstN/A$0.3690$0.04079.9%$0.4097$123,323,418N/A
20243.2%N/A$40,523,671,671$32,856,294,49381.1%$0.3818$0.03799.0%$0.4197$132,406,597N/A
2025~2.9%N/A$42,549,855,255$34,499,109,21881.1%$0.3818$0.03799.0%$0.4197$139,026,927N/A
CAGR4.2%10.6%-2.8%-7.0%-3.8%-3.2%6.2%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

BRAZOS COUNTY (City)

Pop 233,849 PPA 0.62 %BO 7.8% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
109,675 278,971 448,267 617,563 786,859 956,155 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 121,862 152,415 194,851 233,849 279,905 333,947 396,916 469,685 552,987 647,316 752,827 869,232 +2.3% +2.5% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% +1.7% +1.7% +1.6% +1.6% +1.5% +1.4% Population Trend: BRAZOS COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BRAZOS COUNTY had a 2020 population of 233,849 across 586.1 square miles, yielding a density of 0.62 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 869,232, a gain of 635,383 (+271.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.65% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 7.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BRAZOS COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 29.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: BRAZOS COUNTY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BRAZOS COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop121,862152,415194,851233,849279,905333,947396,916469,685552,987647,316752,827869,232
PPA0.320.410.520.620.750.891.061.251.471.732.012.32
%BO4.1%5.1%6.5%7.8%9.3%11.1%13.2%15.7%18.4%21.6%25.1%29.0%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.3%10.3%8.6%7.6%8.4%6.8%7.5%8.6%8.1%8.9%8.7%8.2%$18,526,729
20217.1%9.1%7.3%6.5%9.4%8.2%8.0%9.2%7.8%8.6%10.2%8.7%$21,358,035
20228.2%9.9%7.3%6.7%8.9%8.1%8.1%8.7%7.7%9.0%9.3%8.3%$24,510,198
20238.4%9.9%7.7%7.4%8.9%8.1%8.0%8.5%7.5%8.9%8.7%8.0%$25,218,221
20248.2%9.4%7.5%7.4%9.0%8.4%7.9%8.6%8.1%8.6%8.4%8.4%$25,619,190
20258.0%10.2%7.4%6.8%8.5%8.4%8.1%8.2%8.1%8.7%8.8%8.7%$26,482,750
MEDIAN %8.2%9.9%7.5%7.1%8.9%8.1%8.0%8.6%7.9%8.8%8.8%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BRENHAM (City)

Pop 17,369 PPA 2.29 %BO 28.6% Levy $12,448,303 Levy CAGR +11.8% E-Factor 4.91%
10,939 15,257 19,575 23,893 28,211 32,529 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 12,155 13,507 15,716 17,369 18,735 20,160 21,637 23,161 24,725 26,320 27,939 29,572 +1.1% +1.5% +1.0% +0.8% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% Population Trend: BRENHAM (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BRENHAM had a 2020 population of 17,369 across 11.9 square miles, yielding a density of 2.29 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 29,572, a gain of 12,203 (+70.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.67% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 28.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BRENHAM has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 48.7%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BRENHAM levied $12,448,303 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,309,133,553. The taxable value of $2,715,598,654 reflects 17.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4584 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3164 for Maintenance & Operations (69.0%) and $0.1420 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (31.0%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $690 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 11.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 16.3% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.91% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): BRENHAM collected $10,550,140 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $584 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 84.8% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.6% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: BRENHAM demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BRENHAM
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop12,15513,50715,71617,36918,73520,16021,63723,16124,72526,32027,93929,572
PPA1.601.782.072.292.472.662.853.053.263.473.683.90
%BO20.0%22.2%25.9%28.6%30.9%33.2%35.6%38.1%40.7%43.3%46.0%48.7%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%17,369$1,724,867,364$1,505,645,12387.3%$0.3200$0.184036.5%$0.5040$7,588,451$437$6,957,899$40191.7%
20214.7%17,505$1,755,025,602$1,636,318,91193.2%$0.3500$0.144029.1%$0.4940$8,083,415$462$7,930,624$45398.1%
20228.0%17,642$2,484,245,101$2,083,385,99683.9%$0.3297$0.144030.4%$0.4737$9,868,999$559$9,149,068$51992.7%
20234.1%17,778$2,789,627,167$2,344,049,56584.0%$0.3102$0.148232.3%$0.4584$10,745,123$604$9,620,783$54189.5%
20243.2%17,915$3,151,555,765$2,586,284,43282.1%$0.3164$0.142031.0%$0.4584$11,855,527$662$10,026,967$56084.6%
2025*2.9%18,052$3,309,133,553$2,715,598,65482.1%$0.3164$0.142031.0%$0.4584$12,448,303$690$10,550,140$58484.8%
CAGR4.2%0.8%16.3%14.5%-1.2%-0.2%-5.1%-3.2%-1.9%11.8%10.9%9.6%8.7%-1.6%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.7%9.8%7.6%6.8%8.7%7.8%8.2%9.6%8.2%8.2%9.2%8.2%$6,957,899
20217.2%8.8%7.2%6.2%9.5%8.5%8.0%9.0%9.0%8.6%9.9%8.0%$7,930,624
20228.1%9.0%7.2%7.0%9.4%8.6%8.0%8.6%8.6%8.2%9.0%8.3%$9,149,068
20237.9%8.9%7.3%7.6%9.2%7.5%8.3%9.7%8.0%8.5%9.2%7.9%$9,620,783
20248.4%9.5%7.1%7.8%9.6%8.2%7.6%8.3%9.1%7.4%8.3%8.6%$10,026,967
20257.5%11.9%7.5%6.5%8.5%8.3%7.8%8.3%8.1%8.8%8.4%8.3%$10,550,140
MEDIAN %7.8%9.3%7.3%7.0%9.3%8.3%8.0%8.8%8.4%8.4%9.1%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BREWSTER (County)

Pop 0 PPA 0.00 %BO 0.0% Levy $5,419,029 Levy CAGR +9.3% E-Factor 4.29%
Property Tax Overview (2025): BREWSTER levied $5,419,029 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,724,229,682. The taxable value of $1,590,780,001 reflects 41.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3494 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3319 for Maintenance & Operations (95.0%) and $0.0175 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (5.0%). Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 9.3% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 9.2% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.29% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: BREWSTER demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BREWSTER
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%N/A$1,825,748,262~EstN/A$0.3595$0.03017.7%$0.3896$3,618,008N/A
20214.7%N/A$1,933,796,366~EstN/A$0.3960$0.02556.0%$0.4215$4,243,327N/A
20228.0%N/A$2,108,590,166~EstN/A$0.3730$0.02265.7%$0.3955$4,527,919N/A
20234.1%N/A$2,427,012,490~EstN/A$0.3464$0.02015.5%$0.3665$4,931,718N/A
20243.2%N/A$2,594,504,459$1,515,028,57258.4%$0.3319$0.01755.0%$0.3494$5,160,980N/A
2025~2.9%N/A$2,724,229,682$1,590,780,00158.4%$0.3319$0.01755.0%$0.3494$5,419,029N/A
CAGR4.2%9.2%-1.6%-10.3%-8.3%-2.2%9.3%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

BREWSTER COUNTY (City)

Pop 9,546 PPA 0.00 %BO 0.0% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
7,812 8,978 10,144 11,310 12,476 13,642 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 8,681 8,866 9,232 9,546 9,863 10,191 10,530 10,880 11,242 11,616 12,003 12,402 +0.2% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: BREWSTER COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BREWSTER COUNTY had a 2020 population of 9,546 across 6183.8 square miles, yielding a density of 0.00 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 12,402, a gain of 2,856 (+29.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.33% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BREWSTER COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: BREWSTER COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BREWSTER COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop8,6818,8669,2329,5469,86310,19110,53010,88011,24211,61612,00312,402
PPA0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
%BO0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%8.4%7.5%18.7%7.7%6.6%6.9%8.0%6.7%6.6%8.1%7.6%$883,226
20217.5%8.6%6.8%6.2%9.4%8.3%7.4%9.2%8.3%8.0%11.5%9.0%$923,667
202210.5%10.0%8.7%8.4%9.0%7.1%7.3%8.4%6.9%7.4%8.4%7.9%$1,005,847
20238.0%12.9%7.5%7.5%9.9%9.8%5.7%8.5%6.5%8.2%7.2%8.3%$1,039,540
20249.1%10.0%7.9%7.2%10.4%8.7%8.1%7.5%7.7%6.6%7.8%9.1%$959,639
20256.6%9.0%6.7%6.0%7.5%7.5%5.8%6.8%6.6%6.4%22.5%8.6%$1,213,381
MEDIAN %8.2%10.0%7.9%7.7%9.7%8.3%7.5%8.6%7.2%7.4%8.7%8.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BRIDGE CITY (City)

Pop 9,546 PPA 2.41 %BO 30.1% Levy $3,289,118 Levy CAGR +6.6% E-Factor 0.00%
7,056 9,610 12,164 14,718 17,272 19,826 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 8,169 8,651 7,840 9,546 10,502 11,504 12,546 13,619 14,714 15,820 16,927 18,024 +0.6% -1.0% +2.0% +1.0% +0.9% +0.9% +0.8% +0.8% +0.7% +0.7% +0.6% Population Trend: BRIDGE CITY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BRIDGE CITY had a 2020 population of 9,546 across 6.2 square miles, yielding a density of 2.41 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 18,024, a gain of 8,478 (+88.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.80% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 30.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BRIDGE CITY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 56.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BRIDGE CITY levied $3,289,118 in property taxes on a market value base of $899,353,202. The taxable value of $702,412,768 reflects 21.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4683 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3794 for Maintenance & Operations (81.0%) and $0.0888 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (19.0%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $328 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): BRIDGE CITY collected $2,425,924 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $242 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 73.8% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 5.3% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: BRIDGE CITY demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BRIDGE CITY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop8,1698,6517,8409,54610,50211,50412,54613,61914,71415,82016,92718,024
PPA2.062.181.982.412.652.903.163.433.713.994.274.54
%BO25.7%27.3%24.7%30.1%33.1%36.2%39.5%42.9%46.4%49.8%53.3%56.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%9,546$570,579,258$448,793,08278.7%$0.3847$0.155928.8%$0.5406$2,426,086$254$1,957,540$20580.7%
20214.7%9,641$648,896,793$509,967,66478.6%$0.3599$0.163731.3%$0.5237$2,670,650$277$2,087,620$21778.2%
20228.0%9,737$718,582,443$568,867,79079.2%$0.3363$0.146030.3%$0.4823$2,743,536$282$2,235,451$23081.5%
20234.1%9,832$792,647,489$626,979,70979.1%$0.3241$0.144130.8%$0.4683$2,935,895$299$2,242,302$22876.4%
20243.2%9,928$856,526,859$668,964,54178.1%$0.3794$0.088819.0%$0.4683$3,132,493$316$2,406,730$24276.8%
2025*2.9%10,024$899,353,202$702,412,76878.1%$0.3794$0.088819.0%$0.4683$3,289,118$328$2,425,924$24273.8%
CAGR4.2%1.0%10.7%10.5%-0.1%-0.3%-10.6%-8.0%-2.8%6.6%5.6%5.3%4.3%-1.8%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.1%10.3%7.0%6.8%8.8%7.9%8.0%10.3%8.8%6.4%10.4%8.2%$1,957,540
20217.7%10.5%7.1%6.4%10.3%7.9%7.5%9.6%7.5%7.6%11.0%7.0%$2,087,620
20227.9%11.5%6.9%6.6%10.5%7.3%7.7%9.2%7.3%7.4%10.0%7.8%$2,235,451
20237.9%10.7%7.2%7.1%9.9%7.2%7.7%9.4%7.4%7.6%10.5%7.4%$2,242,302
20247.2%9.3%6.5%7.0%15.0%7.3%7.4%9.0%7.2%7.1%9.2%7.8%$2,406,730
20257.3%10.8%6.6%6.5%9.0%7.7%7.6%9.7%8.2%7.7%10.6%8.4%$2,425,924
MEDIAN %7.5%10.6%6.9%6.7%10.1%7.5%7.7%9.5%7.5%7.5%10.5%7.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BRISCOE (County)

Pop 0 PPA 0.00 %BO 0.0% Levy $1,617,195 Levy CAGR +6.4% E-Factor 1.43%
Property Tax Overview (2025): BRISCOE levied $1,617,195 in property taxes on a market value base of $857,169,303. The taxable value of $267,613,797 reflects 68.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6050 per $100 valuation consists of $0.6050 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.4% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 1.2% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.43% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Strategic Outlook: BRISCOE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BRISCOE
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%N/A$779,526,540~EstN/A$0.5688N/AN/A$0.5688$1,200,449N/A
20214.7%N/A$771,468,725~EstN/A$0.5588N/AN/A$0.5588$1,294,147N/A
20228.0%N/A$761,042,108~EstN/A$1.1258N/AN/A$1.1258$2,697,524N/A
20234.1%N/A$802,818,930~EstN/A$0.5350N/AN/A$0.5350$1,528,808N/A
20243.2%N/A$816,351,717$254,870,28331.2%$0.6050N/AN/A$0.6050$1,540,186N/A
2025~2.9%N/A$857,169,303$267,613,79731.2%$0.6050N/AN/A$0.6050$1,617,195N/A
CAGR4.2%1.2%1.2%1.2%6.4%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

BROOKS (County)

Pop 0 PPA 0.00 %BO 0.0% Levy $5,139,146 Levy CAGR -1.2% E-Factor 0.00%
Property Tax Overview (2025): BROOKS levied $5,139,146 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,388,758,247. The taxable value of $568,360,903 reflects 59.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.9008 per $100 valuation consists of $0.7824 for Maintenance & Operations (94.6%) and $0.0486 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (5.4%). Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of -1.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 0.3% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Strategic Outlook: BROOKS demonstrates contracting fiscal capacity. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BROOKS
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%N/A$1,305,570,827~EstN/A$0.8382$0.111611.8%$0.9498$5,139,365N/A
20214.7%N/A$1,288,598,122~EstN/A$0.8336$0.110011.7%$0.9436$4,951,738N/A
20228.0%N/A$1,369,063,028~EstN/A$0.7898$0.099211.2%$0.8890$5,128,347N/A
20234.1%N/A$1,372,712,666~EstN/A$0.7820$0.103011.6%$0.8850$5,099,724N/A
20243.2%N/A$1,322,626,902$541,296,09840.9%$0.7824$0.04865.4%$0.9008$4,894,425N/A
2025~2.9%N/A$1,388,758,247$568,360,90340.9%$0.7824$0.04865.4%$0.9008$5,139,146N/A
CAGR4.2%0.3%-1.4%-15.3%-14.4%-1.1%-1.2%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

BROOKS COUNTY (City)

Pop 7,076 PPA 0.01 %BO 0.1% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
6,368 6,899 7,430 7,962 8,493 9,024 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 8,204 7,976 7,223 7,076 7,087 7,099 7,111 7,123 7,135 7,147 7,158 7,170 -0.3% -1.0% -0.2% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: BROOKS COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BROOKS COUNTY had a 2020 population of 7,076 across 943.4 square miles, yielding a density of 0.01 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 7,170, a gain of 94 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BROOKS COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: BROOKS COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BROOKS COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop8,2047,9767,2237,0767,0877,0997,1117,1237,1357,1477,1587,170
PPA0.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.01
%BO0.2%0.2%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BROWN (County)

Pop 0 PPA 0.00 %BO 0.0% Levy $24,423,699 Levy CAGR +6.0% E-Factor 0.97%
Property Tax Overview (2025): BROWN levied $24,423,699 in property taxes on a market value base of $9,129,386,576. The taxable value of $5,160,055,404 reflects 43.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4720 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3770 for Maintenance & Operations (95.1%) and $0.0230 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (4.9%). Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.0% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.5% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.97% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Strategic Outlook: BROWN demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BROWN
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%N/A$5,055,612,244~EstN/A$0.5583$0.01933.3%$0.5776$18,442,947N/A
20214.7%N/A$5,851,288,971~EstN/A$0.5360$0.01823.3%$0.5542$19,407,283N/A
20228.0%N/A$7,398,890,312~EstN/A$0.4590$0.02595.3%$0.4849$20,466,768N/A
20234.1%N/A$8,342,950,957~EstN/A$0.4264$0.02585.7%$0.4522$21,814,257N/A
20243.2%N/A$8,694,653,882$4,914,338,48056.5%$0.3770$0.02304.9%$0.4720$23,260,666N/A
2025~2.9%N/A$9,129,386,576$5,160,055,40456.5%$0.3770$0.02304.9%$0.4720$24,423,699N/A
CAGR4.2%14.5%-7.6%3.5%7.8%-4.0%6.0%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

BROWN COUNTY (City)

Pop 38,095 PPA 0.06 %BO 0.8% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
30,933 34,079 37,225 40,370 43,516 46,662 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 34,371 37,674 38,106 38,095 38,610 39,133 39,663 40,200 40,744 41,295 41,854 42,420 +0.9% +0.1% -0.0% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: BROWN COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BROWN COUNTY had a 2020 population of 38,095 across 944.5 square miles, yielding a density of 0.06 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 42,420, a gain of 4,325 (+11.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.13% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BROWN COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: BROWN COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BROWN COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop34,37137,67438,10638,09538,61039,13339,66340,20040,74441,29541,85442,420
PPA0.060.060.060.060.060.060.070.070.070.070.070.07
%BO0.7%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.9%0.9%0.9%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BROWNFIELD (City)

Pop 8,936 PPA 2.14 %BO 26.8% Levy $1,520,154 Levy CAGR +1.2% E-Factor 0.00%
8,042 8,558 9,074 9,590 10,106 10,622 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 9,628 9,488 9,657 8,936 8,950 8,965 8,980 8,995 9,010 9,025 9,040 9,055 -0.1% +0.2% -0.8% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: BROWNFIELD (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BROWNFIELD had a 2020 population of 8,936 across 6.5 square miles, yielding a density of 2.14 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 9,055, a gain of 119 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 26.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BROWNFIELD has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 27.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BROWNFIELD levied $1,520,154 in property taxes on a market value base of $398,684,364. The taxable value of $326,893,852 reflects 18.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4650 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4650 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $170 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 1.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 6.2% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): BROWNFIELD collected $2,130,229 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $238 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 140.1% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 4.2% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: BROWNFIELD demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BROWNFIELD
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop9,6289,4889,6578,9368,9508,9658,9808,9959,0109,0259,0409,055
PPA2.312.282.322.142.152.152.162.162.162.172.172.17
%BO28.9%28.5%29.0%26.8%26.9%26.9%26.9%27.0%27.0%27.1%27.1%27.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%8,936$298,785,466$255,521,85285.5%$0.5392N/AN/A$0.5392$1,377,758$154$1,565,822$175113.7%
20214.7%8,937$306,127,209$260,591,21585.1%$0.5391N/AN/A$0.5391$1,404,949$157$1,513,686$169107.7%
20228.0%8,938$310,740,937$265,838,57685.5%$0.5307N/AN/A$0.5307$1,410,864$158$1,534,606$172108.8%
20234.1%8,940$340,452,568$289,223,71385.0%$0.5006N/AN/A$0.5006$1,447,831$162$1,696,548$190117.2%
20243.2%8,941$379,699,394$311,327,47882.0%$0.4650N/AN/A$0.4650$1,447,766$162$1,849,419$207127.7%
2025*2.9%8,943$398,684,364$326,893,85282.0%$0.4650N/AN/A$0.4650$1,520,154$170$2,130,229$238140.1%
CAGR4.2%0.0%6.2%5.1%-0.8%-2.9%-2.9%1.2%1.2%4.2%4.2%4.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.0%12.4%5.9%5.7%11.4%6.6%7.3%13.0%7.6%6.8%11.2%6.0%$1,565,822
20216.1%10.2%6.2%6.3%13.7%7.6%7.3%10.4%6.9%7.2%10.6%7.4%$1,513,686
20227.6%9.5%6.5%6.7%10.9%8.0%7.4%10.5%6.9%8.3%9.6%7.9%$1,534,606
20237.1%9.6%6.5%6.7%9.9%7.7%7.4%10.1%7.8%8.8%11.1%7.4%$1,696,548
20247.1%8.9%7.4%7.2%11.4%7.7%7.7%9.4%8.0%7.8%9.4%8.0%$1,849,419
20256.6%10.0%5.7%7.8%13.8%7.7%6.5%10.1%7.8%7.1%9.0%8.0%$2,130,229
MEDIAN %6.9%9.9%6.4%6.8%11.5%7.7%7.4%10.4%7.7%7.5%10.2%7.7%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BROWNSVILLE (City)

Pop 186,738 PPA 2.20 %BO 27.6% Levy $72,847,964 Levy CAGR +7.0% E-Factor 2.91%
104,257 152,596 200,935 249,273 297,612 345,951 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 115,842 139,722 175,023 186,738 200,960 215,791 231,187 247,096 263,456 280,197 297,240 314,501 +1.9% +2.3% +0.6% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% Population Trend: BROWNSVILLE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BROWNSVILLE had a 2020 population of 186,738 across 132.3 square miles, yielding a density of 2.20 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 314,501, a gain of 127,763 (+68.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.65% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 27.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BROWNSVILLE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 46.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BROWNSVILLE levied $72,847,964 in property taxes on a market value base of $16,471,117,849. The taxable value of $12,070,833,632 reflects 26.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6035 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3578 for Maintenance & Operations (59.3%) and $0.2457 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (40.7%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $376 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.0% CAGR lagged market value growth of 13.5% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.91% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): BROWNSVILLE collected $62,753,303 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $324 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 86.1% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 10.3% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: BROWNSVILLE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BROWNSVILLE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop115,842139,722175,023186,738200,960215,791231,187247,096263,456280,197297,240314,501
PPA1.371.652.072.202.372.552.732.923.113.313.513.71
%BO17.1%20.6%25.8%27.6%29.7%31.8%34.1%36.5%38.9%41.4%43.9%46.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%186,738$9,464,596,866$7,584,539,34580.1%$0.4428$0.255136.6%$0.6980$52,937,354$283$40,932,113$21977.3%
20214.7%188,160$9,914,240,128$7,916,619,61279.9%$0.4420$0.255136.6%$0.6971$55,187,784$293$49,250,232$26289.2%
20228.0%189,582$10,661,611,859$8,479,956,77779.5%$0.4275$0.264438.2%$0.6919$58,674,432$309$55,592,999$29394.7%
20234.1%191,004$14,044,756,839$10,445,455,11974.4%$0.3701$0.237939.1%$0.6080$63,507,009$332$58,136,168$30491.5%
20243.2%192,426$15,686,778,904$11,496,032,03073.3%$0.3578$0.245740.7%$0.6035$69,379,013$361$60,656,607$31587.4%
2025*2.9%193,849$16,471,117,849$12,070,833,63273.3%$0.3578$0.245740.7%$0.6035$72,847,964$376$62,753,303$32486.1%
CAGR4.2%0.8%13.5%11.0%-1.8%-4.2%-0.7%2.2%-2.9%7.0%6.2%10.3%9.5%2.2%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.7%11.8%7.9%7.2%8.0%6.6%7.8%9.5%7.4%7.8%10.2%8.1%$40,932,113
20217.4%9.5%7.4%6.2%10.1%8.1%8.2%9.7%8.0%8.0%9.2%8.1%$49,250,232
20228.7%10.2%7.2%7.1%9.3%8.0%8.0%9.3%7.5%8.2%8.6%8.0%$55,592,999
20238.1%10.1%7.2%7.4%9.2%7.5%8.9%8.8%7.9%8.7%8.3%7.8%$58,136,168
20248.2%11.7%6.1%8.0%8.8%8.4%7.7%8.7%8.6%7.7%8.2%7.9%$60,656,607
20258.0%11.2%7.5%6.7%8.9%8.6%7.5%8.5%8.5%7.8%8.5%8.3%$62,753,303
MEDIAN %8.1%10.7%7.3%7.2%9.1%8.1%7.9%9.1%8.0%8.0%8.5%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BROWNWOOD (City)

Pop 18,862 PPA 1.99 %BO 24.8% Levy $9,830,900 Levy CAGR +6.4% E-Factor 0.81%
16,931 17,788 18,645 19,502 20,359 21,216 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 19,084 18,813 19,288 18,862 18,893 18,924 18,956 18,988 19,019 19,051 19,083 19,115 -0.1% +0.2% -0.2% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: BROWNWOOD (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BROWNWOOD had a 2020 population of 18,862 across 14.8 square miles, yielding a density of 1.99 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 19,115, a gain of 253 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 24.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BROWNWOOD has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 25.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BROWNWOOD levied $9,830,900 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,983,910,250. The taxable value of $1,416,964,602 reflects 28.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6938 per $100 valuation consists of $0.6084 for Maintenance & Operations (87.7%) and $0.0854 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (12.3%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $521 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.4% CAGR lagged market value growth of 9.3% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.81% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): BROWNWOOD collected $7,694,148 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $408 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 78.3% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 5.2% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: BROWNWOOD demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BROWNWOOD
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop19,08418,81319,28818,86218,89318,92418,95618,98819,01919,05119,08319,115
PPA2.011.982.031.991.991.992.002.002.002.012.012.01
%BO25.1%24.8%25.4%24.8%24.9%24.9%25.0%25.0%25.0%25.1%25.1%25.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%18,862$1,325,569,984$980,764,62074.0%$0.6104$0.134418.0%$0.7448$7,304,735$387$5,811,250$30879.6%
20214.7%18,865$1,440,278,793$1,031,521,24171.6%$0.6174$0.114315.6%$0.7317$7,547,641$400$6,592,471$34987.3%
20228.0%18,868$1,664,693,377$1,186,595,91071.3%$0.5947$0.091713.4%$0.6864$8,144,794$432$6,827,377$36283.8%
20234.1%18,871$1,771,168,241$1,275,874,53472.0%$0.5786$0.087313.1%$0.6659$8,496,049$450$7,343,495$38986.4%
20243.2%18,874$1,889,438,333$1,349,490,09771.4%$0.6084$0.085412.3%$0.6938$9,362,762$496$7,128,526$37876.1%
2025*2.9%18,877$1,983,910,250$1,416,964,60271.4%$0.6084$0.085412.3%$0.6938$9,830,900$521$7,694,148$40878.3%
CAGR4.2%0.0%9.3%8.3%-0.7%-0.1%-8.7%-7.4%-1.4%6.4%6.4%5.2%5.2%-0.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.4%10.7%5.9%6.6%9.0%8.1%8.3%10.5%8.4%7.2%9.7%8.1%$5,811,250
20217.2%9.8%7.1%5.9%11.3%8.3%7.7%9.9%8.1%7.5%9.8%7.4%$6,592,471
20227.5%10.5%7.0%6.3%10.0%8.0%7.7%9.7%7.8%8.0%9.3%8.2%$6,827,377
20237.8%10.2%7.1%7.4%9.5%7.9%8.5%9.8%7.8%7.9%8.5%7.7%$7,343,495
20248.3%9.4%7.2%7.1%9.9%7.9%8.0%9.3%8.3%7.6%9.1%7.9%$7,128,526
20257.1%12.0%7.1%6.8%9.7%7.8%7.6%9.0%8.0%7.7%9.1%8.0%$7,694,148
MEDIAN %7.5%10.4%7.1%6.7%9.8%8.0%7.9%9.8%8.1%7.7%9.2%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BRYAN (City)

Pop 83,980 PPA 2.95 %BO 36.9% Levy $65,030,461 Levy CAGR +10.7% E-Factor 2.93%
49,741 69,508 89,275 109,043 128,810 148,578 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 55,268 65,660 76,201 83,980 90,123 96,416 102,819 109,295 115,800 122,292 128,730 135,071 +1.7% +1.5% +1.0% +0.7% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% Population Trend: BRYAN (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BRYAN had a 2020 population of 83,980 across 44.4 square miles, yielding a density of 2.95 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 135,071, a gain of 51,091 (+60.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.60% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 36.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BRYAN has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 59.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BRYAN levied $65,030,461 in property taxes on a market value base of $12,978,455,222. The taxable value of $10,421,548,293 reflects 19.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6240 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4636 for Maintenance & Operations (74.3%) and $0.1604 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (25.7%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $747 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 10.7% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.9% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.93% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): BRYAN collected $30,909,771 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $355 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 47.5% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.6% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: BRYAN demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BRYAN
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop55,26865,66076,20183,98090,12396,416102,819109,295115,800122,292128,730135,071
PPA1.942.312.682.953.173.393.623.854.074.304.534.75
%BO24.3%28.9%33.5%36.9%39.6%42.4%45.2%48.1%50.9%53.8%56.6%59.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%83,980$8,171,753,972$6,558,248,48980.3%$0.4540$0.175027.8%$0.6290$41,251,383$491$23,149,685$27656.1%
20214.7%84,594$8,521,396,724$6,862,793,88580.5%$0.4190$0.210033.4%$0.6290$43,166,974$510$24,741,559$29257.3%
20228.0%85,208$9,838,748,796$7,857,534,64279.9%$0.4130$0.211033.8%$0.6240$49,031,016$575$28,686,278$33758.5%
20234.1%85,822$11,817,704,285$9,478,547,20680.2%$0.4308$0.193231.0%$0.6240$59,146,135$689$29,561,916$34450.0%
20243.2%86,437$12,360,433,545$9,925,284,08980.3%$0.4636$0.160425.7%$0.6240$61,933,772$717$29,914,746$34648.3%
2025*2.9%87,051$12,978,455,222$10,421,548,29380.3%$0.4636$0.160425.7%$0.6240$65,030,461$747$30,909,771$35547.5%
CAGR4.2%0.7%10.9%10.9%0.0%0.4%-1.7%-1.6%-0.2%10.7%9.9%6.6%5.9%-3.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.4%10.0%7.5%7.6%9.2%7.0%7.6%8.7%7.6%10.4%8.5%7.4%$23,149,685
20217.2%8.7%6.8%4.9%10.1%8.5%8.2%10.1%8.5%8.9%10.1%8.2%$24,741,559
20227.7%9.1%7.1%6.5%9.5%8.4%8.5%9.4%7.8%8.8%9.1%7.9%$28,686,278
20238.1%9.4%7.3%7.3%9.3%8.1%8.4%9.1%7.8%8.5%8.7%8.0%$29,561,916
20247.8%9.1%7.1%7.4%9.5%8.2%8.1%9.0%9.0%8.6%8.4%7.9%$29,914,746
20257.6%11.6%7.1%6.7%9.1%8.1%8.2%8.6%8.0%7.8%8.8%8.4%$30,909,771
MEDIAN %7.8%9.4%7.2%7.0%9.5%8.2%8.3%9.1%8.0%8.8%8.8%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BUDA (City)

Pop 15,108 PPA 4.40 %BO 55.1% Levy $11,478,121 Levy CAGR +12.4% E-Factor 4.10%
1,762 7,433 13,104 18,775 24,446 30,118 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 1,958 2,404 7,295 15,108 19,676 23,060 25,148 26,293 26,880 27,170 27,312 27,380 +2.1% +11.7% +7.6% +2.7% +1.6% +0.9% +0.4% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1% +0.0% Population Trend: BUDA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BUDA had a 2020 population of 15,108 across 5.4 square miles, yielding a density of 4.40 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 27,380, a gain of 12,272 (+81.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.75% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 55.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BUDA is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 99.8%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BUDA levied $11,478,121 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,877,061,044. The taxable value of $3,380,890,073 reflects 12.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3395 per $100 valuation consists of $0.0899 for Maintenance & Operations (26.5%) and $0.2496 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (73.5%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $660 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 12.4% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.3% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.10% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): BUDA collected $13,309,232 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $765 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 116.0% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 11.6% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: BUDA demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BUDA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop1,9582,4047,29515,10819,67623,06025,14826,29326,88027,17027,31227,380
PPA0.570.702.134.405.746.727.337.667.847.927.967.98
%BO7.1%8.8%26.6%55.1%71.7%84.0%91.6%95.8%97.9%99.0%99.5%99.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%15,108$2,161,147,709$2,000,882,72692.6%$0.1147$0.227666.5%$0.3423$6,849,022$453$8,371,210$554122.2%
20214.7%15,564$2,424,682,538$2,222,617,13891.7%$0.1087$0.233668.2%$0.3423$7,608,018$489$10,881,228$699143.0%
20228.0%16,021$3,402,575,802$2,758,815,69381.1%$0.0926$0.249772.9%$0.3423$9,443,426$589$11,815,676$738125.1%
20234.1%16,478$3,689,332,701$3,033,603,79882.2%$0.0882$0.249773.9%$0.3379$10,250,547$622$12,892,560$782125.8%
20243.2%16,935$3,692,439,090$3,219,895,30887.2%$0.0899$0.249673.5%$0.3395$10,931,544$646$12,985,487$767118.8%
2025*2.9%17,392$3,877,061,044$3,380,890,07387.2%$0.0899$0.249673.5%$0.3395$11,478,121$660$13,309,232$765116.0%
CAGR4.2%2.9%14.3%12.6%-1.2%-4.8%1.9%2.0%-0.2%12.4%9.2%11.6%8.5%-1.0%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.6%10.7%7.2%7.0%8.0%7.4%7.8%9.3%8.1%8.1%9.8%8.9%$8,371,210
20216.9%8.5%6.7%5.9%10.0%7.8%7.8%9.4%9.1%8.9%10.1%9.1%$10,881,228
20228.2%9.6%7.0%6.5%10.4%7.4%8.4%10.1%6.8%10.0%8.3%7.5%$11,815,676
20237.4%10.2%7.6%7.2%8.9%7.9%8.8%8.9%8.1%8.7%8.4%8.0%$12,892,560
20248.2%9.7%7.1%7.1%8.9%7.7%8.1%8.1%8.1%8.2%9.3%9.4%$12,985,487
20258.0%10.6%6.7%7.5%8.4%8.4%7.3%8.2%7.9%9.2%8.7%9.1%$13,309,232
MEDIAN %7.8%9.9%7.0%7.0%8.9%7.7%7.9%9.1%8.0%8.7%9.0%8.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BURKBURNETT (City)

Pop 10,939 PPA 1.51 %BO 18.9% Levy $4,860,365 Levy CAGR +5.7% E-Factor 0.87%
9,110 9,978 10,846 11,714 12,582 13,450 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 10,123 10,927 10,811 10,939 11,094 11,251 11,410 11,570 11,732 11,896 12,061 12,228 +0.8% -0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: BURKBURNETT (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BURKBURNETT had a 2020 population of 10,939 across 11.3 square miles, yielding a density of 1.51 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 12,228, a gain of 1,289 (+11.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.14% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 18.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BURKBURNETT has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 21.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BURKBURNETT levied $4,860,365 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,000,109,264. The taxable value of $758,979,119 reflects 24.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6404 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4992 for Maintenance & Operations (77.9%) and $0.1412 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (22.1%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $441 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.7% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.6% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.87% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): BURKBURNETT collected $2,439,253 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $221 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 50.2% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.3% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: BURKBURNETT demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BURKBURNETT
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop10,12310,92710,81110,93911,09411,25111,41011,57011,73211,89612,06112,228
PPA1.401.511.491.511.531.551.571.601.621.641.661.69
%BO17.5%18.8%18.6%18.9%19.1%19.4%19.7%19.9%20.2%20.5%20.8%21.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%10,939$636,726,134$507,988,38679.8%$0.5397$0.189726.0%$0.7293$3,704,988$339$1,723,634$15846.5%
20214.7%10,954$675,996,886$541,295,66980.1%$0.5440$0.170523.9%$0.7145$3,867,671$353$1,886,373$17248.8%
20228.0%10,970$816,952,158$612,513,08275.0%$0.5196$0.151822.6%$0.6715$4,112,737$375$1,977,553$18048.1%
20234.1%10,985$896,930,566$683,373,26676.2%$0.4921$0.146122.9%$0.6382$4,361,193$397$2,064,447$18847.3%
20243.2%11,001$952,485,013$722,837,25675.9%$0.4992$0.141222.1%$0.6404$4,628,919$421$2,200,453$20047.5%
2025*2.9%11,016$1,000,109,264$758,979,11975.9%$0.4992$0.141222.1%$0.6404$4,860,365$441$2,439,253$22150.2%
CAGR4.2%0.1%10.6%9.2%-1.0%-1.5%-5.7%-3.2%-2.6%5.7%5.6%6.3%6.1%1.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.3%10.7%6.3%6.6%10.0%7.5%7.7%11.1%7.5%8.0%11.3%7.0%$1,723,634
20216.5%10.7%6.4%5.9%12.3%7.7%7.0%11.1%7.3%7.3%11.1%6.8%$1,886,373
20227.3%10.6%6.4%6.2%11.4%6.8%7.1%11.1%7.5%7.7%11.1%6.7%$1,977,553
20237.1%11.3%6.5%6.5%11.1%6.9%6.9%10.3%7.1%7.5%11.2%7.4%$2,064,447
20248.5%10.5%6.5%6.3%10.6%6.6%6.7%10.9%7.7%7.1%11.5%7.1%$2,200,453
20256.0%11.5%6.0%5.6%14.8%6.6%7.6%10.4%7.8%7.0%9.8%6.9%$2,439,253
MEDIAN %6.8%10.8%6.4%6.3%11.3%6.9%7.1%11.1%7.6%7.4%11.3%7.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BURLESON (City)

Pop 47,641 PPA 2.86 %BO 35.8% Levy $45,798,179 Levy CAGR +8.5% E-Factor 1.57%
14,863 37,117 59,370 81,624 103,877 126,131 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 16,515 20,976 36,690 47,641 57,153 67,088 77,012 86,493 95,173 102,813 109,307 114,665 +2.4% +5.8% +2.6% +1.8% +1.6% +1.4% +1.2% +1.0% +0.8% +0.6% +0.5% Population Trend: BURLESON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BURLESON had a 2020 population of 47,641 across 26.0 square miles, yielding a density of 2.86 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 114,665, a gain of 67,024 (+140.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.10% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 35.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BURLESON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 86.1%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BURLESON levied $45,798,179 in property taxes on a market value base of $8,573,797,174. The taxable value of $6,910,846,562 reflects 19.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6627 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4704 for Maintenance & Operations (71.0%) and $0.1923 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (29.0%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $874 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.57% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): BURLESON collected $31,044,212 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $592 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 67.8% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.5% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: BURLESON demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BURLESON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop16,51520,97636,69047,64157,15367,08877,01286,49395,173102,813109,307114,665
PPA0.991.262.202.863.434.034.635.205.726.186.576.89
%BO12.4%15.8%27.6%35.8%42.9%50.4%57.8%64.9%71.5%77.2%82.1%86.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%47,641$5,381,011,703$4,428,302,22082.3%$0.5187$0.192427.1%$0.7111$31,489,657$661$21,376,963$44967.9%
20214.7%48,592$5,774,304,820$4,803,306,23983.2%$0.4974$0.188527.5%$0.6859$32,945,878$678$24,817,114$51175.3%
20228.0%49,543$6,794,858,567$5,484,016,67180.7%$0.4649$0.192329.3%$0.6572$36,040,958$727$27,984,183$56577.6%
20234.1%50,494$8,098,685,427$6,378,478,14478.8%$0.4402$0.192330.4%$0.6325$40,343,874$799$29,473,057$58473.1%
20243.2%51,445$8,165,521,118$6,581,758,63080.6%$0.4704$0.192329.0%$0.6627$43,617,313$848$29,670,875$57768.0%
2025*2.9%52,397$8,573,797,174$6,910,846,56280.6%$0.4704$0.192329.0%$0.6627$45,798,179$874$31,044,212$59267.8%
CAGR4.2%1.9%11.0%10.4%-0.4%-1.9%-0.0%1.4%-1.4%8.5%6.4%8.5%6.5%-0.0%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%10.6%7.1%7.2%8.2%7.0%8.4%10.2%8.1%8.1%9.7%8.1%$21,376,963
20217.2%9.4%6.9%5.9%9.9%7.9%8.0%10.0%8.6%8.4%9.8%8.1%$24,817,114
20228.1%9.4%8.3%6.5%9.1%7.8%8.1%9.3%8.1%8.3%8.9%8.0%$27,984,183
20237.9%10.1%7.1%7.4%9.0%7.6%8.3%9.1%8.2%8.3%8.8%8.2%$29,473,057
20248.4%9.9%6.9%7.3%8.9%7.7%8.1%9.3%8.7%7.5%9.4%7.8%$29,670,875
20257.4%11.2%7.0%6.9%9.1%8.0%8.4%8.8%8.3%8.0%8.7%8.2%$31,044,212
MEDIAN %7.7%10.0%7.1%7.1%9.1%7.8%8.2%9.3%8.2%8.2%9.1%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BURLESON (County)

Pop 47,641 PPA 2.86 %BO 35.8% Levy $21,728,611 Levy CAGR +11.1% E-Factor 4.14%
14,863 37,117 59,370 81,624 103,877 126,131 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 16,515 20,976 36,690 47,641 57,153 67,088 77,012 86,493 95,173 102,813 109,307 114,665 +2.4% +5.8% +2.6% +1.8% +1.6% +1.4% +1.2% +1.0% +0.8% +0.6% +0.5% Population Trend: BURLESON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BURLESON had a 2020 population of 47,641 across 26.0 square miles, yielding a density of 2.86 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 114,665, a gain of 67,024 (+140.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.10% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 35.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BURLESON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 86.1%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BURLESON levied $21,728,611 in property taxes on a market value base of $9,076,885,125. The taxable value of $4,734,316,888 reflects 47.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4600 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3767 for Maintenance & Operations (98.2%) and $0.0083 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (1.8%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $415 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 11.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 15.8% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.14% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: BURLESON demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BURLESON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop16,51520,97636,69047,64157,15367,08877,01286,49395,173102,813109,307114,665
PPA0.991.262.202.863.434.034.635.205.726.186.576.89
%BO12.4%15.8%27.6%35.8%42.9%50.4%57.8%64.9%71.5%77.2%82.1%86.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%47,641$4,805,292,525~EstN/A$0.5432$0.01683.0%$0.5600$13,595,358$285
20214.7%48,592$4,760,693,653~EstN/A$0.5413$0.01873.3%$0.5600$13,227,568$272
20228.0%49,543$5,946,606,241~EstN/A$0.4880$0.01202.4%$0.5000$15,499,853$313
20234.1%50,494$7,210,291,124~EstN/A$0.4699$0.01012.1%$0.4800$17,749,397$352
20243.2%51,445$8,644,652,500$4,508,873,22752.2%$0.3767$0.00831.8%$0.4600$20,693,915$402
2025~2.9%52,397$9,076,885,125$4,734,316,88852.2%$0.3767$0.00831.8%$0.4600$21,728,611$415
CAGR4.2%1.9%15.8%-7.1%-13.3%-9.8%-3.9%11.1%9.0%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

BURLESON COUNTY (City)

Pop 17,642 PPA 0.04 %BO 0.5% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
12,262 15,593 18,923 22,254 25,585 28,915 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 13,625 16,470 17,187 17,642 18,544 19,493 20,490 21,537 22,638 23,795 25,010 26,287 +1.9% +0.4% +0.3% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% Population Trend: BURLESON COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BURLESON COUNTY had a 2020 population of 17,642 across 659.1 square miles, yielding a density of 0.04 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 26,287, a gain of 8,645 (+49.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.50% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BURLESON COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: BURLESON COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BURLESON COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop13,62516,47017,18717,64218,54419,49320,49021,53722,63823,79525,01026,287
PPA0.030.040.040.040.040.050.050.050.050.060.060.06
%BO0.4%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.8%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20209.5%9.4%10.5%9.7%12.9%8.3%7.6%7.6%6.1%5.7%7.1%5.6%$1,429,295
20217.5%9.4%7.3%5.9%10.1%8.1%7.8%9.2%8.0%8.6%10.3%7.7%$1,151,541
20227.8%9.3%6.3%6.0%9.9%8.2%7.8%10.1%8.5%8.9%11.5%5.6%$1,565,690
20239.3%10.7%6.3%6.7%9.9%8.7%8.7%8.6%8.1%7.6%8.0%7.5%$1,573,045
20248.4%9.4%7.4%6.9%9.1%8.4%8.3%11.1%4.6%8.1%10.4%7.9%$1,435,468
20258.1%11.7%6.9%7.0%9.2%7.8%7.4%8.0%9.7%7.7%8.6%7.7%$1,528,940
MEDIAN %8.3%9.5%7.2%6.8%10.0%8.3%7.8%8.9%8.1%7.9%9.5%7.6%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

BURNET (County)

Pop 6,436 PPA 0.99 %BO 12.4% Levy $46,253,768 Levy CAGR +9.9% E-Factor 3.77%
3,114 5,690 8,266 10,841 13,417 15,992 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 3,461 4,735 5,987 6,436 7,183 8,001 8,894 9,865 10,915 12,044 13,253 14,539 +3.2% +2.4% +0.7% +1.1% +1.1% +1.1% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +0.9% Population Trend: BURNET (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BURNET had a 2020 population of 6,436 across 10.1 square miles, yielding a density of 0.99 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 14,539, a gain of 8,103 (+125.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.02% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 12.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BURNET has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 28.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): BURNET levied $46,253,768 in property taxes on a market value base of $23,546,160,054. The taxable value of $14,919,190,945 reflects 36.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3091 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2556 for Maintenance & Operations (82.7%) and $0.0535 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (17.3%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $6,793 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 9.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 18.8% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.77% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: BURNET demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BURNET
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop3,4614,7355,9876,4367,1838,0018,8949,86510,91512,04413,25314,539
PPA0.530.730.930.991.111.241.371.521.691.862.052.25
%BO6.7%9.1%11.6%12.4%13.9%15.5%17.2%19.1%21.1%23.3%25.6%28.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%6,436$11,251,898,623~EstN/A$0.3531$0.046811.7%$0.3999$30,189,555$4,691
20214.7%6,510$12,873,186,455~EstN/A$0.3497$0.050012.5%$0.3997$35,209,480$5,409
20228.0%6,585$17,624,677,441~EstN/A$0.3200$0.056615.0%$0.3766$41,124,918$6,245
20234.1%6,660$21,789,022,306~EstN/A$0.2518$0.059319.1%$0.3111$41,524,630$6,235
20243.2%6,734$22,424,914,337$14,208,753,28163.4%$0.2556$0.053517.3%$0.3091$44,051,208$6,542
2025~2.9%6,809$23,546,160,054$14,919,190,94563.4%$0.2556$0.053517.3%$0.3091$46,253,768$6,793
CAGR4.2%1.1%18.8%-6.3%2.7%8.1%-5.0%9.9%8.7%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

BURNET COUNTY (City)

Pop 49,130 PPA 0.08 %BO 1.0% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
20,409 62,926 105,442 147,959 190,476 232,993 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 22,677 34,147 42,750 49,130 59,099 71,063 85,409 102,592 123,148 147,702 176,978 211,812 +4.2% +2.3% +1.4% +1.9% +1.9% +1.9% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% Population Trend: BURNET COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: BURNET COUNTY had a 2020 population of 49,130 across 994.8 square miles, yielding a density of 0.08 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 211,812, a gain of 162,682 (+331.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.84% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), BURNET COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 4.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: BURNET COUNTY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
BURNET COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop22,67734,14742,75049,13059,09971,06385,409102,592123,148147,702176,978211,812
PPA0.040.050.070.080.090.110.130.160.190.230.280.33
%BO0.4%0.7%0.8%1.0%1.2%1.4%1.7%2.0%2.4%2.9%3.5%4.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

CALDWELL (County)

Pop 3,993 PPA 1.60 %BO 20.0% Levy $27,946,673 Levy CAGR +5.8% E-Factor 0.71%
2,903 3,271 3,638 4,006 4,374 4,742 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 3,226 3,449 4,104 3,993 4,031 4,070 4,110 4,149 4,189 4,230 4,270 4,311 +0.7% +1.8% -0.3% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: CALDWELL (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CALDWELL had a 2020 population of 3,993 across 3.9 square miles, yielding a density of 1.60 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 4,311, a gain of 318 (+8.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.10% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 20.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CALDWELL has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 21.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): CALDWELL levied $27,946,673 in property taxes on a market value base of $11,743,219,181. The taxable value of $6,350,059,007 reflects 45.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4391 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4036 for Maintenance & Operations (91.9%) and $0.0355 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (8.1%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $6,966 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 22.2% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.71% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Strategic Outlook: CALDWELL demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CALDWELL
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop3,2263,4494,1043,9934,0314,0704,1104,1494,1894,2304,2704,311
PPA1.291.381.641.601.621.631.651.661.681.691.711.73
%BO16.2%17.3%20.6%20.0%20.2%20.4%20.6%20.8%21.0%21.2%21.4%21.6%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%3,993$5,007,638,506~EstN/A$0.6684$0.03705.2%$0.7054$21,238,766$5,319
20214.7%3,996$5,751,429,325~EstN/A$0.6364$0.03555.3%$0.6719$23,234,657$5,814
20228.0%4,000$7,852,634,252~EstN/A$0.5177$0.03556.4%$0.5532$24,862,044$6,216
20234.1%4,004$10,520,568,700~EstN/A$0.4337$0.03557.6%$0.4692$25,891,611$6,466
20243.2%4,008$11,184,018,268$6,047,675,24554.1%$0.4036$0.03558.1%$0.4391$26,615,879$6,641
2025~2.9%4,012$11,743,219,181$6,350,059,00754.1%$0.4036$0.03558.1%$0.4391$27,946,673$6,966
CAGR4.2%0.1%22.2%-9.6%-0.8%9.0%-9.0%5.8%5.7%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

CALDWELL COUNTY (City)

Pop 45,883 PPA 0.13 %BO 1.6% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
23,752 61,276 98,799 136,323 173,846 211,370 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 26,392 32,194 38,066 45,883 55,068 66,049 79,156 94,775 113,348 135,380 161,439 192,155 +2.0% +1.7% +1.9% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% Population Trend: CALDWELL COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CALDWELL COUNTY had a 2020 population of 45,883 across 545.2 square miles, yielding a density of 0.13 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 192,155, a gain of 146,272 (+318.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.81% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CALDWELL COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 6.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: CALDWELL COUNTY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CALDWELL COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop26,39232,19438,06645,88355,06866,04979,15694,775113,348135,380161,439192,155
PPA0.080.090.110.130.160.190.230.270.320.390.460.55
%BO0.9%1.2%1.4%1.6%2.0%2.4%2.8%3.4%4.1%4.8%5.8%6.9%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.0%9.1%6.9%6.3%7.9%7.4%7.8%9.2%7.8%7.4%15.2%8.0%$2,415,378
20217.2%8.9%6.9%6.3%9.2%8.6%9.1%9.6%8.3%8.1%9.4%8.3%$2,640,296
20227.8%9.2%7.1%7.1%7.8%8.1%8.3%9.7%8.7%8.8%9.0%8.5%$2,921,554
20237.5%8.6%7.1%6.8%8.9%7.8%8.4%9.2%11.3%8.8%7.9%7.6%$3,477,622
20247.5%9.4%7.1%7.3%8.1%8.8%8.3%9.1%9.7%8.0%8.4%8.2%$3,711,014
20258.6%11.0%7.1%7.0%8.2%8.4%7.9%8.7%8.5%7.0%8.7%9.0%$3,979,006
MEDIAN %7.6%9.3%7.2%7.0%8.3%8.4%8.5%9.3%8.7%8.2%9.0%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

CALHOUN (County)

Pop 0 PPA 0.00 %BO 0.0% Levy $33,646,882 Levy CAGR +10.3% E-Factor 5.28%
Property Tax Overview (2025): CALHOUN levied $33,646,882 in property taxes on a market value base of $8,721,022,467. The taxable value of $5,804,946,229 reflects 33.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6222 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5791 for Maintenance & Operations (93.1%) and $0.0431 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (6.9%). Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 10.3% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 7.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 5.28% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: CALHOUN demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CALHOUN
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%N/A$6,183,492,019~EstN/A$0.5535$0.03375.7%$0.5872$21,668,406N/A
20214.7%N/A$6,520,879,739~EstN/A$0.5780$0.03215.3%$0.6101$23,148,657N/A
20228.0%N/A$7,180,080,301~EstN/A$0.5824$0.01462.4%$0.5970$25,575,293N/A
20234.1%N/A$7,654,747,465~EstN/A$0.5491$0.01102.0%$0.5601$26,877,493N/A
20243.2%N/A$8,305,735,683$5,528,520,21866.6%$0.5791$0.04316.9%$0.6222$32,044,650N/A
2025~2.9%N/A$8,721,022,467$5,804,946,22966.6%$0.5791$0.04316.9%$0.6222$33,646,882N/A
CAGR4.2%7.7%0.9%5.0%3.8%1.2%10.3%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

CALHOUN COUNTY (City)

Pop 20,106 PPA 0.06 %BO 0.8% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
17,147 18,421 19,696 20,970 22,244 23,519 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 19,053 20,647 21,381 20,106 20,139 20,173 20,206 20,240 20,274 20,307 20,341 20,375 +0.8% +0.3% -0.6% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: CALHOUN COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CALHOUN COUNTY had a 2020 population of 20,106 across 506.8 square miles, yielding a density of 0.06 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 20,375, a gain of 269 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CALHOUN COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: CALHOUN COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CALHOUN COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop19,05320,64721,38120,10620,13920,17320,20620,24020,27420,30720,34120,375
PPA0.060.060.070.060.060.060.060.060.060.060.060.06
%BO0.7%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.1%7.7%7.2%6.7%8.3%6.5%6.5%7.4%7.2%6.7%21.8%7.8%$4,181,029
20217.5%8.5%7.0%6.1%9.5%10.5%7.6%9.4%7.7%11.3%7.7%7.3%$3,597,764
20227.3%10.3%7.2%7.9%10.0%0.1%8.4%8.6%10.2%9.4%10.4%10.3%$3,380,955
20238.8%8.3%9.8%8.5%9.4%8.0%9.5%0.0%8.7%9.6%8.9%10.6%$3,539,974
20248.3%10.9%9.2%9.9%9.9%9.8%11.1%10.0%10.2%10.6%0.0%0.0%$3,352,757
20250.0%0.0%8.8%7.9%10.2%11.0%11.0%11.2%10.1%8.0%11.8%10.0%$3,657,617
MEDIAN %7.0%7.9%7.6%7.5%9.2%8.4%8.5%8.5%8.9%9.0%9.1%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

CALLAHAN (County)

Pop 0 PPA 0.00 %BO 0.0% Levy $12,662,897 Levy CAGR +12.9% E-Factor 7.87%
Property Tax Overview (2025): CALLAHAN levied $12,662,897 in property taxes on a market value base of $4,307,228,753. The taxable value of $2,272,075,236 reflects 47.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5913 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5518 for Maintenance & Operations (93.3%) and $0.0396 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (6.7%). Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 12.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 19.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 7.87% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: CALLAHAN demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CALLAHAN
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%N/A$2,042,572,399~EstN/A$0.6193$0.169321.5%$0.7886$7,430,591N/A
20214.7%N/A$2,086,207,144~EstN/A$0.4800$0.087515.4%$0.5675$5,503,616N/A
20228.0%N/A$2,704,778,997~EstN/A$0.5850$0.05578.7%$0.6407$9,424,124N/A
20234.1%N/A$3,921,841,305~EstN/A$0.4952$0.04548.4%$0.5406$9,737,072N/A
20243.2%N/A$4,102,122,622$2,163,881,17752.8%$0.5518$0.03966.7%$0.5913$12,059,902N/A
2025~2.9%N/A$4,307,228,753$2,272,075,23652.8%$0.5518$0.03966.7%$0.5913$12,662,897N/A
CAGR4.2%19.0%-2.3%-25.2%-20.8%-5.6%12.9%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

CALLAHAN COUNTY (City)

Pop 13,708 PPA 0.02 %BO 0.3% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
10,673 12,265 13,857 15,449 17,041 18,634 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 11,859 12,905 13,544 13,708 14,075 14,453 14,841 15,239 15,647 16,067 16,498 16,940 +0.8% +0.5% +0.1% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: CALLAHAN COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CALLAHAN COUNTY had a 2020 population of 13,708 across 899.4 square miles, yielding a density of 0.02 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 16,940, a gain of 3,232 (+23.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.26% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CALLAHAN COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: CALLAHAN COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CALLAHAN COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop11,85912,90513,54413,70814,07514,45314,84115,23915,64716,06716,49816,940
PPA0.020.020.020.020.020.030.030.030.030.030.030.03
%BO0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.4%0.4%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

CAMERON (County)

Pop 5,306 PPA 1.59 %BO 19.8% Levy $160,378,418 Levy CAGR +13.5% E-Factor 8.53%
4,775 5,071 5,368 5,664 5,961 6,257 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 5,689 5,634 5,552 5,306 5,314 5,323 5,332 5,341 5,350 5,359 5,368 5,377 -0.1% -0.1% -0.5% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: CAMERON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CAMERON had a 2020 population of 5,306 across 5.2 square miles, yielding a density of 1.59 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 5,377, a gain of 71 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 19.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CAMERON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 20.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): CAMERON levied $160,378,418 in property taxes on a market value base of $45,909,122,128. The taxable value of $34,595,717,075 reflects 24.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4767 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3860 for Maintenance & Operations (91.4%) and $0.0409 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (8.6%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $30,203 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 13.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.5% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 8.53% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: CAMERON demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CAMERON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop5,6895,6345,5525,3065,3145,3235,3325,3415,3505,3595,3685,377
PPA1.701.681.661.591.591.591.591.601.601.601.601.61
%BO21.2%21.0%20.7%19.8%19.8%19.9%19.9%19.9%20.0%20.0%20.0%20.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%5,306$25,473,967,448~EstN/A$0.3836$0.053312.2%$0.4369$91,899,490$17,320
20214.7%5,306$26,776,370,983~EstN/A$0.3836$0.053312.2%$0.4369$96,391,924$18,167
20228.0%5,307$29,309,024,887~EstN/A$0.3895$0.047410.8%$0.4369$103,356,510$19,476
20234.1%5,308$38,033,935,624~EstN/A$0.3919$0.04009.3%$0.4319$125,303,099$23,606
20243.2%5,309$43,722,973,455$32,948,301,97675.4%$0.3860$0.04098.6%$0.4767$152,741,350$28,770
2025~2.9%5,310$45,909,122,128$34,595,717,07575.4%$0.3860$0.04098.6%$0.4767$160,378,418$30,203
CAGR4.2%0.0%14.5%0.1%-5.1%-6.8%1.8%13.5%13.5%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

CAMERON COUNTY (City)

Pop 421,017 PPA 0.74 %BO 9.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
234,108 356,065 478,022 599,979 721,936 843,893 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 260,120 335,227 406,220 421,017 455,015 491,435 530,395 572,012 616,398 663,658 713,888 767,176 +2.6% +1.9% +0.4% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% Population Trend: CAMERON COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CAMERON COUNTY had a 2020 population of 421,017 across 891.7 square miles, yielding a density of 0.74 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 767,176, a gain of 346,159 (+82.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.75% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 9.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CAMERON COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 16.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: CAMERON COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CAMERON COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop260,120335,227406,220421,017455,015491,435530,395572,012616,398663,658713,888767,176
PPA0.460.590.710.740.800.860.931.001.081.161.251.34
%BO5.7%7.3%8.9%9.2%10.0%10.8%11.6%12.5%13.5%14.5%15.6%16.8%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

CAMP (County)

Pop 0 PPA 0.00 %BO 0.0% Levy $6,774,976 Levy CAGR +9.6% E-Factor 4.63%
Property Tax Overview (2025): CAMP levied $6,774,976 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,612,718,058. The taxable value of $1,648,860,051 reflects 36.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4227 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2720 for Maintenance & Operations (95.0%) and $0.0212 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (5.0%). Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 9.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 13.4% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.63% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: CAMP demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CAMP
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%N/A$1,506,904,810~EstN/A$0.4689N/AN/A$0.4689$4,467,316N/A
20214.7%N/A$1,612,510,267~EstN/A$0.4689N/AN/A$0.4689$4,857,861N/A
20228.0%N/A$2,015,428,924~EstN/A$0.2989$0.140031.9%$0.4389$5,373,813N/A
20234.1%N/A$2,341,210,736~EstN/A$0.2712$0.151635.9%$0.4227$6,077,161N/A
20243.2%N/A$2,488,302,912$1,570,342,90663.1%$0.2720$0.02125.0%$0.4227$6,452,358N/A
2025~2.9%N/A$2,612,718,058$1,648,860,05163.1%$0.2720$0.02125.0%$0.4227$6,774,976N/A
CAGR4.2%13.4%-10.3%-2.1%9.6%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

CAMP COUNTY (City)

Pop 12,464 PPA 0.10 %BO 1.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
8,913 10,709 12,504 14,300 16,095 17,891 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 9,904 11,549 12,401 12,464 12,886 13,322 13,774 14,240 14,722 15,219 15,734 16,265 +1.5% +0.7% +0.1% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: CAMP COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CAMP COUNTY had a 2020 population of 12,464 across 195.8 square miles, yielding a density of 0.10 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 16,265, a gain of 3,801 (+30.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.33% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CAMP COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 1.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: CAMP COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CAMP COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop9,90411,54912,40112,46412,88613,32213,77414,24014,72215,21915,73416,265
PPA0.080.090.100.100.100.110.110.110.120.120.130.13
%BO1.0%1.2%1.2%1.2%1.3%1.3%1.4%1.4%1.5%1.5%1.6%1.6%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.2%7.9%6.5%10.5%7.9%12.1%6.8%9.4%7.8%7.8%8.5%7.5%$560,064
20217.3%9.4%7.3%6.8%9.1%8.1%7.8%8.5%8.5%8.3%10.7%8.2%$588,470
20228.5%8.9%7.1%6.4%8.9%7.7%7.9%9.0%8.1%9.1%9.7%8.8%$644,765
20238.7%9.5%7.9%8.1%10.2%7.7%7.8%8.6%7.8%8.4%8.0%7.3%$750,869
20248.2%9.6%6.9%7.9%9.6%7.8%7.9%8.9%8.0%8.1%9.5%7.6%$710,437
20257.9%10.1%7.4%6.8%10.9%8.0%7.8%7.9%8.1%7.2%9.1%8.8%$773,125
MEDIAN %8.1%9.5%7.2%7.4%9.4%8.0%7.8%8.8%8.1%8.3%9.4%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

CANYON (City)

Pop 14,836 PPA 3.37 %BO 42.2% Levy $5,639,122 Levy CAGR +10.3% E-Factor 2.73%
10,280 13,021 15,762 18,503 21,244 23,985 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 11,423 12,875 13,303 14,836 15,704 16,582 17,465 18,349 19,230 20,102 20,962 21,805 +1.2% +0.3% +1.1% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% Population Trend: CANYON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CANYON had a 2020 population of 14,836 across 6.9 square miles, yielding a density of 3.37 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 21,805, a gain of 6,969 (+47.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.48% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 42.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CANYON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 62.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): CANYON levied $5,639,122 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,144,973,755. The taxable value of $1,375,026,833 reflects 35.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4101 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3764 for Maintenance & Operations (91.8%) and $0.0338 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (8.2%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $369 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 10.3% CAGR lagged market value growth of 12.9% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.73% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): CANYON collected $4,995,616 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $327 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 88.6% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.4% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: CANYON demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CANYON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop11,42312,87513,30314,83615,70416,58217,46518,34919,23020,10220,96221,805
PPA2.602.933.033.373.573.773.974.174.374.574.774.96
%BO32.5%36.6%37.8%42.2%44.6%47.1%49.7%52.2%54.7%57.2%59.6%62.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%14,836$1,256,799,104$829,738,03166.0%$0.3808$0.057313.1%$0.4381$3,634,999$245$3,621,578$24499.6%
20214.7%14,922$1,348,204,061$902,940,25967.0%$0.3846$0.04169.8%$0.4262$3,848,151$258$4,078,919$273106.0%
20228.0%15,009$1,602,159,306$1,054,715,34965.8%$0.3735$0.02676.7%$0.4002$4,220,549$281$4,683,838$312111.0%
20234.1%15,096$1,883,089,614$1,194,469,44463.4%$0.3791$0.01383.5%$0.3929$4,692,593$311$4,555,493$30297.1%
20243.2%15,183$2,042,832,148$1,309,549,36564.1%$0.3764$0.03388.2%$0.4101$5,370,592$354$4,637,251$30586.3%
2025*2.9%15,270$2,144,973,755$1,375,026,83364.1%$0.3764$0.03388.2%$0.4101$5,639,122$369$4,995,616$32788.6%
CAGR4.2%0.6%12.9%12.1%-0.6%-0.2%-10.0%-8.8%-1.3%10.3%9.6%6.4%5.8%-2.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.4%9.2%6.8%6.6%8.2%7.5%7.6%12.1%8.3%8.1%10.0%8.2%$3,621,578
20217.9%9.3%8.9%6.3%9.7%7.7%7.4%9.5%7.5%8.1%9.4%8.3%$4,078,919
20226.8%8.7%8.7%6.3%11.0%7.0%8.1%9.4%7.4%9.2%9.2%8.3%$4,683,838
20238.3%10.1%7.1%7.6%9.3%7.6%7.9%8.5%7.8%8.5%9.5%7.8%$4,555,493
20247.2%9.6%7.1%7.5%8.7%8.0%8.1%9.2%8.7%8.4%9.3%8.3%$4,637,251
20257.5%10.6%6.4%8.2%8.7%7.6%8.1%8.8%7.4%8.4%9.7%8.5%$4,995,616
MEDIAN %7.5%9.6%7.2%7.1%9.1%7.7%8.1%9.4%7.8%8.5%9.6%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

CARROLLTON (City)

Pop 133,434 PPA 5.57 %BO 69.7% Levy $130,461,007 Levy CAGR +6.2% E-Factor 0.92%
74,850 96,469 118,089 139,709 161,329 182,948 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 83,167 109,576 119,097 133,434 138,628 143,525 148,112 152,380 156,328 159,961 163,287 166,317 +2.8% +0.8% +1.1% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: CARROLLTON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CARROLLTON had a 2020 population of 133,434 across 37.4 square miles, yielding a density of 5.57 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 166,317, a gain of 32,883 (+24.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.28% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 69.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CARROLLTON is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 86.9%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): CARROLLTON levied $130,461,007 in property taxes on a market value base of $31,174,699,278. The taxable value of $24,215,500,578 reflects 22.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5387 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3932 for Maintenance & Operations (73.0%) and $0.1456 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (27.0%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $959 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 9.1% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.92% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): CARROLLTON collected $51,894,965 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $381 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 39.8% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.4% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: CARROLLTON demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CARROLLTON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop83,167109,576119,097133,434138,628143,525148,112152,380156,328159,961163,287166,317
PPA3.474.584.985.575.796.006.196.376.536.686.826.95
%BO43.4%57.2%62.2%69.7%72.4%75.0%77.3%79.6%81.6%83.5%85.3%86.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%133,434$20,943,901,314$16,643,533,78779.5%$0.4411$0.146424.9%$0.5875$97,780,761$733$38,957,127$29239.8%
20214.7%133,953$21,689,732,839$17,372,561,32680.1%$0.4428$0.139724.0%$0.5825$101,195,170$755$42,869,189$32042.4%
20228.0%134,472$24,970,368,390$19,543,431,97378.3%$0.4173$0.145225.8%$0.5625$109,931,805$818$48,961,601$36444.5%
20234.1%134,992$28,511,750,056$21,589,109,53075.7%$0.4085$0.145226.2%$0.5537$119,549,694$886$49,850,549$36941.7%
20243.2%135,511$29,690,189,789$23,062,381,50377.7%$0.3932$0.145627.0%$0.5387$124,248,578$917$49,995,914$36940.2%
2025*2.9%136,031$31,174,699,278$24,215,500,57877.7%$0.3932$0.145627.0%$0.5387$130,461,007$959$51,894,965$38139.8%
CAGR4.2%0.4%9.1%8.5%-0.5%-2.3%-0.1%1.6%-1.7%6.2%5.8%6.4%6.0%-0.0%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.2%10.0%7.8%6.8%8.5%7.2%8.2%9.5%8.2%8.5%9.0%8.1%$38,957,127
20216.8%8.3%7.0%6.0%9.7%9.2%7.6%10.0%8.1%8.2%10.6%8.7%$42,869,189
20227.4%9.1%7.7%6.6%9.5%7.1%8.3%8.6%8.5%8.9%9.5%8.7%$48,961,601
20237.7%9.3%7.4%7.2%7.9%9.1%8.1%9.6%8.0%8.1%9.5%7.9%$49,850,549
20248.3%9.2%7.3%6.7%9.1%7.9%7.9%8.9%8.8%8.1%8.6%9.2%$49,995,914
20257.5%9.5%6.6%6.9%10.1%7.8%8.4%9.5%8.3%8.4%8.8%8.3%$51,894,965
MEDIAN %7.6%9.3%7.4%6.7%9.3%7.8%8.1%9.5%8.2%8.3%9.2%8.5%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

CARSON (County)

Pop 0 PPA 0.00 %BO 0.0% Levy $5,064,888 Levy CAGR +3.3% E-Factor 0.00%
Property Tax Overview (2025): CARSON levied $5,064,888 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,458,442,307. The taxable value of $950,483,737 reflects 61.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5300 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5300 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 3.3% CAGR lagged market value growth of 4.0% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Strategic Outlook: See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CARSON
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%N/A$1,998,202,269~EstN/A$0.5600$0.03876.5%$0.5987$4,238,947N/A
20214.7%N/A$1,995,301,419~EstN/A$0.5398$0.03876.7%$0.5785$4,442,470N/A
20228.0%N/A$2,021,470,591~EstN/A$0.5401N/AN/A$0.5401$4,534,714N/A
20234.1%N/A$2,023,545,067~EstN/A$0.5200N/AN/A$0.5200$4,776,559N/A
20243.2%N/A$2,341,373,626$905,222,60738.7%$0.5300N/AN/A$0.5300$4,823,703N/A
2025~2.9%N/A$2,458,442,307$950,483,73738.7%$0.5300N/AN/A$0.5300$5,064,888N/A
CAGR4.2%4.0%-1.1%-2.4%3.3%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

CARTHAGE (City)

Pop 6,569 PPA 0.96 %BO 12.0% Levy $3,460,412 Levy CAGR +5.0% E-Factor 0.87%
5,912 6,221 6,530 6,838 7,147 7,456 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 6,733 6,664 6,779 6,569 6,579 6,590 6,601 6,612 6,623 6,634 6,646 6,657 -0.1% +0.2% -0.3% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: CARTHAGE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CARTHAGE had a 2020 population of 6,569 across 10.7 square miles, yielding a density of 0.96 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 6,657, a gain of 88 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 12.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CARTHAGE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 12.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): CARTHAGE levied $3,460,412 in property taxes on a market value base of $843,002,484. The taxable value of $596,621,721 reflects 29.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5800 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3987 for Maintenance & Operations (68.7%) and $0.1813 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (31.3%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $526 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.0% CAGR lagged market value growth of 5.6% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.87% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): CARTHAGE collected $6,968,778 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $1,060 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 201.4% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.7% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: CARTHAGE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CARTHAGE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop6,7336,6646,7796,5696,5796,5906,6016,6126,6236,6346,6466,657
PPA0.990.980.990.960.960.970.970.970.970.970.970.98
%BO12.3%12.2%12.4%12.0%12.1%12.1%12.1%12.1%12.1%12.2%12.2%12.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%6,569$645,582,906$459,141,92171.1%$0.3709$0.218537.1%$0.5894$2,706,182$412$4,951,494$754183.0%
20214.7%6,570$644,680,307$455,416,10670.6%$0.3679$0.233538.8%$0.6014$2,738,872$417$5,361,049$816195.7%
20228.0%6,571$678,380,061$484,990,94171.5%$0.3678$0.212236.6%$0.5800$2,812,947$428$6,226,246$948221.3%
20234.1%6,572$731,597,791$532,048,49672.7%$0.3915$0.188532.5%$0.5800$3,085,881$470$7,053,777$1,073228.6%
20243.2%6,573$802,859,509$568,211,16370.8%$0.3987$0.181331.3%$0.5800$3,295,630$501$6,422,418$977194.9%
2025*2.9%6,574$843,002,484$596,621,72170.8%$0.3987$0.181331.3%$0.5800$3,460,412$526$6,968,778$1,060201.4%
CAGR4.2%0.0%5.6%5.5%-0.1%1.5%-3.7%-3.4%-0.3%5.0%5.0%6.7%6.7%1.9%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.9%8.6%8.9%6.9%9.8%8.6%8.0%11.2%7.5%6.9%8.5%7.3%$4,951,494
20216.7%11.0%6.9%6.5%9.2%7.5%6.7%9.9%8.1%8.9%10.6%8.2%$5,361,049
20227.6%11.4%6.6%6.5%8.9%7.1%7.1%9.7%7.0%8.9%10.0%9.2%$6,226,246
20238.6%12.3%7.4%7.1%9.7%7.1%7.6%9.4%7.1%7.2%9.6%6.8%$7,053,777
20247.6%10.5%7.8%7.6%10.0%6.8%7.4%8.5%7.6%7.8%10.4%7.9%$6,422,418
20257.0%10.4%6.6%7.0%9.8%7.4%7.9%10.2%8.4%7.8%9.3%8.0%$6,968,778
MEDIAN %7.6%10.8%7.1%7.0%9.7%7.3%7.5%9.8%7.5%7.8%9.8%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

CASS (County)

Pop 0 PPA 0.00 %BO 0.0% Levy $13,079,180 Levy CAGR -12.1% E-Factor 0.00%
Property Tax Overview (2025): CASS levied $13,079,180 in property taxes on a market value base of $5,624,704,067. The taxable value of $3,194,920,121 reflects 43.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4630 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3891 for Maintenance & Operations (95.8%) and $0.0193 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (4.2%). Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of -12.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.1% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Strategic Outlook: CASS demonstrates contracting fiscal capacity. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CASS
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%N/A$3,161,122,671~EstN/A$1.0649$0.03162.9%$1.0965$20,841,726N/A
20214.7%N/A$3,593,892,967~EstN/A$0.4728$0.03406.7%$0.5069$10,041,256N/A
20228.0%N/A$4,116,843,543~EstN/A$0.4542$0.03096.4%$0.4852$10,719,533N/A
20234.1%N/A$4,749,544,532~EstN/A$0.4440$0.02074.5%$0.4647$11,355,194N/A
20243.2%N/A$5,356,861,016$3,042,781,06856.8%$0.3891$0.01934.2%$0.4630$12,456,362N/A
2025~2.9%N/A$5,624,704,067$3,194,920,12156.8%$0.3891$0.01934.2%$0.4630$13,079,180N/A
CAGR4.2%14.1%-18.2%-9.4%7.7%-15.8%-12.1%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

CASS COUNTY (City)

Pop 28,454 PPA 0.05 %BO 0.6% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
25,608 27,188 28,769 30,349 31,930 33,510 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 29,982 30,438 30,464 28,454 28,501 28,548 28,596 28,644 28,691 28,739 28,787 28,835 +0.2% +0.0% -0.7% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: CASS COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CASS COUNTY had a 2020 population of 28,454 across 936.9 square miles, yielding a density of 0.05 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 28,835, a gain of 381 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CASS COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: CASS COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CASS COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop29,98230,43830,46428,45428,50128,54828,59628,64428,69128,73928,78728,835
PPA0.050.050.050.050.050.050.050.050.050.050.050.05
%BO0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

CASTRO (County)

Pop 0 PPA 0.00 %BO 0.0% Levy $4,426,333 Levy CAGR +7.5% E-Factor 2.50%
Property Tax Overview (2025): CASTRO levied $4,426,333 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,112,575,500. The taxable value of $788,868,352 reflects 62.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5597 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4478 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.5% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 3.1% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.50% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Strategic Outlook: CASTRO demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CASTRO
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%N/A$1,783,703,439~EstN/A$0.5950N/AN/A$0.5950$3,157,043N/A
20214.7%N/A$1,803,706,440~EstN/A$0.5950N/AN/A$0.5950$3,490,365N/A
20228.0%N/A$1,845,297,777~EstN/A$0.5660N/AN/A$0.5660$3,888,695N/A
20234.1%N/A$1,872,464,869~EstN/A$0.5389N/AN/A$0.5389$4,044,069N/A
20243.2%N/A$2,011,976,667$751,303,19237.3%$0.4478N/AN/A$0.5597$4,215,555N/A
2025~2.9%N/A$2,112,575,500$788,868,35237.3%$0.4478N/AN/A$0.5597$4,426,333N/A
CAGR4.2%3.1%-5.5%-1.2%7.5%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

CASTRO COUNTY (City)

Pop 7,371 PPA 0.01 %BO 0.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
6,633 7,302 7,971 8,639 9,308 9,977 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 9,070 8,285 8,062 7,371 7,383 7,395 7,407 7,420 7,432 7,445 7,457 7,469 -0.9% -0.3% -0.9% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: CASTRO COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CASTRO COUNTY had a 2020 population of 7,371 across 894.4 square miles, yielding a density of 0.01 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 7,469, a gain of 98 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CASTRO COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: CASTRO COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CASTRO COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop9,0708,2858,0627,3717,3837,3957,4077,4207,4327,4457,4577,469
PPA0.020.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.01
%BO0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.6%9.7%7.9%6.8%9.0%8.8%8.4%10.0%7.8%7.4%9.3%7.3%$229,866
20216.6%9.1%8.0%7.2%8.2%7.8%7.0%12.6%7.6%8.4%9.5%7.9%$229,910
20227.0%8.0%6.1%6.2%8.8%8.6%8.0%10.5%8.4%8.9%11.7%7.9%$273,141
20237.8%8.8%8.6%6.5%9.1%6.9%8.1%9.7%7.9%8.6%10.1%7.8%$277,756
20247.8%8.1%6.4%6.7%9.4%8.6%8.5%7.7%8.0%9.4%9.2%10.2%$309,113
20254.1%5.0%8.8%5.9%4.5%3.6%4.1%47.5%4.8%4.1%3.9%3.6%$732,314
MEDIAN %7.3%8.5%8.0%6.7%8.9%8.3%8.1%10.3%7.9%8.6%9.5%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

CEDAR HILL (City)

Pop 49,148 PPA 2.14 %BO 26.8% Levy $45,464,641 Levy CAGR +9.1% E-Factor 1.98%
18,315 38,470 58,625 78,779 98,934 119,089 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 20,351 32,093 45,028 49,148 55,540 62,379 69,605 77,137 84,879 92,724 100,556 108,263 +4.7% +3.4% +0.9% +1.2% +1.2% +1.1% +1.0% +1.0% +0.9% +0.8% +0.7% Population Trend: CEDAR HILL (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CEDAR HILL had a 2020 population of 49,148 across 35.8 square miles, yielding a density of 2.14 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 108,263, a gain of 59,115 (+120.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.99% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 26.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CEDAR HILL has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 59.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): CEDAR HILL levied $45,464,641 in property taxes on a market value base of $8,707,482,276. The taxable value of $7,143,418,194 reflects 18.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6365 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4527 for Maintenance & Operations (71.1%) and $0.1837 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (28.9%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $869 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 9.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 12.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.98% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): CEDAR HILL collected $21,559,419 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.87% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $412 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 47.4% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.4% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: CEDAR HILL demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CEDAR HILL
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop20,35132,09345,02849,14855,54062,37969,60577,13784,87992,724100,556108,263
PPA0.891.401.962.142.422.723.043.363.704.044.394.72
%BO11.1%17.5%24.6%26.8%30.3%34.0%38.0%42.1%46.3%50.6%54.8%59.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%49,148$5,132,455,538$4,434,971,85786.4%$0.5181$0.170024.7%$0.6881$30,517,130$621$15,922,037$32452.2%
20214.7%49,787$5,328,097,008$4,664,461,83187.5%$0.5182$0.178925.7%$0.6970$32,512,652$653$18,598,927$37457.2%
20228.0%50,426$6,879,880,346$5,515,204,54980.2%$0.4806$0.176426.9%$0.6570$36,234,894$719$21,167,350$42058.4%
20234.1%51,065$7,455,596,800$6,089,132,24081.7%$0.4627$0.183928.4%$0.6465$39,367,762$771$21,334,840$41854.2%
20243.2%51,704$8,292,840,263$6,803,255,42382.0%$0.4527$0.183728.9%$0.6365$43,299,658$837$21,165,590$40948.9%
2025*2.9%52,344$8,707,482,276$7,143,418,19482.0%$0.4527$0.183728.9%$0.6365$45,464,641$869$21,559,419$41247.4%
CAGR4.2%1.3%12.7%11.3%-1.0%-2.7%1.6%3.2%-1.5%9.1%7.8%7.4%6.0%-1.9%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.8%13.0%7.3%6.5%8.1%6.0%7.4%9.8%8.1%7.7%10.1%8.1%$15,922,037
20217.1%10.8%6.6%5.9%10.5%8.0%8.0%9.7%8.2%7.9%9.2%8.1%$18,598,927
20227.7%10.5%6.6%6.7%10.3%7.7%8.0%9.7%7.9%7.8%9.0%8.2%$21,167,350
20238.9%11.8%7.2%7.1%9.8%7.5%8.2%8.8%6.8%7.9%8.6%7.4%$21,334,840
20248.2%11.1%6.9%7.2%9.2%8.4%7.7%8.8%8.2%7.8%8.9%7.7%$21,165,590
20257.8%11.1%6.8%6.8%9.7%7.8%7.9%8.7%8.3%8.0%8.9%8.2%$21,559,419
MEDIAN %7.8%11.0%6.9%6.7%9.7%7.7%7.9%9.2%8.1%7.8%8.9%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

CEDAR PARK (City)

Pop 77,595 PPA 5.31 %BO 66.3% Levy $63,742,082 Levy CAGR +6.2% E-Factor 1.73%
8,037 32,043 56,050 80,057 104,064 128,071 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 8,930 26,049 48,937 77,595 91,062 100,906 107,418 111,443 113,827 115,204 115,987 116,429 +11.3% +6.5% +4.7% +1.6% +1.0% +0.6% +0.4% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1% +0.0% Population Trend: CEDAR PARK (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CEDAR PARK had a 2020 population of 77,595 across 22.9 square miles, yielding a density of 5.31 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 116,429, a gain of 38,834 (+50.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.51% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 66.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CEDAR PARK is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 99.5%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): CEDAR PARK levied $63,742,082 in property taxes on a market value base of $19,847,520,198. The taxable value of $17,559,802,629 reflects 11.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3630 per $100 valuation consists of $0.1909 for Maintenance & Operations (52.6%) and $0.1721 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (47.4%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $756 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 12.7% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.73% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): CEDAR PARK collected $50,469,889 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $598 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 79.2% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 10.6% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: CEDAR PARK demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CEDAR PARK
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop8,93026,04948,93777,59591,062100,906107,418111,443113,827115,204115,987116,429
PPA0.611.783.355.316.236.907.357.627.787.887.937.96
%BO7.6%22.3%41.8%66.3%77.8%86.3%91.8%95.3%97.3%98.5%99.1%99.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%77,595$11,736,447,333$10,658,822,17190.8%$0.2490$0.198044.3%$0.4470$47,642,484$614$31,271,396$40365.6%
20214.7%78,941$13,444,513,986$11,943,984,14188.8%$0.2343$0.197745.8%$0.4320$51,598,011$654$37,826,147$47973.3%
20228.0%80,288$19,294,584,919$14,696,243,42076.2%$0.2041$0.185947.7%$0.3900$57,315,350$714$43,531,890$54276.0%
20234.1%81,635$18,691,273,679$15,907,052,88085.1%$0.1944$0.175647.5%$0.3700$58,856,096$721$44,032,641$53974.8%
20243.2%82,981$18,902,400,189$16,723,621,55188.5%$0.1909$0.172147.4%$0.3630$60,706,745$732$46,785,708$56477.1%
2025*2.9%84,328$19,847,520,198$17,559,802,62988.5%$0.1909$0.172147.4%$0.3630$63,742,082$756$50,469,889$59879.2%
CAGR4.2%1.7%12.7%11.9%-0.5%-5.2%-2.8%1.4%-4.1%6.2%4.5%10.6%8.8%3.8%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.4%10.9%7.4%6.8%8.7%7.2%7.6%10.1%7.8%7.9%10.0%8.2%$31,271,396
20217.2%9.9%6.7%5.8%10.0%8.1%7.7%9.9%8.0%7.9%10.6%8.1%$37,826,147
20227.8%10.8%7.0%6.7%9.9%7.8%8.0%9.5%7.6%7.9%9.4%7.6%$43,531,890
20238.3%10.6%7.0%7.2%9.6%7.9%7.9%9.3%7.7%8.0%9.0%7.5%$44,032,641
20247.8%9.9%7.6%7.5%8.4%8.1%8.4%9.4%8.0%7.8%9.1%8.0%$46,785,708
20257.3%10.8%6.6%6.8%9.5%7.7%9.2%9.2%7.8%7.9%9.0%8.3%$50,469,889
MEDIAN %7.6%10.7%7.0%6.8%9.6%7.8%7.9%9.5%7.8%7.9%9.3%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

CELINA (City)

Pop 16,739 PPA 1.87 %BO 23.3% Levy $52,832,456 Levy CAGR +35.6% E-Factor 19.66%
1,674 17,092 32,510 47,927 63,345 78,763 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 1,911 1,861 6,028 16,739 31,019 47,218 59,607 66,468 69,592 70,887 71,401 71,603 -0.3% +12.5% +10.8% +6.4% +4.3% +2.4% +1.1% +0.5% +0.2% +0.1% +0.0% Population Trend: CELINA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CELINA had a 2020 population of 16,739 across 14.0 square miles, yielding a density of 1.87 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 71,603, a gain of 54,864 (+327.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.83% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 23.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CELINA has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 99.8%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): CELINA levied $52,832,456 in property taxes on a market value base of $12,886,220,609. The taxable value of $8,832,377,750 reflects 31.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5982 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2871 for Maintenance & Operations (48.0%) and $0.3111 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (52.0%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $2,213 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 35.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 37.5% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 19.66% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): CELINA collected $11,697,050 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $490 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 22.1% of property tax levy, offering modest supplemental revenue. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 29.0% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: CELINA demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CELINA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop1,9111,8616,02816,73931,01947,21859,60766,46869,59270,88771,40171,603
PPA0.210.210.671.873.465.276.657.417.767.917.967.99
%BO2.7%2.6%8.4%23.3%43.2%65.8%83.1%92.7%97.0%98.8%99.5%99.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%16,739$3,430,207,183$2,309,143,35567.3%$0.4531$0.191929.7%$0.6450$14,893,975$890$3,723,642$22225.0%
20214.7%18,167$4,242,294,012$2,966,843,80269.9%$0.4294$0.215633.4%$0.6450$19,136,143$1,053$6,074,569$33431.7%
20228.0%19,595$6,566,997,102$4,470,765,46668.1%$0.3727$0.262141.3%$0.6348$28,378,586$1,448$7,358,174$37625.9%
20234.1%21,023$9,586,799,993$6,350,614,71466.2%$0.3159$0.296348.4%$0.6122$38,875,542$1,849$8,336,212$39721.4%
20243.2%22,451$12,272,591,056$8,411,788,33368.5%$0.2871$0.311152.0%$0.5982$50,316,625$2,241$10,303,193$45920.5%
2025*2.9%23,879$12,886,220,609$8,832,377,75068.5%$0.2871$0.311152.0%$0.5982$52,832,456$2,213$11,697,050$49022.1%
CAGR4.2%7.4%37.5%38.2%0.4%-8.7%10.1%11.8%-1.5%35.6%26.0%29.0%19.8%-2.4%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.6%8.5%6.6%6.6%7.5%7.8%9.6%9.9%8.6%8.7%10.5%9.2%$3,723,642
20216.3%7.7%6.0%6.2%8.2%8.0%8.8%9.6%9.3%9.9%11.0%9.1%$6,074,569
20228.7%9.3%6.9%5.7%8.9%7.7%8.3%9.9%9.0%8.8%8.9%7.9%$7,358,174
20237.5%9.0%6.8%6.6%9.0%8.1%8.2%9.0%8.9%8.7%9.3%8.9%$8,336,212
20248.5%8.8%6.8%7.0%8.5%8.6%7.6%8.6%9.1%8.5%8.8%9.2%$10,303,193
20257.9%10.8%6.8%6.7%8.7%7.8%7.4%9.0%8.7%8.7%8.9%8.7%$11,697,050
MEDIAN %7.7%8.9%6.8%6.6%8.6%7.9%8.3%9.3%8.9%8.7%9.1%9.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

CHAMBERS COUNTY (City)

Pop 46,571 PPA 0.12 %BO 1.5% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
18,079 101,041 184,004 266,967 349,930 432,892 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 20,088 26,031 35,096 46,571 61,433 80,913 106,353 139,423 182,151 236,925 306,439 393,539 +2.6% +3.0% +2.9% +2.8% +2.8% +2.8% +2.7% +2.7% +2.7% +2.6% +2.5% Population Trend: CHAMBERS COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CHAMBERS COUNTY had a 2020 population of 46,571 across 597.2 square miles, yielding a density of 0.12 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 393,539, a gain of 346,968 (+745.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.70% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CHAMBERS COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 12.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: CHAMBERS COUNTY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CHAMBERS COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop20,08826,03135,09646,57161,43380,913106,353139,423182,151236,925306,439393,539
PPA0.050.070.090.120.160.210.280.360.480.620.801.03
%BO0.7%0.9%1.1%1.5%2.0%2.6%3.5%4.6%6.0%7.7%10.0%12.9%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

CHEROKEE COUNTY (City)

Pop 50,412 PPA 0.07 %BO 0.9% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
36,944 42,791 48,638 54,485 60,333 66,180 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 41,049 46,659 50,845 50,412 51,539 52,692 53,870 55,074 56,305 57,564 58,849 60,164 +1.3% +0.9% -0.1% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: CHEROKEE COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CHEROKEE COUNTY had a 2020 population of 50,412 across 1053.0 square miles, yielding a density of 0.07 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 60,164, a gain of 9,752 (+19.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.22% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CHEROKEE COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 1.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: CHEROKEE COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CHEROKEE COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop41,04946,65950,84550,41251,53952,69253,87055,07456,30557,56458,84960,164
PPA0.060.070.080.070.080.080.080.080.080.090.090.09
%BO0.8%0.9%0.9%0.9%1.0%1.0%1.0%1.0%1.0%1.1%1.1%1.1%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.2%9.8%6.9%6.7%8.9%8.0%8.5%10.3%8.1%8.8%9.2%7.6%$2,189,875
20217.3%8.8%6.9%6.4%10.2%8.4%6.8%10.0%8.3%8.0%9.7%9.2%$2,472,008
20228.6%9.3%6.8%7.6%9.3%7.4%8.2%9.1%7.8%8.4%10.0%7.5%$3,063,658
20238.2%9.8%7.2%7.7%9.7%8.0%8.2%8.2%9.5%7.9%8.4%7.2%$3,045,518
20248.4%9.4%7.0%7.6%9.1%7.7%7.9%8.9%8.3%7.8%9.3%8.6%$3,131,888
20258.4%10.5%7.6%7.0%9.1%8.3%7.9%8.6%8.5%7.7%8.5%7.9%$3,283,810
MEDIAN %8.3%9.6%7.0%7.3%9.2%8.0%8.1%9.0%8.3%8.0%9.3%7.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

CHILDRESS (County)

Pop 5,737 PPA 1.09 %BO 13.6% Levy $3,602,830 Levy CAGR +4.3% E-Factor 0.00%
4,617 5,184 5,752 6,320 6,888 7,455 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 5,130 6,778 6,105 5,737 5,746 5,756 5,765 5,775 5,784 5,794 5,804 5,813 +2.8% -1.0% -0.6% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: CHILDRESS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CHILDRESS had a 2020 population of 5,737 across 8.3 square miles, yielding a density of 1.09 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 5,813, a gain of 76 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 13.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CHILDRESS has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 13.7%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): CHILDRESS levied $3,602,830 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,478,091,228. The taxable value of $676,776,620 reflects 54.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5350 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3904 for Maintenance & Operations (73.0%) and $0.1446 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (27.0%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $628 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 4.3% CAGR lagged market value growth of 5.2% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments.
Strategic Outlook: CHILDRESS demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CHILDRESS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop5,1306,7786,1055,7375,7465,7565,7655,7755,7845,7945,8045,813
PPA0.971.281.151.091.091.091.091.091.091.101.101.10
%BO12.1%16.0%14.4%13.6%13.6%13.6%13.6%13.7%13.7%13.7%13.7%13.7%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%5,737$1,149,057,172~EstN/A$0.4360$0.144024.8%$0.5800$2,900,884$506
20214.7%5,737$1,107,090,815~EstN/A$0.4328$0.146125.2%$0.5789$3,004,863$524
20228.0%5,738$1,145,740,364~EstN/A$0.3983$0.161728.9%$0.5600$3,086,989$538
20234.1%5,739$1,282,418,784~EstN/A$0.4393$0.135723.6%$0.5750$3,521,141$614
20243.2%5,740$1,407,705,931$644,549,16245.8%$0.3904$0.144627.0%$0.5350$3,431,267$598
2025~2.9%5,741$1,478,091,228$676,776,62045.8%$0.3904$0.144627.0%$0.5350$3,602,830$628
CAGR4.2%0.0%5.2%-2.2%0.1%1.7%-1.6%4.3%4.3%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

CHILDRESS COUNTY (City)

Pop 6,664 PPA 0.01 %BO 0.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
5,357 5,977 6,597 7,217 7,836 8,456 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 5,953 7,688 7,041 6,664 6,675 6,686 6,697 6,708 6,719 6,730 6,742 6,753 +2.6% -0.9% -0.5% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: CHILDRESS COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CHILDRESS COUNTY had a 2020 population of 6,664 across 696.5 square miles, yielding a density of 0.01 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 6,753, a gain of 89 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CHILDRESS COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: CHILDRESS COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CHILDRESS COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop5,9537,6887,0416,6646,6756,6866,6976,7086,7196,7306,7426,753
PPA0.010.020.020.010.010.010.020.020.020.020.020.02
%BO0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.7%14.5%6.1%6.2%7.7%7.3%7.5%9.8%7.4%8.7%9.2%7.0%$495,810
20218.0%9.3%7.0%6.0%10.1%8.7%8.2%9.5%8.3%7.8%8.3%8.7%$508,969
20228.9%11.7%7.0%7.0%8.4%7.5%7.8%8.8%8.1%7.7%8.8%8.4%$577,732
20238.3%9.5%7.1%6.7%8.7%7.1%7.2%10.8%7.9%8.5%10.2%7.9%$625,065
20247.9%8.8%6.0%6.1%7.6%8.9%8.2%8.9%9.2%8.8%10.6%8.9%$744,123
20256.6%7.8%5.5%6.1%7.1%29.4%6.5%6.0%7.1%5.7%6.0%6.1%$1,167,552
MEDIAN %8.4%9.7%6.8%6.4%8.3%8.4%7.9%9.5%8.3%8.4%9.3%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

CIBOLO (City)

Pop 32,276 PPA 7.68 %BO 95.9% Levy $20,292,144 Levy CAGR +12.8% E-Factor 9.31%
1,424 8,540 15,655 22,770 29,886 37,001 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 1,583 3,035 15,349 32,276 33,064 33,399 33,539 33,603 33,638 33,638 33,638 33,638 +6.7% +17.6% +7.7% +0.2% +0.1% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: CIBOLO (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CIBOLO had a 2020 population of 32,276 across 6.6 square miles, yielding a density of 7.68 persons per acre (PPA). This high density suggests an urbanized area with limited greenfield expansion potential. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 33,638, a gain of 1,362 (+4.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.05% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 95.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CIBOLO is approaching full build-out. Projections show reaching theoretical capacity (100% build-out) before 2100, suggesting eventual need for annexation, densification, or growth boundary adjustments.
Property Tax Overview (2025): CIBOLO levied $20,292,144 in property taxes on a market value base of $6,167,557,694. The taxable value of $4,066,561,941 reflects 34.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4990 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3197 for Maintenance & Operations (64.1%) and $0.1793 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (35.9%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $621 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 12.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 16.8% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 9.31% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): CIBOLO collected $8,245,212 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $252 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 40.6% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 16.3% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: CIBOLO demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, limited greenfield options, strong economic elasticity. Long-term projections indicate eventual capacity constraints requiring proactive planning for annexation, vertical development, or managed growth boundaries. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CIBOLO
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop1,5833,03515,34932,27633,06433,39933,53933,60333,63833,63833,63833,638
PPA0.380.723.657.687.867.947.987.998.008.008.008.00
%BO4.7%9.0%45.6%95.9%98.3%99.3%99.7%99.9%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%32,276$3,154,342,283$2,465,895,85178.2%$0.2960$0.187538.8%$0.4835$11,922,607$369$3,974,297$12333.3%
20214.7%32,354$3,659,905,201$2,782,251,99976.0%$0.3042$0.179337.1%$0.4835$13,452,188$416$4,730,818$14635.2%
20228.0%32,433$4,762,927,603$3,184,768,53166.9%$0.3042$0.179337.1%$0.4835$15,398,356$475$5,999,649$18539.0%
20234.1%32,512$5,541,902,255$3,637,723,99765.6%$0.2906$0.179338.2%$0.4699$17,093,665$526$6,869,677$21140.2%
20243.2%32,591$5,873,864,470$3,872,916,13465.9%$0.3197$0.179335.9%$0.4990$19,325,851$593$7,261,370$22337.6%
2025*2.9%32,670$6,167,557,694$4,066,561,94165.9%$0.3197$0.179335.9%$0.4990$20,292,144$621$8,245,212$25240.6%
CAGR4.2%0.2%16.8%11.9%-3.3%1.6%-0.9%-1.5%0.6%12.8%12.6%16.3%16.0%4.0%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.1%11.0%6.3%6.3%9.3%7.8%8.8%10.2%7.9%6.9%9.5%7.9%$3,974,297
20217.2%10.1%7.0%5.0%10.5%7.2%8.3%9.9%9.0%7.6%9.8%8.3%$4,730,818
20227.6%9.7%6.1%6.5%9.5%7.7%7.8%10.2%9.1%8.6%9.4%7.7%$5,999,649
20237.9%10.2%6.9%7.0%9.2%7.6%8.0%9.6%7.9%7.8%9.6%8.3%$6,869,677
20247.8%9.9%7.4%7.2%9.4%7.8%7.9%9.0%8.6%8.0%9.1%7.9%$7,261,370
20257.7%12.8%6.9%6.7%8.7%7.6%7.9%9.1%8.0%7.6%8.9%8.0%$8,245,212
MEDIAN %7.8%10.2%6.9%6.6%9.4%7.7%8.0%9.8%8.3%7.8%9.5%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

CLAY COUNTY (City)

Pop 10,218 PPA 0.01 %BO 0.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
9,021 9,638 10,255 10,872 11,489 12,106 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 10,024 11,006 10,752 10,218 10,235 10,252 10,269 10,286 10,303 10,320 10,337 10,355 +0.9% -0.2% -0.5% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: CLAY COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CLAY COUNTY had a 2020 population of 10,218 across 1088.8 square miles, yielding a density of 0.01 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 10,355, a gain of 137 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CLAY COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: CLAY COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CLAY COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop10,02411,00610,75210,21810,23510,25210,26910,28610,30310,32010,33710,355
PPA0.010.020.020.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.01
%BO0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

CLEBURNE (City)

Pop 31,352 PPA 1.66 %BO 20.7% Levy $22,746,378 Levy CAGR +4.8% E-Factor 1.63%
20,516 27,592 34,668 41,744 48,820 55,896 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 22,796 26,005 29,337 31,352 33,451 35,649 37,945 40,338 42,826 45,404 48,068 50,815 +1.3% +1.2% +0.7% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% Population Trend: CLEBURNE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CLEBURNE had a 2020 population of 31,352 across 29.6 square miles, yielding a density of 1.66 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 50,815, a gain of 19,463 (+62.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.61% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 20.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CLEBURNE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 33.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): CLEBURNE levied $22,746,378 in property taxes on a market value base of $5,052,852,328. The taxable value of $3,865,118,697 reflects 23.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5885 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5606 for Maintenance & Operations (95.3%) and $0.0279 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (4.7%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $702 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 4.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.6% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.63% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): CLEBURNE collected $22,899,406 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $707 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 100.7% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.8% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: CLEBURNE demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CLEBURNE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop22,79626,00529,33731,35233,45135,64937,94540,33842,82645,40448,06850,815
PPA1.201.371.551.661.771.882.002.132.262.402.542.68
%BO15.1%17.2%19.4%20.7%22.1%23.5%25.1%26.6%28.3%30.0%31.7%33.6%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%31,352$3,101,360,509$2,360,940,79076.1%$0.6497$0.110414.5%$0.7601$17,945,322$572$13,541,062$43275.5%
20214.7%31,561$3,480,737,515$2,667,689,89276.6%$0.6297$0.06078.8%$0.6905$18,420,345$584$15,314,059$48583.1%
20228.0%31,771$3,909,395,915$3,002,131,31476.8%$0.6107$0.02984.7%$0.6405$19,227,931$605$18,194,713$57394.6%
20234.1%31,981$4,653,716,597$3,508,426,30275.4%$0.5597$0.02163.7%$0.5813$20,395,114$638$20,713,601$648101.6%
20243.2%32,191$4,812,240,312$3,681,065,42676.5%$0.5606$0.02794.7%$0.5885$21,663,217$673$19,650,063$61090.7%
2025*2.9%32,401$5,052,852,328$3,865,118,69776.5%$0.5606$0.02794.7%$0.5885$22,746,378$702$22,899,406$707100.7%
CAGR4.2%0.7%11.6%11.7%0.1%-2.9%-24.1%-20.1%-5.0%4.8%4.1%9.8%9.0%5.9%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%10.3%7.4%6.7%8.8%6.9%8.7%10.0%7.7%9.3%9.0%7.9%$13,541,062
20217.3%9.0%8.2%6.3%10.3%8.7%7.3%9.4%8.2%7.8%9.4%8.1%$15,314,059
20227.7%9.1%7.1%6.4%8.9%8.6%7.9%10.2%8.5%8.3%9.0%8.2%$18,194,713
20237.0%9.3%14.0%7.3%8.9%7.2%8.0%8.7%7.2%7.7%7.8%6.8%$20,713,601
20247.6%9.2%7.0%7.6%10.0%7.8%8.1%8.9%8.6%7.9%8.7%8.7%$19,650,063
20257.2%10.1%6.6%6.8%8.7%8.2%8.7%8.6%9.3%8.6%7.7%9.5%$22,899,406
MEDIAN %7.4%9.4%7.4%6.9%9.1%8.1%8.2%9.3%8.5%8.3%9.0%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

CLEVELAND (City)

Pop 7,471 PPA 1.22 %BO 15.3% Levy $7,158,707 Levy CAGR +16.5% E-Factor 8.22%
6,566 6,941 7,316 7,692 8,067 8,442 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 7,296 7,605 7,675 7,471 7,483 7,495 7,508 7,520 7,533 7,546 7,558 7,571 +0.4% +0.1% -0.3% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: CLEVELAND (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CLEVELAND had a 2020 population of 7,471 across 9.6 square miles, yielding a density of 1.22 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 7,571, a gain of 100 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 15.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CLEVELAND has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 15.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): CLEVELAND levied $7,158,707 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,234,727,509. The taxable value of $929,702,313 reflects 24.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7700 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3612 for Maintenance & Operations (46.9%) and $0.4088 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (53.1%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $957 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 16.5% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 15.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 8.22% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): CLEVELAND collected $5,792,195 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $775 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 80.9% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 10.0% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: CLEVELAND demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CLEVELAND
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop7,2967,6057,6757,4717,4837,4957,5087,5207,5337,5467,5587,571
PPA1.191.241.251.221.221.231.231.231.231.231.241.24
%BO14.9%15.5%15.7%15.3%15.3%15.3%15.3%15.4%15.4%15.4%15.4%15.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%7,471$656,463,215$487,231,74574.2%$0.5028$0.257233.8%$0.7600$3,702,961$496$3,916,975$524105.8%
20214.7%7,472$705,045,299$528,917,55275.0%$0.5029$0.252133.4%$0.7550$3,993,327$534$4,334,676$580108.5%
20228.0%7,473$936,986,628$695,255,47274.2%$0.4671$0.247934.7%$0.7150$4,971,077$665$4,929,166$66099.2%
20234.1%7,474$1,073,370,374$808,245,63875.3%$0.4252$0.344844.8%$0.7700$6,223,492$833$4,868,142$65178.2%
20243.2%7,475$1,175,930,961$885,430,77475.3%$0.3612$0.408853.1%$0.7700$6,817,816$912$5,731,135$76784.1%
2025*2.9%7,477$1,234,727,509$929,702,31375.3%$0.3612$0.408853.1%$0.7700$7,158,707$957$5,792,195$77580.9%
CAGR4.2%0.0%15.7%16.1%0.3%-6.4%9.7%9.4%0.3%16.5%16.5%10.0%10.0%-5.2%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.7%10.1%6.7%6.8%9.4%7.7%8.6%9.6%7.9%7.7%9.8%7.9%$3,916,975
20216.9%9.6%6.8%6.2%11.2%8.2%7.5%10.4%7.8%7.6%10.8%7.1%$4,334,676
20227.3%14.2%6.4%6.4%9.9%7.2%7.6%9.6%7.1%7.9%9.1%7.1%$4,929,166
20237.5%10.0%6.7%7.4%9.6%8.2%7.6%9.9%7.5%8.9%9.4%7.2%$4,868,142
20247.2%8.7%5.6%6.5%12.0%7.4%7.1%10.0%7.9%10.3%9.3%7.9%$5,731,135
20257.8%11.6%6.4%7.5%9.3%8.6%7.9%8.8%7.4%8.2%9.0%7.4%$5,792,195
MEDIAN %7.6%10.3%6.7%6.8%10.0%8.1%7.7%9.9%7.8%8.2%9.5%7.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

CLUTE (City)

Pop 10,604 PPA 3.09 %BO 38.6% Levy $4,455,516 Levy CAGR +3.2% E-Factor 0.00%
8,107 8,952 9,797 10,642 11,487 12,332 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 9,008 10,424 11,211 10,604 10,621 10,639 10,657 10,674 10,692 10,710 10,728 10,746 +1.5% +0.7% -0.6% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: CLUTE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CLUTE had a 2020 population of 10,604 across 5.4 square miles, yielding a density of 3.09 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 10,746, a gain of 142 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 38.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CLUTE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 39.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): CLUTE levied $4,455,516 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,279,548,531. The taxable value of $958,175,629 reflects 25.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4650 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4264 for Maintenance & Operations (91.7%) and $0.0386 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (8.3%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $420 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 3.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.9% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): CLUTE collected $3,895,443 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $367 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 87.4% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 3.7% CAGR, reflecting stable retail environment.
Strategic Outlook: CLUTE demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CLUTE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop9,00810,42411,21110,60410,62110,63910,65710,67410,69210,71010,72810,746
PPA2.633.043.273.093.103.103.113.113.123.123.133.13
%BO32.8%38.0%40.9%38.6%38.7%38.8%38.8%38.9%39.0%39.0%39.1%39.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%10,604$805,612,208$629,073,58478.1%$0.5419$0.05359.0%$0.5954$3,745,454$353$2,968,357$28079.3%
20214.7%10,605$795,376,663$618,134,44477.7%$0.5655$0.05959.5%$0.6250$3,863,340$364$3,247,513$30684.1%
20228.0%10,607$907,528,235$693,432,27976.4%$0.5415$0.05339.0%$0.5948$4,124,528$389$3,496,518$33084.8%
20234.1%10,609$1,213,942,261$926,963,84776.4%$0.4268$0.03998.5%$0.4666$4,325,556$408$3,273,303$30975.7%
20243.2%10,610$1,218,617,649$912,548,21874.9%$0.4264$0.03868.3%$0.4650$4,243,349$400$3,437,816$32481.0%
2025*2.9%10,612$1,279,548,531$958,175,62974.9%$0.4264$0.03868.3%$0.4650$4,455,516$420$3,895,443$36787.4%
CAGR4.2%0.0%10.9%9.7%-0.8%-4.7%-6.3%-1.5%-4.8%3.2%3.2%3.7%3.7%2.0%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.4%10.1%7.1%6.1%9.6%7.7%8.3%11.6%7.3%7.0%10.6%7.3%$2,968,357
20215.9%10.4%6.9%5.5%14.0%9.9%7.1%9.5%7.0%6.6%10.3%6.9%$3,247,513
20226.6%9.7%6.2%8.8%10.4%7.5%7.3%10.0%8.0%7.8%10.4%7.4%$3,496,518
20236.8%10.8%4.9%6.9%10.6%7.0%7.8%10.8%7.5%8.3%10.8%7.7%$3,273,303
20247.5%10.1%7.4%7.1%10.6%8.2%2.6%10.1%7.4%10.8%9.4%8.7%$3,437,816
20256.8%10.7%6.7%6.8%9.8%7.4%7.0%9.3%10.8%7.4%9.9%7.4%$3,895,443
MEDIAN %6.9%10.4%6.9%6.9%10.6%7.7%7.3%10.1%7.5%7.7%10.5%7.5%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

COLEMAN (County)

Pop 3,912 PPA 1.00 %BO 12.4% Levy $6,084,444 Levy CAGR +6.3% E-Factor 1.29%
3,520 4,006 4,492 4,978 5,464 5,951 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 5,410 5,127 4,709 3,912 3,918 3,925 3,931 3,938 3,944 3,951 3,957 3,964 -0.5% -0.8% -1.8% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: COLEMAN (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: COLEMAN had a 2020 population of 3,912 across 6.1 square miles, yielding a density of 1.00 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 3,964, a gain of 52 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 12.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), COLEMAN has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 12.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): COLEMAN levied $6,084,444 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,808,785,701. The taxable value of $748,871,698 reflects 80.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.8067 per $100 valuation consists of $0.7189 for Maintenance & Operations (89.1%) and $0.0878 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (10.9%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,554 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.3% CAGR lagged market value growth of 19.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.29% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Strategic Outlook: COLEMAN demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
COLEMAN
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop5,4105,1274,7093,9123,9183,9253,9313,9383,9443,9513,9573,964
PPA1.381.301.201.001.001.001.001.001.001.011.011.01
%BO17.2%16.3%15.0%12.4%12.5%12.5%12.5%12.5%12.5%12.6%12.6%12.6%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%3,912$1,806,985,326~EstN/A$0.7822$0.121713.5%$0.9039$4,537,668$1,160
20214.7%3,912$1,818,199,302~EstN/A$0.7862$0.117213.0%$0.9034$4,641,922$1,187
20228.0%3,913$2,550,980,996~EstN/A$0.8040$0.113312.4%$0.9173$4,955,274$1,266
20234.1%3,913$2,668,761,542~EstN/A$0.7280$0.094711.5%$0.8227$5,190,699$1,327
20243.2%3,914$3,627,414,953$713,211,14119.7%$0.7189$0.087810.9%$0.8067$5,794,709$1,481
2025~2.9%3,915$3,808,785,701$748,871,69819.7%$0.7189$0.087810.9%$0.8067$6,084,444$1,554
CAGR4.2%0.0%19.0%-1.7%-6.3%-4.2%-2.2%6.3%6.3%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

COLEMAN COUNTY (City)

Pop 7,684 PPA 0.01 %BO 0.1% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
6,915 7,668 8,421 9,174 9,927 10,681 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 9,710 9,235 8,895 7,684 7,696 7,709 7,722 7,735 7,748 7,761 7,774 7,787 -0.5% -0.4% -1.5% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: COLEMAN COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: COLEMAN COUNTY had a 2020 population of 7,684 across 1262.9 square miles, yielding a density of 0.01 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 7,787, a gain of 103 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), COLEMAN COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: COLEMAN COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
COLEMAN COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop9,7109,2358,8957,6847,6967,7097,7227,7357,7487,7617,7747,787
PPA0.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.01
%BO0.2%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

COLLEGE STATION (City)

Pop 120,511 PPA 3.81 %BO 47.6% Levy $80,264,376 Levy CAGR +9.1% E-Factor 2.59%
47,722 87,232 126,741 166,251 205,760 245,270 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 53,025 67,890 93,857 120,511 137,018 153,190 168,514 182,581 195,124 206,019 215,269 222,973 +2.5% +3.3% +2.5% +1.3% +1.1% +1.0% +0.8% +0.7% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% Population Trend: COLLEGE STATION (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: COLLEGE STATION had a 2020 population of 120,511 across 49.4 square miles, yielding a density of 3.81 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 222,973, a gain of 102,462 (+85.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.77% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 47.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), COLLEGE STATION has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 88.1%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): COLLEGE STATION levied $80,264,376 in property taxes on a market value base of $19,437,502,449. The taxable value of $15,643,454,924 reflects 19.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5131 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3016 for Maintenance & Operations (58.8%) and $0.2114 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (41.2%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $623 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 9.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.6% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.59% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): COLLEGE STATION collected $40,096,903 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $311 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 50.0% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.7% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: COLLEGE STATION demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
COLLEGE STATION
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop53,02567,89093,857120,511137,018153,190168,514182,581195,124206,019215,269222,973
PPA1.682.152.973.814.334.845.335.776.176.516.807.05
%BO20.9%26.8%37.1%47.6%54.1%60.5%66.6%72.1%77.1%81.4%85.0%88.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%120,511$12,383,312,847$10,079,281,47781.4%$0.3182$0.216440.5%$0.5346$53,885,653$447$28,045,412$23352.0%
20214.7%122,161$12,947,813,992$10,483,884,37981.0%$0.3182$0.216440.5%$0.5346$56,048,733$459$32,886,408$26958.7%
20228.0%123,812$14,903,050,413$11,964,153,54480.3%$0.3132$0.211440.3%$0.5246$62,765,505$507$36,888,345$29858.8%
20234.1%125,463$17,820,269,228$14,284,551,46280.2%$0.3016$0.211441.2%$0.5131$73,292,034$584$38,038,095$30351.9%
20243.2%127,113$18,511,907,094$14,898,528,49980.5%$0.3016$0.211441.2%$0.5131$76,442,263$601$39,187,293$30851.3%
2025*2.9%128,764$19,437,502,449$15,643,454,92480.5%$0.3016$0.211441.2%$0.5131$80,264,376$623$40,096,903$31150.0%
CAGR4.2%1.3%10.6%10.3%-0.2%-1.1%-0.5%0.4%-0.8%9.1%7.7%8.7%7.3%-0.8%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.0%10.5%8.1%7.5%7.9%6.5%7.2%8.6%8.4%9.5%9.1%8.7%$28,045,412
20217.0%9.3%8.0%5.2%9.7%8.2%8.5%9.0%7.5%8.2%10.8%8.6%$32,886,408
20228.3%9.5%7.5%6.8%9.0%7.9%7.8%8.3%7.4%9.3%9.7%8.5%$36,888,345
20238.3%9.7%7.9%7.4%9.0%7.9%7.8%8.2%7.3%9.4%9.0%8.0%$38,038,095
20248.2%9.3%7.9%7.5%8.8%8.6%7.7%8.5%7.7%8.6%8.7%8.6%$39,187,293
20258.1%10.5%7.7%7.0%8.6%8.5%7.9%7.9%7.7%8.8%8.7%8.5%$40,096,903
MEDIAN %8.1%9.6%7.8%7.2%8.9%8.1%7.7%8.4%7.6%9.0%9.1%8.5%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

COLLEYVILLE (City)

Pop 26,057 PPA 3.11 %BO 38.8% Levy $22,898,886 Levy CAGR +4.3% E-Factor 0.00%
11,445 19,825 28,204 36,584 44,964 53,344 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 12,717 19,636 22,807 26,057 28,916 31,847 34,805 37,745 40,622 43,394 46,028 48,495 +4.4% +1.5% +1.3% +1.0% +1.0% +0.9% +0.8% +0.7% +0.7% +0.6% +0.5% Population Trend: COLLEYVILLE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: COLLEYVILLE had a 2020 population of 26,057 across 13.1 square miles, yielding a density of 3.11 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 48,495, a gain of 22,438 (+86.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.78% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 38.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), COLLEYVILLE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 72.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): COLLEYVILLE levied $22,898,886 in property taxes on a market value base of $10,330,408,486. The taxable value of $8,290,570,293 reflects 19.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.2762 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2602 for Maintenance & Operations (94.2%) and $0.0160 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (5.8%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $833 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 4.3% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.1% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): COLLEYVILLE collected $8,411,118 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $306 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 36.7% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.4% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: COLLEYVILLE demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
COLLEYVILLE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop12,71719,63622,80726,05728,91631,84734,80537,74540,62243,39446,02848,495
PPA1.522.342.723.113.453.804.154.504.855.185.495.78
%BO19.0%29.3%34.0%38.8%43.1%47.5%51.9%56.3%60.6%64.7%68.6%72.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%26,057$6,691,426,081$6,060,431,58390.6%$0.2894$0.01494.9%$0.3044$18,445,833$708$6,303,474$24234.2%
20214.7%26,342$6,895,926,141$6,258,577,51690.8%$0.2807$0.01113.8%$0.2918$18,261,152$693$7,272,269$27639.8%
20228.0%26,628$8,074,751,929$6,924,220,10785.8%$0.2560$0.00963.6%$0.2656$18,391,975$691$7,767,287$29242.2%
20234.1%26,914$9,602,281,990$7,749,842,10980.7%$0.2514$0.00963.7%$0.2610$20,226,390$752$7,884,487$29339.0%
20243.2%27,200$9,838,484,272$7,895,781,23180.3%$0.2602$0.01605.8%$0.2762$21,808,463$802$8,093,358$29837.1%
2025*2.9%27,486$10,330,408,486$8,290,570,29380.3%$0.2602$0.01605.8%$0.2762$22,898,886$833$8,411,118$30636.7%
CAGR4.2%1.1%10.1%6.8%-2.4%-2.1%1.4%3.4%-1.9%4.3%3.2%6.4%5.3%1.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%11.5%7.2%6.1%9.0%7.6%7.9%10.1%7.5%7.8%10.2%7.9%$6,303,474
20217.3%10.8%6.3%6.2%11.7%7.2%7.0%9.7%7.7%7.4%10.6%8.1%$7,272,269
20228.2%10.4%6.9%6.3%10.3%7.4%7.5%9.7%7.8%8.1%9.7%7.7%$7,767,287
20238.4%10.9%7.1%6.7%10.0%7.5%8.1%9.3%8.0%7.4%9.3%7.3%$7,884,487
20248.2%10.4%6.8%6.9%10.2%7.6%8.2%9.0%8.2%7.6%9.2%7.8%$8,093,358
20257.5%12.0%6.7%6.6%10.4%7.9%7.6%9.3%7.9%7.2%9.2%7.9%$8,411,118
MEDIAN %7.8%10.9%6.9%6.5%10.3%7.6%7.7%9.6%7.9%7.5%9.5%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

COLLIN COUNTY (City)

Pop 1,064,465 PPA 1.98 %BO 24.7% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
237,632 1,013,188 1,788,743 2,564,299 3,339,855 4,115,411 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 264,036 491,675 782,341 1,064,465 1,390,405 1,762,560 2,161,277 2,560,208 2,932,812 3,259,006 3,528,697 3,741,283 +6.4% +4.8% +3.1% +2.7% +2.4% +2.1% +1.7% +1.4% +1.1% +0.8% +0.6% Population Trend: COLLIN COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: COLLIN COUNTY had a 2020 population of 1,064,465 across 841.3 square miles, yielding a density of 1.98 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 3,741,283, a gain of 2,676,818 (+251.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.58% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 24.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), COLLIN COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 86.9%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Strategic Outlook: COLLIN COUNTY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
COLLIN COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop264,036491,675782,3411,064,4651,390,4051,762,5602,161,2772,560,2082,932,8123,259,0063,528,6973,741,283
PPA0.490.911.451.982.583.274.014.755.456.056.556.95
%BO6.1%11.4%18.2%24.7%32.3%40.9%50.2%59.4%68.1%75.7%81.9%86.9%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

COLORADO COUNTY (City)

Pop 20,557 PPA 0.03 %BO 0.4% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
16,544 17,970 19,396 20,821 22,247 23,673 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 18,383 20,390 20,874 20,557 20,675 20,793 20,913 21,033 21,154 21,276 21,398 21,521 +1.0% +0.2% -0.2% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: COLORADO COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: COLORADO COUNTY had a 2020 population of 20,557 across 960.3 square miles, yielding a density of 0.03 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 21,521, a gain of 964 (+4.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.06% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), COLORADO COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: COLORADO COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
COLORADO COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop18,38320,39020,87420,55720,67520,79320,91321,03321,15421,27621,39821,521
PPA0.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.04
%BO0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.5%5.0%7.4%8.6%8.6%15.3%6.4%12.4%7.6%6.1%8.0%6.2%$2,139,268
20217.3%9.7%6.4%5.9%9.3%7.9%8.6%10.3%8.7%8.5%9.4%8.0%$1,709,239
20227.5%9.6%7.3%6.3%8.6%7.8%8.6%10.2%8.0%9.3%9.4%7.6%$1,988,474
20236.0%7.8%6.1%5.9%7.7%6.6%6.8%8.4%7.4%7.1%23.3%7.0%$2,648,705
20246.9%7.6%6.0%6.7%14.8%9.9%9.1%9.0%9.1%7.1%7.3%6.5%$2,639,770
20256.5%10.5%10.2%6.8%9.6%7.2%8.6%9.2%9.0%7.2%7.6%7.6%$2,490,451
MEDIAN %7.4%9.1%7.2%6.8%9.3%8.2%9.0%10.1%8.8%7.5%9.1%7.6%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

COMAL COUNTY (City)

Pop 161,501 PPA 0.45 %BO 5.6% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
46,648 402,735 758,823 1,114,910 1,470,997 1,827,084 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 51,832 78,021 108,472 161,501 232,480 330,907 463,793 636,852 851,916 1,104,087 1,380,286 1,660,986 +4.2% +3.4% +4.1% +3.7% +3.6% +3.4% +3.2% +3.0% +2.6% +2.3% +1.9% Population Trend: COMAL COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: COMAL COUNTY had a 2020 population of 161,501 across 559.5 square miles, yielding a density of 0.45 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 1,660,986, a gain of 1,499,485 (+928.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.96% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 5.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), COMAL COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 58.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: COMAL COUNTY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
COMAL COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop51,83278,021108,472161,501232,480330,907463,793636,852851,9161,104,0871,380,2861,660,986
PPA0.140.220.300.450.650.921.301.782.383.083.854.64
%BO1.8%2.7%3.8%5.6%8.1%11.6%16.2%22.2%29.7%38.5%48.2%58.0%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%9.6%7.8%7.0%8.2%7.3%8.2%9.6%8.8%8.3%9.2%8.6%$17,882,623
20216.9%8.8%6.8%5.7%9.3%8.4%7.9%10.4%9.3%8.9%9.2%8.4%$21,891,365
20228.4%9.7%7.4%6.5%8.8%8.1%8.1%9.4%8.7%8.3%8.5%8.1%$23,069,101
20237.8%9.3%7.1%7.0%10.5%7.4%8.3%9.4%8.7%8.4%8.1%7.9%$24,185,947
20248.1%9.0%7.0%7.3%8.5%8.4%8.4%8.8%9.1%7.8%9.3%8.3%$25,057,832
20256.9%10.2%6.7%5.9%9.7%9.8%7.5%9.6%8.5%8.9%7.8%8.5%$29,294,676
MEDIAN %7.6%9.4%7.0%6.7%9.0%8.2%8.1%9.5%8.8%8.4%8.8%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

COMANCHE (County)

Pop 4,211 PPA 1.44 %BO 18.0% Levy $9,136,742 Levy CAGR +7.3% E-Factor 2.27%
3,773 4,005 4,236 4,467 4,698 4,930 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 4,193 4,482 4,335 4,211 4,218 4,225 4,232 4,239 4,246 4,253 4,260 4,267 +0.7% -0.3% -0.3% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: COMANCHE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: COMANCHE had a 2020 population of 4,211 across 4.6 square miles, yielding a density of 1.44 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 4,267, a gain of 56 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 18.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), COMANCHE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 18.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): COMANCHE levied $9,136,742 in property taxes on a market value base of $6,386,605,811. The taxable value of $1,791,202,275 reflects 72.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5067 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3571 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $2,168 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.3% CAGR lagged market value growth of 19.5% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.27% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Strategic Outlook: COMANCHE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
COMANCHE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop4,1934,4824,3354,2114,2184,2254,2324,2394,2464,2534,2604,267
PPA1.441.541.491.441.451.451.451.451.451.461.461.46
%BO18.0%19.2%18.6%18.0%18.1%18.1%18.1%18.2%18.2%18.2%18.2%18.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%4,211$2,984,617,487~EstN/A$0.6300N/AN/A$0.6300$6,568,815$1,560
20214.7%4,211$3,347,466,601~EstN/A$0.6257N/AN/A$0.6257$6,955,823$1,652
20228.0%4,212$4,099,185,002~EstN/A$0.4138N/AN/A$0.4138$5,322,626$1,264
20234.1%4,213$5,750,431,994~EstN/A$0.5147N/AN/A$0.5147$8,137,451$1,932
20243.2%4,213$6,082,481,725$1,705,906,92928.0%$0.3571N/AN/A$0.5067$8,701,659$2,065
2025~2.9%4,214$6,386,605,811$1,791,202,27528.0%$0.3571N/AN/A$0.5067$9,136,742$2,168
CAGR4.2%0.0%19.5%-10.7%-4.3%7.3%7.3%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

COMANCHE COUNTY (City)

Pop 13,594 PPA 0.02 %BO 0.3% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
12,042 12,720 13,397 14,074 14,751 15,428 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 13,381 14,026 13,974 13,594 13,616 13,639 13,662 13,684 13,707 13,730 13,753 13,776 +0.5% -0.0% -0.3% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: COMANCHE COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: COMANCHE COUNTY had a 2020 population of 13,594 across 937.8 square miles, yielding a density of 0.02 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 13,776, a gain of 182 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), COMANCHE COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: COMANCHE COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
COMANCHE COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop13,38114,02613,97413,59413,61613,63913,66213,68413,70713,73013,75313,776
PPA0.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.02
%BO0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.7%9.9%7.2%5.9%8.3%8.0%10.6%9.9%8.0%7.9%8.8%7.9%$650,919
20217.3%9.7%6.7%6.7%9.2%9.3%8.0%9.4%7.3%9.0%8.8%8.6%$703,683
20227.6%9.9%6.9%6.3%6.2%7.3%7.8%9.4%8.7%10.8%9.0%10.1%$792,269
20238.3%11.1%7.6%6.9%8.7%8.1%7.6%9.2%7.6%8.4%8.7%7.8%$812,442
20248.2%0.0%16.9%7.6%8.6%8.1%7.8%8.9%8.1%9.0%8.4%8.3%$895,798
20257.6%9.6%7.2%7.0%8.5%8.0%7.9%10.7%7.9%8.3%8.9%8.4%$912,305
MEDIAN %7.7%9.9%7.2%6.8%8.6%8.1%7.9%9.5%8.0%8.8%8.9%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

COMMERCE (City)

Pop 9,090 PPA 1.80 %BO 22.5% Levy $5,305,759 Levy CAGR +11.9% E-Factor 4.28%
6,189 8,581 10,973 13,365 15,756 18,148 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 6,877 7,669 8,078 9,090 9,874 10,704 11,577 12,492 13,445 14,433 15,453 16,499 +1.1% +0.5% +1.2% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% Population Trend: COMMERCE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: COMMERCE had a 2020 population of 9,090 across 7.9 square miles, yielding a density of 1.80 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 16,499, a gain of 7,409 (+81.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.75% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 22.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), COMMERCE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 40.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): COMMERCE levied $5,305,759 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,691,712,459. The taxable value of $664,125,642 reflects 60.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7989 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5628 for Maintenance & Operations (70.4%) and $0.2361 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (29.6%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $560 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 11.9% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 7.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.28% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): COMMERCE collected $2,416,136 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $255 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 45.5% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.4% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: COMMERCE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
COMMERCE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop6,8777,6698,0789,0909,87410,70411,57712,49213,44514,43315,45316,499
PPA1.361.521.601.801.952.122.292.472.662.853.063.26
%BO17.0%19.0%20.0%22.5%24.4%26.5%28.6%30.9%33.2%35.7%38.2%40.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%9,090$1,229,669,056$393,508,64832.0%$0.6075$0.212525.9%$0.8200$3,226,771$355$1,715,514$18953.2%
20214.7%9,168$1,261,320,659$421,704,46133.4%$0.6027$0.217326.5%$0.8200$3,457,977$377$1,969,810$21557.0%
20228.0%9,246$1,409,791,196$510,963,46036.2%$0.5525$0.216928.2%$0.7693$3,930,975$425$2,236,088$24256.9%
20234.1%9,325$1,554,348,137$585,260,31237.7%$0.5670$0.231929.0%$0.7989$4,675,697$501$2,298,881$24749.2%
20243.2%9,403$1,611,154,723$632,500,61139.3%$0.5628$0.236129.6%$0.7989$5,053,104$537$2,367,442$25246.9%
2025*2.9%9,482$1,691,712,459$664,125,64239.3%$0.5628$0.236129.6%$0.7989$5,305,759$560$2,416,136$25545.5%
CAGR4.2%0.8%7.0%12.6%4.2%-1.5%2.1%2.7%-0.5%11.9%10.9%8.4%7.5%-3.0%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
202010.1%9.0%7.3%6.6%8.0%7.3%8.0%8.6%8.1%8.4%10.3%8.4%$1,715,514
20216.6%10.3%7.4%6.3%9.6%8.3%7.7%8.8%8.1%9.0%9.2%8.8%$1,969,810
20226.9%12.3%7.0%6.2%8.7%7.3%7.2%7.9%7.1%8.1%11.5%9.7%$2,236,088
20237.0%11.2%7.1%6.7%8.7%7.8%7.3%8.2%7.5%8.3%11.6%8.6%$2,298,881
20247.8%11.3%7.2%7.0%8.4%7.2%7.4%7.9%7.4%9.1%11.5%7.9%$2,367,442
20257.5%12.6%6.9%6.5%8.9%7.5%7.3%8.0%7.5%7.4%11.9%8.1%$2,416,136
MEDIAN %7.3%11.3%7.2%6.6%8.7%7.4%7.4%8.1%7.6%8.4%11.6%8.6%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

CONROE (City)

Pop 89,956 PPA 2.67 %BO 33.3% Levy $71,438,322 Levy CAGR +12.1% E-Factor 2.30%
26,361 77,118 127,876 178,634 229,392 280,150 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 29,290 36,811 56,207 89,956 117,664 147,009 175,315 200,245 220,489 235,869 246,967 254,682 +2.3% +4.3% +4.8% +2.7% +2.3% +1.8% +1.3% +1.0% +0.7% +0.5% +0.3% Population Trend: CONROE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CONROE had a 2020 population of 89,956 across 52.7 square miles, yielding a density of 2.67 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 254,682, a gain of 164,726 (+183.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.31% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 33.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CONROE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 94.4%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): CONROE levied $71,438,322 in property taxes on a market value base of $21,715,410,230. The taxable value of $16,722,453,656 reflects 23.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4272 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3022 for Maintenance & Operations (70.7%) and $0.1250 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (29.3%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $688 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 12.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 15.3% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.30% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): CONROE collected $72,042,804 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $694 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 100.8% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.4% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: CONROE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CONROE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop29,29036,81156,20789,956117,664147,009175,315200,245220,489235,869246,967254,682
PPA0.871.091.672.673.494.365.205.946.546.997.327.55
%BO10.9%13.6%20.8%33.3%43.6%54.5%65.0%74.2%81.7%87.4%91.5%94.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%89,956$11,687,902,548$9,833,897,34084.1%$0.3125$0.125028.6%$0.4375$43,023,301$478$50,942,131$566118.4%
20214.7%92,726$13,138,180,518$10,981,744,84083.6%$0.3125$0.125028.6%$0.4375$48,045,134$518$59,627,178$643124.1%
20228.0%95,497$17,502,102,372$13,176,105,80175.3%$0.3022$0.125029.3%$0.4272$56,288,324$589$67,516,524$707119.9%
20234.1%98,268$19,049,834,864$14,493,667,17276.1%$0.3022$0.125029.3%$0.4272$61,916,946$630$70,325,702$716113.6%
20243.2%101,039$20,681,343,076$15,926,146,33977.0%$0.3022$0.125029.3%$0.4272$68,036,497$673$70,224,024$695103.2%
2025*2.9%103,810$21,715,410,230$16,722,453,65677.0%$0.3022$0.125029.3%$0.4272$71,438,322$688$72,042,804$694100.8%
CAGR4.2%2.9%15.3%12.8%-1.8%-0.7%0.5%-0.5%12.1%8.9%8.4%5.3%-3.2%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%10.8%7.5%7.1%8.7%6.9%8.2%9.8%7.7%7.5%10.6%8.0%$50,942,131
20216.6%9.5%6.8%6.4%9.4%8.1%7.8%10.2%8.1%8.3%10.4%8.4%$59,627,178
20227.7%10.0%6.5%6.5%9.2%7.8%8.2%10.1%8.2%8.1%9.7%8.0%$67,516,524
20237.6%10.1%6.9%7.5%9.6%7.4%8.0%9.4%8.4%8.2%9.5%7.3%$70,325,702
20247.8%9.6%6.8%7.3%9.7%8.1%7.7%9.2%8.1%8.0%9.3%8.4%$70,224,024
20257.5%11.0%6.9%6.7%9.1%8.1%7.9%9.5%8.0%7.6%9.5%8.2%$72,042,804
MEDIAN %7.5%10.0%6.9%6.9%9.3%7.9%7.9%9.6%8.1%8.1%9.6%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

CONVERSE (City)

Pop 27,466 PPA 6.15 %BO 76.9% Levy $12,766,776 Levy CAGR +9.3% E-Factor 3.73%
8,072 14,227 20,383 26,538 32,694 38,849 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 8,969 11,508 18,198 27,466 29,750 31,503 32,794 33,717 34,363 34,809 35,112 35,318 +2.5% +4.7% +4.2% +0.8% +0.6% +0.4% +0.3% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: CONVERSE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CONVERSE had a 2020 population of 27,466 across 7.0 square miles, yielding a density of 6.15 persons per acre (PPA). This high density suggests an urbanized area with limited greenfield expansion potential. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 35,318, a gain of 7,852 (+28.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.31% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 76.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CONVERSE is approaching full build-out. By 2100, build-out is projected at 98.8%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): CONVERSE levied $12,766,776 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,547,926,141. The taxable value of $2,959,382,435 reflects 16.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4314 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3493 for Maintenance & Operations (81.0%) and $0.0821 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (19.0%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $446 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 9.3% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.4% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.73% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): CONVERSE collected $6,690,533 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $234 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 52.4% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.8% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: CONVERSE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CONVERSE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop8,96911,50818,19827,46629,75031,50332,79433,71734,36334,80935,11235,318
PPA2.012.584.076.156.667.057.347.557.697.797.867.91
%BO25.1%32.2%50.9%76.9%83.2%88.2%91.8%94.3%96.2%97.4%98.3%98.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%27,466$1,973,986,072$1,697,121,07686.0%$0.3827$0.119623.8%$0.5023$8,523,825$310$4,403,626$16051.7%
20214.7%27,694$2,190,640,668$1,866,760,46785.2%$0.3687$0.111223.2%$0.4798$8,956,997$323$5,035,635$18256.2%
20228.0%27,922$2,843,646,582$2,290,212,64980.5%$0.3242$0.097223.1%$0.4214$9,650,704$346$5,891,838$21161.1%
20234.1%28,151$3,325,652,814$2,690,358,98180.9%$0.3382$0.083119.7%$0.4214$11,336,877$403$6,410,038$22856.5%
20243.2%28,379$3,378,977,277$2,818,459,46283.4%$0.3493$0.082119.0%$0.4314$12,158,834$428$6,405,922$22652.7%
2025*2.9%28,608$3,547,926,141$2,959,382,43583.4%$0.3493$0.082119.0%$0.4314$12,766,776$446$6,690,533$23452.4%
CAGR4.2%0.8%14.4%13.5%-0.6%-1.8%-7.2%-4.4%-3.0%9.3%8.4%9.8%8.9%0.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.8%9.5%6.8%6.8%9.1%8.1%7.9%10.1%8.2%8.0%11.0%8.0%$4,403,626
20216.9%9.7%7.0%5.9%10.3%8.1%7.6%9.7%7.8%8.0%10.5%8.4%$5,035,635
20227.3%9.8%7.0%6.8%9.9%7.3%7.5%10.2%7.7%8.1%10.2%8.1%$5,891,838
20237.6%10.3%7.3%7.2%9.3%7.2%8.0%9.7%7.7%7.9%9.9%7.9%$6,410,038
20247.8%10.2%7.0%7.5%9.4%8.0%8.0%9.1%7.7%7.6%9.7%8.2%$6,405,922
20257.7%11.3%7.2%6.9%9.2%7.5%7.5%9.1%8.2%7.5%9.8%8.0%$6,690,533
MEDIAN %7.5%10.0%7.0%6.9%9.4%7.8%7.8%9.8%7.8%7.9%10.1%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

COOKE COUNTY (City)

Pop 41,668 PPA 0.07 %BO 0.9% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
27,699 40,639 53,579 66,519 79,458 92,398 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 30,777 36,363 38,437 41,668 45,499 49,679 54,238 59,210 64,631 70,541 76,982 83,999 +1.7% +0.6% +0.8% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% Population Trend: COOKE COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: COOKE COUNTY had a 2020 population of 41,668 across 874.8 square miles, yielding a density of 0.07 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 83,999, a gain of 42,331 (+101.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.88% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), COOKE COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 1.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: COOKE COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
COOKE COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop30,77736,36338,43741,66845,49949,67954,23859,21064,63170,54176,98283,999
PPA0.050.060.070.070.080.090.100.110.120.130.140.15
%BO0.7%0.8%0.9%0.9%1.0%1.1%1.2%1.3%1.4%1.6%1.7%1.9%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.5%8.5%7.6%7.1%8.5%8.1%7.8%9.9%8.9%7.6%9.3%8.1%$3,288,954
20217.1%9.1%6.8%6.2%9.0%8.4%8.0%9.5%8.6%7.9%10.2%9.1%$3,517,662
20227.6%8.9%9.2%7.5%8.4%8.4%7.5%6.9%7.8%8.9%8.7%10.2%$4,240,301
20238.1%6.7%6.0%7.2%9.9%8.5%9.5%9.5%8.2%9.0%9.0%8.5%$4,473,572
20248.4%10.6%6.8%7.9%8.3%7.8%7.5%10.1%7.8%8.7%7.9%8.2%$4,681,339
20258.0%10.2%7.5%7.0%8.6%8.8%7.9%8.9%8.7%7.7%7.9%8.8%$4,754,914
MEDIAN %8.0%9.0%7.2%7.2%8.6%8.4%7.9%9.5%8.4%8.3%8.8%8.7%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

COPPELL (City)

Pop 42,983 PPA 4.67 %BO 58.3% Levy $56,454,728 Levy CAGR +2.2% E-Factor 0.00%
15,488 26,372 37,256 48,140 59,024 69,908 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 17,209 35,958 38,659 42,983 46,275 49,415 52,362 55,087 57,572 59,808 61,799 63,553 +7.6% +0.7% +1.1% +0.7% +0.7% +0.6% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: COPPELL (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: COPPELL had a 2020 population of 42,983 across 14.4 square miles, yielding a density of 4.67 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 63,553, a gain of 20,570 (+47.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.49% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 58.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), COPPELL is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 86.3%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): COPPELL levied $56,454,728 in property taxes on a market value base of $15,989,116,452. The taxable value of $12,309,374,080 reflects 23.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4586 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3885 for Maintenance & Operations (84.7%) and $0.0702 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (15.3%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,265 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 2.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 9.1% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): COPPELL collected $41,634,227 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.75% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $933 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 73.7% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 0.9% CAGR, reflecting stable retail environment.
Strategic Outlook: Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
COPPELL
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop17,20935,95838,65942,98346,27549,41552,36255,08757,57259,80861,79963,553
PPA1.873.904.204.675.025.375.695.986.256.496.716.90
%BO23.4%48.8%52.5%58.3%62.8%67.1%71.1%74.8%78.1%81.2%83.9%86.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%42,983$10,732,767,944$8,496,026,54279.2%$0.4812$0.098817.0%$0.5800$49,276,954$1,146$42,917,371$99887.1%
20214.7%43,312$10,950,062,800$8,798,012,56980.3%$0.4722$0.107818.6%$0.5800$51,028,473$1,178$48,583,213$1,12295.2%
20228.0%43,641$12,622,547,702$9,695,699,56276.8%$0.4418$0.076914.8%$0.5187$50,294,599$1,152$49,320,886$1,13098.1%
20234.1%43,970$13,963,040,540$10,549,304,27375.6%$0.4217$0.070214.3%$0.4918$51,883,377$1,180$43,994,615$1,00184.8%
20243.2%44,299$15,227,729,954$11,723,213,41077.0%$0.3885$0.070215.3%$0.4586$53,766,408$1,214$44,420,492$1,00382.6%
2025*2.9%44,629$15,989,116,452$12,309,374,08077.0%$0.3885$0.070215.3%$0.4586$56,454,728$1,265$41,634,227$93373.7%
CAGR4.2%0.8%9.1%8.4%-0.6%-4.2%-6.6%-2.1%-4.6%2.2%1.4%0.9%0.1%-3.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.0%9.3%7.7%7.5%8.1%7.3%7.4%9.9%9.4%7.5%9.7%9.5%$42,917,371
20217.9%9.7%8.1%6.6%8.8%7.8%7.7%9.5%7.9%8.8%8.9%8.2%$48,583,213
20228.5%10.0%9.5%7.8%9.7%7.9%9.4%8.2%6.9%7.0%7.7%7.5%$49,320,886
20238.3%9.6%7.9%7.5%8.9%7.5%8.2%8.2%7.5%8.9%9.4%8.2%$43,994,615
20247.3%10.4%8.6%7.4%9.0%7.5%7.5%8.5%7.6%8.1%9.8%8.4%$44,420,492
20258.3%10.3%7.9%7.7%8.5%6.6%8.1%6.8%8.4%8.6%10.0%8.8%$41,634,227
MEDIAN %8.1%9.9%8.0%7.5%8.9%7.5%7.9%8.4%7.8%8.4%9.5%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

COPPERAS COVE (City)

Pop 36,670 PPA 3.18 %BO 39.7% Levy $15,436,199 Levy CAGR +6.5% E-Factor 0.22%
21,947 30,998 40,050 49,101 58,153 67,204 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 24,386 29,592 32,032 36,670 39,712 42,814 45,946 49,082 52,192 55,247 58,223 61,095 +2.0% +0.8% +1.4% +0.8% +0.8% +0.7% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% Population Trend: COPPERAS COVE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: COPPERAS COVE had a 2020 population of 36,670 across 18.0 square miles, yielding a density of 3.18 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 61,095, a gain of 24,425 (+66.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.64% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 39.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), COPPERAS COVE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 66.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): COPPERAS COVE levied $15,436,199 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,483,227,176. The taxable value of $2,538,518,840 reflects 27.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6081 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3942 for Maintenance & Operations (64.8%) and $0.2139 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (35.2%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $404 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 15.5% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.22% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): COPPERAS COVE collected $7,878,648 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $206 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 51.0% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 5.5% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: COPPERAS COVE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
COPPERAS COVE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop24,38629,59232,03236,67039,71242,81445,94649,08252,19255,24758,22361,095
PPA2.112.562.783.183.443.713.984.254.524.795.055.29
%BO26.4%32.1%34.7%39.7%43.0%46.4%49.8%53.2%56.5%59.8%63.1%66.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%36,670$1,865,424,946$1,451,261,83177.8%$0.4971$0.289436.8%$0.7865$11,414,174$311$5,987,621$16352.5%
20214.7%36,974$2,111,594,051$1,615,904,44076.5%$0.4828$0.277336.5%$0.7601$12,281,973$332$6,522,490$17653.1%
20228.0%37,278$2,674,681,642$1,963,369,20373.4%$0.4117$0.309342.9%$0.7210$14,156,442$380$7,003,566$18849.5%
20234.1%37,582$3,250,376,600$2,306,303,36571.0%$0.3832$0.289543.0%$0.6727$15,513,396$413$7,277,475$19446.9%
20243.2%37,886$3,317,359,215$2,417,636,99072.9%$0.3942$0.213935.2%$0.6081$14,701,142$388$7,431,066$19650.5%
2025*2.9%38,191$3,483,227,176$2,538,518,84072.9%$0.3942$0.213935.2%$0.6081$15,436,199$404$7,878,648$20651.0%
CAGR4.2%0.8%15.5%13.6%-1.3%-4.5%-5.9%-0.9%-5.0%6.5%5.7%5.5%4.7%-0.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.1%9.5%8.1%6.7%8.5%7.9%8.8%9.8%8.3%8.0%9.4%7.9%$5,987,621
20217.3%9.6%7.4%6.2%10.6%8.2%7.8%9.4%8.0%7.8%10.0%7.6%$6,522,490
20227.8%10.0%6.9%6.9%10.1%7.8%8.0%9.1%7.9%8.2%9.1%8.0%$7,003,566
20237.7%10.2%7.0%7.3%9.9%7.6%8.1%9.2%7.9%7.9%9.3%7.8%$7,277,475
20247.7%10.1%7.4%7.3%9.5%7.5%8.1%9.1%8.2%8.1%9.0%8.0%$7,431,066
20257.5%10.7%7.0%7.2%9.4%7.8%8.1%9.1%8.1%8.0%9.0%8.1%$7,878,648
MEDIAN %7.6%10.1%7.2%7.1%9.7%7.8%8.1%9.2%8.1%8.0%9.2%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

CORINTH (City)

Pop 22,634 PPA 4.53 %BO 56.7% Levy $19,728,573 Levy CAGR +7.1% E-Factor 0.00%
3,624 11,168 18,711 26,255 33,799 41,343 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 4,027 11,325 19,935 22,634 25,606 28,333 30,730 32,759 34,423 35,750 36,788 37,585 +10.9% +5.8% +1.3% +1.2% +1.0% +0.8% +0.6% +0.5% +0.4% +0.3% +0.2% Population Trend: CORINTH (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CORINTH had a 2020 population of 22,634 across 7.8 square miles, yielding a density of 4.53 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 37,585, a gain of 14,951 (+66.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.64% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 56.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CORINTH is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 94.1%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): CORINTH levied $19,728,573 in property taxes on a market value base of $4,400,485,501. The taxable value of $3,832,279,192 reflects 12.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5148 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3770 for Maintenance & Operations (73.2%) and $0.1378 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (26.8%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $818 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): CORINTH collected $4,175,228 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.75% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $173 falls below regional averages, indicating primarily residential character with retail leakage to neighboring communities. Sales tax represents 21.2% of property tax levy, offering modest supplemental revenue. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 5.3% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: CORINTH demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CORINTH
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop4,02711,32519,93522,63425,60628,33330,73032,75934,42335,75036,78837,585
PPA0.812.273.994.535.135.686.166.566.907.167.377.53
%BO10.1%28.4%49.9%56.7%64.1%70.9%77.0%82.0%86.2%89.5%92.1%94.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%22,634$2,692,909,032$2,471,111,82091.8%$0.4392$0.138924.0%$0.5782$14,287,227$631$3,120,184$13821.8%
20214.7%22,931$2,894,333,381$2,596,485,45089.7%$0.4270$0.140024.7%$0.5670$14,722,073$642$3,040,801$13320.7%
20228.0%23,228$3,476,760,264$2,972,673,99285.5%$0.4193$0.140825.1%$0.5601$16,649,947$717$3,191,199$13719.2%
20234.1%23,525$4,021,269,155$3,372,859,12383.9%$0.3840$0.136026.2%$0.5200$17,538,867$746$3,537,964$15020.2%
20243.2%23,822$4,190,938,572$3,649,789,70787.1%$0.3770$0.137826.8%$0.5148$18,789,117$789$3,842,775$16120.5%
2025*2.9%24,120$4,400,485,501$3,832,279,19287.1%$0.3770$0.137826.8%$0.5148$19,728,573$818$4,175,228$17321.2%
CAGR4.2%1.3%11.7%10.2%-1.0%-3.0%-0.2%2.2%-2.3%7.1%5.7%5.3%4.0%-0.6%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.2%10.9%7.8%7.4%8.8%7.2%7.9%10.2%7.3%7.6%9.6%8.2%$3,120,184
20217.9%12.1%7.2%6.2%9.9%7.4%6.8%9.2%7.8%7.7%10.2%7.8%$3,040,801
20227.8%10.3%7.3%7.0%9.9%7.2%7.6%9.3%8.0%8.8%8.8%8.0%$3,191,199
20237.4%10.1%6.2%6.9%9.7%7.2%8.3%9.1%8.3%8.5%10.3%8.0%$3,537,964
20247.8%10.0%6.6%7.0%9.0%7.6%7.9%8.8%8.2%8.1%10.3%8.7%$3,842,775
20257.1%11.9%6.6%6.2%9.5%7.6%7.7%9.3%8.7%7.7%9.4%8.2%$4,175,228
MEDIAN %7.6%10.6%6.9%6.9%9.6%7.3%7.8%9.2%8.1%7.9%9.9%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

CORPUS CHRISTI (City)

Pop 317,863 PPA 3.09 %BO 38.7% Levy $194,860,156 Levy CAGR +6.4% E-Factor 0.65%
233,039 274,731 316,423 358,115 399,807 441,499 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 258,933 277,454 305,215 317,863 328,014 338,274 348,628 359,064 369,569 380,130 390,733 401,363 +0.7% +1.0% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: CORPUS CHRISTI (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CORPUS CHRISTI had a 2020 population of 317,863 across 160.6 square miles, yielding a density of 3.09 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 401,363, a gain of 83,500 (+26.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.29% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 38.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CORPUS CHRISTI has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 48.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): CORPUS CHRISTI levied $194,860,156 in property taxes on a market value base of $47,393,663,598. The taxable value of $32,488,930,362 reflects 31.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5998 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3788 for Maintenance & Operations (63.2%) and $0.2209 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (36.8%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $603 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.4% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.65% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): CORPUS CHRISTI collected $100,290,888 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.38% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $311 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 51.5% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 5.5% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: CORPUS CHRISTI demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CORPUS CHRISTI
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop258,933277,454305,215317,863328,014338,274348,628359,064369,569380,130390,733401,363
PPA2.522.702.973.093.193.293.393.493.603.703.803.90
%BO31.5%33.7%37.1%38.7%39.9%41.1%42.4%43.7%44.9%46.2%47.5%48.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%317,863$29,700,552,701$22,386,513,69475.4%$0.4268$0.219534.0%$0.6463$144,675,979$455$79,718,715$25155.1%
20214.7%318,878$31,711,816,364$23,914,507,71175.4%$0.4268$0.219534.0%$0.6463$154,550,854$485$86,039,295$27055.7%
20228.0%319,893$36,593,877,065$27,428,682,12375.0%$0.3993$0.220935.6%$0.6203$170,129,418$532$92,547,634$28954.4%
20234.1%320,908$42,808,236,952$31,017,580,78972.5%$0.3788$0.220936.8%$0.5998$186,035,386$580$97,338,773$30352.3%
20243.2%321,923$45,136,822,474$30,941,838,44068.6%$0.3788$0.220936.8%$0.5998$185,581,101$576$98,789,434$30753.2%
2025*2.9%322,938$47,393,663,598$32,488,930,36268.6%$0.3788$0.220936.8%$0.5998$194,860,156$603$100,290,888$31151.5%
CAGR4.2%0.3%11.0%8.4%-1.9%-2.4%0.1%1.6%-1.5%6.4%6.1%5.5%5.2%-1.4%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.6%10.7%7.5%7.3%8.6%7.1%8.0%9.8%7.8%8.1%9.3%8.2%$79,718,715
20217.2%9.4%6.8%6.5%10.3%8.2%8.0%9.8%8.3%8.2%9.5%7.8%$86,039,295
20227.9%9.8%7.0%7.2%9.4%7.9%7.9%9.0%8.6%8.4%9.0%8.0%$92,547,634
20237.6%9.8%7.2%7.3%10.0%8.2%7.0%9.4%8.4%8.3%8.8%8.0%$97,338,773
20247.8%10.0%7.3%7.7%9.2%8.0%8.2%8.9%8.3%7.6%8.6%8.5%$98,789,434
20257.6%10.6%7.2%7.1%9.0%8.1%8.1%9.1%8.4%7.9%8.6%8.4%$100,290,888
MEDIAN %7.6%9.9%7.2%7.2%9.3%8.1%8.0%9.3%8.3%8.1%8.9%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

CORPUS CHRISTI MTA (City)

Pop 337,519 PPA 2.72 %BO 34.0% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
253,309 294,349 335,389 376,429 417,469 458,509 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 281,455 301,706 327,429 337,519 347,050 356,705 366,475 376,356 386,339 396,417 406,583 416,827 +0.7% +0.8% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% Population Trend: CORPUS CHRISTI MTA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CORPUS CHRISTI MTA had a 2020 population of 337,519 across 194.1 square miles, yielding a density of 2.72 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 416,827, a gain of 79,308 (+23.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.26% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 34.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CORPUS CHRISTI MTA has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 41.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: CORPUS CHRISTI MTA demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CORPUS CHRISTI MTA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop281,455301,706327,429337,519347,050356,705366,475376,356386,339396,417406,583416,827
PPA2.272.432.642.722.792.872.953.033.113.193.273.36
%BO28.3%30.4%32.9%34.0%34.9%35.9%36.9%37.9%38.9%39.9%40.9%41.9%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.6%7.1%10.9%7.6%8.4%7.2%8.2%9.8%8.0%8.2%8.9%8.2%$34,123,419
20217.3%9.3%6.9%6.4%10.4%8.3%8.4%9.5%8.3%8.1%9.2%7.9%$35,913,894
20228.1%9.9%7.0%7.1%9.1%8.0%8.0%9.1%8.7%8.4%8.7%8.0%$38,113,234
20237.6%9.6%7.1%7.2%9.6%7.9%8.3%9.2%8.5%8.3%8.5%8.1%$40,211,509
20247.6%9.6%7.2%8.5%8.9%8.1%8.3%8.9%8.4%7.7%8.2%8.7%$41,579,078
20257.9%8.7%7.2%7.0%9.0%8.2%8.1%9.3%8.5%7.9%8.0%10.1%$42,506,213
MEDIAN %7.6%9.5%7.2%7.2%9.1%8.1%8.3%9.3%8.5%8.2%8.7%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

CORSICANA (City)

Pop 25,109 PPA 1.73 %BO 21.6% Levy $13,782,318 Levy CAGR +15.1% E-Factor 6.17%
20,739 23,804 26,868 29,933 32,997 36,062 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 23,044 24,485 23,770 25,109 25,992 26,898 27,825 28,775 29,745 30,737 31,750 32,784 +0.6% -0.3% +0.5% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: CORSICANA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CORSICANA had a 2020 population of 25,109 across 22.7 square miles, yielding a density of 1.73 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 32,784, a gain of 7,675 (+30.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.33% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 21.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CORSICANA has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 28.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): CORSICANA levied $13,782,318 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,505,233,852. The taxable value of $2,785,432,271 reflects 20.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4948 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3469 for Maintenance & Operations (70.1%) and $0.1479 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (29.9%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $539 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 15.1% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 11.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 6.17% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): CORSICANA collected $11,110,409 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $435 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 80.6% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.0% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: CORSICANA demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CORSICANA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop23,04424,48523,77025,10925,99226,89827,82528,77529,74530,73731,75032,784
PPA1.591.691.641.731.791.851.921.982.052.122.192.26
%BO19.9%21.1%20.5%21.6%22.4%23.2%24.0%24.8%25.6%26.5%27.4%28.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%25,109$2,197,944,931$1,777,692,28980.9%$0.4214N/AN/A$0.4214$7,491,195$298$7,259,109$28996.9%
20214.7%25,197$2,217,509,345$1,798,696,59881.1%$0.4294$0.182629.8%$0.6120$11,008,023$437$8,468,805$33676.9%
20228.0%25,285$2,504,975,189$2,020,246,54080.6%$0.3396$0.189235.8%$0.5288$10,683,064$423$10,037,937$39794.0%
20234.1%25,373$3,288,137,531$2,547,527,32777.5%$0.3098$0.142831.6%$0.4526$11,530,109$454$10,072,909$39787.4%
20243.2%25,462$3,338,317,954$2,652,792,63979.5%$0.3469$0.147929.9%$0.4948$13,126,017$516$9,871,131$38875.2%
2025*2.9%25,550$3,505,233,852$2,785,432,27179.5%$0.3469$0.147929.9%$0.4948$13,782,318$539$11,110,409$43580.6%
CAGR4.2%0.3%11.0%10.5%-0.4%-3.8%3.3%15.1%14.7%8.0%7.6%-3.6%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.2%10.0%7.2%6.9%8.6%7.5%8.0%10.7%8.3%8.1%9.4%8.2%$7,259,109
20216.8%10.8%6.9%5.8%9.8%9.0%7.6%9.5%7.8%8.0%10.4%7.6%$8,468,805
20227.4%8.8%7.1%7.9%8.6%8.2%8.2%9.2%7.8%7.8%9.9%9.1%$10,037,937
20239.6%9.1%8.3%6.9%9.3%7.8%8.4%8.7%8.1%7.9%8.4%7.6%$10,072,909
20247.8%9.8%6.7%7.5%9.7%8.1%8.1%9.0%8.5%8.2%8.1%8.5%$9,871,131
20257.3%11.8%6.5%6.3%9.2%8.0%8.1%8.6%8.1%8.2%9.0%8.9%$11,110,409
MEDIAN %7.4%10.0%7.0%7.0%9.3%8.1%8.2%9.2%8.2%8.1%9.2%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

CORYELL COUNTY (City)

Pop 83,093 PPA 0.12 %BO 1.5% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
57,791 83,988 110,186 136,383 162,580 188,777 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 64,213 74,978 75,388 83,093 91,033 99,718 109,214 119,595 130,938 143,327 156,854 171,616 +1.6% +0.1% +1.0% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% Population Trend: CORYELL COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CORYELL COUNTY had a 2020 population of 83,093 across 1052.2 square miles, yielding a density of 0.12 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 171,616, a gain of 88,523 (+106.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.91% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CORYELL COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 3.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: CORYELL COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CORYELL COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop64,21374,97875,38883,09391,03399,718109,214119,595130,938143,327156,854171,616
PPA0.100.110.110.120.140.150.160.180.190.210.230.25
%BO1.2%1.4%1.4%1.5%1.7%1.9%2.0%2.2%2.4%2.7%2.9%3.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%9.4%7.8%6.9%8.3%8.2%9.0%9.4%8.5%8.1%8.6%8.3%$2,935,095
20217.6%9.2%7.4%6.3%10.0%8.5%7.9%9.5%8.1%7.9%9.5%8.0%$3,283,060
20228.2%9.8%7.1%7.2%9.2%8.2%8.3%8.9%8.1%8.0%8.4%8.6%$3,571,975
20237.9%10.0%7.4%7.8%9.3%8.0%8.3%9.1%7.8%8.0%8.3%8.2%$3,686,155
20248.1%10.4%7.4%7.8%9.1%7.9%8.3%8.5%8.1%8.0%8.3%8.2%$3,758,094
20257.6%10.3%7.0%7.0%8.7%8.0%8.1%9.1%8.4%8.2%8.8%8.7%$4,063,660
MEDIAN %7.8%9.9%7.4%7.2%9.2%8.1%8.3%9.1%8.1%8.0%8.5%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

CRANE (County)

Pop 3,478 PPA 5.28 %BO 66.0% Levy $19,825,499 Levy CAGR +16.9% E-Factor 11.80%
2,871 3,102 3,333 3,564 3,795 4,026 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 3,535 3,191 3,353 3,478 3,501 3,524 3,547 3,570 3,593 3,616 3,638 3,660 -1.0% +0.5% +0.4% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: CRANE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CRANE had a 2020 population of 3,478 across 1.0 square miles, yielding a density of 5.28 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 3,660, a gain of 182 (+5.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.06% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 66.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CRANE is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 69.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): CRANE levied $19,825,499 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,429,869,514. The taxable value of $2,773,438,904 reflects 19.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7143 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5940 for Maintenance & Operations (83.2%) and $0.1203 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (16.8%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $5,682 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 16.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 19.4% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 11.80% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: CRANE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CRANE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop3,5353,1913,3533,4783,5013,5243,5473,5703,5933,6163,6383,660
PPA5.364.845.095.285.315.355.385.425.455.495.525.55
%BO67.0%60.5%63.6%66.0%66.4%66.8%67.3%67.7%68.1%68.6%69.0%69.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%3,478$1,609,435,199~EstN/A$0.6827N/AN/A$0.6827$10,123,029$2,911
20214.7%3,480$1,647,715,801~EstN/A$0.7850$0.03013.7%$0.8151$11,071,878$3,182
20228.0%3,482$2,279,665,901~EstN/A$0.6029$0.02233.6%$0.6252$11,696,178$3,359
20234.1%3,484$3,309,961,029~EstN/A$0.4396$0.097018.1%$0.5366$15,416,203$4,425
20243.2%3,487$3,266,542,394$2,641,370,38580.9%$0.5940$0.120316.8%$0.7143$18,881,428$5,415
2025~2.9%3,489$3,429,869,514$2,773,438,90480.9%$0.5940$0.120316.8%$0.7143$19,825,499$5,682
CAGR4.2%0.1%19.4%-2.7%0.9%16.9%16.8%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

CROCKETT (County)

Pop 6,332 PPA 1.12 %BO 14.0% Levy $21,426,860 Levy CAGR -0.1% E-Factor 0.00%
5,698 6,180 6,662 7,144 7,626 8,108 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 7,371 7,141 6,950 6,332 6,342 6,353 6,363 6,374 6,384 6,395 6,406 6,416 -0.3% -0.3% -0.9% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: CROCKETT (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CROCKETT had a 2020 population of 6,332 across 8.8 square miles, yielding a density of 1.12 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 6,416, a gain of 84 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 14.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CROCKETT has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 14.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): CROCKETT levied $21,426,860 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,947,227,185. The taxable value of $2,710,799,128 reflects 31.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7899 per $100 valuation consists of $0.7899 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $3,381 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of -0.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.4% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Strategic Outlook: CROCKETT demonstrates contracting fiscal capacity, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CROCKETT
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop7,3717,1416,9506,3326,3426,3536,3636,3746,3846,3956,4066,416
PPA1.301.261.231.121.121.121.121.131.131.131.131.13
%BO16.3%15.8%15.3%14.0%14.0%14.0%14.0%14.1%14.1%14.1%14.1%14.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%6,332$2,531,974,282~EstN/A$0.9032$0.132412.8%$1.0356$20,494,178$3,237
20214.7%6,333$2,647,054,910~EstN/A$0.7036$0.01391.9%$0.7175$14,897,591$2,352
20228.0%6,334$3,646,092,458~EstN/A$0.6735N/AN/A$0.6735$18,365,804$2,900
20234.1%6,335$3,751,154,501~EstN/A$0.6687N/AN/A$0.6687$19,314,954$3,049
20243.2%6,336$3,759,263,986$2,581,713,45568.7%$0.7899N/AN/A$0.7899$20,406,533$3,221
2025~2.9%6,337$3,947,227,185$2,710,799,12868.7%$0.7899N/AN/A$0.7899$21,426,860$3,381
CAGR4.2%0.0%10.4%-2.6%-5.3%-0.1%-0.1%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

CROWLEY (City)

Pop 18,070 PPA 3.89 %BO 48.7% Levy $13,408,533 Levy CAGR +8.6% E-Factor 3.38%
6,337 12,687 19,036 25,386 31,735 38,085 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 7,042 7,467 12,838 18,070 21,151 24,097 26,770 29,079 30,993 32,525 33,716 34,623 +0.6% +5.6% +3.5% +1.6% +1.3% +1.1% +0.8% +0.6% +0.5% +0.4% +0.3% Population Trend: CROWLEY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CROWLEY had a 2020 population of 18,070 across 7.2 square miles, yielding a density of 3.89 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 34,623, a gain of 16,553 (+91.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.82% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 48.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CROWLEY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 93.3%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): CROWLEY levied $13,408,533 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,582,161,147. The taxable value of $2,204,263,367 reflects 14.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6083 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4773 for Maintenance & Operations (78.5%) and $0.1310 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (21.5%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $684 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 12.8% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.38% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): CROWLEY collected $5,107,141 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $260 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 38.1% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 11.5% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: CROWLEY demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CROWLEY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop7,0427,46712,83818,07021,15124,09726,77029,07930,99332,52533,71634,623
PPA1.521.612.773.894.565.195.776.276.687.017.277.46
%BO19.0%20.1%34.6%48.7%57.0%64.9%72.1%78.3%83.5%87.6%90.8%93.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%18,070$1,517,095,503$1,313,660,22586.6%$0.5129$0.186926.7%$0.6998$9,193,073$509$3,275,137$18135.6%
20214.7%18,378$1,609,389,029$1,397,818,63186.9%$0.5261$0.203427.9%$0.7295$10,197,716$555$3,647,127$19835.8%
20228.0%18,686$1,927,037,467$1,636,785,73584.9%$0.4997$0.145522.5%$0.6452$10,560,591$565$4,256,823$22840.3%
20234.1%18,994$2,396,350,896$1,962,999,96781.9%$0.4597$0.135222.7%$0.5949$11,677,690$615$4,518,655$23838.7%
20243.2%19,302$2,459,201,092$2,099,298,44585.4%$0.4773$0.131021.5%$0.6083$12,770,031$662$5,065,176$26239.7%
2025*2.9%19,610$2,582,161,147$2,204,263,36785.4%$0.4773$0.131021.5%$0.6083$13,408,533$684$5,107,141$26038.1%
CAGR4.2%1.6%12.8%12.4%-0.3%-1.4%-6.9%-4.2%-2.8%8.6%6.8%11.5%9.7%1.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.2%10.4%6.7%6.6%9.2%7.7%8.2%10.2%8.2%7.9%9.8%8.1%$3,275,137
20217.0%10.5%6.9%6.4%10.5%7.7%7.4%9.4%7.8%7.6%10.4%8.5%$3,647,127
20227.5%10.4%7.2%6.5%9.3%7.6%7.7%10.2%7.9%8.6%9.4%7.7%$4,256,823
20237.4%10.2%7.2%6.7%9.2%7.5%8.0%9.5%8.0%7.8%10.3%8.2%$4,518,655
20248.7%12.2%6.5%6.4%8.8%6.8%7.4%8.5%8.1%8.7%9.4%8.4%$5,065,176
20257.8%11.4%7.1%6.7%9.7%7.8%7.7%9.1%7.6%7.3%9.0%8.6%$5,107,141
MEDIAN %7.5%10.5%7.1%6.6%9.3%7.7%7.8%9.5%8.0%7.9%9.7%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

CUERO (City)

Pop 8,128 PPA 2.57 %BO 32.1% Levy $1,747,911 Levy CAGR +5.0% E-Factor 0.00%
5,913 7,889 9,864 11,840 13,816 15,791 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 6,815 6,571 6,841 8,128 8,845 9,591 10,361 11,149 11,948 12,754 13,559 14,356 -0.4% +0.4% +1.7% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% Population Trend: CUERO (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: CUERO had a 2020 population of 8,128 across 4.9 square miles, yielding a density of 2.57 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 14,356, a gain of 6,228 (+76.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.71% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 32.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), CUERO has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 56.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): CUERO levied $1,747,911 in property taxes on a market value base of $758,325,213. The taxable value of $563,842,280 reflects 25.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3100 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2574 for Maintenance & Operations (83.0%) and $0.0527 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (17.0%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $206 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.0% CAGR lagged market value growth of 15.4% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): CUERO collected $3,105,561 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $366 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 177.7% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.0% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: CUERO demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
CUERO
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop6,8156,5716,8418,1288,8459,59110,36111,14911,94812,75413,55914,356
PPA2.162.082.162.572.803.033.283.533.784.034.294.54
%BO26.9%26.0%27.0%32.1%35.0%37.9%41.0%44.1%47.2%50.4%53.6%56.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%8,128$407,760,936$370,031,93190.7%$0.2832$0.086323.4%$0.3695$1,367,305$168$2,265,656$279165.7%
20214.7%8,199$420,765,572$367,904,41087.4%$0.2944$0.075120.3%$0.3695$1,359,444$166$2,281,648$278167.8%
20228.0%8,271$544,770,943$403,447,26974.1%$0.2810$0.068519.6%$0.3495$1,410,048$170$2,656,028$321188.4%
20234.1%8,343$645,112,938$476,445,26873.9%$0.2551$0.062419.6%$0.3175$1,512,666$181$3,424,312$410226.4%
20243.2%8,414$722,214,489$536,992,64874.4%$0.2574$0.052717.0%$0.3100$1,664,677$198$2,857,289$340171.6%
2025*2.9%8,486$758,325,213$563,842,28074.4%$0.2574$0.052717.0%$0.3100$1,747,911$206$3,105,561$366177.7%
CAGR4.2%0.9%15.4%9.8%-3.9%-1.9%-9.4%-6.2%-3.5%5.0%4.1%6.0%5.1%1.4%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%10.1%9.4%7.9%8.9%8.8%7.8%8.7%7.4%7.5%8.5%7.6%$2,265,656
20217.0%9.6%6.7%6.5%9.2%8.2%9.7%8.3%7.9%8.2%10.8%8.0%$2,281,648
20227.3%9.1%6.4%6.4%9.6%7.9%7.9%11.5%8.1%9.3%9.0%7.6%$2,656,028
20238.0%8.8%5.9%6.7%7.7%6.0%22.8%7.6%6.3%6.3%7.4%6.3%$3,424,312
20248.0%10.6%7.5%7.5%9.0%8.3%8.5%8.5%7.5%7.9%8.6%8.1%$2,857,289
20257.4%12.7%5.1%6.9%8.7%7.9%8.6%9.3%9.5%7.3%8.4%8.3%$3,105,561
MEDIAN %7.7%10.2%6.8%7.0%9.3%8.3%8.9%8.9%8.0%8.0%8.9%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

DALHART (City)

Pop 8,447 PPA 2.76 %BO 34.5% Levy $2,981,609 Levy CAGR +6.7% E-Factor 1.31%
5,635 7,178 8,720 10,262 11,805 13,347 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 6,262 7,237 7,930 8,447 8,883 9,328 9,782 10,243 10,710 11,182 11,657 12,134 +1.5% +0.9% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% Population Trend: DALHART (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: DALHART had a 2020 population of 8,447 across 4.8 square miles, yielding a density of 2.76 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 12,134, a gain of 3,687 (+43.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.45% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 34.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), DALHART has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 49.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): DALHART levied $2,981,609 in property taxes on a market value base of $831,860,346. The taxable value of $701,968,326 reflects 15.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4248 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3975 for Maintenance & Operations (93.6%) and $0.0273 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (6.4%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $344 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.7% CAGR lagged market value growth of 7.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.31% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): DALHART collected $3,403,941 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $393 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 114.2% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.9% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: DALHART demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
DALHART
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop6,2627,2377,9308,4478,8839,3289,78210,24310,71011,18211,65712,134
PPA2.052.372.592.762.903.053.203.353.503.663.813.97
%BO25.6%29.6%32.4%34.5%36.3%38.1%40.0%41.9%43.8%45.7%47.6%49.6%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%8,447$605,109,590$511,439,21084.5%$0.4276N/AN/A$0.4276$2,186,915$259$2,661,016$315121.7%
20214.7%8,490$643,473,295$548,077,77385.2%$0.4276N/AN/A$0.4276$2,343,581$276$3,009,626$354128.4%
20228.0%8,534$694,938,740$595,022,37285.6%$0.4130N/AN/A$0.4130$2,457,443$288$3,363,879$394136.9%
20234.1%8,577$759,755,510$644,944,85084.9%$0.3972$0.02786.5%$0.4250$2,741,119$320$3,507,073$409127.9%
20243.2%8,621$792,247,949$668,541,26384.4%$0.3975$0.02736.4%$0.4248$2,839,628$329$3,473,553$403122.3%
2025*2.9%8,665$831,860,346$701,968,32684.4%$0.3975$0.02736.4%$0.4248$2,981,609$344$3,403,941$393114.2%
CAGR4.2%0.5%7.0%6.9%-0.0%-1.5%-0.1%6.7%6.2%6.9%6.3%-1.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.1%9.9%6.7%6.2%9.2%7.8%8.0%10.9%8.4%7.9%9.8%8.2%$2,661,016
20216.4%9.1%7.2%6.3%9.5%7.6%7.8%10.6%8.5%8.0%10.7%8.5%$3,009,626
20227.6%9.8%5.6%6.0%10.2%7.7%7.8%10.1%8.0%8.4%9.7%9.0%$3,363,879
20237.6%10.5%7.4%6.6%10.0%7.1%8.8%8.7%8.0%8.9%9.2%7.2%$3,507,073
20248.4%9.2%7.2%7.2%9.5%7.8%7.5%9.5%7.7%8.6%9.7%7.7%$3,473,553
20257.2%10.6%7.1%6.3%9.4%7.8%7.9%9.9%8.1%7.8%9.8%8.1%$3,403,941
MEDIAN %7.4%9.8%7.2%6.3%9.5%7.8%7.9%10.0%8.1%8.2%9.8%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

DALLAM COUNTY (City)

Pop 7,115 PPA 0.01 %BO 0.1% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
4,914 6,693 8,472 10,251 12,030 13,809 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 5,461 6,222 6,703 7,115 7,638 8,200 8,804 9,451 10,147 10,893 11,694 12,554 +1.3% +0.7% +0.6% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% Population Trend: DALLAM COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: DALLAM COUNTY had a 2020 population of 7,115 across 1503.1 square miles, yielding a density of 0.01 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 12,554, a gain of 5,439 (+76.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.71% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), DALLAM COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: DALLAM COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
DALLAM COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop5,4616,2226,7037,1157,6388,2008,8049,45110,14710,89311,69412,554
PPA0.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.01
%BO0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.2%0.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

DALLAS (City)

Pop 1,304,379 PPA 5.99 %BO 74.8% Levy $1,597,979,530 Levy CAGR +6.8% E-Factor 2.87%
906,189 1,053,001 1,199,813 1,346,626 1,493,438 1,640,250 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 1,006,877 1,188,580 1,197,816 1,304,379 1,332,008 1,358,414 1,383,585 1,407,519 1,430,223 1,451,712 1,472,007 1,491,137 +1.7% +0.1% +0.9% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: DALLAS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: DALLAS had a 2020 population of 1,304,379 across 340.5 square miles, yielding a density of 5.99 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 1,491,137, a gain of 186,758 (+14.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.17% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 74.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), DALLAS is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 85.5%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): DALLAS levied $1,597,979,530 in property taxes on a market value base of $312,153,531,264. The taxable value of $226,760,257,252 reflects 27.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7047 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5109 for Maintenance & Operations (72.5%) and $0.1938 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (27.5%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,212 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.5% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.87% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): DALLAS collected $451,388,318 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $342 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 28.2% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.4% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: DALLAS demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
DALLAS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop1,006,8771,188,5801,197,8161,304,3791,332,0081,358,4141,383,5851,407,5191,430,2231,451,7121,472,0071,491,137
PPA4.625.455.505.996.116.236.356.466.566.666.756.84
%BO57.8%68.2%68.7%74.8%76.4%77.9%79.4%80.7%82.0%83.3%84.4%85.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%1,304,379$199,284,974,808$150,717,345,39575.6%$0.5688$0.207526.7%$0.7763$1,170,018,752$897$307,328,803$23626.3%
20214.7%1,307,141$208,056,408,249$157,339,194,61675.6%$0.5658$0.207526.8%$0.7733$1,216,703,992$931$358,215,984$27429.4%
20228.0%1,309,904$242,353,397,086$180,719,561,01174.6%$0.5403$0.205527.6%$0.7458$1,347,806,487$1,029$408,638,487$31230.3%
20234.1%1,312,667$267,981,217,116$199,132,020,73874.3%$0.5317$0.204027.7%$0.7357$1,465,014,276$1,116$426,748,146$32529.1%
20243.2%1,315,430$297,289,077,394$215,962,149,76472.6%$0.5109$0.193827.5%$0.7047$1,521,885,267$1,157$439,640,678$33428.9%
2025*2.9%1,318,193$312,153,531,264$226,760,257,25272.6%$0.5109$0.193827.5%$0.7047$1,597,979,530$1,212$451,388,318$34228.2%
CAGR4.2%0.2%10.5%9.4%-0.8%-2.1%-1.4%0.6%-1.9%6.8%6.6%9.4%9.1%1.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.7%11.4%8.8%7.7%8.7%6.3%7.3%9.0%8.0%7.6%8.1%8.3%$307,328,803
20217.0%10.0%6.8%6.3%9.4%8.1%8.0%9.5%8.6%7.9%9.8%8.5%$358,215,983
20227.4%9.7%7.0%6.6%9.7%8.3%8.1%9.4%8.0%7.8%9.7%8.2%$408,638,487
20238.0%10.2%7.5%7.3%9.1%7.6%8.4%8.9%7.8%7.9%9.0%8.5%$426,748,146
20247.9%13.1%4.3%7.6%9.1%8.1%8.1%9.1%7.7%7.7%8.6%8.6%$439,640,677
20258.1%10.1%7.4%7.0%10.0%8.0%7.9%8.6%8.1%7.6%8.8%8.3%$451,388,318
MEDIAN %8.0%10.2%7.2%7.1%9.3%8.1%8.1%9.1%8.0%7.8%8.9%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

DALLAS (County)

Pop 1,304,379 PPA 5.99 %BO 74.8% Levy $946,666,737 Levy CAGR +7.2% E-Factor 1.94%
906,189 1,053,001 1,199,813 1,346,626 1,493,438 1,640,250 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 1,006,877 1,188,580 1,197,816 1,304,379 1,332,008 1,358,414 1,383,585 1,407,519 1,430,223 1,451,712 1,472,007 1,491,137 +1.7% +0.1% +0.9% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: DALLAS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: DALLAS had a 2020 population of 1,304,379 across 340.5 square miles, yielding a density of 5.99 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 1,491,137, a gain of 186,758 (+14.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.17% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 74.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), DALLAS is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 85.5%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): DALLAS levied $946,666,737 in property taxes on a market value base of $596,999,002,551. The taxable value of $494,011,927,461 reflects 17.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.2155 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2080 for Maintenance & Operations (96.5%) and $0.0075 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (3.5%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $718 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.94% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Strategic Outlook: DALLAS demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
DALLAS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop1,006,8771,188,5801,197,8161,304,3791,332,0081,358,4141,383,5851,407,5191,430,2231,451,7121,472,0071,491,137
PPA4.625.455.505.996.116.236.356.466.566.666.756.84
%BO57.8%68.2%68.7%74.8%76.4%77.9%79.4%80.7%82.0%83.3%84.4%85.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%1,304,379$374,526,283,216~EstN/A$0.2314$0.00833.5%$0.2397$683,972,482$524
20214.7%1,307,141$391,801,575,190~EstN/A$0.2211$0.00683.0%$0.2279$683,763,261$523
20228.0%1,309,904$459,594,343,560~EstN/A$0.2090$0.00904.1%$0.2179$745,880,798$569
20234.1%1,312,667$511,318,562,020~EstN/A$0.2070$0.00874.1%$0.2157$823,211,969$627
20243.2%1,315,430$568,570,478,620$470,487,549,96382.7%$0.2080$0.00753.5%$0.2155$901,587,369$685
2025~2.9%1,318,193$596,999,002,551$494,011,927,46182.7%$0.2080$0.00753.5%$0.2155$946,666,737$718
CAGR4.2%0.2%11.0%-2.1%-2.0%0.1%-2.1%7.2%6.9%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

DALLAS COUNTY (City)

Pop 2,613,539 PPA 4.68 %BO 58.5% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
1,667,529 2,087,231 2,506,933 2,926,635 3,346,338 3,766,040 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 1,852,810 2,218,899 2,368,139 2,613,539 2,726,806 2,837,494 2,945,098 3,049,173 3,149,342 3,245,296 3,336,797 3,423,673 +1.8% +0.7% +1.0% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: DALLAS COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: DALLAS COUNTY had a 2020 population of 2,613,539 across 873.0 square miles, yielding a density of 4.68 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 3,423,673, a gain of 810,134 (+31.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.34% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 58.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), DALLAS COUNTY is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 76.6%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Strategic Outlook: Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
DALLAS COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop1,852,8102,218,8992,368,1392,613,5392,726,8062,837,4942,945,0983,049,1733,149,3423,245,2963,336,7973,423,673
PPA3.323.974.244.684.885.085.275.465.645.815.976.13
%BO41.5%49.6%53.0%58.5%61.0%63.5%65.9%68.2%70.5%72.6%74.7%76.6%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

DALLAS MTA (City)

Pop 2,520,047 PPA 6.05 %BO 75.6% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
1,555,371 1,893,051 2,230,731 2,568,411 2,906,091 3,243,771 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 1,728,191 2,152,249 2,270,375 2,520,047 2,587,687 2,651,225 2,710,650 2,766,004 2,817,371 2,864,870 2,908,651 2,948,883 +2.2% +0.5% +1.0% +0.3% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.1% Population Trend: DALLAS MTA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: DALLAS MTA had a 2020 population of 2,520,047 across 650.9 square miles, yielding a density of 6.05 persons per acre (PPA). This high density suggests an urbanized area with limited greenfield expansion potential. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 2,948,883, a gain of 428,836 (+17.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.20% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 75.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), DALLAS MTA is approaching full build-out. By 2100, build-out is projected at 88.5%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Strategic Outlook: Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
DALLAS MTA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop1,728,1912,152,2492,270,3752,520,0472,587,6872,651,2252,710,6502,766,0042,817,3712,864,8702,908,6512,948,883
PPA4.155.175.456.056.216.366.516.646.766.886.987.08
%BO51.9%64.6%68.1%75.6%77.7%79.6%81.3%83.0%84.5%86.0%87.3%88.5%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.4%11.2%8.5%7.4%8.4%6.7%7.4%9.2%7.9%7.7%9.0%8.3%$612,300,394
20217.1%9.8%7.1%6.2%8.9%8.4%8.1%9.5%8.6%8.1%9.4%8.7%$691,200,128
20227.8%9.8%7.4%6.8%9.3%8.0%8.3%8.7%8.2%8.4%9.0%8.5%$790,372,788
20238.0%10.0%7.7%7.3%8.8%7.8%8.5%8.9%8.0%8.1%8.7%8.3%$836,556,721
20248.0%11.2%6.2%7.6%8.8%8.1%8.3%8.8%8.3%7.9%8.3%8.7%$856,704,294
20257.9%10.0%7.5%7.0%8.7%7.8%8.0%8.9%8.7%8.1%8.7%8.8%$905,697,522
MEDIAN %7.9%10.0%7.4%7.1%8.8%7.9%8.2%8.9%8.2%8.1%8.9%8.6%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

DAWSON (County)

Pop 815 PPA 0.71 %BO 8.9% Levy $7,901,989 Levy CAGR -0.8% E-Factor 0.00%
689 750 810 871 932 993 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 766 852 807 815 825 836 847 858 869 880 891 903 +1.1% -0.5% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: DAWSON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: DAWSON had a 2020 population of 815 across 1.8 square miles, yielding a density of 0.71 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 903, a gain of 88 (+10.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.13% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 8.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), DAWSON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 9.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): DAWSON levied $7,901,989 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,730,701,417. The taxable value of $1,113,789,136 reflects 35.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7048 per $100 valuation consists of $0.7048 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $9,637 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of -0.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 6.1% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Strategic Outlook: DAWSON demonstrates contracting fiscal capacity, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
DAWSON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop766852807815825836847858869880891903
PPA0.670.740.700.710.720.730.740.750.760.770.780.79
%BO8.4%9.3%8.8%8.9%9.0%9.1%9.2%9.4%9.5%9.6%9.7%9.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%815$1,299,120,900~EstN/A$0.9709N/AN/A$0.9709$7,767,845$9,531
20214.7%816$968,912,505~EstN/A$0.9709N/AN/A$0.9709$4,899,651$6,004
20228.0%817$1,355,642,730~EstN/A$0.9000N/AN/A$0.9000$8,090,099$9,902
20234.1%818$1,525,415,508~EstN/A$0.8738N/AN/A$0.8738$9,313,285$11,385
20243.2%819$1,648,287,064$1,060,751,55864.4%$0.7048N/AN/A$0.7048$7,525,704$9,189
2025~2.9%820$1,730,701,417$1,113,789,13664.4%$0.7048N/AN/A$0.7048$7,901,989$9,637
CAGR4.2%0.1%6.1%-6.2%-6.2%-0.8%-0.9%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

DAWSON COUNTY (City)

Pop 12,456 PPA 0.02 %BO 0.3% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
11,210 12,265 13,319 14,374 15,428 16,483 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 14,349 14,985 13,833 12,456 12,476 12,497 12,518 12,539 12,560 12,581 12,602 12,623 +0.4% -0.8% -1.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: DAWSON COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: DAWSON COUNTY had a 2020 population of 12,456 across 900.3 square miles, yielding a density of 0.02 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 12,623, a gain of 167 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), DAWSON COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: DAWSON COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
DAWSON COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop14,34914,98513,83312,45612,47612,49712,51812,53912,56012,58112,60212,623
PPA0.020.030.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.02
%BO0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.7%9.9%8.8%7.2%9.5%7.9%8.4%8.8%6.9%7.1%10.1%7.8%$890,440
20216.2%8.5%6.7%5.9%9.4%7.5%7.9%11.4%8.6%8.9%10.3%8.7%$1,050,034
20227.4%7.3%6.8%8.1%10.8%8.4%8.4%10.2%7.9%9.0%8.6%7.1%$1,438,199
20239.4%8.8%6.3%16.8%8.5%7.2%7.4%7.5%6.5%6.7%6.9%7.9%$1,717,882
20246.0%7.8%7.1%16.6%7.5%10.1%7.7%7.7%7.1%7.5%7.1%7.9%$2,057,205
20256.4%8.8%6.1%6.4%7.4%7.9%7.9%7.3%7.9%6.7%18.0%9.2%$2,229,238
MEDIAN %7.3%9.1%7.1%8.1%9.5%8.3%8.3%8.7%7.9%7.7%9.9%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

DAYTON (City)

Pop 8,777 PPA 0.65 %BO 8.1% Levy $9,928,246 Levy CAGR +10.8% E-Factor 3.35%
4,815 10,372 15,929 21,487 27,044 32,601 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 5,350 5,709 7,242 8,777 10,356 12,185 14,289 16,695 19,422 22,486 25,893 29,638 +0.7% +2.4% +1.9% +1.7% +1.6% +1.6% +1.6% +1.5% +1.5% +1.4% +1.4% Population Trend: DAYTON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: DAYTON had a 2020 population of 8,777 across 21.1 square miles, yielding a density of 0.65 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 29,638, a gain of 20,861 (+237.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.53% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 8.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), DAYTON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 27.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): DAYTON levied $9,928,246 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,075,076,188. The taxable value of $1,532,282,780 reflects 26.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5368 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3819 for Maintenance & Operations (71.1%) and $0.1549 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (28.9%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,038 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 10.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 12.1% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.35% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): DAYTON collected $4,004,531 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $419 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 40.3% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.4% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: DAYTON demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
DAYTON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop5,3505,7097,2428,77710,35612,18514,28916,69519,42222,48625,89329,638
PPA0.400.420.540.650.770.901.061.241.441.671.922.20
%BO5.0%5.3%6.7%8.1%9.6%11.3%13.2%15.5%18.0%20.8%24.0%27.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%8,777$1,250,368,545$912,702,45373.0%$0.5251$0.128619.7%$0.6537$6,264,881$714$2,619,836$29841.8%
20214.7%8,934$1,349,332,492$1,002,335,59374.3%$0.4974$0.128620.5%$0.6260$6,682,291$748$2,870,741$32143.0%
20228.0%9,092$1,671,385,811$1,222,665,76073.2%$0.4445$0.158926.3%$0.6033$8,112,148$892$3,289,544$36240.6%
20234.1%9,250$1,791,076,611$1,309,133,29673.1%$0.4077$0.157827.9%$0.5655$8,643,963$934$3,469,619$37540.1%
20243.2%9,408$1,976,263,036$1,459,316,93373.8%$0.3819$0.154928.9%$0.5368$9,455,472$1,005$3,748,501$39839.6%
2025*2.9%9,566$2,075,076,188$1,532,282,78073.8%$0.3819$0.154928.9%$0.5368$9,928,246$1,038$4,004,531$41940.3%
CAGR4.2%1.7%12.1%12.4%0.2%-6.2%3.8%8.0%-3.9%10.8%8.9%9.4%7.5%-0.7%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.7%12.0%7.1%7.8%9.5%7.2%7.8%11.3%7.0%6.7%9.7%7.1%$2,619,836
20216.1%8.5%7.2%6.0%11.5%8.4%9.4%10.5%7.3%7.4%11.1%6.5%$2,870,741
20228.2%9.6%7.0%6.5%10.8%8.2%8.6%8.6%7.3%7.8%9.8%7.5%$3,289,544
20236.7%9.7%7.0%6.7%11.6%6.7%7.6%9.6%7.8%8.5%9.7%8.4%$3,469,619
20247.0%10.1%6.8%7.3%10.4%7.8%6.9%9.1%8.7%7.3%9.9%8.6%$3,748,501
20257.2%10.9%6.9%6.1%8.9%8.5%7.9%9.4%8.5%7.2%10.1%8.5%$4,004,531
MEDIAN %6.9%10.0%7.0%6.7%10.7%8.1%7.9%9.6%7.7%7.5%9.9%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

DEAF SMITH COUNTY (City)

Pop 18,583 PPA 0.02 %BO 0.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
16,704 17,625 18,546 19,467 20,388 21,309 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 19,153 18,561 19,372 18,583 18,613 18,645 18,676 18,707 18,738 18,769 18,800 18,832 -0.3% +0.4% -0.4% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: DEAF SMITH COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: DEAF SMITH COUNTY had a 2020 population of 18,583 across 1496.8 square miles, yielding a density of 0.02 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 18,832, a gain of 249 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), DEAF SMITH COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: DEAF SMITH COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
DEAF SMITH COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop19,15318,56119,37218,58318,61318,64518,67618,70718,73818,76918,80018,832
PPA0.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.02
%BO0.2%0.2%0.3%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.2%8.8%7.0%6.4%8.6%8.8%8.7%9.2%7.8%7.4%12.2%7.7%$1,094,813
20217.4%9.3%6.9%7.0%9.5%8.6%7.9%9.2%8.0%7.8%9.7%8.7%$1,176,491
20227.5%9.8%6.9%6.8%10.7%7.3%7.6%10.5%7.4%9.0%8.7%7.8%$1,414,179
20238.2%10.5%7.4%7.5%9.7%7.2%8.0%9.8%7.7%8.1%8.1%7.8%$1,470,227
20248.1%9.3%7.3%7.5%8.4%7.5%7.9%8.1%8.1%10.3%9.0%8.6%$1,446,736
20257.8%9.7%7.9%7.0%9.4%8.3%8.3%8.7%8.4%7.9%8.2%8.3%$1,450,053
MEDIAN %7.7%9.7%7.2%7.1%9.6%8.0%8.1%9.3%8.0%8.1%8.9%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

DECATUR (City)

Pop 6,538 PPA 1.21 %BO 15.1% Levy $8,357,708 Levy CAGR +12.0% E-Factor 4.91%
3,862 5,848 7,834 9,820 11,806 13,791 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 4,292 5,201 6,042 6,538 7,134 7,773 8,456 9,184 9,956 10,773 11,634 12,538 +1.9% +1.5% +0.8% +0.9% +0.9% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% Population Trend: DECATUR (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: DECATUR had a 2020 population of 6,538 across 8.5 square miles, yielding a density of 1.21 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 12,538, a gain of 6,000 (+91.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.82% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 15.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), DECATUR has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 28.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): DECATUR levied $8,357,708 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,918,374,933. The taxable value of $1,447,094,529 reflects 24.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5776 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3991 for Maintenance & Operations (69.1%) and $0.1784 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (30.9%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,223 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 12.0% CAGR lagged market value growth of 13.4% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.91% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): DECATUR collected $7,213,882 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $1,055 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 86.3% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.6% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: DECATUR demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
DECATUR
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop4,2925,2016,0426,5387,1347,7738,4569,1849,95610,77311,63412,538
PPA0.790.961.111.211.321.431.561.691.841.992.152.31
%BO9.9%12.0%13.9%15.1%16.5%17.9%19.5%21.2%23.0%24.8%26.8%28.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%6,538$1,105,737,074$843,170,86876.3%$0.5010$0.099016.5%$0.6000$5,059,025$774$4,793,144$73394.7%
20214.7%6,597$1,198,136,777$901,515,22175.2%$0.4904$0.091315.7%$0.5817$5,244,042$795$5,530,029$838105.5%
20228.0%6,657$1,413,806,512$1,036,126,58373.3%$0.4437$0.201631.2%$0.6453$6,685,690$1,004$6,129,322$92191.7%
20234.1%6,716$1,688,214,627$1,244,845,56773.7%$0.4168$0.164428.3%$0.5812$7,234,644$1,077$6,668,053$99392.2%
20243.2%6,776$1,827,023,746$1,378,185,26675.4%$0.3991$0.178430.9%$0.5776$7,959,722$1,175$6,922,518$1,02287.0%
2025*2.9%6,836$1,918,374,933$1,447,094,52975.4%$0.3991$0.178430.9%$0.5776$8,357,708$1,223$7,213,882$1,05586.3%
CAGR4.2%0.9%13.4%13.1%-0.2%-4.4%12.5%13.4%-0.8%12.0%11.0%9.6%8.6%-1.8%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.6%9.8%7.0%6.8%8.7%8.7%8.6%10.2%8.4%7.4%8.8%8.0%$4,793,144
20217.1%9.4%6.9%6.4%10.2%8.6%8.1%9.8%8.1%7.9%9.3%8.2%$5,530,029
20227.9%9.1%7.0%6.9%9.2%8.0%8.4%9.8%8.6%8.3%8.9%8.0%$6,129,322
20238.2%9.7%7.1%7.5%9.3%8.3%8.5%9.1%7.9%8.4%8.7%7.3%$6,668,053
20247.9%13.3%3.3%7.3%8.9%8.7%8.0%8.7%9.1%7.1%8.7%9.2%$6,922,518
20257.8%10.6%7.1%5.8%8.8%7.9%8.4%8.8%8.2%8.1%9.2%9.2%$7,213,882
MEDIAN %7.8%9.8%7.0%6.8%9.0%8.4%8.4%9.5%8.3%8.0%8.8%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

DEER PARK (City)

Pop 34,495 PPA 5.15 %BO 64.4% Levy $34,276,747 Levy CAGR +8.7% E-Factor 2.35%
24,957 28,992 33,027 37,062 41,097 45,133 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 27,731 28,520 32,010 34,495 35,395 36,274 37,130 37,963 38,770 39,550 40,304 41,030 +0.3% +1.2% +0.8% +0.3% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: DEER PARK (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: DEER PARK had a 2020 population of 34,495 across 10.5 square miles, yielding a density of 5.15 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 41,030, a gain of 6,535 (+18.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.22% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 64.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), DEER PARK is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 76.6%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): DEER PARK levied $34,276,747 in property taxes on a market value base of $5,936,435,018. The taxable value of $4,760,659,326 reflects 19.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7200 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5054 for Maintenance & Operations (70.2%) and $0.2146 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (29.8%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $981 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.7% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 5.9% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.35% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): DEER PARK collected $15,136,900 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $433 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 44.2% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.5% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: DEER PARK demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
DEER PARK
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop27,73128,52032,01034,49535,39536,27437,13037,96338,77039,55040,30441,030
PPA4.144.264.785.155.295.425.555.675.795.916.026.13
%BO51.8%53.3%59.8%64.4%66.1%67.7%69.3%70.9%72.4%73.9%75.3%76.6%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%34,495$4,491,607,479$3,244,245,50772.2%$0.5688$0.151221.0%$0.7200$23,358,568$677$10,437,700$30344.7%
20214.7%34,585$4,698,584,462$3,424,056,66172.9%$0.5592$0.160822.3%$0.7200$24,653,208$713$10,587,704$30642.9%
20228.0%34,675$5,285,350,803$3,823,309,92372.3%$0.5402$0.179825.0%$0.7200$27,527,831$794$12,381,577$35745.0%
20234.1%34,765$5,562,249,135$4,307,589,24577.4%$0.5105$0.209429.1%$0.7200$31,014,643$892$14,102,370$40645.5%
20243.2%34,855$5,653,747,636$4,533,961,26380.2%$0.5054$0.214629.8%$0.7200$32,644,521$937$13,421,752$38541.1%
2025*2.9%34,945$5,936,435,018$4,760,659,32680.2%$0.5054$0.214629.8%$0.7200$34,276,747$981$15,136,900$43344.2%
CAGR4.2%0.3%5.9%8.7%2.1%-2.3%7.3%7.3%8.7%8.4%6.5%6.2%-0.2%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.4%9.8%7.5%10.0%9.0%7.9%7.3%8.8%7.3%7.6%8.5%7.9%$10,437,700
20217.1%8.8%6.9%8.0%10.6%8.4%8.2%9.4%8.0%8.0%8.5%8.2%$10,587,704
20227.3%8.5%7.1%7.7%9.3%8.0%8.1%8.7%9.3%8.5%8.5%9.0%$12,381,577
20237.5%10.0%6.1%9.1%8.5%10.0%8.7%8.3%7.6%8.8%7.8%7.6%$14,102,370
20248.2%8.6%7.0%7.9%8.5%8.7%7.7%8.2%7.9%8.5%9.6%9.2%$13,421,752
20257.8%8.9%7.2%7.5%8.8%8.6%7.5%8.4%8.6%8.5%9.1%8.9%$15,136,900
MEDIAN %7.8%9.0%7.1%8.0%9.0%8.6%8.0%8.7%8.0%8.6%8.6%8.6%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

DEL RIO (City)

Pop 34,673 PPA 2.69 %BO 33.6% Levy $16,240,205 Levy CAGR +7.4% E-Factor 1.76%
27,975 30,210 32,445 34,680 36,915 39,150 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 31,084 33,867 35,591 34,673 34,730 34,788 34,846 34,904 34,963 35,021 35,079 35,138 +0.9% +0.5% -0.3% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: DEL RIO (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: DEL RIO had a 2020 population of 34,673 across 20.1 square miles, yielding a density of 2.69 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 35,138, a gain of 465 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 33.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), DEL RIO has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 34.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): DEL RIO levied $16,240,205 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,933,727,861. The taxable value of $2,330,015,115 reflects 20.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6970 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2738 for Maintenance & Operations (39.3%) and $0.4232 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (60.7%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $468 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.4% CAGR lagged market value growth of 9.9% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.76% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): DEL RIO collected $9,693,647 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $279 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 59.7% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.1% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: DEL RIO demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
DEL RIO
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop31,08433,86735,59134,67334,73034,78834,84634,90434,96335,02135,07935,138
PPA2.412.632.762.692.692.702.702.712.712.722.722.72
%BO30.1%32.8%34.5%33.6%33.7%33.7%33.8%33.8%33.9%33.9%34.0%34.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%34,673$1,911,872,740$1,610,433,74484.2%$0.3562$0.364850.6%$0.7209$11,609,617$335$7,382,041$21363.6%
20214.7%34,678$1,976,941,467$1,656,980,12283.8%$0.3581$0.348949.4%$0.7070$11,714,849$338$8,076,660$23368.9%
20228.0%34,684$2,328,160,418$1,892,198,30981.3%$0.3357$0.371352.5%$0.7070$13,377,842$386$8,755,665$25265.4%
20234.1%34,690$2,740,630,310$2,130,581,52177.7%$0.2944$0.402657.8%$0.6970$14,850,153$428$9,520,093$27464.1%
20243.2%34,695$2,794,026,534$2,219,062,01479.4%$0.2738$0.423260.7%$0.6970$15,466,862$446$9,362,939$27060.5%
2025*2.9%34,701$2,933,727,861$2,330,015,11579.4%$0.2738$0.423260.7%$0.6970$16,240,205$468$9,693,647$27959.7%
CAGR4.2%0.0%9.9%8.3%-1.2%-5.1%3.0%3.7%-0.7%7.4%7.4%6.1%6.1%-1.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%10.2%6.7%6.3%7.8%7.4%8.8%10.0%8.4%8.5%9.8%8.7%$7,382,041
20217.5%9.3%7.3%6.2%10.3%8.5%8.5%9.5%8.2%7.8%9.1%7.6%$8,076,660
20228.5%10.1%7.5%7.0%9.6%8.0%8.1%9.0%8.1%7.9%8.5%7.8%$8,755,665
20237.8%9.5%7.2%7.1%9.9%7.3%9.7%8.9%7.8%8.6%8.1%8.1%$9,520,093
20249.2%9.7%7.7%7.7%8.9%7.9%8.0%8.4%8.1%7.9%8.5%8.0%$9,362,939
20258.0%11.4%7.3%7.1%8.5%8.2%8.4%8.7%8.1%7.9%8.2%8.3%$9,693,647
MEDIAN %8.0%10.0%7.3%7.1%9.3%8.0%8.5%9.0%8.2%7.9%8.6%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

DENISON (City)

Pop 24,479 PPA 1.66 %BO 20.8% Levy $24,341,028 Levy CAGR +16.8% E-Factor 7.06%
19,548 23,429 27,311 31,193 35,075 38,957 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 21,720 22,773 22,682 24,479 25,697 26,960 28,265 29,613 31,003 32,434 33,905 35,416 +0.5% -0.0% +0.8% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% Population Trend: DENISON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: DENISON had a 2020 population of 24,479 across 23.0 square miles, yielding a density of 1.66 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 35,416, a gain of 10,937 (+44.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.46% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 20.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), DENISON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 30.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): DENISON levied $24,341,028 in property taxes on a market value base of $4,247,899,124. The taxable value of $3,418,520,429 reflects 19.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7120 per $100 valuation consists of $0.6882 for Maintenance & Operations (96.7%) and $0.0238 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (3.3%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $970 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 16.8% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 14.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 7.06% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): DENISON collected $11,582,139 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $462 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 47.6% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.3% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: DENISON demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
DENISON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop21,72022,77322,68224,47925,69726,96028,26529,61331,00332,43433,90535,416
PPA1.481.551.541.661.751.831.922.012.112.202.302.41
%BO18.4%19.3%19.3%20.8%21.8%22.9%24.0%25.1%26.3%27.5%28.8%30.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%24,479$2,333,583,917$1,908,318,54981.8%$0.5445$0.107616.5%$0.6520$12,442,886$508$8,152,880$33365.5%
20214.7%24,600$2,498,967,342$2,074,194,40483.0%$0.5547$0.097414.9%$0.6520$13,524,453$550$8,990,171$36566.5%
20228.0%24,722$3,208,104,123$2,590,737,95980.8%$0.5765$0.075511.6%$0.6520$16,892,492$683$10,689,858$43263.3%
20234.1%24,844$3,739,099,137$2,979,359,35879.7%$0.5631$0.088913.6%$0.6520$19,426,436$782$10,843,068$43655.8%
20243.2%24,966$4,045,618,213$3,255,733,74280.5%$0.6882$0.02383.3%$0.7120$23,181,931$929$11,203,943$44948.3%
2025*2.9%25,088$4,247,899,124$3,418,520,42980.5%$0.6882$0.02383.3%$0.7120$24,341,028$970$11,582,139$46247.6%
CAGR4.2%0.5%14.7%14.3%-0.3%4.8%-26.0%-27.3%1.8%16.8%16.3%8.3%7.7%-6.2%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.1%9.6%7.5%7.0%9.3%7.9%8.0%9.8%8.3%6.2%10.4%7.9%$8,152,880
20217.3%9.8%6.8%6.0%10.7%8.4%8.6%9.6%8.0%7.9%8.8%8.0%$8,990,171
20229.3%8.9%6.7%6.3%9.8%7.3%7.6%9.8%7.4%8.2%10.9%7.8%$10,689,858
20237.7%10.2%7.3%7.9%9.3%7.8%8.4%8.7%7.6%8.2%9.3%7.6%$10,843,068
20248.0%9.3%6.8%7.7%9.3%7.5%8.1%9.5%8.6%8.4%9.0%7.9%$11,203,943
20258.1%10.6%6.7%6.4%9.8%8.3%7.7%8.4%8.1%7.9%9.7%8.3%$11,582,139
MEDIAN %8.1%9.7%6.8%6.7%9.6%7.9%8.1%9.6%8.0%8.1%9.5%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

DENTON (City)

Pop 139,869 PPA 2.48 %BO 31.1% Levy $135,756,039 Levy CAGR +12.7% E-Factor 4.85%
60,541 120,909 181,277 241,645 302,013 362,381 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 67,268 80,537 113,383 139,869 162,377 186,348 211,278 236,572 261,596 285,745 308,493 329,438 +1.8% +3.5% +2.1% +1.5% +1.4% +1.3% +1.1% +1.0% +0.9% +0.8% +0.7% Population Trend: DENTON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: DENTON had a 2020 population of 139,869 across 88.0 square miles, yielding a density of 2.48 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 329,438, a gain of 189,569 (+135.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.08% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 31.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), DENTON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 73.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): DENTON levied $135,756,039 in property taxes on a market value base of $28,238,918,247. The taxable value of $22,800,046,922 reflects 19.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5954 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3448 for Maintenance & Operations (57.9%) and $0.2506 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (42.1%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $898 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 12.7% CAGR lagged market value growth of 13.2% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.85% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): DENTON collected $56,652,760 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $375 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 41.7% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 10.1% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: DENTON demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
DENTON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop67,26880,537113,383139,869162,377186,348211,278236,572261,596285,745308,493329,438
PPA1.201.432.012.482.883.313.754.204.655.085.485.85
%BO14.9%17.9%25.2%31.1%36.1%41.4%46.9%52.5%58.1%63.5%68.5%73.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%139,869$16,370,481,063$13,566,891,14482.9%$0.3804$0.210135.6%$0.5905$80,106,251$573$37,685,623$26947.0%
20214.7%142,119$17,633,926,047$14,639,231,84183.0%$0.3504$0.215438.1%$0.5658$82,832,141$583$44,001,205$31053.1%
20228.0%144,370$21,116,388,765$16,982,010,57880.4%$0.3714$0.204235.5%$0.5757$97,762,378$677$51,993,550$36053.2%
20234.1%146,621$25,160,669,326$19,874,410,28979.0%$0.3598$0.205936.4%$0.5657$112,425,962$767$53,435,232$36447.5%
20243.2%148,872$26,894,207,854$21,714,330,40280.7%$0.3448$0.250642.1%$0.5954$129,291,466$868$55,420,811$37242.9%
2025*2.9%151,123$28,238,918,247$22,800,046,92280.7%$0.3448$0.250642.1%$0.5954$135,756,039$898$56,652,760$37541.7%
CAGR4.2%1.6%13.2%12.5%-0.5%-1.9%3.6%3.4%0.2%12.7%11.0%10.1%8.4%-2.4%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.7%11.2%7.7%6.8%8.1%6.7%7.6%9.4%8.0%8.4%9.8%8.4%$37,685,623
20216.9%9.4%7.0%5.9%9.7%8.1%7.8%9.5%8.7%8.5%10.0%8.4%$44,001,205
20227.1%9.9%7.1%7.4%9.1%8.2%8.0%7.9%8.5%9.3%8.9%8.6%$51,993,550
20237.7%10.0%7.1%7.0%9.0%8.0%8.3%9.9%8.1%8.5%8.7%7.8%$53,435,232
20247.8%9.9%7.1%7.5%9.0%8.1%7.7%8.5%8.6%8.1%8.9%8.9%$55,420,811
20257.6%10.8%6.8%6.4%9.2%8.3%7.6%9.0%8.5%7.9%8.7%9.4%$56,652,760
MEDIAN %7.6%9.9%7.1%6.9%9.0%8.1%7.7%9.2%8.5%8.5%8.9%8.5%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

DENTON (County)

Pop 139,869 PPA 2.48 %BO 31.1% Levy $379,295,996 Levy CAGR +8.5% E-Factor 1.97%
60,541 120,909 181,277 241,645 302,013 362,381 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 67,268 80,537 113,383 139,869 162,377 186,348 211,278 236,572 261,596 285,745 308,493 329,438 +1.8% +3.5% +2.1% +1.5% +1.4% +1.3% +1.1% +1.0% +0.9% +0.8% +0.7% Population Trend: DENTON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: DENTON had a 2020 population of 139,869 across 88.0 square miles, yielding a density of 2.48 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 329,438, a gain of 189,569 (+135.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.08% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 31.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), DENTON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 73.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): DENTON levied $379,295,996 in property taxes on a market value base of $246,880,215,997. The taxable value of $208,590,345,047 reflects 15.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.1879 per $100 valuation consists of $0.1434 for Maintenance & Operations (76.4%) and $0.0444 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (23.6%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $2,510 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.9% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.97% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Strategic Outlook: DENTON demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
DENTON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop67,26880,537113,383139,869162,377186,348211,278236,572261,596285,745308,493329,438
PPA1.201.432.012.482.883.313.754.204.655.085.485.85
%BO14.9%17.9%25.2%31.1%36.1%41.4%46.9%52.5%58.1%63.5%68.5%73.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%139,869$134,807,672,165~EstN/A$0.1684$0.056625.2%$0.2250$260,285,339$1,861
20214.7%142,119$147,692,340,256~EstN/A$0.1815$0.051622.1%$0.2331$296,026,330$2,083
20228.0%144,370$183,197,343,234~EstN/A$0.1675$0.050023.0%$0.2175$325,996,565$2,258
20234.1%146,621$226,418,639,013~EstN/A$0.1464$0.043122.8%$0.1895$335,630,482$2,289
20243.2%148,872$235,124,015,235$198,657,471,47384.5%$0.1434$0.044423.6%$0.1879$361,234,282$2,426
2025~2.9%151,123$246,880,215,997$208,590,345,04784.5%$0.1434$0.044423.6%$0.1879$379,295,996$2,510
CAGR4.2%1.6%14.9%-3.2%-4.7%-1.2%-3.5%8.5%6.9%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

DENTON COUNTY (City)

Pop 906,422 PPA 1.61 %BO 20.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
246,172 995,759 1,745,345 2,494,932 3,244,518 3,994,105 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 273,525 432,976 662,614 906,422 1,185,522 1,514,773 1,884,032 2,275,302 2,665,612 3,032,112 3,357,129 3,631,005 +4.7% +4.3% +3.2% +2.7% +2.5% +2.2% +1.9% +1.6% +1.3% +1.0% +0.8% Population Trend: DENTON COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: DENTON COUNTY had a 2020 population of 906,422 across 878.5 square miles, yielding a density of 1.61 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 3,631,005, a gain of 2,724,583 (+300.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.75% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 20.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), DENTON COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 80.7%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Strategic Outlook: DENTON COUNTY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
DENTON COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop273,525432,976662,614906,4221,185,5221,514,7731,884,0322,275,3022,665,6123,032,1123,357,1293,631,005
PPA0.490.771.181.612.112.693.354.054.745.395.976.46
%BO6.1%9.6%14.7%20.2%26.4%33.7%41.9%50.6%59.3%67.4%74.6%80.7%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

DENTON CTA (City)

Pop 269,184 PPA 3.24 %BO 40.5% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
109,122 203,278 297,434 391,590 485,746 579,902 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 121,247 171,779 224,825 269,184 304,297 340,076 375,700 410,362 443,338 474,043 502,069 527,184 +3.5% +2.7% +1.8% +1.2% +1.1% +1.0% +0.9% +0.8% +0.7% +0.6% +0.5% Population Trend: DENTON CTA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: DENTON CTA had a 2020 population of 269,184 across 129.8 square miles, yielding a density of 3.24 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 527,184, a gain of 258,000 (+95.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.84% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 40.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), DENTON CTA has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 79.3%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Strategic Outlook: DENTON CTA demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
DENTON CTA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop121,247171,779224,825269,184304,297340,076375,700410,362443,338474,043502,069527,184
PPA1.462.072.713.243.664.094.524.945.335.706.046.34
%BO18.2%25.8%33.8%40.5%45.8%51.2%56.5%61.7%66.7%71.3%75.5%79.3%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.2%10.5%7.4%6.9%8.2%7.2%7.9%9.3%7.9%8.2%9.6%9.7%$30,451,550
20217.4%9.5%6.5%5.9%9.5%8.0%9.0%10.1%8.2%8.1%9.5%8.3%$35,369,514
20227.9%9.6%7.3%6.9%8.9%8.1%7.9%8.7%8.5%8.8%9.0%8.5%$39,201,239
20237.9%9.9%7.3%6.9%8.8%8.0%8.3%9.9%8.0%8.3%8.8%7.8%$40,142,150
20248.0%9.8%7.4%7.5%8.8%8.0%8.5%8.6%8.6%7.9%8.2%8.7%$41,049,489
20257.7%10.9%7.1%6.4%8.1%8.2%8.0%9.2%8.5%7.7%9.0%9.2%$41,486,820
MEDIAN %7.8%9.8%7.3%6.9%8.8%8.0%8.1%9.2%8.3%8.2%8.9%8.6%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

DESOTO (City)

Pop 56,145 PPA 4.06 %BO 50.7% Levy $57,071,060 Levy CAGR +10.5% E-Factor 0.00%
27,666 41,384 55,101 68,819 82,536 96,254 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 30,741 37,646 49,047 56,145 60,617 65,023 69,308 73,422 77,325 80,986 84,383 87,504 +2.0% +2.7% +1.4% +0.8% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% Population Trend: DESOTO (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: DESOTO had a 2020 population of 56,145 across 21.6 square miles, yielding a density of 4.06 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 87,504, a gain of 31,359 (+55.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.56% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 50.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), DESOTO is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 79.1%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): DESOTO levied $57,071,060 in property taxes on a market value base of $9,864,367,569. The taxable value of $8,332,344,423 reflects 15.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6849 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5039 for Maintenance & Operations (73.6%) and $0.1810 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (26.4%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $978 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 10.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 12.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): DESOTO collected $16,532,448 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $283 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 29.0% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at -0.1% CAGR, reflecting retail sector challenges or market share losses.
Strategic Outlook: DESOTO demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
DESOTO
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop30,74137,64649,04756,14560,61765,02369,30873,42277,32580,98684,38387,504
PPA2.222.723.544.064.384.705.015.315.595.856.106.32
%BO27.8%34.0%44.3%50.7%54.8%58.7%62.6%66.3%69.9%73.2%76.2%79.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%56,145$5,965,530,218$5,197,744,40587.1%$0.5502$0.151421.6%$0.7016$36,464,984$649$15,577,002$27742.7%
20214.7%56,592$6,283,147,810$5,547,068,17588.3%$0.5765$0.125017.8%$0.7016$38,915,679$688$17,778,126$31445.7%
20228.0%57,039$7,723,492,160$6,412,446,40783.0%$0.5442$0.147321.3%$0.6916$44,345,530$777$16,693,536$29337.6%
20234.1%57,486$8,676,620,800$7,230,954,43883.3%$0.5035$0.181626.5%$0.6851$49,538,690$862$14,970,074$26030.2%
20243.2%57,933$9,394,635,780$7,935,566,11784.5%$0.5039$0.181026.4%$0.6849$54,353,390$938$15,489,072$26728.5%
2025*2.9%58,381$9,864,367,569$8,332,344,42384.5%$0.5039$0.181026.4%$0.6849$57,071,060$978$16,532,448$28329.0%
CAGR4.2%0.8%12.0%11.2%-0.6%-1.7%3.6%4.1%-0.5%10.5%9.6%-0.1%-0.9%-7.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.9%13.4%5.9%5.9%8.2%7.5%8.0%9.9%7.7%7.4%9.6%7.6%$15,577,002
20219.4%12.9%6.4%5.5%10.0%7.4%7.0%8.9%8.5%6.9%9.1%8.2%$17,778,126
202210.6%14.3%6.8%6.3%10.5%7.7%6.4%9.3%7.3%5.9%8.2%6.7%$16,693,536
20238.0%9.8%6.7%6.6%9.4%7.3%8.1%9.7%7.8%8.7%9.7%8.3%$14,970,074
20249.3%11.6%5.1%6.9%9.6%10.1%7.6%8.5%7.3%7.2%8.3%8.4%$15,489,072
20256.4%11.2%6.1%5.8%9.2%7.2%9.0%8.9%7.7%7.3%10.4%10.6%$16,532,448
MEDIAN %9.1%12.2%6.2%6.1%9.5%7.4%7.8%9.1%7.7%7.3%9.3%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

DEWITT COUNTY (City)

Pop 19,824 PPA 0.03 %BO 0.4% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
16,956 17,986 19,016 20,046 21,076 22,106 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 18,840 20,013 20,097 19,824 19,857 19,890 19,923 19,956 19,989 20,023 20,056 20,089 +0.6% +0.0% -0.1% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: DEWITT COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: DEWITT COUNTY had a 2020 population of 19,824 across 909.0 square miles, yielding a density of 0.03 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 20,089, a gain of 265 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), DEWITT COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: DEWITT COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
DEWITT COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop18,84020,01320,09719,82419,85719,89019,92319,95619,98920,02320,05620,089
PPA0.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.03
%BO0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

DICKENS (County)

Pop 219 PPA 0.36 %BO 4.5% Levy $3,607,664 Levy CAGR +12.5% E-Factor 7.52%
197 230 264 297 331 365 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 321 332 286 219 219 219 220 220 220 221 221 221 +0.3% -1.5% -2.6% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: DICKENS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: DICKENS had a 2020 population of 219 across 1.0 square miles, yielding a density of 0.36 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 221, a gain of 2 (+0.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.01% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 4.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), DICKENS has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 4.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): DICKENS levied $3,607,664 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,331,147,865. The taxable value of $424,430,941 reflects 68.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.8500 per $100 valuation consists of $0.7000 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $16,473 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 12.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.5% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 7.52% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: DICKENS demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
DICKENS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop321332286219219219220220220221221221
PPA0.520.540.470.360.360.360.360.360.360.360.360.36
%BO6.5%6.8%5.8%4.5%4.5%4.5%4.5%4.5%4.5%4.5%4.5%4.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%219$738,611,052~EstN/A$0.8500N/AN/A$0.8500$2,143,375$9,787
20214.7%219$779,776,910~EstN/A$0.8500N/AN/A$0.8500$2,047,440$9,349
20228.0%219$813,821,946~EstN/A$0.8391N/AN/A$0.8391$2,373,340$10,837
20234.1%219$1,029,763,546~EstN/A$0.7638N/AN/A$0.7638$3,600,873$16,442
20243.2%219$1,267,759,871$404,219,94431.9%$0.7000N/AN/A$0.8500$3,435,870$15,689
2025~2.9%219$1,331,147,865$424,430,94131.9%$0.7000N/AN/A$0.8500$3,607,664$16,473
CAGR4.2%14.5%-3.8%12.5%12.5%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

DICKINSON (City)

Pop 20,847 PPA 3.30 %BO 41.3% Levy $7,607,068 Levy CAGR +5.0% E-Factor 0.00%
13,605 17,853 22,101 26,349 30,597 34,845 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 15,117 17,093 18,680 20,847 22,193 23,557 24,932 26,308 27,679 29,036 30,371 31,678 +1.2% +0.9% +1.1% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% Population Trend: DICKINSON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: DICKINSON had a 2020 population of 20,847 across 9.9 square miles, yielding a density of 3.30 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 31,678, a gain of 10,831 (+52.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.52% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 41.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), DICKINSON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 62.7%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): DICKINSON levied $7,607,068 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,562,639,818. The taxable value of $2,066,015,413 reflects 19.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3682 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3257 for Maintenance & Operations (88.5%) and $0.0425 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (11.5%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $353 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.0% CAGR lagged market value growth of 12.9% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): DICKINSON collected $10,989,756 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $511 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 144.5% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 1.9% CAGR, reflecting stable retail environment.
Strategic Outlook: DICKINSON demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
DICKINSON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop15,11717,09318,68020,84722,19323,55724,93226,30827,67929,03630,37131,678
PPA2.392.712.963.303.513.733.954.164.384.604.815.01
%BO29.9%33.8%37.0%41.3%43.9%46.6%49.3%52.1%54.8%57.5%60.1%62.7%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%20,847$1,501,901,385$1,265,300,64884.2%$0.3999$0.072015.3%$0.4718$5,969,929$286$11,952,659$573200.2%
20214.7%20,981$1,853,559,027$1,498,905,29380.9%$0.3529$0.051712.8%$0.4046$6,064,316$289$18,391,418$877303.3%
20228.0%21,116$2,109,315,056$1,714,591,06481.3%$0.3289$0.059215.3%$0.3881$6,654,997$315$19,305,415$914290.1%
20234.1%21,250$2,295,943,744$1,848,331,06980.5%$0.3222$0.044612.2%$0.3669$6,780,972$319$12,273,594$578181.0%
20243.2%21,385$2,440,609,350$1,967,633,72780.6%$0.3257$0.042511.5%$0.3682$7,244,827$339$12,870,106$602177.6%
2025*2.9%21,520$2,562,639,818$2,066,015,41380.6%$0.3257$0.042511.5%$0.3682$7,607,068$353$10,989,756$511144.5%
CAGR4.2%0.6%12.9%11.7%-0.9%-4.0%-10.0%-5.4%-4.8%5.0%4.3%1.9%1.2%-6.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.4%8.1%9.0%5.8%8.0%10.4%7.9%10.4%8.4%7.2%9.3%9.1%$11,952,659
20216.6%7.9%6.7%5.2%7.4%9.8%7.9%9.7%9.6%10.3%10.3%8.5%$18,391,418
20227.2%7.7%6.9%6.9%9.5%10.1%9.3%10.0%9.5%8.1%8.1%6.8%$19,305,415
20238.6%13.6%7.4%5.2%7.3%7.2%7.8%8.4%8.0%9.0%9.1%8.4%$12,273,594
20248.0%8.2%6.7%7.2%8.8%9.3%8.7%9.3%8.4%9.1%8.2%8.2%$12,870,106
20259.0%9.7%7.0%6.2%8.7%9.6%8.8%9.0%8.3%8.2%7.9%7.5%$10,989,756
MEDIAN %7.7%8.3%7.0%6.1%8.5%9.9%8.5%9.7%8.6%8.7%8.7%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

DIMMIT COUNTY (City)

Pop 8,615 PPA 0.01 %BO 0.1% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
7,753 8,498 9,242 9,987 10,731 11,476 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 10,433 10,248 9,996 8,615 8,629 8,643 8,658 8,672 8,687 8,701 8,716 8,730 -0.2% -0.2% -1.5% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: DIMMIT COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: DIMMIT COUNTY had a 2020 population of 8,615 across 1328.9 square miles, yielding a density of 0.01 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 8,730, a gain of 115 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), DIMMIT COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: DIMMIT COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
DIMMIT COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop10,43310,2489,9968,6158,6298,6438,6588,6728,6878,7018,7168,730
PPA0.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.01
%BO0.2%0.2%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
202011.0%12.2%10.4%10.0%10.0%13.6%5.0%4.8%6.1%6.1%5.6%5.2%$2,236,193
20215.2%7.1%6.6%4.7%7.6%8.3%8.0%19.3%9.4%9.2%10.7%3.9%$1,921,130
20226.2%10.0%7.6%5.9%7.1%6.7%7.8%11.5%8.5%11.2%9.1%8.5%$3,176,574
20237.6%8.7%7.6%7.7%8.5%9.6%9.3%9.3%8.2%9.0%7.9%6.6%$4,485,867
20246.7%7.6%6.8%6.3%7.4%7.1%6.9%21.9%6.3%7.0%6.8%9.2%$3,336,989
202528.0%10.8%6.5%5.6%6.0%6.6%7.0%7.2%6.2%4.8%5.4%5.9%$4,254,388
MEDIAN %7.8%10.2%7.9%6.6%8.2%8.4%8.0%11.3%7.9%8.7%8.0%6.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

DONNA (City)

Pop 16,797 PPA 3.17 %BO 39.6% Levy $6,807,709 Levy CAGR +3.2% E-Factor 3.20%
12,025 14,560 17,094 19,628 22,162 24,697 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 13,362 14,768 15,798 16,797 17,485 18,182 18,886 19,595 20,307 21,022 21,738 22,452 +1.0% +0.7% +0.6% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: DONNA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: DONNA had a 2020 population of 16,797 across 8.3 square miles, yielding a density of 3.17 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 22,452, a gain of 5,655 (+33.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.36% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 39.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), DONNA has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 52.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): DONNA levied $6,807,709 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,330,520,389. The taxable value of $1,024,186,950 reflects 23.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6647 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5282 for Maintenance & Operations (79.5%) and $0.1365 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (20.5%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $397 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 3.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 6.6% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.20% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): DONNA collected $7,872,970 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $459 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 115.6% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 14.0% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: DONNA demonstrates substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
DONNA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop13,36214,76815,79816,79717,48518,18218,88619,59520,30721,02221,73822,452
PPA2.522.782.983.173.303.433.563.693.833.964.104.23
%BO31.5%34.8%37.2%39.6%41.2%42.8%44.5%46.2%47.8%49.5%51.2%52.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%16,797$980,521,915$723,254,61573.8%$0.7889N/AN/A$0.7889$5,705,430$340$4,541,140$27079.6%
20214.7%16,865$1,062,024,199$803,948,39475.7%$0.6026$0.175922.6%$0.7785$6,259,044$371$5,296,125$31484.6%
20228.0%16,934$1,185,847,274$884,794,21274.6%$0.5783$0.169622.7%$0.7479$6,617,703$391$6,355,967$37596.0%
20234.1%17,003$1,410,030,299$1,058,751,00975.1%$0.5291$0.136320.5%$0.6653$7,044,379$414$7,189,060$423102.1%
20243.2%17,072$1,267,162,275$975,416,14377.0%$0.5282$0.136520.5%$0.6647$6,483,532$380$7,659,472$449118.1%
2025*2.9%17,141$1,330,520,389$1,024,186,95077.0%$0.5282$0.136520.5%$0.6647$6,807,709$397$7,872,970$459115.6%
CAGR4.2%0.4%6.6%7.8%0.9%-7.7%-3.4%3.2%2.8%14.0%13.5%7.8%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%9.3%7.0%6.8%9.1%7.9%8.9%9.7%8.0%8.1%9.5%8.4%$4,541,140
20217.8%9.4%7.3%6.7%10.4%7.8%8.2%9.2%7.9%7.8%9.5%8.0%$5,296,125
20227.1%9.1%6.7%6.9%10.7%8.5%8.3%9.2%8.0%8.3%9.1%8.2%$6,355,967
20237.6%10.2%7.6%7.6%9.7%7.4%8.0%9.2%7.9%7.7%9.2%8.1%$7,189,060
20247.6%10.2%7.5%7.9%9.4%8.0%7.9%8.9%8.6%7.5%8.4%8.1%$7,659,472
20258.0%10.5%7.1%7.3%9.0%8.2%8.1%8.3%8.6%7.8%8.6%8.7%$7,872,970
MEDIAN %7.6%9.8%7.3%7.1%9.6%8.0%8.1%9.2%8.0%7.9%9.2%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

DUMAS (City)

Pop 14,501 PPA 4.10 %BO 51.3% Levy $4,763,266 Levy CAGR +17.0% E-Factor 6.79%
11,630 12,588 13,546 14,504 15,462 16,420 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 12,923 13,747 14,691 14,501 14,554 14,608 14,661 14,715 14,768 14,822 14,875 14,928 +0.6% +0.7% -0.1% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: DUMAS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: DUMAS had a 2020 population of 14,501 across 5.5 square miles, yielding a density of 4.10 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 14,928, a gain of 427 (+2.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.04% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 51.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), DUMAS is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 52.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): DUMAS levied $4,763,266 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,101,539,614. The taxable value of $951,104,987 reflects 13.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5008 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2583 for Maintenance & Operations (51.6%) and $0.2425 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (48.4%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $328 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 17.0% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 7.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 6.79% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): DUMAS collected $5,055,548 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $348 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 106.1% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.6% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: DUMAS demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
DUMAS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop12,92313,74714,69114,50114,55414,60814,66114,71514,76814,82214,87514,928
PPA3.663.894.164.104.124.134.154.174.184.204.214.23
%BO45.7%48.6%52.0%51.3%51.5%51.7%51.9%52.1%52.3%52.4%52.6%52.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%14,501$778,935,896$676,879,89186.9%$0.1415$0.215960.4%$0.3574$2,418,912$167$3,710,731$256153.4%
20214.7%14,506$846,658,816$721,496,23085.2%$0.1540$0.332468.3%$0.4864$3,509,358$242$4,134,292$285117.8%
20228.0%14,511$929,562,245$796,033,15585.6%$0.1913$0.260657.7%$0.4519$3,597,401$248$4,500,234$310125.1%
20234.1%14,516$989,643,082$862,735,95587.2%$0.2348$0.245851.1%$0.4806$4,146,576$286$4,783,293$330115.4%
20243.2%14,522$1,049,085,347$905,814,27386.3%$0.2583$0.242548.4%$0.5008$4,536,444$312$4,796,382$330105.7%
2025*2.9%14,527$1,101,539,614$951,104,98786.3%$0.2583$0.242548.4%$0.5008$4,763,266$328$5,055,548$348106.1%
CAGR4.2%0.0%7.7%7.6%-0.1%12.8%2.4%-4.3%7.0%17.0%17.0%6.6%6.6%-7.1%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.1%9.8%7.4%6.7%8.9%7.6%8.4%9.5%8.9%7.7%8.8%8.1%$3,710,731
20217.2%9.1%7.3%6.9%9.9%8.0%8.1%9.4%8.1%8.9%9.2%8.0%$4,134,292
20227.3%9.4%7.5%7.0%9.3%7.7%8.0%9.3%8.4%8.7%9.1%8.3%$4,500,234
20238.0%9.8%7.5%7.5%9.1%7.8%8.3%8.6%8.1%8.7%8.4%8.3%$4,783,293
20248.2%9.3%7.4%7.6%8.3%7.9%7.9%8.7%8.4%9.0%8.9%8.5%$4,796,382
20257.2%9.9%7.5%7.0%8.6%7.9%7.8%9.0%8.3%8.4%9.7%8.7%$5,055,548
MEDIAN %7.6%9.6%7.4%7.0%9.0%7.8%8.0%9.1%8.3%8.7%9.0%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

DUNCANVILLE (City)

Pop 40,706 PPA 5.66 %BO 70.8% Levy $25,706,578 Levy CAGR +5.5% E-Factor 0.99%
31,591 35,232 38,873 42,514 46,155 49,795 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 35,102 36,081 38,524 40,706 41,328 41,935 42,529 43,107 43,670 44,219 44,751 45,269 +0.3% +0.7% +0.6% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: DUNCANVILLE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: DUNCANVILLE had a 2020 population of 40,706 across 11.2 square miles, yielding a density of 5.66 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 45,269, a gain of 4,563 (+11.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.13% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 70.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), DUNCANVILLE is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 78.7%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): DUNCANVILLE levied $25,706,578 in property taxes on a market value base of $5,148,106,698. The taxable value of $4,181,059,919 reflects 18.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6148 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5775 for Maintenance & Operations (93.9%) and $0.0373 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (6.1%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $627 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.0% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.99% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): DUNCANVILLE collected $13,799,537 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $336 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 53.7% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.7% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: DUNCANVILLE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
DUNCANVILLE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop35,10236,08138,52440,70641,32841,93542,52943,10743,67044,21944,75145,269
PPA4.885.025.365.665.755.835.926.006.086.156.236.30
%BO61.0%62.8%67.0%70.8%71.9%72.9%74.0%75.0%76.0%76.9%77.8%78.7%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%40,706$3,229,024,984$2,753,038,00885.3%$0.6662$0.05077.1%$0.7169$19,735,208$485$10,204,260$25151.7%
20214.7%40,768$3,300,479,790$2,865,240,19586.8%$0.6554$0.04466.4%$0.7000$20,056,681$492$11,663,554$28658.2%
20228.0%40,830$4,184,464,200$3,366,863,77180.5%$0.6251$0.02533.9%$0.6505$21,900,102$536$12,965,673$31859.2%
20234.1%40,892$4,447,605,030$3,659,681,48082.3%$0.6056$0.04056.3%$0.6460$23,642,787$578$13,063,119$31955.3%
20243.2%40,954$4,902,958,760$3,981,961,82881.2%$0.5775$0.03736.1%$0.6148$24,482,455$598$13,245,688$32354.1%
2025*2.9%41,017$5,148,106,698$4,181,059,91981.2%$0.5775$0.03736.1%$0.6148$25,706,578$627$13,799,537$33653.7%
CAGR4.2%0.2%11.0%9.7%-1.0%-2.8%-5.9%-3.0%-3.0%5.5%5.4%6.7%6.6%0.8%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.8%10.7%6.8%6.6%8.7%7.6%7.9%10.0%7.6%7.9%10.2%8.1%$10,204,260
20216.9%9.0%6.8%7.0%10.4%9.2%7.7%9.7%8.7%7.9%10.0%6.7%$11,663,554
20227.5%9.3%7.1%6.7%10.6%8.1%8.1%9.8%8.0%7.5%9.6%7.7%$12,965,673
20237.4%10.2%7.1%6.8%10.6%7.7%7.8%9.3%8.0%7.7%9.4%7.8%$13,063,119
20247.5%8.5%7.3%7.3%9.8%7.9%8.7%9.5%8.7%8.1%9.0%7.8%$13,245,688
20257.2%10.2%7.2%6.7%10.1%8.2%8.4%9.2%8.1%7.7%9.3%7.8%$13,799,537
MEDIAN %7.5%9.7%7.1%6.8%10.2%8.0%8.0%9.6%8.0%7.8%9.5%7.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

DUVAL COUNTY (City)

Pop 9,831 PPA 0.01 %BO 0.1% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
8,847 9,964 11,081 12,198 13,315 14,432 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 12,918 13,120 11,782 9,831 9,847 9,863 9,880 9,896 9,913 9,929 9,946 9,962 +0.2% -1.1% -1.8% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: DUVAL COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: DUVAL COUNTY had a 2020 population of 9,831 across 1793.5 square miles, yielding a density of 0.01 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 9,962, a gain of 131 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), DUVAL COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: DUVAL COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
DUVAL COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop12,91813,12011,7829,8319,8479,8639,8809,8969,9139,9299,9469,962
PPA0.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.01
%BO0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

EAGLE PASS (City)

Pop 28,130 PPA 4.59 %BO 57.4% Levy $11,887,982 Levy CAGR +7.0% E-Factor 3.43%
19,535 23,314 27,094 30,873 34,653 38,432 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 21,706 22,413 26,248 28,130 29,039 29,937 30,819 31,684 32,531 33,356 34,159 34,939 +0.3% +1.6% +0.7% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: EAGLE PASS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: EAGLE PASS had a 2020 population of 28,130 across 9.6 square miles, yielding a density of 4.59 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 34,939, a gain of 6,809 (+24.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.27% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 57.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), EAGLE PASS is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 71.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): EAGLE PASS levied $11,887,982 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,076,181,856. The taxable value of $2,476,394,817 reflects 19.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4801 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2809 for Maintenance & Operations (58.5%) and $0.1992 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (41.5%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $416 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.0% CAGR lagged market value growth of 12.4% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.43% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): EAGLE PASS collected $7,748,103 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $271 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 65.2% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 10.5% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: EAGLE PASS demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
EAGLE PASS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop21,70622,41326,24828,13029,03929,93730,81931,68432,53133,35634,15934,939
PPA3.543.664.284.594.744.885.035.175.315.445.575.70
%BO44.3%45.7%53.5%57.4%59.2%61.0%62.8%64.6%66.3%68.0%69.6%71.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%28,130$1,838,470,277$1,598,489,67586.9%$0.3370$0.203737.7%$0.5407$8,643,721$307$5,073,594$18058.7%
20214.7%28,220$1,885,229,197$1,631,881,52386.6%$0.3288$0.212039.2%$0.5407$8,824,285$313$5,638,053$20063.9%
20228.0%28,311$2,214,694,172$1,892,596,71785.5%$0.2901$0.209141.9%$0.4992$9,447,086$334$6,490,086$22968.7%
20234.1%28,402$2,506,455,706$2,132,031,61685.1%$0.2754$0.218844.3%$0.4942$10,535,647$371$7,143,381$25267.8%
20243.2%28,493$2,929,697,006$2,358,471,25480.5%$0.2809$0.199241.5%$0.4801$11,321,888$397$7,568,945$26666.9%
2025*2.9%28,584$3,076,181,856$2,476,394,81780.5%$0.2809$0.199241.5%$0.4801$11,887,982$416$7,748,103$27165.2%
CAGR4.2%0.3%12.4%10.2%-1.5%-3.6%-0.5%1.9%-2.4%7.0%6.6%10.5%10.2%2.1%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.5%12.9%7.6%7.0%8.8%6.6%7.6%9.4%7.9%7.1%9.2%7.3%$5,073,594
20217.2%9.8%6.9%6.2%10.6%8.3%8.5%9.7%8.0%7.9%9.2%7.6%$5,638,053
20228.2%10.8%6.8%7.2%9.3%7.9%7.9%9.2%7.9%8.0%9.0%7.8%$6,490,086
20238.4%10.4%7.1%7.2%9.1%7.5%8.2%9.2%8.1%8.6%8.4%7.9%$7,143,381
20248.6%9.6%7.9%7.7%9.0%8.1%8.0%8.7%8.6%7.3%8.4%8.1%$7,568,945
20258.4%11.3%7.2%6.6%8.7%8.1%7.9%8.5%8.4%8.0%8.2%8.7%$7,748,103
MEDIAN %8.4%10.6%7.2%7.1%9.1%8.0%7.9%9.2%8.1%7.9%8.7%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

EASTLAND (County)

Pop 3,609 PPA 1.59 %BO 19.9% Levy $9,336,386 Levy CAGR +3.4% E-Factor 0.00%
3,248 3,469 3,691 3,912 4,134 4,356 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 3,776 3,769 3,960 3,609 3,615 3,621 3,627 3,633 3,639 3,645 3,651 3,657 -0.0% +0.5% -0.9% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: EASTLAND (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: EASTLAND had a 2020 population of 3,609 across 3.5 square miles, yielding a density of 1.59 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 3,657, a gain of 48 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 19.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), EASTLAND has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 20.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): EASTLAND levied $9,336,386 in property taxes on a market value base of $5,704,937,791. The taxable value of $2,756,214,123 reflects 51.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3450 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3450 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $2,585 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 3.4% CAGR lagged market value growth of 15.0% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Strategic Outlook: EASTLAND demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
EASTLAND
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop3,7763,7693,9603,6093,6153,6213,6273,6333,6393,6453,6513,657
PPA1.661.661.741.591.591.591.601.601.601.601.611.61
%BO20.8%20.7%21.8%19.9%19.9%19.9%20.0%20.0%20.0%20.1%20.1%20.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%3,609$3,102,327,320~EstN/A$0.4700N/AN/A$0.4700$7,790,018$2,158
20214.7%3,609$3,612,242,433~EstN/A$0.4590N/AN/A$0.4590$7,909,915$2,192
20228.0%3,610$4,579,159,872~EstN/A$0.3610N/AN/A$0.3610$7,839,144$2,172
20234.1%3,610$4,704,125,447~EstN/A$0.3666N/AN/A$0.3666$8,530,473$2,363
20243.2%3,611$5,433,274,087$2,624,965,83148.3%$0.3450N/AN/A$0.3450$8,891,796$2,462
2025~2.9%3,612$5,704,937,791$2,756,214,12348.3%$0.3450N/AN/A$0.3450$9,336,386$2,585
CAGR4.2%0.0%15.0%-6.0%-6.0%3.4%3.3%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

EASTLAND COUNTY (City)

Pop 17,725 PPA 0.03 %BO 0.4% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
15,952 16,850 17,748 18,645 19,543 20,441 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 18,488 18,297 18,583 17,725 17,754 17,784 17,813 17,843 17,873 17,903 17,932 17,962 -0.1% +0.2% -0.5% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: EASTLAND COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: EASTLAND COUNTY had a 2020 population of 17,725 across 926.5 square miles, yielding a density of 0.03 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 17,962, a gain of 237 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), EASTLAND COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: EASTLAND COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
EASTLAND COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop18,48818,29718,58317,72517,75417,78417,81317,84317,87317,90317,93217,962
PPA0.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.03
%BO0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ECTOR (County)

Pop 737 PPA 0.98 %BO 12.3% Levy $75,623,798 Levy CAGR +6.1% E-Factor 0.31%
444 648 851 1,054 1,258 1,461 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 494 600 695 737 796 859 926 998 1,074 1,154 1,239 1,329 +2.0% +1.5% +0.6% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% Population Trend: ECTOR (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ECTOR had a 2020 population of 737 across 1.2 square miles, yielding a density of 0.98 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 1,329, a gain of 592 (+80.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.74% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 12.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ECTOR has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 22.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ECTOR levied $75,623,798 in property taxes on a market value base of $25,849,328,114. The taxable value of $23,318,106,729 reflects 9.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3500 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3314 for Maintenance & Operations (94.7%) and $0.0186 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (5.3%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $98,726 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 6.9% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.31% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Strategic Outlook: ECTOR demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ECTOR
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop4946006957377968599269981,0741,1541,2391,329
PPA0.660.800.930.981.061.151.241.331.431.541.661.78
%BO8.2%10.0%11.6%12.3%13.3%14.3%15.5%16.7%17.9%19.3%20.7%22.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%737$18,836,680,220~EstN/A$0.3425$0.02256.2%$0.3650$56,879,305$77,177
20214.7%742$18,799,370,447~EstN/A$0.3396$0.02547.0%$0.3650$55,800,283$75,203
20228.0%748$21,093,027,745~EstN/A$0.3284$0.02166.2%$0.3500$60,537,134$80,932
20234.1%754$24,242,410,793~EstN/A$0.3312$0.01885.4%$0.3500$71,651,638$95,029
20243.2%760$24,618,407,728$22,207,720,69490.2%$0.3314$0.01865.3%$0.3500$72,022,665$94,767
2025~2.9%766$25,849,328,114$23,318,106,72990.2%$0.3314$0.01865.3%$0.3500$75,623,798$98,726
CAGR4.2%0.8%6.9%-0.7%-3.7%-2.9%-0.8%6.1%5.3%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

ECTOR COUNTY (City)

Pop 165,171 PPA 0.29 %BO 3.6% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
107,040 201,493 295,946 390,399 484,853 579,306 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 118,934 121,123 137,130 165,171 191,807 222,525 257,877 298,465 344,937 397,981 458,308 526,642 +0.2% +1.2% +1.9% +1.5% +1.5% +1.5% +1.5% +1.5% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% Population Trend: ECTOR COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ECTOR COUNTY had a 2020 population of 165,171 across 897.8 square miles, yielding a density of 0.29 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 526,642, a gain of 361,471 (+218.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.46% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 3.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ECTOR COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 11.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: ECTOR COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ECTOR COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop118,934121,123137,130165,171191,807222,525257,877298,465344,937397,981458,308526,642
PPA0.210.210.240.290.330.390.450.520.600.690.800.92
%BO2.6%2.6%3.0%3.6%4.2%4.8%5.6%6.5%7.5%8.7%10.0%11.5%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

EDINBURG (City)

Pop 100,243 PPA 4.16 %BO 52.0% Levy $49,769,211 Levy CAGR +7.8% E-Factor 2.47%
31,468 64,330 97,192 130,054 162,916 195,779 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 34,965 48,465 77,100 100,243 114,508 128,008 140,256 150,950 159,977 167,382 173,316 177,981 +3.3% +4.8% +2.7% +1.3% +1.1% +0.9% +0.7% +0.6% +0.5% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: EDINBURG (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: EDINBURG had a 2020 population of 100,243 across 37.6 square miles, yielding a density of 4.16 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 177,981, a gain of 77,738 (+77.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.72% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 52.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), EDINBURG is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 92.4%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): EDINBURG levied $49,769,211 in property taxes on a market value base of $9,954,050,428. The taxable value of $7,899,874,856 reflects 20.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6300 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5156 for Maintenance & Operations (81.8%) and $0.1144 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (18.2%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $464 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 9.2% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.47% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): EDINBURG collected $43,056,752 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $401 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 86.5% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.9% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: EDINBURG demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
EDINBURG
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop34,96548,46577,100100,243114,508128,008140,256150,950159,977167,382173,316177,981
PPA1.452.013.204.164.755.325.826.276.646.957.207.39
%BO18.1%25.2%40.0%52.0%59.4%66.4%72.8%78.3%83.0%86.9%90.0%92.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%100,243$6,664,893,305$5,157,678,11877.4%$0.6800N/AN/A$0.6800$35,072,211$350$26,395,998$26375.3%
20214.7%101,669$7,308,063,155$5,676,651,02877.7%$0.5447$0.135319.9%$0.6800$38,601,227$380$30,779,179$30379.7%
20228.0%103,096$8,072,111,425$6,301,132,94978.1%$0.5042$0.135821.2%$0.6400$40,327,251$391$34,627,286$33685.9%
20234.1%104,522$9,053,451,867$7,137,170,62378.8%$0.5089$0.121119.2%$0.6300$44,964,175$430$36,794,352$35281.8%
20243.2%105,949$9,480,048,027$7,523,690,33979.4%$0.5156$0.114418.2%$0.6300$47,399,249$447$38,505,229$36381.2%
2025*2.9%107,375$9,954,050,428$7,899,874,85679.4%$0.5156$0.114418.2%$0.6300$49,769,211$464$43,056,752$40186.5%
CAGR4.2%1.4%9.2%9.9%0.5%-5.4%-1.5%7.8%6.3%9.9%8.4%2.8%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.8%10.2%7.2%6.9%8.7%7.5%8.3%9.0%8.2%8.0%9.8%8.3%$26,395,998
20217.4%9.8%7.2%6.5%9.5%8.3%8.2%9.3%7.9%9.2%8.6%8.1%$30,779,179
20228.2%9.4%6.9%7.2%9.5%8.4%7.9%9.4%8.3%7.9%9.0%7.8%$34,627,286
20237.9%9.7%7.5%7.5%9.0%7.9%8.5%8.2%7.9%9.4%9.0%7.5%$36,794,352
20248.0%9.8%7.6%7.7%9.1%8.0%8.1%8.5%8.7%7.4%8.5%8.7%$38,505,229
20257.4%10.0%6.8%6.3%8.5%13.9%7.6%8.0%7.8%7.6%8.4%7.7%$43,056,752
MEDIAN %8.0%9.9%7.3%7.1%9.2%8.3%8.3%8.8%8.1%8.1%8.9%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

EL CAMPO (City)

Pop 12,350 PPA 2.33 %BO 29.1% Levy $5,167,907 Levy CAGR +2.1% E-Factor 0.00%
9,850 11,478 13,106 14,734 16,362 17,990 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 11,001 10,945 11,602 12,350 12,818 13,297 13,786 14,283 14,789 15,304 15,826 16,355 -0.1% +0.6% +0.6% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: EL CAMPO (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: EL CAMPO had a 2020 population of 12,350 across 8.3 square miles, yielding a density of 2.33 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 16,355, a gain of 4,005 (+32.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.35% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 29.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), EL CAMPO has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 38.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): EL CAMPO levied $5,167,907 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,310,799,315. The taxable value of $1,123,311,527 reflects 14.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4601 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2920 for Maintenance & Operations (63.5%) and $0.1681 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (36.5%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $411 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 2.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 6.9% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): EL CAMPO collected $6,360,402 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $505 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 123.1% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.5% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: EL CAMPO demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
EL CAMPO
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop11,00110,94511,60212,35012,81813,29713,78614,28314,78915,30415,82616,355
PPA2.072.062.192.332.422.512.602.692.792.882.983.08
%BO25.9%25.8%27.3%29.1%30.2%31.3%32.5%33.7%34.8%36.1%37.3%38.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%12,350$956,329,884$804,913,71784.2%$0.3638$0.199635.4%$0.5634$4,534,723$367$4,788,379$388105.6%
20214.7%12,396$1,044,056,407$882,294,68684.5%$0.3307$0.183435.7%$0.5141$4,535,877$366$5,447,439$439120.1%
20228.0%12,443$1,111,850,305$946,423,91985.1%$0.3119$0.172335.6%$0.4842$4,582,490$368$5,614,077$451122.5%
20234.1%12,490$1,232,931,282$1,059,781,67586.0%$0.3083$0.175936.3%$0.4842$5,131,357$411$6,441,138$516125.5%
20243.2%12,537$1,248,380,300$1,069,820,50285.7%$0.2920$0.168136.5%$0.4601$4,921,816$393$6,648,017$530135.1%
2025*2.9%12,584$1,310,799,315$1,123,311,52785.7%$0.2920$0.168136.5%$0.4601$5,167,907$411$6,360,402$505123.1%
CAGR4.2%0.4%6.9%7.4%0.4%-4.3%-3.4%0.6%-4.0%2.1%1.7%8.5%8.1%3.1%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.7%8.5%6.7%6.3%8.6%8.6%8.8%10.9%9.2%8.6%8.9%8.2%$4,788,379
20217.0%10.6%7.8%6.3%10.0%8.1%7.9%9.4%8.1%8.0%9.3%7.4%$5,447,439
20228.1%10.2%7.5%6.9%9.6%8.0%8.7%9.6%7.9%8.7%7.9%7.0%$5,614,077
20236.3%7.6%7.1%5.8%9.1%8.5%9.5%10.5%8.5%8.2%11.7%7.2%$6,441,138
20247.6%8.8%6.7%7.0%10.5%10.6%7.9%8.7%7.9%7.8%8.8%7.8%$6,648,017
20256.0%10.3%6.8%6.8%9.4%8.7%8.3%9.0%9.1%8.6%8.7%8.3%$6,360,402
MEDIAN %6.9%9.6%7.0%6.6%9.5%8.6%8.6%9.6%8.4%8.5%9.0%7.7%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

EL PASO (City)

Pop 678,815 PPA 4.16 %BO 51.9% Levy $432,873,748 Levy CAGR +4.8% E-Factor 1.09%
467,532 558,268 649,005 739,742 830,479 921,215 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 519,480 563,662 649,121 678,815 699,218 719,533 739,720 759,743 779,563 799,146 818,458 837,469 +0.8% +1.4% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: EL PASO (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: EL PASO had a 2020 population of 678,815 across 255.2 square miles, yielding a density of 4.16 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 837,469, a gain of 158,654 (+23.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.26% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 51.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), EL PASO is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 64.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): EL PASO levied $432,873,748 in property taxes on a market value base of $77,779,985,722. The taxable value of $56,851,970,713 reflects 26.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7614 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5309 for Maintenance & Operations (69.7%) and $0.2306 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (30.3%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $628 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 4.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.4% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.09% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): EL PASO collected $138,826,723 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $201 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 32.1% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.0% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
EL PASO
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop519,480563,662649,121678,815699,218719,533739,720759,743779,563799,146818,458837,469
PPA3.183.453.974.164.284.404.534.654.774.895.015.13
%BO39.8%43.1%49.7%51.9%53.5%55.1%56.6%58.1%59.7%61.2%62.6%64.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%678,815$48,074,501,202$37,692,803,67078.4%$0.6238$0.283531.2%$0.9073$341,986,808$504$98,270,890$14528.7%
20214.7%680,855$51,406,159,586$39,741,151,62077.3%$0.6216$0.285731.5%$0.9073$360,571,866$530$114,356,341$16831.7%
20228.0%682,895$60,797,232,980$45,039,887,62774.1%$0.5853$0.277132.1%$0.8624$388,423,090$569$127,550,767$18732.8%
20234.1%684,935$66,849,217,805$48,863,643,79173.1%$0.5624$0.256531.3%$0.8189$400,132,163$584$132,615,536$19433.1%
20243.2%686,976$74,076,176,878$54,144,734,01273.1%$0.5309$0.230630.3%$0.7614$412,260,712$600$133,640,741$19532.4%
2025*2.9%689,016$77,779,985,722$56,851,970,71373.1%$0.5309$0.230630.3%$0.7614$432,873,748$628$138,826,723$20132.1%
CAGR4.2%0.3%11.4%9.5%-1.4%-3.2%-4.1%-0.6%-3.4%4.8%4.5%8.0%7.7%2.2%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.1%11.2%7.8%7.1%8.2%6.8%7.9%9.1%8.2%7.9%9.4%8.3%$98,270,890
20217.1%9.6%7.1%6.7%9.6%8.1%8.4%9.5%8.4%7.9%9.3%8.3%$114,356,341
20228.2%10.1%7.3%7.0%9.1%8.4%8.0%9.0%8.2%8.3%8.6%7.7%$127,550,767
20238.2%10.4%7.5%7.5%9.0%7.9%8.4%9.2%8.1%7.8%8.3%7.8%$132,615,536
20248.3%10.0%7.6%7.6%8.8%8.0%8.3%8.7%9.0%7.8%7.6%8.5%$133,640,741
20258.0%11.1%7.6%7.1%8.4%7.8%8.2%8.6%8.4%7.9%8.4%8.6%$138,826,723
MEDIAN %8.1%10.2%7.5%7.1%8.9%7.9%8.2%9.0%8.3%7.9%8.5%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

EL PASO (County)

Pop 678,815 PPA 4.16 %BO 51.9% Levy $308,005,820 Levy CAGR +6.9% E-Factor 1.64%
467,532 558,268 649,005 739,742 830,479 921,215 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 519,480 563,662 649,121 678,815 699,218 719,533 739,720 759,743 779,563 799,146 818,458 837,469 +0.8% +1.4% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: EL PASO (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: EL PASO had a 2020 population of 678,815 across 255.2 square miles, yielding a density of 4.16 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 837,469, a gain of 158,654 (+23.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.26% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 51.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), EL PASO is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 64.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): EL PASO levied $308,005,820 in property taxes on a market value base of $96,215,919,430. The taxable value of $77,496,408,735 reflects 19.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4263 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3761 for Maintenance & Operations (88.2%) and $0.0502 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (11.8%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $447 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 12.5% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.64% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Strategic Outlook: EL PASO demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
EL PASO
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop519,480563,662649,121678,815699,218719,533739,720759,743779,563799,146818,458837,469
PPA3.183.453.974.164.284.404.534.654.774.895.015.13
%BO39.8%43.1%49.7%51.9%53.5%55.1%56.6%58.1%59.7%61.2%62.6%64.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%678,815$57,122,910,826~EstN/A$0.4503$0.03877.9%$0.4890$224,314,770$330
20214.7%680,855$61,750,785,827~EstN/A$0.4320$0.03828.1%$0.4702$229,263,911$337
20228.0%682,895$73,570,709,437~EstN/A$0.3763$0.050011.7%$0.4263$238,188,434$349
20234.1%684,935$82,471,889,180~EstN/A$0.4070$0.051911.3%$0.4589$283,304,844$414
20243.2%686,976$91,634,208,981$73,806,103,55780.5%$0.3761$0.050211.8%$0.4263$293,338,876$427
2025~2.9%689,016$96,215,919,430$77,496,408,73580.5%$0.3761$0.050211.8%$0.4263$308,005,820$447
CAGR4.2%0.3%12.5%-3.5%5.3%8.3%-2.7%6.9%6.6%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

EL PASO COUNTY (City)

Pop 865,657 PPA 1.33 %BO 16.7% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
532,449 773,454 1,014,460 1,255,466 1,496,472 1,737,478 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 591,610 679,622 800,647 865,657 938,437 1,015,905 1,098,121 1,185,109 1,276,845 1,373,255 1,474,210 1,579,526 +1.4% +1.7% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% Population Trend: EL PASO COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: EL PASO COUNTY had a 2020 population of 865,657 across 1013.2 square miles, yielding a density of 1.33 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 1,579,526, a gain of 713,869 (+82.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.75% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 16.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), EL PASO COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 30.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: EL PASO COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
EL PASO COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop591,610679,622800,647865,657938,4371,015,9051,098,1211,185,1091,276,8451,373,2551,474,2101,579,526
PPA0.911.051.231.331.451.571.691.831.972.122.272.44
%BO11.4%13.1%15.4%16.7%18.1%19.6%21.2%22.8%24.6%26.5%28.4%30.4%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.0%11.1%7.8%7.1%8.2%6.9%8.0%9.2%8.2%7.9%9.4%8.3%$53,526,289
20217.1%9.7%7.1%6.6%9.6%8.1%8.3%9.6%8.3%7.9%9.3%8.3%$62,564,140
20228.2%10.0%7.2%7.0%9.1%8.3%8.0%9.1%8.3%8.3%8.7%7.7%$69,895,650
20238.2%10.2%7.4%7.5%9.0%7.9%8.3%9.1%8.1%8.0%8.4%7.8%$73,434,851
20248.3%9.9%7.5%7.5%8.8%8.0%8.2%8.7%9.0%7.8%7.8%8.5%$74,582,171
20258.0%10.8%7.5%7.1%8.4%7.8%8.2%8.6%8.4%8.2%8.4%8.6%$77,950,677
MEDIAN %8.1%10.1%7.5%7.1%8.9%7.9%8.2%9.1%8.3%7.9%8.6%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

EL PASO CTD (City)

Pop 678,815 PPA 4.16 %BO 51.9% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
467,532 557,904 648,276 738,649 829,021 919,394 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 519,480 565,798 649,863 678,815 698,994 719,088 739,058 758,868 778,482 797,865 816,986 835,813 +0.9% +1.4% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: EL PASO CTD (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: EL PASO CTD had a 2020 population of 678,815 across 255.2 square miles, yielding a density of 4.16 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 835,813, a gain of 156,998 (+23.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.26% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 51.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), EL PASO CTD is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 64.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
EL PASO CTD
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop519,480565,798649,863678,815698,994719,088739,058758,868778,482797,865816,986835,813
PPA3.183.463.984.164.284.404.524.654.774.885.005.12
%BO39.8%43.3%49.7%51.9%53.5%55.0%56.6%58.1%59.6%61.1%62.5%64.0%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.1%11.3%7.9%7.5%8.2%6.8%7.4%9.1%8.1%7.9%9.4%8.3%$48,334,657
20217.1%9.6%7.0%6.6%9.6%8.1%8.4%9.8%8.4%7.8%9.3%8.3%$56,399,590
20228.1%10.1%7.3%7.0%9.0%8.4%8.0%9.3%8.2%8.2%8.6%7.7%$62,800,235
20238.2%10.3%7.4%7.5%9.0%7.9%8.3%9.1%8.1%7.7%8.7%7.8%$65,399,403
20248.3%10.0%7.6%7.5%8.8%8.0%8.3%8.6%9.0%7.8%7.6%8.5%$65,582,104
20258.0%11.0%7.6%7.1%8.4%7.8%8.2%8.6%8.3%7.9%8.5%8.6%$68,326,390
MEDIAN %8.1%10.2%7.5%7.3%8.8%7.9%8.2%9.1%8.2%7.8%8.6%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ELGIN (City)

Pop 9,784 PPA 2.64 %BO 32.9% Levy $8,492,698 Levy CAGR +17.2% E-Factor 7.91%
4,653 8,319 11,984 15,650 19,315 22,981 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 5,171 5,700 8,135 9,784 11,113 12,510 13,952 15,412 16,861 18,274 19,624 20,892 +1.0% +3.6% +1.9% +1.3% +1.2% +1.1% +1.0% +0.9% +0.8% +0.7% +0.6% Population Trend: ELGIN (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ELGIN had a 2020 population of 9,784 across 5.8 square miles, yielding a density of 2.64 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 20,892, a gain of 11,108 (+113.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.95% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 32.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ELGIN has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 70.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ELGIN levied $8,492,698 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,895,292,773. The taxable value of $1,489,947,203 reflects 21.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5700 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4023 for Maintenance & Operations (70.6%) and $0.1677 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (29.4%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $813 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 17.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 19.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 7.91% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): ELGIN collected $4,430,431 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $424 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 52.2% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 11.3% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: ELGIN demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ELGIN
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop5,1715,7008,1359,78411,11312,51013,95215,41216,86118,27419,62420,892
PPA1.391.542.192.642.993.373.764.154.544.925.295.63
%BO17.4%19.2%27.4%32.9%37.4%42.1%47.0%51.9%56.8%61.5%66.1%70.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%9,784$878,881,155$674,656,69876.8%$0.4154$0.220334.7%$0.6357$4,288,543$438$2,746,335$28164.0%
20214.7%9,916$1,016,785,561$778,500,69176.6%$0.4041$0.185931.5%$0.5900$4,592,975$463$3,056,926$30866.6%
20228.0%10,049$1,452,786,943$1,070,380,77173.7%$0.3643$0.180433.1%$0.5447$5,829,979$580$3,585,696$35761.5%
20234.1%10,182$1,761,477,101$1,315,416,29674.7%$0.3633$0.135027.1%$0.4982$6,553,890$644$3,822,726$37558.3%
20243.2%10,315$1,805,040,736$1,418,997,33678.6%$0.4023$0.167729.4%$0.5700$8,088,284$784$4,211,594$40852.1%
2025*2.9%10,448$1,895,292,773$1,489,947,20378.6%$0.4023$0.167729.4%$0.5700$8,492,698$813$4,430,431$42452.2%
CAGR4.2%1.3%19.7%20.4%0.5%-0.6%-5.3%-3.2%-2.2%17.2%15.7%11.3%9.8%-4.0%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.1%8.9%11.0%6.8%8.1%7.3%9.4%9.1%8.1%7.3%8.8%8.2%$2,746,335
20217.1%8.8%6.9%6.0%9.1%8.3%8.4%9.5%8.7%8.4%10.4%8.1%$3,056,926
20227.6%9.3%7.0%6.7%9.7%8.2%8.2%9.0%8.8%8.3%8.6%8.6%$3,585,696
20238.3%9.7%7.6%7.3%9.2%8.2%8.0%8.5%8.0%8.2%8.8%8.2%$3,822,726
20247.6%9.2%7.2%7.3%8.8%7.7%8.0%8.5%10.3%8.9%8.2%8.2%$4,211,594
20257.7%10.8%7.1%6.9%8.7%7.9%8.2%9.0%8.2%7.5%8.5%9.4%$4,430,431
MEDIAN %7.7%9.4%7.3%6.9%9.1%8.1%8.3%9.1%8.6%8.4%8.8%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ELLIS COUNTY (City)

Pop 192,455 PPA 0.32 %BO 4.0% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
76,650 326,192 575,735 825,278 1,074,821 1,324,363 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 85,167 111,360 149,610 192,455 246,651 315,077 400,834 507,320 638,035 796,243 984,487 1,203,967 +2.7% +3.0% +2.6% +2.5% +2.5% +2.4% +2.4% +2.3% +2.2% +2.1% +2.0% Population Trend: ELLIS COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ELLIS COUNTY had a 2020 population of 192,455 across 935.9 square miles, yielding a density of 0.32 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 1,203,967, a gain of 1,011,512 (+525.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.32% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 4.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ELLIS COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 25.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: ELLIS COUNTY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ELLIS COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop85,167111,360149,610192,455246,651315,077400,834507,320638,035796,243984,4871,203,967
PPA0.140.190.250.320.410.530.670.851.071.331.642.01
%BO1.8%2.3%3.1%4.0%5.1%6.6%8.4%10.6%13.3%16.6%20.5%25.1%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ENNIS (City)

Pop 20,159 PPA 1.14 %BO 14.2% Levy $23,722,867 Levy CAGR +10.9% E-Factor 4.20%
12,850 18,547 24,244 29,941 35,638 41,335 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 14,278 16,045 18,513 20,159 21,898 23,758 25,742 27,853 30,092 32,460 34,956 37,578 +1.2% +1.4% +0.9% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.7% +0.7% Population Trend: ENNIS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ENNIS had a 2020 population of 20,159 across 27.6 square miles, yielding a density of 1.14 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 37,578, a gain of 17,419 (+86.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.78% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 14.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ENNIS has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 26.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ENNIS levied $23,722,867 in property taxes on a market value base of $4,554,559,261. The taxable value of $3,572,721,144 reflects 21.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6640 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4150 for Maintenance & Operations (62.5%) and $0.2490 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (37.5%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,128 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 10.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.20% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): ENNIS collected $10,742,128 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.75% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $511 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 45.3% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.2% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: ENNIS demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ENNIS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop14,27816,04518,51320,15921,89823,75825,74227,85330,09232,46034,95637,578
PPA0.810.911.051.141.241.341.451.571.701.831.982.12
%BO10.1%11.3%13.1%14.2%15.5%16.8%18.2%19.7%21.3%22.9%24.7%26.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%20,159$2,508,397,435$2,058,330,40282.1%$0.4455$0.279038.5%$0.7245$14,912,048$740$7,309,890$36349.0%
20214.7%20,332$2,629,757,681$2,175,836,44882.7%$0.4455$0.279038.5%$0.7245$15,763,348$775$9,484,004$46660.2%
20228.0%20,506$3,482,803,572$2,834,101,43281.4%$0.4255$0.269038.7%$0.6945$19,682,069$960$12,901,543$62965.5%
20234.1%20,680$4,304,092,282$3,347,058,58077.8%$0.4150$0.249037.5%$0.6640$22,224,469$1,075$12,070,825$58454.3%
20243.2%20,854$4,337,675,487$3,402,591,56678.4%$0.4150$0.249037.5%$0.6640$22,593,207$1,083$10,377,450$49845.9%
2025*2.9%21,028$4,554,559,261$3,572,721,14478.4%$0.4150$0.249037.5%$0.6640$23,722,867$1,128$10,742,128$51145.3%
CAGR4.2%0.8%14.7%13.4%-0.9%-1.4%-2.2%-0.5%-1.7%10.9%10.0%9.2%8.2%-1.6%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.0%9.4%6.7%6.8%7.7%7.0%8.0%10.1%9.2%9.0%11.1%8.0%$7,309,890
20216.8%11.3%7.8%5.8%10.6%8.3%9.1%8.4%7.4%8.0%9.3%7.4%$9,484,004
20227.0%9.0%6.2%7.1%9.8%8.6%9.9%10.2%8.4%7.8%8.4%7.5%$12,901,543
20238.3%9.9%7.3%6.5%12.6%6.8%7.0%10.1%7.3%8.3%8.3%7.6%$12,070,825
20249.8%9.8%7.4%7.8%9.0%8.6%8.0%8.1%8.6%7.6%6.4%8.9%$10,377,450
20258.0%10.3%6.7%6.4%8.7%7.7%7.7%9.3%8.2%8.1%9.6%9.4%$10,742,128
MEDIAN %7.6%10.0%7.1%6.7%9.5%8.0%8.1%9.8%8.4%8.1%9.0%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ERATH COUNTY (City)

Pop 42,545 PPA 0.06 %BO 0.8% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
25,191 45,337 65,482 85,628 105,773 125,919 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 27,991 33,001 37,890 42,545 48,177 54,549 61,753 69,897 79,100 89,495 101,230 114,472 +1.7% +1.4% +1.2% +1.3% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% Population Trend: ERATH COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ERATH COUNTY had a 2020 population of 42,545 across 1083.2 square miles, yielding a density of 0.06 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 114,472, a gain of 71,927 (+169.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.24% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ERATH COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 2.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: ERATH COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ERATH COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop27,99133,00137,89042,54548,17754,54961,75369,89779,10089,495101,230114,472
PPA0.040.050.050.060.070.080.090.100.110.130.150.17
%BO0.5%0.6%0.7%0.8%0.9%1.0%1.1%1.3%1.4%1.6%1.8%2.1%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.9%9.6%8.2%6.8%8.2%7.4%7.9%9.0%8.1%8.7%9.9%8.3%$2,898,605
20216.9%11.3%7.1%5.4%9.0%7.9%8.5%9.0%8.1%8.8%10.0%7.9%$3,399,865
20227.5%9.1%7.5%6.5%9.2%7.9%8.3%9.2%8.1%8.6%9.7%8.5%$3,893,099
20237.8%9.3%7.3%7.2%8.5%7.6%8.9%8.5%7.7%9.6%9.0%8.6%$4,304,196
20248.3%9.5%7.6%7.7%8.5%7.9%8.0%8.1%8.1%8.8%9.2%8.3%$4,484,239
20256.9%9.8%7.7%7.3%8.2%8.6%8.2%8.3%7.4%7.3%10.5%9.6%$5,071,476
MEDIAN %7.6%9.6%7.5%7.0%8.5%7.9%8.2%8.7%8.1%8.7%9.8%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

EULESS (City)

Pop 61,032 PPA 5.88 %BO 73.5% Levy $34,598,100 Levy CAGR +7.8% E-Factor 2.39%
34,644 44,398 54,152 63,906 73,661 83,415 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 38,494 46,005 51,277 61,032 63,622 65,993 68,142 70,072 71,794 73,318 74,659 75,832 +1.8% +1.1% +1.8% +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: EULESS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: EULESS had a 2020 population of 61,032 across 16.2 square miles, yielding a density of 5.88 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 75,832, a gain of 14,800 (+24.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.27% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 73.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), EULESS is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 91.4%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): EULESS levied $34,598,100 in property taxes on a market value base of $10,168,045,209. The taxable value of $7,745,265,240 reflects 23.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4467 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3653 for Maintenance & Operations (81.8%) and $0.0814 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (18.2%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $555 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 9.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.39% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): EULESS collected $27,983,780 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.75% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $449 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 80.9% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.9% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: EULESS demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
EULESS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop38,49446,00551,27761,03263,62265,99368,14270,07271,79473,31874,65975,832
PPA3.714.434.945.886.136.366.576.756.927.077.207.31
%BO46.4%55.4%61.8%73.5%76.7%79.5%82.1%84.4%86.5%88.3%90.0%91.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%61,032$6,691,490,263$5,284,819,71579.0%$0.3820$0.080517.4%$0.4625$24,442,291$400$19,210,665$31578.6%
20214.7%61,291$6,956,083,471$5,384,021,99777.4%$0.4029$0.072115.2%$0.4750$25,574,104$417$21,289,637$34783.2%
20228.0%61,550$7,917,673,018$6,141,339,76377.6%$0.3708$0.089219.4%$0.4600$28,250,163$459$25,512,503$41590.3%
20234.1%61,809$9,202,418,702$6,983,023,72975.9%$0.3627$0.094820.7%$0.4575$31,947,334$517$25,570,896$41480.0%
20243.2%62,068$9,683,852,580$7,376,443,08676.2%$0.3653$0.081418.2%$0.4467$32,950,571$531$26,018,384$41979.0%
2025*2.9%62,327$10,168,045,209$7,745,265,24076.2%$0.3653$0.081418.2%$0.4467$34,598,100$555$27,983,780$44980.9%
CAGR4.2%0.4%9.7%8.7%-0.7%-0.9%0.2%0.9%-0.7%7.8%7.3%7.9%7.4%0.6%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.9%11.2%7.4%7.0%8.3%7.1%8.0%9.6%8.0%8.1%9.5%8.0%$19,210,665
20217.1%9.6%6.8%6.1%10.0%8.0%7.9%9.6%8.5%8.6%10.3%7.5%$21,289,637
20227.2%13.5%6.8%5.9%8.8%7.6%7.6%9.0%7.8%8.0%9.4%8.3%$25,512,503
20237.9%9.8%7.5%6.8%9.3%7.4%8.0%9.4%7.8%9.7%9.4%6.9%$25,570,896
20247.4%10.4%5.7%6.7%8.4%8.5%7.9%9.8%9.1%8.2%9.2%8.8%$26,018,384
20257.5%10.2%6.8%6.5%9.4%8.0%7.8%9.1%8.7%7.8%9.5%8.5%$27,983,780
MEDIAN %7.5%10.4%6.9%6.7%9.1%7.9%7.9%9.5%8.3%8.2%9.5%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

FAIR OAKS RANCH (City)

Pop 9,833 PPA 1.81 %BO 22.6% Levy $8,067,752 Levy CAGR +4.3% E-Factor 0.00%
1,701 10,465 19,230 27,994 36,759 45,523 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 1,890 4,695 5,986 9,833 14,344 19,731 25,399 30,613 34,845 37,942 40,039 41,385 +9.5% +2.5% +5.1% +3.8% +3.2% +2.6% +1.9% +1.3% +0.9% +0.5% +0.3% Population Trend: FAIR OAKS RANCH (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: FAIR OAKS RANCH had a 2020 population of 9,833 across 8.5 square miles, yielding a density of 1.81 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 41,385, a gain of 31,552 (+320.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.81% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 22.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), FAIR OAKS RANCH has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 95.2%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): FAIR OAKS RANCH levied $8,067,752 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,412,825,499. The taxable value of $2,827,814,009 reflects 17.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.2853 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2512 for Maintenance & Operations (88.0%) and $0.0341 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (12.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $667 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 4.3% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.0% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): FAIR OAKS RANCH collected $1,906,221 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $158 falls below regional averages, indicating primarily residential character with retail leakage to neighboring communities. Sales tax represents 23.6% of property tax levy, offering modest supplemental revenue. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 10.5% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: FAIR OAKS RANCH demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
FAIR OAKS RANCH
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop1,8904,6955,9869,83314,34419,73125,39930,61334,84537,94240,03941,385
PPA0.350.861.101.812.643.634.675.636.416.987.377.62
%BO4.3%10.8%13.8%22.6%33.0%45.4%58.4%70.4%80.2%87.3%92.1%95.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%9,833$1,923,100,408$1,737,312,37990.3%$0.3409$0.03268.7%$0.3735$6,488,862$660$1,211,183$12318.7%
20214.7%10,284$2,078,152,575$1,873,336,48390.1%$0.3223$0.02958.4%$0.3518$6,590,398$641$1,440,150$14021.9%
20228.0%10,735$2,715,195,282$2,167,976,42179.8%$0.3023$0.02688.1%$0.3291$7,134,810$665$1,576,461$14722.1%
20234.1%11,186$3,175,498,129$2,488,739,82478.4%$0.2776$0.02297.6%$0.3005$7,478,663$669$1,664,399$14922.3%
20243.2%11,637$3,250,309,999$2,693,156,19982.9%$0.2512$0.034112.0%$0.2853$7,683,573$660$1,805,154$15523.5%
2025*2.9%12,088$3,412,825,499$2,827,814,00982.9%$0.2512$0.034112.0%$0.2853$8,067,752$667$1,906,221$15823.6%
CAGR4.2%4.2%14.0%11.6%-1.7%-5.9%0.9%6.5%-5.2%4.3%0.0%10.5%5.9%4.8%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.9%10.7%5.7%6.6%8.0%8.0%8.4%10.1%7.6%8.3%9.5%10.1%$1,211,183
20218.6%10.4%7.4%6.4%7.6%7.9%8.1%9.0%8.1%8.2%9.4%8.8%$1,440,150
20229.0%10.9%7.4%6.9%8.9%8.5%7.7%8.4%7.9%8.0%8.3%8.1%$1,576,461
20239.1%10.2%7.3%7.0%8.1%7.7%8.0%9.7%7.7%8.4%8.7%8.1%$1,664,399
20249.5%10.7%7.4%7.5%8.3%8.1%8.5%8.8%7.9%7.1%7.7%8.4%$1,805,154
20258.2%11.0%6.9%6.6%9.3%7.5%7.6%8.3%8.8%8.3%8.8%8.7%$1,906,221
MEDIAN %8.8%10.7%7.3%6.8%8.2%7.9%8.0%8.9%7.9%8.2%8.8%8.5%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

FAIRVIEW (City)

Pop 10,372 PPA 1.04 %BO 13.1% Levy $10,809,693 Levy CAGR +9.1% E-Factor 0.00%
1,694 16,104 30,513 44,922 59,332 73,741 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 1,883 2,644 7,248 10,372 15,078 21,273 28,888 37,494 46,336 54,571 61,560 67,038 +3.5% +10.6% +3.6% +3.8% +3.5% +3.1% +2.6% +2.1% +1.6% +1.2% +0.9% Population Trend: FAIRVIEW (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: FAIRVIEW had a 2020 population of 10,372 across 15.5 square miles, yielding a density of 1.04 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 67,038, a gain of 56,666 (+546.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.36% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 13.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), FAIRVIEW has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 84.4%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): FAIRVIEW levied $10,809,693 in property taxes on a market value base of $4,283,613,000. The taxable value of $3,483,839,937 reflects 18.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3103 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2328 for Maintenance & Operations (75.0%) and $0.0775 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (25.0%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $849 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 9.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.1% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): FAIRVIEW collected $4,456,150 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $350 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 41.2% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.4% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: FAIRVIEW demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
FAIRVIEW
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop1,8832,6447,24810,37215,07821,27328,88837,49446,33654,57161,56067,038
PPA0.190.270.731.041.522.142.913.784.675.506.206.75
%BO2.4%3.3%9.1%13.1%19.0%26.8%36.4%47.2%58.4%68.7%77.5%84.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%10,372$2,405,862,030$2,089,318,63486.8%$0.2403$0.106830.8%$0.3472$7,253,195$699$3,092,119$29842.6%
20214.7%10,842$2,583,940,977$2,239,727,76586.7%$0.2455$0.100028.9%$0.3456$7,740,051$714$3,539,753$32645.7%
20228.0%11,313$3,258,320,367$2,623,173,14480.5%$0.2384$0.083225.9%$0.3216$8,435,522$746$3,916,616$34646.4%
20234.1%11,783$3,815,472,555$2,983,388,62178.2%$0.2342$0.077524.9%$0.3117$9,298,715$789$4,203,149$35745.2%
20243.2%12,254$4,079,631,429$3,317,942,79781.3%$0.2328$0.077525.0%$0.3103$10,294,946$840$4,265,890$34841.4%
2025*2.9%12,725$4,283,613,000$3,483,839,93781.3%$0.2328$0.077525.0%$0.3103$10,809,693$849$4,456,150$35041.2%
CAGR4.2%4.2%14.1%12.3%-1.3%-0.6%-6.2%-4.1%-2.2%9.1%4.7%8.4%4.0%-0.7%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.5%16.5%7.5%7.3%7.8%4.4%7.2%9.4%7.3%7.4%9.4%7.4%$3,092,119
20217.1%11.8%6.8%5.6%8.7%7.9%8.9%10.2%8.2%7.7%8.8%8.3%$3,539,753
20228.8%12.2%6.7%6.1%8.5%8.4%8.7%8.9%7.7%7.5%8.4%7.9%$3,916,616
20238.4%11.0%6.3%7.0%8.6%7.8%8.7%8.8%8.0%7.5%9.7%8.1%$4,203,149
20248.7%11.4%6.8%7.6%9.2%6.7%8.5%8.6%8.1%8.0%8.6%7.7%$4,265,890
20258.6%12.1%7.4%7.0%9.2%8.2%7.9%8.3%7.6%7.4%8.5%7.7%$4,456,150
MEDIAN %8.6%11.9%6.8%7.0%8.6%7.9%8.6%8.8%7.9%7.5%8.7%7.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

FALLS COUNTY (City)

Pop 16,968 PPA 0.03 %BO 0.4% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
15,271 16,303 17,336 18,368 19,401 20,433 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 17,712 18,576 17,866 16,968 16,996 17,024 17,053 17,081 17,109 17,138 17,167 17,195 +0.5% -0.4% -0.5% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: FALLS COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: FALLS COUNTY had a 2020 population of 16,968 across 765.5 square miles, yielding a density of 0.03 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 17,195, a gain of 227 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), FALLS COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: FALLS COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
FALLS COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop17,71218,57617,86616,96816,99617,02417,05317,08117,10917,13817,16717,195
PPA0.040.040.040.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.040.04
%BO0.5%0.5%0.5%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.6%9.7%6.1%6.6%8.8%8.5%8.7%10.3%8.1%8.4%8.9%8.3%$483,539
20217.4%9.1%7.1%6.2%9.6%7.8%7.9%8.9%8.2%8.4%11.0%8.3%$549,681
20227.3%8.3%5.9%5.8%8.6%6.6%7.2%7.9%7.2%7.5%13.3%14.4%$691,482
202314.4%18.1%13.0%4.1%7.0%6.0%5.6%7.9%4.7%4.9%9.4%4.7%$1,249,926
20247.4%13.3%7.7%7.9%7.8%7.6%8.8%7.7%8.4%7.4%9.1%7.0%$866,781
20257.1%9.9%8.1%6.3%7.2%6.9%6.7%9.0%5.5%8.5%13.1%11.6%$920,911
MEDIAN %7.7%10.1%7.6%6.5%8.5%7.6%7.8%8.7%8.0%8.2%10.6%8.6%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

FANNIN COUNTY (City)

Pop 35,662 PPA 0.06 %BO 0.8% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
22,323 32,473 42,623 52,773 62,923 73,073 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 24,804 31,242 33,915 35,662 38,553 41,678 45,052 48,698 52,634 56,885 61,475 66,430 +2.3% +0.8% +0.5% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% Population Trend: FANNIN COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: FANNIN COUNTY had a 2020 population of 35,662 across 890.8 square miles, yielding a density of 0.06 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 66,430, a gain of 30,768 (+86.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.78% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), FANNIN COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 1.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: FANNIN COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
FANNIN COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop24,80431,24233,91535,66238,55341,67845,05248,69852,63456,88561,47566,430
PPA0.040.050.060.060.070.070.080.090.090.100.110.12
%BO0.5%0.7%0.7%0.8%0.8%0.9%1.0%1.1%1.2%1.2%1.3%1.5%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.9%9.4%7.1%6.8%7.6%8.4%8.7%9.2%8.8%8.2%9.7%9.2%$1,455,872
20216.8%11.1%8.7%6.9%8.9%7.3%7.2%9.5%7.5%7.7%9.8%8.5%$1,741,727
20228.4%9.1%7.4%7.2%7.3%8.1%8.8%9.7%8.0%8.6%8.7%8.6%$1,734,880
20238.4%9.3%7.8%7.1%8.5%7.8%8.7%9.1%7.8%8.3%8.5%8.6%$1,872,346
20246.4%0.0%13.4%5.8%7.1%6.4%6.0%6.9%6.5%6.0%10.7%24.7%$2,665,449
20257.9%11.8%7.0%6.8%7.7%8.9%7.9%8.8%8.9%7.4%8.4%8.4%$2,285,588
MEDIAN %7.5%9.5%7.8%7.0%7.8%8.2%8.5%9.3%8.1%8.1%9.4%8.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

FARMERS BRANCH (City)

Pop 35,991 PPA 4.77 %BO 59.6% Levy $57,243,663 Levy CAGR +7.5% E-Factor 2.66%
21,917 29,115 36,313 43,512 50,710 57,908 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 24,353 27,508 28,616 35,991 38,708 41,284 43,687 45,894 47,893 49,680 51,261 52,644 +1.2% +0.4% +2.3% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: FARMERS BRANCH (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: FARMERS BRANCH had a 2020 population of 35,991 across 11.8 square miles, yielding a density of 4.77 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 52,644, a gain of 16,653 (+46.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.48% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 59.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), FARMERS BRANCH is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 87.2%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): FARMERS BRANCH levied $57,243,663 in property taxes on a market value base of $12,729,051,993. The taxable value of $10,532,412,695 reflects 17.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5435 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4893 for Maintenance & Operations (90.0%) and $0.0542 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (10.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,533 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 9.9% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.66% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): FARMERS BRANCH collected $24,905,938 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $667 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 43.5% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.3% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: FARMERS BRANCH demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
FARMERS BRANCH
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop24,35327,50828,61635,99138,70841,28443,68745,89447,89349,68051,26152,644
PPA3.233.653.794.775.135.475.796.086.356.586.796.98
%BO40.3%45.6%47.4%59.6%64.1%68.4%72.4%76.0%79.3%82.3%84.9%87.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%35,991$8,312,570,760$6,937,463,80383.5%$0.5062$0.082814.1%$0.5890$40,861,662$1,135$17,047,297$47441.7%
20214.7%36,262$8,638,606,900$7,277,709,99184.2%$0.5272$0.061810.5%$0.5890$42,865,712$1,182$18,818,630$51943.9%
20228.0%36,534$10,001,049,260$8,357,426,82783.6%$0.5308$0.05829.9%$0.5890$49,225,244$1,347$24,696,141$67650.2%
20234.1%36,806$11,302,211,760$9,465,456,85183.7%$0.5204$0.04868.5%$0.5690$53,858,449$1,463$25,351,747$68947.1%
20243.2%37,077$12,122,906,660$10,030,869,23382.7%$0.4893$0.054210.0%$0.5435$54,517,774$1,470$24,356,818$65744.7%
2025*2.9%37,349$12,729,051,993$10,532,412,69582.7%$0.4893$0.054210.0%$0.5435$57,243,663$1,533$24,905,938$66743.5%
CAGR4.2%0.7%9.9%9.7%-0.2%-0.7%-8.1%-6.6%-1.6%7.5%6.7%9.3%8.5%0.8%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.2%10.1%8.5%7.5%8.3%8.3%7.2%9.5%7.7%7.4%8.4%8.8%$17,047,297
20217.4%9.9%7.2%5.8%7.6%8.6%8.0%9.4%7.7%8.3%11.3%8.7%$18,818,630
20226.9%8.8%7.1%6.9%9.7%8.2%8.3%9.2%7.6%10.5%8.9%8.1%$24,696,141
20239.8%10.7%7.8%7.4%8.7%7.1%8.9%8.4%7.6%8.1%7.3%8.3%$25,351,747
20248.3%9.5%8.4%8.1%8.4%7.1%8.1%9.1%8.5%8.8%6.9%8.9%$24,356,818
20258.3%9.5%7.4%7.5%8.6%7.4%8.4%9.0%8.9%8.3%8.1%8.6%$24,905,938
MEDIAN %8.3%9.7%7.6%7.5%8.6%7.8%8.2%9.2%7.8%8.3%8.3%8.7%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

FATE (City)

Pop 17,958 PPA 4.83 %BO 60.4% Levy $8,891,402 Levy CAGR +18.6% E-Factor 13.97%
267 6,758 13,249 19,739 26,230 32,721 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 297 497 6,357 17,958 24,945 28,179 29,278 29,611 29,708 29,747 29,747 29,747 +5.3% +29.0% +10.9% +3.3% +1.2% +0.4% +0.1% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: FATE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: FATE had a 2020 population of 17,958 across 5.8 square miles, yielding a density of 4.83 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 29,747, a gain of 11,789 (+65.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.63% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 60.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), FATE is moderately developed with room to grow. Projections show reaching theoretical capacity (100% build-out) before 2100, suggesting eventual need for annexation, densification, or growth boundary adjustments.
Property Tax Overview (2025): FATE levied $8,891,402 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,914,324,177. The taxable value of $3,429,729,521 reflects 12.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.2592 per $100 valuation consists of $0.1984 for Maintenance & Operations (76.5%) and $0.0608 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (23.5%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $414 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 18.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 21.1% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 13.97% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): FATE collected $3,926,409 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $183 falls below regional averages, indicating primarily residential character with retail leakage to neighboring communities. Sales tax represents 44.2% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 26.7% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: FATE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Long-term projections indicate eventual capacity constraints requiring proactive planning for annexation, vertical development, or managed growth boundaries. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
FATE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop2974976,35717,95824,94528,17929,27829,61129,70829,74729,74729,747
PPA0.080.131.714.836.717.587.877.967.998.008.008.00
%BO1.0%1.7%21.4%60.4%83.9%94.7%98.4%99.5%99.9%100.0%100.0%100.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%17,958$1,732,184,868$1,567,315,07790.5%$0.2300$0.043315.9%$0.2733$4,284,083$239$1,376,091$7732.1%
20214.7%18,656$1,979,952,969$1,789,029,62190.4%$0.2389$0.100929.7%$0.3399$6,080,411$326$1,786,755$9629.4%
20228.0%19,355$2,911,031,828$2,355,500,22280.9%$0.2171$0.076826.1%$0.2938$6,921,213$358$2,461,514$12735.6%
20234.1%20,054$3,456,817,721$2,828,237,00181.8%$0.2023$0.061923.4%$0.2642$7,472,485$373$2,894,669$14438.7%
20243.2%20,752$3,727,927,788$3,266,409,06887.6%$0.1984$0.060823.5%$0.2592$8,468,002$408$3,549,763$17141.9%
2025*2.9%21,451$3,914,324,177$3,429,729,52187.6%$0.1984$0.060823.5%$0.2592$8,891,402$414$3,926,409$18344.2%
CAGR4.2%3.6%21.1%20.2%-0.6%-2.9%7.0%8.2%-1.1%18.6%14.4%26.7%22.2%6.6%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.2%10.0%7.1%6.3%8.9%7.8%8.6%11.1%7.5%7.9%11.1%7.5%$1,376,091
20216.0%8.4%5.7%5.1%10.5%8.4%7.8%10.6%8.7%7.9%12.2%8.8%$1,786,755
20227.5%10.2%7.1%6.5%9.4%7.8%6.9%9.9%8.6%4.8%13.5%7.7%$2,461,514
20235.8%9.3%6.9%6.1%9.7%7.1%7.1%9.4%8.8%9.1%11.4%9.3%$2,894,669
20248.4%10.1%7.3%7.0%9.5%7.7%7.1%8.9%8.3%7.9%9.6%8.2%$3,549,763
20257.2%9.5%6.5%6.5%10.3%8.0%7.9%9.2%8.4%7.7%10.0%8.8%$3,926,409
MEDIAN %6.7%9.7%6.9%6.4%9.5%7.8%7.4%9.6%8.5%7.9%11.2%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

FAYETTE COUNTY (City)

Pop 24,435 PPA 0.04 %BO 0.5% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
18,085 20,934 23,783 26,632 29,482 32,331 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 20,095 21,804 24,554 24,435 25,005 25,590 26,188 26,799 27,425 28,066 28,721 29,392 +0.8% +1.2% -0.0% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: FAYETTE COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: FAYETTE COUNTY had a 2020 population of 24,435 across 949.9 square miles, yielding a density of 0.04 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 29,392, a gain of 4,957 (+20.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.23% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), FAYETTE COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: FAYETTE COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
FAYETTE COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop20,09521,80424,55424,43525,00525,59026,18826,79927,42528,06628,72129,392
PPA0.030.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.050.050.050.05
%BO0.4%0.4%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.1%9.2%8.4%7.4%9.0%7.8%7.7%9.0%7.6%8.1%9.2%8.5%$2,120,588
20217.1%9.7%6.2%5.6%9.9%8.0%7.3%9.3%8.3%8.6%9.1%10.8%$2,385,559
20227.0%8.9%7.0%6.8%10.8%8.1%8.0%9.4%8.1%8.5%8.0%9.6%$3,053,127
20237.9%9.9%9.2%7.1%9.9%8.0%8.3%8.0%7.3%7.9%7.7%8.7%$3,264,717
20248.1%9.0%7.1%6.5%9.2%8.4%8.7%8.3%8.0%8.8%8.1%9.7%$3,272,782
20258.3%9.7%6.8%10.2%9.9%7.9%7.0%7.8%8.0%6.6%7.8%10.0%$3,368,442
MEDIAN %8.0%9.5%7.1%7.0%9.9%8.0%7.8%8.7%8.0%8.3%8.1%9.7%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

FLORESVILLE (City)

Pop 7,203 PPA 1.96 %BO 24.6% Levy $3,267,031 Levy CAGR +12.7% E-Factor 4.58%
4,791 6,631 8,472 10,312 12,152 13,993 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 5,324 5,868 6,448 7,203 7,799 8,426 9,083 9,767 10,476 11,207 11,956 12,721 +1.0% +0.9% +1.1% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% Population Trend: FLORESVILLE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: FLORESVILLE had a 2020 population of 7,203 across 5.7 square miles, yielding a density of 1.96 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 12,721, a gain of 5,518 (+76.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.71% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 24.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), FLORESVILLE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 43.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): FLORESVILLE levied $3,267,031 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,024,830,089. The taxable value of $758,402,463 reflects 26.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4308 per $100 valuation consists of $0.1904 for Maintenance & Operations (44.2%) and $0.2403 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (55.8%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $436 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 12.7% CAGR lagged market value growth of 17.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.58% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): FLORESVILLE collected $5,235,084 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $698 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 160.2% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.0% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: FLORESVILLE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
FLORESVILLE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop5,3245,8686,4487,2037,7998,4269,0839,76710,47611,20711,95612,721
PPA1.451.601.761.962.132.302.482.662.863.063.263.47
%BO18.1%20.0%22.0%24.6%26.6%28.7%31.0%33.3%35.7%38.2%40.8%43.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%7,203$521,347,655$422,964,66181.1%$0.1667$0.288663.4%$0.4553$1,925,758$267$3,814,936$530198.1%
20214.7%7,262$658,147,304$504,424,78176.6%$0.1919$0.263457.9%$0.4553$2,296,646$316$4,243,932$584184.8%
20228.0%7,322$796,476,076$595,081,12174.7%$0.1907$0.240155.7%$0.4308$2,563,479$350$4,757,832$650185.6%
20234.1%7,381$845,589,867$661,206,88078.2%$0.2075$0.02239.7%$0.2298$1,519,533$206$4,910,859$665323.2%
20243.2%7,441$976,028,656$722,288,06074.0%$0.1904$0.240355.8%$0.4308$3,111,458$418$5,198,796$699167.1%
2025*2.9%7,501$1,024,830,089$758,402,46374.0%$0.1904$0.240355.8%$0.4308$3,267,031$436$5,235,084$698160.2%
CAGR4.2%0.8%17.0%14.3%-1.8%2.7%-3.6%-2.5%-1.1%12.7%11.8%8.0%7.2%-4.2%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.8%9.8%6.1%6.8%9.0%8.4%8.5%9.3%8.3%8.0%10.0%7.9%$3,814,936
20217.4%9.1%7.2%6.4%9.3%8.5%8.6%9.8%7.8%8.4%10.2%7.2%$4,243,932
20228.2%9.9%7.3%7.1%9.5%8.2%8.0%9.0%8.0%8.8%8.6%7.5%$4,757,832
20238.1%10.1%7.5%7.7%8.9%7.8%7.9%8.9%8.4%8.6%8.2%8.0%$4,910,859
20247.6%9.3%6.7%7.3%9.1%8.9%8.3%8.3%9.2%9.2%7.9%8.2%$5,198,796
20257.8%11.6%7.4%7.0%8.8%8.7%7.2%8.6%8.6%8.2%8.0%8.1%$5,235,084
MEDIAN %7.9%9.9%7.3%7.0%9.1%8.5%8.2%9.0%8.4%8.5%8.4%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

FLOWER MOUND (City)

Pop 75,956 PPA 2.87 %BO 35.8% Levy $68,777,023 Levy CAGR +4.2% E-Factor 0.34%
14,308 51,986 89,664 127,342 165,020 202,698 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 15,898 50,702 64,669 75,956 91,553 107,834 124,047 139,451 153,443 165,642 175,901 184,271 +12.3% +2.5% +1.6% +1.9% +1.7% +1.4% +1.2% +1.0% +0.8% +0.6% +0.5% Population Trend: FLOWER MOUND (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: FLOWER MOUND had a 2020 population of 75,956 across 41.4 square miles, yielding a density of 2.87 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 184,271, a gain of 108,315 (+142.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.11% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 35.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), FLOWER MOUND has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 87.0%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): FLOWER MOUND levied $68,777,023 in property taxes on a market value base of $23,171,371,788. The taxable value of $17,759,358,923 reflects 23.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3873 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3239 for Maintenance & Operations (83.6%) and $0.0634 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (16.4%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $821 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 4.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.1% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.34% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): FLOWER MOUND collected $28,697,021 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $343 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 41.7% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 10.5% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: FLOWER MOUND demonstrates substantial development capacity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
FLOWER MOUND
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop15,89850,70264,66975,95691,553107,834124,047139,451153,443165,642175,901184,271
PPA0.601.912.442.873.464.074.685.265.796.256.646.96
%BO7.5%23.9%30.5%35.8%43.2%50.9%58.5%65.8%72.4%78.2%83.0%87.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%75,956$14,505,416,521$12,720,230,94287.7%$0.3478$0.088720.3%$0.4365$55,523,808$731$19,125,037$25234.4%
20214.7%77,515$15,486,126,376$13,405,826,55086.6%$0.3506$0.054413.4%$0.4050$54,293,597$700$21,812,640$28140.2%
20228.0%79,075$18,730,498,260$14,674,232,97378.3%$0.3609$0.044110.9%$0.4050$59,430,644$752$26,644,620$33744.8%
20234.1%80,635$22,264,559,168$15,968,740,07771.7%$0.3483$0.039010.1%$0.3873$61,846,930$767$28,044,434$34845.3%
20243.2%82,194$22,067,973,131$16,913,675,16576.6%$0.3239$0.063416.4%$0.3873$65,501,927$797$28,467,470$34643.5%
2025*2.9%83,754$23,171,371,788$17,759,358,92376.6%$0.3239$0.063416.4%$0.3873$68,777,023$821$28,697,021$34341.7%
CAGR4.2%2.0%11.1%7.4%-2.7%-1.4%-6.5%-4.2%-2.4%4.2%2.2%10.5%8.3%3.9%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.2%11.6%7.2%7.2%8.6%7.1%7.6%9.6%7.9%7.1%9.3%8.5%$19,125,037
20217.6%10.1%6.9%5.9%9.4%8.0%8.2%9.8%8.0%7.9%10.0%8.3%$21,812,640
20227.2%9.3%6.2%6.4%9.5%8.3%8.0%9.4%8.9%8.7%9.5%8.5%$26,644,620
20237.8%10.4%7.0%7.9%8.7%7.6%8.0%9.1%8.4%7.9%9.2%8.0%$28,044,434
20248.5%9.8%7.3%7.2%9.2%8.2%8.1%8.6%8.5%7.8%8.5%8.2%$28,467,470
20258.0%11.7%8.2%6.4%9.1%8.1%7.7%8.9%8.1%7.8%7.9%8.1%$28,697,021
MEDIAN %7.9%10.2%7.1%6.8%9.2%8.0%8.0%9.2%8.2%7.8%9.3%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

FOREST HILL (City)

Pop 13,955 PPA 5.13 %BO 64.1% Levy $7,930,928 Levy CAGR +2.9% E-Factor 0.00%
10,373 12,118 13,862 15,607 17,352 19,097 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 11,526 12,949 12,355 13,955 14,443 14,915 15,371 15,808 16,226 16,625 17,003 17,361 +1.2% -0.5% +1.2% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: FOREST HILL (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: FOREST HILL had a 2020 population of 13,955 across 4.2 square miles, yielding a density of 5.13 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 17,361, a gain of 3,406 (+24.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.27% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 64.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), FOREST HILL is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 79.8%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): FOREST HILL levied $7,930,928 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,397,095,275. The taxable value of $1,095,289,906 reflects 21.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7241 per $100 valuation consists of $0.7241 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $559 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 2.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.2% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): FOREST HILL collected $4,104,254 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.75% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $289 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 51.7% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.8% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
FOREST HILL
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop11,52612,94912,35513,95514,44314,91515,37115,80816,22616,62517,00317,361
PPA4.244.764.545.135.315.485.655.815.976.116.256.38
%BO53.0%59.5%56.8%64.1%66.4%68.5%70.6%72.6%74.6%76.4%78.1%79.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%13,955$868,987,030$675,899,02977.8%$0.9212$0.07617.6%$0.9973$6,741,011$483$3,167,333$22747.0%
20214.7%14,003$883,519,851$711,523,62880.5%$0.8817$0.115611.6%$0.9973$7,096,324$507$3,620,080$25951.0%
20228.0%14,052$1,037,991,805$823,548,69979.3%$0.7818$0.101011.4%$0.8828$7,270,453$517$3,927,803$28054.0%
20234.1%14,101$1,253,008,349$973,539,55177.7%$0.7241N/AN/A$0.7241$7,049,341$500$4,153,171$29558.9%
20243.2%14,150$1,330,566,929$1,043,133,24478.4%$0.7241N/AN/A$0.7241$7,553,265$534$4,274,491$30256.6%
2025*2.9%14,199$1,397,095,275$1,095,289,90678.4%$0.7241N/AN/A$0.7241$7,930,928$559$4,104,254$28951.7%
CAGR4.2%0.3%11.2%11.5%0.2%-4.7%-6.2%2.9%2.5%7.8%7.4%2.0%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%10.2%7.0%6.7%8.5%6.9%8.1%10.5%8.0%8.4%9.7%8.5%$3,167,333
20218.1%8.8%6.7%5.9%10.5%8.0%8.0%9.4%8.0%8.2%9.3%9.1%$3,620,080
20227.3%8.7%7.1%6.9%9.7%7.8%7.9%9.4%8.0%8.7%10.2%8.3%$3,927,803
20237.4%8.8%7.1%7.2%10.0%8.1%8.2%9.0%7.9%8.3%10.1%8.1%$4,153,171
20249.7%10.7%7.3%7.8%9.2%7.5%7.6%8.4%8.4%7.8%8.1%7.5%$4,274,491
20257.4%9.7%6.9%6.6%9.5%8.0%8.0%9.8%7.8%8.1%9.0%9.1%$4,104,254
MEDIAN %7.5%9.3%7.1%6.8%9.7%7.9%8.0%9.5%8.0%8.3%9.5%8.5%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

FORNEY (City)

Pop 23,455 PPA 2.79 %BO 34.9% Levy $23,735,205 Levy CAGR +16.1% E-Factor 5.88%
3,723 17,373 31,024 44,675 58,325 71,976 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 4,137 5,588 14,661 23,455 31,860 40,525 48,355 54,626 59,175 62,243 64,211 65,433 +3.1% +10.1% +4.8% +3.1% +2.4% +1.8% +1.2% +0.8% +0.5% +0.3% +0.2% Population Trend: FORNEY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: FORNEY had a 2020 population of 23,455 across 13.1 square miles, yielding a density of 2.79 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 65,433, a gain of 41,978 (+179.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.29% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 34.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), FORNEY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 97.3%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): FORNEY levied $23,735,205 in property taxes on a market value base of $6,806,440,528. The taxable value of $5,857,073,698 reflects 13.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4052 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3285 for Maintenance & Operations (81.1%) and $0.0767 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (18.9%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $858 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 16.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 24.8% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 5.88% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): FORNEY collected $16,317,189 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $590 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 68.7% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 12.5% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: FORNEY demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
FORNEY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop4,1375,58814,66123,45531,86040,52548,35554,62659,17562,24364,21165,433
PPA0.490.661.742.793.794.825.756.507.047.407.647.78
%BO6.1%8.3%21.8%34.9%47.4%60.2%71.9%81.2%88.0%92.5%95.4%97.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%23,455$2,672,554,278$2,308,553,83286.4%$0.3782$0.160529.8%$0.5387$12,436,410$530$10,157,016$43381.7%
20214.7%24,295$3,178,932,813$2,736,284,28786.1%$0.3560$0.145128.9%$0.5011$13,710,672$564$13,186,702$54396.2%
20228.0%25,136$4,309,575,865$3,513,186,09781.5%$0.3112$0.123328.4%$0.4346$15,266,585$607$15,160,338$60399.3%
20234.1%25,976$6,089,264,340$5,050,216,89182.9%$0.2820$0.084623.1%$0.3665$18,510,711$713$16,263,781$62687.9%
20243.2%26,817$6,482,324,312$5,578,165,42786.1%$0.3285$0.076718.9%$0.4052$22,604,957$843$16,242,750$60671.9%
2025*2.9%27,657$6,806,440,528$5,857,073,69886.1%$0.3285$0.076718.9%$0.4052$23,735,205$858$16,317,189$59068.7%
CAGR4.2%3.4%24.8%24.7%-0.1%-2.8%-13.7%-8.7%-5.5%16.1%12.3%12.5%8.8%-3.4%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.9%9.4%6.7%4.5%8.7%8.2%9.0%11.2%8.7%8.4%10.1%8.3%$10,157,016
20216.5%9.3%6.2%5.6%9.9%8.1%7.6%10.9%8.0%9.1%10.4%8.5%$13,186,702
20228.2%9.8%7.4%6.3%8.3%8.5%8.2%10.7%7.8%7.8%8.9%8.0%$15,160,338
20237.6%9.4%7.2%6.7%9.5%8.2%8.0%8.6%8.3%9.9%7.9%8.6%$16,263,781
20248.7%0.0%16.6%7.8%9.4%8.1%7.6%9.1%8.8%8.5%8.2%7.1%$16,242,750
20257.8%11.7%7.2%6.7%8.9%8.2%8.4%10.0%7.7%7.0%8.6%7.9%$16,317,189
MEDIAN %7.7%9.4%7.2%6.5%9.1%8.2%8.1%10.4%8.1%8.4%8.7%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

FORT BEND COUNTY (City)

Pop 822,779 PPA 1.49 %BO 18.6% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
202,878 966,377 1,729,875 2,493,374 3,256,872 4,020,371 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 225,421 354,452 585,375 822,779 1,106,525 1,449,164 1,839,568 2,255,880 2,669,444 3,052,188 3,383,762 3,654,883 +4.6% +5.1% +3.5% +3.0% +2.7% +2.4% +2.1% +1.7% +1.3% +1.0% +0.8% Population Trend: FORT BEND COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: FORT BEND COUNTY had a 2020 population of 822,779 across 861.7 square miles, yielding a density of 1.49 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 3,654,883, a gain of 2,832,104 (+344.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.88% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 18.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), FORT BEND COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 82.8%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Strategic Outlook: FORT BEND COUNTY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
FORT BEND COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop225,421354,452585,375822,7791,106,5251,449,1641,839,5682,255,8802,669,4443,052,1883,383,7623,654,883
PPA0.410.641.061.492.012.633.344.094.845.536.146.63
%BO5.1%8.0%13.3%18.6%25.1%32.8%41.7%51.1%60.5%69.2%76.7%82.8%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

FORT STOCKTON (City)

Pop 8,466 PPA 2.64 %BO 32.9% Levy $1,845,454 Levy CAGR +0.8% E-Factor 0.00%
7,061 7,610 8,159 8,708 9,257 9,806 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 8,682 7,846 8,283 8,466 8,521 8,577 8,633 8,689 8,745 8,801 8,858 8,915 -1.0% +0.5% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: FORT STOCKTON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: FORT STOCKTON had a 2020 population of 8,466 across 5.0 square miles, yielding a density of 2.64 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 8,915, a gain of 449 (+5.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.06% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 32.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), FORT STOCKTON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 34.7%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): FORT STOCKTON levied $1,845,454 in property taxes on a market value base of $844,419,844. The taxable value of $596,076,884 reflects 29.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3096 per $100 valuation consists of $0.1483 for Maintenance & Operations (47.9%) and $0.1613 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (52.1%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $217 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 0.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.9% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): FORT STOCKTON collected $6,032,895 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $710 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 326.9% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 0.9% CAGR, reflecting stable retail environment.
Strategic Outlook: FORT STOCKTON demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
FORT STOCKTON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop8,6827,8468,2838,4668,5218,5778,6338,6898,7458,8018,8588,915
PPA2.702.442.582.642.652.672.692.702.722.742.762.77
%BO33.8%30.5%32.2%32.9%33.2%33.4%33.6%33.8%34.0%34.2%34.5%34.7%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%8,466$512,130,119$390,056,96776.2%$0.2082$0.228352.3%$0.4365$1,702,599$201$4,646,119$549272.9%
20214.7%8,471$549,026,151$410,259,42574.7%$0.1946$0.241955.4%$0.4365$1,790,782$211$4,052,130$478226.3%
20228.0%8,477$670,517,018$479,800,24871.6%$0.1533$0.201656.8%$0.3549$1,702,811$201$4,307,576$508253.0%
20234.1%8,482$775,022,166$533,326,09768.8%$0.1145$0.195163.0%$0.3096$1,651,178$195$4,968,717$586300.9%
20243.2%8,488$804,209,375$567,692,27070.6%$0.1483$0.161352.1%$0.3096$1,757,575$207$4,821,303$568274.3%
2025*2.9%8,493$844,419,844$596,076,88470.6%$0.1483$0.161352.1%$0.3096$1,845,454$217$6,032,895$710326.9%
CAGR4.2%0.1%11.9%9.8%-1.5%-6.6%-6.7%-0.1%-6.6%0.8%0.7%0.9%0.9%3.7%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20209.1%11.5%8.5%7.1%10.2%8.0%7.6%8.4%7.4%7.3%8.1%6.9%$4,646,119
20218.4%10.0%8.4%7.1%10.9%9.6%7.0%8.8%7.2%8.0%8.0%6.6%$4,052,130
20227.6%8.5%5.3%7.3%9.8%8.0%8.9%8.6%8.3%8.7%9.3%9.7%$4,307,576
20237.8%10.8%7.3%6.8%9.1%8.7%7.8%7.9%7.8%8.6%7.8%9.4%$4,968,717
20248.5%8.8%10.9%6.1%7.8%7.6%8.7%9.9%9.5%7.9%6.6%7.6%$4,821,303
20257.7%10.3%7.8%8.5%18.3%7.3%6.8%6.8%7.7%7.0%6.0%5.9%$6,032,895
MEDIAN %8.2%10.3%8.2%7.2%10.1%8.1%7.8%8.6%7.9%8.1%8.0%7.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

FORT WORTH (City)

Pop 918,915 PPA 4.23 %BO 52.8% Levy $863,701,342 Levy CAGR +7.5% E-Factor 2.50%
405,470 658,225 910,981 1,163,736 1,416,491 1,669,246 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 450,523 534,694 741,206 918,915 1,015,668 1,108,909 1,196,621 1,277,273 1,349,890 1,414,045 1,469,780 1,517,497 +1.7% +3.3% +2.2% +1.0% +0.9% +0.8% +0.7% +0.6% +0.5% +0.4% +0.3% Population Trend: FORT WORTH (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: FORT WORTH had a 2020 population of 918,915 across 339.8 square miles, yielding a density of 4.23 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 1,517,497, a gain of 598,582 (+65.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.63% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 52.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), FORT WORTH is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 87.2%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): FORT WORTH levied $863,701,342 in property taxes on a market value base of $178,143,557,466. The taxable value of $128,431,426,725 reflects 27.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6725 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5250 for Maintenance & Operations (78.1%) and $0.1475 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (21.9%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $893 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.3% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.50% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): FORT WORTH collected $249,285,577 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $258 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 28.9% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.6% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: FORT WORTH demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
FORT WORTH
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop450,523534,694741,206918,9151,015,6681,108,9091,196,6211,277,2731,349,8901,414,0451,469,7801,517,497
PPA2.072.463.414.234.675.105.505.876.216.506.766.98
%BO25.9%30.7%42.6%52.8%58.4%63.7%68.8%73.4%77.6%81.3%84.5%87.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%918,915$110,497,784,241$82,376,496,04274.6%$0.5950$0.152520.4%$0.7475$615,764,308$670$165,429,875$18026.9%
20214.7%928,590$117,956,068,133$88,506,581,29675.0%$0.5850$0.147520.1%$0.7325$648,310,708$698$189,968,733$20529.3%
20228.0%938,265$136,836,341,930$102,093,918,87874.6%$0.5650$0.147520.7%$0.7125$727,419,172$775$219,947,155$23430.2%
20234.1%947,940$164,130,159,963$116,882,970,42371.2%$0.5250$0.147521.9%$0.6725$786,037,976$829$231,940,150$24529.5%
20243.2%957,616$169,660,530,920$122,315,644,50072.1%$0.5250$0.147521.9%$0.6725$822,572,707$859$238,473,709$24929.0%
2025*2.9%967,291$178,143,557,466$128,431,426,72572.1%$0.5250$0.147521.9%$0.6725$863,701,342$893$249,285,577$25828.9%
CAGR4.2%1.0%11.3%10.4%-0.7%-2.5%-0.7%1.5%-2.1%7.5%6.4%9.6%8.4%1.4%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.7%11.0%8.1%7.1%8.7%7.0%7.6%9.6%7.9%7.9%9.1%8.3%$165,429,875
20217.3%9.5%6.8%6.1%9.8%8.1%7.4%9.8%8.5%8.2%9.9%8.5%$189,968,733
20227.5%9.7%7.2%6.6%9.3%7.8%8.0%9.6%8.0%8.6%9.4%8.4%$219,947,155
20237.9%10.3%7.5%7.5%9.3%7.7%8.3%9.1%7.9%8.1%8.7%7.7%$231,940,150
20248.1%11.3%5.5%7.3%9.3%7.9%8.0%9.4%8.5%8.1%8.7%8.0%$238,473,709
20257.5%10.8%7.6%6.7%9.1%8.1%7.8%9.0%7.8%8.0%9.2%8.6%$249,285,577
MEDIAN %7.5%10.5%7.3%6.9%9.2%7.8%7.8%9.5%7.9%8.1%9.1%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

FORT WORTH MTA (City)

Pop 925,978 PPA 4.25 %BO 53.1% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
407,412 660,663 913,915 1,167,166 1,420,418 1,673,669 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 452,680 542,244 748,042 925,978 1,022,511 1,115,422 1,202,726 1,282,930 1,355,092 1,418,812 1,474,150 1,521,518 +1.8% +3.3% +2.2% +1.0% +0.9% +0.8% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% +0.3% Population Trend: FORT WORTH MTA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: FORT WORTH MTA had a 2020 population of 925,978 across 340.3 square miles, yielding a density of 4.25 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 1,521,518, a gain of 595,540 (+64.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.62% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 53.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), FORT WORTH MTA is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 87.3%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Strategic Outlook: Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
FORT WORTH MTA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop452,680542,244748,042925,9781,022,5111,115,4221,202,7261,282,9301,355,0921,418,8121,474,1501,521,518
PPA2.082.493.434.254.695.125.525.896.226.516.776.99
%BO26.0%31.1%42.9%53.1%58.7%64.0%69.0%73.6%77.8%81.4%84.6%87.3%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.9%10.8%8.3%7.3%8.5%7.1%7.7%9.4%8.0%8.0%8.8%8.4%$81,114,828
20217.5%9.4%6.9%6.1%9.5%8.2%7.5%9.6%8.6%8.4%9.8%8.7%$92,749,151
20227.6%9.6%7.2%6.6%9.6%7.9%8.1%9.4%8.1%8.6%9.0%8.5%$108,179,752
20238.1%10.2%7.6%7.7%9.1%7.9%8.5%8.9%6.3%9.3%8.3%7.9%$112,002,245
20248.3%11.3%5.6%7.5%9.0%8.1%8.1%9.2%8.3%8.2%8.4%8.1%$114,944,345
20257.5%10.6%7.6%6.8%8.5%8.1%7.8%9.1%7.8%8.0%9.5%8.7%$121,552,862
MEDIAN %7.7%10.3%7.4%7.0%9.0%8.0%7.9%9.2%8.0%8.2%8.8%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

FRANKLIN (County)

Pop 1,614 PPA 2.68 %BO 33.5% Levy $8,231,319 Levy CAGR +4.7% E-Factor 0.00%
1,191 1,398 1,605 1,811 2,018 2,225 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 1,324 1,470 1,564 1,614 1,662 1,712 1,763 1,813 1,865 1,917 1,970 2,023 +1.1% +0.6% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: FRANKLIN (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: FRANKLIN had a 2020 population of 1,614 across 0.9 square miles, yielding a density of 2.68 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 2,023, a gain of 409 (+25.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.28% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 33.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), FRANKLIN has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 42.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): FRANKLIN levied $8,231,319 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,745,249,754. The taxable value of $2,333,471,803 reflects 37.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3523 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3196 for Maintenance & Operations (94.7%) and $0.0187 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (5.3%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $5,025 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 4.7% CAGR lagged market value growth of 16.9% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments.
Strategic Outlook: FRANKLIN demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
FRANKLIN
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop1,3241,4701,5641,6141,6621,7121,7631,8131,8651,9171,9702,023
PPA2.202.442.602.682.762.852.933.023.103.193.273.36
%BO27.5%30.5%32.5%33.5%34.6%35.6%36.6%37.7%38.8%39.8%40.9%42.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%1,614$1,910,721,168~EstN/A$0.4892$0.01102.2%$0.5002$6,524,979$4,043
20214.7%1,618$2,106,093,235~EstN/A$0.4690$0.01272.6%$0.4817$6,645,863$4,107
20228.0%1,623$2,668,510,688~EstN/A$0.3932$0.00691.7%$0.4001$6,827,851$4,207
20234.1%1,628$3,120,988,695~EstN/A$0.3695$0.01393.6%$0.3834$7,526,811$4,623
20243.2%1,633$3,566,904,528$2,222,354,09862.3%$0.3196$0.01875.3%$0.3523$7,839,351$4,801
2025~2.9%1,638$3,745,249,754$2,333,471,80362.3%$0.3196$0.01875.3%$0.3523$8,231,319$5,025
CAGR4.2%0.3%16.9%-8.2%11.2%19.3%-6.8%4.7%4.4%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

FRANKLIN COUNTY (City)

Pop 10,359 PPA 0.06 %BO 0.7% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
7,021 8,372 9,722 11,072 12,422 13,773 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 7,802 9,458 10,605 10,359 10,607 10,862 11,122 11,389 11,662 11,941 12,228 12,521 +1.9% +1.2% -0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: FRANKLIN COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: FRANKLIN COUNTY had a 2020 population of 10,359 across 284.4 square miles, yielding a density of 0.06 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 12,521, a gain of 2,162 (+20.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.24% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), FRANKLIN COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: FRANKLIN COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
FRANKLIN COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop7,8029,45810,60510,35910,60710,86211,12211,38911,66211,94112,22812,521
PPA0.040.050.060.060.060.060.060.060.060.070.070.07
%BO0.5%0.6%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.9%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%9.5%7.2%5.7%8.2%7.7%8.8%11.0%7.9%8.2%9.5%8.7%$551,352
20218.0%8.8%8.0%10.0%9.4%8.1%7.9%8.6%7.3%7.8%8.5%7.6%$635,432
20228.4%10.2%7.2%7.3%9.4%8.2%8.1%9.1%8.2%7.9%8.6%7.2%$694,579
20237.8%9.4%8.3%7.0%8.7%7.6%7.7%8.4%9.0%8.1%9.6%8.6%$700,918
20249.7%9.8%8.6%7.5%8.7%7.3%7.3%8.2%8.5%7.2%8.9%8.5%$729,203
20257.1%10.1%6.8%6.9%8.3%7.7%7.4%11.4%8.3%8.0%10.1%8.0%$762,821
MEDIAN %8.0%9.7%7.7%7.2%8.8%7.8%7.8%9.0%8.4%8.1%9.3%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

FREDERICKSBURG (City)

Pop 10,875 PPA 1.98 %BO 24.8% Levy $8,718,250 Levy CAGR +12.3% E-Factor 5.98%
6,770 8,924 11,078 13,231 15,385 17,539 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 7,523 8,911 10,530 10,875 11,446 12,036 12,645 13,272 13,917 14,578 15,254 15,945 +1.7% +1.7% +0.3% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% Population Trend: FREDERICKSBURG (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: FREDERICKSBURG had a 2020 population of 10,875 across 8.6 square miles, yielding a density of 1.98 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 15,945, a gain of 5,070 (+46.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.48% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 24.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), FREDERICKSBURG has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 36.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): FREDERICKSBURG levied $8,718,250 in property taxes on a market value base of $4,894,454,139. The taxable value of $4,246,052,956 reflects 13.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.2053 per $100 valuation consists of $0.1813 for Maintenance & Operations (88.3%) and $0.0241 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (11.7%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $781 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 12.3% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.4% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 5.98% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): FREDERICKSBURG collected $9,282,741 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $832 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 106.5% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 10.7% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: FREDERICKSBURG demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
FREDERICKSBURG
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop7,5238,91110,53010,87511,44612,03612,64513,27213,91714,57815,25415,945
PPA1.371.621.921.982.082.192.302.422.532.652.782.90
%BO17.1%20.3%24.0%24.8%26.1%27.4%28.8%30.2%31.7%33.2%34.7%36.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%10,875$2,720,720,503$2,366,256,01087.0%$0.1846$0.036216.4%$0.2208$5,224,102$480$6,200,529$570118.7%
20214.7%10,932$3,129,966,067$2,686,261,41685.8%$0.1680$0.027814.2%$0.1958$5,260,318$481$7,871,869$720149.6%
20228.0%10,989$3,761,530,849$3,187,521,46484.7%$0.1700$0.025913.2%$0.1958$6,241,900$568$8,608,171$783137.9%
20234.1%11,046$4,608,882,188$3,851,626,32583.6%$0.1526$0.01267.6%$0.1652$6,362,116$576$8,914,085$807140.1%
20243.2%11,103$4,661,384,894$4,043,859,95886.8%$0.1813$0.024111.7%$0.2053$8,303,095$748$9,319,851$839112.2%
2025*2.9%11,160$4,894,454,139$4,246,052,95686.8%$0.1813$0.024111.7%$0.2053$8,718,250$781$9,282,741$832106.5%
CAGR4.2%0.5%14.4%14.3%-0.1%-0.4%-7.8%-6.5%-1.4%12.3%11.7%10.7%10.2%-2.1%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.1%10.7%6.6%6.9%7.9%6.2%8.4%9.9%8.4%8.0%9.8%9.1%$6,200,529
20217.4%9.5%6.5%5.6%9.6%8.5%8.5%10.2%8.4%7.9%9.8%8.3%$7,871,869
20228.8%10.1%7.1%6.2%9.9%7.8%8.1%8.8%7.7%8.0%8.5%8.7%$8,608,171
20238.8%11.2%7.1%7.1%9.2%8.0%8.3%7.9%8.2%7.6%8.3%8.4%$8,914,085
20248.6%9.9%7.1%7.5%9.7%8.4%7.9%8.2%8.1%7.5%8.4%8.8%$9,319,851
20258.3%11.1%7.1%7.1%9.2%8.3%7.9%8.7%8.1%7.4%8.0%8.8%$9,282,741
MEDIAN %8.4%10.4%7.0%6.9%9.4%8.1%8.2%8.7%8.1%7.7%8.4%8.7%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

FREEPORT (City)

Pop 10,696 PPA 1.12 %BO 14.0% Levy $4,439,774 Levy CAGR +6.4% E-Factor 2.16%
9,626 10,496 11,367 12,237 13,108 13,978 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 11,673 12,708 12,049 10,696 10,713 10,731 10,749 10,767 10,785 10,803 10,821 10,839 +0.9% -0.5% -1.2% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: FREEPORT (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: FREEPORT had a 2020 population of 10,696 across 14.9 square miles, yielding a density of 1.12 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 10,839, a gain of 143 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 14.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), FREEPORT has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 14.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): FREEPORT levied $4,439,774 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,346,283,736. The taxable value of $862,147,339 reflects 36.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5150 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4504 for Maintenance & Operations (87.5%) and $0.0646 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (12.5%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $415 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.4% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.9% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.16% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): FREEPORT collected $4,114,521 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $384 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 92.7% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.0% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: FREEPORT demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
FREEPORT
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop11,67312,70812,04910,69610,71310,73110,74910,76710,78510,80310,82110,839
PPA1.221.331.261.121.121.121.121.131.131.131.131.13
%BO15.3%16.6%15.7%14.0%14.0%14.0%14.0%14.1%14.1%14.1%14.1%14.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%10,696$817,124,931$536,013,88865.6%$0.5175$0.098316.0%$0.6159$3,301,090$309$2,960,712$27789.7%
20214.7%10,697$927,759,299$636,791,11368.6%$0.4967$0.103317.2%$0.6000$3,820,747$357$3,647,620$34195.5%
20228.0%10,699$969,104,830$652,916,37767.4%$0.5230$0.077012.8%$0.6000$3,917,498$366$3,556,911$33290.8%
20234.1%10,701$1,243,193,443$819,128,21065.9%$0.4683$0.064712.1%$0.5330$4,365,953$408$3,704,316$34684.8%
20243.2%10,702$1,282,174,987$821,092,70464.0%$0.4504$0.064612.5%$0.5150$4,228,356$395$4,022,765$37695.1%
2025*2.9%10,704$1,346,283,736$862,147,33964.0%$0.4504$0.064612.5%$0.5150$4,439,774$415$4,114,521$38492.7%
CAGR4.2%0.0%11.9%11.3%-0.5%-2.7%-8.1%-4.7%-3.5%6.4%6.4%8.0%7.9%0.7%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.6%8.5%8.0%7.3%10.6%9.2%5.9%10.2%7.3%10.1%8.4%6.9%$2,960,712
20214.3%21.4%5.8%6.7%7.4%10.1%7.9%6.6%8.1%7.4%6.9%7.4%$3,647,620
20227.3%11.2%8.1%7.9%8.5%8.3%7.8%9.0%5.7%8.1%10.0%8.0%$3,556,911
20236.7%9.9%13.0%7.4%9.6%4.7%9.3%8.7%7.9%7.3%8.0%7.6%$3,704,316
20247.3%13.9%6.5%7.4%8.4%7.9%6.9%6.7%9.5%8.5%8.9%8.2%$4,022,765
20256.4%9.7%8.8%8.1%7.6%8.2%7.4%8.3%8.0%9.9%9.8%7.8%$4,114,521
MEDIAN %7.1%10.7%8.2%7.6%8.6%8.4%7.7%8.6%8.1%8.5%8.8%7.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

FREESTONE COUNTY (City)

Pop 19,435 PPA 0.03 %BO 0.4% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
14,236 16,241 18,247 20,252 22,258 24,263 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 15,818 17,867 19,816 19,435 19,745 20,060 20,380 20,705 21,035 21,371 21,712 22,058 +1.2% +1.0% -0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: FREESTONE COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: FREESTONE COUNTY had a 2020 population of 19,435 across 877.7 square miles, yielding a density of 0.03 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 22,058, a gain of 2,623 (+13.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.16% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), FREESTONE COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: FREESTONE COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
FREESTONE COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop15,81817,86719,81619,43519,74520,06020,38020,70521,03521,37121,71222,058
PPA0.030.030.040.030.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.04
%BO0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

FRIENDSWOOD (City)

Pop 41,213 PPA 3.10 %BO 38.8% Levy $32,099,310 Levy CAGR +11.8% E-Factor 4.62%
20,625 32,878 45,132 57,385 69,639 81,892 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 22,917 29,037 35,805 41,213 45,397 49,683 54,016 58,337 62,592 66,725 70,690 74,448 +2.4% +2.1% +1.4% +1.0% +0.9% +0.8% +0.8% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% +0.5% Population Trend: FRIENDSWOOD (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: FRIENDSWOOD had a 2020 population of 41,213 across 20.7 square miles, yielding a density of 3.10 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 74,448, a gain of 33,235 (+80.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.74% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 38.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), FRIENDSWOOD has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 70.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): FRIENDSWOOD levied $32,099,310 in property taxes on a market value base of $8,530,295,450. The taxable value of $6,242,913,014 reflects 26.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5142 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4041 for Maintenance & Operations (78.6%) and $0.1100 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (21.4%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $741 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 11.8% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 11.3% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.62% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): FRIENDSWOOD collected $14,834,601 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $343 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 46.2% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.4% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: FRIENDSWOOD demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
FRIENDSWOOD
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop22,91729,03735,80541,21345,39749,68354,01658,33762,59266,72570,69074,448
PPA1.732.192.703.103.423.744.074.404.725.035.335.61
%BO21.6%27.3%33.7%38.8%42.8%46.8%50.9%54.9%58.9%62.8%66.6%70.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%41,213$5,300,124,258$4,015,697,85075.8%$0.3922$0.095219.5%$0.4873$19,569,058$475$9,426,926$22948.2%
20214.7%41,631$6,194,119,452$4,477,775,04772.3%$0.3851$0.102221.0%$0.4873$21,820,825$524$10,742,594$25849.2%
20228.0%42,049$6,869,814,735$4,951,506,81372.1%$0.3886$0.098820.3%$0.4873$24,129,385$574$12,017,875$28649.8%
20234.1%42,468$7,736,105,646$5,541,935,97671.6%$0.3795$0.121324.2%$0.5007$27,750,025$653$12,752,828$30046.0%
20243.2%42,886$8,124,090,905$5,945,631,44273.2%$0.4041$0.110021.4%$0.5142$30,570,771$713$13,524,063$31544.2%
2025*2.9%43,305$8,530,295,450$6,242,913,01473.2%$0.4041$0.110021.4%$0.5142$32,099,310$741$14,834,601$34346.2%
CAGR4.2%1.0%11.3%10.3%-0.7%0.6%2.9%1.8%1.1%11.8%10.7%9.4%8.4%-0.8%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.1%11.6%6.9%6.4%9.2%7.3%7.4%10.5%7.7%7.1%10.2%8.5%$9,426,926
20217.2%10.8%6.8%6.2%10.1%7.6%8.0%10.1%7.6%7.9%10.8%7.0%$10,742,594
20227.9%10.5%6.6%6.4%9.5%7.2%7.3%9.9%7.7%8.3%10.7%8.2%$12,017,875
20237.9%11.7%7.5%6.5%9.1%6.8%7.4%9.2%8.6%7.9%10.0%7.4%$12,752,828
20247.5%10.5%6.9%6.9%8.6%7.4%7.0%9.9%8.5%9.5%8.7%8.5%$13,524,063
20257.1%11.6%6.8%6.8%8.6%7.5%7.8%9.9%7.8%7.8%9.6%8.6%$14,834,601
MEDIAN %7.4%11.2%6.9%6.4%9.1%7.4%7.5%10.0%7.8%7.9%10.1%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

FRIO COUNTY (City)

Pop 18,385 PPA 0.03 %BO 0.3% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
12,124 17,400 22,677 27,953 33,229 38,505 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 13,472 16,252 17,217 18,385 19,927 21,600 23,411 25,374 27,501 29,805 32,301 35,005 +1.9% +0.6% +0.7% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% Population Trend: FRIO COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: FRIO COUNTY had a 2020 population of 18,385 across 1133.5 square miles, yielding a density of 0.03 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 35,005, a gain of 16,620 (+90.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.81% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), FRIO COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: FRIO COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
FRIO COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop13,47216,25217,21718,38519,92721,60023,41125,37427,50129,80532,30135,005
PPA0.020.020.020.030.030.030.030.030.040.040.040.05
%BO0.2%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.5%0.5%0.6%0.6%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
202011.0%11.6%9.6%8.7%9.0%9.9%7.2%7.8%6.4%6.1%6.5%6.3%$1,577,436
20217.9%7.6%9.3%7.4%8.7%7.7%7.2%11.1%7.3%10.4%8.7%6.5%$1,455,667
20226.6%3.8%5.8%8.3%7.9%7.0%6.8%11.1%9.3%10.4%11.2%11.8%$1,795,137
20239.1%10.0%7.3%7.0%6.9%7.9%7.2%10.7%7.2%14.0%6.8%5.8%$2,415,061
202411.7%8.4%6.2%6.1%7.8%8.5%7.3%15.7%6.7%7.1%7.3%7.3%$2,330,081
20256.9%10.0%5.9%7.0%8.5%8.2%7.5%9.9%8.0%9.8%9.3%9.0%$2,076,887
MEDIAN %8.7%9.4%6.8%7.3%8.3%8.2%7.4%11.1%7.4%10.3%8.1%7.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

FRISCO (City)

Pop 200,509 PPA 4.53 %BO 56.7% Levy $234,468,855 Levy CAGR +10.4% E-Factor 3.01%
5,923 82,507 159,092 235,676 312,260 388,844 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 6,582 33,714 116,989 200,509 263,692 307,136 331,481 343,564 349,198 351,748 352,886 353,495 +17.7% +13.2% +5.5% +2.8% +1.5% +0.8% +0.4% +0.2% +0.1% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: FRISCO (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: FRISCO had a 2020 population of 200,509 across 69.1 square miles, yielding a density of 4.53 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 353,495, a gain of 152,986 (+76.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.71% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 56.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), FRISCO is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 99.9%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): FRISCO levied $234,468,855 in property taxes on a market value base of $75,386,747,923. The taxable value of $55,102,112,404 reflects 26.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4255 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2834 for Maintenance & Operations (66.6%) and $0.1421 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (33.4%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,010 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 10.4% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.1% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.01% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): FRISCO collected $142,358,157 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $613 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 60.7% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 11.7% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: FRISCO demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
FRISCO
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop6,58233,714116,989200,509263,692307,136331,481343,564349,198351,748352,886353,495
PPA0.150.762.654.535.966.957.507.777.907.957.987.99
%BO1.9%9.5%33.1%56.7%74.5%86.8%93.7%97.1%98.7%99.4%99.7%99.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%200,509$42,373,452,042$33,718,518,50579.6%$0.2990$0.147633.1%$0.4466$150,586,904$751$90,690,028$45260.2%
20214.7%206,827$45,685,637,412$36,640,961,86780.2%$0.2952$0.151433.9%$0.4466$163,638,536$791$111,487,858$53968.1%
20228.0%213,145$57,318,842,620$42,207,688,36573.6%$0.2909$0.155734.9%$0.4466$188,499,536$884$138,161,603$64873.3%
20234.1%219,463$68,766,042,871$47,845,474,56969.6%$0.2893$0.142933.1%$0.4322$206,790,534$942$136,588,801$62266.1%
20243.2%225,782$71,796,902,784$52,478,202,29073.1%$0.2834$0.142133.4%$0.4255$223,303,671$989$141,158,631$62563.2%
2025*2.9%232,100$75,386,747,923$55,102,112,40473.1%$0.2834$0.142133.4%$0.4255$234,468,855$1,010$142,358,157$61360.7%
CAGR4.2%3.0%14.1%11.7%-1.7%-1.1%-0.8%0.2%-1.0%10.4%7.1%11.7%8.4%0.2%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.1%11.2%8.2%7.2%7.9%6.6%7.2%9.7%7.6%8.0%9.5%8.8%$90,690,028
20217.5%9.8%7.0%5.8%9.2%8.0%8.2%9.7%8.5%8.1%9.7%8.6%$111,487,858
20227.7%8.9%6.9%6.9%9.2%8.1%8.5%9.6%8.4%8.5%9.1%8.3%$138,161,603
20238.5%10.3%7.4%6.9%9.1%7.7%8.3%8.9%8.1%8.2%8.9%7.7%$136,588,801
20248.3%9.9%7.2%7.4%8.8%8.0%8.2%8.7%8.4%8.1%8.7%8.4%$141,158,631
20257.7%10.7%7.3%6.8%9.1%8.3%7.8%9.0%8.3%8.1%8.6%8.2%$142,358,157
MEDIAN %7.9%10.0%7.2%6.8%9.1%7.9%8.2%9.2%8.3%8.1%8.9%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

FULSHEAR (City)

Pop 16,856 PPA 3.26 %BO 40.7% Levy $7,973,573 Levy CAGR +14.2% E-Factor 0.94%
507 9,518 18,529 27,540 36,552 45,563 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 564 716 1,134 16,856 35,978 40,829 41,364 41,421 41,421 41,421 41,421 41,421 +2.4% +4.7% +31.0% +7.9% +1.3% +0.1% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: FULSHEAR (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: FULSHEAR had a 2020 population of 16,856 across 8.1 square miles, yielding a density of 3.26 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 41,421, a gain of 24,565 (+145.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.13% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 40.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), FULSHEAR has substantial development capacity remaining. Projections show reaching theoretical capacity (100% build-out) before 2100, suggesting eventual need for annexation, densification, or growth boundary adjustments.
Property Tax Overview (2025): FULSHEAR levied $7,973,573 in property taxes on a market value base of $6,766,141,863. The taxable value of $4,926,337,966 reflects 27.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.1619 per $100 valuation consists of $0.1216 for Maintenance & Operations (75.1%) and $0.0403 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (24.9%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $302 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 14.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 23.2% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.94% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): FULSHEAR collected $9,092,921 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $344 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 114.0% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 17.3% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: FULSHEAR demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Long-term projections indicate eventual capacity constraints requiring proactive planning for annexation, vertical development, or managed growth boundaries. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
FULSHEAR
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop5647161,13416,85635,97840,82941,36441,42141,42141,42141,42141,421
PPA0.110.140.223.266.957.897.998.008.008.008.008.00
%BO1.4%1.7%2.7%40.7%86.9%98.6%99.9%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%16,856$2,795,077,981$2,156,039,45177.1%$0.1528$0.054326.2%$0.2071$4,464,511$265$4,187,006$24893.8%
20214.7%18,768$3,250,789,955$2,460,204,83875.7%$0.1526$0.050424.8%$0.2031$4,995,471$266$5,254,215$280105.2%
20228.0%20,680$4,495,925,479$3,188,897,52370.9%$0.1385$0.042123.3%$0.1806$5,758,256$278$6,363,627$308110.5%
20234.1%22,592$5,539,890,067$4,004,117,96772.3%$0.1272$0.041624.6%$0.1688$6,757,630$299$7,286,518$323107.8%
20243.2%24,504$6,443,944,631$4,691,750,44472.8%$0.1216$0.040324.9%$0.1619$7,593,879$310$7,924,067$323104.3%
2025*2.9%26,417$6,766,141,863$4,926,337,96672.8%$0.1216$0.040324.9%$0.1619$7,973,573$302$9,092,921$344114.0%
CAGR4.2%9.4%23.2%21.5%-1.1%-4.5%-5.8%-1.0%-4.8%14.2%4.0%17.3%6.8%4.0%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.2%11.6%6.2%5.8%10.2%6.7%7.1%11.4%7.5%7.3%12.3%7.5%$4,187,006
20216.9%11.4%6.3%5.4%10.7%6.9%5.9%11.7%7.5%7.3%13.4%6.7%$5,254,215
20225.9%11.0%6.0%5.5%10.7%7.1%7.7%11.7%7.6%7.9%11.4%7.6%$6,363,627
20236.6%10.7%6.0%6.5%10.0%6.8%8.6%10.7%7.5%7.7%10.9%7.7%$7,286,518
20247.4%10.7%6.6%6.4%9.2%7.2%7.7%10.1%7.9%7.4%11.3%8.0%$7,924,067
20257.0%12.2%8.3%6.0%9.1%6.9%7.5%9.5%7.9%7.6%10.0%8.1%$9,092,921
MEDIAN %6.8%11.2%6.2%5.9%10.1%6.9%7.6%11.1%7.6%7.5%11.4%7.7%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

GAINES COUNTY (City)

Pop 21,598 PPA 0.02 %BO 0.3% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
12,710 30,368 48,027 65,685 83,343 101,002 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 14,123 14,467 17,526 21,598 25,895 31,045 37,214 44,602 53,447 64,030 76,689 91,820 +0.2% +1.9% +2.1% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% Population Trend: GAINES COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: GAINES COUNTY had a 2020 population of 21,598 across 1502.4 square miles, yielding a density of 0.02 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 91,820, a gain of 70,222 (+325.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.83% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), GAINES COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 1.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: GAINES COUNTY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
GAINES COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop14,12314,46717,52621,59825,89531,04537,21444,60253,44764,03076,68991,820
PPA0.010.020.020.020.030.030.040.050.060.070.080.10
%BO0.2%0.2%0.2%0.3%0.3%0.4%0.5%0.6%0.7%0.8%1.0%1.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

GAINESVILLE (City)

Pop 17,394 PPA 1.43 %BO 17.9% Levy $11,252,811 Levy CAGR +5.1% E-Factor 0.12%
13,158 16,546 19,934 23,321 26,709 30,097 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 14,621 15,538 16,002 17,394 18,465 19,586 20,757 21,979 23,251 24,573 25,943 27,361 +0.6% +0.3% +0.8% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% Population Trend: GAINESVILLE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: GAINESVILLE had a 2020 population of 17,394 across 19.0 square miles, yielding a density of 1.43 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 27,361, a gain of 9,967 (+57.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.57% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 17.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), GAINESVILLE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 28.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): GAINESVILLE levied $11,252,811 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,683,648,728. The taxable value of $2,100,580,930 reflects 21.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5357 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4007 for Maintenance & Operations (74.8%) and $0.1350 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (25.2%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $628 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 12.6% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.12% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): GAINESVILLE collected $9,630,697 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $537 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 85.6% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.4% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: GAINESVILLE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
GAINESVILLE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop14,62115,53816,00217,39418,46519,58620,75721,97923,25124,57325,94327,361
PPA1.201.281.321.431.521.611.711.811.912.022.132.25
%BO15.0%16.0%16.4%17.9%19.0%20.1%21.3%22.6%23.9%25.2%26.7%28.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%17,394$1,587,904,198$1,277,942,11780.5%$0.4952$0.192328.0%$0.6875$8,785,852$505$7,429,528$42784.6%
20214.7%17,501$1,693,920,438$1,379,681,53381.4%$0.4974$0.174726.0%$0.6721$9,272,840$530$7,441,397$42580.2%
20228.0%17,608$2,060,063,310$1,577,677,61676.6%$0.4666$0.157325.2%$0.6239$9,843,131$559$8,995,059$51191.4%
20234.1%17,715$2,282,722,870$1,776,914,44577.8%$0.4297$0.146325.4%$0.5760$10,235,027$578$10,048,541$56798.2%
20243.2%17,822$2,555,855,931$2,000,553,26778.3%$0.4007$0.135025.2%$0.5357$10,716,963$601$9,512,797$53488.8%
2025*2.9%17,929$2,683,648,728$2,100,580,93078.3%$0.4007$0.135025.2%$0.5357$11,252,811$628$9,630,697$53785.6%
CAGR4.2%0.6%12.6%11.9%-0.6%-4.1%-6.8%-2.1%-4.9%5.1%4.5%6.4%5.7%0.2%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.4%9.8%7.6%6.8%8.7%8.2%7.6%10.1%8.9%7.4%9.1%7.5%$7,429,528
20216.9%9.2%6.7%5.7%9.6%8.5%7.7%9.3%8.9%7.8%10.6%9.2%$7,441,397
20227.1%9.6%8.1%6.3%8.8%8.6%7.6%6.3%7.8%9.2%9.7%10.9%$8,995,059
20237.5%11.4%6.9%6.8%8.4%8.2%8.3%9.3%7.7%8.3%8.9%8.2%$10,048,541
20248.6%10.7%8.0%8.0%8.7%7.9%7.3%9.3%8.0%7.1%8.3%8.1%$9,512,797
20257.5%10.3%7.6%6.9%9.2%8.6%7.9%8.7%8.8%7.8%8.0%8.8%$9,630,697
MEDIAN %7.6%10.1%7.6%6.9%8.8%8.4%7.7%9.3%8.4%7.8%9.0%8.6%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

GALENA PARK (City)

Pop 10,740 PPA 3.45 %BO 43.2% Levy $9,736,766 Levy CAGR +6.3% E-Factor 6.73%
9,082 9,661 10,239 10,818 11,397 11,975 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 10,092 10,592 10,887 10,740 10,757 10,775 10,793 10,811 10,829 10,847 10,865 10,884 +0.5% +0.3% -0.1% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: GALENA PARK (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: GALENA PARK had a 2020 population of 10,740 across 4.9 square miles, yielding a density of 3.45 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 10,884, a gain of 144 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 43.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), GALENA PARK has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 43.7%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): GALENA PARK levied $9,736,766 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,490,618,706. The taxable value of $1,065,070,275 reflects 28.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.9142 per $100 valuation consists of $0.8774 for Maintenance & Operations (96.0%) and $0.0368 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (4.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $906 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.3% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 4.9% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 6.73% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): GALENA PARK collected $1,490,188 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $139 falls below regional averages, indicating primarily residential character with retail leakage to neighboring communities. Sales tax represents 15.3% of property tax levy, offering modest supplemental revenue. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 17.2% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: GALENA PARK demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
GALENA PARK
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop10,09210,59210,88710,74010,75710,77510,79310,81110,82910,84710,86510,884
PPA3.243.413.503.453.463.463.473.483.483.493.493.50
%BO40.6%42.6%43.8%43.2%43.2%43.3%43.4%43.5%43.5%43.6%43.7%43.7%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%10,740$1,171,327,306$752,632,68064.3%$0.8504$0.113911.8%$0.9643$7,257,336$676$826,516$7711.4%
20214.7%10,741$1,145,512,887$729,287,54063.7%$0.9239$0.07677.7%$1.0006$7,297,032$679$907,945$8512.4%
20228.0%10,743$1,413,957,236$910,750,96064.4%$0.7957$0.04134.9%$0.8370$7,623,441$710$1,397,676$13018.3%
20234.1%10,745$1,401,221,230$1,018,998,88872.7%$0.8297$0.03393.9%$0.8636$8,800,380$819$1,449,588$13516.5%
20243.2%10,746$1,419,636,863$1,014,352,64371.5%$0.8774$0.03684.0%$0.9142$9,273,110$863$1,557,925$14516.8%
2025*2.9%10,748$1,490,618,706$1,065,070,27571.5%$0.8774$0.03684.0%$0.9142$9,736,766$906$1,490,188$13915.3%
CAGR4.2%0.0%4.9%7.7%2.1%0.6%-20.2%-19.4%-1.1%6.3%6.3%17.2%17.2%6.1%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.5%8.2%7.8%6.9%9.1%9.1%9.3%8.8%8.3%7.6%8.7%7.8%$826,516
20218.5%8.9%5.0%6.0%8.7%7.9%8.3%10.6%9.2%10.3%8.8%7.7%$907,945
20227.8%10.0%6.0%5.4%11.3%6.9%6.5%7.0%7.7%14.8%8.2%8.3%$1,397,676
20237.0%8.4%6.6%9.4%9.1%7.2%13.0%7.3%7.0%9.3%6.8%8.8%$1,449,588
20247.6%7.6%8.7%18.9%7.5%6.8%6.7%4.9%6.8%8.2%6.8%9.6%$1,557,925
20259.2%11.0%9.2%9.0%8.9%6.8%7.2%6.2%7.9%6.9%9.3%8.4%$1,490,188
MEDIAN %8.5%9.0%7.5%8.2%9.3%7.3%8.0%7.5%8.1%9.1%8.8%8.7%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

GALVESTON (City)

Pop 53,695 PPA 2.04 %BO 25.4% Levy $55,482,527 Levy CAGR +6.2% E-Factor 1.57%
42,968 50,567 58,166 65,765 73,364 80,963 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 59,862 57,247 47,743 53,695 55,980 58,328 60,735 63,200 65,722 68,298 70,926 73,603 -0.4% -1.8% +1.2% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% Population Trend: GALVESTON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: GALVESTON had a 2020 population of 53,695 across 41.2 square miles, yielding a density of 2.04 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 73,603, a gain of 19,908 (+37.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.39% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 25.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), GALVESTON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 34.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): GALVESTON levied $55,482,527 in property taxes on a market value base of $20,325,394,003. The taxable value of $13,570,387,154 reflects 33.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4088 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3686 for Maintenance & Operations (90.2%) and $0.0402 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (9.8%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,012 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 15.7% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.57% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): GALVESTON collected $31,540,868 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $575 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 56.8% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.8% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: GALVESTON demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
GALVESTON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop59,86257,24747,74353,69555,98058,32860,73563,20065,72268,29870,92673,603
PPA2.272.171.812.042.122.212.302.402.492.592.692.79
%BO28.4%27.1%22.6%25.4%26.5%27.6%28.8%29.9%31.1%32.4%33.6%34.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%53,695$10,786,288,129$7,412,479,61268.7%$0.5075$0.05259.4%$0.5600$41,509,886$773$21,788,196$40652.5%
20214.7%53,923$13,336,180,284$8,865,885,92666.5%$0.4460$0.052510.5%$0.4985$44,196,441$820$25,182,302$46757.0%
20228.0%54,152$15,322,796,686$10,336,519,80867.5%$0.3920$0.052511.8%$0.4445$45,945,831$848$29,979,007$55465.2%
20234.1%54,380$17,506,252,242$11,990,236,09068.5%$0.3658$0.043110.5%$0.4088$49,022,080$901$31,056,615$57163.4%
20243.2%54,609$19,357,518,098$12,924,178,24266.8%$0.3686$0.04029.8%$0.4088$52,840,502$968$29,389,358$53855.6%
2025*2.9%54,837$20,325,394,003$13,570,387,15466.8%$0.3686$0.04029.8%$0.4088$55,482,527$1,012$31,540,868$57556.8%
CAGR4.2%0.4%15.7%14.9%-0.6%-6.2%-5.2%1.0%-6.1%6.2%5.8%7.8%7.3%1.6%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.0%9.8%7.3%6.9%8.3%6.4%8.7%11.2%8.7%8.3%9.4%7.9%$21,788,196
20216.5%7.9%6.0%5.3%10.1%8.2%8.0%11.0%10.6%8.6%9.6%8.2%$25,182,302
20227.1%9.0%6.7%6.3%9.4%7.6%8.2%10.8%10.3%8.4%8.8%7.3%$29,979,007
20236.5%9.6%7.1%7.1%9.1%7.3%8.2%10.2%10.4%8.9%8.6%7.1%$31,056,615
20247.5%8.5%6.6%7.3%8.9%7.8%8.5%10.8%9.0%8.6%8.6%7.9%$29,389,358
20257.4%9.7%6.2%6.3%9.4%7.8%8.7%10.7%9.8%8.5%8.2%7.4%$31,540,868
MEDIAN %7.0%9.2%6.6%6.6%9.2%7.7%8.3%10.8%10.0%8.5%8.6%7.6%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

GALVESTON (County)

Pop 53,695 PPA 2.04 %BO 25.4% Levy $186,979,275 Levy CAGR +3.0% E-Factor 0.00%
42,968 50,567 58,166 65,765 73,364 80,963 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 59,862 57,247 47,743 53,695 55,980 58,328 60,735 63,200 65,722 68,298 70,926 73,603 -0.4% -1.8% +1.2% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% Population Trend: GALVESTON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: GALVESTON had a 2020 population of 53,695 across 41.2 square miles, yielding a density of 2.04 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 73,603, a gain of 19,908 (+37.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.39% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 25.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), GALVESTON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 34.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): GALVESTON levied $186,979,275 in property taxes on a market value base of $80,487,695,581. The taxable value of $55,917,466,233 reflects 30.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3335 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2800 for Maintenance & Operations (84.0%) and $0.0534 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (16.0%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $3,410 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 3.0% CAGR lagged market value growth of 13.2% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Strategic Outlook: GALVESTON demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
GALVESTON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop59,86257,24747,74353,69555,98058,32860,73563,20065,72268,29870,92673,603
PPA2.272.171.812.042.122.212.302.402.492.592.692.79
%BO28.4%27.1%22.6%25.4%26.5%27.6%28.8%29.9%31.1%32.4%33.6%34.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%53,695$46,645,264,094~EstN/A$0.3862$0.078917.0%$0.4651$158,404,779$2,950
20214.7%53,923$54,596,745,386~EstN/A$0.3426$0.072317.4%$0.4149$160,443,310$2,975
20228.0%54,152$62,092,272,921~EstN/A$0.3097$0.057915.7%$0.3676$163,174,900$3,013
20234.1%54,380$70,588,217,304~EstN/A$0.2946$0.047313.8%$0.3419$170,149,475$3,129
20243.2%54,609$76,654,948,172$53,254,729,74669.5%$0.2800$0.053416.0%$0.3335$178,075,500$3,261
2025~2.9%54,837$80,487,695,581$55,917,466,23369.5%$0.2800$0.053416.0%$0.3335$186,979,275$3,410
CAGR4.2%0.4%13.2%-6.2%-7.5%-1.1%-6.4%3.0%2.5%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

GALVESTON COUNTY (City)

Pop 350,682 PPA 1.45 %BO 18.1% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
195,659 358,586 521,514 684,441 847,369 1,010,297 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 217,399 250,158 291,309 350,682 403,913 462,890 527,542 597,595 672,551 751,676 834,021 918,452 +1.4% +1.5% +1.9% +1.4% +1.4% +1.3% +1.3% +1.2% +1.1% +1.0% +1.0% Population Trend: GALVESTON COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: GALVESTON COUNTY had a 2020 population of 350,682 across 379.0 square miles, yielding a density of 1.45 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 918,452, a gain of 567,770 (+161.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.21% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 18.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), GALVESTON COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 47.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: GALVESTON COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
GALVESTON COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop217,399250,158291,309350,682403,913462,890527,542597,595672,551751,676834,021918,452
PPA0.901.031.201.451.671.912.172.462.773.103.443.79
%BO11.2%12.9%15.0%18.1%20.8%23.9%27.2%30.8%34.7%38.7%43.0%47.3%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

GARLAND (City)

Pop 246,018 PPA 6.73 %BO 84.2% Levy $194,251,171 Levy CAGR +8.4% E-Factor 4.77%
163,443 189,640 215,837 242,033 268,230 294,427 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 181,604 215,768 226,876 246,018 249,393 252,562 255,532 258,309 260,902 263,319 265,569 267,661 +1.7% +0.5% +0.8% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: GARLAND (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: GARLAND had a 2020 population of 246,018 across 57.1 square miles, yielding a density of 6.73 persons per acre (PPA). This high density suggests an urbanized area with limited greenfield expansion potential. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 267,661, a gain of 21,643 (+8.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.11% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 84.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), GARLAND is approaching full build-out. By 2100, build-out is projected at 91.6%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): GARLAND levied $194,251,171 in property taxes on a market value base of $35,438,244,728. The taxable value of $28,162,710,961 reflects 20.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6897 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2904 for Maintenance & Operations (42.1%) and $0.3993 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (57.9%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $784 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.4% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.77% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): GARLAND collected $53,928,143 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $218 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 27.8% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 11.4% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: GARLAND demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
GARLAND
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop181,604215,768226,876246,018249,393252,562255,532258,309260,902263,319265,569267,661
PPA4.975.916.216.736.836.916.997.077.147.217.277.33
%BO62.1%73.8%77.6%84.2%85.3%86.4%87.4%88.4%89.3%90.1%90.9%91.6%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%246,018$21,665,562,953$17,420,826,55780.4%$0.3940$0.375648.8%$0.7696$134,070,682$545$28,873,040$11721.5%
20214.7%246,355$22,663,224,182$18,523,781,18981.7%$0.3814$0.375649.6%$0.7570$140,218,540$569$34,546,673$14024.6%
20228.0%246,693$27,420,026,846$21,629,581,43078.9%$0.3411$0.375652.4%$0.7167$155,017,480$628$39,730,492$16125.6%
20234.1%247,030$30,209,855,288$24,107,949,10579.8%$0.3141$0.375654.5%$0.6897$166,283,615$673$47,257,688$19128.4%
20243.2%247,368$33,750,709,265$26,821,629,48779.5%$0.2904$0.399357.9%$0.6897$185,001,115$748$44,528,164$18024.1%
2025*2.9%247,705$35,438,244,728$28,162,710,96179.5%$0.2904$0.399357.9%$0.6897$194,251,171$784$53,928,143$21827.8%
CAGR4.2%0.1%11.7%11.4%-0.2%-5.9%1.2%3.5%-2.2%8.4%8.2%11.4%11.3%5.2%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.9%11.0%7.8%7.1%8.5%6.7%7.8%9.4%8.2%8.0%9.4%8.1%$28,873,040
20217.0%9.1%6.6%5.9%9.5%8.2%7.9%9.7%8.3%8.2%11.3%8.3%$34,546,673
20227.6%9.4%6.8%6.3%9.5%8.1%8.0%9.8%8.3%8.7%9.1%8.2%$39,730,492
20236.8%10.5%6.4%6.0%8.2%7.0%7.6%9.7%8.3%9.6%12.6%7.3%$47,257,688
20247.6%12.1%7.1%7.0%9.9%8.0%7.7%8.6%8.4%7.9%8.0%7.8%$44,528,164
20256.1%8.6%5.7%5.5%7.6%6.6%6.3%8.8%6.9%15.2%14.0%8.7%$53,928,143
MEDIAN %7.4%10.0%6.8%6.2%9.1%7.6%7.8%9.6%8.4%8.6%10.4%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

GATESVILLE (City)

Pop 16,135 PPA 2.83 %BO 35.4% Levy $4,102,656 Levy CAGR +10.2% E-Factor 3.10%
10,769 13,213 15,658 18,102 20,546 22,991 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 11,966 15,591 15,751 16,135 16,706 17,286 17,874 18,469 19,070 19,676 20,287 20,901 +2.7% +0.1% +0.2% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: GATESVILLE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: GATESVILLE had a 2020 population of 16,135 across 8.9 square miles, yielding a density of 2.83 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 20,901, a gain of 4,766 (+29.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.32% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 35.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), GATESVILLE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 45.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): GATESVILLE levied $4,102,656 in property taxes on a market value base of $932,848,475. The taxable value of $727,706,433 reflects 22.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5638 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5107 for Maintenance & Operations (90.6%) and $0.0530 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (9.4%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $250 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 10.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.2% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.10% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): GATESVILLE collected $3,290,137 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $200 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 80.2% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.7% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: GATESVILLE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
GATESVILLE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop11,96615,59115,75116,13516,70617,28617,87418,46919,07019,67620,28720,901
PPA2.102.742.772.832.933.033.143.243.353.453.563.67
%BO26.3%34.2%34.6%35.4%36.7%37.9%39.2%40.5%41.8%43.2%44.5%45.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%16,135$580,436,885$473,227,94781.5%$0.3955$0.164529.4%$0.5600$2,650,077$164$2,347,777$14688.6%
20214.7%16,192$621,868,446$502,269,44580.8%$0.5210$0.03907.0%$0.5600$2,812,709$174$2,590,843$16092.1%
20228.0%16,249$774,602,059$580,151,83274.9%$0.5256$0.03446.1%$0.5600$3,248,850$200$2,708,693$16783.4%
20234.1%16,306$873,755,093$656,505,02575.1%$0.5104$0.04968.9%$0.5600$3,676,428$225$2,942,447$18080.0%
20243.2%16,363$888,427,119$693,053,74678.0%$0.5107$0.05309.4%$0.5638$3,907,291$239$3,044,114$18677.9%
2025*2.9%16,420$932,848,475$727,706,43378.0%$0.5107$0.05309.4%$0.5638$4,102,656$250$3,290,137$20080.2%
CAGR4.2%0.4%11.2%10.0%-0.9%5.2%-20.3%-20.4%0.1%10.2%9.8%6.7%6.3%-2.0%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.6%9.7%6.6%7.1%8.7%7.9%8.9%9.1%8.8%8.5%8.7%8.4%$2,347,777
20217.6%9.1%7.1%6.5%10.3%8.7%7.8%10.2%8.4%7.6%9.1%7.6%$2,590,843
20228.1%9.6%7.0%6.8%9.1%7.9%8.1%9.0%8.1%8.6%9.0%8.6%$2,708,693
20237.9%10.2%7.6%7.9%9.0%7.7%8.0%9.3%7.9%8.1%8.5%7.8%$2,942,447
20247.8%9.3%7.2%7.3%9.2%7.8%8.2%8.6%9.8%8.0%9.0%7.9%$3,044,114
20257.7%10.3%6.9%6.8%9.1%7.8%8.0%8.9%8.4%8.6%8.9%8.5%$3,290,137
MEDIAN %7.8%9.7%7.1%7.0%9.2%7.9%8.1%9.1%8.5%8.3%9.0%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

GEORGETOWN (City)

Pop 67,176 PPA 2.19 %BO 27.4% Levy $71,500,600 Levy CAGR +14.6% E-Factor 5.46%
14,609 60,503 106,397 152,291 198,186 244,080 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 16,233 28,339 47,400 67,176 88,392 112,135 136,742 160,288 181,146 198,391 211,852 221,891 +5.7% +5.3% +3.5% +2.8% +2.4% +2.0% +1.6% +1.2% +0.9% +0.7% +0.5% Population Trend: GEORGETOWN (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: GEORGETOWN had a 2020 population of 67,176 across 47.9 square miles, yielding a density of 2.19 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 221,891, a gain of 154,715 (+230.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.50% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 27.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), GEORGETOWN has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 90.6%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): GEORGETOWN levied $71,500,600 in property taxes on a market value base of $23,412,710,486. The taxable value of $19,605,319,712 reflects 16.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3647 per $100 valuation consists of $0.1251 for Maintenance & Operations (34.3%) and $0.2396 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (65.7%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $919 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 14.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 18.3% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 5.46% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): GEORGETOWN collected $54,376,548 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $699 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 76.1% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 12.4% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: GEORGETOWN demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
GEORGETOWN
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop16,23328,33947,40067,17688,392112,135136,742160,288181,146198,391211,852221,891
PPA0.530.931.552.192.893.664.465.235.916.486.927.24
%BO6.6%11.6%19.3%27.4%36.1%45.8%55.8%65.4%73.9%81.0%86.5%90.6%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%67,176$11,395,306,769$9,446,330,10782.9%$0.1932$0.224853.8%$0.4180$39,485,660$588$32,917,649$49083.4%
20214.7%69,297$13,558,698,996$11,086,430,55981.8%$0.1613$0.239759.8%$0.4010$44,456,587$642$41,767,835$60394.0%
20228.0%71,419$19,297,650,245$14,343,920,52774.3%$0.1322$0.241864.7%$0.3740$53,646,263$751$49,256,048$69091.8%
20234.1%73,540$20,884,836,897$17,034,254,55281.6%$0.1327$0.241364.5%$0.3740$63,708,112$866$49,316,733$67177.4%
20243.2%75,662$22,297,819,510$18,671,733,05983.7%$0.1251$0.239665.7%$0.3647$68,095,810$900$52,467,389$69377.0%
2025*2.9%77,784$23,412,710,486$19,605,319,71283.7%$0.1251$0.239665.7%$0.3647$71,500,600$919$54,376,548$69976.1%
CAGR4.2%3.0%18.3%18.6%0.2%-8.3%1.3%4.1%-2.7%14.6%11.2%12.4%9.1%-1.8%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.0%9.8%6.8%6.6%7.9%7.2%7.9%9.7%8.5%8.3%10.1%9.3%$32,917,649
20217.2%9.3%6.6%5.5%9.7%8.4%8.4%9.8%8.4%8.3%9.5%8.8%$41,767,835
20227.5%9.6%7.7%6.7%9.3%8.2%8.2%9.0%8.4%8.0%9.3%8.1%$49,256,048
20238.4%9.8%7.6%6.6%9.2%7.6%8.1%9.1%8.2%8.7%8.6%8.1%$49,316,733
20248.1%9.5%7.1%7.5%8.8%8.3%8.2%8.7%8.1%8.1%9.3%8.3%$52,467,389
20258.0%11.4%7.1%6.9%9.1%8.2%8.1%8.6%7.9%7.9%8.7%8.1%$54,376,548
MEDIAN %8.0%9.7%7.1%6.7%9.2%8.2%8.1%9.0%8.3%8.2%9.3%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

GILLESPIE COUNTY (City)

Pop 26,725 PPA 0.04 %BO 0.5% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
15,483 25,679 35,876 46,072 56,268 66,465 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 17,204 20,814 24,837 26,725 29,601 32,785 36,309 40,209 44,525 49,300 54,582 60,423 +1.9% +1.8% +0.7% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% Population Trend: GILLESPIE COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: GILLESPIE COUNTY had a 2020 population of 26,725 across 1058.2 square miles, yielding a density of 0.04 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 60,423, a gain of 33,698 (+126.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.02% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), GILLESPIE COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 1.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: GILLESPIE COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
GILLESPIE COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop17,20420,81424,83726,72529,60132,78536,30940,20944,52549,30054,58260,423
PPA0.030.030.040.040.040.050.050.060.070.070.080.09
%BO0.3%0.4%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.6%0.7%0.7%0.8%0.9%1.0%1.1%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.6%10.1%7.0%6.6%7.8%8.9%8.4%9.1%7.6%7.6%10.0%9.3%$3,080,830
20217.5%9.2%6.8%5.9%9.1%8.8%8.9%9.6%8.1%7.5%9.8%8.6%$3,789,118
20228.8%9.9%7.2%6.8%9.5%8.4%8.6%8.4%7.4%7.6%8.8%8.6%$4,221,654
20238.9%9.9%7.7%7.6%8.8%7.4%8.5%7.8%9.9%7.2%8.1%8.2%$4,586,602
20249.0%9.3%7.5%7.9%9.4%8.7%8.1%7.9%7.8%7.2%8.2%9.0%$4,596,526
20258.4%10.5%7.5%7.8%8.6%8.7%8.0%8.3%7.7%7.3%7.9%9.2%$4,622,969
MEDIAN %8.6%9.9%7.4%7.2%9.0%8.7%8.4%8.3%7.7%7.4%8.5%8.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

GLENN HEIGHTS (City)

Pop 15,819 PPA 3.42 %BO 42.8% Levy $10,778,993 Levy CAGR +8.8% E-Factor 2.91%
4,080 10,890 17,700 24,509 31,319 38,129 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 4,534 7,224 11,278 15,819 19,248 22,632 25,752 28,452 30,664 32,395 33,702 34,663 +4.8% +4.6% +3.4% +2.0% +1.6% +1.3% +1.0% +0.8% +0.6% +0.4% +0.3% Population Trend: GLENN HEIGHTS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: GLENN HEIGHTS had a 2020 population of 15,819 across 7.2 square miles, yielding a density of 3.42 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 34,663, a gain of 18,844 (+119.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.99% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 42.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), GLENN HEIGHTS has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 93.8%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): GLENN HEIGHTS levied $10,778,993 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,307,626,290. The taxable value of $1,907,735,823 reflects 17.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5650 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4875 for Maintenance & Operations (86.3%) and $0.0775 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (13.7%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $615 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 19.6% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.91% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): GLENN HEIGHTS collected $1,299,101 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $74 falls below regional averages, indicating primarily residential character with retail leakage to neighboring communities. Sales tax represents 12.1% of property tax levy, offering modest supplemental revenue. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 11.2% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: GLENN HEIGHTS demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
GLENN HEIGHTS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop4,5347,22411,27815,81919,24822,63225,75228,45230,66432,39533,70234,663
PPA0.981.562.443.424.174.905.576.166.647.017.297.50
%BO12.3%19.5%30.5%42.8%52.1%61.2%69.7%77.0%83.0%87.6%91.2%93.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%15,819$1,072,775,665$909,049,23684.7%$0.6411$0.163320.3%$0.8044$7,312,665$462$833,751$5311.4%
20214.7%16,161$1,255,767,807$1,079,179,20885.9%$0.6365$0.132617.2%$0.7691$8,300,464$514$955,171$5911.5%
20228.0%16,504$1,773,693,575$1,426,660,86180.4%$0.5326$0.099615.7%$0.6322$9,019,564$547$1,017,525$6211.3%
20234.1%16,847$2,063,265,004$1,680,353,23681.4%$0.4817$0.083014.7%$0.5647$9,489,442$563$1,145,465$6812.1%
20243.2%17,190$2,197,739,324$1,816,891,26082.7%$0.4875$0.077513.7%$0.5650$10,265,708$597$1,273,117$7412.4%
2025*2.9%17,533$2,307,626,290$1,907,735,82382.7%$0.4875$0.077513.7%$0.5650$10,778,993$615$1,299,101$7412.1%
CAGR4.2%2.1%19.6%18.9%-0.5%-5.3%-13.8%-7.5%-6.8%8.8%6.6%11.2%8.9%1.1%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.2%8.7%6.8%6.1%8.5%8.5%9.1%9.9%8.8%8.6%9.3%8.3%$833,751
20217.3%10.3%7.5%7.2%10.9%5.9%8.3%9.2%8.3%7.5%9.1%8.4%$955,171
20228.2%9.9%6.9%7.0%10.6%4.3%6.7%10.5%9.5%8.1%10.1%8.0%$1,017,525
20237.2%10.4%7.4%6.7%9.3%7.6%8.1%9.0%8.1%8.4%9.5%8.4%$1,145,465
20247.8%9.6%6.9%7.0%11.7%7.7%8.1%8.3%8.4%8.1%8.9%7.5%$1,273,117
20257.6%10.6%6.8%6.7%9.7%7.5%7.8%9.0%8.6%8.1%9.0%8.6%$1,299,101
MEDIAN %7.4%10.1%6.9%6.8%10.1%7.5%8.0%9.0%8.5%8.1%9.2%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

GOLIAD (County)

Pop 1,620 PPA 1.61 %BO 20.2% Levy $10,944,427 Levy CAGR +26.6% E-Factor 21.61%
1,458 1,605 1,753 1,900 2,048 2,195 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 1,996 1,975 1,908 1,620 1,622 1,625 1,628 1,630 1,633 1,636 1,639 1,641 -0.1% -0.3% -1.6% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: GOLIAD (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: GOLIAD had a 2020 population of 1,620 across 1.6 square miles, yielding a density of 1.61 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 1,641, a gain of 21 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 20.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), GOLIAD has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 20.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): GOLIAD levied $10,944,427 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,979,879,450. The taxable value of $1,513,449,730 reflects 62.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7779 per $100 valuation consists of $0.7779 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $6,752 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 26.6% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 6.3% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 21.61% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: GOLIAD demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
GOLIAD
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop1,9961,9751,9081,6201,6221,6251,6281,6301,6331,6361,6391,641
PPA1.991.971.901.611.611.621.621.621.631.631.631.63
%BO24.8%24.6%23.7%20.2%20.2%20.2%20.3%20.3%20.3%20.4%20.4%20.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%1,620$2,972,241,522~EstN/A$0.3694N/AN/A$0.3694$4,056,902$2,504
20214.7%1,620$2,567,842,106~EstN/A$0.7918N/AN/A$0.7918$7,871,791$4,859
20228.0%1,620$3,324,536,725~EstN/A$0.7918N/AN/A$0.7918$9,025,822$5,571
20234.1%1,620$3,495,340,741~EstN/A$0.7779N/AN/A$0.7779$9,911,174$6,118
20243.2%1,620$3,790,361,381$1,441,380,69538.0%$0.7779N/AN/A$0.7779$10,423,264$6,434
2025~2.9%1,621$3,979,879,450$1,513,449,73038.0%$0.7779N/AN/A$0.7779$10,944,427$6,752
CAGR4.2%0.0%6.3%16.1%16.1%26.6%26.6%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

GOLIAD COUNTY (City)

Pop 7,012 PPA 0.01 %BO 0.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
5,382 5,905 6,429 6,953 7,477 8,001 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 5,980 6,928 7,210 7,012 7,044 7,076 7,109 7,141 7,174 7,207 7,240 7,274 +1.5% +0.4% -0.3% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: GOLIAD COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: GOLIAD COUNTY had a 2020 population of 7,012 across 852.0 square miles, yielding a density of 0.01 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 7,274, a gain of 262 (+3.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.05% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), GOLIAD COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: GOLIAD COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
GOLIAD COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop5,9806,9287,2107,0127,0447,0767,1097,1417,1747,2077,2407,274
PPA0.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.01
%BO0.1%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

GONZALES (City)

Pop 7,165 PPA 1.84 %BO 23.0% Levy $2,213,708 Levy CAGR +3.2% E-Factor 0.00%
6,030 6,429 6,828 7,227 7,625 8,024 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 6,701 7,202 7,237 7,165 7,181 7,197 7,213 7,230 7,246 7,262 7,279 7,295 +0.7% +0.0% -0.1% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: GONZALES (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: GONZALES had a 2020 population of 7,165 across 6.1 square miles, yielding a density of 1.84 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 7,295, a gain of 130 (+1.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 23.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), GONZALES has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 23.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): GONZALES levied $2,213,708 in property taxes on a market value base of $969,081,488. The taxable value of $746,361,508 reflects 23.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.2966 per $100 valuation consists of $0.1643 for Maintenance & Operations (55.4%) and $0.1323 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (44.6%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $309 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 3.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.0% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): GONZALES collected $3,295,726 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $459 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 148.9% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 4.8% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: GONZALES demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
GONZALES
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop6,7017,2027,2377,1657,1817,1977,2137,2307,2467,2627,2797,295
PPA1.721.851.861.841.851.851.851.861.861.871.871.87
%BO21.5%23.1%23.2%23.0%23.1%23.1%23.2%23.2%23.3%23.3%23.4%23.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%7,165$631,107,995$530,221,06584.0%$0.1901$0.161045.9%$0.3511$1,861,606$260$2,622,955$366140.9%
20214.7%7,166$737,381,070$601,513,71081.6%$0.1736$0.151646.6%$0.3252$1,956,123$273$2,533,836$354129.5%
20228.0%7,168$801,823,420$642,878,15080.2%$0.1692$0.142545.7%$0.3117$2,003,851$280$3,245,156$453161.9%
20234.1%7,169$881,583,590$688,061,55078.0%$0.1635$0.130344.3%$0.2938$2,021,525$282$3,181,478$444157.4%
20243.2%7,171$922,934,750$710,820,48477.0%$0.1643$0.132344.6%$0.2966$2,108,293$294$3,168,394$442150.3%
2025*2.9%7,173$969,081,488$746,361,50877.0%$0.1643$0.132344.6%$0.2966$2,213,708$309$3,295,726$459148.9%
CAGR4.2%0.0%10.0%7.6%-1.7%-2.9%-3.9%-0.6%-3.3%3.2%3.1%4.8%4.8%1.1%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20209.2%9.7%9.0%8.1%8.9%8.3%7.9%9.1%7.6%7.3%7.4%7.3%$2,622,955
20217.7%8.9%7.3%6.7%9.2%8.7%8.5%8.9%8.2%7.9%9.7%8.3%$2,533,836
20228.0%8.8%7.0%7.1%8.5%8.0%8.3%9.0%7.8%8.8%8.8%9.8%$3,245,156
20238.3%9.4%7.7%7.7%8.9%7.8%8.6%9.4%7.6%8.3%8.2%8.1%$3,181,478
20248.6%8.0%6.5%7.9%9.1%8.4%8.4%8.2%8.6%8.8%8.9%8.6%$3,168,394
20257.9%9.6%8.2%7.4%8.6%9.4%8.2%8.6%8.6%7.8%7.9%7.9%$3,295,726
MEDIAN %8.2%9.2%7.5%7.6%8.9%8.4%8.4%9.0%8.1%8.1%8.5%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

GONZALES (County)

Pop 7,165 PPA 1.84 %BO 23.0% Levy $15,684,026 Levy CAGR +1.3% E-Factor 0.00%
6,030 6,429 6,828 7,227 7,625 8,024 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 6,701 7,202 7,237 7,165 7,181 7,197 7,213 7,230 7,246 7,262 7,279 7,295 +0.7% +0.0% -0.1% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: GONZALES (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: GONZALES had a 2020 population of 7,165 across 6.1 square miles, yielding a density of 1.84 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 7,295, a gain of 130 (+1.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 23.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), GONZALES has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 23.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): GONZALES levied $15,684,026 in property taxes on a market value base of $12,749,565,090. The taxable value of $7,739,237,712 reflects 39.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.2032 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2032 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $2,187 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 1.3% CAGR lagged market value growth of 16.2% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Strategic Outlook: GONZALES demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
GONZALES
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop6,7017,2027,2377,1657,1817,1977,2137,2307,2467,2627,2797,295
PPA1.721.851.861.841.851.851.851.861.861.871.871.87
%BO21.5%23.1%23.2%23.0%23.1%23.1%23.2%23.2%23.3%23.3%23.4%23.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%7,165$6,659,537,771~EstN/A$0.3839N/AN/A$0.3839$14,170,009$1,978
20214.7%7,166$6,601,758,652~EstN/A$0.4391N/AN/A$0.4391$14,609,133$2,039
20228.0%7,168$8,398,890,368~EstN/A$0.3071N/AN/A$0.3071$14,420,300$2,012
20234.1%7,169$10,177,166,558~EstN/A$0.2420N/AN/A$0.2420$14,783,652$2,062
20243.2%7,171$12,142,442,943$7,370,702,58360.7%$0.2032N/AN/A$0.2032$14,937,168$2,083
2025~2.9%7,173$12,749,565,090$7,739,237,71260.7%$0.2032N/AN/A$0.2032$15,684,026$2,187
CAGR4.2%0.0%16.2%-11.9%-11.9%1.3%1.3%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

GONZALES COUNTY (City)

Pop 19,653 PPA 0.03 %BO 0.4% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
15,484 17,186 18,888 20,590 22,292 23,994 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 17,205 18,628 19,807 19,653 19,910 20,172 20,436 20,705 20,976 21,252 21,530 21,813 +0.8% +0.6% -0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: GONZALES COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: GONZALES COUNTY had a 2020 population of 19,653 across 1066.7 square miles, yielding a density of 0.03 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 21,813, a gain of 2,160 (+11.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.13% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), GONZALES COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: GONZALES COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
GONZALES COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop17,20518,62819,80719,65319,91020,17220,43620,70520,97621,25221,53021,813
PPA0.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.03
%BO0.3%0.3%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20209.2%8.9%14.5%9.5%10.1%8.6%8.2%7.0%5.3%5.7%6.5%6.4%$2,076,634
20219.6%6.9%7.9%6.1%9.5%9.1%7.9%9.4%9.2%7.6%8.8%8.0%$1,842,225
20228.0%8.7%7.8%7.0%8.4%7.6%7.4%8.4%8.4%9.6%9.1%9.6%$2,336,960
20237.5%10.5%7.0%7.2%8.2%8.4%9.2%9.4%7.9%8.6%8.0%8.2%$2,621,679
20247.3%19.5%7.6%7.6%8.1%8.4%7.8%7.0%7.2%6.6%5.9%7.0%$2,864,929
20256.2%9.9%19.8%7.1%7.2%7.8%7.2%7.4%6.7%6.7%7.4%6.7%$2,815,306
MEDIAN %8.2%10.0%8.3%7.6%8.8%8.9%8.3%8.4%8.0%7.6%8.2%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

GRAHAM (City)

Pop 8,732 PPA 2.44 %BO 30.5% Levy $4,230,524 Levy CAGR +11.8% E-Factor 4.25%
7,844 8,234 8,623 9,013 9,403 9,793 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 8,780 8,716 8,903 8,732 8,746 8,761 8,775 8,790 8,805 8,819 8,834 8,849 -0.1% +0.2% -0.2% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: GRAHAM (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: GRAHAM had a 2020 population of 8,732 across 5.6 square miles, yielding a density of 2.44 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 8,849, a gain of 117 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 30.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), GRAHAM has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 30.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): GRAHAM levied $4,230,524 in property taxes on a market value base of $854,766,339. The taxable value of $645,881,496 reflects 24.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6550 per $100 valuation consists of $0.6550 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $484 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 11.8% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 11.1% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.25% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): GRAHAM collected $3,735,800 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $427 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 88.3% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.8% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: GRAHAM demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
GRAHAM
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop8,7808,7168,9038,7328,7468,7618,7758,7908,8058,8198,8348,849
PPA2.452.442.492.442.442.452.452.462.462.472.472.47
%BO30.7%30.5%31.1%30.5%30.6%30.6%30.7%30.7%30.8%30.8%30.9%30.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%8,732$534,157,390$426,664,96879.9%$0.5717$0.03335.5%$0.6050$2,581,323$296$2,752,609$315106.6%
20214.7%8,733$563,376,854$455,459,96680.8%$0.5919$0.01312.2%$0.6050$2,755,533$316$3,210,246$368116.5%
20228.0%8,734$652,407,977$521,305,72079.9%$0.5288$0.076212.6%$0.6050$3,153,900$361$3,593,428$411113.9%
20234.1%8,736$701,486,028$560,252,31879.9%$0.6350N/AN/A$0.6350$3,557,602$407$3,635,188$416102.2%
20243.2%8,737$814,063,180$615,125,23475.6%$0.6550N/AN/A$0.6550$4,029,070$461$3,575,456$40988.7%
2025*2.9%8,739$854,766,339$645,881,49675.6%$0.6550N/AN/A$0.6550$4,230,524$484$3,735,800$42788.3%
CAGR4.2%0.0%11.1%9.6%-1.1%2.8%1.6%11.8%11.8%6.8%6.7%-3.7%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.4%9.5%6.9%6.6%8.9%7.9%8.3%10.1%8.4%7.6%10.4%8.1%$2,752,609
20216.8%9.2%6.8%6.0%10.5%8.0%7.8%9.6%8.3%8.6%10.4%8.1%$3,210,246
20227.8%9.8%7.0%6.6%9.5%8.0%8.0%10.2%7.5%8.2%9.9%7.7%$3,593,428
20237.6%10.0%7.0%6.8%8.9%7.6%8.3%10.4%7.6%8.1%10.0%7.9%$3,635,188
20248.3%5.1%11.8%7.7%9.4%8.2%7.8%9.3%7.9%8.1%9.1%7.3%$3,575,456
20257.9%11.1%6.8%6.6%8.4%7.7%7.7%9.4%8.0%7.9%9.2%9.4%$3,735,800
MEDIAN %7.7%9.7%7.0%6.6%9.2%8.0%7.9%9.9%8.0%8.1%10.0%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

GRANBURY (City)

Pop 10,958 PPA 1.33 %BO 16.6% Levy $11,261,083 Levy CAGR +11.5% E-Factor 2.07%
4,102 13,490 22,879 32,267 41,655 51,044 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 4,558 5,718 7,978 10,958 14,071 17,788 22,073 26,822 31,858 36,954 41,872 46,404 +2.3% +3.4% +3.2% +2.5% +2.4% +2.2% +2.0% +1.7% +1.5% +1.3% +1.0% Population Trend: GRANBURY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: GRANBURY had a 2020 population of 10,958 across 12.9 square miles, yielding a density of 1.33 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 46,404, a gain of 35,446 (+323.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.82% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 16.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), GRANBURY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 70.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): GRANBURY levied $11,261,083 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,738,714,633. The taxable value of $2,924,956,856 reflects 21.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3850 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2023 for Maintenance & Operations (52.5%) and $0.1827 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (47.5%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $900 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 11.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 13.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.07% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): GRANBURY collected $13,436,436 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $1,074 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 119.3% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.1% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: GRANBURY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
GRANBURY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop4,5585,7187,97810,95814,07117,78822,07326,82231,85836,95441,87246,404
PPA0.550.690.971.331.712.162.683.253.864.485.085.63
%BO6.9%8.7%12.1%16.6%21.3%27.0%33.4%40.6%48.3%56.0%63.4%70.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%10,958$2,183,213,818$1,751,546,88480.2%$0.1611$0.235159.3%$0.3961$6,938,175$633$9,363,980$855135.0%
20214.7%11,269$2,324,368,765$1,879,167,79780.8%$0.1656$0.221457.2%$0.3870$7,271,722$645$10,585,899$939145.6%
20228.0%11,580$3,056,253,828$2,393,918,54978.3%$0.1656$0.221457.2%$0.3870$9,264,465$800$11,886,399$1,026128.3%
20234.1%11,891$3,528,809,950$2,682,035,02376.0%$0.1868$0.198251.5%$0.3850$10,325,835$868$11,992,145$1,009116.1%
20243.2%12,203$3,560,680,603$2,785,673,19678.2%$0.2023$0.182747.5%$0.3850$10,724,841$879$12,782,052$1,047119.2%
2025*2.9%12,514$3,738,714,633$2,924,956,85678.2%$0.2023$0.182747.5%$0.3850$11,261,083$900$13,436,436$1,074119.3%
CAGR4.2%2.7%13.0%12.3%-0.5%4.7%-4.9%-4.4%-0.6%11.5%8.5%8.1%5.2%-2.4%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.6%9.7%6.9%6.8%8.1%8.1%8.7%9.8%8.7%8.0%9.4%8.2%$9,363,980
20217.2%9.7%6.6%6.2%10.1%8.3%8.0%9.4%8.7%8.1%9.5%8.1%$10,585,899
20228.3%9.1%7.5%6.6%9.1%8.6%8.4%9.5%8.1%7.9%8.8%8.0%$11,886,399
20237.9%9.6%7.4%6.9%9.1%8.3%8.6%9.9%8.0%7.9%8.7%7.5%$11,992,145
20247.4%9.5%6.5%6.9%11.5%5.6%8.1%10.0%8.9%8.4%8.6%8.6%$12,782,052
20257.7%12.3%7.1%6.1%8.5%8.1%8.0%8.9%8.4%8.0%8.5%8.5%$13,436,436
MEDIAN %7.7%9.7%7.0%6.7%9.1%8.2%8.3%9.7%8.5%8.0%8.8%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

GRAND PRAIRIE (City)

Pop 196,100 PPA 4.25 %BO 53.1% Levy $179,190,254 Levy CAGR +9.9% E-Factor 3.15%
89,940 136,946 183,953 230,959 277,965 324,971 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 99,934 127,427 175,396 196,100 210,497 224,585 238,205 251,219 263,516 275,015 285,661 295,429 +2.5% +3.2% +1.1% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% Population Trend: GRAND PRAIRIE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: GRAND PRAIRIE had a 2020 population of 196,100 across 72.1 square miles, yielding a density of 4.25 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 295,429, a gain of 99,329 (+50.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.51% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 53.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), GRAND PRAIRIE is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 80.0%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): GRAND PRAIRIE levied $179,190,254 in property taxes on a market value base of $34,698,503,219. The taxable value of $27,150,038,762 reflects 21.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6600 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4180 for Maintenance & Operations (63.3%) and $0.2420 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (36.7%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $881 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 9.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.15% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): GRAND PRAIRIE collected $86,456,248 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.75% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $425 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 48.2% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.9% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: GRAND PRAIRIE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
GRAND PRAIRIE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop99,934127,427175,396196,100210,497224,585238,205251,219263,516275,015285,661295,429
PPA2.172.763.804.254.564.875.165.445.715.966.196.40
%BO27.1%34.5%47.5%53.1%57.0%60.8%64.5%68.1%71.4%74.5%77.4%80.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%196,100$21,780,229,648$17,489,892,94280.3%$0.4606$0.209431.2%$0.6700$117,181,933$598$62,559,412$31953.4%
20214.7%197,539$23,230,047,340$18,951,206,79881.6%$0.4521$0.212932.0%$0.6650$126,025,146$638$71,559,367$36256.8%
20228.0%198,979$26,801,871,942$21,491,137,08980.2%$0.4511$0.208931.7%$0.6600$141,841,505$713$82,818,211$41658.4%
20234.1%200,419$31,208,516,074$24,323,050,03077.9%$0.4288$0.231235.0%$0.6600$160,532,130$801$84,189,164$42052.4%
20243.2%201,858$33,046,193,542$25,857,179,77378.2%$0.4180$0.242036.7%$0.6600$170,657,385$845$84,806,077$42049.7%
2025*2.9%203,298$34,698,503,219$27,150,038,76278.2%$0.4180$0.242036.7%$0.6600$179,190,254$881$86,456,248$42548.2%
CAGR4.2%0.7%11.0%10.3%-0.5%-1.9%2.9%3.2%-0.3%9.9%9.1%7.9%7.1%-2.0%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.7%10.0%7.8%7.3%8.5%6.8%7.8%10.2%8.0%8.0%9.6%8.2%$62,559,412
20217.6%9.3%6.8%5.8%9.7%8.0%7.5%9.1%8.6%8.4%10.7%8.6%$71,559,367
20228.1%9.2%6.8%6.8%9.5%7.9%8.5%9.5%8.2%8.3%9.2%8.0%$82,818,211
20238.0%9.9%8.1%6.6%9.6%7.2%8.2%8.9%8.1%8.1%9.3%8.0%$84,189,164
20248.3%9.7%6.8%7.4%9.3%7.9%8.0%8.7%8.7%8.1%8.7%8.3%$84,806,077
20257.6%10.4%7.0%6.7%9.4%7.4%7.9%9.3%8.2%8.0%9.2%8.7%$86,456,248
MEDIAN %7.9%9.8%6.9%6.8%9.5%7.7%8.0%9.3%8.2%8.2%9.3%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

GRAPEVINE (City)

Pop 50,631 PPA 2.48 %BO 31.0% Levy $34,292,245 Levy CAGR +2.6% E-Factor 2.43%
26,732 41,131 55,530 69,930 84,329 98,728 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 29,703 42,059 46,334 50,631 55,088 59,732 64,535 69,466 74,492 79,574 84,675 89,753 +3.5% +1.0% +0.9% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% Population Trend: GRAPEVINE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: GRAPEVINE had a 2020 population of 50,631 across 31.9 square miles, yielding a density of 2.48 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 89,753, a gain of 39,122 (+77.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.72% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 31.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), GRAPEVINE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 54.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): GRAPEVINE levied $34,292,245 in property taxes on a market value base of $20,728,267,232. The taxable value of $14,219,412,171 reflects 31.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.2412 per $100 valuation consists of $0.1318 for Maintenance & Operations (54.7%) and $0.1094 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (45.3%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $649 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 2.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 6.0% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.43% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): GRAPEVINE collected $66,596,070 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $1,260 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 194.2% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 14.0% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: GRAPEVINE demonstrates substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
GRAPEVINE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop29,70342,05946,33450,63155,08859,73264,53569,46674,49279,57484,67589,753
PPA1.452.062.272.482.702.923.163.403.653.894.144.39
%BO18.2%25.7%28.3%31.0%33.7%36.5%39.5%42.5%45.6%48.7%51.8%54.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%50,631$15,619,443,297$10,415,286,59566.7%$0.1435$0.139149.2%$0.2826$29,433,704$581$37,825,986$747128.5%
20214.7%51,076$15,157,085,577$10,874,523,68071.7%$0.1404$0.131448.3%$0.2718$29,558,152$579$44,158,201$865149.4%
20228.0%51,522$16,929,902,722$11,378,779,64067.2%$0.1437$0.128147.1%$0.2718$30,924,679$600$52,841,135$1,026170.9%
20234.1%51,968$19,085,989,594$12,601,319,42166.0%$0.1363$0.114245.6%$0.2506$31,573,866$608$59,420,029$1,143188.2%
20243.2%52,413$19,741,206,888$13,542,297,30668.6%$0.1318$0.109445.3%$0.2412$32,659,281$623$63,812,153$1,217195.4%
2025*2.9%52,859$20,728,267,232$14,219,412,17168.6%$0.1318$0.109445.3%$0.2412$34,292,245$649$66,596,070$1,260194.2%
CAGR4.2%0.9%6.0%6.8%0.6%-1.7%-4.7%-1.6%-3.1%2.6%1.8%14.0%13.0%8.6%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20209.5%13.1%9.2%8.8%8.0%5.4%6.0%8.7%7.4%7.1%8.7%8.0%$37,825,986
20216.8%9.6%6.9%5.5%7.8%7.8%8.1%9.8%9.4%8.8%9.8%9.8%$44,158,201
20228.4%10.5%7.9%6.6%9.1%7.9%8.4%10.2%8.9%4.4%9.1%8.7%$52,841,135
20238.3%10.5%7.3%7.0%9.0%7.6%8.3%9.2%8.2%8.1%8.7%7.9%$59,420,029
20248.1%10.4%7.8%7.4%9.0%7.8%8.0%8.6%8.8%7.7%8.3%8.1%$63,812,153
20257.9%10.2%7.5%7.2%9.1%7.9%7.7%8.8%8.6%8.0%8.6%8.5%$66,596,070
MEDIAN %8.1%10.4%7.6%7.0%9.0%7.8%8.0%8.9%8.7%7.8%8.6%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

GRAY COUNTY (City)

Pop 21,227 PPA 0.04 %BO 0.4% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
19,104 20,556 22,008 23,459 24,911 26,363 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 23,967 22,744 22,535 21,227 21,262 21,297 21,333 21,368 21,404 21,440 21,475 21,511 -0.5% -0.1% -0.6% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: GRAY COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: GRAY COUNTY had a 2020 population of 21,227 across 926.0 square miles, yielding a density of 0.04 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 21,511, a gain of 284 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), GRAY COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: GRAY COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
GRAY COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop23,96722,74422,53521,22721,26221,29721,33321,36821,40421,44021,47521,511
PPA0.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.04
%BO0.5%0.5%0.5%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

GRAYSON COUNTY (City)

Pop 135,543 PPA 0.23 %BO 2.8% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
85,518 140,758 195,997 251,237 306,476 361,716 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 95,021 110,595 120,877 135,543 151,697 169,708 189,769 212,094 236,909 264,461 295,011 328,833 +1.5% +0.9% +1.2% +1.1% +1.1% +1.1% +1.1% +1.1% +1.1% +1.1% +1.1% Population Trend: GRAYSON COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: GRAYSON COUNTY had a 2020 population of 135,543 across 932.8 square miles, yielding a density of 0.23 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 328,833, a gain of 193,290 (+142.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.11% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 2.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), GRAYSON COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 6.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: GRAYSON COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
GRAYSON COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop95,021110,595120,877135,543151,697169,708189,769212,094236,909264,461295,011328,833
PPA0.160.190.200.230.250.280.320.360.400.440.490.55
%BO2.0%2.3%2.5%2.8%3.2%3.6%4.0%4.4%5.0%5.5%6.2%6.9%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

GREENVILLE (City)

Pop 28,164 PPA 1.35 %BO 16.9% Levy $22,001,362 Levy CAGR +9.7% E-Factor 4.97%
21,043 27,232 33,420 39,608 45,796 51,984 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 23,382 23,960 25,557 28,164 30,165 32,276 34,497 36,830 39,274 41,828 44,491 47,259 +0.2% +0.6% +1.0% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% Population Trend: GREENVILLE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: GREENVILLE had a 2020 population of 28,164 across 32.6 square miles, yielding a density of 1.35 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 47,259, a gain of 19,095 (+67.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.65% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 16.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), GREENVILLE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 28.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): GREENVILLE levied $22,001,362 in property taxes on a market value base of $5,676,653,038. The taxable value of $3,942,896,407 reflects 30.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5580 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2813 for Maintenance & Operations (50.4%) and $0.2767 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (49.6%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $754 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 9.7% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.8% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.97% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): GREENVILLE collected $13,567,604 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $465 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 61.7% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 11.7% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: GREENVILLE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
GREENVILLE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop23,38223,96025,55728,16430,16532,27634,49736,83039,27441,82844,49147,259
PPA1.121.151.221.351.441.551.651.761.882.002.132.26
%BO14.0%14.3%15.3%16.9%18.1%19.3%20.6%22.0%23.5%25.0%26.6%28.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%28,164$3,464,966,595$2,356,098,29168.0%$0.3864$0.228637.2%$0.6150$14,490,004$514$8,673,893$30859.9%
20214.7%28,364$3,664,468,736$2,549,631,36669.6%$0.3288$0.260244.2%$0.5890$15,017,329$529$10,336,055$36468.8%
20228.0%28,564$4,470,375,730$3,003,031,50667.2%$0.3469$0.222139.0%$0.5690$17,087,249$598$11,621,717$40768.0%
20234.1%28,764$5,182,827,688$3,494,790,32667.4%$0.3417$0.217338.9%$0.5590$19,535,878$679$12,321,084$42863.1%
20243.2%28,964$5,406,336,227$3,755,139,43569.5%$0.2813$0.276749.6%$0.5580$20,953,678$723$13,500,472$46664.4%
2025*2.9%29,164$5,676,653,038$3,942,896,40769.5%$0.2813$0.276749.6%$0.5580$22,001,362$754$13,567,604$46561.7%
CAGR4.2%0.7%11.8%12.4%0.4%-6.2%3.9%5.9%-1.9%9.7%8.9%11.7%10.9%0.6%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.2%9.9%7.0%6.7%8.4%7.0%8.7%9.9%8.5%8.4%9.0%8.4%$8,673,893
20217.5%9.3%6.8%5.5%9.8%8.5%8.0%9.3%8.9%8.6%9.2%8.6%$10,336,055
20228.4%10.8%7.2%6.6%8.6%8.0%7.9%9.2%8.3%8.4%8.3%8.3%$11,621,717
20237.8%9.4%7.4%7.0%9.2%8.4%8.4%9.1%8.3%8.9%8.2%7.8%$12,321,084
20247.7%12.1%6.7%7.0%8.4%7.8%7.9%9.1%9.0%7.7%8.3%8.4%$13,500,472
20258.2%11.2%7.5%6.3%8.9%8.5%8.6%8.6%8.6%7.6%8.0%7.9%$13,567,604
MEDIAN %8.0%10.4%7.1%6.6%8.7%8.2%8.2%9.2%8.6%8.4%8.3%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

GREGG COUNTY (City)

Pop 124,239 PPA 0.71 %BO 8.9% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
94,453 110,659 126,865 143,071 159,277 175,484 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 104,948 111,379 121,730 124,239 128,231 132,338 136,562 140,906 145,373 149,964 154,683 159,531 +0.6% +0.9% +0.2% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: GREGG COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: GREGG COUNTY had a 2020 population of 124,239 across 273.4 square miles, yielding a density of 0.71 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 159,531, a gain of 35,292 (+28.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.31% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 8.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), GREGG COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 11.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: GREGG COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
GREGG COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop104,948111,379121,730124,239128,231132,338136,562140,906145,373149,964154,683159,531
PPA0.600.640.700.710.730.760.780.810.830.860.880.91
%BO7.5%8.0%8.7%8.9%9.2%9.5%9.8%10.1%10.4%10.7%11.1%11.4%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.4%12.0%7.8%7.1%8.8%6.7%7.7%9.4%8.8%7.8%8.9%7.5%$15,187,120
20216.7%9.7%6.7%6.0%9.8%8.4%7.9%9.8%8.4%8.2%9.9%8.3%$17,264,097
20228.2%10.0%7.2%6.5%9.1%7.8%8.1%9.4%7.9%8.3%9.2%8.4%$19,602,949
20238.0%10.1%7.4%7.7%9.3%7.7%8.2%9.3%7.9%8.0%8.4%7.9%$21,200,777
20248.2%9.6%7.2%7.6%9.0%8.1%8.1%8.7%8.3%8.1%8.8%8.3%$20,434,762
20257.8%10.2%7.1%7.0%9.2%7.9%8.1%8.8%8.5%7.8%8.9%8.7%$21,231,426
MEDIAN %7.9%10.0%7.2%7.1%9.1%7.9%8.1%9.3%8.3%8.0%8.8%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

GRIMES COUNTY (City)

Pop 29,268 PPA 0.06 %BO 0.7% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
16,945 29,679 42,413 55,147 67,881 80,615 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 18,828 23,552 26,604 29,268 32,842 36,849 41,339 46,371 52,007 58,318 65,383 73,287 +2.3% +1.2% +1.0% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.1% Population Trend: GRIMES COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: GRIMES COUNTY had a 2020 population of 29,268 across 787.5 square miles, yielding a density of 0.06 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 73,287, a gain of 44,019 (+150.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.15% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), GRIMES COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 1.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: GRIMES COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
GRIMES COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop18,82823,55226,60429,26832,84236,84941,33946,37152,00758,31865,38373,287
PPA0.040.050.050.060.070.070.080.090.100.120.130.15
%BO0.5%0.6%0.7%0.7%0.8%0.9%1.0%1.2%1.3%1.4%1.6%1.8%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.6%10.6%7.0%6.6%9.0%7.0%8.3%9.0%8.7%7.3%8.5%9.6%$1,419,634
20217.0%8.8%5.0%3.4%10.1%9.9%9.7%10.9%9.3%3.2%10.5%12.2%$1,730,408
202211.2%9.3%6.8%6.9%8.2%7.0%8.1%7.4%7.0%8.3%8.4%11.2%$1,915,279
202310.0%8.3%6.8%16.5%8.7%5.6%5.9%7.2%6.0%7.4%7.0%10.5%$2,495,308
202411.4%8.4%7.0%13.2%8.6%6.4%6.8%7.4%7.4%7.6%7.8%8.0%$2,647,776
202512.5%11.2%6.5%5.7%7.1%8.4%7.2%8.6%7.1%6.8%8.7%10.0%$2,508,215
MEDIAN %10.9%9.3%7.0%6.9%8.8%7.2%7.8%8.2%7.4%7.5%8.6%10.5%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

GROVES (City)

Pop 17,335 PPA 5.24 %BO 65.5% Levy $7,971,361 Levy CAGR +5.4% E-Factor 1.33%
14,159 15,619 17,078 18,537 19,997 21,456 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 16,592 15,733 16,144 17,335 17,623 17,908 18,187 18,462 18,731 18,995 19,253 19,506 -0.5% +0.3% +0.7% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: GROVES (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: GROVES had a 2020 population of 17,335 across 5.2 square miles, yielding a density of 5.24 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 19,506, a gain of 2,171 (+12.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.15% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 65.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), GROVES is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 73.7%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): GROVES levied $7,971,361 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,485,072,220. The taxable value of $1,324,313,479 reflects 10.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6019 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5568 for Maintenance & Operations (92.5%) and $0.0451 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (7.5%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $456 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.4% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.7% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.33% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): GROVES collected $3,220,849 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $184 falls below regional averages, indicating primarily residential character with retail leakage to neighboring communities. Sales tax represents 40.4% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.6% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: GROVES demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
GROVES
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop16,59215,73316,14417,33517,62317,90818,18718,46218,73118,99519,25319,506
PPA5.014.754.885.245.335.415.505.585.665.745.825.90
%BO62.7%59.4%61.0%65.5%66.6%67.7%68.7%69.7%70.8%71.8%72.7%73.7%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%17,335$907,472,601$822,611,31990.6%$0.6803$0.06889.2%$0.7492$6,162,881$356$2,323,668$13437.7%
20214.7%17,363$1,101,150,762$953,000,45186.5%$0.5959$0.05758.8%$0.6534$6,227,343$359$2,408,613$13938.7%
20228.0%17,392$1,197,128,281$1,046,984,21287.5%$0.5824$0.05358.4%$0.6359$6,658,024$383$2,702,771$15540.6%
20234.1%17,421$1,326,411,976$1,171,712,34288.3%$0.5616$0.04817.9%$0.6097$7,143,813$410$2,963,193$17041.5%
20243.2%17,450$1,414,354,495$1,261,250,93289.2%$0.5568$0.04517.5%$0.6019$7,591,772$435$3,118,213$17941.1%
2025*2.9%17,479$1,485,072,220$1,324,313,47989.2%$0.5568$0.04517.5%$0.6019$7,971,361$456$3,220,849$18440.4%
CAGR4.2%0.2%11.7%11.3%-0.3%-3.9%-8.1%-4.0%-4.3%5.4%5.2%7.6%7.5%1.4%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%10.9%6.9%7.3%9.7%7.6%8.1%10.0%7.5%6.7%10.6%7.5%$2,323,668
20217.5%10.4%7.1%6.6%10.6%7.5%7.1%9.9%7.4%7.2%12.0%6.7%$2,408,613
20227.1%10.8%5.8%6.6%9.6%7.5%7.4%10.3%7.3%8.1%11.3%8.3%$2,702,771
20237.2%10.3%6.9%7.7%8.2%6.6%7.4%9.4%9.3%8.3%11.2%7.5%$2,963,193
20247.8%9.5%6.8%7.9%9.5%8.1%7.6%9.1%7.5%7.8%9.5%9.0%$3,118,213
20256.7%11.1%7.2%6.7%9.3%7.1%7.6%9.5%7.4%8.3%10.7%8.4%$3,220,849
MEDIAN %7.3%10.5%6.9%7.0%9.5%7.5%7.5%9.7%7.4%7.9%10.9%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

GUADALUPE COUNTY (City)

Pop 172,706 PPA 0.38 %BO 4.7% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
58,385 322,912 587,439 851,967 1,116,494 1,381,021 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 64,873 89,023 131,533 172,706 228,089 299,721 391,308 506,695 649,399 821,887 1,024,683 1,255,474 +3.2% +4.0% +2.8% +2.8% +2.8% +2.7% +2.6% +2.5% +2.4% +2.2% +2.1% Population Trend: GUADALUPE COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: GUADALUPE COUNTY had a 2020 population of 172,706 across 711.3 square miles, yielding a density of 0.38 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 1,255,474, a gain of 1,082,768 (+626.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.51% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 4.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), GUADALUPE COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 34.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: GUADALUPE COUNTY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
GUADALUPE COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop64,87389,023131,533172,706228,089299,721391,308506,695649,399821,8871,024,6831,255,474
PPA0.140.200.290.380.500.660.861.111.431.812.252.76
%BO1.8%2.4%3.6%4.7%6.3%8.2%10.7%13.9%17.8%22.6%28.1%34.5%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.4%10.1%7.6%6.9%8.7%7.9%8.3%9.8%8.1%7.7%9.4%8.2%$9,145,303
20216.9%9.5%7.1%5.9%9.4%8.1%7.9%10.1%8.2%8.8%10.1%8.1%$10,849,513
20227.6%9.6%7.1%6.4%9.0%7.8%9.2%9.7%8.1%8.9%8.8%8.0%$13,417,398
20238.1%10.7%7.7%7.1%6.4%8.1%8.0%9.3%8.0%8.7%8.9%9.0%$14,426,118
20247.6%9.7%8.2%7.4%8.7%8.2%9.7%8.2%8.2%7.8%8.5%7.8%$15,282,460
20257.6%9.9%6.8%6.5%8.4%9.2%9.4%8.2%10.1%7.9%8.8%7.2%$16,536,480
MEDIAN %7.6%9.9%7.4%6.7%8.7%8.1%8.8%9.5%8.2%8.3%8.9%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HALE COUNTY (City)

Pop 32,522 PPA 0.05 %BO 0.6% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
29,269 31,468 33,666 35,865 38,063 40,262 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 34,671 36,602 36,273 32,522 32,576 32,630 32,684 32,739 32,794 32,848 32,903 32,958 +0.5% -0.1% -1.1% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: HALE COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HALE COUNTY had a 2020 population of 32,522 across 1004.7 square miles, yielding a density of 0.05 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 32,958, a gain of 436 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HALE COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: HALE COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HALE COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop34,67136,60236,27332,52232,57632,63032,68432,73932,79432,84832,90332,958
PPA0.050.060.060.050.050.050.050.050.050.050.050.05
%BO0.7%0.7%0.7%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.6%10.5%7.0%6.4%8.8%8.0%9.4%9.9%7.3%7.4%9.7%8.1%$1,702,855
20215.6%9.5%7.0%6.6%9.4%8.2%8.2%10.2%7.8%9.1%10.2%8.4%$1,835,203
20228.1%9.2%5.7%7.6%9.5%8.3%8.2%10.1%8.2%8.3%9.1%7.8%$1,943,523
20236.8%8.9%6.4%6.4%13.6%7.3%7.4%8.2%8.0%8.9%10.7%7.4%$2,255,306
20247.6%8.7%9.3%6.9%11.5%7.2%8.4%7.7%7.2%6.6%11.4%7.5%$2,599,139
20259.6%8.5%6.3%6.9%7.6%6.7%6.6%8.2%11.6%7.1%13.9%7.2%$2,784,669
MEDIAN %7.8%9.2%6.8%6.8%9.6%7.8%8.3%9.2%8.1%8.0%10.6%7.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HALTOM CITY (City)

Pop 46,073 PPA 5.83 %BO 72.9% Levy $26,728,234 Levy CAGR +7.7% E-Factor 2.78%
29,642 35,555 41,468 47,380 53,293 59,206 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 32,936 39,018 42,409 46,073 47,230 48,334 49,384 50,380 51,321 52,208 53,042 53,824 +1.7% +0.8% +0.8% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.1% Population Trend: HALTOM CITY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HALTOM CITY had a 2020 population of 46,073 across 12.3 square miles, yielding a density of 5.83 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 53,824, a gain of 7,751 (+16.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.19% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 72.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HALTOM CITY is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 85.2%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): HALTOM CITY levied $26,728,234 in property taxes on a market value base of $5,891,691,122. The taxable value of $4,602,547,268 reflects 21.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5807 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3861 for Maintenance & Operations (66.5%) and $0.1946 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (33.5%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $573 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.7% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.4% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.78% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): HALTOM CITY collected $19,159,555 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.75% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $411 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 71.7% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.4% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: HALTOM CITY demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HALTOM CITY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop32,93639,01842,40946,07347,23048,33449,38450,38051,32152,20853,04253,824
PPA4.174.945.375.835.986.126.256.386.506.616.726.82
%BO52.1%61.8%67.1%72.9%74.8%76.5%78.2%79.7%81.2%82.6%84.0%85.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%46,073$3,638,445,668$2,846,341,36078.2%$0.4037$0.262039.4%$0.6658$18,949,802$411$13,403,764$29170.7%
20214.7%46,188$3,894,288,512$3,053,130,55578.4%$0.3958$0.249938.7%$0.6457$19,712,568$427$15,417,259$33478.2%
20228.0%46,304$4,526,451,607$3,566,416,45578.8%$0.3764$0.231738.1%$0.6082$21,689,590$468$16,811,614$36377.5%
20234.1%46,420$5,478,468,070$4,175,119,33876.2%$0.3718$0.195534.5%$0.5673$23,684,742$510$17,941,036$38675.7%
20243.2%46,535$5,611,134,402$4,383,378,35078.1%$0.3861$0.194633.5%$0.5807$25,455,461$547$18,506,760$39872.7%
2025*2.9%46,651$5,891,691,122$4,602,547,26878.1%$0.3861$0.194633.5%$0.5807$26,728,234$573$19,159,555$41171.7%
CAGR4.2%0.2%11.4%11.4%-0.0%-0.9%-5.8%-3.2%-2.7%7.7%7.4%8.4%8.1%0.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.1%9.7%6.6%7.0%9.3%7.3%8.0%10.3%8.3%8.2%10.0%8.2%$13,403,764
20216.7%8.4%6.2%5.6%10.4%8.4%7.9%10.6%8.5%8.2%11.0%8.1%$15,417,259
20227.2%9.5%6.9%6.2%9.9%8.0%8.4%7.9%8.8%8.8%9.9%8.4%$16,811,614
20237.6%9.9%5.4%7.0%10.0%7.6%8.2%9.8%8.0%8.9%9.7%7.9%$17,941,036
20247.2%9.0%6.9%7.2%8.8%7.7%7.5%9.9%8.6%8.8%9.7%8.7%$18,506,760
20257.0%9.4%6.9%6.6%9.2%7.9%8.2%9.8%8.7%8.3%9.8%8.1%$19,159,555
MEDIAN %7.1%9.4%6.7%6.7%9.5%7.8%8.0%9.8%8.5%8.5%9.8%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HAMILTON (County)

Pop 2,895 PPA 1.51 %BO 18.8% Levy $5,575,072 Levy CAGR +11.6% E-Factor 6.54%
2,605 2,765 2,925 3,084 3,244 3,404 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 2,986 2,977 3,095 2,895 2,899 2,904 2,909 2,914 2,919 2,924 2,928 2,933 -0.0% +0.4% -0.7% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: HAMILTON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HAMILTON had a 2020 population of 2,895 across 3.0 square miles, yielding a density of 1.51 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 2,933, a gain of 38 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 18.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HAMILTON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 19.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): HAMILTON levied $5,575,072 in property taxes on a market value base of $4,752,978,665. The taxable value of $1,315,529,925 reflects 72.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4300 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4300 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,924 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 11.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 21.1% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 6.54% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: HAMILTON demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HAMILTON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop2,9862,9773,0952,8952,8992,9042,9092,9142,9192,9242,9282,933
PPA1.561.551.611.511.511.511.521.521.521.521.531.53
%BO19.4%19.4%20.1%18.8%18.9%18.9%18.9%19.0%19.0%19.0%19.1%19.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%2,895$2,102,802,245~EstN/A$0.5323N/AN/A$0.5323$3,428,788$1,184
20214.7%2,895$2,461,225,263~EstN/A$0.4554N/AN/A$0.4554$3,571,820$1,234
20228.0%2,895$4,656,713,685~EstN/A$0.4455N/AN/A$0.4455$5,208,620$1,799
20234.1%2,896$3,955,113,726~EstN/A$0.4005N/AN/A$0.4005$4,582,909$1,582
20243.2%2,896$4,526,646,348$1,252,885,64327.7%$0.4300N/AN/A$0.4300$5,309,592$1,833
2025~2.9%2,897$4,752,978,665$1,315,529,92527.7%$0.4300N/AN/A$0.4300$5,575,072$1,924
CAGR4.2%0.0%21.1%-4.2%-4.2%11.6%11.5%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

HAMILTON COUNTY (City)

Pop 8,222 PPA 0.02 %BO 0.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
6,959 7,441 7,923 8,405 8,886 9,368 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 7,733 8,229 8,517 8,222 8,235 8,249 8,263 8,276 8,290 8,304 8,318 8,332 +0.6% +0.3% -0.4% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: HAMILTON COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HAMILTON COUNTY had a 2020 population of 8,222 across 835.9 square miles, yielding a density of 0.02 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 8,332, a gain of 110 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HAMILTON COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: HAMILTON COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HAMILTON COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop7,7338,2298,5178,2228,2358,2498,2638,2768,2908,3048,3188,332
PPA0.010.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.02
%BO0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%11.5%7.1%6.4%8.0%7.2%7.8%10.2%7.3%7.5%11.2%8.3%$476,422
20217.3%10.9%7.1%5.7%10.0%8.2%8.0%9.7%7.4%7.7%9.7%8.3%$517,329
20227.4%12.2%7.0%6.4%9.1%8.1%7.8%9.4%7.1%8.8%9.2%7.5%$605,554
20238.9%9.6%7.8%6.8%8.8%7.2%8.9%9.2%7.8%8.1%8.5%8.4%$589,791
20248.1%9.5%6.3%7.2%9.2%8.2%8.4%8.8%8.5%8.8%8.4%8.5%$618,273
20257.5%10.9%6.2%6.7%8.2%7.6%7.5%8.6%10.3%7.0%10.1%9.4%$688,522
MEDIAN %7.5%11.0%7.1%6.6%9.0%7.9%7.9%9.4%7.7%8.0%9.5%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HARDIN (County)

Pop 768 PPA 0.46 %BO 5.8% Levy $31,328,906 Levy CAGR +5.7% E-Factor 0.65%
500 580 660 740 820 900 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 556 755 819 768 771 775 778 782 785 789 792 796 +3.1% +0.8% -0.6% +0.0% +0.1% +0.0% +0.1% +0.0% +0.1% +0.0% +0.1% Population Trend: HARDIN (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HARDIN had a 2020 population of 768 across 2.6 square miles, yielding a density of 0.46 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 796, a gain of 28 (+3.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.04% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 5.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HARDIN has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 6.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): HARDIN levied $31,328,906 in property taxes on a market value base of $8,833,771,313. The taxable value of $6,206,262,492 reflects 29.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5756 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4946 for Maintenance & Operations (99.0%) and $0.0057 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (1.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $40,740 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.7% CAGR lagged market value growth of 13.0% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.65% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Strategic Outlook: HARDIN demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HARDIN
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop556755819768771775778782785789792796
PPA0.340.460.490.460.470.470.470.470.470.480.480.48
%BO4.2%5.7%6.2%5.8%5.8%5.8%5.9%5.9%5.9%6.0%6.0%6.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%768$5,157,470,782~EstN/A$0.6544$0.00991.5%$0.6643$23,914,590$31,139
20214.7%768$6,048,625,550~EstN/A$0.6317$0.00891.4%$0.6406$25,783,718$33,573
20228.0%768$6,365,805,952~EstN/A$0.6114$0.00831.3%$0.6197$27,147,670$35,349
20234.1%768$7,566,031,045~EstN/A$0.5343$0.00661.2%$0.5408$27,012,996$35,173
20243.2%769$8,413,115,536$5,910,726,18370.3%$0.4946$0.00571.0%$0.5756$29,837,053$38,800
2025~2.9%769$8,833,771,313$6,206,262,49270.3%$0.4946$0.00571.0%$0.5756$31,328,906$40,740
CAGR4.2%0.0%13.0%-5.4%-10.4%-7.8%-2.8%5.7%5.7%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

HARDIN COUNTY (City)

Pop 56,231 PPA 0.10 %BO 1.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
37,188 49,348 61,508 73,669 85,829 97,990 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 41,320 48,073 54,635 56,231 59,570 63,104 66,845 70,805 74,995 79,429 84,120 89,082 +1.5% +1.3% +0.3% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% Population Trend: HARDIN COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HARDIN COUNTY had a 2020 population of 56,231 across 890.6 square miles, yielding a density of 0.10 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 89,082, a gain of 32,851 (+58.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.58% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HARDIN COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 2.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: HARDIN COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HARDIN COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop41,32048,07354,63556,23159,57063,10466,84570,80574,99579,42984,12089,082
PPA0.070.080.100.100.100.110.120.120.130.140.150.16
%BO0.9%1.1%1.2%1.2%1.3%1.4%1.5%1.6%1.6%1.7%1.8%2.0%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HARKER HEIGHTS (City)

Pop 33,097 PPA 3.41 %BO 42.6% Levy $15,954,065 Levy CAGR +2.5% E-Factor 0.00%
11,559 23,839 36,119 48,399 60,679 72,959 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 12,844 17,308 26,700 33,097 38,044 43,022 47,870 52,442 56,626 60,349 63,581 66,327 +3.0% +4.4% +2.2% +1.4% +1.2% +1.1% +0.9% +0.8% +0.6% +0.5% +0.4% Population Trend: HARKER HEIGHTS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HARKER HEIGHTS had a 2020 population of 33,097 across 15.2 square miles, yielding a density of 3.41 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 66,327, a gain of 33,230 (+100.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.87% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 42.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HARKER HEIGHTS has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 85.3%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): HARKER HEIGHTS levied $15,954,065 in property taxes on a market value base of $4,292,008,134. The taxable value of $3,068,089,522 reflects 28.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5200 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4042 for Maintenance & Operations (77.7%) and $0.1158 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (22.3%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $449 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 2.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 12.2% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): HARKER HEIGHTS collected $11,473,179 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $323 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 71.9% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.6% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: HARKER HEIGHTS demonstrates substantial development capacity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HARKER HEIGHTS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop12,84417,30826,70033,09738,04443,02247,87052,44256,62660,34963,58166,327
PPA1.321.782.753.413.924.434.935.405.836.216.546.83
%BO16.5%22.3%34.4%42.6%48.9%55.4%61.6%67.5%72.9%77.6%81.8%85.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%33,097$2,583,390,980$2,036,994,78778.8%$0.5143$0.162724.0%$0.6770$13,790,455$417$8,042,367$24358.3%
20214.7%33,591$2,804,134,281$2,166,066,04477.2%$0.5063$0.145622.3%$0.6519$14,120,585$420$9,816,854$29269.5%
20228.0%34,086$3,471,275,789$2,493,115,55871.8%$0.4511$0.128922.2%$0.5800$14,460,070$424$10,861,059$31975.1%
20234.1%34,581$4,045,970,125$2,839,519,72770.2%$0.4142$0.110821.1%$0.5250$14,907,479$431$11,145,483$32274.8%
20243.2%35,075$4,087,626,794$2,921,990,02171.5%$0.4042$0.115822.3%$0.5200$15,194,348$433$11,177,822$31973.6%
2025*2.9%35,570$4,292,008,134$3,068,089,52271.5%$0.4042$0.115822.3%$0.5200$15,954,065$449$11,473,179$32371.9%
CAGR4.2%1.5%12.2%9.4%-1.9%-4.7%-6.6%-1.5%-5.1%2.5%1.0%8.6%7.0%4.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%11.2%6.4%6.5%8.7%7.2%8.3%9.8%8.2%8.0%10.1%8.3%$8,042,367
20217.1%10.1%6.9%5.9%10.6%8.0%8.1%10.4%8.4%7.2%9.7%7.6%$9,816,854
20227.4%10.5%6.8%6.9%9.8%7.7%8.0%9.5%8.1%7.9%9.8%7.8%$10,861,059
20237.8%10.7%7.3%7.2%9.6%7.3%8.6%9.1%7.6%7.9%9.1%7.8%$11,145,483
20247.8%10.6%7.1%7.3%9.1%7.2%7.8%9.3%8.3%8.2%9.3%8.0%$11,177,822
20257.8%10.9%7.2%7.3%9.7%7.8%7.9%9.2%8.0%7.6%8.9%7.8%$11,473,179
MEDIAN %7.6%10.6%7.0%7.0%9.6%7.5%8.0%9.4%8.1%7.9%9.5%7.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HARLINGEN (City)

Pop 71,829 PPA 2.82 %BO 35.2% Levy $28,835,622 Levy CAGR +4.7% E-Factor 0.30%
43,294 60,532 77,769 95,007 112,245 129,483 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 48,105 57,564 64,849 71,829 77,267 82,860 88,575 94,378 100,232 106,098 111,937 117,712 +1.8% +1.2% +1.0% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% Population Trend: HARLINGEN (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HARLINGEN had a 2020 population of 71,829 across 39.8 square miles, yielding a density of 2.82 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 117,712, a gain of 45,883 (+63.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.62% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 35.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HARLINGEN has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 57.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): HARLINGEN levied $28,835,622 in property taxes on a market value base of $7,013,247,178. The taxable value of $5,466,219,907 reflects 22.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5275 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4536 for Maintenance & Operations (86.0%) and $0.0739 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (14.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $387 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 4.7% CAGR lagged market value growth of 12.4% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.30% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): HARLINGEN collected $36,734,160 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $493 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 127.4% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.4% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: HARLINGEN demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HARLINGEN
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop48,10557,56464,84971,82977,26782,86088,57594,378100,232106,098111,937117,712
PPA1.892.262.552.823.033.253.483.703.934.164.394.62
%BO23.6%28.2%31.8%35.2%37.9%40.7%43.5%46.3%49.2%52.1%54.9%57.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%71,829$4,186,338,463$3,686,112,39088.1%$0.5258$0.094115.2%$0.6198$22,848,331$318$25,895,169$361113.3%
20214.7%72,372$4,334,668,291$3,806,201,75687.8%$0.5128$0.107017.3%$0.6198$23,592,704$326$29,772,087$411126.2%
20228.0%72,916$4,604,919,851$4,022,664,25587.4%$0.5127$0.093615.4%$0.6064$24,391,706$335$31,722,031$435130.1%
20234.1%73,460$5,822,631,904$4,742,752,91881.5%$0.4645$0.081014.9%$0.5455$25,872,618$352$33,460,657$455129.3%
20243.2%74,004$6,679,283,027$5,205,923,72177.9%$0.4536$0.073914.0%$0.5275$27,462,497$371$34,441,495$465125.4%
2025*2.9%74,548$7,013,247,178$5,466,219,90777.9%$0.4536$0.073914.0%$0.5275$28,835,622$387$36,734,160$493127.4%
CAGR4.2%0.7%12.4%9.0%-2.4%-2.9%-4.7%-1.6%-3.2%4.7%3.9%7.4%6.6%2.4%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.8%9.5%7.6%7.4%8.3%6.8%8.3%9.8%8.1%8.2%9.8%8.3%$25,895,169
20217.3%9.6%7.1%6.6%10.1%8.4%8.1%9.5%8.1%7.8%9.9%7.7%$29,772,087
20228.1%10.3%7.1%7.1%9.7%7.9%8.0%9.4%7.8%8.1%8.8%7.7%$31,722,031
20237.6%10.4%7.3%7.4%9.8%7.4%7.9%9.6%7.9%7.9%9.0%7.7%$33,460,657
20247.9%10.4%7.5%7.6%9.3%7.9%7.9%8.8%8.2%7.6%9.2%7.9%$34,441,495
20257.5%11.3%7.3%6.7%9.0%8.1%7.9%8.7%8.1%7.7%8.6%9.0%$36,734,160
MEDIAN %7.7%10.3%7.3%7.2%9.5%7.9%7.9%9.4%8.1%7.8%9.1%7.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HARRIS COUNTY (City)

Pop 4,731,145 PPA 4.33 %BO 54.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
2,536,379 3,577,678 4,618,976 5,660,275 6,701,574 7,742,873 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 2,818,199 3,400,578 4,092,459 4,731,145 5,068,409 5,397,417 5,714,601 6,016,917 6,301,945 6,567,927 6,813,765 7,038,976 +1.9% +1.9% +1.5% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% Population Trend: HARRIS COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HARRIS COUNTY had a 2020 population of 4,731,145 across 1706.2 square miles, yielding a density of 4.33 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 7,038,976, a gain of 2,307,831 (+48.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.50% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 54.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HARRIS COUNTY is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 80.6%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Strategic Outlook: Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HARRIS COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop2,818,1993,400,5784,092,4594,731,1455,068,4095,397,4175,714,6016,016,9176,301,9456,567,9276,813,7657,038,976
PPA2.583.113.754.334.644.945.235.515.776.016.246.45
%BO32.3%38.9%46.8%54.2%58.0%61.8%65.4%68.9%72.1%75.2%78.0%80.6%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HARRISON COUNTY (City)

Pop 68,839 PPA 0.12 %BO 1.5% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
51,734 64,290 76,845 89,401 101,956 114,512 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 57,483 62,110 65,631 68,839 72,503 76,360 80,418 84,687 89,179 93,905 98,875 104,102 +0.8% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% Population Trend: HARRISON COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HARRISON COUNTY had a 2020 population of 68,839 across 900.1 square miles, yielding a density of 0.12 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 104,102, a gain of 35,263 (+51.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.52% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HARRISON COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 2.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: HARRISON COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HARRISON COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop57,48362,11065,63168,83972,50376,36080,41884,68789,17993,90598,875104,102
PPA0.100.110.110.120.130.130.140.150.150.160.170.18
%BO1.2%1.3%1.4%1.5%1.6%1.7%1.7%1.8%1.9%2.0%2.1%2.3%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HASKELL (County)

Pop 3,089 PPA 1.34 %BO 16.8% Levy $4,350,636 Levy CAGR +12.7% E-Factor 7.69%
2,780 2,958 3,136 3,315 3,493 3,671 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 3,338 3,106 3,322 3,089 3,094 3,099 3,104 3,109 3,114 3,120 3,125 3,130 -0.7% +0.7% -0.7% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: HASKELL (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HASKELL had a 2020 population of 3,089 across 3.6 square miles, yielding a density of 1.34 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 3,130, a gain of 41 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 16.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HASKELL has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 17.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): HASKELL levied $4,350,636 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,486,486,377. The taxable value of $744,771,713 reflects 70.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5829 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5260 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,408 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 12.7% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 12.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 7.69% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: HASKELL demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HASKELL
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop3,3383,1063,3223,0893,0943,0993,1043,1093,1143,1203,1253,130
PPA1.451.351.441.341.341.351.351.351.351.351.361.36
%BO18.1%16.9%18.0%16.8%16.8%16.8%16.8%16.9%16.9%16.9%17.0%17.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%3,089$1,504,490,280~EstN/A$0.4921N/AN/A$0.4921$2,567,787$831
20214.7%3,089$1,471,688,031~EstN/A$0.4949N/AN/A$0.4949$2,724,233$882
20228.0%3,090$2,030,911,517~EstN/A$0.5074N/AN/A$0.5074$3,073,601$995
20234.1%3,090$2,340,870,021~EstN/A$0.4430N/AN/A$0.4430$3,080,494$997
20243.2%3,091$2,368,082,264$709,306,39330.0%$0.5260N/AN/A$0.5829$4,143,463$1,340
2025~2.9%3,091$2,486,486,377$744,771,71330.0%$0.5260N/AN/A$0.5829$4,350,636$1,408
CAGR4.2%0.0%12.0%1.3%3.4%12.7%12.7%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

HAYS (County)

Pop 227 PPA 1.61 %BO 20.2% Levy $184,129,389 Levy CAGR +11.8% E-Factor 6.80%
195 211 227 243 259 275 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 250 233 217 227 229 232 234 237 240 242 245 248 -0.7% -0.7% +0.5% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: HAYS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HAYS had a 2020 population of 227 across 0.2 square miles, yielding a density of 1.61 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 248, a gain of 21 (+9.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.11% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 20.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HAYS has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 22.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): HAYS levied $184,129,389 in property taxes on a market value base of $71,680,023,175. The taxable value of $54,746,682,026 reflects 23.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3500 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2256 for Maintenance & Operations (76.3%) and $0.0829 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (23.7%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $807,585 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 11.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 19.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 6.80% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: HAYS demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HAYS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop250233217227229232234237240242245248
PPA1.781.651.541.611.631.651.671.691.711.721.741.76
%BO22.2%20.7%19.3%20.2%20.4%20.6%20.8%21.1%21.3%21.6%21.8%22.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%227$33,283,505,777~EstN/A$0.2966$0.124629.6%$0.4212$112,233,246$494,420
20214.7%227$38,384,014,982~EstN/A$0.2621$0.124632.2%$0.3867$117,143,859$516,052
20228.0%227$56,606,376,690~EstN/A$0.2212$0.091329.2%$0.3125$123,063,653$542,131
20234.1%227$67,021,123,338~EstN/A$0.2246$0.082927.0%$0.3075$144,169,222$635,107
20243.2%227$68,266,688,738$52,139,697,16876.4%$0.2256$0.082923.7%$0.3500$175,361,323$772,517
2025~2.9%228$71,680,023,175$54,746,682,02676.4%$0.2256$0.082923.7%$0.3500$184,129,389$807,585
CAGR4.2%0.1%19.7%-5.3%-7.8%-4.3%-3.6%11.8%11.8%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

HAYS COUNTY (City)

Pop 241,067 PPA 0.56 %BO 7.0% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
59,052 585,563 1,112,074 1,638,584 2,165,095 2,691,606 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 65,614 97,589 157,107 241,067 357,629 521,615 743,148 1,026,505 1,364,536 1,735,620 2,107,362 2,446,915 +4.0% +4.9% +4.4% +4.0% +3.8% +3.6% +3.3% +2.9% +2.4% +2.0% +1.5% Population Trend: HAYS COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HAYS COUNTY had a 2020 population of 241,067 across 676.9 square miles, yielding a density of 0.56 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 2,446,915, a gain of 2,205,848 (+915.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.94% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 7.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HAYS COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 70.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: HAYS COUNTY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HAYS COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop65,61497,589157,107241,067357,629521,615743,1481,026,5051,364,5361,735,6202,107,3622,446,915
PPA0.150.230.360.560.831.201.722.373.154.014.865.65
%BO1.9%2.8%4.5%7.0%10.3%15.1%21.4%29.6%39.4%50.1%60.8%70.6%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.8%10.9%6.9%6.0%7.8%8.3%8.8%9.7%8.4%8.1%9.0%8.2%$28,929,896
202110.5%12.3%6.2%5.2%8.6%7.7%7.7%9.1%8.0%7.9%8.9%8.0%$29,762,793
20228.4%9.7%7.2%6.3%9.2%8.1%8.1%9.1%8.1%8.9%8.6%8.4%$30,740,867
20238.2%9.7%7.4%7.1%8.9%7.7%8.6%9.0%8.4%8.7%8.4%8.0%$32,134,901
20248.5%9.3%7.3%7.2%8.8%8.0%8.2%8.6%8.7%7.9%8.8%8.7%$32,214,961
20258.0%10.7%7.1%6.7%8.7%7.9%7.8%8.7%8.3%8.7%8.7%8.7%$34,039,519
MEDIAN %8.3%10.2%7.2%6.5%8.7%8.0%8.2%9.1%8.4%8.4%8.8%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HEATH (City)

Pop 9,769 PPA 1.45 %BO 18.1% Levy $10,713,261 Levy CAGR +7.1% E-Factor 0.71%
1,936 11,752 21,568 31,384 41,200 51,015 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 2,152 4,149 6,921 9,769 13,492 18,065 23,308 28,866 34,285 39,150 43,205 46,378 +6.8% +5.3% +3.5% +3.3% +3.0% +2.6% +2.2% +1.7% +1.3% +1.0% +0.7% Population Trend: HEATH (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HEATH had a 2020 population of 9,769 across 10.6 square miles, yielding a density of 1.45 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 46,378, a gain of 36,609 (+374.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.97% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 18.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HEATH has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 85.8%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): HEATH levied $10,713,261 in property taxes on a market value base of $4,476,125,771. The taxable value of $3,690,271,152 reflects 17.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.2903 per $100 valuation consists of $0.1914 for Maintenance & Operations (65.9%) and $0.0989 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (34.1%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $921 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 16.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.71% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): HEATH collected $3,595,197 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $309 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 33.6% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 11.6% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: HEATH demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HEATH
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop2,1524,1496,9219,76913,49218,06523,30828,86634,28539,15043,20546,378
PPA0.320.611.021.452.002.673.454.275.075.796.396.86
%BO4.0%7.7%12.8%18.1%25.0%33.4%43.1%53.4%63.4%72.4%79.9%85.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%9,769$2,300,769,566$2,061,185,54489.6%$0.2476$0.129034.3%$0.3766$7,761,786$795$2,014,933$20626.0%
20214.7%10,141$2,465,728,726$2,217,823,47589.9%$0.2237$0.115634.1%$0.3393$7,525,231$742$2,301,043$22730.6%
20228.0%10,513$3,379,112,112$2,706,020,36280.1%$0.1927$0.098533.8%$0.2912$7,879,255$749$2,709,600$25834.4%
20234.1%10,885$3,890,582,399$3,177,201,31281.7%$0.1848$0.092733.4%$0.2775$8,816,511$810$3,141,695$28935.6%
20243.2%11,258$4,262,976,925$3,514,543,95482.4%$0.1914$0.098934.1%$0.2903$10,203,106$906$3,120,467$27730.6%
2025*2.9%11,630$4,476,125,771$3,690,271,15282.4%$0.1914$0.098934.1%$0.2903$10,713,261$921$3,595,197$30933.6%
CAGR4.2%3.5%16.7%14.3%-1.6%-5.0%-5.2%-0.1%-5.1%7.1%3.3%11.6%7.7%5.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20205.8%9.9%6.7%7.0%9.0%7.7%8.4%9.4%8.2%7.8%11.0%9.1%$2,014,933
20217.7%11.5%6.0%5.7%10.5%7.2%6.9%9.6%8.0%7.8%10.7%8.5%$2,301,043
20227.5%11.1%6.7%6.3%8.7%7.4%11.3%10.1%8.0%9.1%5.3%8.5%$2,709,600
202311.7%9.6%6.7%6.9%9.0%7.0%8.5%8.6%8.1%7.7%9.0%7.2%$3,141,695
20248.3%10.0%7.2%7.2%9.6%6.7%8.0%9.1%8.7%7.7%9.5%8.1%$3,120,467
20257.5%10.7%6.6%6.2%11.4%7.9%7.2%9.3%7.5%7.5%9.8%8.4%$3,595,197
MEDIAN %7.7%10.4%6.8%6.7%9.4%7.3%8.3%9.4%8.1%7.8%9.7%8.5%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HELOTES (City)

Pop 9,030 PPA 2.15 %BO 26.8% Levy $5,731,257 Levy CAGR +5.3% E-Factor 1.36%
1,434 7,574 13,714 19,855 25,995 32,135 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 1,594 4,285 7,341 9,030 11,588 14,451 17,465 20,444 23,206 25,621 27,623 29,214 +10.4% +5.5% +2.1% +2.5% +2.2% +1.9% +1.6% +1.3% +1.0% +0.8% +0.6% Population Trend: HELOTES (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HELOTES had a 2020 population of 9,030 across 6.6 square miles, yielding a density of 2.15 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 29,214, a gain of 20,184 (+223.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.48% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 26.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HELOTES has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 86.8%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): HELOTES levied $5,731,257 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,146,215,311. The taxable value of $1,848,792,727 reflects 13.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3100 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2708 for Maintenance & Operations (87.4%) and $0.0392 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (12.6%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $556 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.3% CAGR lagged market value growth of 9.9% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.36% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): HELOTES collected $9,071,023 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.75% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $880 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 158.3% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 12.8% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: HELOTES demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HELOTES
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop1,5944,2857,3419,03011,58814,45117,46520,44423,20625,62127,62329,214
PPA0.381.021.752.152.763.444.154.865.526.096.576.95
%BO4.7%12.7%21.8%26.8%34.5%43.0%51.9%60.8%69.0%76.2%82.1%86.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%9,030$1,400,602,036$1,279,204,39191.3%$0.2726$0.073921.3%$0.3465$4,432,750$491$5,838,629$647131.7%
20214.7%9,285$1,480,048,577$1,337,248,58290.4%$0.2812$0.062718.2%$0.3440$4,599,854$495$7,992,669$861173.8%
20228.0%9,541$1,805,964,049$1,514,159,32183.8%$0.2731$0.043713.8%$0.3168$4,796,524$503$14,686,181$1,539306.2%
20234.1%9,797$2,023,187,117$1,697,952,80483.9%$0.2703$0.041113.2%$0.3115$5,288,359$540$10,551,625$1,077199.5%
20243.2%10,053$2,044,014,582$1,760,754,97886.1%$0.2708$0.039212.6%$0.3100$5,458,340$543$9,459,538$941173.3%
2025*2.9%10,309$2,146,215,311$1,848,792,72786.1%$0.2708$0.039212.6%$0.3100$5,731,257$556$9,071,023$880158.3%
CAGR4.2%2.7%9.9%8.3%-1.2%-0.1%-11.9%-9.9%-2.2%5.3%2.6%12.8%9.8%3.7%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%8.5%6.7%6.7%8.2%8.5%8.7%9.0%8.5%8.3%8.9%10.7%$5,838,629
20217.6%8.3%7.3%5.7%8.8%8.3%8.8%9.9%9.3%9.2%8.7%8.1%$7,992,669
20224.1%5.1%7.6%7.9%11.3%10.9%10.6%10.7%9.0%8.6%7.4%6.9%$14,686,181
20236.6%8.2%7.0%6.6%10.3%8.3%8.9%9.7%9.1%9.2%8.2%7.9%$10,551,625
20248.5%8.6%7.3%7.6%8.6%8.9%8.7%8.6%8.3%8.2%8.0%8.7%$9,459,538
20257.8%9.7%7.5%7.3%9.3%8.6%8.4%8.6%8.6%8.0%8.0%8.1%$9,071,023
MEDIAN %7.5%8.5%7.3%7.0%9.1%8.6%8.8%9.4%8.9%8.5%8.2%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HEMPHILL (County)

Pop 1,029 PPA 0.67 %BO 8.4% Levy $6,323,054 Levy CAGR +4.5% E-Factor 0.00%
926 1,004 1,082 1,161 1,239 1,317 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 1,187 1,106 1,198 1,029 1,030 1,032 1,034 1,035 1,037 1,039 1,041 1,042 -0.7% +0.8% -1.5% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: HEMPHILL (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HEMPHILL had a 2020 population of 1,029 across 2.4 square miles, yielding a density of 0.67 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 1,042, a gain of 13 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 8.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HEMPHILL has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 8.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): HEMPHILL levied $6,323,054 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,476,854,152. The taxable value of $1,195,880,052 reflects 19.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5300 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5300 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $6,145 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 4.5% CAGR outpaced market value growth of -1.0% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments.
Strategic Outlook: HEMPHILL demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HEMPHILL
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop1,1871,1061,1981,0291,0301,0321,0341,0351,0371,0391,0411,042
PPA0.770.720.780.670.670.670.670.670.680.680.680.68
%BO9.7%9.0%9.7%8.4%8.4%8.4%8.4%8.4%8.4%8.5%8.5%8.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%1,029$1,466,667,807~EstN/A$0.4433N/AN/A$0.4433$5,054,279$4,912
20214.7%1,029$1,354,455,640~EstN/A$0.5300N/AN/A$0.5300$5,498,171$5,343
20228.0%1,029$1,748,799,081~EstN/A$0.4500N/AN/A$0.4500$6,442,983$6,261
20234.1%1,029$1,939,806,631~EstN/A$0.4500N/AN/A$0.4500$7,272,720$7,068
20243.2%1,029$1,406,527,764$1,138,933,38381.0%$0.5300N/AN/A$0.5300$6,021,956$5,852
2025~2.9%1,029$1,476,854,152$1,195,880,05281.0%$0.5300N/AN/A$0.5300$6,323,054$6,145
CAGR4.2%-1.0%3.6%3.6%4.5%4.5%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

HENDERSON (City)

Pop 13,271 PPA 1.74 %BO 21.7% Levy $5,735,267 Levy CAGR +7.4% E-Factor 3.74%
10,145 11,133 12,120 13,108 14,095 15,083 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 11,412 11,273 13,712 13,271 13,293 13,315 13,337 13,359 13,381 13,404 13,426 13,449 -0.1% +2.0% -0.3% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: HENDERSON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HENDERSON had a 2020 population of 13,271 across 11.9 square miles, yielding a density of 1.74 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 13,449, a gain of 178 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 21.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HENDERSON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 22.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): HENDERSON levied $5,735,267 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,480,997,429. The taxable value of $1,058,559,987 reflects 28.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5418 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4350 for Maintenance & Operations (80.3%) and $0.1068 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (19.7%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $432 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.4% CAGR lagged market value growth of 8.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.74% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): HENDERSON collected $8,382,308 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $631 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 146.2% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 10.1% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: HENDERSON demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HENDERSON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop11,41211,27313,71213,27113,29313,31513,33713,35913,38113,40413,42613,449
PPA1.491.471.791.741.741.741.741.751.751.751.761.76
%BO18.7%18.4%22.4%21.7%21.7%21.8%21.8%21.8%21.9%21.9%21.9%22.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%13,271$1,011,363,003$744,312,98573.6%$0.4745$0.077214.0%$0.5517$4,106,375$309$6,236,062$470151.9%
20214.7%13,273$1,016,577,906$746,741,69473.5%$0.4532$0.098517.9%$0.5517$4,119,774$310$6,862,161$517166.6%
20228.0%13,275$1,166,476,179$841,189,96372.1%$0.4544$0.087416.1%$0.5418$4,557,567$343$8,133,501$613178.5%
20234.1%13,277$1,274,722,774$941,436,71373.9%$0.4208$0.120922.3%$0.5417$5,099,763$384$9,226,850$695180.9%
20243.2%13,279$1,410,473,742$1,008,152,36971.5%$0.4350$0.106819.7%$0.5418$5,462,159$411$9,171,955$691167.9%
2025*2.9%13,282$1,480,997,429$1,058,559,98771.5%$0.4350$0.106819.7%$0.5418$5,735,267$432$8,382,308$631146.2%
CAGR4.2%0.0%8.7%7.9%-0.6%-1.7%6.7%7.1%-0.4%7.4%7.4%10.1%10.1%-0.8%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.1%9.1%7.3%6.8%9.5%8.4%9.6%10.9%7.4%7.7%9.1%7.3%$6,236,062
20216.6%9.4%6.8%5.8%9.8%8.4%8.6%9.8%8.1%8.0%10.4%8.3%$6,862,161
20227.2%9.1%6.9%6.3%11.3%7.8%7.7%9.4%8.0%8.1%10.2%8.1%$8,133,501
20237.3%9.9%6.0%7.3%9.9%7.8%9.0%10.2%7.7%7.5%9.1%8.2%$9,226,850
20248.9%8.7%6.9%7.1%9.1%7.4%7.7%9.7%8.7%8.1%8.4%9.3%$9,171,955
20258.8%11.7%7.2%6.3%9.1%7.5%8.6%8.9%7.7%7.2%9.2%7.8%$8,382,308
MEDIAN %7.3%9.4%7.0%6.7%9.8%7.9%8.7%9.9%8.0%7.9%9.3%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HENDERSON (County)

Pop 13,271 PPA 1.74 %BO 21.7% Levy $45,416,557 Levy CAGR +4.8% E-Factor 0.00%
10,145 11,133 12,120 13,108 14,095 15,083 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 11,412 11,273 13,712 13,271 13,293 13,315 13,337 13,359 13,381 13,404 13,426 13,449 -0.1% +2.0% -0.3% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: HENDERSON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HENDERSON had a 2020 population of 13,271 across 11.9 square miles, yielding a density of 1.74 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 13,449, a gain of 178 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 21.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HENDERSON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 22.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): HENDERSON levied $45,416,557 in property taxes on a market value base of $20,310,989,335. The taxable value of $14,436,072,866 reflects 28.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3242 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3071 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $3,419 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 4.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 16.8% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments.
Strategic Outlook: HENDERSON demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HENDERSON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop11,41211,27313,71213,27113,29313,31513,33713,35913,38113,40413,42613,449
PPA1.491.471.791.741.741.741.741.751.751.751.761.76
%BO18.7%18.4%22.4%21.7%21.7%21.8%21.8%21.8%21.9%21.9%21.9%22.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%13,271$10,408,059,355~EstN/A$0.4622N/AN/A$0.4622$35,908,558$2,706
20214.7%13,273$11,273,375,742~EstN/A$0.4465N/AN/A$0.4465$37,074,990$2,793
20228.0%13,275$15,274,511,202~EstN/A$0.3492N/AN/A$0.3492$38,810,023$2,924
20234.1%13,277$16,606,604,637~EstN/A$0.3314N/AN/A$0.3314$39,089,430$2,944
20243.2%13,279$19,343,799,367$13,748,640,82571.1%$0.3071N/AN/A$0.3242$43,253,864$3,257
2025~2.9%13,282$20,310,989,335$14,436,072,86671.1%$0.3071N/AN/A$0.3242$45,416,557$3,419
CAGR4.2%0.0%16.8%-7.8%-6.8%4.8%4.7%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

HENDERSON COUNTY (City)

Pop 82,150 PPA 0.15 %BO 1.8% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
52,688 73,911 95,133 116,355 137,578 158,800 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 58,543 73,277 78,532 82,150 88,184 94,652 101,583 109,009 116,964 125,483 134,603 144,364 +2.3% +0.7% +0.5% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% Population Trend: HENDERSON COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HENDERSON COUNTY had a 2020 population of 82,150 across 873.8 square miles, yielding a density of 0.15 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 144,364, a gain of 62,214 (+75.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.71% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HENDERSON COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 3.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: HENDERSON COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HENDERSON COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop58,54373,27778,53282,15088,18494,652101,583109,009116,964125,483134,603144,364
PPA0.100.130.140.150.160.170.180.190.210.220.240.26
%BO1.3%1.6%1.8%1.8%2.0%2.1%2.3%2.4%2.6%2.8%3.0%3.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HEREFORD (City)

Pop 14,972 PPA 3.94 %BO 49.3% Levy $2,840,991 Levy CAGR +4.9% E-Factor 0.72%
13,137 13,891 14,645 15,399 16,153 16,907 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 14,967 14,597 15,370 14,972 14,996 15,021 15,047 15,072 15,097 15,122 15,147 15,172 -0.3% +0.5% -0.3% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: HEREFORD (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HEREFORD had a 2020 population of 14,972 across 5.9 square miles, yielding a density of 3.94 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 15,172, a gain of 200 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 49.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HEREFORD has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 50.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): HEREFORD levied $2,840,991 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,239,144,324. The taxable value of $1,014,639,790 reflects 18.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.2800 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2800 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $190 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 4.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 8.5% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.72% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): HEREFORD collected $3,540,667 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $236 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 124.6% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.6% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: HEREFORD demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HEREFORD
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop14,96714,59715,37014,97214,99615,02115,04715,07215,09715,12215,14715,172
PPA3.943.854.053.943.953.963.963.973.983.983.994.00
%BO49.3%48.1%50.6%49.3%49.4%49.5%49.6%49.6%49.7%49.8%49.9%50.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%14,972$852,417,580$698,319,54781.9%$0.3200N/AN/A$0.3200$2,234,623$149$2,703,450$181121.0%
20214.7%14,974$913,614,770$751,325,40182.2%$0.3100N/AN/A$0.3100$2,329,109$156$2,965,949$198127.3%
20228.0%14,976$1,043,355,561$854,036,34681.9%$0.2878N/AN/A$0.2878$2,457,917$164$3,469,289$232141.1%
20234.1%14,979$1,164,059,381$943,452,51881.0%$0.2750N/AN/A$0.2750$2,594,494$173$3,592,261$240138.5%
20243.2%14,981$1,180,137,451$966,323,61081.9%$0.2800N/AN/A$0.2800$2,705,706$181$3,486,436$233128.9%
2025*2.9%14,984$1,239,144,324$1,014,639,79081.9%$0.2800N/AN/A$0.2800$2,840,991$190$3,540,667$236124.6%
CAGR4.2%0.0%8.5%8.5%-0.0%-2.6%-2.6%4.9%4.9%6.6%6.5%0.6%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.4%9.5%7.3%6.6%9.1%8.5%9.1%9.9%8.2%7.7%9.2%7.6%$2,703,450
20217.4%9.4%7.2%6.8%10.1%8.4%7.5%9.4%7.9%7.7%9.6%8.7%$2,965,949
20227.4%10.0%6.7%7.3%9.9%7.5%7.8%10.0%7.8%9.3%8.8%7.5%$3,469,289
20238.6%9.9%7.0%7.1%10.0%7.0%7.9%10.7%7.5%8.2%8.6%7.4%$3,592,261
20248.3%9.6%7.4%7.6%9.2%7.4%7.9%8.3%8.3%7.9%9.2%9.0%$3,486,436
20257.8%10.5%7.4%6.9%9.4%8.3%7.9%9.3%8.0%8.0%8.3%8.0%$3,540,667
MEDIAN %7.6%9.8%7.3%7.1%9.7%8.0%8.0%9.7%8.0%8.0%9.0%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HEWITT (City)

Pop 16,026 PPA 3.67 %BO 45.9% Levy $8,860,532 Levy CAGR +10.2% E-Factor 5.14%
8,079 12,458 16,838 21,217 25,596 29,976 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 8,977 11,085 13,549 16,026 17,584 19,140 20,671 22,153 23,566 24,894 26,125 27,251 +2.1% +2.0% +1.7% +0.9% +0.9% +0.8% +0.7% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% Population Trend: HEWITT (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HEWITT had a 2020 population of 16,026 across 6.8 square miles, yielding a density of 3.67 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 27,251, a gain of 11,225 (+70.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.67% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 45.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HEWITT has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 78.0%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): HEWITT levied $8,860,532 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,230,039,659. The taxable value of $1,643,633,482 reflects 26.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5391 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3494 for Maintenance & Operations (64.8%) and $0.1897 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (35.2%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $527 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 10.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 12.8% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 5.14% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): HEWITT collected $4,453,628 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $265 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 50.3% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 12.0% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: HEWITT demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HEWITT
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop8,97711,08513,54916,02617,58419,14020,67122,15323,56624,89426,12527,251
PPA2.062.543.103.674.034.394.745.085.405.705.996.24
%BO25.7%31.7%38.8%45.9%50.4%54.8%59.2%63.4%67.5%71.3%74.8%78.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%16,026$1,311,080,580$1,044,842,50679.7%$0.3279$0.220040.2%$0.5478$5,724,044$357$3,062,140$19153.5%
20214.7%16,181$1,453,286,150$1,132,424,42977.9%$0.3471$0.193035.7%$0.5401$6,116,247$378$3,382,959$20955.3%
20228.0%16,337$1,787,974,700$1,301,880,09272.8%$0.3316$0.208538.6%$0.5401$7,031,480$430$4,135,343$25358.8%
20234.1%16,493$2,019,601,039$1,474,189,42773.0%$0.3321$0.214639.3%$0.5467$8,059,924$489$4,524,378$27456.1%
20243.2%16,649$2,123,847,294$1,565,365,22173.7%$0.3494$0.189735.2%$0.5391$8,438,602$507$4,820,690$29057.1%
2025*2.9%16,805$2,230,039,659$1,643,633,48273.7%$0.3494$0.189735.2%$0.5391$8,860,532$527$4,453,628$26550.3%
CAGR4.2%1.0%12.8%10.6%-1.6%1.3%-2.9%-2.6%-0.3%10.2%9.1%12.0%11.0%-1.2%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.9%11.0%6.9%6.6%8.4%7.7%7.7%9.8%10.2%8.1%8.8%7.9%$3,062,140
20217.1%9.5%6.9%6.0%10.7%7.8%8.0%9.6%7.8%8.0%10.6%8.0%$3,382,959
20229.1%10.1%6.2%6.6%10.0%8.2%8.1%8.7%7.6%8.3%9.1%7.9%$4,135,343
20238.0%10.2%7.3%7.0%9.8%7.5%8.3%8.7%7.6%8.1%9.4%8.2%$4,524,378
20248.1%9.8%6.7%7.7%10.7%7.6%8.2%9.8%7.8%7.6%8.3%7.8%$4,820,690
20258.7%8.5%6.9%7.4%9.9%8.0%9.7%8.8%7.4%7.6%8.9%8.2%$4,453,628
MEDIAN %8.1%10.0%6.9%6.9%10.0%7.8%8.2%9.2%7.7%8.1%9.1%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HIDALGO (City)

Pop 13,964 PPA 3.34 %BO 41.7% Levy $3,856,474 Levy CAGR +10.6% E-Factor 7.43%
3,123 9,160 15,197 21,234 27,271 33,308 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 3,471 7,322 11,198 13,964 16,627 19,300 21,849 24,164 26,175 27,854 29,212 30,280 +7.8% +4.3% +2.2% +1.8% +1.5% +1.2% +1.0% +0.8% +0.6% +0.5% +0.4% Population Trend: HIDALGO (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HIDALGO had a 2020 population of 13,964 across 6.5 square miles, yielding a density of 3.34 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 30,280, a gain of 16,316 (+116.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.97% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 41.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HIDALGO has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 90.4%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): HIDALGO levied $3,856,474 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,393,278,948. The taxable value of $1,097,459,918 reflects 21.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3514 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2218 for Maintenance & Operations (63.1%) and $0.1296 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (36.9%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $252 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 10.6% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 10.2% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 7.43% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): HIDALGO collected $5,771,209 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $377 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 149.6% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 18.0% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: HIDALGO demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HIDALGO
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop3,4717,32211,19813,96416,62719,30021,84924,16426,17527,85429,21230,280
PPA0.831.752.683.343.974.615.225.776.256.656.987.23
%BO10.4%21.9%33.4%41.7%49.7%57.6%65.3%72.2%78.2%83.2%87.2%90.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%13,964$899,967,433$697,984,25977.6%$0.3514N/AN/A$0.3514$2,452,717$176$3,114,804$223127.0%
20214.7%14,230$979,115,331$763,630,71778.0%$0.2327$0.118733.8%$0.3514$2,683,398$189$3,921,181$276146.1%
20228.0%14,496$1,175,003,678$881,490,74175.0%$0.2565$0.094927.0%$0.3514$3,097,558$214$4,827,955$333155.9%
20234.1%14,762$1,272,595,733$970,457,44976.3%$0.2336$0.117833.5%$0.3514$3,410,187$231$5,394,617$365158.2%
20243.2%15,029$1,326,932,331$1,045,199,92278.8%$0.2218$0.129636.9%$0.3514$3,672,832$244$6,028,771$401164.1%
2025*2.9%15,295$1,393,278,948$1,097,459,91878.8%$0.2218$0.129636.9%$0.3514$3,856,474$252$5,771,209$377149.6%
CAGR4.2%1.8%10.2%10.6%0.3%-8.8%10.6%8.6%18.0%15.8%3.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.5%10.5%8.4%7.9%8.8%6.7%8.0%8.5%7.4%7.6%9.7%8.0%$3,114,804
20217.3%9.8%7.3%6.4%9.8%6.6%8.6%10.1%8.5%7.9%9.7%8.0%$3,921,181
20227.9%10.0%6.3%6.8%11.9%8.5%7.4%8.6%7.3%8.3%8.7%8.2%$4,827,955
20238.4%8.4%6.4%7.0%9.3%8.3%8.7%9.0%7.8%8.6%9.5%8.5%$5,394,617
20248.2%9.1%7.5%7.1%9.9%7.8%7.6%10.3%10.2%6.9%8.2%7.3%$6,028,771
20258.4%10.8%7.3%6.9%8.5%8.0%8.1%8.7%8.1%7.2%9.3%8.7%$5,771,209
MEDIAN %8.3%9.9%7.3%6.9%9.6%7.9%8.0%8.8%8.0%7.8%9.4%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HIDALGO (County)

Pop 13,964 PPA 3.34 %BO 41.7% Levy $352,074,176 Levy CAGR +11.2% E-Factor 4.30%
3,123 9,160 15,197 21,234 27,271 33,308 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 3,471 7,322 11,198 13,964 16,627 19,300 21,849 24,164 26,175 27,854 29,212 30,280 +7.8% +4.3% +2.2% +1.8% +1.5% +1.2% +1.0% +0.8% +0.6% +0.5% +0.4% Population Trend: HIDALGO (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HIDALGO had a 2020 population of 13,964 across 6.5 square miles, yielding a density of 3.34 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 30,280, a gain of 16,316 (+116.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.97% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 41.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HIDALGO has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 90.4%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): HIDALGO levied $352,074,176 in property taxes on a market value base of $79,018,241,995. The taxable value of $62,883,010,221 reflects 20.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5750 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5188 for Maintenance & Operations (90.2%) and $0.0562 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (9.8%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $23,019 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 11.2% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 10.6% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.30% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: HIDALGO demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HIDALGO
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop3,4717,32211,19813,96416,62719,30021,84924,16426,17527,85429,21230,280
PPA0.831.752.683.343.974.615.225.776.256.656.987.23
%BO10.4%21.9%33.4%41.7%49.7%57.6%65.3%72.2%78.2%83.2%87.2%90.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%13,964$50,352,145,824~EstN/A$0.5750N/AN/A$0.5750$219,621,461$15,728
20214.7%14,230$56,079,024,524~EstN/A$0.5132$0.061810.7%$0.5750$247,989,143$17,427
20228.0%14,496$62,682,230,460~EstN/A$0.5172$0.057810.1%$0.5750$277,191,222$19,122
20234.1%14,762$72,213,103,736~EstN/A$0.5126$0.062410.9%$0.5750$318,871,981$21,601
20243.2%15,029$75,255,468,567$59,888,581,16379.6%$0.5188$0.05629.8%$0.5750$335,308,739$22,311
2025~2.9%15,295$79,018,241,995$62,883,010,22179.6%$0.5188$0.05629.8%$0.5750$352,074,176$23,019
CAGR4.2%1.8%10.6%-2.0%11.2%9.1%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

HIDALGO COUNTY (City)

Pop 870,781 PPA 0.87 %BO 10.8% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
345,190 875,900 1,406,610 1,937,320 2,468,029 2,998,739 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 383,545 569,463 774,769 870,781 1,020,644 1,192,048 1,386,599 1,605,519 1,849,469 2,118,376 2,411,261 2,726,127 +4.0% +3.1% +1.2% +1.6% +1.6% +1.5% +1.5% +1.4% +1.4% +1.3% +1.2% Population Trend: HIDALGO COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HIDALGO COUNTY had a 2020 population of 870,781 across 1570.8 square miles, yielding a density of 0.87 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 2,726,127, a gain of 1,855,346 (+213.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.44% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 10.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HIDALGO COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 33.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: HIDALGO COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HIDALGO COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop383,545569,463774,769870,7811,020,6441,192,0481,386,5991,605,5191,849,4692,118,3762,411,2612,726,127
PPA0.380.570.770.871.021.191.381.601.842.112.402.71
%BO4.8%7.1%9.6%10.8%12.7%14.8%17.2%20.0%23.0%26.3%30.0%33.9%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HIGHLAND PARK (City)

Pop 8,864 PPA 6.18 %BO 77.3% Levy $20,615,740 Levy CAGR +6.5% E-Factor 8.47%
7,707 8,187 8,666 9,146 9,626 10,105 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 8,839 8,842 8,564 8,864 8,906 8,947 8,989 9,029 9,069 9,109 9,148 9,187 +0.0% -0.3% +0.3% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: HIGHLAND PARK (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HIGHLAND PARK had a 2020 population of 8,864 across 2.2 square miles, yielding a density of 6.18 persons per acre (PPA). This high density suggests an urbanized area with limited greenfield expansion potential. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 9,187, a gain of 323 (+3.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.04% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 77.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HIGHLAND PARK is approaching full build-out. By 2100, build-out is projected at 80.1%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): HIGHLAND PARK levied $20,615,740 in property taxes on a market value base of $14,414,919,698. The taxable value of $9,885,274,749 reflects 31.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.2086 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2086 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $2,320 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 13.8% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 8.47% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): HIGHLAND PARK collected $9,560,387 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $1,076 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 46.4% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 20.5% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: HIGHLAND PARK demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HIGHLAND PARK
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop8,8398,8428,5648,8648,9068,9478,9899,0299,0699,1099,1489,187
PPA6.176.175.976.186.216.246.276.306.336.356.386.41
%BO77.1%77.1%74.7%77.3%77.7%78.0%78.4%78.7%79.1%79.4%79.8%80.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%8,864$8,172,700,730$6,633,514,65981.2%$0.2300N/AN/A$0.2300$15,257,084$1,721$4,221,916$47627.7%
20214.7%8,868$8,370,108,980$6,781,500,49281.0%$0.2300N/AN/A$0.2300$15,597,451$1,759$5,752,956$64936.9%
20228.0%8,872$9,598,949,530$7,486,883,76978.0%$0.2300N/AN/A$0.2300$17,219,833$1,941$6,984,557$78740.6%
20234.1%8,876$11,826,464,820$8,466,981,32371.6%$0.2205N/AN/A$0.2205$18,672,234$2,104$6,584,409$74235.3%
20243.2%8,880$13,728,494,950$9,414,547,38068.6%$0.2086N/AN/A$0.2086$19,634,038$2,211$8,905,311$1,00345.4%
2025*2.9%8,885$14,414,919,698$9,885,274,74968.6%$0.2086N/AN/A$0.2086$20,615,740$2,320$9,560,387$1,07646.4%
CAGR4.2%0.0%13.8%9.1%-3.3%-1.9%-1.9%6.5%6.5%20.5%20.5%10.9%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20209.7%15.3%8.9%6.8%8.3%3.5%6.0%7.6%7.2%7.6%10.1%9.1%$4,221,916
20217.7%11.5%6.0%5.8%8.7%8.1%9.1%9.3%7.8%8.2%9.3%8.4%$5,752,956
20229.4%13.1%6.9%6.2%9.4%8.7%8.0%8.5%6.3%7.7%8.2%7.4%$6,984,557
20239.1%13.3%7.4%8.0%9.3%8.1%6.7%8.3%6.1%7.3%8.2%8.3%$6,584,409
20248.3%10.5%5.7%6.7%7.7%7.2%7.8%7.6%9.7%13.2%7.4%8.1%$8,905,311
20258.3%13.3%5.9%6.8%8.3%7.4%7.9%10.1%8.5%6.3%8.5%8.6%$9,560,387
MEDIAN %8.8%13.2%6.5%6.8%8.6%7.8%7.9%8.5%7.5%7.7%8.4%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HIGHLAND VILLAGE (City)

Pop 15,899 PPA 4.52 %BO 56.5% Levy $17,704,701 Levy CAGR +5.4% E-Factor 0.68%
6,446 10,109 13,771 17,433 21,096 24,758 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 7,163 12,173 15,056 15,899 16,858 17,792 18,693 19,553 20,368 21,133 21,847 22,508 +5.4% +2.1% +0.5% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: HIGHLAND VILLAGE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HIGHLAND VILLAGE had a 2020 population of 15,899 across 5.5 square miles, yielding a density of 4.52 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 22,508, a gain of 6,609 (+41.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.44% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 56.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HIGHLAND VILLAGE is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 79.9%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): HIGHLAND VILLAGE levied $17,704,701 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,983,169,843. The taxable value of $3,539,008,064 reflects 11.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5003 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4247 for Maintenance & Operations (84.9%) and $0.0755 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (15.1%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,081 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.4% CAGR lagged market value growth of 9.9% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.68% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): HIGHLAND VILLAGE collected $5,484,004 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $335 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 31.0% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.2% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: HIGHLAND VILLAGE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HIGHLAND VILLAGE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop7,16312,17315,05615,89916,85817,79218,69319,55320,36821,13321,84722,508
PPA2.033.464.284.524.795.055.315.555.796.006.216.39
%BO25.4%43.2%53.5%56.5%59.9%63.2%66.4%69.4%72.3%75.0%77.6%79.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%15,899$2,596,641,690$2,427,551,15293.5%$0.4781$0.084915.1%$0.5630$13,667,598$860$4,128,791$26030.2%
20214.7%15,994$2,717,646,528$2,528,393,65493.0%$0.4826$0.080814.3%$0.5635$14,246,841$891$4,664,879$29232.7%
20228.0%16,090$3,231,967,589$2,826,440,41987.5%$0.4718$0.075013.7%$0.5468$15,455,683$961$5,197,091$32333.6%
20234.1%16,186$3,785,386,977$3,194,493,10684.4%$0.4337$0.067713.5%$0.5014$16,016,997$990$5,395,653$33333.7%
20243.2%16,282$3,793,495,089$3,370,483,87088.8%$0.4247$0.075515.1%$0.5003$16,861,620$1,036$5,446,876$33532.3%
2025*2.9%16,378$3,983,169,843$3,539,008,06488.8%$0.4247$0.075515.1%$0.5003$17,704,701$1,081$5,484,004$33531.0%
CAGR4.2%0.6%9.9%8.6%-1.0%-2.3%-2.3%0.0%-2.3%5.4%4.8%7.2%6.5%0.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.6%12.6%8.2%6.4%7.8%6.5%7.5%9.6%7.4%7.4%9.8%8.3%$4,128,791
20217.6%10.8%6.9%6.2%9.3%7.6%8.0%9.6%8.5%7.9%8.8%8.8%$4,664,879
20228.5%11.5%6.8%6.5%8.6%7.9%8.1%9.2%8.3%8.0%8.6%8.0%$5,197,091
20238.2%11.4%6.8%6.8%9.3%7.2%8.4%9.0%8.2%8.7%8.8%7.3%$5,395,653
20248.8%11.3%7.5%7.5%8.8%7.7%8.3%8.6%8.0%7.6%8.2%7.8%$5,446,876
20258.3%11.8%7.1%6.8%9.1%7.9%8.2%8.7%8.2%7.6%8.1%8.2%$5,484,004
MEDIAN %8.4%11.4%7.0%6.6%8.9%7.6%8.1%9.1%8.2%7.8%8.7%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HILL COUNTY (City)

Pop 35,874 PPA 0.06 %BO 0.7% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
24,431 31,323 38,216 45,108 52,001 58,894 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 27,146 32,321 35,089 35,874 37,718 39,656 41,693 43,833 46,083 48,447 50,930 53,540 +1.8% +0.8% +0.2% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% Population Trend: HILL COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HILL COUNTY had a 2020 population of 35,874 across 958.9 square miles, yielding a density of 0.06 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 53,540, a gain of 17,666 (+49.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.50% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HILL COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 1.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: HILL COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HILL COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop27,14632,32135,08935,87437,71839,65641,69343,83346,08348,44750,93053,540
PPA0.040.050.060.060.060.060.070.070.080.080.080.09
%BO0.6%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.9%0.9%1.0%1.0%1.1%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.7%10.0%7.2%7.9%8.7%6.0%7.0%9.3%7.5%6.7%10.1%10.9%$2,377,273
20218.5%8.8%8.5%5.2%9.8%8.0%7.7%11.0%7.7%7.8%9.1%7.8%$3,115,861
20226.6%8.8%9.5%5.8%8.7%7.6%7.6%9.6%8.3%9.2%9.3%8.9%$3,983,231
20238.6%10.0%7.1%6.7%9.7%7.1%8.0%9.0%7.8%8.9%8.8%8.2%$4,178,574
20246.8%7.3%6.7%5.7%7.8%14.2%8.6%8.4%10.1%9.1%7.4%7.7%$4,723,224
20256.9%10.3%7.7%6.6%9.3%9.6%8.6%8.8%8.1%8.2%8.4%7.6%$4,778,694
MEDIAN %7.9%9.6%7.6%6.3%9.2%8.0%8.0%9.4%8.1%8.7%9.2%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HILLSBORO (City)

Pop 8,221 PPA 1.26 %BO 15.8% Levy $6,798,662 Levy CAGR +9.7% E-Factor 7.23%
6,474 7,040 7,605 8,170 8,736 9,301 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 7,194 8,232 8,456 8,221 8,234 8,248 8,262 8,275 8,289 8,303 8,317 8,331 +1.4% +0.3% -0.3% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: HILLSBORO (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HILLSBORO had a 2020 population of 8,221 across 10.2 square miles, yielding a density of 1.26 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 8,331, a gain of 110 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 15.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HILLSBORO has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 16.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): HILLSBORO levied $6,798,662 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,431,946,701. The taxable value of $882,255,670 reflects 38.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7706 per $100 valuation consists of $0.6455 for Maintenance & Operations (83.8%) and $0.1251 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (16.2%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $826 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 9.7% CAGR lagged market value growth of 12.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 7.23% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): HILLSBORO collected $6,075,403 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $738 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 89.4% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 14.8% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: HILLSBORO demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HILLSBORO
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop7,1948,2328,4568,2218,2348,2488,2628,2758,2898,3038,3178,331
PPA1.111.261.301.261.271.271.271.271.271.281.281.28
%BO13.8%15.8%16.2%15.8%15.8%15.8%15.9%15.9%15.9%15.9%16.0%16.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%8,221$844,162,751$554,406,42765.7%$0.6471$0.159319.8%$0.8064$4,470,733$544$3,234,713$39372.4%
20214.7%8,222$881,529,086$580,391,47465.8%$0.6471$0.159319.8%$0.8064$4,680,277$569$4,451,248$54195.1%
20228.0%8,223$1,072,525,015$675,102,99662.9%$0.6536$0.152818.9%$0.8064$5,444,031$662$5,235,056$63796.2%
20234.1%8,224$1,230,708,264$771,156,93562.7%$0.6735$0.132916.5%$0.8064$6,218,610$756$5,356,348$65186.1%
20243.2%8,226$1,363,758,763$840,243,49561.6%$0.6455$0.125116.2%$0.7706$6,474,916$787$5,614,252$68386.7%
2025*2.9%8,227$1,431,946,701$882,255,67061.6%$0.6455$0.125116.2%$0.7706$6,798,662$826$6,075,403$73889.4%
CAGR4.2%0.0%12.7%11.0%-1.3%-0.0%-4.7%-3.8%-0.9%9.7%9.7%14.8%14.8%4.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.3%10.5%6.7%6.8%8.6%6.0%8.0%10.1%7.9%8.0%10.2%8.9%$3,234,713
20216.5%9.3%8.9%5.2%10.0%8.2%8.1%12.0%7.3%8.3%9.1%7.1%$4,451,248
20226.4%8.3%5.5%5.4%8.5%7.5%8.3%10.4%9.7%9.9%10.4%9.7%$5,235,056
20239.0%11.9%6.4%7.2%10.2%7.2%7.6%9.8%7.1%8.3%8.2%7.2%$5,356,348
20246.7%8.5%7.1%7.8%8.2%7.1%9.2%9.6%10.3%8.1%8.7%8.8%$5,614,252
20257.3%10.0%7.5%6.0%9.9%8.3%8.3%9.2%8.5%8.2%8.4%8.3%$6,075,403
MEDIAN %7.1%9.8%7.0%6.5%9.4%7.4%8.3%10.1%8.3%8.3%9.0%8.7%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HITCHCOCK (City)

Pop 7,301 PPA 0.19 %BO 2.4% Levy $5,067,639 Levy CAGR +14.3% E-Factor 4.41%
5,181 6,709 8,237 9,766 11,294 12,822 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 5,757 6,386 6,961 7,301 7,743 8,212 8,708 9,233 9,789 10,377 10,999 11,657 +1.0% +0.9% +0.5% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% Population Trend: HITCHCOCK (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HITCHCOCK had a 2020 population of 7,301 across 60.5 square miles, yielding a density of 0.19 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 11,657, a gain of 4,356 (+59.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.59% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 2.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HITCHCOCK has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 3.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): HITCHCOCK levied $5,067,639 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,397,846,049. The taxable value of $938,451,834 reflects 32.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5400 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4600 for Maintenance & Operations (85.2%) and $0.0800 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (14.8%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $674 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 14.3% CAGR lagged market value growth of 19.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.41% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): HITCHCOCK collected $1,479,187 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $197 falls below regional averages, indicating primarily residential character with retail leakage to neighboring communities. Sales tax represents 29.2% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 5.7% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: HITCHCOCK demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HITCHCOCK
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop5,7576,3866,9617,3017,7438,2128,7089,2339,78910,37710,99911,657
PPA0.150.170.180.190.200.210.230.240.250.270.280.30
%BO1.9%2.1%2.2%2.4%2.5%2.7%2.8%3.0%3.2%3.4%3.6%3.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%7,301$663,469,157$514,575,33177.6%$0.5501N/AN/A$0.5501$2,830,838$388$1,208,840$16642.7%
20214.7%7,345$808,182,594$607,835,07375.2%$0.5025$0.02755.2%$0.5300$3,221,526$439$1,370,167$18742.5%
20228.0%7,389$931,631,324$713,414,70776.6%$0.4902$0.00982.0%$0.5000$3,567,074$483$1,369,306$18538.4%
20234.1%7,433$1,061,401,961$806,996,36376.0%$0.4824$0.01262.6%$0.4950$3,994,632$537$1,425,889$19235.7%
20243.2%7,477$1,331,281,951$893,763,65167.1%$0.4600$0.080014.8%$0.5400$4,826,323$645$1,511,048$20231.3%
2025*2.9%7,522$1,397,846,049$938,451,83467.1%$0.4600$0.080014.8%$0.5400$5,067,639$674$1,479,187$19729.2%
CAGR4.2%0.6%19.0%14.8%-2.8%-3.5%-0.4%14.3%13.6%5.7%5.1%-7.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.2%8.8%8.9%7.5%8.6%8.2%8.2%9.1%7.7%8.1%9.8%7.8%$1,208,840
20216.6%8.8%7.1%7.2%9.9%7.0%8.7%12.1%8.4%8.4%8.4%7.3%$1,370,167
20226.5%8.6%7.8%6.9%8.4%8.3%7.0%9.4%8.1%9.9%10.2%8.8%$1,369,306
20237.3%9.5%6.5%7.4%9.8%7.4%7.8%8.6%8.1%8.6%10.3%8.7%$1,425,889
20246.4%9.3%8.1%8.0%9.6%9.0%7.5%9.4%8.1%8.4%8.6%7.5%$1,511,048
20257.1%10.1%7.1%6.6%8.6%8.1%7.6%9.7%8.4%7.8%9.2%9.8%$1,479,187
MEDIAN %6.9%9.1%7.5%7.4%9.2%8.2%7.7%9.4%8.2%8.5%9.6%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HOCKLEY COUNTY (City)

Pop 21,537 PPA 0.04 %BO 0.5% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
19,383 20,830 22,277 23,724 25,171 26,618 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 24,199 22,716 22,935 21,537 21,572 21,608 21,644 21,680 21,717 21,753 21,789 21,825 -0.6% +0.1% -0.6% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: HOCKLEY COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HOCKLEY COUNTY had a 2020 population of 21,537 across 908.4 square miles, yielding a density of 0.04 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 21,825, a gain of 288 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HOCKLEY COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: HOCKLEY COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HOCKLEY COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop24,19922,71622,93521,53721,57221,60821,64421,68021,71721,75321,78921,825
PPA0.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.04
%BO0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HONDO (City)

Pop 8,289 PPA 1.35 %BO 16.8% Levy $2,407,294 Levy CAGR +7.1% E-Factor 1.22%
5,529 6,360 7,191 8,021 8,852 9,683 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 6,144 7,897 8,803 8,289 8,317 8,346 8,374 8,403 8,432 8,461 8,490 8,519 +2.5% +1.1% -0.6% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: HONDO (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HONDO had a 2020 population of 8,289 across 9.6 square miles, yielding a density of 1.35 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 8,519, a gain of 230 (+2.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.03% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 16.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HONDO has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 17.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): HONDO levied $2,407,294 in property taxes on a market value base of $602,212,146. The taxable value of $501,519,702 reflects 16.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4800 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3170 for Maintenance & Operations (66.0%) and $0.1630 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (34.0%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $290 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.22% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): HONDO collected $2,318,706 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $279 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 96.3% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 5.4% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: HONDO demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HONDO
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop6,1447,8978,8038,2898,3178,3468,3748,4038,4328,4618,4908,519
PPA1.001.281.431.351.351.361.361.361.371.371.381.38
%BO12.5%16.0%17.9%16.8%16.9%16.9%17.0%17.1%17.1%17.2%17.2%17.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%8,289$391,407,656$352,805,34290.1%$0.3796$0.114423.2%$0.4940$1,742,858$210$1,736,949$21099.7%
20214.7%8,291$431,930,954$384,763,74489.1%$0.3668$0.119824.6%$0.4866$1,872,260$226$1,885,814$227100.7%
20228.0%8,294$537,413,001$449,450,10383.6%$0.2894$0.147633.8%$0.4370$1,964,097$237$1,995,119$241101.6%
20234.1%8,297$574,431,430$476,285,31182.9%$0.2858$0.151234.6%$0.4370$2,081,367$251$2,147,786$259103.2%
20243.2%8,300$573,535,377$477,637,81183.3%$0.3170$0.163034.0%$0.4800$2,292,661$276$2,144,369$25893.5%
2025*2.9%8,303$602,212,146$501,519,70283.3%$0.3170$0.163034.0%$0.4800$2,407,294$290$2,318,706$27996.3%
CAGR4.2%0.0%10.0%7.9%-1.6%-3.5%7.3%8.0%-0.6%7.1%7.1%5.4%5.4%-0.7%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.6%9.4%6.3%6.3%8.6%7.9%8.5%10.7%8.6%8.2%9.8%8.2%$1,736,949
20217.5%8.9%7.2%6.1%9.5%7.7%8.5%9.8%8.7%8.3%10.0%7.6%$1,885,814
20229.7%10.1%7.6%7.4%9.3%7.6%7.5%9.5%7.3%8.0%8.5%7.5%$1,995,119
20238.2%9.1%6.6%7.1%9.6%9.0%8.0%9.0%9.1%8.6%7.7%8.1%$2,147,786
20248.2%8.7%7.4%7.9%9.0%7.6%7.8%8.4%7.8%8.2%8.4%10.6%$2,144,369
20257.3%7.9%6.7%6.5%8.2%7.8%7.2%8.6%8.2%8.7%12.7%10.3%$2,318,706
MEDIAN %8.0%9.1%7.1%6.9%9.2%7.9%8.0%9.4%8.5%8.3%9.3%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HOOD COUNTY (City)

Pop 61,598 PPA 0.23 %BO 2.9% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
26,082 86,360 146,637 206,915 267,192 327,470 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 28,981 41,100 51,182 61,598 75,619 92,692 113,411 138,454 168,576 204,591 247,353 297,700 +3.6% +2.2% +1.9% +2.1% +2.1% +2.0% +2.0% +2.0% +2.0% +1.9% +1.9% Population Trend: HOOD COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HOOD COUNTY had a 2020 population of 61,598 across 420.7 square miles, yielding a density of 0.23 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 297,700, a gain of 236,102 (+383.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.99% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 2.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HOOD COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 13.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: HOOD COUNTY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HOOD COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop28,98141,10051,18261,59875,61992,692113,411138,454168,576204,591247,353297,700
PPA0.110.150.190.230.280.340.420.510.630.760.921.11
%BO1.3%1.9%2.4%2.9%3.5%4.3%5.3%6.4%7.8%9.5%11.5%13.8%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%9.8%7.1%7.1%8.4%8.0%8.7%10.1%8.4%7.8%8.9%8.4%$4,781,078
20217.3%9.5%6.6%6.2%9.9%8.8%7.5%10.3%8.7%8.2%9.5%7.2%$5,393,565
20228.1%9.0%7.4%6.6%8.8%8.3%8.5%9.6%8.1%8.5%8.7%8.4%$6,227,324
20237.2%9.0%6.6%6.3%12.5%8.1%8.1%9.2%7.6%10.0%8.4%7.1%$7,123,706
20248.3%8.4%6.0%6.3%8.8%7.6%8.8%9.6%8.6%8.5%9.4%9.8%$8,110,668
202510.6%14.0%7.7%5.6%7.9%7.6%7.9%8.0%7.7%7.8%7.6%7.8%$8,453,648
MEDIAN %7.9%9.4%6.9%6.4%9.0%8.2%8.4%9.7%8.4%8.5%9.0%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HOPKINS COUNTY (City)

Pop 36,787 PPA 0.07 %BO 0.9% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
25,949 33,725 41,501 49,276 57,052 64,828 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 28,833 31,960 35,161 36,787 39,024 41,397 43,911 46,577 49,403 52,398 55,572 58,935 +1.0% +1.0% +0.5% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% Population Trend: HOPKINS COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HOPKINS COUNTY had a 2020 population of 36,787 across 767.4 square miles, yielding a density of 0.07 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 58,935, a gain of 22,148 (+60.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.59% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HOPKINS COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 1.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: HOPKINS COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HOPKINS COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop28,83331,96035,16136,78739,02441,39743,91146,57749,40352,39855,57258,935
PPA0.060.070.070.070.080.080.090.090.100.110.110.12
%BO0.7%0.8%0.9%0.9%1.0%1.1%1.1%1.2%1.3%1.3%1.4%1.5%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%9.3%7.5%7.0%7.8%8.5%8.5%10.1%8.4%8.1%9.1%8.3%$2,676,199
20217.4%9.4%7.2%6.2%9.8%8.9%7.2%9.3%8.4%8.1%9.3%8.8%$2,981,688
20226.7%9.2%6.4%6.1%8.7%8.6%9.8%9.4%7.5%7.8%7.4%12.4%$4,062,626
20237.7%11.4%9.4%8.8%9.2%7.2%8.4%8.2%7.6%7.7%7.8%6.5%$3,887,717
20248.0%8.6%6.7%7.1%8.0%8.4%6.8%7.1%9.6%7.1%8.2%14.2%$3,970,510
20256.9%8.7%7.7%5.9%11.7%8.2%6.7%7.0%13.9%7.9%7.5%7.9%$4,541,173
MEDIAN %7.5%9.5%7.5%6.8%9.2%8.7%8.0%9.0%8.7%8.1%8.2%8.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HORIZON CITY (City)

Pop 22,489 PPA 4.03 %BO 50.4% Levy $9,533,407 Levy CAGR +11.5% E-Factor 2.62%
2,092 11,301 20,510 29,719 38,929 48,138 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 2,325 5,233 16,735 22,489 27,829 32,582 36,394 39,201 41,141 42,422 43,245 43,762 +8.5% +12.3% +3.0% +2.2% +1.6% +1.1% +0.7% +0.5% +0.3% +0.2% +0.1% Population Trend: HORIZON CITY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HORIZON CITY had a 2020 population of 22,489 across 8.7 square miles, yielding a density of 4.03 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 43,762, a gain of 21,273 (+94.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.84% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 50.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HORIZON CITY is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 98.1%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): HORIZON CITY levied $9,533,407 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,197,359,701. The taxable value of $1,704,335,895 reflects 22.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5594 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3630 for Maintenance & Operations (64.9%) and $0.1963 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (35.1%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $379 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 11.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 16.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.62% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): HORIZON CITY collected $4,051,741 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $161 falls below regional averages, indicating primarily residential character with retail leakage to neighboring communities. Sales tax represents 42.5% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.3% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: HORIZON CITY demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HORIZON CITY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop2,3255,23316,73522,48927,82932,58236,39439,20141,14142,42243,24543,762
PPA0.420.943.004.034.995.856.537.037.387.617.767.85
%BO5.2%11.7%37.5%50.4%62.4%73.1%81.6%87.9%92.3%95.1%97.0%98.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%22,489$1,155,939,552$974,419,47984.3%$0.4035$0.199133.0%$0.6026$5,871,852$261$2,949,209$13150.2%
20214.7%23,023$1,385,219,627$1,113,095,11780.4%$0.3900$0.175631.0%$0.5655$6,294,586$273$3,496,277$15255.5%
20228.0%23,557$1,648,799,427$1,272,702,05977.2%$0.3713$0.153129.2%$0.5244$6,673,922$283$3,749,571$15956.2%
20234.1%24,091$1,927,186,717$1,467,477,05176.1%$0.3600$0.214537.3%$0.5745$8,430,524$350$3,990,647$16647.3%
20243.2%24,625$2,092,723,525$1,623,177,04377.6%$0.3630$0.196335.1%$0.5594$9,079,435$369$4,058,561$16544.7%
2025*2.9%25,159$2,197,359,701$1,704,335,89577.6%$0.3630$0.196335.1%$0.5594$9,533,407$379$4,051,741$16142.5%
CAGR4.2%2.3%16.0%13.6%-1.7%-2.1%-0.3%1.2%-1.5%11.5%9.0%8.3%5.9%-3.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.2%10.0%6.7%6.4%8.6%8.5%9.4%9.7%7.9%7.9%9.5%8.2%$2,949,209
20217.9%9.9%7.4%6.3%10.4%8.2%7.9%8.9%8.1%7.9%9.0%8.2%$3,496,277
20228.1%10.5%7.5%7.0%8.9%7.7%8.3%9.7%8.0%8.1%8.9%7.3%$3,749,571
20238.2%10.1%7.2%7.3%8.7%7.5%8.5%9.1%8.3%8.1%9.2%7.8%$3,990,647
20248.8%9.8%7.4%7.4%8.9%7.6%8.7%8.7%8.4%7.9%8.4%8.1%$4,058,561
20258.4%10.5%7.2%7.3%8.9%8.4%9.6%8.2%7.9%7.6%8.0%8.1%$4,051,741
MEDIAN %8.1%10.1%7.3%7.1%8.9%8.0%8.6%9.0%8.0%7.9%8.9%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HOUSTON (City)

Pop 2,304,580 PPA 6.01 %BO 75.1% Levy $1,792,450,260 Levy CAGR +3.6% E-Factor 0.30%
1,536,523 1,814,647 2,092,771 2,370,895 2,649,018 2,927,142 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 1,707,248 1,953,631 2,099,451 2,304,580 2,358,570 2,409,847 2,458,390 2,504,204 2,547,319 2,587,783 2,625,663 2,661,039 +1.4% +0.7% +0.9% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: HOUSTON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HOUSTON had a 2020 population of 2,304,580 across 599.6 square miles, yielding a density of 6.01 persons per acre (PPA). This high density suggests an urbanized area with limited greenfield expansion potential. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 2,661,039, a gain of 356,459 (+15.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.18% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 75.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HOUSTON is approaching full build-out. By 2100, build-out is projected at 86.7%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): HOUSTON levied $1,792,450,260 in property taxes on a market value base of $469,668,753,431. The taxable value of $345,239,750,748 reflects 26.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5192 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3786 for Maintenance & Operations (72.9%) and $0.1406 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (27.1%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $769 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 3.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 3.9% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.30% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): HOUSTON collected $923,406,695 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $396 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 51.5% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.5% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HOUSTON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop1,707,2481,953,6312,099,4512,304,5802,358,5702,409,8472,458,3902,504,2042,547,3192,587,7832,625,6632,661,039
PPA4.455.095.476.016.156.286.416.536.646.746.846.93
%BO55.6%63.6%68.4%75.1%76.8%78.5%80.1%81.6%83.0%84.3%85.5%86.7%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%2,304,580$383,386,962,989$263,513,685,95768.7%$0.4231$0.138724.7%$0.5618$1,480,525,293$642$666,921,075$28945.0%
20214.7%2,309,979$391,697,762,979$268,867,436,46968.6%$0.4025$0.148426.9%$0.5508$1,481,002,500$641$747,671,385$32450.5%
20228.0%2,315,378$434,734,367,675$292,865,607,62567.4%$0.3851$0.148527.8%$0.5336$1,562,848,028$675$848,613,073$36754.3%
20234.1%2,320,777$443,263,617,275$325,462,398,80973.4%$0.3889$0.130325.1%$0.5192$1,689,768,228$728$892,880,233$38552.8%
20243.2%2,326,176$447,303,574,696$328,799,762,61773.5%$0.3786$0.140627.1%$0.5192$1,707,095,486$734$889,040,848$38252.1%
2025*2.9%2,331,575$469,668,753,431$345,239,750,74873.5%$0.3786$0.140627.1%$0.5192$1,792,450,260$769$923,406,695$39651.5%
CAGR4.2%0.2%3.9%5.7%1.4%-2.2%0.3%1.9%-1.6%3.6%3.4%7.5%7.2%2.7%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.3%11.1%8.6%7.6%8.6%7.0%7.4%9.0%7.8%7.4%9.2%7.9%$666,921,075
20217.1%9.5%7.1%6.4%9.4%8.2%8.3%9.5%8.3%8.2%9.4%8.5%$747,671,385
20228.0%9.4%7.3%7.1%9.3%7.9%8.1%9.1%8.3%8.4%8.7%8.4%$848,613,073
20237.8%10.1%7.8%7.5%9.4%7.8%8.0%8.9%8.1%8.1%8.6%7.9%$892,880,233
20248.1%9.7%7.6%7.6%8.9%7.9%7.9%8.6%8.4%8.2%8.7%8.3%$889,040,848
20257.7%7.4%10.2%7.2%9.2%8.1%8.0%9.1%8.3%7.8%8.4%8.5%$923,406,695
MEDIAN %7.9%9.6%7.7%7.3%9.2%7.9%8.0%9.0%8.3%8.1%8.7%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HOUSTON (County)

Pop 2,304,580 PPA 6.01 %BO 75.1% Levy $10,751,970 Levy CAGR +5.6% E-Factor 0.32%
1,536,523 1,814,647 2,092,771 2,370,895 2,649,018 2,927,142 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 1,707,248 1,953,631 2,099,451 2,304,580 2,358,570 2,409,847 2,458,390 2,504,204 2,547,319 2,587,783 2,625,663 2,661,039 +1.4% +0.7% +0.9% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: HOUSTON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HOUSTON had a 2020 population of 2,304,580 across 599.6 square miles, yielding a density of 6.01 persons per acre (PPA). This high density suggests an urbanized area with limited greenfield expansion potential. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 2,661,039, a gain of 356,459 (+15.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.18% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 75.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HOUSTON is approaching full build-out. By 2100, build-out is projected at 86.7%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): HOUSTON levied $10,751,970 in property taxes on a market value base of $7,292,888,657. The taxable value of $2,763,760,542 reflects 62.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4230 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3754 for Maintenance & Operations (88.7%) and $0.0476 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (11.3%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $5 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 16.6% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.32% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Strategic Outlook: HOUSTON demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HOUSTON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop1,707,2481,953,6312,099,4512,304,5802,358,5702,409,8472,458,3902,504,2042,547,3192,587,7832,625,6632,661,039
PPA4.455.095.476.016.156.286.416.536.646.746.846.93
%BO55.6%63.6%68.4%75.1%76.8%78.5%80.1%81.6%83.0%84.3%85.5%86.7%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%2,304,580$3,756,325,697~EstN/A$0.4573$0.074714.0%$0.5320$8,248,701$4
20214.7%2,309,979$4,230,883,388~EstN/A$0.4599$0.070113.2%$0.5300$8,577,737$4
20228.0%2,315,378$4,606,652,030~EstN/A$0.4202$0.054511.5%$0.4747$9,053,820$4
20234.1%2,320,777$5,531,580,505~EstN/A$0.3944$0.053612.0%$0.4480$9,702,006$4
20243.2%2,326,176$6,945,608,245$2,632,152,89737.9%$0.3754$0.047611.3%$0.4230$10,239,971$4
2025~2.9%2,331,575$7,292,888,657$2,763,760,54237.9%$0.3754$0.047611.3%$0.4230$10,751,970$5
CAGR4.2%0.2%16.6%-3.9%-8.6%-4.3%-4.5%5.6%5.3%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

HOUSTON COUNTY (City)

Pop 22,066 PPA 0.03 %BO 0.4% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
19,237 20,611 21,984 23,358 24,731 26,105 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 21,375 23,185 23,732 22,066 22,102 22,139 22,176 22,213 22,250 22,287 22,324 22,362 +0.8% +0.2% -0.7% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: HOUSTON COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HOUSTON COUNTY had a 2020 population of 22,066 across 1231.0 square miles, yielding a density of 0.03 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 22,362, a gain of 296 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HOUSTON COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: HOUSTON COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HOUSTON COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop21,37523,18523,73222,06622,10222,13922,17622,21322,25022,28722,32422,362
PPA0.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.03
%BO0.3%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.8%11.4%10.1%5.9%9.7%7.1%6.9%8.3%9.6%7.1%7.6%7.4%$1,232,293
20218.0%9.2%6.1%7.3%8.8%7.6%7.7%10.9%8.3%9.3%9.3%7.3%$1,197,186
202210.5%8.5%7.0%5.1%8.1%8.7%9.1%8.7%10.5%7.6%9.8%6.4%$1,653,025
20238.7%8.8%6.1%6.9%14.8%7.1%9.8%9.0%6.6%6.9%7.3%8.0%$1,606,190
202410.3%10.0%6.0%7.0%8.8%6.8%7.8%8.8%7.2%8.4%10.4%8.4%$1,397,569
20257.4%9.0%6.9%8.8%9.3%8.3%6.0%9.5%7.8%8.3%8.8%9.9%$1,738,551
MEDIAN %9.0%9.3%6.7%7.2%9.4%7.6%8.0%9.2%8.3%8.2%9.3%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HOUSTON MTA (City)

Pop 2,474,108 PPA 5.83 %BO 72.8% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
1,628,902 1,941,317 2,253,732 2,566,147 2,878,562 3,190,977 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 1,809,892 2,093,162 2,255,647 2,474,108 2,538,151 2,599,185 2,657,148 2,712,010 2,763,775 2,812,470 2,858,150 2,900,889 +1.5% +0.8% +0.9% +0.3% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.1% Population Trend: HOUSTON MTA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HOUSTON MTA had a 2020 population of 2,474,108 across 663.4 square miles, yielding a density of 5.83 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 2,900,889, a gain of 426,781 (+17.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.20% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 72.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HOUSTON MTA is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 85.4%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Strategic Outlook: Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HOUSTON MTA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop1,809,8922,093,1622,255,6472,474,1082,538,1512,599,1852,657,1482,712,0102,763,7752,812,4702,858,1502,900,889
PPA4.264.935.315.835.986.126.266.396.516.626.736.83
%BO53.3%61.6%66.4%72.8%74.7%76.5%78.2%79.9%81.4%82.8%84.2%85.4%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.2%11.2%8.5%7.6%8.6%7.1%7.5%9.0%7.9%7.6%9.0%8.1%$760,135,286
20217.1%9.6%7.1%6.3%9.3%8.2%8.2%9.4%8.3%8.3%9.6%8.5%$857,961,691
20228.0%9.5%7.4%7.0%9.2%8.0%8.1%9.1%8.4%8.4%8.6%8.4%$983,309,984
20237.9%10.0%7.6%7.5%9.2%7.8%8.3%8.9%8.1%8.1%8.5%8.0%$1,034,678,838
20248.1%9.7%7.5%7.7%8.9%7.9%8.0%8.7%8.3%8.2%8.6%8.5%$1,043,887,157
20257.7%10.7%7.4%7.1%9.0%8.1%8.1%8.8%8.3%7.8%8.3%8.6%$1,097,710,415
MEDIAN %7.9%9.8%7.5%7.3%9.1%7.9%8.1%8.9%8.3%8.1%8.6%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HOWARD COUNTY (City)

Pop 34,860 PPA 0.06 %BO 0.8% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
29,108 31,419 33,730 36,041 38,351 40,662 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 32,343 33,627 35,012 34,860 35,116 35,375 35,635 35,897 36,162 36,428 36,696 36,966 +0.4% +0.4% -0.0% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: HOWARD COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HOWARD COUNTY had a 2020 population of 34,860 across 900.8 square miles, yielding a density of 0.06 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 36,966, a gain of 2,106 (+6.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.07% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HOWARD COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: HOWARD COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HOWARD COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop32,34333,62735,01234,86035,11635,37535,63535,89736,16236,42836,69636,966
PPA0.060.060.060.060.060.060.060.060.060.060.060.06
%BO0.7%0.7%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HUMBLE (City)

Pop 16,795 PPA 2.68 %BO 33.5% Levy $7,956,523 Levy CAGR +6.5% E-Factor 0.85%
11,027 14,755 18,482 22,210 25,938 29,665 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 12,253 14,579 15,133 16,795 17,983 19,208 20,463 21,742 23,040 24,348 25,660 26,969 +1.8% +0.4% +1.0% +0.7% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% Population Trend: HUMBLE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HUMBLE had a 2020 population of 16,795 across 9.8 square miles, yielding a density of 2.68 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 26,969, a gain of 10,174 (+60.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.59% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 33.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HUMBLE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 53.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): HUMBLE levied $7,956,523 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,726,258,374. The taxable value of $3,042,926,717 reflects 18.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.2615 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2615 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $458 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 7.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.85% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): HUMBLE collected $18,619,569 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $1,071 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 234.0% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.6% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: HUMBLE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HUMBLE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop12,25314,57915,13316,79517,98319,20820,46321,74223,04024,34825,66026,969
PPA1.962.332.422.682.873.073.273.473.683.894.104.31
%BO24.5%29.1%30.2%33.5%35.9%38.4%40.9%43.4%46.0%48.6%51.2%53.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%16,795$2,706,298,496$2,272,985,78584.0%$0.2587N/AN/A$0.2587$5,880,055$350$13,181,935$785224.2%
20214.7%16,913$3,081,213,222$2,310,798,43975.0%$0.2635N/AN/A$0.2635$6,089,139$360$15,970,624$944262.3%
20228.0%17,032$3,443,214,518$2,572,901,23674.7%$0.2516N/AN/A$0.2516$6,472,905$380$17,137,928$1,006264.8%
20234.1%17,151$3,520,018,352$2,878,747,54081.8%$0.2454N/AN/A$0.2454$7,063,036$412$17,244,896$1,005244.2%
20243.2%17,270$3,548,817,499$2,898,025,44581.7%$0.2615N/AN/A$0.2615$7,577,641$439$16,996,451$984224.3%
2025*2.9%17,389$3,726,258,374$3,042,926,71781.7%$0.2615N/AN/A$0.2615$7,956,523$458$18,619,569$1,071234.0%
CAGR4.2%0.7%7.0%6.3%-0.6%0.2%0.2%6.5%5.8%6.6%5.8%0.9%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.3%12.7%7.4%7.2%7.5%6.1%7.3%9.9%8.0%7.8%9.8%7.9%$13,181,935
20217.0%10.5%6.7%6.4%9.6%8.6%8.3%9.8%8.2%8.0%8.8%8.0%$15,970,624
20228.5%12.0%6.8%7.0%8.9%7.8%8.0%9.0%7.9%8.1%8.1%7.9%$17,137,928
20238.5%11.5%7.0%7.5%8.8%7.5%8.2%9.0%8.2%8.2%8.0%7.8%$17,244,896
20248.5%11.0%7.2%7.9%8.9%8.1%8.1%8.7%6.9%8.4%8.4%8.0%$16,996,451
20257.7%11.7%6.8%6.7%8.5%8.6%8.3%8.3%8.7%8.8%8.0%7.9%$18,619,569
MEDIAN %8.3%11.6%6.9%7.1%8.8%7.9%8.1%8.9%8.0%8.1%8.2%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HUNT COUNTY (City)

Pop 99,956 PPA 0.19 %BO 2.3% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
57,908 114,641 171,374 228,106 284,839 341,572 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 64,343 76,596 86,129 99,956 115,482 133,345 153,870 177,421 204,400 235,250 270,451 310,520 +1.8% +1.2% +1.5% +1.5% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% Population Trend: HUNT COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HUNT COUNTY had a 2020 population of 99,956 across 840.4 square miles, yielding a density of 0.19 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 310,520, a gain of 210,564 (+210.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.43% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 2.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HUNT COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 7.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: HUNT COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HUNT COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop64,34376,59686,12999,956115,482133,345153,870177,421204,400235,250270,451310,520
PPA0.120.140.160.190.210.250.290.330.380.440.500.58
%BO1.5%1.8%2.0%2.3%2.7%3.1%3.6%4.1%4.8%5.5%6.3%7.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.9%9.7%7.1%6.6%8.3%7.4%8.7%10.2%8.2%8.3%9.4%8.4%$5,446,537
20217.1%9.5%6.8%6.0%9.6%8.4%7.8%9.4%8.6%8.4%9.9%8.6%$6,631,059
20227.9%9.9%7.0%6.1%8.4%7.6%7.5%8.9%7.8%6.3%8.6%14.0%$7,950,120
20237.5%9.1%3.5%6.7%17.4%7.6%7.7%8.7%7.5%8.2%8.1%8.0%$8,608,738
20247.8%10.9%6.6%7.2%8.5%8.0%8.1%8.8%9.0%7.9%8.8%8.3%$8,839,570
20258.0%11.3%7.3%6.5%8.6%8.3%8.3%8.9%7.3%8.1%8.9%8.6%$9,098,005
MEDIAN %8.0%10.0%7.0%6.7%8.7%8.0%8.1%9.1%8.2%8.3%9.1%8.7%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HUNTSVILLE (City)

Pop 45,941 PPA 2.00 %BO 25.0% Levy $11,649,486 Levy CAGR +11.4% E-Factor 2.85%
27,826 44,185 60,544 76,903 93,262 109,621 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 30,918 35,078 38,548 45,941 51,611 57,690 64,139 70,905 77,922 85,111 92,386 99,656 +1.3% +0.9% +1.8% +1.2% +1.1% +1.1% +1.0% +0.9% +0.9% +0.8% +0.8% Population Trend: HUNTSVILLE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HUNTSVILLE had a 2020 population of 45,941 across 35.9 square miles, yielding a density of 2.00 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 99,656, a gain of 53,715 (+116.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.97% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 25.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HUNTSVILLE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 54.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): HUNTSVILLE levied $11,649,486 in property taxes on a market value base of $4,375,089,224. The taxable value of $3,381,563,844 reflects 22.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3445 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2760 for Maintenance & Operations (80.1%) and $0.0685 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (19.9%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $239 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 11.4% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 9.9% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.85% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): HUNTSVILLE collected $13,199,818 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $271 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 113.3% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.7% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: HUNTSVILLE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HUNTSVILLE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop30,91835,07838,54845,94151,61157,69064,13970,90577,92285,11192,38699,656
PPA1.351.531.682.002.252.512.793.093.403.714.034.34
%BO16.8%19.1%21.0%25.0%28.1%31.4%34.9%38.6%42.4%46.4%50.3%54.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%45,941$2,856,574,891$2,354,660,05882.4%$0.2399$0.066321.7%$0.3062$7,209,969$157$9,679,654$211134.3%
20214.7%46,508$3,097,997,778$2,536,406,81881.9%$0.2482$0.059319.3%$0.3075$7,799,451$168$10,919,666$235140.0%
20228.0%47,075$3,701,746,460$2,867,670,78377.5%$0.2385$0.054118.5%$0.2926$8,390,805$178$11,843,241$252141.1%
20234.1%47,642$4,220,857,389$3,211,222,77176.1%$0.2377$0.069722.7%$0.3074$9,871,299$207$12,296,609$258124.6%
20243.2%48,209$4,166,751,642$3,220,536,99477.3%$0.2760$0.068519.9%$0.3445$11,094,749$230$12,565,900$261113.3%
2025*2.9%48,776$4,375,089,224$3,381,563,84477.3%$0.2760$0.068519.9%$0.3445$11,649,486$239$13,199,818$271113.3%
CAGR4.2%1.2%9.9%8.1%-1.3%2.8%0.7%-1.7%2.4%11.4%10.0%6.7%5.5%-3.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.9%10.6%8.0%6.4%9.1%7.0%7.8%10.2%7.7%8.5%10.9%6.9%$9,679,654
20217.4%9.7%7.3%5.9%10.5%8.2%7.3%9.8%7.6%7.8%11.4%7.2%$10,919,666
20227.4%10.3%7.4%5.8%9.6%7.8%7.6%9.7%7.6%8.4%10.6%7.8%$11,843,241
20237.4%10.4%7.6%7.2%9.9%7.6%7.4%9.1%7.4%8.3%10.2%7.5%$12,296,609
20247.8%10.0%7.5%7.2%9.5%7.7%7.0%8.9%7.7%8.0%10.3%8.3%$12,565,900
20257.5%11.2%7.6%6.8%9.8%7.9%7.3%8.7%7.6%7.3%10.2%8.0%$13,199,818
MEDIAN %7.4%10.3%7.5%6.6%9.7%7.8%7.4%9.4%7.6%8.2%10.4%7.6%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HURST (City)

Pop 40,413 PPA 6.37 %BO 79.6% Levy $28,408,383 Levy CAGR +4.9% E-Factor 0.00%
30,138 33,879 37,619 41,360 45,101 48,842 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 33,487 36,273 37,337 40,413 40,998 41,559 42,093 42,603 43,088 43,549 43,987 44,402 +0.8% +0.3% +0.8% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: HURST (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HURST had a 2020 population of 40,413 across 9.9 square miles, yielding a density of 6.37 persons per acre (PPA). This high density suggests an urbanized area with limited greenfield expansion potential. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 44,402, a gain of 3,989 (+9.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.12% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 79.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HURST is approaching full build-out. By 2100, build-out is projected at 87.5%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): HURST levied $28,408,383 in property taxes on a market value base of $6,263,725,375. The taxable value of $4,804,199,278 reflects 23.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5913 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5090 for Maintenance & Operations (86.1%) and $0.0823 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (13.9%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $698 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 4.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 7.1% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): HURST collected $18,790,937 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $462 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 66.1% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 5.2% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HURST
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop33,48736,27337,33740,41340,99841,55942,09342,60343,08843,54943,98744,402
PPA5.285.725.896.376.466.556.646.726.796.876.947.00
%BO66.0%71.5%73.6%79.6%80.8%81.9%83.0%84.0%84.9%85.8%86.7%87.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%40,413$4,541,993,660$3,574,567,49178.7%$0.5042$0.121019.4%$0.6252$22,346,730$553$15,045,045$37267.3%
20214.7%40,471$4,642,656,646$3,641,503,23478.4%$0.5168$0.108417.3%$0.6252$22,765,185$563$16,920,516$41874.3%
20228.0%40,530$5,150,784,778$3,965,610,70377.0%$0.5138$0.100316.3%$0.6140$24,350,555$601$18,487,667$45675.9%
20234.1%40,588$5,851,140,236$4,377,678,01374.8%$0.4956$0.085614.7%$0.5812$25,440,876$627$18,485,970$45572.7%
20243.2%40,647$5,965,452,738$4,575,427,88476.7%$0.5090$0.082313.9%$0.5913$27,055,603$666$18,397,760$45368.0%
2025*2.9%40,705$6,263,725,375$4,804,199,27876.7%$0.5090$0.082313.9%$0.5913$28,408,383$698$18,790,937$46266.1%
CAGR4.2%0.1%7.1%6.4%-0.5%0.2%-7.4%-6.4%-1.1%4.9%4.7%5.2%5.0%-0.4%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.3%14.1%7.6%7.0%7.8%5.7%7.2%9.6%7.4%7.6%9.6%7.9%$15,045,045
20217.1%11.1%6.9%6.2%8.5%7.9%8.4%9.9%8.4%8.1%9.3%8.2%$16,920,516
20228.2%11.6%6.8%6.3%9.6%7.9%8.1%8.9%8.0%8.3%8.7%7.8%$18,487,667
20238.5%12.1%7.2%7.5%9.2%7.2%7.7%9.0%7.5%8.3%8.6%7.2%$18,485,970
20248.3%11.7%7.7%7.2%8.8%7.6%7.7%8.9%8.5%7.3%8.5%7.8%$18,397,760
20258.0%11.9%7.5%6.7%9.8%8.1%7.6%8.6%7.8%7.5%8.4%8.0%$18,790,937
MEDIAN %8.2%11.8%7.3%6.9%9.0%7.7%7.7%8.9%7.9%7.9%8.7%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HUTCHINSON COUNTY (City)

Pop 20,617 PPA 0.04 %BO 0.5% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
18,555 20,495 22,436 24,376 26,317 28,257 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 25,689 23,857 22,150 20,617 20,651 20,685 20,720 20,754 20,789 20,824 20,858 20,893 -0.7% -0.7% -0.7% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: HUTCHINSON COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HUTCHINSON COUNTY had a 2020 population of 20,617 across 887.4 square miles, yielding a density of 0.04 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 20,893, a gain of 276 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HUTCHINSON COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: HUTCHINSON COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HUTCHINSON COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop25,68923,85722,15020,61720,65120,68520,72020,75420,78920,82420,85820,893
PPA0.050.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.04
%BO0.6%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

HUTTO (City)

Pop 27,577 PPA 5.56 %BO 69.5% Levy $23,583,630 Levy CAGR +14.0% E-Factor 8.46%
568 9,184 17,800 26,416 35,032 43,648 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 632 1,250 14,698 27,577 33,770 37,105 38,620 39,254 39,510 39,613 39,679 39,680 +7.1% +27.9% +6.5% +2.0% +0.9% +0.4% +0.2% +0.1% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: HUTTO (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: HUTTO had a 2020 population of 27,577 across 7.8 square miles, yielding a density of 5.56 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 39,680, a gain of 12,103 (+43.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.46% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 69.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), HUTTO is moderately developed with room to grow. Projections show reaching theoretical capacity (100% build-out) before 2100, suggesting eventual need for annexation, densification, or growth boundary adjustments.
Property Tax Overview (2025): HUTTO levied $23,583,630 in property taxes on a market value base of $6,473,823,739. The taxable value of $5,902,503,748 reflects 8.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3996 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2659 for Maintenance & Operations (66.6%) and $0.1336 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (33.4%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $769 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 14.0% CAGR lagged market value growth of 24.5% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 8.46% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): HUTTO collected $15,438,428 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $503 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 65.5% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 17.3% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: HUTTO demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Long-term projections indicate eventual capacity constraints requiring proactive planning for annexation, vertical development, or managed growth boundaries. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
HUTTO
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop6321,25014,69827,57733,77037,10538,62039,25439,51039,61339,67939,680
PPA0.130.252.965.566.817.487.797.917.977.998.008.00
%BO1.6%3.2%37.0%69.5%85.1%93.5%97.3%98.9%99.6%99.8%100.0%100.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%27,577$2,562,115,192$2,218,092,32486.6%$0.4056$0.194432.4%$0.6000$13,308,554$483$7,330,571$26655.1%
20214.7%28,196$3,305,798,663$2,857,794,62686.4%$0.3803$0.156129.1%$0.5364$15,330,582$544$9,624,734$34162.8%
20228.0%28,815$5,367,784,637$4,223,512,06978.7%$0.2739$0.148135.1%$0.4220$17,822,376$619$10,953,065$38061.5%
20234.1%29,434$5,683,764,878$4,968,008,06487.4%$0.2885$0.133631.7%$0.4221$20,970,658$712$12,957,110$44061.8%
20243.2%30,054$6,165,546,418$5,621,432,14191.2%$0.2659$0.133633.4%$0.3996$22,460,600$747$13,877,043$46261.8%
2025*2.9%30,673$6,473,823,739$5,902,503,74891.2%$0.2659$0.133633.4%$0.3996$23,583,630$769$15,438,428$50365.5%
CAGR4.2%2.2%24.5%26.2%1.0%-8.1%-7.2%0.6%-7.8%14.0%11.6%17.3%14.8%3.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.7%8.6%6.8%6.4%8.5%8.7%9.1%10.1%8.9%8.6%9.2%8.4%$7,330,571
20217.4%8.3%6.6%5.5%9.5%8.0%8.0%9.2%8.9%8.3%11.3%9.0%$9,624,734
20227.7%6.3%7.0%6.6%9.7%8.5%8.5%9.7%8.8%8.8%9.8%8.5%$10,953,065
20237.4%8.6%6.9%8.1%9.8%8.1%8.1%9.1%8.7%7.8%8.9%8.4%$12,957,110
20248.1%9.2%6.9%7.2%8.8%8.1%8.2%8.8%9.0%8.0%9.3%8.5%$13,877,043
20256.9%10.6%6.7%10.5%8.9%7.9%7.8%8.4%8.4%7.4%8.5%8.0%$15,438,428
MEDIAN %7.5%8.7%6.9%7.0%9.3%8.2%8.2%9.3%8.9%8.2%9.3%8.5%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

INGLESIDE (City)

Pop 9,519 PPA 0.91 %BO 11.4% Levy $15,970,230 Levy CAGR +11.7% E-Factor 0.20%
5,142 7,642 10,142 12,642 15,142 17,642 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 5,714 9,388 9,387 9,519 10,185 10,892 11,639 12,430 13,264 14,143 15,068 16,039 +5.1% -0.0% +0.1% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% Population Trend: INGLESIDE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: INGLESIDE had a 2020 population of 9,519 across 16.3 square miles, yielding a density of 0.91 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 16,039, a gain of 6,520 (+68.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.65% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 11.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), INGLESIDE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 19.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): INGLESIDE levied $15,970,230 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,278,685,767. The taxable value of $2,571,010,084 reflects 21.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4179 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3172 for Maintenance & Operations (75.9%) and $0.1006 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (24.1%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,621 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 11.7% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.9% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.20% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): INGLESIDE collected $5,087,296 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $516 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 31.9% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 0.0% CAGR, reflecting stable retail environment.
Strategic Outlook: INGLESIDE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
INGLESIDE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop5,7149,3889,3879,51910,18510,89211,63912,43013,26414,14315,06816,039
PPA0.550.900.900.910.981.041.121.191.271.361.451.54
%BO6.9%11.3%11.3%11.4%12.2%13.1%14.0%14.9%15.9%17.0%18.1%19.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%9,519$1,794,584,289$1,524,618,42485.0%$0.3630$0.078217.7%$0.4412$9,753,615$1,025$3,768,173$39638.6%
20214.7%9,585$1,965,988,387$1,651,475,38484.0%$0.3382$0.098822.6%$0.4370$10,564,187$1,102$3,214,478$33530.4%
20228.0%9,652$2,488,899,314$1,972,824,18279.3%$0.3151$0.058315.6%$0.3734$10,311,287$1,068$3,184,196$33030.9%
20234.1%9,718$3,027,290,496$2,487,535,69082.2%$0.3271$0.092222.0%$0.4193$15,462,033$1,591$4,890,483$50331.6%
20243.2%9,785$3,122,557,873$2,448,581,03278.4%$0.3172$0.100624.1%$0.4179$15,209,743$1,554$3,772,861$38624.8%
2025*2.9%9,852$3,278,685,767$2,571,010,08478.4%$0.3172$0.100624.1%$0.4179$15,970,230$1,621$5,087,296$51631.9%
CAGR4.2%0.7%14.9%12.6%-1.6%-2.7%5.2%6.3%-1.1%11.7%11.0%0.0%-0.7%-3.8%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
202010.6%8.2%8.5%8.2%11.1%8.5%8.8%9.1%7.0%5.8%6.7%7.3%$3,768,173
20216.5%9.7%9.1%6.1%9.5%7.9%9.4%10.2%7.8%7.7%9.4%6.8%$3,214,478
20227.7%9.1%7.1%5.6%9.5%8.3%6.8%10.0%9.0%8.3%9.8%8.9%$3,184,196
20236.1%8.6%8.7%7.2%7.4%10.1%10.0%9.4%8.6%8.2%7.2%8.7%$4,890,483
20248.9%9.5%7.6%7.9%9.2%7.6%7.6%8.5%8.1%7.7%8.9%8.6%$3,772,861
20256.8%17.3%9.8%6.4%8.5%7.1%8.4%9.5%8.1%5.4%7.2%5.5%$5,087,296
MEDIAN %7.3%9.4%8.7%6.9%9.4%8.1%8.7%9.5%8.2%7.8%8.1%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

IOWA COLONY (City)

Pop 8,154 PPA 1.74 %BO 21.8% Levy $7,014,369 Levy CAGR +20.2% E-Factor 5.47%
595 8,710 16,825 24,940 33,054 41,169 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 662 804 1,170 8,154 21,346 32,523 36,359 37,216 37,386 37,427 37,427 37,427 +2.0% +3.8% +21.4% +10.1% +4.3% +1.1% +0.2% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: IOWA COLONY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: IOWA COLONY had a 2020 population of 8,154 across 7.3 square miles, yielding a density of 1.74 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 37,427, a gain of 29,273 (+359.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.92% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 21.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), IOWA COLONY has substantial development capacity remaining. Projections show reaching theoretical capacity (100% build-out) before 2100, suggesting eventual need for annexation, densification, or growth boundary adjustments.
Property Tax Overview (2025): IOWA COLONY levied $7,014,369 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,824,156,845. The taxable value of $1,350,972,202 reflects 25.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5192 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2595 for Maintenance & Operations (50.0%) and $0.2598 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (50.0%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $476 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 20.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 22.2% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 5.47% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): IOWA COLONY collected $1,045,480 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $71 falls below regional averages, indicating primarily residential character with retail leakage to neighboring communities. Sales tax represents 14.9% of property tax levy, offering modest supplemental revenue. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 27.3% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: IOWA COLONY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Long-term projections indicate eventual capacity constraints requiring proactive planning for annexation, vertical development, or managed growth boundaries. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
IOWA COLONY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop6628041,1708,15421,34632,52336,35937,21637,38637,42737,42737,427
PPA0.140.170.251.744.566.957.777.957.998.008.008.00
%BO1.8%2.1%3.1%21.8%57.0%86.9%97.1%99.4%99.9%100.0%100.0%100.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%8,154$780,313,349$653,338,21283.7%$0.4693$0.01994.1%$0.4892$3,196,189$392$317,113$399.9%
20214.7%9,473$946,251,336$773,368,37081.7%$0.4708$0.01853.8%$0.4892$3,783,388$399$505,541$5313.4%
20228.0%10,792$1,258,329,632$953,679,86675.8%$0.3620$0.157230.3%$0.5192$4,951,592$459$537,277$5010.9%
20234.1%12,111$1,617,216,172$1,143,186,01070.7%$0.2605$0.258749.8%$0.5192$5,935,525$490$633,296$5210.7%
20243.2%13,430$1,737,292,233$1,286,640,19274.1%$0.2595$0.259850.0%$0.5192$6,680,351$497$832,293$6212.5%
2025*2.9%14,750$1,824,156,845$1,350,972,20274.1%$0.2595$0.259850.0%$0.5192$7,014,369$476$1,045,480$7114.9%
CAGR4.2%12.6%22.2%18.5%-2.4%-11.2%67.2%65.2%1.2%20.2%6.1%27.3%12.4%8.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20203.8%7.2%6.3%6.3%9.6%8.4%9.1%10.2%10.1%9.1%9.1%10.8%$317,113
20217.6%8.5%6.0%5.1%9.2%8.0%7.4%9.4%8.6%9.7%9.2%11.3%$505,541
20228.1%8.9%7.4%6.3%8.6%8.6%8.9%8.9%8.8%7.9%8.6%9.0%$537,277
20237.7%9.7%7.1%7.2%8.6%7.9%8.1%8.1%10.0%8.4%8.3%9.0%$633,296
20246.8%7.7%6.1%4.9%26.0%8.1%7.7%4.4%5.4%7.2%7.6%8.0%$832,293
20255.8%27.7%4.6%5.9%6.6%7.4%7.3%7.1%6.9%6.4%7.3%7.1%$1,045,480
MEDIAN %7.5%9.1%6.5%6.3%9.3%8.4%8.3%8.9%9.1%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

IRVING (City)

Pop 256,684 PPA 5.98 %BO 74.8% Levy $260,782,544 Levy CAGR +8.2% E-Factor 3.37%
140,201 181,673 223,146 264,618 306,091 347,563 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 155,779 191,615 216,290 256,684 267,239 276,842 285,493 293,221 300,071 306,100 311,376 315,967 +2.1% +1.2% +1.7% +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.1% Population Trend: IRVING (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: IRVING had a 2020 population of 256,684 across 67.0 square miles, yielding a density of 5.98 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 315,967, a gain of 59,283 (+23.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.26% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 74.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), IRVING is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 92.1%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): IRVING levied $260,782,544 in property taxes on a market value base of $55,563,430,072. The taxable value of $44,267,958,805 reflects 20.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5891 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4294 for Maintenance & Operations (72.9%) and $0.1597 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (27.1%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $996 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 9.6% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.37% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): IRVING collected $118,516,619 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $452 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 45.4% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.3% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: IRVING demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
IRVING
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop155,779191,615216,290256,684267,239276,842285,493293,221300,071306,100311,376315,967
PPA3.634.475.045.986.236.456.666.847.007.147.267.37
%BO45.4%55.8%63.0%74.8%77.9%80.7%83.2%85.5%87.4%89.2%90.7%92.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%256,684$36,669,599,703$30,472,889,08783.1%$0.4741$0.120020.2%$0.5941$181,039,434$705$75,152,836$29341.5%
20214.7%257,739$38,614,214,650$32,230,048,11783.5%$0.4641$0.130021.9%$0.5941$191,478,716$743$82,489,784$32043.1%
20228.0%258,795$44,222,889,360$36,011,092,00181.4%$0.4294$0.159727.1%$0.5891$212,141,343$820$99,572,015$38546.9%
20234.1%259,850$47,965,290,420$39,187,652,48581.7%$0.4294$0.159727.1%$0.5891$230,854,461$888$106,486,048$41046.1%
20243.2%260,906$52,917,552,450$42,159,960,76779.7%$0.4294$0.159727.1%$0.5891$248,364,328$952$107,386,033$41243.2%
2025*2.9%261,961$55,563,430,072$44,267,958,80579.7%$0.4294$0.159727.1%$0.5891$260,782,544$996$118,516,619$45245.4%
CAGR4.2%0.4%9.6%8.5%-0.8%-2.0%5.9%6.1%-0.2%8.2%7.8%9.3%8.9%1.8%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%11.4%9.0%7.8%8.8%7.3%7.5%9.2%7.5%7.7%8.9%7.6%$75,152,836
20217.0%10.1%7.4%5.6%9.2%8.3%7.9%9.8%8.3%8.1%9.7%8.8%$82,489,784
20228.0%9.0%7.7%6.3%8.3%7.4%8.1%9.7%8.6%9.1%9.2%8.4%$99,572,015
20237.6%9.7%7.7%7.2%9.0%7.8%8.7%8.9%8.5%8.2%8.7%8.1%$106,486,048
20247.7%5.8%10.4%7.8%8.8%8.4%9.2%8.4%8.7%8.4%7.7%8.8%$107,386,033
20257.6%10.1%7.5%7.3%7.3%7.8%8.2%9.3%8.8%9.1%8.0%9.2%$118,516,619
MEDIAN %7.5%9.8%7.7%7.2%8.7%7.7%8.1%9.2%8.5%8.2%8.7%8.5%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

JACINTO CITY (City)

Pop 9,613 PPA 8.03 %BO 100.0% Levy $4,537,148 Levy CAGR +1.8% E-Factor 0.00%
8,452 9,083 9,715 10,346 10,977 11,608 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 9,392 10,302 10,553 9,613 9,613 9,613 9,613 9,613 9,613 9,613 9,613 9,613 +0.9% +0.2% -0.9% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: JACINTO CITY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: JACINTO CITY had a 2020 population of 9,613 across 1.9 square miles, yielding a density of 8.03 persons per acre (PPA). This high density suggests an urbanized area with limited greenfield expansion potential. Build-Out Analysis: At 100.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), JACINTO CITY is approaching full build-out. Projections show reaching theoretical capacity (100% build-out) before 2100, suggesting eventual need for annexation, densification, or growth boundary adjustments.
Property Tax Overview (2025): JACINTO CITY levied $4,537,148 in property taxes on a market value base of $927,315,006. The taxable value of $751,875,531 reflects 18.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6034 per $100 valuation consists of $0.6034 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $472 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 1.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.0% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): JACINTO CITY collected $2,409,779 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $251 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 53.1% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.0% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: JACINTO CITY demonstrates limited greenfield options. Long-term projections indicate eventual capacity constraints requiring proactive planning for annexation, vertical development, or managed growth boundaries. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
JACINTO CITY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop9,39210,30210,5539,6139,6139,6139,6139,6139,6139,6139,6139,613
PPA7.858.618.828.038.038.038.038.038.038.038.038.03
%BO98.1%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%9,613$603,536,750$520,329,19686.2%$0.6792$0.095412.3%$0.7746$4,030,491$419$1,636,228$17040.6%
20214.7%9,613$670,841,606$529,735,98479.0%$0.6804$0.093212.0%$0.7736$4,097,985$426$1,820,871$18944.4%
20228.0%9,613$788,562,084$608,435,51577.2%$0.6559N/AN/A$0.6559$3,990,607$415$2,042,793$21351.2%
20234.1%9,613$848,782,701$696,165,25982.0%$0.5969N/AN/A$0.5969$4,155,229$432$2,125,287$22151.1%
20243.2%9,613$883,157,149$716,071,93481.1%$0.6034N/AN/A$0.6034$4,321,093$450$2,228,959$23251.6%
2025*2.9%9,613$927,315,006$751,875,53181.1%$0.6034N/AN/A$0.6034$4,537,148$472$2,409,779$25153.1%
CAGR4.2%10.0%8.3%-1.2%-2.3%-4.9%1.8%1.8%8.0%8.0%5.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.6%10.3%8.8%7.4%9.0%7.2%7.4%9.4%8.6%7.5%9.1%7.8%$1,636,228
20217.2%8.5%7.3%6.5%9.9%7.8%8.4%10.6%7.8%8.1%9.6%8.3%$1,820,871
20228.2%9.1%7.5%6.9%9.4%7.8%7.9%9.6%8.4%8.9%8.2%8.3%$2,042,793
20237.7%8.8%7.3%7.6%9.0%8.1%8.5%9.1%9.1%8.8%8.4%7.7%$2,125,287
20247.6%8.4%6.5%7.4%11.2%7.7%7.7%8.9%7.9%8.1%9.8%8.8%$2,228,959
20257.6%9.3%6.8%6.8%8.3%9.3%9.1%9.3%7.8%9.1%8.9%7.6%$2,409,779
MEDIAN %7.7%9.0%7.3%7.2%9.3%7.9%8.2%9.4%8.2%8.6%9.1%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

JACK COUNTY (City)

Pop 8,472 PPA 0.01 %BO 0.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
6,282 7,016 7,749 8,482 9,215 9,948 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 6,981 8,763 9,044 8,472 8,486 8,500 8,514 8,528 8,542 8,557 8,571 8,585 +2.3% +0.3% -0.7% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: JACK COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: JACK COUNTY had a 2020 population of 8,472 across 911.0 square miles, yielding a density of 0.01 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 8,585, a gain of 113 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), JACK COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: JACK COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
JACK COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop6,9818,7639,0448,4728,4868,5008,5148,5288,5428,5578,5718,585
PPA0.010.020.020.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.01
%BO0.1%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

JACKSON COUNTY (City)

Pop 14,988 PPA 0.03 %BO 0.4% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
11,735 14,550 17,365 20,180 22,996 25,811 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 13,039 14,391 14,075 14,988 15,852 16,766 17,733 18,755 19,836 20,979 22,188 23,465 +1.0% -0.2% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% Population Trend: JACKSON COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: JACKSON COUNTY had a 2020 population of 14,988 across 829.4 square miles, yielding a density of 0.03 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 23,465, a gain of 8,477 (+56.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.56% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), JACKSON COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: JACKSON COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
JACKSON COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop13,03914,39114,07514,98815,85216,76617,73318,75519,83620,97922,18823,465
PPA0.020.030.030.030.030.030.030.040.040.040.040.04
%BO0.3%0.3%0.3%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.6%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20209.0%12.1%7.3%6.4%10.0%7.6%8.9%9.3%7.9%6.3%7.5%7.7%$1,186,088
20216.8%10.7%9.5%6.4%15.2%6.0%7.5%7.7%7.2%7.2%8.3%7.5%$1,338,986
20226.3%6.8%6.7%7.3%8.6%7.7%6.4%13.7%12.2%8.6%9.0%6.8%$1,587,953
20238.1%8.9%6.1%13.5%8.1%6.5%8.0%8.3%6.9%9.0%8.3%8.2%$1,489,077
202413.6%7.7%6.9%9.4%8.0%8.4%8.5%8.0%7.0%6.5%8.9%7.0%$1,747,574
20256.5%8.0%15.4%5.8%8.2%7.0%8.6%7.8%7.7%8.2%8.1%8.6%$1,789,779
MEDIAN %8.0%9.1%7.6%7.4%9.0%7.9%8.9%8.7%8.0%8.3%8.9%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

JACKSONVILLE (City)

Pop 13,997 PPA 1.54 %BO 19.2% Levy $7,387,543 Levy CAGR +6.8% E-Factor 1.94%
12,304 13,043 13,782 14,520 15,259 15,998 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 13,672 13,868 14,544 13,997 14,020 14,043 14,067 14,090 14,114 14,137 14,161 14,184 +0.1% +0.5% -0.4% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: JACKSONVILLE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: JACKSONVILLE had a 2020 population of 13,997 across 14.2 square miles, yielding a density of 1.54 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 14,184, a gain of 187 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 19.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), JACKSONVILLE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 19.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): JACKSONVILLE levied $7,387,543 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,429,869,027. The taxable value of $1,158,594,065 reflects 19.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6376 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4893 for Maintenance & Operations (76.7%) and $0.1483 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (23.3%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $527 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.94% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): JACKSONVILLE collected $5,359,306 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $383 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 72.5% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.1% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: JACKSONVILLE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
JACKSONVILLE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop13,67213,86814,54413,99714,02014,04314,06714,09014,11414,13714,16114,184
PPA1.501.521.601.541.541.541.541.551.551.551.551.56
%BO18.8%19.0%19.9%19.2%19.2%19.3%19.3%19.3%19.4%19.4%19.4%19.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%13,997$875,408,583$783,445,92689.5%$0.5000$0.190027.5%$0.6900$5,405,777$386$3,886,549$27871.9%
20214.7%13,999$924,309,715$799,178,15186.5%$0.5270$0.162923.6%$0.6899$5,513,930$394$4,421,199$31680.2%
20228.0%14,001$1,119,236,582$945,845,86084.5%$0.5102$0.170525.0%$0.6806$6,437,900$460$5,073,613$36278.8%
20234.1%14,003$1,282,705,262$1,072,746,22283.6%$0.4874$0.150223.6%$0.6376$6,840,152$488$4,814,823$34470.4%
20243.2%14,006$1,361,780,026$1,103,422,91981.0%$0.4893$0.148323.3%$0.6376$7,035,755$502$5,115,202$36572.7%
2025*2.9%14,008$1,429,869,027$1,158,594,06581.0%$0.4893$0.148323.3%$0.6376$7,387,543$527$5,359,306$38372.5%
CAGR4.2%0.0%11.7%8.9%-2.0%-0.4%-4.8%-3.3%-1.6%6.8%6.8%7.1%7.1%0.2%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%10.0%7.2%7.0%9.1%7.7%8.3%10.2%8.1%7.7%9.7%7.7%$3,886,549
20217.0%9.0%7.2%6.4%10.9%8.3%6.3%10.0%8.0%7.7%9.6%9.5%$4,421,199
20227.2%10.2%6.5%7.7%9.8%7.4%8.1%9.4%8.5%8.1%9.8%7.2%$5,073,613
20238.0%10.6%7.7%7.7%10.0%8.0%8.7%7.8%8.2%8.0%9.1%6.1%$4,814,823
20247.5%9.2%7.3%7.8%9.7%7.8%7.8%9.5%8.2%7.8%9.5%7.8%$5,115,202
20258.0%10.2%7.6%6.9%9.4%8.0%7.7%9.0%8.4%7.8%9.1%7.8%$5,359,306
MEDIAN %7.4%10.1%7.2%7.3%9.7%7.9%7.9%9.4%8.1%7.7%9.5%7.7%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

JASPER (City)

Pop 6,884 PPA 1.03 %BO 12.9% Levy $1,332,551 Levy CAGR -3.0% E-Factor 0.00%
6,195 6,770 7,346 7,921 8,496 9,071 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 8,123 8,247 7,590 6,884 6,895 6,906 6,918 6,930 6,941 6,953 6,964 6,976 +0.2% -0.8% -1.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: JASPER (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: JASPER had a 2020 population of 6,884 across 10.4 square miles, yielding a density of 1.03 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 6,976, a gain of 92 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 12.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), JASPER has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 13.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): JASPER levied $1,332,551 in property taxes on a market value base of $758,376,598. The taxable value of $589,624,418 reflects 22.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.2260 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2260 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $193 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of -3.0% CAGR lagged market value growth of 9.2% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): JASPER collected $5,555,688 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $806 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 416.9% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 2.5% CAGR, reflecting stable retail environment.
Strategic Outlook: JASPER demonstrates contracting fiscal capacity, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
JASPER
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop8,1238,2477,5906,8846,8956,9066,9186,9306,9416,9536,9646,976
PPA1.211.231.131.031.031.031.031.041.041.041.041.04
%BO15.2%15.4%14.2%12.9%12.9%12.9%12.9%13.0%13.0%13.0%13.0%13.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%6,884$507,780,354$401,305,71579.0%$0.2554$0.102528.6%$0.3579$1,436,273$209$4,743,479$689330.3%
20214.7%6,885$531,384,939$410,858,20977.3%$0.2554$0.102528.6%$0.3579$1,470,462$214$5,046,309$733343.2%
20228.0%6,886$587,281,622$450,244,50876.7%$0.2554N/AN/A$0.2554$1,149,924$167$5,190,853$754451.4%
20234.1%6,887$663,974,925$514,584,02877.5%$0.2313$0.231350.0%$0.4626$2,380,466$346$5,375,094$780225.8%
20243.2%6,888$722,263,427$561,547,06577.7%$0.2260N/AN/A$0.2260$1,269,096$184$5,227,597$759411.9%
2025*2.9%6,889$758,376,598$589,624,41877.7%$0.2260N/AN/A$0.2260$1,332,551$193$5,555,688$806416.9%
CAGR4.2%0.0%9.2%8.8%-0.3%-2.4%-8.8%-3.0%-3.1%2.5%2.4%4.8%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%9.4%6.6%6.7%8.4%7.9%9.1%10.7%8.2%7.8%10.3%7.6%$4,743,479
20217.7%8.8%6.9%5.1%10.6%9.2%7.9%9.8%8.3%8.2%9.4%8.0%$5,046,309
20228.4%10.1%7.1%6.6%9.4%8.1%8.3%9.0%7.8%8.4%8.6%8.2%$5,190,853
20238.4%10.1%7.3%8.0%9.5%7.5%8.3%9.4%8.0%8.1%8.0%7.4%$5,375,094
20248.1%8.8%6.8%8.0%9.5%7.8%8.0%9.1%9.2%7.0%9.2%8.7%$5,227,597
20257.6%10.7%7.1%6.1%9.2%8.6%8.1%9.1%8.5%8.0%8.9%8.1%$5,555,688
MEDIAN %7.9%9.8%7.0%6.7%9.5%8.1%8.2%9.3%8.3%8.1%9.1%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

JASPER (County)

Pop 6,884 PPA 1.03 %BO 12.9% Levy $20,483,088 Levy CAGR +5.2% E-Factor 0.21%
6,195 6,770 7,346 7,921 8,496 9,071 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 8,123 8,247 7,590 6,884 6,895 6,906 6,918 6,930 6,941 6,953 6,964 6,976 +0.2% -0.8% -1.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: JASPER (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: JASPER had a 2020 population of 6,884 across 10.4 square miles, yielding a density of 1.03 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 6,976, a gain of 92 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 12.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), JASPER has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 13.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): JASPER levied $20,483,088 in property taxes on a market value base of $7,082,757,935. The taxable value of $3,573,935,671 reflects 49.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5711 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4847 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $2,973 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 12.7% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.21% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Strategic Outlook: JASPER demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
JASPER
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop8,1238,2477,5906,8846,8956,9066,9186,9306,9416,9536,9646,976
PPA1.211.231.131.031.031.031.031.041.041.041.041.04
%BO15.2%15.4%14.2%12.9%12.9%12.9%12.9%13.0%13.0%13.0%13.0%13.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%6,884$4,175,046,833~EstN/A$0.6519N/AN/A$0.6519$15,912,559$2,312
20214.7%6,885$4,612,727,889~EstN/A$0.6519N/AN/A$0.6519$16,495,427$2,396
20228.0%6,886$5,746,260,193~EstN/A$0.6132N/AN/A$0.6132$17,640,186$2,562
20234.1%6,887$6,321,021,875~EstN/A$0.5588N/AN/A$0.5588$17,917,957$2,602
20243.2%6,888$6,745,483,748$3,403,748,25850.5%$0.4847N/AN/A$0.5711$19,507,703$2,832
2025~2.9%6,889$7,082,757,935$3,573,935,67150.5%$0.4847N/AN/A$0.5711$20,483,088$2,973
CAGR4.2%0.0%12.7%-5.8%-2.6%5.2%5.2%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

JASPER COUNTY (City)

Pop 32,980 PPA 0.05 %BO 0.7% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
27,991 30,249 32,507 34,765 37,023 39,281 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 31,102 35,604 35,710 32,980 33,034 33,090 33,145 33,200 33,255 33,311 33,366 33,422 +1.4% +0.0% -0.8% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: JASPER COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: JASPER COUNTY had a 2020 population of 32,980 across 938.7 square miles, yielding a density of 0.05 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 33,422, a gain of 442 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), JASPER COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.7%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: JASPER COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
JASPER COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop31,10235,60435,71032,98033,03433,09033,14533,20033,25533,31133,36633,422
PPA0.050.060.060.050.050.060.060.060.060.060.060.06
%BO0.6%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

JEFFERSON (County)

Pop 1,875 PPA 0.66 %BO 8.2% Levy $123,130,989 Levy CAGR +6.7% E-Factor 1.68%
1,687 1,844 2,001 2,158 2,315 2,472 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 2,248 2,024 2,106 1,875 1,878 1,881 1,884 1,887 1,890 1,893 1,896 1,900 -1.0% +0.4% -1.2% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: JEFFERSON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: JEFFERSON had a 2020 population of 1,875 across 4.4 square miles, yielding a density of 0.66 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 1,900, a gain of 25 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 8.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), JEFFERSON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 8.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): JEFFERSON levied $123,130,989 in property taxes on a market value base of $50,352,367,288. The taxable value of $37,617,742,309 reflects 25.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3570 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3388 for Maintenance & Operations (94.9%) and $0.0182 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (5.1%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $65,635 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.7% CAGR lagged market value growth of 8.5% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.68% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Strategic Outlook: JEFFERSON demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
JEFFERSON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop2,2482,0242,1061,8751,8781,8811,8841,8871,8901,8931,8961,900
PPA0.790.710.740.660.660.660.660.660.670.670.670.67
%BO9.9%8.9%9.3%8.2%8.3%8.3%8.3%8.3%8.3%8.3%8.3%8.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%1,875$34,593,396,848~EstN/A$0.3407$0.02436.7%$0.3650$90,487,126$48,260
20214.7%1,875$36,134,825,376~EstN/A$0.3407$0.02256.2%$0.3632$94,465,014$50,381
20228.0%1,875$39,701,879,150~EstN/A$0.3433$0.01995.5%$0.3632$104,172,289$55,559
20234.1%1,875$44,603,488,904~EstN/A$0.3404$0.01865.2%$0.3590$112,783,083$60,151
20243.2%1,876$47,954,635,512$35,826,421,24774.7%$0.3388$0.01825.1%$0.3570$117,267,609$62,509
2025~2.9%1,876$50,352,367,288$37,617,742,30974.7%$0.3388$0.01825.1%$0.3570$123,130,989$65,635
CAGR4.2%0.0%8.5%-0.1%-5.6%-5.2%-0.4%6.7%6.7%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

JEFFERSON COUNTY (City)

Pop 256,526 PPA 0.46 %BO 5.7% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
215,457 237,575 259,693 281,812 303,930 326,048 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 239,397 252,051 252,273 256,526 261,221 265,996 270,853 275,794 280,818 285,927 291,124 296,408 +0.5% +0.0% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: JEFFERSON COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: JEFFERSON COUNTY had a 2020 population of 256,526 across 876.8 square miles, yielding a density of 0.46 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 296,408, a gain of 39,882 (+15.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.18% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 5.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), JEFFERSON COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 6.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: JEFFERSON COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
JEFFERSON COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop239,397252,051252,273256,526261,221265,996270,853275,794280,818285,927291,124296,408
PPA0.430.450.450.460.470.470.480.490.500.510.520.53
%BO5.3%5.6%5.6%5.7%5.8%5.9%6.0%6.1%6.3%6.4%6.5%6.6%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.3%10.9%8.3%7.5%8.5%8.3%7.7%8.1%7.4%6.4%8.6%10.0%$33,971,936
20217.2%9.7%8.2%6.7%9.7%8.6%7.3%8.6%8.0%8.0%9.5%8.5%$33,017,885
20227.9%7.5%8.4%7.6%9.1%7.5%8.6%10.3%7.5%9.1%8.7%7.8%$37,414,532
20238.8%9.9%7.6%7.7%9.9%6.9%7.6%9.3%7.8%8.2%8.0%8.4%$38,477,273
20248.0%8.0%7.8%7.2%9.6%7.7%6.9%7.7%8.0%8.0%7.9%13.2%$42,043,879
20258.0%8.9%8.5%7.1%9.0%8.0%7.8%10.9%7.7%7.7%8.1%8.4%$43,305,182
MEDIAN %8.1%9.3%8.3%7.4%9.4%7.9%7.7%9.0%7.8%8.1%8.5%8.5%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

JERSEY VILLAGE (City)

Pop 7,921 PPA 3.68 %BO 46.0% Levy $11,211,320 Levy CAGR +7.4% E-Factor 0.00%
4,603 6,035 7,467 8,899 10,331 11,763 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 5,115 6,880 7,620 7,921 8,271 8,623 8,975 9,326 9,674 10,019 10,359 10,694 +3.0% +1.0% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: JERSEY VILLAGE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: JERSEY VILLAGE had a 2020 population of 7,921 across 3.4 square miles, yielding a density of 3.68 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 10,694, a gain of 2,773 (+35.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.38% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 46.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), JERSEY VILLAGE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 62.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): JERSEY VILLAGE levied $11,211,320 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,897,049,455. The taxable value of $1,424,564,287 reflects 24.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7870 per $100 valuation consists of $0.6410 for Maintenance & Operations (81.5%) and $0.1460 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (18.5%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,385 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.4% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 6.8% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): JERSEY VILLAGE collected $5,005,348 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $618 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 44.6% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at -7.9% CAGR, reflecting retail sector challenges or market share losses.
Strategic Outlook: JERSEY VILLAGE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
JERSEY VILLAGE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop5,1156,8807,6207,9218,2718,6238,9759,3269,67410,01910,35910,694
PPA2.383.203.543.683.854.014.174.344.504.664.824.97
%BO29.7%40.0%44.3%46.0%48.1%50.1%52.2%54.2%56.2%58.2%60.2%62.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%7,921$1,391,112,027$1,109,187,71479.7%$0.5914$0.132118.3%$0.7235$8,024,596$1,013$6,195,181$78277.2%
20214.7%7,956$1,550,848,063$1,108,291,57671.5%$0.6109$0.131617.7%$0.7425$8,229,065$1,034$5,865,191$73771.3%
20228.0%7,991$1,782,645,002$1,226,628,73568.8%$0.6238$0.118716.0%$0.7425$9,107,718$1,140$5,185,182$64956.9%
20234.1%8,026$1,844,430,362$1,354,261,31373.4%$0.6403$0.102213.8%$0.7425$10,055,390$1,253$5,374,023$67053.4%
20243.2%8,061$1,806,713,767$1,356,727,89275.1%$0.6410$0.146018.5%$0.7870$10,677,448$1,325$4,455,155$55341.7%
2025*2.9%8,096$1,897,049,455$1,424,564,28775.1%$0.6410$0.146018.5%$0.7870$11,211,320$1,385$5,005,348$61844.6%
CAGR4.2%0.4%6.8%5.2%-1.2%1.6%2.0%0.3%1.7%7.4%6.9%-7.9%-8.3%-10.4%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.6%10.3%7.6%7.0%9.4%7.4%9.6%8.1%7.6%7.8%8.1%8.5%$6,195,181
20218.2%9.1%7.6%6.4%9.2%9.5%7.5%8.6%8.3%9.9%9.1%6.7%$5,865,191
20227.6%7.7%6.6%6.6%8.5%8.0%8.5%9.8%8.9%9.4%9.5%8.9%$5,185,182
20238.2%9.0%6.4%8.8%8.9%7.8%8.4%9.1%8.5%8.5%8.2%8.3%$5,374,023
20248.9%8.5%6.2%7.4%8.1%8.8%8.0%7.5%8.5%9.9%9.5%8.7%$4,455,155
20257.3%9.1%7.0%6.3%8.2%7.8%8.3%8.1%9.2%8.7%9.6%10.4%$5,005,348
MEDIAN %8.2%9.1%6.8%6.8%8.7%8.0%8.4%8.4%8.5%9.1%9.4%8.6%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

JIM WELLS COUNTY (City)

Pop 38,891 PPA 0.07 %BO 0.9% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
33,911 36,113 38,315 40,517 42,719 44,921 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 37,679 39,326 40,838 38,891 38,955 39,020 39,085 39,151 39,216 39,281 39,347 39,412 +0.4% +0.4% -0.5% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: JIM WELLS COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: JIM WELLS COUNTY had a 2020 population of 38,891 across 865.2 square miles, yielding a density of 0.07 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 39,412, a gain of 521 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), JIM WELLS COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: JIM WELLS COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
JIM WELLS COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop37,67939,32640,83838,89138,95539,02039,08539,15139,21639,28139,34739,412
PPA0.070.070.070.070.070.070.070.070.070.070.070.07
%BO0.9%0.9%0.9%0.9%0.9%0.9%0.9%0.9%0.9%0.9%0.9%0.9%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.8%9.6%7.5%8.5%8.9%8.2%8.9%8.9%7.2%10.1%7.3%7.2%$2,800,869
20217.4%8.8%7.2%6.7%10.4%8.9%7.9%7.6%8.3%8.2%9.6%8.9%$2,605,184
20227.7%8.0%7.1%7.2%8.4%7.7%8.9%9.2%8.9%8.7%8.6%9.7%$3,348,608
20237.9%9.5%7.8%8.8%9.9%8.4%8.7%8.0%7.0%8.7%7.8%7.4%$3,605,213
20248.0%8.8%7.4%8.4%8.7%8.3%7.9%8.3%7.8%8.6%9.2%8.7%$3,369,597
20257.4%9.0%7.1%7.2%9.5%7.8%7.4%8.0%8.4%7.2%7.5%13.5%$3,572,427
MEDIAN %7.8%9.0%7.4%7.9%9.3%8.3%8.4%8.2%8.1%8.7%8.3%8.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

JOHNSON COUNTY (City)

Pop 179,927 PPA 0.39 %BO 4.8% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
87,448 222,017 356,586 491,156 625,725 760,294 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 97,165 126,811 150,934 179,927 214,922 256,235 304,802 361,621 427,713 504,081 591,649 691,177 +2.7% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% +1.7% +1.7% +1.7% +1.6% +1.6% Population Trend: JOHNSON COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: JOHNSON COUNTY had a 2020 population of 179,927 across 724.7 square miles, yielding a density of 0.39 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 691,177, a gain of 511,250 (+284.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.70% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 4.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), JOHNSON COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 18.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: JOHNSON COUNTY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
JOHNSON COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop97,165126,811150,934179,927214,922256,235304,802361,621427,713504,081591,649691,177
PPA0.210.270.330.390.460.550.660.780.921.091.281.49
%BO2.6%3.4%4.1%4.8%5.8%6.9%8.2%9.7%11.5%13.6%15.9%18.6%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

JONES COUNTY (City)

Pop 19,663 PPA 0.03 %BO 0.4% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
14,841 16,458 18,075 19,693 21,310 22,928 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 16,490 20,785 20,202 19,663 19,806 19,952 20,098 20,245 20,393 20,542 20,693 20,844 +2.3% -0.3% -0.3% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: JONES COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: JONES COUNTY had a 2020 population of 19,663 across 928.6 square miles, yielding a density of 0.03 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 20,844, a gain of 1,181 (+6.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.07% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), JONES COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: JONES COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
JONES COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop16,49020,78520,20219,66319,80619,95220,09820,24520,39320,54220,69320,844
PPA0.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.04
%BO0.3%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

JOSHUA (City)

Pop 7,891 PPA 1.82 %BO 22.8% Levy $5,648,242 Levy CAGR +11.5% E-Factor 4.97%
3,273 8,205 13,137 18,069 23,001 27,933 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 3,637 4,528 5,910 7,891 9,709 11,765 14,014 16,387 18,799 21,157 23,377 25,394 +2.2% +2.7% +2.9% +2.1% +1.9% +1.8% +1.6% +1.4% +1.2% +1.0% +0.8% Population Trend: JOSHUA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: JOSHUA had a 2020 population of 7,891 across 6.8 square miles, yielding a density of 1.82 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 25,394, a gain of 17,503 (+221.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.47% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 22.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), JOSHUA has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 73.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): JOSHUA levied $5,648,242 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,177,404,272. The taxable value of $819,217,430 reflects 30.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6895 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5126 for Maintenance & Operations (74.3%) and $0.1769 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (25.7%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $642 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 11.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.3% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.97% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): JOSHUA collected $3,372,500 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $383 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 59.7% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 12.9% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: JOSHUA demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
JOSHUA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop3,6374,5285,9107,8919,70911,76514,01416,38718,79921,15723,37725,394
PPA0.841.051.361.822.242.723.233.784.344.885.405.86
%BO10.5%13.1%17.1%22.8%28.0%33.9%40.4%47.3%54.2%61.0%67.4%73.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%7,891$657,107,112$456,884,20769.5%$0.5760$0.185224.3%$0.7612$3,477,985$441$1,691,499$21448.6%
20214.7%8,072$735,930,372$517,681,27570.3%$0.5360$0.175524.7%$0.7115$3,683,266$456$2,132,372$26457.9%
20228.0%8,254$845,212,762$606,343,38271.7%$0.5220$0.189526.6%$0.7115$4,314,091$523$2,790,393$33864.7%
20234.1%8,436$1,015,166,663$715,249,80670.5%$0.5010$0.150223.1%$0.6512$4,657,914$552$2,785,094$33059.8%
20243.2%8,618$1,121,337,402$780,207,07669.6%$0.5126$0.176925.7%$0.6895$5,379,278$624$2,746,345$31951.1%
2025*2.9%8,800$1,177,404,272$819,217,43069.6%$0.5126$0.176925.7%$0.6895$5,648,242$642$3,372,500$38359.7%
CAGR4.2%2.2%14.3%14.3%0.0%-2.3%-0.9%1.1%-2.0%11.5%9.1%12.9%10.4%4.2%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%10.7%7.4%8.4%8.2%7.7%8.6%9.6%8.0%7.5%8.6%7.9%$1,691,499
20216.5%9.1%7.2%5.9%9.7%8.0%7.3%9.6%8.1%8.8%10.7%9.2%$2,132,372
20227.9%8.0%6.7%6.2%8.8%7.9%7.5%13.7%7.6%7.9%9.2%8.7%$2,790,393
20237.1%8.8%8.4%6.7%8.3%9.1%7.2%9.8%8.6%8.4%9.7%8.0%$2,785,094
20248.2%8.9%7.5%7.9%8.5%8.1%8.4%8.3%8.3%8.3%8.7%8.9%$2,746,345
20256.8%8.7%7.5%7.4%9.2%7.8%8.0%10.1%8.9%8.4%9.6%7.6%$3,372,500
MEDIAN %7.4%9.0%7.5%7.1%8.7%8.0%7.8%9.8%8.3%8.4%9.5%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

KARNES COUNTY (City)

Pop 14,710 PPA 0.03 %BO 0.4% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
11,209 12,690 14,172 15,653 17,135 18,616 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 12,455 15,446 14,824 14,710 14,970 15,235 15,504 15,778 16,057 16,341 16,630 16,924 +2.2% -0.4% -0.1% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: KARNES COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: KARNES COUNTY had a 2020 population of 14,710 across 747.8 square miles, yielding a density of 0.03 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 16,924, a gain of 2,214 (+15.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.18% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), KARNES COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: KARNES COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
KARNES COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop12,45515,44614,82414,71014,97015,23515,50415,77816,05716,34116,63016,924
PPA0.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.04
%BO0.3%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20209.8%11.4%10.9%10.4%11.9%12.5%7.6%6.3%4.8%4.6%4.4%5.3%$4,534,682
20217.2%7.5%8.6%8.2%7.0%8.9%8.1%12.3%8.8%8.2%9.6%5.6%$3,732,027
20226.3%8.1%6.5%6.6%7.1%7.0%8.6%8.5%8.6%10.4%14.5%7.7%$5,719,355
20235.8%22.6%6.7%6.1%8.0%7.5%8.9%7.7%6.7%7.3%6.1%6.6%$7,526,893
20247.3%16.6%7.4%7.6%7.9%7.0%8.1%8.7%7.1%7.4%6.7%8.3%$6,168,960
20257.2%7.3%6.7%9.5%8.5%8.5%8.7%9.0%6.2%7.2%13.1%8.0%$5,847,100
MEDIAN %7.6%10.3%7.5%8.4%8.4%8.5%8.8%9.1%7.3%7.8%8.7%7.6%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

KATY (City)

Pop 21,894 PPA 3.04 %BO 38.0% Levy $27,824,762 Levy CAGR +13.4% E-Factor 6.04%
7,204 17,671 28,138 38,605 49,072 59,539 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 8,005 11,775 14,102 21,894 27,544 33,306 38,731 43,468 47,336 50,326 52,540 54,127 +3.9% +1.8% +4.5% +2.3% +1.9% +1.5% +1.2% +0.9% +0.6% +0.4% +0.3% Population Trend: KATY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: KATY had a 2020 population of 21,894 across 11.2 square miles, yielding a density of 3.04 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 54,127, a gain of 32,233 (+147.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.14% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 38.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), KATY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 94.0%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): KATY levied $27,824,762 in property taxes on a market value base of $8,753,935,275. The taxable value of $6,547,002,904 reflects 25.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4250 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3708 for Maintenance & Operations (87.2%) and $0.0542 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (12.8%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,126 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 13.4% CAGR lagged market value growth of 16.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 6.04% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): KATY collected $22,561,310 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $913 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 81.1% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 13.7% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: KATY demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
KATY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop8,00511,77514,10221,89427,54433,30638,73143,46847,33650,32652,54054,127
PPA1.111.641.963.043.834.635.386.046.576.997.307.52
%BO13.9%20.4%24.5%38.0%47.8%57.8%67.2%75.5%82.2%87.4%91.2%94.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%21,894$4,598,737,931$3,589,247,61878.0%$0.3649$0.082218.4%$0.4472$16,049,967$733$13,157,602$60182.0%
20214.7%22,459$5,392,525,897$4,034,259,22374.8%$0.3635$0.083618.7%$0.4472$18,039,916$803$17,278,423$76995.8%
20228.0%23,024$6,531,898,414$4,702,446,88572.0%$0.3623$0.077717.7%$0.4400$20,690,766$899$19,763,186$85895.5%
20234.1%23,589$7,707,481,373$5,639,777,91673.2%$0.3630$0.067015.6%$0.4300$24,251,045$1,028$21,833,834$92690.0%
20243.2%24,154$8,337,081,214$6,235,240,86174.8%$0.3708$0.054212.8%$0.4250$26,499,773$1,097$21,980,464$91082.9%
2025*2.9%24,719$8,753,935,275$6,547,002,90474.8%$0.3708$0.054212.8%$0.4250$27,824,762$1,126$22,561,310$91381.1%
CAGR4.2%2.5%16.0%14.8%-0.8%0.3%-8.0%-7.1%-1.0%13.4%10.6%13.7%10.9%-0.2%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.5%12.7%6.9%6.8%7.4%6.3%7.1%11.7%7.8%8.0%10.4%8.4%$13,157,602
20217.1%9.9%6.2%6.1%9.3%7.9%7.9%9.1%8.5%10.8%9.1%7.9%$17,278,423
20227.6%10.1%6.6%6.5%8.8%8.1%8.2%9.8%8.4%8.3%9.0%8.4%$19,763,186
20238.3%10.6%7.4%7.3%8.8%7.6%8.7%9.2%6.8%8.7%8.6%8.1%$21,833,834
20248.4%10.8%7.3%7.6%8.4%7.8%8.5%8.8%8.4%8.1%8.2%7.8%$21,980,464
20258.4%13.0%7.0%7.0%8.4%7.5%8.0%8.6%8.3%7.6%8.3%8.0%$22,561,310
MEDIAN %8.0%10.8%6.9%6.9%8.7%7.7%8.2%9.2%8.4%8.2%8.8%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

KAUFMAN (City)

Pop 6,797 PPA 1.27 %BO 15.9% Levy $6,705,055 Levy CAGR +11.8% E-Factor 5.30%
4,966 5,869 6,772 7,675 8,577 9,480 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 5,518 6,490 6,703 6,797 7,006 7,221 7,440 7,665 7,896 8,131 8,372 8,619 +1.6% +0.3% +0.1% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: KAUFMAN (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: KAUFMAN had a 2020 population of 6,797 across 8.3 square miles, yielding a density of 1.27 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 8,619, a gain of 1,822 (+26.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.30% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 15.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), KAUFMAN has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 20.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): KAUFMAN levied $6,705,055 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,304,144,009. The taxable value of $882,825,003 reflects 32.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7595 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5205 for Maintenance & Operations (68.5%) and $0.2390 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (31.5%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $972 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 11.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.8% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 5.30% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): KAUFMAN collected $5,421,711 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $786 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 80.9% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.4% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: KAUFMAN demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
KAUFMAN
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop5,5186,4906,7036,7977,0067,2217,4407,6657,8968,1318,3728,619
PPA1.031.221.261.271.311.351.391.441.481.521.571.61
%BO12.9%15.2%15.7%15.9%16.4%16.9%17.4%18.0%18.5%19.0%19.6%20.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%6,797$714,893,971$497,916,91469.6%$0.5011$0.320639.0%$0.8217$4,091,264$602$3,530,323$51986.3%
20214.7%6,817$800,182,193$547,547,87768.4%$0.4932$0.306838.4%$0.8000$4,380,252$643$3,924,967$57689.6%
20228.0%6,838$1,016,016,273$674,335,27566.4%$0.4800$0.288037.5%$0.7680$5,178,733$757$4,526,467$66287.4%
20234.1%6,859$1,178,238,178$774,601,84865.7%$0.4980$0.262034.5%$0.7600$5,886,974$858$4,755,195$69380.8%
20243.2%6,880$1,242,041,913$840,785,71767.7%$0.5205$0.239031.5%$0.7595$6,385,767$928$5,061,984$73679.3%
2025*2.9%6,901$1,304,144,009$882,825,00367.7%$0.5205$0.239031.5%$0.7595$6,705,055$972$5,421,711$78680.9%
CAGR4.2%0.3%14.8%14.0%-0.6%0.8%-5.7%-4.2%-1.6%11.8%11.4%9.4%9.1%-1.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.0%9.2%6.8%6.7%8.2%8.2%8.7%9.4%7.9%10.7%9.3%7.9%$3,530,323
20217.6%9.3%6.8%6.1%9.9%6.9%8.2%10.6%8.2%8.7%9.5%8.1%$3,924,967
20227.5%9.3%7.1%6.6%9.0%7.9%8.4%10.0%8.6%8.3%9.1%8.2%$4,526,467
20237.9%9.9%7.1%6.9%8.6%9.3%8.0%8.8%7.9%8.6%9.0%8.1%$4,755,195
20247.8%10.0%6.9%8.1%9.0%8.2%7.7%8.6%8.6%8.5%8.8%7.8%$5,061,984
20257.4%10.6%6.3%6.7%10.0%7.6%8.0%9.0%8.4%8.7%8.7%8.6%$5,421,711
MEDIAN %7.6%9.7%6.9%6.8%9.1%8.1%8.2%9.2%8.3%8.7%9.1%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

KAUFMAN (County)

Pop 6,797 PPA 1.27 %BO 15.9% Levy $112,806,459 Levy CAGR +13.9% E-Factor 8.57%
4,966 5,869 6,772 7,675 8,577 9,480 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 5,518 6,490 6,703 6,797 7,006 7,221 7,440 7,665 7,896 8,131 8,372 8,619 +1.6% +0.3% +0.1% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: KAUFMAN (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: KAUFMAN had a 2020 population of 6,797 across 8.3 square miles, yielding a density of 1.27 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 8,619, a gain of 1,822 (+26.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.30% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 15.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), KAUFMAN has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 20.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): KAUFMAN levied $112,806,459 in property taxes on a market value base of $35,960,524,266. The taxable value of $27,922,456,104 reflects 22.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4151 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2796 for Maintenance & Operations (87.2%) and $0.0530 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (12.8%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $16,346 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 13.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 19.2% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 8.57% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: KAUFMAN demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
KAUFMAN
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop5,5186,4906,7036,7977,0067,2217,4407,6657,8968,1318,3728,619
PPA1.031.221.261.271.311.351.391.441.481.521.571.61
%BO12.9%15.2%15.7%15.9%16.4%16.9%17.4%18.0%18.5%19.0%19.6%20.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%6,797$16,980,995,978~EstN/A$0.4353$0.069713.8%$0.5050$63,900,896$9,401
20214.7%6,817$19,692,726,042~EstN/A$0.3923$0.068914.9%$0.4612$67,946,580$9,967
20228.0%6,838$26,763,189,141~EstN/A$0.3497$0.066616.0%$0.4163$79,613,050$11,643
20234.1%6,859$32,244,229,466~EstN/A$0.3621$0.049412.0%$0.4115$95,984,186$13,994
20243.2%6,880$34,248,118,349$26,592,815,33777.6%$0.2796$0.053012.8%$0.4151$107,434,723$15,616
2025~2.9%6,901$35,960,524,266$27,922,456,10477.6%$0.2796$0.053012.8%$0.4151$112,806,459$16,346
CAGR4.2%0.3%19.2%-8.5%-5.3%-1.5%-3.8%13.9%13.5%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

KAUFMAN COUNTY (City)

Pop 145,310 PPA 0.29 %BO 3.6% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
46,998 360,884 674,770 988,657 1,302,543 1,616,430 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 52,220 71,313 103,350 145,310 201,415 277,649 379,897 514,675 688,311 905,518 1,167,410 1,469,482 +3.2% +3.8% +3.5% +3.3% +3.3% +3.2% +3.1% +2.9% +2.8% +2.6% +2.3% Population Trend: KAUFMAN COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: KAUFMAN COUNTY had a 2020 population of 145,310 across 780.9 square miles, yielding a density of 0.29 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 1,469,482, a gain of 1,324,172 (+911.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.93% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 3.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), KAUFMAN COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 36.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: KAUFMAN COUNTY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
KAUFMAN COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop52,22071,313103,350145,310201,415277,649379,897514,675688,311905,5181,167,4101,469,482
PPA0.100.140.210.290.400.560.761.031.381.812.342.94
%BO1.3%1.8%2.6%3.6%5.0%6.9%9.5%12.9%17.2%22.6%29.2%36.8%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

KELLER (City)

Pop 45,776 PPA 3.88 %BO 48.5% Levy $25,786,220 Levy CAGR -0.2% E-Factor 0.00%
12,366 28,063 43,759 59,455 75,151 90,847 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 13,741 27,345 39,627 45,776 51,654 57,403 62,856 67,882 72,392 76,344 79,734 82,589 +7.1% +3.8% +1.5% +1.2% +1.1% +0.9% +0.8% +0.6% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% Population Trend: KELLER (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: KELLER had a 2020 population of 45,776 across 18.4 square miles, yielding a density of 3.88 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 82,589, a gain of 36,813 (+80.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.74% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 48.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), KELLER has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 87.4%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): KELLER levied $25,786,220 in property taxes on a market value base of $12,272,223,188. The taxable value of $8,857,591,634 reflects 27.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.2911 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2476 for Maintenance & Operations (85.1%) and $0.0435 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (14.9%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $529 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of -0.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.6% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): KELLER collected $17,002,207 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.75% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $349 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 65.9% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.0% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: KELLER demonstrates contracting fiscal capacity, substantial development capacity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
KELLER
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop13,74127,34539,62745,77651,65457,40362,85667,88272,39276,34479,73482,589
PPA1.162.323.363.884.374.865.325.756.136.476.756.99
%BO14.5%28.9%41.9%48.5%54.7%60.8%66.5%71.9%76.6%80.8%84.4%87.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%45,776$7,803,719,997$6,272,036,70780.4%$0.3242$0.070817.9%$0.3950$24,774,545$541$12,677,712$27751.2%
20214.7%46,363$8,126,147,516$6,219,283,61576.5%$0.3360$0.059014.9%$0.3950$24,566,170$530$14,259,788$30858.0%
20228.0%46,951$9,534,021,648$6,931,013,58772.7%$0.2992$0.055315.6%$0.3545$24,570,443$523$16,011,937$34165.2%
20234.1%47,539$11,456,330,698$7,856,287,28968.6%$0.2604$0.051616.5%$0.3120$24,511,616$516$16,416,527$34567.0%
20243.2%48,127$11,687,831,608$8,435,801,55672.2%$0.2476$0.043514.9%$0.2911$24,558,305$510$16,633,305$34667.7%
2025*2.9%48,715$12,272,223,188$8,857,591,63472.2%$0.2476$0.043514.9%$0.2911$25,786,220$529$17,002,207$34965.9%
CAGR4.2%1.3%10.6%7.7%-2.1%-5.2%-9.3%-3.6%-5.9%-0.2%-1.5%7.0%5.7%5.2%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%10.4%7.0%6.3%8.4%8.1%8.9%10.2%7.9%7.7%9.8%8.0%$12,677,712
20217.9%9.5%6.6%5.7%10.1%8.4%7.9%9.6%8.0%8.2%9.8%8.4%$14,259,788
20227.5%9.7%6.8%5.8%10.9%8.2%7.9%9.3%8.3%7.9%9.6%8.2%$16,011,937
20238.1%9.8%6.9%6.8%9.5%7.9%8.3%9.8%8.3%8.0%8.9%7.8%$16,416,527
20247.9%10.5%6.2%7.0%9.9%7.8%8.5%8.7%9.4%8.0%8.3%7.8%$16,633,305
20257.5%12.2%7.0%6.1%9.3%7.8%8.3%9.0%8.0%7.7%9.1%7.9%$17,002,207
MEDIAN %7.7%10.1%6.9%6.2%9.7%8.0%8.3%9.5%8.1%8.0%9.4%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

KENDALL COUNTY (City)

Pop 44,279 PPA 0.10 %BO 1.3% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
13,130 117,621 222,112 326,604 431,095 535,586 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 14,589 23,743 33,410 44,279 60,512 82,553 112,355 152,429 205,913 276,586 368,750 486,897 +5.0% +3.5% +2.9% +3.2% +3.2% +3.1% +3.1% +3.1% +3.0% +2.9% +2.8% Population Trend: KENDALL COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: KENDALL COUNTY had a 2020 population of 44,279 across 662.5 square miles, yielding a density of 0.10 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 486,897, a gain of 442,618 (+999.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.04% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), KENDALL COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 14.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: KENDALL COUNTY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
KENDALL COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop14,58923,74333,41044,27960,51282,553112,355152,429205,913276,586368,750486,897
PPA0.030.060.080.100.140.190.260.360.490.650.871.15
%BO0.4%0.7%1.0%1.3%1.8%2.4%3.3%4.5%6.1%8.2%10.9%14.4%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.4%9.1%7.6%6.8%8.2%8.0%7.7%10.2%9.1%8.0%9.0%8.8%$4,154,752
20217.6%9.2%6.7%5.8%9.4%8.3%8.7%9.9%8.4%8.1%9.7%8.2%$4,752,667
20228.0%9.5%7.3%6.9%8.8%8.5%8.1%9.1%8.4%8.3%8.8%8.4%$5,310,425
20237.9%10.1%7.3%7.4%8.8%7.8%8.7%9.1%8.6%8.1%8.3%8.0%$5,928,279
20248.0%10.8%7.2%7.2%8.2%8.0%8.6%9.0%8.2%8.0%8.3%8.6%$6,296,569
20257.9%11.0%7.2%8.0%8.3%8.4%7.8%8.4%8.4%7.7%8.3%8.7%$6,562,161
MEDIAN %8.0%9.8%7.2%7.1%8.6%8.2%8.4%9.1%8.4%8.1%8.6%8.5%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

KENEDY (County)

Pop 3,473 PPA 1.49 %BO 18.7% Levy $5,920,746 Levy CAGR -3.8% E-Factor 0.00%
2,966 3,231 3,497 3,762 4,027 4,293 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 3,903 3,487 3,296 3,473 3,518 3,563 3,609 3,656 3,703 3,750 3,798 3,847 -1.1% -0.6% +0.5% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: KENEDY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: KENEDY had a 2020 population of 3,473 across 3.6 square miles, yielding a density of 1.49 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 3,847, a gain of 374 (+10.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.13% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 18.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), KENEDY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 20.7%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): KENEDY levied $5,920,746 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,157,963,286. The taxable value of $756,271,530 reflects 65.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7837 per $100 valuation consists of $0.7837 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,694 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of -3.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of -0.9% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Strategic Outlook: KENEDY demonstrates contracting fiscal capacity, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
KENEDY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop3,9033,4873,2963,4733,5183,5633,6093,6563,7033,7503,7983,847
PPA1.681.501.421.491.511.531.551.571.591.611.641.66
%BO21.0%18.8%17.7%18.7%18.9%19.2%19.4%19.7%19.9%20.2%20.4%20.7%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%3,473$2,127,810,195~EstN/A$0.7500N/AN/A$0.7500$6,581,227$1,895
20214.7%3,477$2,145,743,418~EstN/A$0.6700N/AN/A$0.6700$4,762,958$1,370
20228.0%3,482$2,354,530,777~EstN/A$0.5564N/AN/A$0.5564$4,899,570$1,407
20234.1%3,486$2,310,976,684~EstN/A$0.5564N/AN/A$0.5564$5,224,353$1,499
20243.2%3,491$2,055,203,130$720,258,60035.0%$0.7837N/AN/A$0.7837$5,638,806$1,615
2025~2.9%3,495$2,157,963,286$756,271,53035.0%$0.7837N/AN/A$0.7837$5,920,746$1,694
CAGR4.2%0.1%-0.9%0.9%0.9%-3.8%-3.9%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

KENNEDALE (City)

Pop 8,517 PPA 2.01 %BO 25.2% Levy $9,314,254 Levy CAGR +7.9% E-Factor 1.38%
3,689 8,101 12,514 16,926 21,339 25,752 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 4,099 5,850 6,763 8,517 10,111 11,866 13,750 15,721 17,727 19,712 21,622 23,411 +3.6% +1.5% +2.3% +1.7% +1.6% +1.5% +1.3% +1.2% +1.1% +0.9% +0.8% Population Trend: KENNEDALE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: KENNEDALE had a 2020 population of 8,517 across 6.6 square miles, yielding a density of 2.01 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 23,411, a gain of 14,894 (+174.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.27% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 25.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), KENNEDALE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 69.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): KENNEDALE levied $9,314,254 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,580,485,824. The taxable value of $1,318,944,487 reflects 16.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7062 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5110 for Maintenance & Operations (72.4%) and $0.1952 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (27.6%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,000 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.6% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.38% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): KENNEDALE collected $4,043,211 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $434 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 43.4% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.5% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: KENNEDALE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
KENNEDALE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop4,0995,8506,7638,51710,11111,86613,75015,72117,72719,71221,62223,411
PPA0.971.381.602.012.392.813.253.724.194.665.115.53
%BO12.1%17.3%20.0%25.2%29.9%35.1%40.6%46.5%52.4%58.2%63.9%69.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%8,517$1,005,720,606$846,491,53884.2%$0.5827$0.191424.7%$0.7741$6,552,564$769$2,183,811$25633.3%
20214.7%8,676$1,039,170,865$880,919,50784.8%$0.5729$0.191125.0%$0.7641$6,730,974$776$2,438,031$28136.2%
20228.0%8,835$1,230,868,522$1,020,626,36482.9%$0.5692$0.137019.4%$0.7062$7,207,561$816$2,408,828$27333.4%
20234.1%8,995$1,521,057,426$1,222,931,56580.4%$0.5093$0.196927.9%$0.7062$8,636,220$960$2,775,820$30932.1%
20243.2%9,154$1,505,224,594$1,256,137,60783.5%$0.5110$0.195227.6%$0.7062$8,870,718$969$3,031,003$33134.2%
2025*2.9%9,314$1,580,485,824$1,318,944,48783.5%$0.5110$0.195227.6%$0.7062$9,314,254$1,000$4,043,211$43443.4%
CAGR4.2%1.8%10.6%10.4%-0.2%-2.6%0.4%2.3%-1.8%7.9%5.9%8.5%6.6%5.4%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.6%11.7%7.8%6.9%9.1%8.1%7.3%8.3%9.0%6.5%10.6%8.2%$2,183,811
20217.5%10.2%7.2%4.9%11.3%8.1%6.5%10.4%6.8%8.4%11.5%7.2%$2,438,031
20227.1%9.4%8.6%6.0%10.0%7.7%7.6%9.4%7.9%8.6%9.0%8.7%$2,408,828
20237.8%9.0%6.4%9.3%7.5%7.7%7.8%9.2%8.5%12.0%8.9%5.9%$2,775,820
20247.5%9.4%8.9%7.3%8.6%7.5%7.1%7.7%7.5%9.5%10.4%8.7%$3,031,003
20255.0%7.5%9.6%6.7%8.2%8.9%9.4%9.6%9.6%8.9%9.2%7.4%$4,043,211
MEDIAN %7.3%9.4%8.2%6.8%8.9%7.9%7.5%9.3%8.2%8.8%9.8%7.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

KERR COUNTY (City)

Pop 52,598 PPA 0.07 %BO 0.9% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
32,673 48,667 64,661 80,656 96,650 112,644 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 36,304 43,653 49,625 52,598 57,182 62,163 67,571 73,445 79,821 86,743 94,254 102,404 +1.9% +1.3% +0.6% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% Population Trend: KERR COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: KERR COUNTY had a 2020 population of 52,598 across 1103.3 square miles, yielding a density of 0.07 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 102,404, a gain of 49,806 (+94.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.84% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), KERR COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 1.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: KERR COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
KERR COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop36,30443,65349,62552,59857,18262,16367,57173,44579,82186,74394,254102,404
PPA0.050.060.070.070.080.090.100.100.110.120.130.15
%BO0.6%0.8%0.9%0.9%1.0%1.1%1.2%1.3%1.4%1.5%1.7%1.8%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%10.1%7.0%6.7%8.2%8.3%8.8%9.3%8.9%7.9%9.5%8.0%$4,684,436
20217.5%9.5%7.1%5.8%9.7%8.5%8.3%9.5%8.7%8.3%9.4%7.7%$5,336,082
20228.5%9.6%7.5%6.6%8.9%8.2%8.3%9.3%8.2%8.7%8.5%7.8%$5,947,958
20238.6%9.8%7.5%7.2%9.1%7.8%8.8%8.8%8.1%8.9%7.6%7.7%$6,127,642
20248.4%10.0%7.4%7.7%8.5%8.6%8.2%8.3%8.8%7.6%8.2%8.1%$6,101,473
20257.7%11.4%7.1%7.2%8.2%8.3%8.1%8.2%8.8%8.2%8.4%8.4%$6,398,967
MEDIAN %8.1%9.9%7.3%6.9%8.7%8.3%8.3%9.0%8.8%8.2%8.4%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

KERRVILLE (City)

Pop 24,278 PPA 1.87 %BO 23.4% Levy $20,566,088 Levy CAGR +11.8% E-Factor 3.20%
15,880 21,613 27,347 33,080 38,814 44,547 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 17,645 20,425 22,347 24,278 26,039 27,883 29,809 31,811 33,888 36,032 38,238 40,498 +1.5% +0.9% +0.8% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% Population Trend: KERRVILLE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: KERRVILLE had a 2020 population of 24,278 across 20.3 square miles, yielding a density of 1.87 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 40,498, a gain of 16,220 (+66.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.64% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 23.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), KERRVILLE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 39.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): KERRVILLE levied $20,566,088 in property taxes on a market value base of $4,103,815,894. The taxable value of $3,675,797,634 reflects 10.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5595 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4189 for Maintenance & Operations (74.9%) and $0.1406 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (25.1%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $817 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 11.8% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 9.3% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.20% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): KERRVILLE collected $15,562,739 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $619 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 75.7% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.0% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: KERRVILLE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
KERRVILLE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop17,64520,42522,34724,27826,03927,88329,80931,81133,88836,03238,23840,498
PPA1.361.571.721.872.002.152.292.452.612.772.943.12
%BO17.0%19.7%21.5%23.4%25.1%26.8%28.7%30.6%32.6%34.7%36.8%39.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%24,278$2,738,230,321$2,447,819,72089.4%$0.4381$0.073514.4%$0.5116$12,523,046$516$11,768,943$48594.0%
20214.7%24,454$2,896,342,730$2,607,235,69090.0%$0.4358$0.073514.4%$0.5093$13,278,651$543$13,381,488$547100.8%
20228.0%24,630$3,303,924,522$2,949,195,59089.3%$0.4341$0.141124.5%$0.5752$16,963,773$689$14,703,203$59786.7%
20234.1%24,806$3,807,262,422$3,331,367,17987.5%$0.4185$0.141025.2%$0.5595$18,638,999$751$15,108,181$60981.1%
20243.2%24,982$3,908,396,090$3,500,759,65189.6%$0.4189$0.140625.1%$0.5595$19,586,750$784$14,862,842$59575.9%
2025*2.9%25,158$4,103,815,894$3,675,797,63489.6%$0.4189$0.140625.1%$0.5595$20,566,088$817$15,562,739$61975.7%
CAGR4.2%0.7%9.3%9.4%0.0%-0.9%13.9%11.8%1.8%11.8%11.0%6.0%5.3%-4.2%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.4%10.0%6.9%6.7%8.1%8.3%8.9%9.4%8.7%7.9%9.6%8.2%$11,768,943
20217.5%9.7%7.2%5.9%9.9%8.2%8.3%9.6%8.7%8.2%9.4%7.4%$13,381,488
20228.6%9.7%7.4%6.4%9.0%8.3%8.2%9.2%8.1%9.0%8.4%7.7%$14,703,203
20238.6%9.7%7.6%7.2%9.1%7.5%8.8%8.9%8.0%9.2%7.4%7.7%$15,108,181
20248.0%9.8%7.5%8.0%8.8%8.5%8.2%8.2%9.1%7.7%8.1%8.2%$14,862,842
20257.7%11.6%7.1%6.7%8.2%9.1%8.0%8.1%8.9%8.2%8.2%8.2%$15,562,739
MEDIAN %7.9%9.8%7.4%6.7%9.0%8.4%8.3%9.1%8.8%8.2%8.4%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

KILGORE (City)

Pop 13,376 PPA 1.33 %BO 16.7% Levy $9,803,445 Levy CAGR +8.3% E-Factor 3.69%
10,170 11,956 13,741 15,526 17,311 19,097 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 11,342 11,301 12,975 13,376 13,831 14,298 14,777 15,269 15,773 16,290 16,820 17,361 -0.0% +1.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: KILGORE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: KILGORE had a 2020 population of 13,376 across 15.7 square miles, yielding a density of 1.33 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 17,361, a gain of 3,985 (+29.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.33% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 16.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), KILGORE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 21.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): KILGORE levied $9,803,445 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,205,358,154. The taxable value of $1,591,468,549 reflects 27.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6160 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5741 for Maintenance & Operations (93.2%) and $0.0419 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (6.8%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $721 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.3% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 7.1% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.69% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): KILGORE collected $10,370,081 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $762 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 105.8% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.8% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: KILGORE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
KILGORE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop11,34211,30112,97513,37613,83114,29814,77715,26915,77316,29016,82017,361
PPA1.131.131.291.331.381.421.471.521.571.621.681.73
%BO14.1%14.1%16.2%16.7%17.2%17.8%18.4%19.0%19.6%20.3%21.0%21.6%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%13,376$1,597,933,220$1,258,523,45178.8%$0.5091$0.02995.5%$0.5390$6,783,441$507$6,962,623$521102.6%
20214.7%13,421$1,500,252,839$1,142,579,91576.2%$0.5652$0.03385.6%$0.5990$6,844,053$510$7,519,382$560109.9%
20228.0%13,467$1,677,064,037$1,276,105,31076.1%$0.5708$0.02824.7%$0.5990$7,643,870$568$9,036,209$671118.2%
20234.1%13,512$1,981,002,962$1,450,588,85173.2%$0.5553$0.04377.3%$0.5990$8,689,028$643$9,963,808$737114.7%
20243.2%13,558$2,100,341,099$1,515,684,33272.2%$0.5741$0.04196.8%$0.6160$9,336,614$689$10,101,982$745108.2%
2025*2.9%13,603$2,205,358,154$1,591,468,54972.2%$0.5741$0.04196.8%$0.6160$9,803,445$721$10,370,081$762105.8%
CAGR4.2%0.3%7.1%4.8%-1.7%2.4%7.0%4.2%2.7%8.3%7.9%9.8%9.4%0.6%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.9%12.4%9.0%7.8%10.3%6.4%6.5%9.4%7.4%6.7%8.1%7.0%$6,962,623
20216.2%10.2%7.3%5.6%10.3%7.8%7.1%10.3%7.8%8.2%10.8%8.3%$7,519,382
20227.6%9.8%7.4%6.7%9.2%7.8%8.5%8.6%8.4%8.8%8.8%8.5%$9,036,209
20238.3%9.5%7.9%7.8%9.0%7.3%7.6%9.6%7.3%8.2%9.3%8.3%$9,963,808
20247.3%8.9%7.0%6.8%8.8%7.5%8.0%10.6%8.1%9.2%9.4%8.5%$10,101,982
20257.4%9.3%7.7%7.6%9.1%7.9%7.7%9.0%8.6%8.3%8.9%8.5%$10,370,081
MEDIAN %7.5%9.7%7.6%7.2%9.2%7.7%7.7%9.5%8.0%8.3%9.1%8.5%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

KILLEEN (City)

Pop 153,095 PPA 4.27 %BO 53.4% Levy $78,164,588 Levy CAGR +9.5% E-Factor 2.27%
57,645 101,277 144,908 188,539 232,170 275,801 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 64,051 86,911 127,921 153,095 168,992 184,271 198,606 211,754 223,566 233,980 243,010 250,729 +3.1% +3.9% +1.8% +1.0% +0.9% +0.8% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% +0.3% Population Trend: KILLEEN (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: KILLEEN had a 2020 population of 153,095 across 56.0 square miles, yielding a density of 4.27 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 250,729, a gain of 97,634 (+63.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.62% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 53.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), KILLEEN is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 87.5%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): KILLEEN levied $78,164,588 in property taxes on a market value base of $16,424,820,552. The taxable value of $11,891,767,666 reflects 27.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6573 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5107 for Maintenance & Operations (77.7%) and $0.1466 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (22.3%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $485 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 9.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 15.4% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.27% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): KILLEEN collected $35,760,202 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $222 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 45.7% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.1% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: KILLEEN demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
KILLEEN
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop64,05186,911127,921153,095168,992184,271198,606211,754223,566233,980243,010250,729
PPA1.792.433.574.274.725.145.555.916.246.536.787.00
%BO22.4%30.3%44.6%53.4%59.0%64.3%69.3%73.9%78.0%81.7%84.8%87.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%153,095$8,823,728,826$7,065,784,28980.1%$0.5150$0.218029.7%$0.7330$51,792,199$338$26,772,341$17551.7%
20214.7%154,684$10,186,649,598$7,817,882,87876.7%$0.5119$0.188526.9%$0.7004$54,756,452$354$31,504,838$20457.5%
20228.0%156,274$12,784,078,133$9,417,255,35873.7%$0.4656$0.157725.3%$0.6233$58,697,753$376$33,788,397$21657.6%
20234.1%157,864$15,186,394,169$10,924,557,51271.9%$0.4742$0.146623.6%$0.6208$67,819,653$430$34,773,317$22051.3%
20243.2%159,453$15,642,686,240$11,325,493,01572.4%$0.5107$0.146622.3%$0.6573$74,442,465$467$35,208,788$22147.3%
2025*2.9%161,043$16,424,820,552$11,891,767,66672.4%$0.5107$0.146622.3%$0.6573$78,164,588$485$35,760,202$22245.7%
CAGR4.2%1.0%15.4%12.5%-2.0%-0.2%-7.6%-5.6%-2.2%9.5%8.4%7.1%6.0%-2.4%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.1%9.6%6.9%7.2%8.4%7.6%8.6%9.8%8.5%8.1%9.8%8.3%$26,772,341
20217.1%9.0%7.3%6.1%10.8%8.4%8.1%9.4%8.1%7.9%9.8%7.9%$31,504,838
20227.7%9.7%6.9%6.9%9.8%8.1%8.0%9.2%8.1%8.2%9.1%8.3%$33,788,397
20237.7%9.9%7.4%7.4%10.2%7.6%7.9%8.8%8.0%8.1%9.0%8.2%$34,773,317
20247.8%9.8%7.3%7.9%9.3%7.7%8.0%9.1%8.9%7.7%8.7%8.0%$35,208,788
20257.8%10.7%7.4%7.1%9.6%8.1%8.0%8.7%8.1%7.9%8.6%8.1%$35,760,202
MEDIAN %7.7%9.8%7.3%7.2%9.7%7.9%8.0%9.2%8.1%8.0%9.1%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

KINGSVILLE (City)

Pop 25,402 PPA 2.87 %BO 35.9% Levy $9,643,956 Levy CAGR +4.2% E-Factor 0.36%
22,658 23,893 25,128 26,363 27,599 28,834 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 25,176 25,575 26,213 25,402 25,444 25,486 25,529 25,571 25,614 25,657 25,699 25,742 +0.2% +0.2% -0.3% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: KINGSVILLE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: KINGSVILLE had a 2020 population of 25,402 across 13.8 square miles, yielding a density of 2.87 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 25,742, a gain of 340 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 35.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), KINGSVILLE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 36.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): KINGSVILLE levied $9,643,956 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,616,488,445. The taxable value of $1,252,461,920 reflects 22.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7700 per $100 valuation consists of $0.6048 for Maintenance & Operations (78.5%) and $0.1652 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (21.5%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $379 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 4.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 9.6% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.36% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): KINGSVILLE collected $6,565,127 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $258 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 68.1% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.5% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: KINGSVILLE demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
KINGSVILLE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop25,17625,57526,21325,40225,44425,48625,52925,57125,61425,65725,69925,742
PPA2.842.892.962.872.872.882.882.892.892.902.902.91
%BO35.6%36.1%37.0%35.9%35.9%36.0%36.1%36.1%36.2%36.2%36.3%36.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%25,402$1,067,352,875$913,122,23085.6%$0.7003$0.151817.8%$0.8521$7,780,532$306$5,085,720$20065.4%
20214.7%25,406$1,205,138,597$992,289,25482.3%$0.6749$0.165119.7%$0.8400$8,335,230$328$5,731,711$22668.8%
20228.0%25,410$1,253,215,662$1,013,813,77580.9%$0.6591$0.165920.1%$0.8250$8,363,964$329$6,301,015$24875.3%
20234.1%25,414$1,472,566,117$1,175,759,23579.8%$0.5941$0.165921.8%$0.7600$8,935,770$352$6,505,826$25672.8%
20243.2%25,418$1,539,512,805$1,192,820,87677.5%$0.6048$0.165221.5%$0.7700$9,184,720$361$6,547,421$25871.3%
2025*2.9%25,423$1,616,488,445$1,252,461,92077.5%$0.6048$0.165221.5%$0.7700$9,643,956$379$6,565,127$25868.1%
CAGR4.2%0.0%9.6%6.9%-2.0%-2.9%1.7%3.8%-2.0%4.2%4.2%6.5%6.5%0.8%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.6%10.4%7.5%7.4%8.7%7.7%7.4%9.9%7.8%8.3%9.6%7.8%$5,085,720
20216.9%10.0%7.3%6.4%10.6%8.2%8.4%9.1%7.7%8.1%9.9%7.4%$5,731,711
20227.9%9.5%6.9%6.7%9.3%7.2%6.9%10.8%8.8%9.3%9.7%7.1%$6,301,015
20237.7%12.2%8.8%7.2%8.8%6.9%7.3%8.3%9.5%7.9%8.4%7.2%$6,505,826
20247.8%9.2%7.3%7.1%8.6%9.1%7.6%9.0%10.4%7.3%8.5%8.2%$6,547,421
20257.6%10.5%7.6%6.4%9.2%7.9%8.0%8.6%8.1%8.3%8.9%8.8%$6,565,127
MEDIAN %7.7%10.3%7.5%7.0%9.1%7.9%7.6%9.2%8.6%8.3%9.3%7.7%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

KIRBY (City)

Pop 8,142 PPA 6.73 %BO 84.1% Levy $4,196,240 Levy CAGR +6.5% E-Factor 3.44%
7,200 7,668 8,136 8,604 9,072 9,540 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 8,327 8,673 8,000 8,142 8,155 8,169 8,182 8,196 8,210 8,223 8,237 8,251 +0.4% -0.8% +0.2% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: KIRBY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: KIRBY had a 2020 population of 8,142 across 1.9 square miles, yielding a density of 6.73 persons per acre (PPA). This high density suggests an urbanized area with limited greenfield expansion potential. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 8,251, a gain of 109 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 84.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), KIRBY is approaching full build-out. By 2100, build-out is projected at 85.3%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): KIRBY levied $4,196,240 in property taxes on a market value base of $865,667,924. The taxable value of $741,577,604 reflects 14.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5318 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4330 for Maintenance & Operations (81.4%) and $0.0988 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (18.6%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $515 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 9.9% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.44% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): KIRBY collected $718,923 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.25% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $88 falls below regional averages, indicating primarily residential character with retail leakage to neighboring communities. Sales tax represents 17.1% of property tax levy, offering modest supplemental revenue. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 10.4% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: KIRBY demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
KIRBY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop8,3278,6738,0008,1428,1558,1698,1828,1968,2108,2238,2378,251
PPA6.887.176.616.736.746.756.766.786.796.806.816.82
%BO86.1%89.6%82.7%84.1%84.3%84.4%84.6%84.7%84.8%85.0%85.1%85.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%8,142$564,500,055$478,786,90284.8%$0.4407$0.100118.5%$0.5408$3,111,501$382$461,069$5714.8%
20214.7%8,143$593,965,689$505,000,16385.0%$0.4398$0.097718.2%$0.5375$3,227,758$396$560,210$6917.4%
20228.0%8,144$730,225,725$607,710,20583.2%$0.3170$0.173535.4%$0.4905$3,515,581$432$674,234$8319.2%
20234.1%8,145$792,008,935$664,797,86083.9%$0.3105$0.168635.2%$0.4791$3,712,578$456$737,718$9119.9%
20243.2%8,147$824,445,642$706,264,38585.7%$0.4330$0.098818.6%$0.5318$3,996,419$491$686,051$8417.2%
2025*2.9%8,148$865,667,924$741,577,60485.7%$0.4330$0.098818.6%$0.5318$4,196,240$515$718,923$8817.1%
CAGR4.2%0.0%9.9%10.2%0.2%-0.4%-0.3%0.1%-0.3%6.5%6.4%10.4%10.4%2.9%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20205.8%10.2%6.1%5.5%10.3%6.8%7.1%11.9%7.5%7.5%13.5%7.9%$461,069
20216.4%12.2%6.3%5.5%10.0%7.8%7.4%11.6%9.2%6.3%10.0%7.4%$560,210
20226.4%9.5%5.2%5.0%9.2%5.9%7.2%11.0%6.5%9.0%14.9%10.2%$674,234
20238.3%12.1%6.6%7.0%9.9%6.0%6.3%10.1%7.6%8.0%10.7%7.4%$737,718
20246.8%8.7%7.2%6.8%10.8%7.4%7.2%10.0%7.8%8.0%10.9%8.4%$686,051
20258.0%10.2%5.8%6.9%9.4%6.9%7.6%10.1%8.5%8.1%10.6%8.0%$718,923
MEDIAN %6.7%10.4%6.3%6.3%10.1%7.0%7.4%10.7%7.8%8.1%11.0%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

KLEBERG COUNTY (City)

Pop 31,040 PPA 0.06 %BO 0.7% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
27,246 28,850 30,454 32,058 33,663 35,267 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 30,274 31,549 32,061 31,040 31,091 31,143 31,195 31,247 31,299 31,351 31,404 31,456 +0.4% +0.2% -0.3% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: KLEBERG COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: KLEBERG COUNTY had a 2020 population of 31,040 across 881.3 square miles, yielding a density of 0.06 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 31,456, a gain of 416 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), KLEBERG COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.7%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: KLEBERG COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
KLEBERG COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop30,27431,54932,06131,04031,09131,14331,19531,24731,29931,35131,40431,456
PPA0.050.060.060.060.060.060.060.060.060.060.060.06
%BO0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.7%9.9%7.5%7.5%8.7%7.6%8.0%9.9%7.9%8.1%9.2%8.0%$2,067,675
20217.1%9.5%7.1%6.5%10.3%8.6%9.0%9.4%7.7%7.8%9.5%7.5%$2,287,058
20228.1%9.5%6.7%6.5%8.9%7.2%6.7%10.9%10.4%8.8%8.9%7.4%$2,544,920
20236.3%11.8%8.4%7.0%8.1%6.9%8.6%8.4%9.7%8.6%8.7%7.5%$3,239,572
20247.9%8.6%7.3%7.1%8.1%8.2%7.7%9.3%10.3%8.2%8.8%8.6%$3,187,997
20258.5%10.5%8.4%7.6%9.4%8.3%8.9%7.5%7.3%7.3%7.6%8.8%$2,980,869
MEDIAN %7.8%9.7%7.5%7.1%8.8%7.9%8.3%9.4%8.9%8.2%8.9%7.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

KYLE (City)

Pop 45,697 PPA 3.74 %BO 46.8% Levy $34,245,204 Levy CAGR +13.9% E-Factor 6.29%
2,056 23,070 44,085 65,099 86,113 107,127 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 2,285 5,314 28,016 45,697 62,673 76,739 86,236 91,784 94,753 96,266 97,019 97,389 +8.8% +18.1% +5.0% +3.2% +2.0% +1.2% +0.6% +0.3% +0.2% +0.1% +0.0% Population Trend: KYLE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: KYLE had a 2020 population of 45,697 across 19.1 square miles, yielding a density of 3.74 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 97,389, a gain of 51,692 (+113.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.95% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 46.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), KYLE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 99.6%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): KYLE levied $34,245,204 in property taxes on a market value base of $8,766,123,454. The taxable value of $7,297,081,831 reflects 16.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4693 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2889 for Maintenance & Operations (61.6%) and $0.1804 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (38.4%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $632 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 13.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 18.4% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 6.29% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): KYLE collected $19,480,629 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $360 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 56.9% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 15.8% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: KYLE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
KYLE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop2,2855,31428,01645,69762,67376,73986,23691,78494,75396,26697,01997,389
PPA0.190.432.293.745.136.287.067.517.767.887.947.97
%BO2.3%5.4%28.7%46.8%64.1%78.5%88.2%93.9%96.9%98.5%99.3%99.6%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%45,697$4,245,162,162$3,728,942,44887.8%$0.3256$0.194537.4%$0.5201$19,394,230$424$10,089,335$22152.0%
20214.7%47,394$4,886,886,171$4,261,347,29387.2%$0.3302$0.178035.0%$0.5082$21,656,167$457$12,478,341$26357.6%
20228.0%49,092$7,228,941,052$5,527,111,13276.5%$0.2966$0.211641.6%$0.5082$28,088,779$572$15,267,856$31154.4%
20234.1%50,789$8,296,976,422$6,543,334,03078.9%$0.2792$0.190140.5%$0.4693$30,707,867$605$16,850,469$33254.9%
20243.2%52,487$8,348,689,004$6,949,601,74483.2%$0.2889$0.180438.4%$0.4693$32,614,480$621$18,112,999$34555.5%
2025*2.9%54,185$8,766,123,454$7,297,081,83183.2%$0.2889$0.180438.4%$0.4693$34,245,204$632$19,480,629$36056.9%
CAGR4.2%3.5%18.4%16.8%-1.1%-2.4%-1.5%0.6%-2.0%13.9%10.0%15.8%11.8%1.8%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.2%10.0%6.8%6.3%8.6%7.6%8.3%10.0%8.2%8.0%10.6%8.3%$10,089,335
20217.0%9.2%6.9%5.9%9.7%8.3%8.1%9.7%8.3%7.9%11.0%8.2%$12,478,341
20227.2%9.5%7.1%6.5%9.5%7.9%8.1%9.7%8.5%7.6%9.8%8.6%$15,267,856
20237.6%9.4%7.0%6.8%9.0%7.8%8.6%9.3%8.2%8.5%9.5%8.2%$16,850,469
20247.9%9.9%6.8%7.0%9.0%8.3%8.5%9.3%8.4%7.6%9.5%8.0%$18,112,999
20257.4%11.3%7.0%6.8%9.1%8.0%8.3%9.3%8.0%7.8%9.1%8.1%$19,480,629
MEDIAN %7.3%9.7%7.0%6.7%9.1%8.1%8.3%9.5%8.3%7.9%9.7%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LA FERIA (City)

Pop 6,817 PPA 1.97 %BO 24.6% Levy $3,782,964 Levy CAGR +16.7% E-Factor 8.16%
4,231 4,991 5,751 6,512 7,272 8,032 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 4,702 6,115 7,302 6,817 6,862 6,907 6,952 6,998 7,044 7,090 7,136 7,182 +2.7% +1.8% -0.7% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: LA FERIA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LA FERIA had a 2020 population of 6,817 across 5.4 square miles, yielding a density of 1.97 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 7,182, a gain of 365 (+5.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.07% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 24.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LA FERIA has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 25.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): LA FERIA levied $3,782,964 in property taxes on a market value base of $700,800,417. The taxable value of $511,211,377 reflects 27.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7400 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4900 for Maintenance & Operations (66.2%) and $0.2500 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (33.8%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $553 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 16.7% CAGR lagged market value growth of 20.5% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 8.16% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): LA FERIA collected $2,280,749 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $333 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 60.3% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.7% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: LA FERIA demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LA FERIA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop4,7026,1157,3026,8176,8626,9076,9526,9987,0447,0907,1367,182
PPA1.361.762.111.971.981.992.002.022.032.042.062.07
%BO16.9%22.0%26.3%24.6%24.7%24.9%25.1%25.2%25.4%25.5%25.7%25.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%6,817$316,662,396$255,347,69980.6%$0.2905$0.469561.8%$0.7600$1,940,643$285$1,535,745$22579.1%
20214.7%6,821$354,660,474$275,353,63177.6%$0.3000$0.460060.5%$0.7600$2,092,688$307$1,883,990$27690.0%
20228.0%6,826$374,285,667$292,643,10678.2%$0.3950$0.365048.0%$0.7600$2,224,088$326$2,065,373$30392.9%
20234.1%6,830$528,852,254$393,648,37374.4%$0.4500$0.310040.8%$0.7600$2,991,728$438$2,152,184$31571.9%
20243.2%6,835$667,428,969$486,867,97872.9%$0.4900$0.250033.8%$0.7400$3,602,823$527$2,226,095$32661.8%
2025*2.9%6,839$700,800,417$511,211,37772.9%$0.4900$0.250033.8%$0.7400$3,782,964$553$2,280,749$33360.3%
CAGR4.2%0.1%20.5%17.5%-2.0%11.0%-11.8%-11.4%-0.5%16.7%16.7%9.7%9.7%-5.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.6%9.4%6.7%7.0%9.2%7.1%8.0%10.2%7.9%8.2%11.3%8.3%$1,535,745
20217.2%9.8%6.8%6.6%10.4%7.4%7.2%10.4%8.5%7.8%10.8%7.1%$1,883,990
20227.5%10.3%7.2%7.0%10.7%7.4%7.7%9.8%8.0%7.8%9.2%7.4%$2,065,373
20236.6%9.3%7.1%6.5%10.7%6.8%7.7%10.4%7.2%7.7%10.1%9.9%$2,152,184
20247.7%10.1%7.3%7.5%9.8%7.8%7.8%9.4%7.9%7.5%9.4%7.8%$2,226,095
20257.3%11.1%6.9%6.7%9.0%7.6%8.1%9.3%8.1%7.7%10.2%8.2%$2,280,749
MEDIAN %7.2%9.9%7.0%6.8%10.1%7.4%7.8%10.0%7.9%7.7%10.2%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LA MARQUE (City)

Pop 18,030 PPA 2.03 %BO 25.3% Levy $8,316,561 Levy CAGR +5.9% E-Factor 0.00%
12,313 18,587 24,860 31,134 37,407 43,681 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 14,078 13,682 14,509 18,030 20,325 22,788 25,402 28,142 30,979 33,878 36,802 39,710 -0.3% +0.6% +2.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.1% +1.0% +1.0% +0.9% +0.8% +0.8% Population Trend: LA MARQUE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LA MARQUE had a 2020 population of 18,030 across 13.9 square miles, yielding a density of 2.03 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 39,710, a gain of 21,680 (+120.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.99% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 25.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LA MARQUE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 55.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): LA MARQUE levied $8,316,561 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,600,990,696. The taxable value of $2,086,961,116 reflects 19.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3985 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2911 for Maintenance & Operations (73.0%) and $0.1074 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (27.0%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $434 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 15.9% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): LA MARQUE collected $8,474,129 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $442 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 101.9% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 5.6% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: LA MARQUE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LA MARQUE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop14,07813,68214,50918,03020,32522,78825,40228,14230,97933,87836,80239,710
PPA1.581.541.632.032.282.562.853.163.483.814.134.46
%BO19.8%19.2%20.4%25.3%28.5%32.0%35.7%39.5%43.5%47.6%51.7%55.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%18,030$1,371,965,966$1,144,272,68383.4%$0.4699$0.080814.7%$0.5508$6,302,242$350$6,090,304$33896.6%
20214.7%18,259$1,736,305,901$1,381,259,56879.6%$0.3906$0.160229.1%$0.5508$7,607,480$417$6,544,134$35886.0%
20228.0%18,489$1,985,311,765$1,613,979,53281.3%$0.3179$0.143731.1%$0.4616$7,450,581$403$6,859,450$37192.1%
20234.1%18,718$2,256,600,983$1,841,662,55281.6%$0.3106$0.107425.7%$0.4181$7,699,218$411$7,226,292$38693.9%
20243.2%18,948$2,477,133,996$1,987,582,01580.2%$0.2911$0.107427.0%$0.3985$7,920,534$418$7,565,513$39995.5%
2025*2.9%19,177$2,600,990,696$2,086,961,11680.2%$0.2911$0.107427.0%$0.3985$8,316,561$434$8,474,129$442101.9%
CAGR4.2%1.2%15.9%14.8%-0.8%-9.1%5.9%12.9%-6.3%5.9%4.6%5.6%4.3%1.1%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.6%9.9%6.9%7.4%8.3%8.0%9.0%9.9%8.1%7.8%9.1%8.1%$6,090,304
20217.4%9.5%7.0%6.4%10.0%8.1%7.7%9.0%8.3%9.4%9.0%8.1%$6,544,134
20228.0%9.8%7.1%6.8%9.3%8.1%8.0%9.9%8.3%8.2%8.8%7.8%$6,859,450
20237.7%9.9%7.4%7.4%9.5%7.7%8.2%9.5%8.6%8.5%8.6%7.0%$7,226,292
20247.4%9.0%6.8%8.1%9.2%9.2%7.9%7.7%7.9%8.9%8.8%9.1%$7,565,513
20256.9%9.2%18.0%6.5%7.8%6.5%6.9%7.9%7.4%7.3%8.0%7.5%$8,474,129
MEDIAN %7.6%9.7%7.1%7.2%9.4%8.1%8.0%9.4%8.3%8.5%8.8%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LA PORTE (City)

Pop 35,124 PPA 2.95 %BO 36.8% Levy $43,435,862 Levy CAGR +8.8% E-Factor 4.64%
25,248 30,088 34,928 39,768 44,608 49,448 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 28,054 31,880 33,800 35,124 36,310 37,511 38,726 39,953 41,191 42,438 43,693 44,953 +1.3% +0.6% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: LA PORTE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LA PORTE had a 2020 population of 35,124 across 18.6 square miles, yielding a density of 2.95 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 44,953, a gain of 9,829 (+28.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.31% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 36.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LA PORTE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 47.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): LA PORTE levied $43,435,862 in property taxes on a market value base of $7,371,962,751. The taxable value of $6,117,727,219 reflects 17.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7100 per $100 valuation consists of $0.6020 for Maintenance & Operations (84.8%) and $0.1080 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (15.2%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,216 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.8% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 7.1% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.64% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): LA PORTE collected $20,613,301 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.75% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $577 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 47.5% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 11.2% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: LA PORTE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LA PORTE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop28,05431,88033,80035,12436,31037,51138,72639,95341,19142,43843,69344,953
PPA2.352.672.832.953.053.153.253.353.453.563.663.77
%BO29.4%33.4%35.4%36.8%38.1%39.3%40.6%41.9%43.2%44.5%45.8%47.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%35,124$5,330,096,487$4,164,885,10378.1%$0.6170$0.093013.1%$0.7100$29,570,684$842$11,464,971$32638.8%
20214.7%35,242$5,626,818,848$4,414,845,35278.5%$0.6140$0.096013.5%$0.7100$31,345,402$889$11,844,812$33637.8%
20228.0%35,361$6,536,938,466$5,128,046,51578.4%$0.6220$0.088012.4%$0.7100$36,409,130$1,030$13,118,726$37136.0%
20234.1%35,479$7,011,616,485$5,729,925,21581.7%$0.6240$0.086012.1%$0.7100$40,682,469$1,147$15,826,415$44638.9%
20243.2%35,598$7,020,916,906$5,826,406,87583.0%$0.6020$0.108015.2%$0.7100$41,367,488$1,162$17,531,147$49242.4%
2025*2.9%35,717$7,371,962,751$6,117,727,21983.0%$0.6020$0.108015.2%$0.7100$43,435,862$1,216$20,613,301$57747.5%
CAGR4.2%0.3%7.1%8.8%1.2%-0.5%3.0%3.0%8.8%8.4%11.2%10.8%4.1%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.1%9.5%8.4%7.1%8.8%7.9%7.0%9.9%8.1%7.1%9.6%8.5%$11,464,971
20218.2%9.0%7.3%6.2%7.7%8.3%6.9%11.3%8.8%8.2%9.5%8.7%$11,844,812
20226.8%9.2%7.9%6.8%9.8%10.1%8.8%9.8%6.4%8.4%9.3%6.7%$13,118,726
20237.9%8.0%7.6%6.8%8.8%7.1%8.3%8.9%8.7%8.8%9.1%10.0%$15,826,415
20247.9%8.9%7.6%8.5%8.8%7.9%6.3%9.4%7.1%8.6%9.7%9.3%$17,531,147
20257.7%10.4%7.3%7.3%8.1%7.8%7.4%8.6%8.3%7.9%10.1%9.1%$20,613,301
MEDIAN %7.9%9.1%7.6%7.0%8.8%7.9%7.2%9.6%8.2%8.3%9.6%8.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LA SALLE COUNTY (City)

Pop 6,664 PPA 0.01 %BO 0.1% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
4,728 5,398 6,068 6,739 7,409 8,079 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 5,254 5,866 6,886 6,664 6,745 6,828 6,911 6,996 7,082 7,169 7,256 7,345 +1.1% +1.6% -0.3% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: LA SALLE COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LA SALLE COUNTY had a 2020 population of 6,664 across 1486.7 square miles, yielding a density of 0.01 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 7,345, a gain of 681 (+10.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.12% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LA SALLE COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: LA SALLE COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LA SALLE COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop5,2545,8666,8866,6646,7456,8286,9116,9967,0827,1697,2567,345
PPA0.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.01
%BO0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LAGO VISTA (City)

Pop 8,896 PPA 1.07 %BO 13.4% Levy $11,068,033 Levy CAGR +9.0% E-Factor 1.55%
2,056 13,528 25,001 36,473 47,946 59,418 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 2,285 4,507 6,041 8,896 12,602 17,393 23,230 29,847 36,758 43,383 49,228 54,017 +7.0% +3.0% +3.9% +3.5% +3.3% +2.9% +2.5% +2.1% +1.7% +1.3% +0.9% Population Trend: LAGO VISTA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LAGO VISTA had a 2020 population of 8,896 across 13.0 square miles, yielding a density of 1.07 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 54,017, a gain of 45,121 (+507.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.28% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 13.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LAGO VISTA has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 81.4%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): LAGO VISTA levied $11,068,033 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,403,792,530. The taxable value of $2,615,937,803 reflects 23.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4231 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2397 for Maintenance & Operations (56.7%) and $0.1834 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (43.3%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,030 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 9.0% CAGR lagged market value growth of 24.3% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.55% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): LAGO VISTA collected $1,218,819 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $113 falls below regional averages, indicating primarily residential character with retail leakage to neighboring communities. Sales tax represents 11.0% of property tax levy, offering modest supplemental revenue. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 11.9% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: LAGO VISTA demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LAGO VISTA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop2,2854,5076,0418,89612,60217,39323,23029,84736,75843,38349,22854,017
PPA0.280.540.731.071.522.102.803.604.435.235.946.51
%BO3.4%6.8%9.1%13.4%19.0%26.2%35.0%45.0%55.4%65.4%74.2%81.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%8,896$1,355,867,101$1,152,420,95485.0%$0.4083$0.239236.9%$0.6475$7,461,926$839$746,337$8410.0%
20214.7%9,266$1,540,271,703$1,300,906,65784.5%$0.3981$0.208934.4%$0.6070$7,896,503$852$922,831$10011.7%
20228.0%9,637$3,052,334,297$2,163,610,28970.9%$0.2959$0.132430.9%$0.4283$9,266,743$962$1,068,740$11111.5%
20234.1%10,007$3,308,249,303$2,412,156,21972.9%$0.2989$0.115027.8%$0.4139$9,983,915$998$1,143,658$11411.5%
20243.2%10,378$3,241,707,171$2,491,369,33676.9%$0.2397$0.183443.3%$0.4231$10,540,984$1,016$1,171,808$11311.1%
2025*2.9%10,749$3,403,792,530$2,615,937,80376.9%$0.2397$0.183443.3%$0.4231$11,068,033$1,030$1,218,819$11311.0%
CAGR4.2%3.9%24.3%21.3%-2.0%-10.1%-5.2%3.2%-8.2%9.0%4.9%11.9%7.7%1.9%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.4%9.1%6.5%6.7%8.8%8.0%9.5%9.8%8.4%8.5%9.7%8.8%$746,337
20217.5%9.0%6.7%6.1%9.4%8.0%8.5%10.2%8.4%7.9%9.6%8.7%$922,831
20227.8%9.1%6.8%6.2%8.8%8.3%8.1%10.7%8.8%7.8%9.3%8.3%$1,068,740
20238.2%9.2%7.2%7.3%8.9%7.3%8.3%9.5%7.7%7.6%10.7%8.0%$1,143,658
20248.9%10.4%7.0%6.5%9.1%7.8%7.6%9.8%8.4%6.8%8.8%8.9%$1,171,808
20257.6%12.4%6.7%6.5%8.9%7.7%7.6%9.6%8.0%7.5%9.0%8.5%$1,218,819
MEDIAN %7.8%9.2%6.8%6.6%9.0%8.0%8.3%9.9%8.5%7.8%9.5%8.7%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LAKE DALLAS (City)

Pop 7,708 PPA 5.02 %BO 62.7% Levy $4,508,534 Levy CAGR +5.2% E-Factor 1.68%
3,339 4,957 6,575 8,193 9,811 11,430 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 3,710 6,166 7,105 7,708 8,123 8,518 8,893 9,243 9,568 9,868 10,142 10,391 +5.2% +1.4% +0.8% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% Population Trend: LAKE DALLAS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LAKE DALLAS had a 2020 population of 7,708 across 2.4 square miles, yielding a density of 5.02 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 10,391, a gain of 2,683 (+34.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.37% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 62.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LAKE DALLAS is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 84.6%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): LAKE DALLAS levied $4,508,534 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,022,139,127. The taxable value of $877,828,224 reflects 14.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5136 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4617 for Maintenance & Operations (89.9%) and $0.0519 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (10.1%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $570 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 13.7% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.68% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): LAKE DALLAS collected $2,526,636 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $319 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 56.0% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.2% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: LAKE DALLAS demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LAKE DALLAS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop3,7106,1667,1057,7088,1238,5188,8939,2439,5689,86810,14210,391
PPA2.424.014.635.025.295.555.796.026.236.426.606.77
%BO30.2%50.2%57.8%62.7%66.1%69.3%72.4%75.2%77.9%80.3%82.5%84.6%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%7,708$583,334,901$545,235,34693.5%$0.5588$0.083313.0%$0.6421$3,500,738$454$1,651,795$21447.2%
20214.7%7,749$651,171,408$580,648,44989.2%$0.5583$0.05589.1%$0.6141$3,565,896$460$1,760,922$22749.4%
20228.0%7,791$814,333,975$685,641,27284.2%$0.5176$0.04968.7%$0.5673$3,889,314$499$1,953,244$25150.2%
20234.1%7,832$962,843,516$799,585,22183.0%$0.4688$0.059211.2%$0.5280$4,221,994$539$2,186,851$27951.8%
20243.2%7,874$973,465,835$836,026,88085.9%$0.4617$0.051910.1%$0.5136$4,293,842$545$2,347,780$29854.7%
2025*2.9%7,915$1,022,139,127$877,828,22485.9%$0.4617$0.051910.1%$0.5136$4,508,534$570$2,526,636$31956.0%
CAGR4.2%0.5%13.7%11.3%-1.7%-3.7%-9.0%-4.9%-4.4%5.2%4.7%9.2%8.6%3.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.8%11.2%7.3%5.8%8.3%7.9%7.6%9.5%9.7%7.6%10.0%7.2%$1,651,795
20216.9%9.7%6.7%6.0%9.3%8.0%7.2%10.0%8.2%8.5%9.9%9.6%$1,760,922
20227.9%9.8%7.5%6.2%9.2%7.4%7.9%8.8%8.6%8.7%9.6%8.4%$1,953,244
20239.8%11.1%6.3%6.5%8.4%8.0%8.2%9.0%7.5%7.8%9.4%7.9%$2,186,851
20248.9%9.2%6.9%6.9%8.7%7.3%7.6%9.8%8.4%7.9%9.3%9.1%$2,347,780
202510.5%11.1%7.8%6.5%8.7%8.2%7.1%8.4%7.6%7.3%8.8%7.9%$2,526,636
MEDIAN %8.4%10.4%7.1%6.4%8.7%8.0%7.6%9.3%8.4%7.9%9.5%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LAKE JACKSON (City)

Pop 28,177 PPA 2.26 %BO 28.3% Levy $11,142,231 Levy CAGR +6.1% E-Factor 0.51%
20,720 24,938 29,157 33,375 37,593 41,812 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 23,023 26,386 26,849 28,177 29,320 30,491 31,687 32,908 34,152 35,418 36,705 38,011 +1.4% +0.2% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% Population Trend: LAKE JACKSON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LAKE JACKSON had a 2020 population of 28,177 across 19.4 square miles, yielding a density of 2.26 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 38,011, a gain of 9,834 (+34.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.37% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 28.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LAKE JACKSON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 38.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): LAKE JACKSON levied $11,142,231 in property taxes on a market value base of $4,192,570,473. The taxable value of $3,418,607,121 reflects 18.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3259 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2090 for Maintenance & Operations (64.1%) and $0.1170 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (35.9%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $388 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 6.8% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.51% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): LAKE JACKSON collected $13,078,267 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $455 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 117.4% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 5.7% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: LAKE JACKSON demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LAKE JACKSON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop23,02326,38626,84928,17729,32030,49131,68732,90834,15235,41836,70538,011
PPA1.852.122.162.262.362.452.552.652.752.852.953.06
%BO23.1%26.5%27.0%28.3%29.5%30.6%31.8%33.1%34.3%35.6%36.9%38.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%28,177$3,066,442,864$2,544,443,35983.0%$0.2193$0.109733.3%$0.3290$8,370,633$297$10,068,265$357120.3%
20214.7%28,291$3,114,447,827$2,592,406,29183.2%$0.2318$0.107231.6%$0.3390$8,788,257$311$11,278,220$399128.3%
20228.0%28,405$3,481,655,864$2,852,221,75581.9%$0.2248$0.098430.4%$0.3231$9,216,127$324$11,926,602$420129.4%
20234.1%28,519$4,137,461,199$3,313,349,81780.1%$0.2007$0.126538.7%$0.3272$10,840,386$380$12,080,038$424111.4%
20243.2%28,634$3,992,924,260$3,255,816,30681.5%$0.2090$0.117035.9%$0.3259$10,611,649$371$12,573,049$439118.5%
2025*2.9%28,748$4,192,570,473$3,418,607,12181.5%$0.2090$0.117035.9%$0.3259$11,142,231$388$13,078,267$455117.4%
CAGR4.2%0.4%6.8%6.4%-0.3%-1.0%1.3%1.5%-0.2%6.1%5.7%5.7%5.3%-0.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.8%11.4%7.4%7.3%8.1%7.3%8.9%9.9%7.8%7.6%8.8%7.7%$10,068,265
20217.1%9.8%6.7%6.8%9.9%8.1%7.8%10.1%8.3%8.5%9.1%7.8%$11,278,220
20228.3%10.6%7.0%7.0%9.0%7.9%8.1%9.1%8.2%8.1%8.6%8.2%$11,926,602
20238.2%10.9%7.5%7.8%8.9%7.5%8.0%9.3%7.8%8.2%8.1%7.7%$12,080,038
20247.9%12.2%7.1%7.5%8.5%5.8%7.2%8.4%9.1%8.1%9.0%9.2%$12,573,049
20258.1%12.6%7.2%7.1%9.1%7.7%7.8%8.6%8.0%7.7%8.1%8.1%$13,078,267
MEDIAN %8.0%11.2%7.2%7.2%9.0%7.6%7.9%9.2%8.1%8.1%8.7%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LAKEWAY (City)

Pop 19,189 PPA 2.95 %BO 36.9% Levy $13,986,158 Levy CAGR +11.5% E-Factor 0.31%
3,806 14,214 24,623 35,032 45,441 55,850 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 4,229 8,002 11,391 19,189 25,803 32,470 38,363 42,992 46,298 48,503 49,906 50,773 +6.6% +3.6% +5.4% +3.0% +2.3% +1.7% +1.1% +0.7% +0.5% +0.3% +0.2% Population Trend: LAKEWAY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LAKEWAY had a 2020 population of 19,189 across 10.2 square miles, yielding a density of 2.95 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 50,773, a gain of 31,584 (+164.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.22% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 36.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LAKEWAY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 97.5%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): LAKEWAY levied $13,986,158 in property taxes on a market value base of $10,027,735,975. The taxable value of $8,752,288,856 reflects 12.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.1598 per $100 valuation consists of $0.1090 for Maintenance & Operations (68.2%) and $0.0508 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (31.8%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $622 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 11.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.6% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.31% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): LAKEWAY collected $6,912,733 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.75% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $307 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 49.4% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 5.7% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: LAKEWAY demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LAKEWAY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop4,2298,00211,39119,18925,80332,47038,36342,99246,29848,50349,90650,773
PPA0.651.231.752.953.964.995.896.617.117.457.677.80
%BO8.1%15.4%21.9%36.9%49.6%62.4%73.7%82.6%88.9%93.2%95.8%97.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%19,189$5,528,877,538$5,246,632,98794.9%$0.1214$0.043126.2%$0.1645$8,630,711$450$5,161,388$26959.8%
20214.7%19,850$6,298,043,367$5,762,830,09191.5%$0.1149$0.039625.6%$0.1545$8,903,572$449$5,883,766$29666.1%
20228.0%20,511$9,535,077,638$7,208,803,42575.6%$0.0971$0.031924.7%$0.1290$9,299,356$453$6,295,423$30767.7%
20234.1%21,173$9,843,045,989$7,926,464,86680.5%$0.1045$0.039527.4%$0.1440$11,414,109$539$6,744,851$31959.1%
20243.2%21,834$9,550,224,738$8,335,513,19687.3%$0.1090$0.050831.8%$0.1598$13,320,150$610$6,446,323$29548.4%
2025*2.9%22,496$10,027,735,975$8,752,288,85687.3%$0.1090$0.050831.8%$0.1598$13,986,158$622$6,912,733$30749.4%
CAGR4.2%3.2%14.6%12.3%-1.7%-2.1%3.3%3.9%-0.6%11.5%7.9%5.7%2.4%-3.7%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%10.0%8.9%7.0%8.2%6.6%7.8%10.2%8.0%7.6%10.3%8.0%$5,161,388
20216.9%9.9%8.5%5.8%9.3%7.5%7.8%9.6%8.2%8.0%11.1%7.4%$5,883,766
20227.8%9.5%7.1%6.7%9.4%7.6%8.0%9.9%7.9%8.2%9.9%8.0%$6,295,423
20238.0%10.0%7.3%7.1%9.1%7.3%8.1%9.4%7.8%8.1%9.6%8.1%$6,744,851
20248.7%10.5%7.3%7.5%9.3%8.2%9.3%9.5%8.2%7.7%9.7%4.1%$6,446,323
20257.4%10.7%6.8%6.5%9.3%7.9%8.0%9.5%8.2%7.8%9.6%8.3%$6,912,733
MEDIAN %7.6%10.0%7.3%6.8%9.3%7.6%8.0%9.6%8.1%7.9%9.8%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LAMAR COUNTY (City)

Pop 50,088 PPA 0.09 %BO 1.1% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
39,554 44,652 49,750 54,848 59,946 65,044 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 43,949 48,499 49,793 50,088 51,139 52,211 53,306 54,424 55,565 56,730 57,918 59,131 +1.0% +0.3% +0.1% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: LAMAR COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LAMAR COUNTY had a 2020 population of 50,088 across 907.3 square miles, yielding a density of 0.09 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 59,131, a gain of 9,043 (+18.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.21% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LAMAR COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 1.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: LAMAR COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LAMAR COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop43,94948,49949,79350,08851,13952,21153,30654,42455,56556,73057,91859,131
PPA0.080.080.090.090.090.090.090.090.100.100.100.10
%BO0.9%1.0%1.1%1.1%1.1%1.1%1.1%1.2%1.2%1.2%1.2%1.3%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.6%9.6%6.6%6.5%8.7%8.5%8.5%9.7%8.4%7.8%10.7%8.4%$4,053,811
20217.2%10.0%7.5%6.1%10.2%8.5%7.9%9.2%8.8%7.4%9.2%8.0%$4,526,192
20228.0%9.4%7.6%6.5%8.4%8.0%7.5%9.2%8.3%9.4%9.3%8.5%$4,737,815
20238.3%10.0%6.7%7.2%9.2%7.4%7.9%8.8%7.8%9.1%8.8%8.8%$5,480,449
20248.8%11.1%7.5%8.1%8.4%7.8%7.6%8.4%8.0%8.2%8.0%8.0%$5,523,349
20257.6%10.6%6.6%6.2%8.1%8.6%7.7%8.9%8.7%10.2%8.4%8.5%$5,493,811
MEDIAN %7.8%10.1%7.2%6.5%8.6%8.3%7.8%9.1%8.4%8.7%9.1%8.5%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LAMB COUNTY (City)

Pop 13,045 PPA 0.02 %BO 0.3% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
11,740 12,708 13,675 14,643 15,611 16,579 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 15,072 14,709 13,977 13,045 13,066 13,088 13,110 13,132 13,154 13,176 13,198 13,220 -0.2% -0.5% -0.7% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: LAMB COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LAMB COUNTY had a 2020 population of 13,045 across 1016.2 square miles, yielding a density of 0.02 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 13,220, a gain of 175 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LAMB COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: LAMB COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LAMB COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop15,07214,70913,97713,04513,06613,08813,11013,13213,15413,17613,19813,220
PPA0.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.02
%BO0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LAMESA (City)

Pop 8,674 PPA 2.72 %BO 34.0% Levy $2,784,561 Levy CAGR +3.1% E-Factor 0.00%
7,806 8,614 9,423 10,231 11,039 11,848 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 10,771 9,952 9,422 8,674 8,688 8,702 8,717 8,731 8,746 8,761 8,775 8,790 -0.8% -0.5% -0.8% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: LAMESA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LAMESA had a 2020 population of 8,674 across 5.0 square miles, yielding a density of 2.72 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 8,790, a gain of 116 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 34.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LAMESA has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 34.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): LAMESA levied $2,784,561 in property taxes on a market value base of $514,834,111. The taxable value of $406,290,571 reflects 21.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6854 per $100 valuation consists of $0.6854 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $321 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 3.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.2% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): LAMESA collected $1,931,627 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $223 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 69.4% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 4.0% CAGR, reflecting stable retail environment.
Strategic Outlook: LAMESA demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LAMESA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop10,7719,9529,4228,6748,6888,7028,7178,7318,7468,7618,7758,790
PPA3.383.122.962.722.732.732.742.742.742.752.752.76
%BO42.2%39.0%37.0%34.0%34.1%34.1%34.2%34.2%34.3%34.4%34.4%34.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%8,674$321,092,175$285,471,16088.9%$0.8232N/AN/A$0.8232$2,350,101$271$1,763,533$20375.0%
20214.7%8,675$320,668,050$284,236,01088.6%$0.8538N/AN/A$0.8538$2,426,881$280$1,976,917$22881.5%
20228.0%8,676$358,589,920$315,627,91088.0%$0.7991N/AN/A$0.7991$2,522,088$291$2,287,017$26490.7%
20234.1%8,678$403,487,431$346,138,30185.8%$0.7452N/AN/A$0.7452$2,579,378$297$2,297,318$26589.1%
20243.2%8,679$490,318,201$386,943,40178.9%$0.6854N/AN/A$0.6854$2,651,963$306$2,061,331$23877.7%
2025*2.9%8,681$514,834,111$406,290,57178.9%$0.6854N/AN/A$0.6854$2,784,561$321$1,931,627$22369.4%
CAGR4.2%0.0%11.2%7.9%-2.4%-3.6%-3.6%3.1%3.1%4.0%4.0%-1.6%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.6%9.5%7.1%7.3%10.0%7.2%7.4%9.7%8.6%7.8%10.3%7.6%$1,763,533
20216.7%9.3%6.9%6.6%10.5%7.0%6.7%10.8%8.1%8.4%11.5%7.6%$1,976,917
20227.9%9.2%6.5%6.2%8.7%7.8%7.4%10.8%7.6%9.2%11.0%7.8%$2,287,017
20238.3%11.2%8.2%7.9%11.2%7.6%7.4%8.9%7.1%7.0%8.5%6.8%$2,297,318
20247.7%9.5%6.4%9.7%9.7%7.7%8.2%9.0%7.9%7.6%9.6%7.1%$2,061,331
20259.2%11.5%6.9%6.5%9.5%7.7%8.0%9.2%7.1%7.3%9.8%7.2%$1,931,627
MEDIAN %7.9%9.7%7.0%7.1%10.0%7.7%7.5%9.6%7.9%7.8%10.2%7.5%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LAMPASAS (City)

Pop 7,291 PPA 1.69 %BO 21.2% Levy $703,788 Levy CAGR -22.5% E-Factor 0.00%
5,919 7,109 8,299 9,489 10,679 11,870 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 6,577 6,786 6,681 7,291 7,679 8,081 8,498 8,930 9,375 9,834 10,306 10,791 +0.3% -0.2% +0.9% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% Population Trend: LAMPASAS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LAMPASAS had a 2020 population of 7,291 across 6.7 square miles, yielding a density of 1.69 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 10,791, a gain of 3,500 (+48.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.49% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 21.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LAMPASAS has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 31.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): LAMPASAS levied $703,788 in property taxes on a market value base of $928,223,881. The taxable value of $761,897,934 reflects 17.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.0924 per $100 valuation consists of $0.0275 for Maintenance & Operations (29.8%) and $0.0649 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (70.2%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $94 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of -22.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.2% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): LAMPASAS collected $3,006,639 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $402 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 427.2% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.9% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: LAMPASAS demonstrates contracting fiscal capacity, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LAMPASAS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop6,5776,7866,6817,2917,6798,0818,4988,9309,3759,83410,30610,791
PPA1.531.581.551.691.781.881.972.072.182.282.392.51
%BO19.1%19.7%19.4%21.2%22.3%23.5%24.7%25.9%27.2%28.5%29.9%31.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%7,291$519,315,130$469,459,63090.4%$0.3142$0.081020.5%$0.3952$1,855,389$254$2,187,189$300117.9%
20214.7%7,329$642,010,889$540,344,89084.2%$0.2723$0.064719.2%$0.3370$1,820,962$248$2,616,787$357143.7%
20228.0%7,368$775,204,626$624,458,83580.6%$0.2465$0.069121.9%$0.3156$1,970,792$267$2,868,224$389145.5%
20234.1%7,407$899,797,195$708,744,90178.8%$0.2393$0.065621.5%$0.3049$2,160,878$292$2,909,066$393134.6%
20243.2%7,446$884,022,744$725,617,08082.1%$0.0275$0.064970.2%$0.0924$670,274$90$2,969,183$399443.0%
2025*2.9%7,485$928,223,881$761,897,93482.1%$0.0275$0.064970.2%$0.0924$703,788$94$3,006,639$402427.2%
CAGR4.2%0.5%14.2%11.5%-1.9%-38.6%-4.3%27.9%-25.2%-22.5%-22.9%7.9%7.4%29.4%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%9.1%6.9%6.8%8.2%7.9%8.9%9.3%8.8%8.5%9.1%9.3%$2,187,189
20217.2%8.9%7.4%6.0%9.4%8.1%9.7%9.1%8.5%8.4%9.3%7.9%$2,616,787
20227.9%9.5%7.1%6.5%9.0%8.3%8.1%9.2%8.7%8.7%8.8%8.2%$2,868,224
20238.3%10.0%7.6%7.0%9.7%8.0%7.9%8.9%7.8%8.2%8.7%7.9%$2,909,066
20248.0%9.5%7.0%8.2%8.9%8.0%8.2%8.6%8.0%8.6%8.7%8.4%$2,969,183
20258.1%10.6%7.7%6.6%9.1%7.6%7.9%8.9%8.6%8.0%8.7%8.1%$3,006,639
MEDIAN %8.0%9.6%7.3%6.7%9.1%8.0%8.2%9.0%8.6%8.5%8.8%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LAMPASAS (County)

Pop 7,291 PPA 1.69 %BO 21.2% Levy $11,101,210 Levy CAGR -0.2% E-Factor 0.00%
5,919 7,109 8,299 9,489 10,679 11,870 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 6,577 6,786 6,681 7,291 7,679 8,081 8,498 8,930 9,375 9,834 10,306 10,791 +0.3% -0.2% +0.9% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% Population Trend: LAMPASAS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LAMPASAS had a 2020 population of 7,291 across 6.7 square miles, yielding a density of 1.69 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 10,791, a gain of 3,500 (+48.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.49% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 21.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LAMPASAS has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 31.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): LAMPASAS levied $11,101,210 in property taxes on a market value base of $6,869,267,649. The taxable value of $2,750,066,748 reflects 60.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4068 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3388 for Maintenance & Operations (83.3%) and $0.0680 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (16.7%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,483 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of -0.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 22.0% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Strategic Outlook: LAMPASAS demonstrates contracting fiscal capacity, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LAMPASAS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop6,5776,7866,6817,2917,6798,0818,4988,9309,3759,83410,30610,791
PPA1.531.581.551.691.781.881.972.072.182.282.392.51
%BO19.1%19.7%19.4%21.2%22.3%23.5%24.7%25.9%27.2%28.5%29.9%31.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%7,291$2,953,825,367~EstN/A$0.6122$0.100514.1%$0.7127$10,647,801$1,460
20214.7%7,329$3,530,190,197~EstN/A$0.5825$0.102515.0%$0.6850$11,688,995$1,595
20228.0%7,368$4,340,055,511~EstN/A$0.5015$0.080013.8%$0.5815$11,719,867$1,591
20234.1%7,407$6,317,422,808~EstN/A$0.4633$0.051210.0%$0.5145$12,955,903$1,749
20243.2%7,446$6,542,159,666$2,619,111,18940.0%$0.3388$0.068016.7%$0.4068$10,572,581$1,420
2025~2.9%7,485$6,869,267,649$2,750,066,74840.0%$0.3388$0.068016.7%$0.4068$11,101,210$1,483
CAGR4.2%0.5%22.0%-11.2%-7.5%3.4%-10.6%-0.2%-0.7%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

LAMPASAS COUNTY (City)

Pop 21,627 PPA 0.05 %BO 0.6% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
12,168 21,983 31,797 41,611 51,426 61,240 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 13,521 17,762 19,677 21,627 24,350 27,414 30,861 34,737 39,094 43,991 49,493 55,673 +2.8% +1.0% +0.9% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% Population Trend: LAMPASAS COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LAMPASAS COUNTY had a 2020 population of 21,627 across 712.5 square miles, yielding a density of 0.05 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 55,673, a gain of 34,046 (+157.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.19% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LAMPASAS COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 1.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: LAMPASAS COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LAMPASAS COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop13,52117,76219,67721,62724,35027,41430,86134,73739,09443,99149,49355,673
PPA0.030.040.040.050.050.060.070.080.090.100.110.12
%BO0.4%0.5%0.5%0.6%0.7%0.8%0.8%1.0%1.1%1.2%1.4%1.5%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.2%9.2%6.9%6.7%8.2%8.2%9.2%9.3%8.9%8.2%9.3%8.7%$1,048,439
20217.3%9.0%7.4%5.3%9.2%8.3%9.5%9.4%8.5%8.3%9.3%8.4%$1,241,309
20227.9%9.3%7.2%6.5%8.9%8.3%8.3%9.7%8.3%8.7%8.8%8.3%$1,421,753
20238.4%10.0%7.4%7.1%9.3%8.0%8.1%8.7%8.2%8.3%8.4%8.0%$1,453,532
20248.2%9.4%7.1%8.1%8.7%8.1%8.2%8.6%8.1%8.3%8.6%8.4%$1,502,477
20258.1%10.8%7.3%8.1%8.5%7.5%7.7%8.7%8.8%8.0%8.3%8.2%$1,572,719
MEDIAN %8.0%9.4%7.3%6.9%8.8%8.2%8.3%9.1%8.4%8.3%8.8%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LANCASTER (City)

Pop 41,275 PPA 2.13 %BO 26.6% Levy $42,050,057 Levy CAGR +9.0% E-Factor 9.25%
20,098 35,293 50,488 65,683 80,878 96,072 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 22,332 25,894 36,361 41,275 46,246 51,546 57,136 62,966 68,973 75,089 81,236 87,339 +1.5% +3.5% +1.3% +1.1% +1.1% +1.0% +1.0% +0.9% +0.9% +0.8% +0.7% Population Trend: LANCASTER (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LANCASTER had a 2020 population of 41,275 across 30.3 square miles, yielding a density of 2.13 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 87,339, a gain of 46,064 (+111.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.94% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 26.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LANCASTER has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 56.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): LANCASTER levied $42,050,057 in property taxes on a market value base of $8,506,852,431. The taxable value of $6,954,952,013 reflects 18.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6046 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4497 for Maintenance & Operations (74.4%) and $0.1549 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (25.6%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $961 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 9.0% CAGR lagged market value growth of 18.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 9.25% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): LANCASTER collected $22,889,699 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $523 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 54.4% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 21.9% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: LANCASTER demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LANCASTER
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop22,33225,89436,36141,27546,24651,54657,13662,96668,97375,08981,23687,339
PPA1.151.341.882.132.392.662.953.253.563.874.194.51
%BO14.4%16.7%23.5%26.6%29.8%33.2%36.9%40.6%44.5%48.4%52.4%56.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%41,275$4,183,945,330$3,461,431,12382.7%$0.6052$0.214626.2%$0.8197$28,374,597$687$10,463,394$25436.9%
20214.7%41,772$4,480,519,260$3,672,546,11782.0%$0.5891$0.180223.4%$0.7693$28,252,420$676$12,783,760$30645.2%
20228.0%42,269$5,776,862,740$4,509,483,91978.1%$0.5314$0.160423.2%$0.6918$31,197,602$738$18,920,202$44860.6%
20234.1%42,766$6,861,837,630$5,465,092,48979.6%$0.4841$0.154924.2%$0.6390$34,922,160$817$20,655,295$48359.1%
20243.2%43,263$8,101,764,220$6,623,763,82281.8%$0.4497$0.154925.6%$0.6046$40,047,673$926$23,079,046$53357.6%
2025*2.9%43,760$8,506,852,431$6,954,952,01381.8%$0.4497$0.154925.6%$0.6046$42,050,057$961$22,889,699$52354.4%
CAGR4.2%1.2%18.0%17.6%-0.2%-5.8%-6.3%-0.4%-5.9%9.0%7.7%21.9%20.4%8.1%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.6%9.7%7.2%7.4%9.1%7.7%7.4%10.0%8.2%8.1%9.2%8.3%$10,463,394
20216.3%8.1%6.6%6.1%9.3%7.8%7.1%9.3%9.9%9.0%11.4%9.0%$12,783,760
20226.2%18.6%13.5%5.3%7.5%6.0%6.4%5.4%6.1%7.3%8.0%9.7%$18,920,202
202310.1%10.0%8.7%6.4%7.3%7.3%7.6%8.1%7.5%8.7%9.0%9.2%$20,655,295
202410.2%0.0%14.1%10.1%8.6%7.1%7.4%8.7%9.6%7.6%8.7%7.7%$23,079,046
20257.3%10.8%6.8%7.1%8.9%8.1%6.8%7.7%8.4%7.6%9.9%10.6%$22,889,699
MEDIAN %7.6%10.1%8.1%6.9%8.9%7.6%7.4%8.6%8.4%8.0%9.2%9.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LAREDO (City)

Pop 255,205 PPA 4.48 %BO 56.1% Levy $129,665,854 Levy CAGR +6.1% E-Factor 3.12%
113,605 170,846 228,086 285,327 342,568 399,809 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 126,228 176,576 236,091 255,205 270,909 286,201 300,951 315,047 328,401 340,947 352,641 363,463 +3.4% +2.9% +0.8% +0.6% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: LAREDO (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LAREDO had a 2020 population of 255,205 across 88.9 square miles, yielding a density of 4.48 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 363,463, a gain of 108,258 (+42.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.44% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 56.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LAREDO is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 79.8%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): LAREDO levied $129,665,854 in property taxes on a market value base of $32,391,414,270. The taxable value of $25,543,731,183 reflects 21.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5076 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3969 for Maintenance & Operations (78.2%) and $0.1107 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (21.8%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $493 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 13.0% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.12% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): LAREDO collected $67,957,293 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.25% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $258 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 52.4% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 11.4% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: LAREDO demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LAREDO
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop126,228176,576236,091255,205270,909286,201300,951315,047328,401340,947352,641363,463
PPA2.223.104.154.484.765.035.295.545.775.996.206.39
%BO27.7%38.8%51.9%56.1%59.5%62.9%66.1%69.2%72.1%74.9%77.5%79.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%255,205$18,928,950,302$15,371,554,10881.2%$0.4915$0.142522.5%$0.6340$97,456,268$382$42,090,573$16543.2%
20214.7%256,775$20,139,826,392$16,340,600,70481.1%$0.4694$0.145923.7%$0.6154$100,555,155$392$49,292,896$19249.0%
20228.0%258,345$23,679,593,954$18,915,867,60779.9%$0.4494$0.120621.2%$0.5700$107,820,445$417$56,787,861$22052.7%
20234.1%259,916$27,119,352,269$21,292,284,96878.5%$0.4191$0.114921.5%$0.5339$113,689,091$437$61,460,117$23654.1%
20243.2%261,486$30,848,965,971$24,327,363,03178.9%$0.3969$0.110721.8%$0.5076$123,491,290$472$64,732,122$24852.4%
2025*2.9%263,057$32,391,414,270$25,543,731,18378.9%$0.3969$0.110721.8%$0.5076$129,665,854$493$67,957,293$25852.4%
CAGR4.2%0.6%13.0%12.2%-0.6%-4.2%-4.9%-0.6%-4.3%6.1%5.5%11.4%10.7%3.9%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.8%11.3%8.1%7.3%8.3%6.4%7.6%9.0%7.9%7.7%9.3%8.2%$42,090,573
20217.3%9.6%6.9%6.8%10.2%8.2%8.0%9.2%8.1%8.1%9.6%8.3%$49,292,896
20228.0%10.2%7.0%7.2%9.2%8.0%7.9%8.9%8.0%8.3%8.9%8.3%$56,787,861
20238.2%10.2%7.5%7.4%9.0%7.6%8.4%8.7%8.2%8.6%8.4%7.8%$61,460,117
20248.4%9.8%7.3%7.8%8.8%8.1%8.2%8.4%8.3%8.0%8.4%8.4%$64,732,122
20258.4%10.8%7.3%7.2%9.0%8.4%7.7%8.6%8.4%7.8%8.2%8.2%$67,957,293
MEDIAN %8.3%10.3%7.3%7.2%9.0%8.0%7.9%8.8%8.1%8.0%8.7%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LAREDO CTD (City)

Pop 255,205 PPA 4.48 %BO 56.1% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
113,605 170,688 227,771 284,854 341,937 399,020 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 126,228 178,063 236,568 255,205 270,776 285,943 300,578 314,574 327,843 340,320 351,962 362,746 +3.5% +2.9% +0.8% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: LAREDO CTD (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LAREDO CTD had a 2020 population of 255,205 across 88.9 square miles, yielding a density of 4.48 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 362,746, a gain of 107,541 (+42.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.44% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 56.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LAREDO CTD is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 79.7%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Strategic Outlook: Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LAREDO CTD
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop126,228178,063236,568255,205270,776285,943300,578314,574327,843340,320351,962362,746
PPA2.223.134.164.484.765.035.285.535.765.986.196.37
%BO27.7%39.1%52.0%56.1%59.5%62.8%66.0%69.1%72.0%74.8%77.3%79.7%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.9%11.3%8.1%7.3%8.3%6.5%8.0%8.8%7.8%7.6%9.1%8.2%$8,164,540
20217.3%9.6%6.9%6.8%10.1%8.2%8.0%9.3%8.1%8.1%9.4%8.3%$9,572,180
20228.0%10.3%7.0%7.2%9.2%8.0%7.9%9.0%8.1%8.3%8.8%8.3%$11,068,850
20238.3%10.0%7.4%7.4%8.8%7.5%8.4%9.9%8.0%8.3%8.3%7.7%$11,938,219
20248.6%9.9%7.3%7.9%8.9%8.2%8.2%8.2%8.2%7.9%8.2%8.4%$12,379,239
20258.5%10.9%7.4%7.3%9.2%8.5%7.8%8.4%8.3%7.7%7.9%8.2%$12,993,667
MEDIAN %8.4%10.1%7.3%7.3%9.0%8.1%8.0%8.9%8.1%8.0%8.5%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LAVACA COUNTY (City)

Pop 20,337 PPA 0.03 %BO 0.4% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
16,821 19,798 22,776 25,753 28,731 31,708 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 18,690 19,210 19,263 20,337 21,244 22,191 23,181 24,214 25,293 26,420 27,597 28,826 +0.3% +0.0% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% Population Trend: LAVACA COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LAVACA COUNTY had a 2020 population of 20,337 across 969.7 square miles, yielding a density of 0.03 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 28,826, a gain of 8,489 (+41.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.44% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LAVACA COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: LAVACA COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LAVACA COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop18,69019,21019,26320,33721,24422,19123,18124,21425,29326,42027,59728,826
PPA0.030.030.030.030.030.040.040.040.040.040.040.05
%BO0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.6%0.6%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LEAGUE CITY (City)

Pop 114,392 PPA 3.48 %BO 43.6% Levy $53,763,314 Levy CAGR +0.5% E-Factor 0.00%
27,031 75,828 124,625 173,422 222,218 271,015 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 30,035 45,444 83,560 114,392 138,611 162,383 184,213 203,059 218,477 230,545 239,666 246,378 +4.2% +6.3% +3.2% +1.9% +1.6% +1.3% +1.0% +0.7% +0.5% +0.4% +0.3% Population Trend: LEAGUE CITY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LEAGUE CITY had a 2020 population of 114,392 across 51.3 square miles, yielding a density of 3.48 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 246,378, a gain of 131,986 (+115.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.96% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 43.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LEAGUE CITY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 93.8%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): LEAGUE CITY levied $53,763,314 in property taxes on a market value base of $20,296,003,544. The taxable value of $14,570,004,072 reflects 28.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3690 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3095 for Maintenance & Operations (83.9%) and $0.0595 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (16.1%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $425 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 0.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.4% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): LEAGUE CITY collected $39,538,783 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.75% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $313 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 73.5% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.5% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: LEAGUE CITY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LEAGUE CITY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop30,03545,44483,560114,392138,611162,383184,213203,059218,477230,545239,666246,378
PPA0.911.382.553.484.224.955.616.196.667.027.307.51
%BO11.4%17.3%31.8%43.6%52.8%61.8%70.1%77.3%83.2%87.8%91.3%93.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%114,392$12,997,055,173$9,757,435,43675.1%$0.3901$0.124924.2%$0.5150$50,250,792$439$28,791,003$25257.3%
20214.7%116,813$14,789,436,852$10,842,057,47273.3%$0.3528$0.112724.2%$0.4655$50,472,596$432$32,019,736$27463.4%
20228.0%119,235$16,518,131,719$12,074,072,49273.1%$0.3157$0.099824.0%$0.4155$50,170,910$421$34,762,049$29269.3%
20234.1%121,657$18,524,568,100$13,301,712,70871.8%$0.3242$0.070817.9%$0.3950$52,541,766$432$35,751,326$29468.0%
20243.2%124,079$19,329,527,185$13,876,194,35471.8%$0.3095$0.059516.1%$0.3690$51,203,156$413$38,486,170$31075.2%
2025*2.9%126,501$20,296,003,544$14,570,004,07271.8%$0.3095$0.059516.1%$0.3690$53,763,314$425$39,538,783$31373.5%
CAGR4.2%2.0%10.4%9.2%-0.9%-4.5%-13.8%-7.8%-6.4%0.5%-1.6%7.5%5.4%5.1%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.4%11.4%7.2%6.6%8.6%7.3%8.5%9.8%8.1%7.8%9.5%7.9%$28,791,003
20217.3%10.0%6.7%6.3%10.0%8.2%8.6%9.7%7.9%7.8%9.9%7.6%$32,019,736
20228.1%11.0%6.6%6.7%9.4%7.8%8.2%9.3%8.1%8.0%9.1%7.7%$34,762,049
20238.0%10.6%7.1%7.2%9.5%7.6%8.3%9.1%8.1%8.1%8.5%7.9%$35,751,326
20247.7%11.9%7.0%7.7%8.9%7.6%8.0%8.5%8.3%8.2%8.5%7.8%$38,486,170
20257.6%11.9%7.5%6.9%8.9%7.9%7.8%8.9%8.0%8.0%8.6%8.1%$39,538,783
MEDIAN %7.7%11.2%7.1%6.8%9.1%7.7%8.3%9.2%8.1%8.1%8.9%7.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LEANDER (City)

Pop 59,202 PPA 2.41 %BO 30.1% Levy $70,595,018 Levy CAGR +14.9% E-Factor 1.29%
3,082 45,609 88,135 130,662 173,188 215,715 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 3,425 7,596 26,521 59,202 100,059 140,648 169,039 184,295 191,331 194,345 195,594 196,105 +8.3% +13.3% +8.4% +5.4% +3.5% +1.9% +0.9% +0.4% +0.2% +0.1% +0.0% Population Trend: LEANDER (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LEANDER had a 2020 population of 59,202 across 38.4 square miles, yielding a density of 2.41 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 196,105, a gain of 136,903 (+231.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.51% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 30.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LEANDER has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 99.8%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): LEANDER levied $70,595,018 in property taxes on a market value base of $19,644,680,300. The taxable value of $16,917,820,077 reflects 13.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4173 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2736 for Maintenance & Operations (65.6%) and $0.1437 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (34.4%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $887 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 14.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 23.2% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.29% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): LEANDER collected $12,402,446 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $156 falls below regional averages, indicating primarily residential character with retail leakage to neighboring communities. Sales tax represents 17.6% of property tax levy, offering modest supplemental revenue. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 10.2% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: LEANDER demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LEANDER
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop3,4257,59626,52159,202100,059140,648169,039184,295191,331194,345195,594196,105
PPA0.140.311.082.414.075.736.887.507.797.917.967.99
%BO1.7%3.9%13.5%30.1%50.9%71.6%86.0%93.8%97.4%98.9%99.6%99.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%59,202$8,126,878,488$7,174,595,66188.3%$0.3249$0.212039.5%$0.5369$38,518,037$651$7,817,075$13220.3%
20214.7%63,287$10,229,311,439$8,848,119,97986.5%$0.3021$0.177637.0%$0.4797$42,444,344$671$9,809,656$15523.1%
20228.0%67,373$16,566,317,559$12,373,468,05374.7%$0.2723$0.160037.0%$0.4323$53,493,596$794$10,867,534$16120.3%
20234.1%71,459$17,707,091,103$14,348,099,27381.0%$0.2629$0.154437.0%$0.4173$59,872,036$838$10,877,384$15218.2%
20243.2%75,544$18,709,219,333$16,112,209,59786.1%$0.2736$0.143734.4%$0.4173$67,233,350$890$11,530,218$15317.1%
2025*2.9%79,630$19,644,680,300$16,917,820,07786.1%$0.2736$0.143734.4%$0.4173$70,595,018$887$12,402,446$15617.6%
CAGR4.2%6.1%23.2%22.4%-0.5%-3.4%-7.5%-2.7%-4.9%14.9%8.1%10.2%3.7%-2.8%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.0%9.5%7.7%6.5%9.0%6.7%8.4%9.9%8.2%8.2%11.6%7.4%$7,817,075
20217.2%9.6%6.6%6.0%9.8%7.7%7.9%10.0%7.9%8.1%11.2%8.0%$9,809,656
20228.4%10.6%7.6%7.4%9.8%7.5%7.4%9.3%7.4%7.5%9.6%7.5%$10,867,534
20237.7%10.4%6.9%7.1%10.2%7.6%7.5%9.6%7.8%7.5%9.9%7.9%$10,877,384
20247.9%10.2%7.1%6.9%10.3%7.5%7.9%9.6%8.1%6.8%9.8%7.9%$11,530,218
20257.1%12.0%6.7%5.9%9.8%7.5%7.5%9.6%7.7%7.5%10.4%8.0%$12,402,446
MEDIAN %7.5%10.4%7.1%6.7%9.9%7.5%7.7%9.7%7.9%7.5%10.2%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LEE COUNTY (City)

Pop 17,478 PPA 0.04 %BO 0.5% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
11,568 16,039 20,509 24,979 29,450 33,920 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 12,854 15,657 16,612 17,478 18,765 20,147 21,631 23,222 24,930 26,762 28,728 30,837 +2.0% +0.6% +0.5% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% Population Trend: LEE COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LEE COUNTY had a 2020 population of 17,478 across 629.0 square miles, yielding a density of 0.04 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 30,837, a gain of 13,359 (+76.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.71% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LEE COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 1.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: LEE COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LEE COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop12,85415,65716,61217,47818,76520,14721,63123,22224,93026,76228,72830,837
PPA0.030.040.040.040.050.050.050.060.060.070.070.08
%BO0.4%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.6%0.6%0.7%0.7%0.8%0.8%0.9%1.0%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
202022.3%10.8%7.7%11.1%11.7%7.2%5.8%6.2%4.0%3.9%5.4%4.1%$2,511,501
20217.9%8.6%6.4%5.9%8.6%7.8%7.8%9.7%10.2%7.8%10.6%8.6%$1,406,914
20227.7%8.3%6.9%6.6%9.5%7.9%8.4%9.7%8.3%9.0%9.9%7.8%$1,554,642
20238.4%9.5%7.0%7.5%9.7%7.8%7.7%9.0%7.9%8.7%8.3%8.6%$1,626,475
20246.1%7.2%5.8%8.6%12.6%6.9%6.7%10.2%7.4%12.4%7.3%8.6%$2,167,420
20258.0%9.8%7.9%7.3%8.6%8.3%6.8%8.3%9.2%8.6%8.2%9.0%$2,020,566
MEDIAN %8.0%9.1%7.0%7.4%9.7%7.9%7.3%9.5%8.2%8.8%8.4%8.7%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LEON COUNTY (City)

Pop 15,719 PPA 0.02 %BO 0.3% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
11,398 12,815 14,231 15,648 17,064 18,481 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 12,665 15,335 16,801 15,719 15,745 15,771 15,797 15,824 15,850 15,876 15,903 15,929 +1.9% +0.9% -0.7% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: LEON COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LEON COUNTY had a 2020 population of 15,719 across 1073.2 square miles, yielding a density of 0.02 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 15,929, a gain of 210 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LEON COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: LEON COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LEON COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop12,66515,33516,80115,71915,74515,77115,79715,82415,85015,87615,90315,929
PPA0.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.02
%BO0.2%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.0%11.7%7.7%7.7%9.3%7.6%7.4%8.9%10.5%6.8%6.8%7.7%$1,309,444
20217.0%9.4%6.8%5.8%9.2%8.9%7.7%10.0%7.9%8.6%9.7%9.1%$1,200,366
20228.3%9.3%6.5%6.8%10.4%7.2%7.9%9.5%9.3%8.1%8.7%8.2%$1,526,123
20237.0%8.5%6.8%7.1%8.4%7.5%7.8%8.7%8.4%10.3%10.7%8.8%$1,770,309
20248.9%20.4%0.0%3.4%8.6%8.4%7.5%8.9%7.8%7.8%9.3%9.1%$1,930,866
20257.4%10.0%6.9%6.3%8.1%8.2%8.3%9.7%7.4%9.3%8.4%10.1%$2,254,473
MEDIAN %7.8%9.8%6.8%6.6%9.0%8.0%7.8%9.3%8.3%8.4%9.1%9.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LEON VALLEY (City)

Pop 11,542 PPA 5.26 %BO 65.7% Levy $7,117,330 Levy CAGR +2.9% E-Factor 0.00%
8,315 9,813 11,312 12,811 14,310 15,809 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 9,265 9,239 10,151 11,542 11,957 12,356 12,739 13,103 13,449 13,776 14,084 14,372 -0.0% +0.9% +1.3% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: LEON VALLEY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LEON VALLEY had a 2020 population of 11,542 across 3.4 square miles, yielding a density of 5.26 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 14,372, a gain of 2,830 (+24.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.27% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 65.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LEON VALLEY is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 81.8%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): LEON VALLEY levied $7,117,330 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,780,253,117. The taxable value of $1,468,281,188 reflects 17.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4847 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4400 for Maintenance & Operations (90.8%) and $0.0447 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (9.2%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $606 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 2.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 8.3% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): LEON VALLEY collected $4,585,473 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.38% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $390 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 64.4% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.8% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LEON VALLEY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop9,2659,23910,15111,54211,95712,35612,73913,10313,44913,77614,08414,372
PPA4.224.214.625.265.455.635.805.976.136.286.426.55
%BO52.8%52.6%57.8%65.7%68.1%70.4%72.5%74.6%76.6%78.4%80.2%81.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%11,542$1,230,238,946$1,129,512,04191.8%$0.4722$0.063711.9%$0.5359$6,053,100$524$3,393,072$29456.1%
20214.7%11,583$1,303,589,764$1,192,226,58891.5%$0.4816$0.05259.8%$0.5341$6,367,670$550$3,916,143$33861.5%
20228.0%11,625$1,524,150,994$1,354,996,96288.9%$0.4383$0.04649.6%$0.4847$6,568,199$565$4,574,385$39369.6%
20234.1%11,666$1,667,985,111$1,345,942,66380.7%$0.4332$0.051610.6%$0.4847$6,524,309$559$4,596,846$39470.5%
20243.2%11,708$1,695,479,159$1,398,363,03682.5%$0.4400$0.04479.2%$0.4847$6,778,410$579$4,584,421$39267.6%
2025*2.9%11,749$1,780,253,117$1,468,281,18882.5%$0.4400$0.04479.2%$0.4847$7,117,330$606$4,585,473$39064.4%
CAGR4.2%0.4%8.3%5.5%-2.1%-1.4%-6.8%-5.0%-2.0%2.9%2.5%7.8%7.4%2.8%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.1%9.5%6.6%9.2%9.0%6.4%7.3%10.1%7.9%8.0%10.7%8.2%$3,393,072
20216.6%9.3%6.8%5.9%10.6%8.1%8.1%10.1%8.8%8.3%9.8%7.6%$3,916,143
20227.8%8.9%7.2%6.7%10.2%7.6%7.7%9.8%7.7%8.2%9.9%8.4%$4,574,385
20237.7%9.6%7.5%7.9%9.7%7.7%7.4%9.1%7.7%8.5%9.2%8.0%$4,596,846
20247.9%9.4%7.1%7.6%9.0%8.1%7.6%9.2%8.1%7.9%9.7%8.3%$4,584,421
20257.8%10.0%7.1%7.0%9.5%7.6%8.3%9.1%8.1%8.1%8.9%8.5%$4,585,473
MEDIAN %7.7%9.5%7.1%7.3%9.6%7.7%7.6%9.5%8.0%8.1%9.7%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LEVELLAND (City)

Pop 12,652 PPA 1.95 %BO 24.3% Levy $5,005,284 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 2.04%
11,386 12,242 13,098 13,954 14,810 15,666 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 14,242 12,866 13,542 12,652 12,673 12,694 12,715 12,736 12,757 12,779 12,800 12,821 -1.0% +0.5% -0.7% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: LEVELLAND (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LEVELLAND had a 2020 population of 12,652 across 10.2 square miles, yielding a density of 1.95 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 12,821, a gain of 169 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 24.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LEVELLAND has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 24.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): LEVELLAND levied $5,005,284 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,080,871,432. The taxable value of $935,567,118 reflects 13.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5350 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4987 for Maintenance & Operations (93.2%) and $0.0363 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (6.8%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $395 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.04% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): LEVELLAND collected $5,242,458 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $414 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 104.7% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.1% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: LEVELLAND demonstrates substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LEVELLAND
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop14,24212,86613,54212,65212,67312,69412,71512,73612,75712,77912,80012,821
PPA2.191.982.081.951.951.951.961.961.961.971.971.97
%BO27.4%24.7%26.0%24.3%24.4%24.4%24.4%24.5%24.5%24.6%24.6%24.6%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%12,652$763,900,266$665,932,91987.2%N/AN/AN/AN/A~EstN/A$3,759,331$297N/A
20214.7%12,654$764,753,077$668,549,10487.4%$0.5590$0.066010.6%$0.6250$4,178,432$330$4,146,638$32899.2%
20228.0%12,656$885,870,659$781,477,28788.2%$0.4851$0.03616.9%$0.5212$4,073,185$322$4,673,976$369114.7%
20234.1%12,658$966,066,703$846,308,75087.6%$0.5058$0.03636.7%$0.5420$4,587,171$362$4,930,556$390107.5%
20243.2%12,660$1,029,401,364$891,016,30386.6%$0.4987$0.03636.8%$0.5350$4,766,937$377$4,938,309$390103.6%
2025*2.9%12,662$1,080,871,432$935,567,11886.6%$0.4987$0.03636.8%$0.5350$5,005,284$395$5,242,458$414104.7%
CAGR4.2%0.0%7.7%7.6%-0.1%7.1%7.0%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.4%10.5%7.7%7.2%9.2%7.9%7.5%9.5%8.4%8.2%9.0%7.5%$3,759,331
20217.0%9.7%7.4%6.1%10.5%8.6%8.1%8.6%7.8%8.4%9.6%8.2%$4,146,638
20227.3%9.0%6.8%6.6%9.7%7.2%8.7%10.6%7.9%5.8%12.0%8.4%$4,673,976
20237.8%9.6%7.1%9.7%9.4%7.2%8.8%8.7%7.7%8.6%8.5%6.8%$4,930,556
20247.7%9.2%7.2%7.9%8.4%8.5%7.6%9.2%8.9%8.3%8.5%8.5%$4,938,309
20257.6%9.0%7.6%7.4%9.1%8.2%7.7%8.1%9.4%7.9%9.6%8.2%$5,242,458
MEDIAN %7.5%9.4%7.3%7.3%9.3%8.1%8.0%9.0%8.2%8.3%9.3%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LEWISVILLE (City)

Pop 111,822 PPA 4.80 %BO 60.0% Levy $101,170,058 Levy CAGR +13.9% E-Factor 4.36%
42,134 70,309 98,485 126,660 154,836 183,011 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 46,816 77,737 95,290 111,822 121,150 129,905 137,959 145,231 151,688 157,336 162,212 166,374 +5.2% +2.1% +1.6% +0.8% +0.7% +0.6% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: LEWISVILLE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LEWISVILLE had a 2020 population of 111,822 across 36.4 square miles, yielding a density of 4.80 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 166,374, a gain of 54,552 (+48.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.50% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 60.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LEWISVILLE is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 89.3%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): LEWISVILLE levied $101,170,058 in property taxes on a market value base of $27,232,002,681. The taxable value of $23,949,260,558 reflects 12.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4224 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3001 for Maintenance & Operations (71.0%) and $0.1223 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (29.0%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $869 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 13.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.9% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.36% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): LEWISVILLE collected $54,522,009 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.25% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $468 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 53.9% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.4% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: LEWISVILLE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LEWISVILLE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop46,81677,73795,290111,822121,150129,905137,959145,231151,688157,336162,212166,374
PPA2.013.344.094.805.205.585.926.236.516.756.967.14
%BO25.1%41.7%51.1%60.0%65.0%69.7%74.0%77.9%81.4%84.4%87.0%89.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%111,822$14,902,718,194$12,894,836,66786.5%$0.3210$0.122327.6%$0.4433$57,162,939$511$41,969,866$37573.4%
20214.7%112,754$15,613,312,432$13,606,661,01387.1%$0.3210$0.122327.6%$0.4433$60,318,465$535$51,934,226$46186.1%
20228.0%113,687$21,500,656,351$18,908,655,79387.9%$0.3210$0.122327.6%$0.4433$83,822,260$737$52,779,848$46463.0%
20234.1%114,620$25,356,916,797$21,474,641,18784.7%$0.2968$0.122329.2%$0.4191$89,995,711$785$52,692,143$46058.5%
20243.2%115,553$25,935,240,649$22,808,819,57987.9%$0.3001$0.122329.0%$0.4224$96,352,436$834$53,845,489$46655.9%
2025*2.9%116,486$27,232,002,681$23,949,260,55887.9%$0.3001$0.122329.0%$0.4224$101,170,058$869$54,522,009$46853.9%
CAGR4.2%0.8%14.9%15.3%0.3%-1.3%1.0%-1.0%13.9%13.0%6.4%5.6%-6.0%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.9%10.5%7.5%7.1%8.9%7.9%8.1%9.6%7.2%8.4%9.9%8.0%$41,969,866
20217.2%9.4%5.9%5.7%9.5%7.7%11.7%10.5%7.7%7.6%9.1%7.8%$51,934,226
20228.4%9.7%7.6%6.5%9.3%7.9%7.7%9.1%8.2%8.3%9.0%8.2%$52,779,848
20237.9%10.0%7.5%6.9%8.9%8.1%8.4%9.3%7.9%8.0%9.1%7.9%$52,692,143
20247.8%9.6%7.5%7.5%9.1%7.8%9.1%8.9%8.6%7.7%7.9%8.5%$53,845,489
20257.6%11.8%7.4%6.4%6.8%8.0%8.1%9.5%8.4%7.5%9.6%8.9%$54,522,009
MEDIAN %7.7%9.9%7.5%6.8%9.1%7.9%8.3%9.5%8.1%7.9%9.2%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LIBERTY (City)

Pop 8,279 PPA 0.32 %BO 4.0% Levy $12,632,517 Levy CAGR +17.3% E-Factor 5.00%
7,121 7,544 7,967 8,390 8,813 9,236 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 7,913 8,033 8,397 8,279 8,292 8,306 8,320 8,334 8,348 8,362 8,376 8,390 +0.2% +0.4% -0.1% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: LIBERTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LIBERTY had a 2020 population of 8,279 across 40.6 square miles, yielding a density of 0.32 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 8,390, a gain of 111 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 4.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LIBERTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 4.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): LIBERTY levied $12,632,517 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,950,335,655. The taxable value of $2,398,656,157 reflects 18.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5374 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3406 for Maintenance & Operations (63.4%) and $0.1967 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (36.6%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,525 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 17.3% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 17.3% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 5.00% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): LIBERTY collected $3,858,829 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $466 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 30.5% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 2.7% CAGR, reflecting stable retail environment.
Strategic Outlook: LIBERTY demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LIBERTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop7,9138,0338,3978,2798,2928,3068,3208,3348,3488,3628,3768,390
PPA0.300.310.320.320.320.320.320.320.320.320.320.32
%BO3.8%3.9%4.0%4.0%4.0%4.0%4.0%4.0%4.0%4.0%4.0%4.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%8,279$1,484,424,423$1,190,272,34280.2%$0.3461$0.171833.2%$0.5179$6,345,699$766$3,253,030$39351.3%
20214.7%8,280$1,630,591,267$1,341,497,16682.3%$0.3427$0.203237.2%$0.5459$7,407,137$895$3,189,655$38543.1%
20228.0%8,281$2,264,788,944$1,808,092,34879.8%$0.3316$0.201837.8%$0.5334$9,513,191$1,149$3,400,288$41135.7%
20234.1%8,282$2,677,539,887$2,155,778,32380.5%$0.3383$0.199237.1%$0.5375$11,220,777$1,355$3,547,097$42831.6%
20243.2%8,284$2,809,843,481$2,284,434,43581.3%$0.3406$0.196736.6%$0.5374$12,030,969$1,452$3,617,115$43730.1%
2025*2.9%8,285$2,950,335,655$2,398,656,15781.3%$0.3406$0.196736.6%$0.5374$12,632,517$1,525$3,858,829$46630.5%
CAGR4.2%0.0%17.3%17.7%0.3%-0.3%2.7%2.0%0.7%17.3%17.3%2.7%2.7%-9.8%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.7%10.1%7.1%6.6%8.8%7.6%7.9%9.1%7.4%12.3%8.2%7.2%$3,253,030
20217.1%9.3%7.3%6.7%10.1%9.1%7.6%9.3%8.7%8.3%7.0%9.4%$3,189,655
20228.3%9.7%6.8%6.8%8.9%8.4%8.2%9.0%8.2%8.6%8.7%8.6%$3,400,288
20238.1%9.9%7.4%7.6%9.2%7.8%8.4%9.3%7.7%8.2%9.0%7.4%$3,547,097
20248.2%9.8%6.9%8.1%8.7%7.8%8.0%8.5%8.1%8.2%9.5%8.2%$3,617,115
20257.8%11.5%7.5%6.9%9.5%8.9%7.9%8.4%7.8%7.6%8.3%7.9%$3,858,829
MEDIAN %8.0%10.0%7.3%7.0%9.1%8.2%8.1%9.2%8.1%8.3%8.6%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LIBERTY (County)

Pop 8,279 PPA 0.32 %BO 4.0% Levy $67,044,853 Levy CAGR +10.7% E-Factor 5.70%
7,121 7,544 7,967 8,390 8,813 9,236 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 7,913 8,033 8,397 8,279 8,292 8,306 8,320 8,334 8,348 8,362 8,376 8,390 +0.2% +0.4% -0.1% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: LIBERTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LIBERTY had a 2020 population of 8,279 across 40.6 square miles, yielding a density of 0.32 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 8,390, a gain of 111 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 4.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LIBERTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 4.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): LIBERTY levied $67,044,853 in property taxes on a market value base of $18,892,475,914. The taxable value of $14,147,568,960 reflects 25.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4843 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4558 for Maintenance & Operations (97.1%) and $0.0142 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (2.9%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $8,092 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 10.7% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.6% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 5.70% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: LIBERTY demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LIBERTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop7,9138,0338,3978,2798,2928,3068,3208,3348,3488,3628,3768,390
PPA0.300.310.320.320.320.320.320.320.320.320.320.32
%BO3.8%3.9%4.0%4.0%4.0%4.0%4.0%4.0%4.0%4.0%4.0%4.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%8,279$10,414,481,576~EstN/A$0.5321$0.02224.0%$0.5543$42,489,048$5,132
20214.7%8,280$11,455,800,018~EstN/A$0.5241$0.03025.4%$0.5543$47,346,837$5,718
20228.0%8,281$14,859,340,955~EstN/A$0.4559$0.02405.0%$0.4799$51,158,223$6,178
20234.1%8,282$16,521,499,144~EstN/A$0.4486$0.02144.5%$0.4700$56,111,635$6,775
20243.2%8,284$17,992,834,204$13,473,875,20074.9%$0.4558$0.01422.9%$0.4843$63,852,241$7,708
2025~2.9%8,285$18,892,475,914$14,147,568,96074.9%$0.4558$0.01422.9%$0.4843$67,044,853$8,092
CAGR4.2%0.0%14.6%-3.0%-8.5%-6.0%-2.7%10.7%10.7%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

LIBERTY COUNTY (City)

Pop 91,628 PPA 0.12 %BO 1.5% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
47,453 124,516 201,579 278,641 355,704 432,767 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 52,726 70,154 75,643 91,628 110,307 132,710 159,539 191,614 229,883 275,432 329,489 393,425 +2.9% +0.8% +1.9% +1.9% +1.9% +1.9% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% Population Trend: LIBERTY COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LIBERTY COUNTY had a 2020 population of 91,628 across 1158.3 square miles, yielding a density of 0.12 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 393,425, a gain of 301,797 (+329.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.84% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LIBERTY COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 6.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: LIBERTY COUNTY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LIBERTY COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop52,72670,15475,64391,628110,307132,710159,539191,614229,883275,432329,489393,425
PPA0.070.090.100.120.150.180.220.260.310.370.440.53
%BO0.9%1.2%1.3%1.5%1.9%2.2%2.7%3.2%3.9%4.6%5.6%6.6%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.9%10.6%7.2%7.1%9.2%7.8%7.9%9.8%7.4%8.0%9.4%7.8%$4,389,965
20217.2%9.2%7.1%6.8%9.9%8.7%7.7%9.3%8.2%9.0%9.8%7.0%$4,751,262
20228.2%10.1%6.9%6.8%9.6%8.0%8.5%9.8%7.9%6.7%9.3%8.2%$5,242,650
20237.6%9.5%7.0%7.1%9.5%7.6%8.5%9.8%8.1%8.5%9.1%7.7%$5,682,367
20246.8%8.3%6.4%7.5%9.4%7.6%8.7%12.1%8.2%7.4%9.3%8.3%$7,177,079
20258.8%10.4%6.7%7.1%8.6%8.5%8.1%9.2%8.8%8.1%8.5%7.3%$7,180,249
MEDIAN %7.7%9.8%6.9%7.1%9.4%7.9%8.3%9.8%8.1%8.0%9.3%7.7%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LIMESTONE COUNTY (City)

Pop 22,146 PPA 0.04 %BO 0.5% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
18,851 20,225 21,599 22,974 24,348 25,722 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 20,946 22,051 23,384 22,146 22,182 22,219 22,256 22,294 22,331 22,368 22,405 22,443 +0.5% +0.6% -0.5% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: LIMESTONE COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LIMESTONE COUNTY had a 2020 population of 22,146 across 905.4 square miles, yielding a density of 0.04 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 22,443, a gain of 297 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LIMESTONE COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: LIMESTONE COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LIMESTONE COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop20,94622,05123,38422,14622,18222,21922,25622,29422,33122,36822,40522,443
PPA0.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.04
%BO0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LITTLE ELM (City)

Pop 46,453 PPA 4.98 %BO 62.3% Levy $50,343,176 Levy CAGR +12.0% E-Factor 5.17%
1,128 17,314 33,500 49,686 65,871 82,057 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 1,254 3,646 25,898 46,453 59,427 67,391 71,409 73,234 74,024 74,358 74,505 74,598 +11.3% +21.7% +6.0% +2.5% +1.3% +0.6% +0.3% +0.1% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: LITTLE ELM (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LITTLE ELM had a 2020 population of 46,453 across 14.6 square miles, yielding a density of 4.98 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 74,598, a gain of 28,145 (+60.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.59% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 62.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LITTLE ELM is moderately developed with room to grow. Projections show reaching theoretical capacity (100% build-out) before 2100, suggesting eventual need for annexation, densification, or growth boundary adjustments.
Property Tax Overview (2025): LITTLE ELM levied $50,343,176 in property taxes on a market value base of $10,445,755,339. The taxable value of $8,991,458,671 reflects 13.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5599 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4358 for Maintenance & Operations (77.8%) and $0.1241 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (22.2%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $951 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 12.0% CAGR lagged market value growth of 18.4% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 5.17% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): LITTLE ELM collected $16,603,670 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $314 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 33.0% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 13.7% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: LITTLE ELM demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Long-term projections indicate eventual capacity constraints requiring proactive planning for annexation, vertical development, or managed growth boundaries. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LITTLE ELM
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop1,2543,64625,89846,45359,42767,39171,40973,23474,02474,35874,50574,598
PPA0.130.392.784.986.377.237.667.857.947.977.998.00
%BO1.7%4.9%34.7%62.3%79.7%90.3%95.7%98.2%99.2%99.7%99.9%100.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%46,453$5,068,501,038$4,694,940,18692.6%$0.5200$0.129720.0%$0.6497$30,503,120$657$10,099,081$21733.1%
20214.7%47,750$5,645,060,340$5,210,175,30692.3%$0.5240$0.119918.6%$0.6439$33,550,820$703$11,762,237$24635.1%
20228.0%49,047$7,482,020,928$6,479,355,64686.6%$0.4864$0.143522.8%$0.6299$40,813,461$832$14,257,355$29134.9%
20234.1%50,345$9,478,465,253$7,904,765,82183.4%$0.4401$0.149825.4%$0.5899$46,630,214$926$14,876,960$29631.9%
20243.2%51,642$9,948,338,418$8,563,293,97286.1%$0.4358$0.124122.2%$0.5599$47,945,882$928$16,898,298$32735.2%
2025*2.9%52,940$10,445,755,339$8,991,458,67186.1%$0.4358$0.124122.2%$0.5599$50,343,176$951$16,603,670$31433.0%
CAGR4.2%2.6%18.4%16.2%-1.5%-3.5%-0.9%2.1%-2.9%12.0%9.0%13.7%10.8%-0.1%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.7%9.6%6.5%7.1%8.6%7.9%8.4%10.8%8.4%8.0%10.2%7.9%$10,099,081
20217.1%9.4%7.2%6.5%9.6%7.9%8.3%10.2%7.9%7.8%9.8%8.3%$11,762,237
20227.6%9.9%7.8%6.2%9.1%7.6%7.9%10.0%8.3%8.6%9.2%7.7%$14,257,355
20237.4%9.9%6.9%7.1%9.1%7.9%7.8%9.6%8.2%9.2%9.2%7.8%$14,876,960
20247.9%10.3%8.1%7.2%9.1%7.7%7.9%9.2%9.2%8.0%7.6%7.7%$16,898,298
20257.7%10.3%7.3%6.5%9.0%8.6%7.9%9.4%8.3%7.7%9.0%8.3%$16,603,670
MEDIAN %7.6%9.9%7.3%6.8%9.1%7.9%8.0%9.9%8.3%8.0%9.3%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LIVE OAK (City)

Pop 15,781 PPA 5.19 %BO 64.9% Levy $8,371,702 Levy CAGR +5.2% E-Factor 0.60%
8,240 11,320 14,399 17,479 20,559 23,639 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 9,688 9,156 13,131 15,781 16,731 17,621 18,443 19,194 19,873 20,479 21,017 21,490 -0.6% +3.7% +1.9% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% Population Trend: LIVE OAK (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LIVE OAK had a 2020 population of 15,781 across 4.8 square miles, yielding a density of 5.19 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 21,490, a gain of 5,709 (+36.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.39% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 64.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LIVE OAK is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 88.4%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): LIVE OAK levied $8,371,702 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,712,964,079. The taxable value of $2,257,594,608 reflects 16.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3708 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2974 for Maintenance & Operations (80.2%) and $0.0734 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (19.8%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $515 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 8.8% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.60% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): LIVE OAK collected $12,360,573 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $760 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 147.6% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.2% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: LIVE OAK demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LIVE OAK
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop9,6889,15613,13115,78116,73117,62118,44319,19419,87320,47921,01721,490
PPA3.193.014.325.195.505.806.076.316.546.746.917.07
%BO39.8%37.6%54.0%64.9%68.8%72.5%75.8%78.9%81.7%84.2%86.4%88.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%15,781$1,847,140,088$1,580,008,55085.5%$0.3139$0.098323.8%$0.4122$6,513,064$413$9,279,236$588142.5%
20214.7%15,876$1,913,556,289$1,622,167,59384.8%$0.3137$0.096523.5%$0.4102$6,654,456$419$11,046,448$696166.0%
20228.0%15,971$2,287,298,044$1,872,356,95881.9%$0.2831$0.127131.0%$0.4102$7,680,783$481$12,306,631$771160.2%
20234.1%16,066$2,558,090,328$2,066,621,99380.8%$0.2742$0.111628.9%$0.3858$7,972,821$496$12,106,724$754151.8%
20243.2%16,161$2,583,775,313$2,150,090,10383.2%$0.2974$0.073419.8%$0.3708$7,973,050$493$12,257,948$758153.7%
2025*2.9%16,256$2,712,964,079$2,257,594,60883.2%$0.2974$0.073419.8%$0.3708$8,371,702$515$12,360,573$760147.6%
CAGR4.2%0.6%8.8%8.0%-0.5%-1.1%-5.7%-3.7%-2.1%5.2%4.6%7.2%6.6%0.7%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.6%11.8%7.6%7.6%7.0%5.4%6.9%9.8%8.5%8.7%9.4%8.6%$9,279,236
20217.5%9.4%7.3%6.1%9.4%8.5%8.2%9.3%8.6%8.0%9.3%8.2%$11,046,448
20227.8%10.5%6.9%6.6%9.0%8.0%8.7%9.2%8.6%8.1%8.8%7.8%$12,306,631
20238.3%10.3%8.0%7.3%9.3%7.9%8.0%8.9%8.2%7.9%8.3%7.6%$12,106,724
20248.2%9.9%7.2%7.5%8.8%9.2%8.1%9.0%7.8%8.2%8.2%7.8%$12,257,948
20259.3%11.4%7.4%7.8%8.5%8.0%7.8%8.3%8.3%7.5%7.8%7.8%$12,360,573
MEDIAN %8.2%10.4%7.3%7.4%8.9%8.0%8.0%9.1%8.4%8.0%8.5%7.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LIVE OAK (County)

Pop 15,781 PPA 5.19 %BO 64.9% Levy $25,943,090 Levy CAGR +12.1% E-Factor 6.47%
8,240 11,320 14,399 17,479 20,559 23,639 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 9,688 9,156 13,131 15,781 16,731 17,621 18,443 19,194 19,873 20,479 21,017 21,490 -0.6% +3.7% +1.9% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% Population Trend: LIVE OAK (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LIVE OAK had a 2020 population of 15,781 across 4.8 square miles, yielding a density of 5.19 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 21,490, a gain of 5,709 (+36.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.39% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 64.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LIVE OAK is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 88.4%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): LIVE OAK levied $25,943,090 in property taxes on a market value base of $7,691,882,580. The taxable value of $5,278,159,719 reflects 31.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4910 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4811 for Maintenance & Operations (98.0%) and $0.0100 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (2.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,596 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 12.1% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 9.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 6.47% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: LIVE OAK demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LIVE OAK
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop9,6889,15613,13115,78116,73117,62118,44319,19419,87320,47921,01721,490
PPA3.193.014.325.195.505.806.076.316.546.746.917.07
%BO39.8%37.6%54.0%64.9%68.8%72.5%75.8%78.9%81.7%84.2%86.4%88.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%15,781$5,187,276,990~EstN/A$0.4784$0.01763.6%$0.4960$15,666,138$993
20214.7%15,876$5,204,340,183~EstN/A$0.2845$0.01715.7%$0.3016$9,592,324$604
20228.0%15,971$6,031,653,693~EstN/A$0.5501$0.01412.5%$0.5642$22,397,894$1,402
20234.1%16,066$6,612,506,224~EstN/A$0.4845$0.01152.3%$0.4960$22,427,382$1,396
20243.2%16,161$7,325,602,457$5,026,818,78068.6%$0.4811$0.01002.0%$0.4910$24,707,705$1,529
2025~2.9%16,256$7,691,882,580$5,278,159,71968.6%$0.4811$0.01002.0%$0.4910$25,943,090$1,596
CAGR4.2%0.6%9.0%0.1%-10.8%-10.6%-0.2%12.1%11.4%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

LIVE OAK COUNTY (City)

Pop 11,335 PPA 0.02 %BO 0.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
8,600 9,636 10,672 11,708 12,744 13,780 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 9,556 12,309 11,531 11,335 11,477 11,622 11,768 11,916 12,066 12,218 12,372 12,528 +2.6% -0.7% -0.2% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: LIVE OAK COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LIVE OAK COUNTY had a 2020 population of 11,335 across 1039.7 square miles, yielding a density of 0.02 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 12,528, a gain of 1,193 (+10.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.13% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LIVE OAK COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: LIVE OAK COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LIVE OAK COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop9,55612,30911,53111,33511,47711,62211,76811,91612,06612,21812,37212,528
PPA0.010.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.02
%BO0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.8%12.5%9.1%11.0%8.5%11.3%7.4%6.2%7.1%6.3%5.9%6.0%$1,859,376
20215.0%6.9%4.1%20.3%7.0%6.6%6.3%7.6%9.1%8.4%9.7%9.1%$2,222,143
20228.1%7.0%5.7%7.6%7.9%6.8%7.8%8.7%8.9%10.6%11.1%9.9%$2,695,474
20236.8%10.1%7.5%7.6%8.1%7.3%11.0%9.2%8.9%8.6%7.4%7.5%$3,822,148
20249.4%8.5%9.1%7.6%8.2%7.9%8.7%7.5%7.2%8.1%8.0%9.8%$2,986,933
20256.6%7.0%5.8%7.8%9.0%8.8%9.3%8.6%8.5%9.5%8.0%11.2%$3,357,897
MEDIAN %7.7%8.1%6.9%8.0%8.5%7.9%8.6%8.4%9.0%8.8%8.3%9.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LLANO (County)

Pop 3,325 PPA 1.10 %BO 13.7% Levy $22,827,647 Levy CAGR +10.0% E-Factor 4.72%
2,702 3,062 3,421 3,781 4,140 4,500 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 3,003 3,325 3,232 3,325 3,413 3,504 3,597 3,692 3,788 3,887 3,988 4,091 +1.0% -0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: LLANO (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LLANO had a 2020 population of 3,325 across 4.7 square miles, yielding a density of 1.10 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 4,091, a gain of 766 (+23.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.26% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 13.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LLANO has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 16.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): LLANO levied $22,827,647 in property taxes on a market value base of $14,798,380,737. The taxable value of $9,883,089,351 reflects 33.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.2501 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2322 for Maintenance & Operations (92.8%) and $0.0179 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (7.2%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $6,776 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 10.0% CAGR lagged market value growth of 15.6% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.72% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: LLANO demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LLANO
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop3,0033,3253,2323,3253,4133,5043,5973,6923,7883,8873,9884,091
PPA0.991.101.071.101.131.161.191.221.251.281.321.35
%BO12.4%13.7%13.3%13.7%14.1%14.5%14.9%15.2%15.6%16.1%16.5%16.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%3,325$7,900,333,867~EstN/A$0.2854$0.01033.5%$0.2957$14,860,331$4,469
20214.7%3,333$8,720,928,233~EstN/A$0.2737$0.02207.4%$0.2957$16,493,183$4,948
20228.0%3,342$10,518,374,543~EstN/A$0.2442$0.02208.3%$0.2662$17,628,417$5,275
20234.1%3,351$11,734,842,701~EstN/A$0.2477$0.01887.1%$0.2665$20,340,936$6,070
20243.2%3,360$14,093,695,940$9,412,466,04966.8%$0.2322$0.01797.2%$0.2501$21,740,616$6,470
2025~2.9%3,369$14,798,380,737$9,883,089,35166.8%$0.2322$0.01797.2%$0.2501$22,827,647$6,776
CAGR4.2%0.3%15.6%-4.0%11.7%15.5%-3.3%10.0%9.7%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

LLANO COUNTY (City)

Pop 21,243 PPA 0.04 %BO 0.4% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
10,467 22,342 34,217 46,091 57,966 69,841 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 11,631 17,044 19,301 21,243 24,369 27,954 32,062 36,769 42,160 48,335 55,404 63,492 +3.9% +1.3% +1.0% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% Population Trend: LLANO COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LLANO COUNTY had a 2020 population of 21,243 across 934.1 square miles, yielding a density of 0.04 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 63,492, a gain of 42,249 (+198.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.38% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LLANO COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 1.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: LLANO COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LLANO COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop11,63117,04419,30121,24324,36927,95432,06236,76942,16048,33555,40463,492
PPA0.020.030.030.040.040.050.050.060.070.080.090.11
%BO0.2%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.5%0.6%0.7%0.8%0.9%1.0%1.2%1.3%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LOCKHART (City)

Pop 14,379 PPA 1.44 %BO 18.0% Levy $8,938,035 Levy CAGR +12.0% E-Factor 5.45%
8,422 13,537 18,653 23,769 28,885 34,001 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 9,358 11,615 12,698 14,379 16,001 17,757 19,646 21,667 23,814 26,078 28,448 30,910 +2.2% +0.9% +1.3% +1.1% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.8% Population Trend: LOCKHART (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LOCKHART had a 2020 population of 14,379 across 15.6 square miles, yielding a density of 1.44 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 30,910, a gain of 16,531 (+115.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.96% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 18.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LOCKHART has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 38.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): LOCKHART levied $8,938,035 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,335,142,902. The taxable value of $1,754,964,713 reflects 24.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5093 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4067 for Maintenance & Operations (79.9%) and $0.1026 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (20.1%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $588 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 12.0% CAGR lagged market value growth of 19.9% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 5.45% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): LOCKHART collected $4,954,726 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $326 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 55.4% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 11.1% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: LOCKHART demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LOCKHART
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop9,35811,61512,69814,37916,00117,75719,64621,66723,81426,07828,44830,910
PPA0.941.171.271.441.611.781.972.172.392.622.853.10
%BO11.7%14.6%15.9%18.0%20.1%22.3%24.6%27.2%29.9%32.7%35.7%38.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%14,379$1,076,584,924$850,756,52479.0%$0.5521$0.083313.1%$0.6354$5,405,707$376$3,011,163$20955.7%
20214.7%14,541$1,192,629,133$948,303,93979.5%$0.5297$0.105716.6%$0.6354$6,025,523$414$3,228,983$22253.6%
20228.0%14,703$1,751,185,514$1,246,502,58271.2%$0.4504$0.150225.0%$0.6006$7,486,495$509$3,650,792$24848.8%
20234.1%14,865$2,047,985,112$1,459,573,54971.3%$0.4136$0.121222.7%$0.5348$7,805,799$525$4,071,822$27452.2%
20243.2%15,027$2,223,945,621$1,671,394,96575.2%$0.4067$0.102620.1%$0.5093$8,512,414$566$4,587,873$30553.9%
2025*2.9%15,190$2,335,142,902$1,754,964,71375.2%$0.4067$0.102620.1%$0.5093$8,938,035$588$4,954,726$32655.4%
CAGR4.2%1.1%19.9%18.4%-1.0%-5.9%4.3%9.0%-4.3%12.0%10.8%11.1%9.9%-0.1%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%9.2%6.7%7.3%9.7%8.4%8.6%9.7%8.2%7.7%9.1%8.0%$3,011,163
20217.3%9.3%7.2%6.4%10.0%7.8%8.0%9.7%8.1%8.2%10.0%7.9%$3,228,983
20227.7%9.2%7.0%6.8%9.7%7.8%8.0%9.3%7.8%8.6%9.3%8.7%$3,650,792
20237.5%9.1%7.1%7.2%9.8%7.7%9.0%9.0%7.9%8.6%9.3%7.9%$4,071,822
20247.4%9.8%6.9%7.3%8.8%8.1%7.6%9.1%9.1%8.2%9.1%8.6%$4,587,873
20259.7%10.4%7.2%6.8%9.2%8.3%7.5%8.5%8.0%7.7%8.6%8.3%$4,954,726
MEDIAN %7.5%9.3%7.1%7.0%9.8%8.0%8.1%9.3%8.1%8.2%9.3%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LONGVIEW (City)

Pop 81,638 PPA 2.29 %BO 28.6% Levy $55,571,311 Levy CAGR +11.1% E-Factor 4.15%
63,574 71,831 80,087 88,344 96,601 104,858 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 70,638 73,344 80,455 81,638 83,283 84,949 86,633 88,336 90,057 91,796 93,553 95,326 +0.4% +0.9% +0.1% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: LONGVIEW (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LONGVIEW had a 2020 population of 81,638 across 55.7 square miles, yielding a density of 2.29 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 95,326, a gain of 13,688 (+16.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.19% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 28.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LONGVIEW has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 33.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): LONGVIEW levied $55,571,311 in property taxes on a market value base of $11,966,810,519. The taxable value of $9,889,893,515 reflects 17.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5619 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4033 for Maintenance & Operations (71.8%) and $0.1586 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (28.2%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $674 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 11.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.5% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.15% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): LONGVIEW collected $46,658,351 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $566 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 84.0% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.6% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: LONGVIEW demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LONGVIEW
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop70,63873,34480,45581,63883,28384,94986,63388,33690,05791,79693,55395,326
PPA1.982.062.262.292.342.382.432.482.532.582.622.67
%BO24.8%25.7%28.2%28.6%29.2%29.8%30.4%31.0%31.6%32.2%32.8%33.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%81,638$7,361,399,950$6,209,827,51284.4%$0.3997$0.159228.5%$0.5589$34,706,726$425$33,602,228$41296.8%
20214.7%81,802$7,650,051,112$6,450,006,28484.3%$0.4130$0.145926.1%$0.5589$36,049,085$441$38,762,680$474107.5%
20228.0%81,967$8,706,021,726$7,332,689,06084.2%$0.4024$0.176530.5%$0.5789$42,448,937$518$43,925,417$536103.5%
20234.1%82,131$11,020,350,534$9,055,049,35582.2%$0.3976$0.164329.2%$0.5619$50,880,323$620$46,571,708$56791.5%
20243.2%82,296$11,396,962,399$9,418,946,20582.6%$0.4033$0.158628.2%$0.5619$52,925,058$643$44,988,081$54785.0%
2025*2.9%82,460$11,966,810,519$9,889,893,51582.6%$0.4033$0.158628.2%$0.5619$55,571,311$674$46,658,351$56684.0%
CAGR4.2%0.2%11.5%11.0%-0.4%0.2%-0.1%-0.2%0.1%11.1%10.9%7.6%7.4%-2.8%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.2%11.2%7.2%6.4%8.9%6.5%7.7%9.9%8.9%7.9%9.7%7.6%$33,602,228
20216.7%10.1%6.5%5.8%10.2%8.1%7.8%9.9%8.3%7.9%10.5%8.2%$38,762,680
20228.0%10.2%7.1%6.4%9.7%7.6%8.0%9.9%7.7%7.9%9.7%7.7%$43,925,417
20237.9%10.3%7.3%7.6%9.9%7.3%8.0%9.7%7.6%7.9%8.8%7.7%$46,571,708
20248.0%10.1%7.1%7.4%9.7%7.8%7.9%8.9%8.1%7.6%9.2%8.1%$44,988,081
20257.8%10.9%6.9%6.5%9.5%7.7%7.9%9.0%8.2%7.6%9.3%8.6%$46,658,351
MEDIAN %7.9%10.3%7.1%6.4%9.7%7.6%7.9%9.7%8.1%7.8%9.5%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LOS FRESNOS (City)

Pop 8,114 PPA 4.31 %BO 53.9% Levy $3,703,166 Levy CAGR +12.9% E-Factor 4.19%
2,526 5,198 7,871 10,543 13,215 15,888 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 2,807 4,512 5,542 8,114 9,479 10,721 11,783 12,645 13,313 13,815 14,181 14,444 +4.9% +2.1% +3.9% +1.6% +1.2% +0.9% +0.7% +0.5% +0.4% +0.3% +0.2% Population Trend: LOS FRESNOS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LOS FRESNOS had a 2020 population of 8,114 across 2.9 square miles, yielding a density of 4.31 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 14,444, a gain of 6,330 (+78.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.72% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 53.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LOS FRESNOS is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 96.0%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): LOS FRESNOS levied $3,703,166 in property taxes on a market value base of $673,966,530. The taxable value of $540,608,357 reflects 19.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6850 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3879 for Maintenance & Operations (56.6%) and $0.2971 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (43.4%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $421 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 12.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 17.9% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.19% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): LOS FRESNOS collected $2,692,315 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $306 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 72.7% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.8% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: LOS FRESNOS demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LOS FRESNOS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop2,8074,5125,5428,1149,47910,72111,78312,64513,31313,81514,18114,444
PPA1.492.402.954.315.045.706.266.727.087.347.547.68
%BO18.6%30.0%36.8%53.9%63.0%71.2%78.3%84.0%88.4%91.8%94.2%96.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%8,114$332,402,455$303,508,59191.3%$0.5060$0.209029.2%$0.7150$2,170,086$267$1,796,379$22182.8%
20214.7%8,250$348,553,708$319,766,74491.7%$0.5220$0.193027.0%$0.7150$2,286,332$277$2,104,606$25592.1%
20228.0%8,387$399,490,457$355,261,67588.9%$0.5308$0.174224.7%$0.7050$2,504,595$299$2,180,146$26087.0%
20234.1%8,523$589,601,633$467,966,78379.4%$0.5389$0.146121.3%$0.6850$3,205,572$376$2,501,992$29478.1%
20243.2%8,660$641,872,886$514,865,10280.2%$0.3879$0.297143.4%$0.6850$3,526,825$407$2,513,625$29071.3%
2025*2.9%8,796$673,966,530$540,608,35780.2%$0.3879$0.297143.4%$0.6850$3,703,166$421$2,692,315$30672.7%
CAGR4.2%1.6%17.9%14.1%-2.6%-5.2%7.3%8.2%-0.9%12.9%11.1%8.8%7.0%-2.6%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.1%9.1%7.1%6.3%8.7%8.1%9.4%10.1%8.1%8.7%9.4%7.9%$1,796,379
20217.6%10.8%7.6%6.3%10.0%8.3%7.8%8.8%8.1%8.5%8.7%7.6%$2,104,606
20228.0%11.0%7.2%7.0%9.7%7.6%7.9%9.0%8.0%8.5%8.5%7.7%$2,180,146
20236.7%9.2%6.4%8.1%10.0%6.3%7.5%11.9%8.0%9.7%8.9%7.2%$2,501,992
20247.3%9.8%7.1%7.3%10.0%8.1%7.7%9.3%8.4%7.9%8.9%8.2%$2,513,625
20257.1%11.5%7.1%6.3%9.0%8.6%7.6%8.7%9.0%6.9%9.5%8.7%$2,692,315
MEDIAN %7.3%10.4%7.2%6.7%9.9%8.1%7.8%9.2%8.1%8.6%8.9%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LUBBOCK (City)

Pop 257,141 PPA 3.28 %BO 41.0% Levy $141,549,185 Levy CAGR +6.0% E-Factor 1.48%
168,228 221,200 274,172 327,145 380,117 433,089 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 186,920 199,564 229,573 257,141 274,101 291,301 308,639 326,009 343,304 360,419 377,256 393,718 +0.7% +1.4% +1.1% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% Population Trend: LUBBOCK (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LUBBOCK had a 2020 population of 257,141 across 122.4 square miles, yielding a density of 3.28 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 393,718, a gain of 136,577 (+53.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.53% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 41.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LUBBOCK has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 62.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): LUBBOCK levied $141,549,185 in property taxes on a market value base of $32,853,167,838. The taxable value of $30,109,160,679 reflects 8.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4701 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3575 for Maintenance & Operations (76.0%) and $0.1127 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (24.0%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $533 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.0% CAGR lagged market value growth of 9.4% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.48% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): LUBBOCK collected $110,007,144 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $414 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 77.7% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.2% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: LUBBOCK demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LUBBOCK
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop186,920199,564229,573257,141274,101291,301308,639326,009343,304360,419377,256393,718
PPA2.392.552.933.283.503.723.944.164.384.604.825.03
%BO29.8%31.8%36.6%41.0%43.7%46.5%49.2%52.0%54.8%57.5%60.2%62.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%257,141$21,817,413,570$19,692,717,02390.3%$0.4211$0.120422.2%$0.5416$106,650,438$415$77,731,933$30272.9%
20214.7%258,837$23,226,308,688$21,123,109,12890.9%$0.4030$0.120323.0%$0.5232$110,522,444$427$87,973,711$34079.6%
20228.0%260,533$26,691,036,487$23,961,962,09789.8%$0.3684$0.108322.7%$0.4768$114,241,530$438$97,807,421$37585.6%
20234.1%262,229$29,921,640,509$26,891,746,69689.9%$0.3704$0.109822.9%$0.4802$129,124,487$492$101,944,313$38979.0%
20243.2%263,925$31,288,731,274$28,675,391,12391.6%$0.3575$0.112724.0%$0.4701$134,808,748$511$106,646,261$40479.1%
2025*2.9%265,621$32,853,167,838$30,109,160,67991.6%$0.3575$0.112724.0%$0.4701$141,549,185$533$110,007,144$41477.7%
CAGR4.2%0.7%9.4%9.9%0.3%-3.2%-1.3%1.5%-2.8%6.0%5.3%8.2%7.5%1.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.9%11.1%7.4%6.9%8.7%6.9%7.8%9.8%7.9%8.3%9.6%7.8%$77,731,933
20216.8%9.8%6.3%6.3%10.5%8.3%7.7%9.9%7.9%8.5%9.9%8.2%$87,973,711
20228.0%9.7%7.0%6.8%9.9%7.7%7.8%9.4%7.9%8.5%9.3%7.9%$97,807,421
20237.9%10.1%7.2%7.2%9.3%7.5%7.8%8.9%8.0%8.7%9.4%8.1%$101,944,313
20248.2%9.7%7.0%7.5%9.0%7.9%7.9%9.1%8.3%8.0%9.3%8.1%$106,646,261
20257.2%11.3%6.9%6.5%9.3%7.8%7.7%8.6%8.3%8.2%9.6%8.6%$110,007,144
MEDIAN %7.9%10.0%7.0%6.9%9.3%7.8%7.8%9.3%8.0%8.4%9.5%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LUBBOCK (County)

Pop 257,141 PPA 3.28 %BO 41.0% Levy $124,800,820 Levy CAGR +9.9% E-Factor 4.25%
168,228 221,200 274,172 327,145 380,117 433,089 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 186,920 199,564 229,573 257,141 274,101 291,301 308,639 326,009 343,304 360,419 377,256 393,718 +0.7% +1.4% +1.1% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% Population Trend: LUBBOCK (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LUBBOCK had a 2020 population of 257,141 across 122.4 square miles, yielding a density of 3.28 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 393,718, a gain of 136,577 (+53.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.53% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 41.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LUBBOCK has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 62.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): LUBBOCK levied $124,800,820 in property taxes on a market value base of $41,817,380,497. The taxable value of $38,062,406,648 reflects 9.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3347 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3033 for Maintenance & Operations (90.6%) and $0.0314 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (9.4%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $470 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 9.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.4% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.25% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: LUBBOCK demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LUBBOCK
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop186,920199,564229,573257,141274,101291,301308,639326,009343,304360,419377,256393,718
PPA2.392.552.933.283.503.723.944.164.384.604.825.03
%BO29.8%31.8%36.6%41.0%43.7%46.5%49.2%52.0%54.8%57.5%60.2%62.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%257,141$26,776,317,523~EstN/A$0.3013$0.038611.4%$0.3400$81,459,657$317
20214.7%258,837$28,566,611,528~EstN/A$0.3297$0.03038.4%$0.3600$92,815,899$359
20228.0%260,533$32,907,440,828~EstN/A$0.3144$0.03339.6%$0.3477$101,858,367$391
20234.1%262,229$37,030,857,222~EstN/A$0.3183$0.02928.4%$0.3475$114,690,564$437
20243.2%263,925$39,826,076,664$36,249,911,09391.0%$0.3033$0.03149.4%$0.3347$118,857,924$450
2025~2.9%265,621$41,817,380,497$38,062,406,64891.0%$0.3033$0.03149.4%$0.3347$124,800,820$470
CAGR4.2%0.7%10.4%0.1%-4.1%-3.8%-0.3%9.9%9.2%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

LUBBOCK COUNTY (City)

Pop 310,639 PPA 0.54 %BO 6.8% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
200,372 309,964 419,557 529,149 638,742 748,334 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 222,636 242,628 278,831 310,639 343,818 380,227 420,113 463,723 511,308 563,112 619,370 680,304 +0.9% +1.4% +1.1% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +0.9% Population Trend: LUBBOCK COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LUBBOCK COUNTY had a 2020 population of 310,639 across 895.6 square miles, yielding a density of 0.54 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 680,304, a gain of 369,665 (+119.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.98% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 6.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LUBBOCK COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 14.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: LUBBOCK COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LUBBOCK COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop222,636242,628278,831310,639343,818380,227420,113463,723511,308563,112619,370680,304
PPA0.390.420.490.540.600.660.730.810.890.981.081.19
%BO4.9%5.3%6.1%6.8%7.5%8.3%9.2%10.1%11.2%12.3%13.5%14.8%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
202019.4%0.0%0.0%17.1%0.0%17.6%0.0%24.9%0.0%21.1%0.0%0.0%$11,073,338
20210.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%27.0%0.0%23.0%27.3%22.6%$11,578,765
202219.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%19.1%19.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%22.7%19.5%$14,317,480
20230.0%23.8%0.0%17.5%0.0%18.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%21.1%0.0%19.6%$15,300,643
202426.0%0.0%22.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%27.1%24.9%$12,355,894
202532.2%0.0%0.0%29.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%38.5%$8,769,640
MEDIAN %24.5%0.0%0.0%10.7%0.0%11.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%13.2%14.2%26.5%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LUCAS (City)

Pop 7,612 PPA 0.94 %BO 11.8% Levy $6,270,458 Levy CAGR +7.4% E-Factor 0.00%
2,115 12,417 22,719 33,020 43,322 53,623 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 2,351 2,890 5,166 7,612 10,647 14,586 19,465 25,164 31,382 37,678 43,588 48,749 +2.1% +6.0% +4.0% +3.4% +3.2% +2.9% +2.6% +2.2% +1.8% +1.5% +1.1% Population Trend: LUCAS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LUCAS had a 2020 population of 7,612 across 12.6 square miles, yielding a density of 0.94 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 48,749, a gain of 41,137 (+540.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.35% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 11.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LUCAS has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 75.6%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): LUCAS levied $6,270,458 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,668,602,413. The taxable value of $2,623,063,248 reflects 28.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.2391 per $100 valuation consists of $0.1848 for Maintenance & Operations (77.3%) and $0.0542 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (22.7%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $687 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.4% CAGR lagged market value growth of 16.6% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): LUCAS collected $2,191,764 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $240 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 35.0% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.6% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: LUCAS demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LUCAS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop2,3512,8905,1667,61210,64714,58619,46525,16431,38237,67843,58848,749
PPA0.290.360.640.941.321.812.413.123.894.675.416.05
%BO3.6%4.5%8.0%11.8%16.5%22.6%30.2%39.0%48.6%58.4%67.6%75.6%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%7,612$1,890,469,152$1,498,761,06879.3%$0.1908$0.108936.3%$0.2998$4,493,211$590$1,388,409$18230.9%
20214.7%7,915$2,048,249,659$1,627,753,39279.5%$0.1857$0.102735.6%$0.2884$4,694,392$593$1,614,910$20434.4%
20228.0%8,219$2,712,476,290$1,929,666,78671.1%$0.1958$0.072226.9%$0.2680$5,171,816$629$1,839,776$22435.6%
20234.1%8,522$3,207,592,843$2,239,083,98069.8%$0.1854$0.071427.8%$0.2568$5,749,027$675$1,940,540$22833.8%
20243.2%8,826$3,493,907,060$2,498,155,47471.5%$0.1848$0.054222.7%$0.2391$5,971,865$677$1,999,800$22733.5%
2025*2.9%9,129$3,668,602,413$2,623,063,24871.5%$0.1848$0.054222.7%$0.2391$6,270,458$687$2,191,764$24035.0%
CAGR4.2%3.7%16.6%13.6%-2.0%-0.6%-13.0%-9.0%-4.4%7.4%3.5%9.6%5.6%2.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.7%10.5%7.1%7.2%8.1%8.2%8.9%9.0%8.3%7.3%9.0%8.6%$1,388,409
20217.9%9.9%7.3%6.1%9.2%7.3%8.0%8.6%7.9%8.3%10.7%8.9%$1,614,910
20228.6%9.5%7.1%7.2%7.9%8.8%8.1%8.6%8.9%8.3%8.7%8.4%$1,839,776
20238.3%9.7%7.5%7.1%8.4%7.9%8.5%8.4%8.5%8.7%8.4%8.7%$1,940,540
20246.5%10.4%7.7%7.4%8.5%8.0%8.2%8.5%8.9%8.8%8.7%8.5%$1,999,800
20257.6%11.1%7.1%6.8%7.9%8.8%8.0%7.9%8.3%8.2%10.1%8.1%$2,191,764
MEDIAN %7.8%10.2%7.2%7.2%8.3%8.1%8.2%8.6%8.5%8.4%8.9%8.6%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LUFKIN (City)

Pop 34,143 PPA 1.60 %BO 20.0% Levy $16,153,418 Levy CAGR +6.8% E-Factor 1.38%
27,613 29,805 31,997 34,189 36,381 38,573 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 30,682 32,709 35,067 34,143 34,199 34,256 34,314 34,371 34,428 34,485 34,543 34,601 +0.6% +0.7% -0.3% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: LUFKIN (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LUFKIN had a 2020 population of 34,143 across 33.4 square miles, yielding a density of 1.60 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 34,601, a gain of 458 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 20.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LUFKIN has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 20.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): LUFKIN levied $16,153,418 in property taxes on a market value base of $4,049,954,290. The taxable value of $3,178,461,716 reflects 21.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5082 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4732 for Maintenance & Operations (93.1%) and $0.0350 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (6.9%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $473 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.9% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.38% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): LUFKIN collected $19,910,583 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $583 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 123.3% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.0% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: LUFKIN demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LUFKIN
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop30,68232,70935,06734,14334,19934,25634,31434,37134,42834,48534,54334,601
PPA1.441.531.641.601.601.601.611.611.611.611.621.62
%BO18.0%19.1%20.5%20.0%20.0%20.0%20.1%20.1%20.1%20.2%20.2%20.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%34,143$2,457,300,047$2,228,546,60590.7%$0.3911$0.140026.4%$0.5311$11,836,591$347$15,324,681$449129.5%
20214.7%34,148$2,738,695,777$2,361,326,27586.2%$0.3911$0.140026.4%$0.5311$12,541,830$367$17,578,977$515140.2%
20228.0%34,154$3,171,588,245$2,623,046,75682.7%$0.4247$0.100019.1%$0.5247$13,762,366$403$18,958,703$555137.8%
20234.1%34,159$3,809,573,012$2,971,705,54178.0%$0.4382$0.04008.4%$0.4782$14,211,142$416$19,646,267$575138.2%
20243.2%34,165$3,857,099,324$3,027,106,39678.5%$0.4732$0.03506.9%$0.5082$15,384,208$450$19,362,460$567125.9%
2025*2.9%34,171$4,049,954,290$3,178,461,71678.5%$0.4732$0.03506.9%$0.5082$16,153,418$473$19,910,583$583123.3%
CAGR4.2%0.0%11.9%8.0%-2.9%3.9%-24.2%-23.5%-0.9%6.8%6.8%6.0%6.0%-1.0%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.8%11.0%5.9%6.9%8.7%7.7%8.0%10.1%8.1%7.9%9.8%7.9%$15,324,681
20217.1%10.0%6.5%6.2%11.2%8.2%8.2%9.9%7.8%8.0%9.2%7.6%$17,578,977
20228.4%10.3%6.8%6.7%9.7%7.7%7.8%9.5%8.1%8.1%9.1%7.8%$18,958,703
20238.3%10.3%7.4%7.7%9.3%7.6%8.4%9.2%7.8%8.1%8.4%7.6%$19,646,267
20248.1%11.0%6.3%7.7%9.4%7.9%7.8%8.8%8.4%7.5%8.7%8.4%$19,362,460
20257.6%11.5%7.1%6.6%9.2%8.1%7.7%9.0%8.3%7.8%8.5%8.5%$19,910,583
MEDIAN %8.0%10.7%6.7%6.9%9.4%7.9%7.9%9.4%8.2%8.0%8.9%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

LUMBERTON (City)

Pop 13,554 PPA 1.59 %BO 19.9% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
6,013 12,205 18,396 24,588 30,779 36,971 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 6,682 8,731 11,943 13,554 15,502 17,640 19,961 22,453 25,095 27,859 30,710 33,610 +2.7% +3.2% +1.3% +1.4% +1.3% +1.2% +1.2% +1.1% +1.1% +1.0% +0.9% Population Trend: LUMBERTON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: LUMBERTON had a 2020 population of 13,554 across 13.3 square miles, yielding a density of 1.59 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 33,610, a gain of 20,056 (+148.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.14% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 19.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), LUMBERTON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 49.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: LUMBERTON demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
LUMBERTON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop6,6828,73111,94313,55415,50217,64019,96122,45325,09527,85930,71033,610
PPA0.791.031.401.591.822.072.352.642.953.283.613.95
%BO9.8%12.8%17.6%19.9%22.8%25.9%29.3%33.0%36.9%40.9%45.1%49.4%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.9%10.3%7.0%7.0%8.2%7.9%8.8%9.6%8.5%7.6%9.3%8.0%$4,333,723
20217.7%10.6%6.6%6.7%9.7%8.4%8.2%9.2%8.6%7.8%8.8%7.7%$4,678,931
20228.4%10.2%7.5%7.0%9.0%7.9%8.2%9.2%7.9%8.0%8.8%8.0%$4,908,659
20238.0%9.9%7.2%7.5%8.9%7.7%8.5%9.3%9.0%7.9%8.6%7.4%$5,135,516
20248.0%9.7%6.8%7.4%8.8%7.8%8.2%9.2%8.5%8.3%8.7%8.6%$5,291,152
20257.5%11.4%7.5%7.1%8.6%8.2%8.2%8.4%8.4%8.2%8.0%8.4%$5,602,017
MEDIAN %8.0%10.3%7.1%7.1%8.9%8.0%8.2%9.2%8.5%8.0%8.8%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MADISON COUNTY (City)

Pop 13,455 PPA 0.05 %BO 0.6% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
9,837 11,300 12,762 14,225 15,687 17,150 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 10,931 12,940 13,664 13,455 13,705 13,960 14,219 14,484 14,753 15,027 15,307 15,591 +1.7% +0.5% -0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: MADISON COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MADISON COUNTY had a 2020 population of 13,455 across 466.1 square miles, yielding a density of 0.05 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 15,591, a gain of 2,136 (+15.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.18% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MADISON COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.7%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: MADISON COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MADISON COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop10,93112,94013,66413,45513,70513,96014,21914,48414,75315,02715,30715,591
PPA0.040.040.050.050.050.050.050.050.050.050.050.05
%BO0.5%0.5%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.7%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20200.0%0.0%45.4%0.0%54.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%$125,797
20210.0%0.0%19.3%0.0%0.0%23.8%0.0%32.3%0.0%24.6%0.0%0.0%$275,742
202243.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%56.8%0.0%$175,210
20230.0%0.0%53.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%47.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%$145,749
20240.0%57.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%42.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%$204,696
20250.0%0.0%0.0%45.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%54.7%0.0%0.0%$178,016
MEDIAN %0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MANOR (City)

Pop 13,652 PPA 2.90 %BO 36.3% Levy $21,780,663 Levy CAGR +24.8% E-Factor 9.67%
942 9,031 17,120 25,210 33,299 41,388 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 1,047 1,204 5,037 13,652 22,534 30,042 34,382 36,352 37,145 37,449 37,564 37,626 +1.4% +15.4% +10.5% +5.1% +2.9% +1.4% +0.6% +0.2% +0.1% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: MANOR (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MANOR had a 2020 population of 13,652 across 7.3 square miles, yielding a density of 2.90 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 37,626, a gain of 23,974 (+175.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.28% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 36.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MANOR has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 100.0%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): MANOR levied $21,780,663 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,015,295,854. The taxable value of $2,551,325,251 reflects 15.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.8537 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5178 for Maintenance & Operations (60.7%) and $0.3359 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (39.3%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,204 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 24.8% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 23.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 9.67% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): MANOR collected $3,634,331 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $201 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 16.7% of property tax levy, offering modest supplemental revenue. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 16.5% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: MANOR demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MANOR
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop1,0471,2045,03713,65222,53430,04234,38236,35237,14537,44937,56437,626
PPA0.220.261.072.904.796.397.317.737.907.967.998.00
%BO2.8%3.2%13.4%36.3%59.9%79.8%91.4%96.6%98.7%99.5%99.8%100.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%13,652$1,226,152,218$1,048,914,45485.5%$0.6009$0.215226.4%$0.8161$8,560,191$627$1,630,746$11919.1%
20214.7%14,540$1,422,224,860$1,223,830,85686.1%$0.6034$0.179322.9%$0.7827$9,578,924$659$2,096,605$14421.9%
20228.0%15,428$2,353,168,614$1,799,594,60976.5%$0.5090$0.238031.9%$0.7470$13,442,972$871$2,496,863$16218.6%
20234.1%16,316$2,698,260,872$2,189,534,81681.1%$0.4802$0.198729.3%$0.6789$14,864,752$911$2,868,531$17619.3%
20243.2%17,204$2,871,710,337$2,429,833,57284.6%$0.5178$0.335939.3%$0.8537$20,743,489$1,206$3,001,164$17414.5%
2025*2.9%18,093$3,015,295,854$2,551,325,25184.6%$0.5178$0.335939.3%$0.8537$21,780,663$1,204$3,634,331$20116.7%
CAGR4.2%5.8%23.7%23.4%-0.2%-2.9%9.3%8.3%0.9%24.8%17.8%16.5%9.9%-2.6%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.6%11.1%6.1%6.3%9.5%7.0%7.5%10.9%7.9%7.7%11.1%8.3%$1,630,746
20216.5%9.8%6.0%6.1%10.2%8.2%7.7%10.5%7.4%8.1%11.0%8.6%$2,096,605
20226.5%9.7%6.2%5.7%9.5%7.2%9.0%9.8%8.6%9.3%9.9%8.6%$2,496,863
20237.1%9.7%7.1%6.9%9.0%6.8%7.6%10.4%9.1%8.0%10.2%8.2%$2,868,531
20247.1%10.1%6.2%6.5%9.6%7.4%7.5%9.3%7.8%8.3%10.5%9.4%$3,001,164
20258.1%9.0%7.3%5.8%8.7%6.8%7.6%10.0%8.9%8.4%10.3%9.1%$3,634,331
MEDIAN %6.9%9.9%6.3%6.3%9.6%7.2%7.7%10.3%8.3%8.3%10.5%8.7%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MANSFIELD (City)

Pop 72,602 PPA 3.12 %BO 39.0% Levy $83,266,790 Levy CAGR +9.2% E-Factor 2.43%
14,022 48,952 83,882 118,813 153,743 188,674 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 15,580 28,031 56,368 72,602 89,066 105,818 121,799 136,132 148,287 158,115 165,758 171,522 +6.0% +7.2% +2.6% +2.1% +1.7% +1.4% +1.1% +0.9% +0.6% +0.5% +0.3% Population Trend: MANSFIELD (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MANSFIELD had a 2020 population of 72,602 across 36.4 square miles, yielding a density of 3.12 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 171,522, a gain of 98,920 (+136.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.08% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 39.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MANSFIELD has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 92.1%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): MANSFIELD levied $83,266,790 in property taxes on a market value base of $17,296,619,864. The taxable value of $12,909,580,023 reflects 25.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6450 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4219 for Maintenance & Operations (65.4%) and $0.2231 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (34.6%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,030 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 9.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 12.8% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.43% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): MANSFIELD collected $43,833,846 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $542 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 52.6% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 10.1% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: MANSFIELD demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MANSFIELD
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop15,58028,03156,36872,60289,066105,818121,799136,132148,287158,115165,758171,522
PPA0.671.202.423.123.834.545.235.856.376.797.127.37
%BO8.4%15.0%30.3%39.0%47.8%56.8%65.4%73.1%79.6%84.9%89.0%92.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%72,602$10,184,131,386$8,091,279,36879.4%$0.4613$0.228733.2%$0.6900$55,829,827$769$27,711,169$38249.6%
20214.7%74,248$10,963,636,348$8,622,330,37478.6%$0.4650$0.225032.6%$0.6900$59,494,079$801$32,783,579$44255.1%
20228.0%75,894$13,134,037,064$9,992,834,08576.1%$0.4644$0.215631.7%$0.6800$67,951,272$895$37,286,137$49154.9%
20234.1%77,541$16,162,517,655$11,793,645,32673.0%$0.4362$0.223133.8%$0.6593$77,754,678$1,003$38,829,952$50149.9%
20243.2%79,187$16,472,971,299$12,294,838,11774.6%$0.4219$0.223134.6%$0.6450$79,301,705$1,001$40,688,140$51451.3%
2025*2.9%80,834$17,296,619,864$12,909,580,02374.6%$0.4219$0.223134.6%$0.6450$83,266,790$1,030$43,833,846$54252.6%
CAGR4.2%2.2%12.8%11.0%-1.2%-1.8%-0.5%0.9%-1.3%9.2%6.8%10.1%7.7%1.2%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%11.1%7.1%6.6%8.4%6.8%7.9%10.3%7.9%7.9%10.2%8.2%$27,711,169
20217.1%9.7%6.8%5.9%10.0%8.0%8.1%9.8%8.4%8.0%10.0%8.2%$32,783,579
20227.7%9.9%6.9%6.1%9.2%7.5%8.1%10.1%8.1%8.0%9.3%9.3%$37,286,137
20237.9%10.7%7.4%7.1%9.2%7.2%8.1%9.3%8.0%8.0%9.1%7.9%$38,829,952
20247.8%9.2%7.4%6.9%9.2%7.4%7.9%10.0%8.6%8.2%9.2%8.2%$40,688,140
20257.8%11.3%6.9%6.3%9.4%7.7%8.0%9.4%8.3%7.7%9.1%8.2%$43,833,846
MEDIAN %7.7%10.3%7.0%6.5%9.2%7.4%8.0%9.9%8.2%8.0%9.3%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MANVEL (City)

Pop 9,992 PPA 0.66 %BO 8.3% Levy $12,615,289 Levy CAGR +19.6% E-Factor 5.38%
2,741 25,669 48,598 71,527 94,455 117,384 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 3,139 3,046 5,179 9,992 16,343 25,810 38,759 54,522 71,177 86,309 98,269 106,713 -0.3% +5.5% +6.8% +5.0% +4.7% +4.1% +3.5% +2.7% +1.9% +1.3% +0.8% Population Trend: MANVEL (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MANVEL had a 2020 population of 9,992 across 23.5 square miles, yielding a density of 0.66 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 106,713, a gain of 96,721 (+968.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.00% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 8.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MANVEL has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 88.7%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): MANVEL levied $12,615,289 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,325,072,417. The taxable value of $2,252,730,284 reflects 32.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5600 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3170 for Maintenance & Operations (56.6%) and $0.2430 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (43.4%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $958 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 19.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 24.6% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 5.38% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): MANVEL collected $5,505,277 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $418 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 43.6% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 12.8% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: MANVEL demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MANVEL
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop3,1393,0465,1799,99216,34325,81038,75954,52271,17786,30998,269106,713
PPA0.210.200.340.661.091.722.583.624.735.746.537.09
%BO2.6%2.5%4.3%8.3%13.6%21.4%32.2%45.3%59.1%71.7%81.6%88.7%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%9,992$1,315,627,351$961,677,43273.1%$0.4005$0.209534.3%$0.6100$5,866,232$587$2,876,403$28849.0%
20214.7%10,627$1,537,002,583$1,134,709,21973.8%$0.4003$0.169729.8%$0.5700$6,467,843$609$3,444,036$32453.2%
20228.0%11,262$2,013,923,825$1,482,301,95173.6%$0.3632$0.206836.3%$0.5700$8,449,121$750$3,266,352$29038.7%
20234.1%11,897$2,905,892,949$2,039,007,35270.2%$0.3524$0.207637.1%$0.5600$11,418,441$960$3,777,151$31733.1%
20243.2%12,532$3,166,735,635$2,145,457,41367.7%$0.3170$0.243043.4%$0.5600$12,014,561$959$4,654,706$37138.7%
2025*2.9%13,167$3,325,072,417$2,252,730,28467.7%$0.3170$0.243043.4%$0.5600$12,615,289$958$5,505,277$41843.6%
CAGR4.2%5.7%24.6%22.2%-1.5%-4.6%3.0%4.8%-1.7%19.6%13.0%12.8%6.6%-2.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.7%8.5%6.7%6.4%8.4%8.1%7.9%9.8%8.7%8.1%11.0%9.6%$2,876,403
20217.4%8.8%7.1%6.6%10.5%8.3%8.2%8.6%7.4%7.9%9.6%9.5%$3,444,036
20228.0%9.7%7.4%7.1%9.1%8.4%8.4%9.4%7.9%8.1%8.2%8.2%$3,266,352
20236.8%9.7%6.6%6.9%8.7%7.0%9.5%9.0%8.4%9.5%8.9%8.9%$3,777,151
20248.6%8.7%7.2%7.5%8.4%8.0%8.6%8.8%8.4%8.2%8.4%9.2%$4,654,706
20257.5%10.4%7.0%6.9%8.8%7.9%8.2%8.4%8.6%8.7%9.0%8.6%$5,505,277
MEDIAN %7.5%9.3%7.1%7.0%8.8%8.1%8.4%9.0%8.5%8.2%9.0%9.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MARBLE FALLS (City)

Pop 7,037 PPA 0.95 %BO 11.9% Levy $9,945,236 Levy CAGR +33.0% E-Factor 14.96%
3,615 7,218 10,821 14,425 18,028 21,631 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 4,017 4,959 6,077 7,037 8,111 9,321 10,674 12,176 13,830 15,634 17,582 19,665 +2.1% +2.1% +1.5% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% +1.3% +1.3% +1.2% +1.2% +1.1% Population Trend: MARBLE FALLS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MARBLE FALLS had a 2020 population of 7,037 across 11.6 square miles, yielding a density of 0.95 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 19,665, a gain of 12,628 (+179.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.29% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 11.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MARBLE FALLS has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 33.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): MARBLE FALLS levied $9,945,236 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,447,493,593. The taxable value of $1,858,922,646 reflects 24.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5350 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2351 for Maintenance & Operations (43.9%) and $0.2999 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (56.1%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,313 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 33.0% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 14.1% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 14.96% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): MARBLE FALLS collected $13,966,314 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $1,844 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 140.4% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.9% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: MARBLE FALLS demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MARBLE FALLS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop4,0174,9596,0777,0378,1119,32110,67412,17613,83015,63417,58219,665
PPA0.540.670.820.951.101.261.441.641.872.112.372.66
%BO6.8%8.4%10.3%11.9%13.7%15.7%18.0%20.6%23.3%26.4%29.7%33.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%7,037$1,375,652,837$1,036,401,61175.3%$0.2565$0.035312.1%$0.2918$3,024,738$430$10,030,099$1,425331.6%
20214.7%7,144$1,462,129,319$1,102,142,61175.4%$0.2477$0.351358.6%$0.5990$6,601,834$924$12,030,050$1,684182.2%
20228.0%7,251$1,831,479,276$1,370,434,34674.8%$0.2100$0.347762.3%$0.5577$7,642,912$1,054$13,918,618$1,920182.1%
20234.1%7,359$2,202,165,147$1,648,905,12374.9%$0.2009$0.339162.8%$0.5400$8,904,088$1,210$14,284,597$1,941160.4%
20243.2%7,466$2,330,946,279$1,770,402,52076.0%$0.2351$0.299956.1%$0.5350$9,471,653$1,269$14,613,450$1,957154.3%
2025*2.9%7,574$2,447,493,593$1,858,922,64676.0%$0.2351$0.299956.1%$0.5350$9,945,236$1,313$13,966,314$1,844140.4%
CAGR4.2%1.5%14.1%14.3%0.2%-1.7%53.4%35.9%12.9%33.0%31.1%9.9%8.3%-15.8%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%9.5%6.8%6.8%8.7%7.7%8.7%10.1%8.7%8.0%9.3%8.3%$10,030,099
20217.0%8.6%6.5%5.8%10.1%8.8%8.6%9.9%8.6%8.3%9.8%8.1%$12,030,050
20227.6%9.2%7.0%6.7%9.4%8.3%8.2%9.8%8.5%8.2%8.8%8.1%$13,918,618
20237.8%9.5%7.2%6.9%9.9%8.0%8.4%9.3%8.1%8.3%8.7%7.8%$14,284,597
20247.7%9.0%7.5%7.1%9.1%8.0%8.0%9.0%8.7%7.2%10.9%7.9%$14,613,450
20257.8%11.4%7.2%6.2%9.2%8.0%8.3%9.4%8.5%7.6%8.4%8.1%$13,966,314
MEDIAN %7.6%9.4%7.1%6.8%9.3%8.0%8.4%9.6%8.6%8.1%9.1%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MARION (County)

Pop 1,034 PPA 2.07 %BO 25.9% Levy $5,546,243 Levy CAGR +1.9% E-Factor 0.00%
857 927 998 1,068 1,138 1,208 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 953 1,099 1,066 1,034 1,035 1,037 1,039 1,040 1,042 1,044 1,046 1,047 +1.4% -0.3% -0.3% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: MARION (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MARION had a 2020 population of 1,034 across 0.8 square miles, yielding a density of 2.07 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 1,047, a gain of 13 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 25.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MARION has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 26.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): MARION levied $5,546,243 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,943,463,463. The taxable value of $1,026,215,213 reflects 47.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5359 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4544 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $5,364 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 1.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 8.1% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Strategic Outlook: MARION demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MARION
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop9531,0991,0661,0341,0351,0371,0391,0401,0421,0441,0461,047
PPA1.912.202.142.072.072.082.082.092.092.092.102.10
%BO23.9%27.5%26.7%25.9%25.9%26.0%26.0%26.1%26.1%26.2%26.2%26.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%1,034$1,353,984,425~EstN/A$0.6449N/AN/A$0.6449$4,898,131$4,737
20214.7%1,034$1,348,543,413~EstN/A$0.6069N/AN/A$0.6069$4,587,133$4,436
20228.0%1,034$1,494,136,480~EstN/A$0.5444N/AN/A$0.5444$4,507,758$4,360
20234.1%1,034$1,749,771,980~EstN/A$0.5223N/AN/A$0.5223$4,872,132$4,712
20243.2%1,034$1,850,917,584$977,347,82252.8%$0.4544N/AN/A$0.5359$5,282,136$5,108
2025~2.9%1,034$1,943,463,463$1,026,215,21352.8%$0.4544N/AN/A$0.5359$5,546,243$5,364
CAGR4.2%8.1%-6.8%-3.6%1.9%1.9%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

MARION COUNTY (City)

Pop 9,725 PPA 0.04 %BO 0.5% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
8,752 9,409 10,065 10,722 11,378 12,035 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 9,984 10,941 10,546 9,725 9,741 9,757 9,773 9,790 9,806 9,822 9,839 9,855 +0.9% -0.4% -0.8% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: MARION COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MARION COUNTY had a 2020 population of 9,725 across 380.9 square miles, yielding a density of 0.04 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 9,855, a gain of 130 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MARION COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: MARION COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MARION COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop9,98410,94110,5469,7259,7419,7579,7739,7909,8069,8229,8399,855
PPA0.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.04
%BO0.5%0.6%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.0%12.0%7.7%7.0%9.7%6.8%7.2%9.1%7.6%7.3%9.7%9.0%$457,995
20219.4%12.1%0.0%0.0%10.4%8.8%9.0%12.5%9.6%8.8%10.5%8.8%$416,375
20228.1%10.1%6.7%6.9%9.6%8.0%8.5%9.9%7.8%7.7%8.3%8.4%$480,718
20238.2%9.7%6.9%6.2%9.6%7.3%8.0%9.4%7.9%8.5%8.1%10.2%$556,486
202410.2%9.1%7.7%7.9%8.7%8.5%6.7%8.9%9.2%7.5%8.2%7.5%$566,054
20259.7%13.3%8.8%7.8%10.5%9.8%8.2%9.2%8.9%0.0%4.1%9.6%$442,393
MEDIAN %8.6%10.8%7.1%6.8%9.4%8.0%7.9%9.0%8.2%7.4%8.0%8.7%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MARSHALL (City)

Pop 23,392 PPA 1.24 %BO 15.4% Levy $8,752,069 Levy CAGR +9.8% E-Factor 0.00%
281 32,216 64,150 96,085 128,019 159,954 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 313 23,935 23,523 23,392 37,846 57,319 79,882 101,831 119,796 132,511 140,605 145,413 +54.3% -0.2% -0.1% +4.9% +4.2% +3.4% +2.5% +1.6% +1.0% +0.6% +0.3% Population Trend: MARSHALL (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MARSHALL had a 2020 population of 23,392 across 29.6 square miles, yielding a density of 1.24 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 145,413, a gain of 122,021 (+521.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.31% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 15.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MARSHALL has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 96.0%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): MARSHALL levied $8,752,069 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,243,968,677. The taxable value of $1,511,377,427 reflects 32.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5791 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4905 for Maintenance & Operations (84.7%) and $0.0886 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (15.3%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $286 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 9.8% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 8.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts.
Strategic Outlook: MARSHALL demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MARSHALL
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop31323,93523,52323,39237,84657,31979,882101,831119,796132,511140,605145,413
PPA0.021.261.241.242.003.034.225.386.337.007.427.68
%BO0.2%15.8%15.5%15.4%25.0%37.8%52.7%67.2%79.1%87.5%92.8%96.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%23,392$1,532,646,902$1,059,497,37169.1%$0.4617$0.080514.8%$0.5422$5,744,171$246N/AN/AN/A
20214.7%24,837$1,555,271,713$1,083,667,70069.7%$0.4741$0.093116.4%$0.5672$6,146,130$247N/AN/AN/A
20228.0%26,282$1,856,448,117$1,247,179,33467.2%$0.4764$0.088815.7%$0.5652$7,049,070$268N/AN/AN/A
20234.1%27,728$2,084,574,075$1,390,369,40666.7%$0.5652N/AN/A$0.5652$7,858,382$283N/AN/AN/A
20243.2%29,173$2,137,113,026$1,439,407,07367.4%$0.4905$0.088615.3%$0.5791$8,335,304$286N/AN/AN/A
2025~2.9%30,619$2,243,968,677$1,511,377,42767.4%$0.4905$0.088615.3%$0.5791$8,752,069$286N/AN/AN/A
CAGR4.2%5.5%8.7%8.0%-0.5%1.2%1.9%0.6%1.3%9.8%3.9%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MASON (County)

Pop 2,121 PPA 0.91 %BO 11.3% Levy $9,574,339 Levy CAGR +32.7% E-Factor 27.66%
1,839 1,961 2,083 2,205 2,327 2,449 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 2,044 2,134 2,114 2,121 2,134 2,147 2,160 2,173 2,186 2,200 2,213 2,227 +0.4% -0.1% +0.0% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: MASON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MASON had a 2020 population of 2,121 across 3.6 square miles, yielding a density of 0.91 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 2,227, a gain of 106 (+5.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.06% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 11.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MASON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 11.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): MASON levied $9,574,339 in property taxes on a market value base of $4,395,784,666. The taxable value of $770,305,873 reflects 82.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $1.2854 per $100 valuation consists of $0.6427 for Maintenance & Operations (50.0%) and $0.6427 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (50.0%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $4,501 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 32.7% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 11.9% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 27.66% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: MASON demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MASON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop2,0442,1342,1142,1212,1342,1472,1602,1732,1862,2002,2132,227
PPA0.880.910.900.910.910.920.920.930.940.940.950.95
%BO10.9%11.4%11.3%11.3%11.4%11.5%11.6%11.6%11.7%11.8%11.8%11.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%2,121$2,672,054,104~EstN/A$0.5902N/AN/A$0.5902$2,938,639$1,385
20214.7%2,122$2,816,955,325~EstN/A$0.6102N/AN/A$0.6102$3,319,040$1,564
20228.0%2,123$3,043,957,714~EstN/A$0.6102N/AN/A$0.6102$3,805,481$1,793
20234.1%2,124$4,096,843,200~EstN/A$0.6007N/AN/A$0.6007$4,415,689$2,079
20243.2%2,126$4,186,461,587$733,624,64117.5%$0.6427$0.642750.0%$1.2854$9,118,418$4,289
2025~2.9%2,127$4,395,784,666$770,305,87317.5%$0.6427$0.642750.0%$1.2854$9,574,339$4,501
CAGR4.2%0.1%11.9%1.7%16.8%32.7%32.6%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

MATAGORDA COUNTY (City)

Pop 36,255 PPA 0.05 %BO 0.6% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
32,629 34,454 36,278 38,103 39,928 41,752 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 36,928 37,957 36,702 36,255 36,315 36,375 36,436 36,497 36,558 36,619 36,680 36,741 +0.3% -0.3% -0.1% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: MATAGORDA COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MATAGORDA COUNTY had a 2020 population of 36,255 across 1092.9 square miles, yielding a density of 0.05 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 36,741, a gain of 486 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MATAGORDA COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.7%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: MATAGORDA COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MATAGORDA COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop36,92837,95736,70236,25536,31536,37536,43636,49736,55836,61936,68036,741
PPA0.050.050.050.050.050.050.050.050.050.050.050.05
%BO0.7%0.7%0.7%0.6%0.6%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MAVERICK COUNTY (City)

Pop 57,887 PPA 0.07 %BO 0.9% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
32,740 54,426 76,113 97,799 119,486 141,172 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 36,378 47,297 54,258 57,887 63,971 70,688 78,103 86,284 95,310 105,265 116,241 128,339 +2.7% +1.4% +0.6% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% Population Trend: MAVERICK COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MAVERICK COUNTY had a 2020 population of 57,887 across 1279.5 square miles, yielding a density of 0.07 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 128,339, a gain of 70,452 (+121.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.00% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MAVERICK COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 2.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: MAVERICK COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MAVERICK COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop36,37847,29754,25857,88763,97170,68878,10386,28495,310105,265116,241128,339
PPA0.040.060.070.070.080.090.100.110.120.130.140.16
%BO0.6%0.7%0.8%0.9%1.0%1.1%1.2%1.3%1.5%1.6%1.8%2.0%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.3%13.1%7.5%6.9%8.6%7.3%7.7%9.3%7.8%7.2%8.9%7.5%$2,756,710
20217.0%9.7%6.9%6.3%10.5%8.3%8.5%9.7%8.0%7.9%9.3%7.8%$3,075,102
20228.2%10.8%7.0%7.0%9.2%7.8%7.8%9.2%8.1%8.2%8.9%7.7%$3,570,925
20238.2%10.3%7.0%7.0%8.9%7.5%8.2%9.2%8.3%8.7%8.8%8.0%$4,001,981
20248.0%8.9%7.1%7.1%8.2%7.6%7.2%16.1%7.8%6.7%7.8%7.6%$4,565,332
20258.2%11.2%7.4%6.4%8.8%8.2%7.8%9.8%8.3%7.7%8.1%8.1%$4,420,269
MEDIAN %8.3%10.6%7.1%7.0%8.9%7.8%7.9%9.6%8.1%7.9%8.9%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MCALLEN (City)

Pop 142,210 PPA 4.60 %BO 57.5% Levy $70,516,404 Levy CAGR +1.3% E-Factor 0.01%
77,908 104,841 131,775 158,708 185,641 212,575 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 86,565 106,414 129,877 142,210 149,464 156,541 163,395 169,989 176,293 182,282 187,938 193,250 +2.1% +2.0% +0.9% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: MCALLEN (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MCALLEN had a 2020 population of 142,210 across 48.3 square miles, yielding a density of 4.60 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 193,250, a gain of 51,040 (+35.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.38% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 57.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MCALLEN is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 78.1%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): MCALLEN levied $70,516,404 in property taxes on a market value base of $18,727,370,018. The taxable value of $15,670,695,221 reflects 16.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4500 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4122 for Maintenance & Operations (91.6%) and $0.0378 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (8.4%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $484 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 1.3% CAGR lagged market value growth of 8.1% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.01% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): MCALLEN collected $99,982,807 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $686 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 141.8% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.7% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MCALLEN
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop86,565106,414129,877142,210149,464156,541163,395169,989176,293182,282187,938193,250
PPA2.803.444.204.604.835.065.285.495.705.896.076.25
%BO35.0%43.0%52.5%57.5%60.4%63.2%66.0%68.7%71.2%73.6%75.9%78.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%142,210$13,058,894,117$10,831,512,15282.9%$0.4956$0.093615.9%$0.5892$63,819,270$449$66,766,458$469104.6%
20214.7%142,935$13,796,485,584$11,490,563,49783.3%$0.4474$0.04829.7%$0.4956$56,947,233$398$80,844,361$566142.0%
20228.0%143,660$15,541,720,425$12,798,681,57282.4%$0.4363$0.04369.1%$0.4799$61,420,873$428$90,956,118$633148.1%
20234.1%144,386$17,408,236,439$14,339,652,47182.4%$0.4180$0.03938.6%$0.4573$65,573,080$454$93,702,712$649142.9%
20243.2%145,111$17,835,590,493$14,924,471,63983.7%$0.4122$0.03788.4%$0.4500$67,158,480$463$96,850,222$667144.2%
2025*2.9%145,837$18,727,370,018$15,670,695,22183.7%$0.4122$0.03788.4%$0.4500$70,516,404$484$99,982,807$686141.8%
CAGR4.2%0.5%8.1%8.3%0.2%-3.6%-16.6%-12.0%-5.2%1.3%0.8%9.7%9.2%6.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.6%12.5%7.5%7.4%8.4%5.7%7.2%9.2%7.7%7.7%9.7%8.3%$66,766,458
20217.1%10.5%6.9%6.5%9.8%8.1%8.1%9.3%8.3%7.8%9.6%7.9%$80,844,361
20228.5%10.8%7.0%7.1%9.4%7.7%7.8%9.1%7.8%8.1%8.8%7.8%$90,956,118
20238.3%11.3%7.1%7.2%8.9%7.5%8.3%9.0%7.9%8.2%8.6%7.7%$93,702,712
20248.6%11.0%7.3%7.3%9.0%7.9%8.0%8.6%8.1%7.9%8.4%8.0%$96,850,222
20258.2%12.0%7.2%6.7%9.0%7.6%8.4%8.6%8.0%7.6%8.6%8.2%$99,982,807
MEDIAN %8.4%11.2%7.1%7.2%9.0%7.7%8.1%9.0%7.9%7.9%8.7%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MCCULLOCH COUNTY (City)

Pop 7,630 PPA 0.01 %BO 0.1% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
6,867 7,424 7,982 8,540 9,098 9,655 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 8,778 8,205 8,283 7,630 7,642 7,655 7,668 7,681 7,693 7,706 7,719 7,732 -0.7% +0.1% -0.8% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: MCCULLOCH COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MCCULLOCH COUNTY had a 2020 population of 7,630 across 1065.6 square miles, yielding a density of 0.01 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 7,732, a gain of 102 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MCCULLOCH COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: MCCULLOCH COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MCCULLOCH COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop8,7788,2058,2837,6307,6427,6557,6687,6817,6937,7067,7197,732
PPA0.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.01
%BO0.2%0.2%0.2%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
202017.3%10.6%7.0%9.0%7.2%7.1%6.7%7.9%6.9%7.0%7.1%6.1%$770,902
20218.0%8.9%7.7%6.9%9.6%8.5%8.2%9.4%8.2%8.1%7.6%8.8%$578,127
20228.9%10.1%7.3%7.4%9.9%8.7%9.0%10.1%9.4%5.4%5.0%8.8%$560,017
20237.6%9.3%6.8%6.6%9.3%7.3%8.0%9.6%9.6%8.5%9.0%8.3%$652,644
20248.3%8.8%6.7%9.0%8.1%8.0%8.3%8.0%8.2%8.2%8.9%9.5%$673,812
20258.1%10.2%7.6%7.5%8.1%8.1%7.7%9.0%8.6%8.2%8.8%8.2%$697,356
MEDIAN %8.2%9.7%7.2%7.5%8.7%8.1%8.1%9.2%8.4%8.2%8.2%8.5%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MCKINNEY (City)

Pop 195,308 PPA 4.91 %BO 61.3% Levy $178,684,684 Levy CAGR +7.4% E-Factor 2.03%
19,593 85,196 150,798 216,400 282,003 347,605 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 21,771 54,369 131,117 195,308 233,111 262,712 283,630 297,356 305,928 311,116 314,197 316,005 +9.6% +9.2% +4.1% +1.8% +1.2% +0.8% +0.5% +0.3% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: MCKINNEY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MCKINNEY had a 2020 population of 195,308 across 62.2 square miles, yielding a density of 4.91 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 316,005, a gain of 120,697 (+61.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.60% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 61.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MCKINNEY is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 99.2%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): MCKINNEY levied $178,684,684 in property taxes on a market value base of $51,989,898,543. The taxable value of $43,003,392,202 reflects 17.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4155 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2789 for Maintenance & Operations (67.1%) and $0.1366 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (32.9%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $834 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.4% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.03% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): MCKINNEY collected $98,599,320 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $460 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 55.2% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 10.4% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: MCKINNEY demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MCKINNEY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop21,77154,369131,117195,308233,111262,712283,630297,356305,928311,116314,197316,005
PPA0.551.373.294.915.856.607.127.477.687.817.897.94
%BO6.8%17.1%41.2%61.3%73.2%82.5%89.0%93.4%96.0%97.7%98.6%99.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%195,308$29,309,566,244$25,128,227,51185.7%$0.3547$0.153930.3%$0.5086$127,813,473$654$64,522,425$33050.5%
20214.7%199,088$31,413,057,114$27,104,392,06686.3%$0.3455$0.152130.6%$0.4977$134,886,362$678$74,353,895$37355.1%
20228.0%202,868$40,119,428,283$32,135,227,06080.1%$0.3118$0.145731.8%$0.4575$147,013,844$725$84,973,674$41957.8%
20234.1%206,648$46,522,210,761$36,963,951,05479.5%$0.2867$0.140832.9%$0.4275$158,025,696$765$89,193,732$43256.4%
20243.2%210,429$49,514,189,089$40,955,611,62182.7%$0.2789$0.136632.9%$0.4155$170,175,890$809$95,877,331$45656.3%
2025*2.9%214,209$51,989,898,543$43,003,392,20282.7%$0.2789$0.136632.9%$0.4155$178,684,684$834$98,599,320$46055.2%
CAGR4.2%1.9%14.0%13.0%-0.7%-4.7%-2.4%1.7%-4.0%7.4%5.4%10.4%8.4%1.8%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%10.3%7.0%8.0%7.9%8.1%7.8%9.4%8.5%7.8%9.6%8.3%$64,522,425
20217.3%9.7%6.9%6.0%9.8%8.1%8.0%9.6%8.4%8.1%9.5%8.7%$74,353,895
20227.9%9.6%7.1%6.5%9.9%8.1%7.5%9.3%8.5%8.2%9.2%8.2%$84,973,674
20238.0%9.8%6.9%6.8%9.5%7.6%7.7%9.3%8.8%8.4%9.2%8.1%$89,193,732
20248.4%14.5%2.4%7.2%9.0%8.0%7.9%9.1%8.5%8.1%8.7%8.1%$95,877,331
20257.8%10.5%7.1%6.6%8.9%7.9%8.1%9.1%8.6%8.2%8.9%8.4%$98,599,320
MEDIAN %7.8%10.1%7.0%6.7%9.2%8.0%7.9%9.3%8.5%8.1%9.2%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MCLENNAN COUNTY (City)

Pop 260,579 PPA 0.39 %BO 4.9% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
170,210 260,908 351,606 442,304 533,003 623,701 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 189,123 213,517 234,906 260,579 287,862 317,823 350,686 386,686 426,064 469,073 515,966 567,001 +1.2% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +0.9% Population Trend: MCLENNAN COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MCLENNAN COUNTY had a 2020 population of 260,579 across 1036.7 square miles, yielding a density of 0.39 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 567,001, a gain of 306,422 (+117.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.98% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 4.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MCLENNAN COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 10.7%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: MCLENNAN COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MCLENNAN COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop189,123213,517234,906260,579287,862317,823350,686386,686426,064469,073515,966567,001
PPA0.290.320.350.390.430.480.530.580.640.710.780.85
%BO3.6%4.0%4.4%4.9%5.4%6.0%6.6%7.3%8.0%8.8%9.7%10.7%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%10.3%7.1%7.0%8.4%7.1%8.1%9.7%8.2%8.4%9.5%8.6%$19,921,048
20217.0%9.4%6.7%6.1%10.4%8.6%8.4%9.3%8.0%8.2%9.9%8.1%$23,515,434
20228.4%9.6%7.2%6.8%9.0%8.0%8.0%8.9%8.3%8.6%9.2%8.2%$26,216,031
20238.3%10.4%7.1%7.4%9.3%7.2%8.1%8.8%7.9%8.6%8.9%8.1%$27,112,530
20247.7%8.8%7.9%7.8%9.2%7.9%7.8%8.7%8.3%8.3%9.3%8.3%$28,303,992
20257.6%10.6%7.6%7.9%9.0%7.9%8.1%8.3%8.2%7.9%8.5%8.3%$30,402,883
MEDIAN %7.7%10.0%7.2%7.2%9.1%7.9%8.1%8.8%8.2%8.3%9.3%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MEDINA COUNTY (City)

Pop 50,748 PPA 0.06 %BO 0.7% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
24,580 53,791 83,003 112,214 141,425 170,636 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 27,312 39,304 46,006 50,748 58,402 67,199 77,305 88,913 102,236 117,521 135,046 155,124 +3.7% +1.6% +1.0% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% Population Trend: MEDINA COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MEDINA COUNTY had a 2020 population of 50,748 across 1325.4 square miles, yielding a density of 0.06 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 155,124, a gain of 104,376 (+205.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.41% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MEDINA COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 2.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: MEDINA COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MEDINA COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop27,31239,30446,00650,74858,40267,19977,30588,913102,236117,521135,046155,124
PPA0.030.050.050.060.070.080.090.100.120.140.160.18
%BO0.4%0.6%0.7%0.7%0.9%1.0%1.1%1.3%1.5%1.7%2.0%2.3%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.4%9.6%7.4%6.7%8.6%7.9%8.7%9.8%8.1%8.3%9.2%8.4%$2,515,260
20217.4%9.4%7.5%6.4%9.3%8.2%8.3%9.4%8.4%8.2%9.3%8.1%$2,865,415
20228.6%9.8%7.1%7.1%9.4%8.0%8.3%8.9%8.0%8.6%8.4%7.9%$3,279,347
20238.0%9.3%7.1%7.5%9.3%8.5%8.0%8.6%9.4%8.0%8.1%8.1%$3,600,048
20247.8%8.9%6.9%7.8%8.9%8.2%8.0%8.2%7.8%9.4%8.8%9.3%$3,686,025
20256.9%9.8%8.6%6.5%8.2%8.0%7.6%8.5%8.2%8.5%8.9%10.3%$4,274,967
MEDIAN %7.7%9.6%7.4%6.9%9.2%8.2%8.2%8.8%8.2%8.5%8.9%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MELISSA (City)

Pop 13,901 PPA 2.15 %BO 26.9% Levy $19,221,378 Levy CAGR +20.4% E-Factor 9.89%
506 11,793 23,079 34,366 45,652 56,939 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 563 1,350 4,695 13,901 27,192 39,983 47,282 50,241 51,268 51,604 51,717 51,763 +9.1% +13.3% +11.5% +6.9% +3.9% +1.7% +0.6% +0.2% +0.1% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: MELISSA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MELISSA had a 2020 population of 13,901 across 10.1 square miles, yielding a density of 2.15 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 51,763, a gain of 37,862 (+272.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.66% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 26.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MELISSA has substantial development capacity remaining. Projections show reaching theoretical capacity (100% build-out) before 2100, suggesting eventual need for annexation, densification, or growth boundary adjustments.
Property Tax Overview (2025): MELISSA levied $19,221,378 in property taxes on a market value base of $5,134,681,064. The taxable value of $4,232,702,209 reflects 17.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4541 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3183 for Maintenance & Operations (70.1%) and $0.1358 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (29.9%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $936 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 20.4% CAGR lagged market value growth of 30.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 9.89% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): MELISSA collected $7,669,652 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $373 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 39.9% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 26.2% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: MELISSA demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Long-term projections indicate eventual capacity constraints requiring proactive planning for annexation, vertical development, or managed growth boundaries. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MELISSA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop5631,3504,69513,90127,19239,98347,28250,24151,26851,60451,71751,763
PPA0.090.210.732.154.206.187.317.767.927.987.998.00
%BO1.1%2.6%9.1%26.9%52.5%77.2%91.3%97.1%99.0%99.7%99.9%100.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%13,901$1,712,826,104$1,427,544,04983.3%$0.4564$0.152925.1%$0.6092$8,697,141$626$3,451,701$24839.7%
20214.7%15,230$2,094,109,568$1,753,106,86083.7%$0.4310$0.137124.1%$0.5682$9,960,399$654$4,731,790$31147.5%
20228.0%16,559$3,094,896,205$2,471,008,88879.8%$0.3578$0.098421.6%$0.4562$11,271,952$681$6,646,767$40159.0%
20234.1%17,888$4,070,937,667$3,183,679,47778.2%$0.3271$0.127728.1%$0.4547$14,477,082$809$8,827,392$49361.0%
20243.2%19,217$4,890,172,442$4,031,144,96182.4%$0.3183$0.135829.9%$0.4541$18,306,074$953$8,754,516$45647.8%
2025*2.9%20,546$5,134,681,064$4,232,702,20982.4%$0.3183$0.135829.9%$0.4541$19,221,378$936$7,669,652$37339.9%
CAGR4.2%8.1%30.0%29.6%-0.2%-7.0%-2.3%3.6%-5.7%20.4%11.1%26.2%16.4%0.1%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.9%8.9%6.6%6.6%8.1%7.6%8.6%11.1%7.5%8.9%10.1%9.1%$3,451,701
20215.7%8.2%6.7%5.7%8.8%8.2%8.6%9.9%9.9%9.2%10.7%8.6%$4,731,790
20226.0%8.7%5.6%4.9%13.3%6.5%7.1%13.0%7.1%7.2%11.9%8.7%$6,646,767
20236.6%7.5%5.0%6.2%7.3%5.2%8.7%12.3%9.4%11.7%9.4%10.6%$8,827,392
20249.8%8.6%6.6%7.8%8.1%9.3%7.8%8.5%10.3%9.4%6.9%6.9%$8,754,516
20256.4%12.1%5.7%5.7%11.9%7.1%7.8%9.4%8.1%8.2%9.3%8.3%$7,669,652
MEDIAN %6.6%8.8%6.3%6.1%8.6%7.5%8.4%10.7%8.9%9.2%10.0%8.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MENARD (County)

Pop 1,348 PPA 1.02 %BO 12.8% Levy $2,581,843 Levy CAGR +9.8% E-Factor 4.82%
1,213 1,334 1,455 1,576 1,697 1,818 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 1,593 1,653 1,471 1,348 1,350 1,352 1,354 1,357 1,359 1,361 1,363 1,366 +0.4% -1.2% -0.9% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: MENARD (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MENARD had a 2020 population of 1,348 across 2.1 square miles, yielding a density of 1.02 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 1,366, a gain of 18 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 12.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MENARD has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 13.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): MENARD levied $2,581,843 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,940,903,462. The taxable value of $333,895,554 reflects 82.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7692 per $100 valuation consists of $0.7151 for Maintenance & Operations (93.0%) and $0.0541 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (7.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,914 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 9.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 16.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.82% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: MENARD demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MENARD
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop1,5931,6531,4711,3481,3501,3521,3541,3571,3591,3611,3631,366
PPA1.211.251.121.021.021.031.031.031.031.031.031.04
%BO15.1%15.7%13.9%12.8%12.8%12.8%12.8%12.9%12.9%12.9%12.9%13.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%1,348$1,019,469,400~EstN/A$0.7339$0.07078.8%$0.8047$1,690,451$1,254
20214.7%1,348$1,333,628,984~EstN/A$0.6959$0.07159.3%$0.7674$1,934,211$1,435
20228.0%1,348$1,522,177,180~EstN/A$0.6734$0.06238.5%$0.7357$2,037,824$1,512
20234.1%1,348$1,650,925,930~EstN/A$0.6582$0.06729.3%$0.7254$2,155,463$1,599
20243.2%1,348$1,848,479,488$317,995,76617.2%$0.7151$0.05417.0%$0.7692$2,458,898$1,824
2025~2.9%1,349$1,940,903,462$333,895,55417.2%$0.7151$0.05417.0%$0.7692$2,581,843$1,914
CAGR4.2%0.0%16.0%-0.5%-5.2%-4.4%-0.9%9.8%9.8%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

MERCEDES (City)

Pop 16,258 PPA 2.22 %BO 27.8% Levy $7,794,531 Levy CAGR +9.8% E-Factor 7.19%
12,202 14,460 16,719 18,978 21,237 23,496 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 13,558 13,649 15,570 16,258 16,853 17,462 18,083 18,717 19,362 20,017 20,684 21,360 +0.1% +1.3% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: MERCEDES (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MERCEDES had a 2020 population of 16,258 across 11.4 square miles, yielding a density of 2.22 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 21,360, a gain of 5,102 (+31.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.34% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 27.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MERCEDES has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 36.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): MERCEDES levied $7,794,531 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,342,735,029. The taxable value of $992,933,931 reflects 26.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7850 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4908 for Maintenance & Operations (62.5%) and $0.2942 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (37.5%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $471 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 9.8% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 8.5% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 7.19% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): MERCEDES collected $9,286,763 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $561 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 119.1% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 15.3% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: MERCEDES demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MERCEDES
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop13,55813,64915,57016,25816,85317,46218,08318,71719,36220,01720,68421,360
PPA1.851.872.132.222.302.392.472.562.652.742.832.92
%BO23.2%23.3%26.6%27.8%28.8%29.8%30.9%32.0%33.1%34.2%35.3%36.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%16,258$921,871,283$685,606,14474.4%$0.7450N/AN/A$0.7450$5,107,766$314$5,282,350$325103.4%
20214.7%16,317$965,706,666$721,663,88474.7%$0.4678$0.307239.6%$0.7750$5,592,895$343$6,490,204$398116.0%
20228.0%16,377$1,037,218,675$776,137,34374.8%$0.4618$0.313240.4%$0.7750$6,015,064$367$7,954,053$486132.2%
20234.1%16,436$1,239,088,190$900,251,09272.7%$0.4974$0.277635.8%$0.7750$6,976,946$424$8,455,363$514121.2%
20243.2%16,496$1,278,795,266$945,651,36373.9%$0.4908$0.294237.5%$0.7850$7,423,363$450$9,338,271$566125.8%
2025*2.9%16,555$1,342,735,029$992,933,93173.9%$0.4908$0.294237.5%$0.7850$7,794,531$471$9,286,763$561119.1%
CAGR4.2%0.4%8.5%8.4%-0.1%-8.0%1.1%9.8%9.4%15.3%14.9%2.9%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
202012.3%16.7%7.8%7.7%7.3%4.4%6.0%8.5%6.0%6.8%8.7%7.9%$5,282,350
20217.6%11.0%6.3%6.0%10.8%8.5%8.3%9.2%8.2%8.2%9.1%6.7%$6,490,204
20228.8%13.1%6.5%6.6%9.3%8.3%7.4%8.5%8.4%8.4%7.7%7.1%$7,954,053
20238.8%12.4%6.7%6.9%8.5%7.6%7.4%8.1%9.1%8.7%7.9%7.8%$8,455,363
202410.2%13.2%7.2%6.8%9.4%7.1%7.1%7.9%9.4%7.6%7.3%6.9%$9,338,271
20259.5%13.7%6.3%6.5%9.0%8.7%7.4%7.6%8.9%7.9%7.3%7.3%$9,286,763
MEDIAN %9.2%13.1%6.6%6.7%9.1%8.0%7.4%8.3%8.6%8.1%7.8%7.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MESQUITE (City)

Pop 150,108 PPA 5.10 %BO 63.7% Levy $113,332,910 Levy CAGR +12.5% E-Factor 4.57%
91,961 114,448 136,936 159,423 181,911 204,398 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 102,179 124,523 139,824 150,108 155,171 160,086 164,839 169,416 173,809 178,010 182,013 185,817 +2.0% +1.2% +0.7% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: MESQUITE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MESQUITE had a 2020 population of 150,108 across 46.0 square miles, yielding a density of 5.10 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 185,817, a gain of 35,709 (+23.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.27% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 63.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MESQUITE is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 78.9%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): MESQUITE levied $113,332,910 in property taxes on a market value base of $20,370,144,711. The taxable value of $16,425,059,556 reflects 19.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6900 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4892 for Maintenance & Operations (70.9%) and $0.2008 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (29.1%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $742 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 12.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 13.5% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.57% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): MESQUITE collected $64,081,186 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $420 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 56.5% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.3% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: MESQUITE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MESQUITE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop102,179124,523139,824150,108155,171160,086164,839169,416173,809178,010182,013185,817
PPA3.474.234.755.105.275.445.605.755.906.046.186.31
%BO43.4%52.8%59.3%63.7%65.9%67.9%70.0%71.9%73.8%75.5%77.2%78.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%150,108$11,699,701,456$9,520,933,41781.4%$0.4976$0.211029.8%$0.7086$67,467,239$449$45,007,598$30066.7%
20214.7%150,614$13,072,792,944$10,585,883,27481.0%$0.5013$0.207329.3%$0.7086$75,013,686$498$51,671,320$34368.9%
20228.0%151,120$15,302,771,904$12,172,805,72779.5%$0.4541$0.204031.0%$0.6581$80,114,103$530$57,964,279$38472.4%
20234.1%151,626$17,085,201,352$13,826,814,15880.9%$0.4892$0.200829.1%$0.6900$95,405,017$629$61,954,263$40964.9%
20243.2%152,133$19,400,137,820$15,642,913,86380.6%$0.4892$0.200829.1%$0.6900$107,936,105$709$59,741,104$39355.3%
2025*2.9%152,639$20,370,144,711$16,425,059,55680.6%$0.4892$0.200829.1%$0.6900$113,332,910$742$64,081,186$42056.5%
CAGR4.2%0.3%13.5%13.2%-0.2%-0.3%-1.0%-0.5%-0.5%12.5%12.1%7.3%7.0%-3.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%12.0%8.0%7.0%8.4%6.1%7.5%10.1%7.7%7.9%10.1%7.9%$45,007,598
20216.9%10.2%6.6%5.8%10.6%8.2%7.6%10.0%8.1%7.9%9.9%8.1%$51,671,320
20227.7%10.8%6.8%6.5%9.7%7.8%7.9%9.6%7.8%7.9%9.5%7.9%$57,964,279
20237.7%10.9%6.5%6.7%9.3%7.3%8.3%9.3%7.8%8.2%8.9%9.0%$61,954,263
20248.2%10.3%7.1%6.6%9.3%7.1%7.8%9.4%9.0%7.9%9.2%8.0%$59,741,104
20257.3%11.2%6.5%6.8%10.0%7.7%7.9%9.7%8.2%8.0%7.9%9.0%$64,081,186
MEDIAN %7.6%10.9%6.7%6.7%9.6%7.5%7.9%9.7%8.0%8.0%9.4%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MEXIA (City)

Pop 6,893 PPA 1.50 %BO 18.7% Levy $3,038,656 Levy CAGR +3.2% E-Factor 0.05%
5,906 6,366 6,825 7,285 7,745 8,204 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 7,092 6,563 7,459 6,893 6,904 6,916 6,927 6,939 6,950 6,962 6,973 6,985 -0.8% +1.3% -0.8% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: MEXIA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MEXIA had a 2020 population of 6,893 across 7.2 square miles, yielding a density of 1.50 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 6,985, a gain of 92 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 18.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MEXIA has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 18.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): MEXIA levied $3,038,656 in property taxes on a market value base of $618,879,122. The taxable value of $503,338,898 reflects 18.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6037 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5398 for Maintenance & Operations (89.4%) and $0.0639 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (10.6%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $441 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 3.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.3% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.05% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): MEXIA collected $3,649,616 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $529 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 120.1% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.9% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: MEXIA demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MEXIA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop7,0926,5637,4596,8936,9046,9166,9276,9396,9506,9626,9736,985
PPA1.541.421.621.501.501.501.501.511.511.511.511.52
%BO19.2%17.8%20.2%18.7%18.7%18.8%18.8%18.8%18.9%18.9%18.9%18.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%6,893$344,938,427$300,164,52087.0%$0.7753$0.07568.9%$0.8509$2,554,100$371$2,864,979$416112.2%
20214.7%6,894$363,241,594$315,182,93986.8%$0.7757$0.06527.8%$0.8409$2,650,373$384$3,078,401$447116.1%
20228.0%6,895$392,122,801$343,096,36287.5%$0.7396$0.091311.0%$0.8309$2,850,788$413$3,379,720$490118.6%
20234.1%6,896$483,015,871$405,234,02683.9%$0.6435$0.077210.7%$0.7207$2,920,522$424$3,488,347$506119.4%
20243.2%6,897$589,408,688$479,370,37981.3%$0.5398$0.063910.6%$0.6037$2,893,958$420$3,747,930$543129.5%
2025*2.9%6,898$618,879,122$503,338,89881.3%$0.5398$0.063910.6%$0.6037$3,038,656$441$3,649,616$529120.1%
CAGR4.2%0.0%14.3%12.4%-1.3%-7.0%-3.3%3.6%-6.6%3.2%3.2%6.9%6.9%1.4%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.9%10.6%6.5%6.9%8.8%7.8%9.0%9.9%7.5%8.2%8.9%7.9%$2,864,979
20217.3%8.7%7.1%6.6%10.8%8.7%8.6%9.2%8.1%8.0%9.5%7.5%$3,078,401
20227.8%10.1%7.2%6.9%10.2%8.1%8.1%9.5%7.5%7.9%9.1%7.5%$3,379,720
20237.5%10.4%7.5%7.1%9.6%7.8%8.1%9.7%8.0%7.9%8.8%7.8%$3,488,347
20247.5%10.3%7.3%7.7%9.8%7.6%7.9%8.9%7.8%7.5%9.7%8.0%$3,747,930
20258.0%10.7%7.0%6.9%9.6%8.2%7.8%9.0%8.0%7.8%8.8%8.1%$3,649,616
MEDIAN %7.6%10.4%7.2%7.0%9.7%8.0%8.1%9.3%7.9%7.9%9.0%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MIDLAND (City)

Pop 132,524 PPA 2.87 %BO 35.9% Levy $83,671,415 Levy CAGR +6.6% E-Factor 1.30%
80,534 118,489 156,444 194,398 232,353 270,308 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 89,483 94,996 111,147 132,524 146,258 160,454 174,951 189,571 204,134 218,458 232,374 245,735 +0.6% +1.6% +1.8% +1.0% +0.9% +0.9% +0.8% +0.7% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% Population Trend: MIDLAND (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MIDLAND had a 2020 population of 132,524 across 72.1 square miles, yielding a density of 2.87 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 245,735, a gain of 113,211 (+85.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.77% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 35.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MIDLAND has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 66.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): MIDLAND levied $83,671,415 in property taxes on a market value base of $25,405,044,514. The taxable value of $23,860,987,352 reflects 6.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3507 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2923 for Maintenance & Operations (83.4%) and $0.0583 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (16.6%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $600 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 7.5% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.30% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): MIDLAND collected $87,013,637 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.25% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $624 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 104.0% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.0% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: MIDLAND demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MIDLAND
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop89,48394,996111,147132,524146,258160,454174,951189,571204,134218,458232,374245,735
PPA1.942.062.412.873.173.483.794.114.434.745.045.33
%BO24.3%25.7%30.1%35.9%39.6%43.5%47.4%51.4%55.3%59.2%63.0%66.6%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%132,524$18,096,985,990$17,189,571,76195.0%$0.2994$0.059516.6%$0.3589$61,698,186$466$61,258,078$46299.3%
20214.7%133,897$18,544,396,243$17,612,957,09995.0%$0.3108$0.056315.3%$0.3672$64,672,841$483$58,895,338$44091.1%
20228.0%135,270$21,064,938,889$20,135,992,51395.6%$0.3048$0.050214.1%$0.3550$71,490,627$529$78,152,461$578109.3%
20234.1%136,644$23,289,313,389$21,992,945,07794.4%$0.6595$0.217524.8%$0.8770$192,878,128$1,412$85,984,397$62944.6%
20243.2%138,017$24,195,280,490$22,724,749,85993.9%$0.2923$0.058316.6%$0.3507$79,687,062$577$83,463,446$605104.7%
2025*2.9%139,391$25,405,044,514$23,860,987,35293.9%$0.2923$0.058316.6%$0.3507$83,671,415$600$87,013,637$624104.0%
CAGR4.2%1.0%7.5%7.2%-0.2%-0.5%-0.4%0.1%-0.5%6.6%5.5%8.0%6.9%0.9%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.5%10.4%7.9%8.2%10.2%7.3%7.2%8.8%6.8%9.8%8.0%6.9%$61,258,078
20216.4%10.4%6.7%5.8%10.2%7.9%7.7%10.0%8.3%8.2%9.8%8.6%$58,895,338
20227.2%9.2%6.3%6.5%9.5%7.8%8.5%10.1%8.3%9.1%8.7%8.8%$78,152,461
20237.9%9.6%7.8%7.4%9.3%7.7%8.1%9.7%7.7%8.0%8.9%7.9%$85,984,397
20247.7%10.0%7.1%7.3%8.8%8.1%8.4%9.6%7.8%8.0%8.6%8.4%$83,463,446
20257.8%9.6%7.8%7.2%9.8%7.3%8.0%9.0%8.6%8.2%8.0%8.8%$87,013,637
MEDIAN %7.7%9.7%7.4%7.2%9.6%7.7%8.0%9.5%8.0%8.2%8.6%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MIDLAND (County)

Pop 132,524 PPA 2.87 %BO 35.9% Levy $83,113,825 Levy CAGR +11.5% E-Factor 5.50%
80,534 118,489 156,444 194,398 232,353 270,308 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 89,483 94,996 111,147 132,524 146,258 160,454 174,951 189,571 204,134 218,458 232,374 245,735 +0.6% +1.6% +1.8% +1.0% +0.9% +0.9% +0.8% +0.7% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% Population Trend: MIDLAND (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MIDLAND had a 2020 population of 132,524 across 72.1 square miles, yielding a density of 2.87 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 245,735, a gain of 113,211 (+85.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.77% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 35.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MIDLAND has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 66.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): MIDLAND levied $83,113,825 in property taxes on a market value base of $67,686,912,325. The taxable value of $64,726,556,646 reflects 4.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.1316 per $100 valuation consists of $0.1103 for Maintenance & Operations (83.8%) and $0.0213 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (16.2%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $596 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 11.5% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 10.8% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 5.50% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: MIDLAND demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MIDLAND
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop89,48394,996111,147132,524146,258160,454174,951189,571204,134218,458232,374245,735
PPA1.942.062.412.873.173.483.794.114.434.745.045.33
%BO24.3%25.7%30.1%35.9%39.6%43.5%47.4%51.4%55.3%59.2%63.0%66.6%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%132,524$42,741,588,887~EstN/A$0.1246$0.00423.3%$0.1288$51,181,878$386
20214.7%133,897$41,850,642,660~EstN/A$0.1371$0.114545.5%$0.2516$97,456,284$728
20228.0%135,270$56,848,651,573~EstN/A$0.1279$0.00322.4%$0.1311$70,377,894$520
20234.1%136,644$62,453,215,661~EstN/A$0.1183$0.00211.8%$0.1204$70,950,510$519
20243.2%138,017$64,463,726,024$61,644,339,66395.6%$0.1103$0.021316.2%$0.1316$79,156,024$574
2025~2.9%139,391$67,686,912,325$64,726,556,64695.6%$0.1103$0.021316.2%$0.1316$83,113,825$596
CAGR4.2%1.0%10.8%-2.4%38.4%37.8%0.4%11.5%10.4%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

MIDLAND COUNTY (City)

Pop 169,983 PPA 0.29 %BO 3.7% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
95,949 230,330 364,710 499,090 633,470 767,850 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 106,611 116,009 136,872 169,983 204,430 245,476 294,218 351,866 419,722 499,142 591,489 698,046 +0.8% +1.7% +2.2% +1.9% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% +1.7% +1.7% +1.7% Population Trend: MIDLAND COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MIDLAND COUNTY had a 2020 population of 169,983 across 900.4 square miles, yielding a density of 0.29 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 698,046, a gain of 528,063 (+310.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.78% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 3.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MIDLAND COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 15.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: MIDLAND COUNTY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MIDLAND COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop106,611116,009136,872169,983204,430245,476294,218351,866419,722499,142591,489698,046
PPA0.190.200.240.290.350.430.510.610.730.871.031.21
%BO2.3%2.5%3.0%3.7%4.4%5.3%6.4%7.6%9.1%10.8%12.8%15.1%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20209.2%10.5%10.4%9.5%10.5%7.8%6.5%7.1%6.0%9.7%7.0%5.8%$45,299,833
20216.0%8.0%6.4%5.2%9.1%8.2%8.0%9.8%8.8%9.0%10.8%10.7%$43,335,436
20227.2%8.1%7.0%7.1%8.7%7.6%8.3%8.8%8.8%9.7%8.6%10.0%$64,483,166
20238.4%7.5%8.8%7.7%9.2%7.8%8.7%9.4%7.7%8.4%8.1%8.3%$76,844,492
20248.2%9.6%8.3%7.9%8.1%8.6%8.4%8.7%8.1%8.3%8.0%7.9%$75,467,677
20257.5%8.9%8.0%8.0%9.3%8.7%8.2%8.9%7.3%7.3%9.2%8.8%$76,164,068
MEDIAN %7.8%8.5%8.1%7.8%9.1%8.0%8.2%8.9%7.9%8.7%8.3%8.6%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MIDLOTHIAN (City)

Pop 35,125 PPA 1.10 %BO 13.8% Levy $47,194,568 Levy CAGR +9.0% E-Factor 2.39%
5,084 58,347 111,610 164,873 218,136 271,399 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 5,649 7,480 18,037 35,125 59,632 94,080 134,905 174,435 205,795 226,922 239,619 246,727 +2.8% +9.2% +6.9% +5.4% +4.7% +3.7% +2.6% +1.7% +1.0% +0.5% +0.3% Population Trend: MIDLOTHIAN (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MIDLOTHIAN had a 2020 population of 35,125 across 49.8 square miles, yielding a density of 1.10 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 246,727, a gain of 211,602 (+602.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.47% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 13.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MIDLOTHIAN has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 96.9%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): MIDLOTHIAN levied $47,194,568 in property taxes on a market value base of $12,333,811,482. The taxable value of $7,260,702,925 reflects 41.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6500 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3439 for Maintenance & Operations (52.9%) and $0.3061 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (47.1%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $996 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 9.0% CAGR lagged market value growth of 19.1% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.39% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): MIDLOTHIAN collected $31,801,179 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $671 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 67.4% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 18.4% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: MIDLOTHIAN demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MIDLOTHIAN
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop5,6497,48018,03735,12559,63294,080134,905174,435205,795226,922239,619246,727
PPA0.180.230.571.101.872.954.245.486.467.137.537.75
%BO2.2%2.9%7.1%13.8%23.4%36.9%53.0%68.5%80.8%89.1%94.1%96.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%35,125$5,844,473,594$4,713,204,77380.6%$0.3740$0.301044.6%$0.6750$31,814,132$906$12,574,112$35839.5%
20214.7%37,575$6,874,612,399$4,981,152,87172.5%$0.3800$0.295043.7%$0.6750$33,622,782$895$13,635,306$36340.6%
20228.0%40,026$8,751,710,352$5,914,223,08067.6%$0.3406$0.309447.6%$0.6500$38,442,450$960$18,402,380$46047.9%
20234.1%42,477$11,123,164,812$6,912,573,97262.1%$0.3295$0.320549.3%$0.6500$44,931,731$1,058$20,598,244$48545.8%
20243.2%44,927$11,746,487,126$6,914,955,16758.9%$0.3439$0.306147.1%$0.6500$44,947,208$1,000$24,746,509$55155.1%
2025*2.9%47,378$12,333,811,482$7,260,702,92558.9%$0.3439$0.306147.1%$0.6500$47,194,568$996$31,801,179$67167.4%
CAGR4.2%6.2%19.1%10.1%-6.1%-1.7%0.3%1.1%-0.8%9.0%2.5%18.4%11.4%11.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%10.6%8.6%5.6%8.0%7.7%8.1%10.3%7.9%8.3%10.5%7.0%$12,574,112
20217.4%9.3%6.1%5.6%9.3%8.5%7.9%9.5%8.2%9.1%10.9%8.3%$13,635,306
20227.0%8.9%6.8%6.4%9.4%7.7%9.6%9.5%7.7%8.3%9.6%9.1%$18,402,380
20236.8%8.7%7.5%6.1%8.7%7.8%7.0%10.4%9.4%8.6%10.3%8.7%$20,598,244
20248.2%10.0%6.1%7.4%9.1%7.9%7.7%8.5%7.2%7.5%11.7%8.5%$24,746,509
20256.6%9.8%6.3%7.2%8.3%5.8%10.4%8.6%9.2%8.4%9.6%9.9%$31,801,179
MEDIAN %7.2%9.6%6.6%6.3%9.0%7.8%8.1%9.6%8.1%8.4%10.5%8.7%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MILAM COUNTY (City)

Pop 24,754 PPA 0.04 %BO 0.5% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
20,651 22,420 24,189 25,958 27,727 29,496 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 22,946 24,238 24,757 24,754 25,002 25,254 25,507 25,764 26,022 26,284 26,548 26,815 +0.5% +0.2% -0.0% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: MILAM COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MILAM COUNTY had a 2020 population of 24,754 across 1016.7 square miles, yielding a density of 0.04 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 26,815, a gain of 2,061 (+8.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.10% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MILAM COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: MILAM COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MILAM COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop22,94624,23824,75724,75425,00225,25425,50725,76426,02226,28426,54826,815
PPA0.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.04
%BO0.4%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20205.9%24.2%6.4%5.5%7.1%6.7%6.7%8.3%6.7%8.1%7.6%6.8%$1,332,665
20216.6%8.5%6.2%5.0%10.5%7.5%7.5%9.2%8.3%9.6%10.5%10.7%$1,338,671
20227.3%9.4%6.0%6.4%9.2%7.1%8.6%9.7%7.7%11.4%9.0%8.0%$1,875,525
20238.0%6.7%7.7%5.7%8.7%7.8%8.2%9.6%7.8%8.4%9.6%11.7%$2,386,238
202411.0%10.9%10.2%6.8%13.0%6.9%4.9%7.5%10.4%5.4%6.7%6.3%$2,545,944
20253.5%6.2%1.4%1.4%2.9%1.5%1.4%3.1%62.8%6.8%2.7%6.4%$9,167,430
MEDIAN %7.6%9.8%6.8%6.1%9.8%7.7%7.8%9.5%8.8%9.0%9.1%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MINERAL WELLS (City)

Pop 14,820 PPA 1.14 %BO 14.2% Levy $8,369,191 Levy CAGR +8.1% E-Factor 3.67%
13,338 14,398 15,459 16,519 17,580 18,640 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 15,064 16,946 16,788 14,820 14,844 14,869 14,894 14,919 14,943 14,968 14,993 15,018 +1.2% -0.1% -1.2% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: MINERAL WELLS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MINERAL WELLS had a 2020 population of 14,820 across 20.4 square miles, yielding a density of 1.14 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 15,018, a gain of 198 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 14.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MINERAL WELLS has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 14.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): MINERAL WELLS levied $8,369,191 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,003,956,318. The taxable value of $1,459,842,811 reflects 27.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5733 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5452 for Maintenance & Operations (95.1%) and $0.0281 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (4.9%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $564 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.2% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.67% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): MINERAL WELLS collected $5,850,065 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $394 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 69.9% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.3% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: MINERAL WELLS demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MINERAL WELLS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop15,06416,94616,78814,82014,84414,86914,89414,91914,94314,96814,99315,018
PPA1.151.301.291.141.141.141.141.141.141.151.151.15
%BO14.4%16.2%16.1%14.2%14.2%14.2%14.3%14.3%14.3%14.3%14.4%14.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%14,820$1,123,834,232$844,555,72775.1%$0.6429$0.04837.0%$0.6912$5,837,561$394$3,870,542$26166.3%
20214.7%14,822$1,275,442,130$966,017,09675.7%$0.6462$0.04176.1%$0.6879$6,645,290$448$4,256,676$28764.1%
20228.0%14,824$1,637,733,391$1,205,254,07573.6%$0.5475$0.03666.3%$0.5841$7,040,371$475$4,938,599$33370.1%
20234.1%14,827$1,757,358,260$1,274,057,86772.5%$0.5613$0.03265.5%$0.5939$7,566,629$510$5,677,723$38375.0%
20243.2%14,829$1,908,529,827$1,390,326,48772.8%$0.5452$0.02814.9%$0.5733$7,970,658$538$5,516,649$37269.2%
2025*2.9%14,832$2,003,956,318$1,459,842,81172.8%$0.5452$0.02814.9%$0.5733$8,369,191$564$5,850,065$39469.9%
CAGR4.2%0.0%14.2%13.3%-0.6%-3.2%-10.3%-6.8%-3.7%8.1%8.1%9.3%9.2%1.1%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%9.6%7.7%7.0%8.4%8.9%8.5%9.3%8.3%8.2%9.0%7.8%$3,870,542
20217.3%9.6%6.9%6.3%10.2%8.2%8.2%9.4%7.9%8.5%9.3%8.3%$4,256,676
20227.3%8.8%7.2%6.2%9.1%7.6%7.8%10.7%9.1%8.9%9.4%7.9%$4,938,599
20237.5%8.5%6.4%5.5%8.5%7.4%9.5%11.6%8.8%9.3%9.1%7.6%$5,677,723
20247.8%9.8%7.3%7.4%8.7%8.1%7.7%8.9%8.4%8.7%9.2%8.1%$5,516,649
20257.8%9.9%6.9%7.2%8.8%8.2%8.1%8.7%8.1%8.2%8.7%9.4%$5,850,065
MEDIAN %7.5%9.6%7.1%6.7%8.8%8.2%8.2%9.5%8.4%8.7%9.2%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MISSION (City)

Pop 85,778 PPA 3.94 %BO 49.3% Levy $40,042,878 Levy CAGR +11.3% E-Factor 6.20%
28,067 54,213 80,358 106,504 132,650 158,796 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 31,186 45,408 77,058 85,778 94,503 103,084 111,358 119,183 126,453 133,092 139,064 144,360 +3.8% +5.4% +1.1% +1.0% +0.9% +0.8% +0.7% +0.6% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% Population Trend: MISSION (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MISSION had a 2020 population of 85,778 across 34.0 square miles, yielding a density of 3.94 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 144,360, a gain of 58,582 (+68.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.65% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 49.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MISSION has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 83.0%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): MISSION levied $40,042,878 in property taxes on a market value base of $8,510,085,194. The taxable value of $7,176,143,128 reflects 15.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5580 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4823 for Maintenance & Operations (86.4%) and $0.0757 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (13.6%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $444 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 11.3% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 10.3% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 6.20% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): MISSION collected $28,982,272 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $322 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 72.4% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 13.1% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: MISSION demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MISSION
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop31,18645,40877,05885,77894,503103,084111,358119,183126,453133,092139,064144,360
PPA1.432.093.543.944.344.745.125.485.816.126.396.64
%BO17.9%26.1%44.3%49.3%54.3%59.2%64.0%68.5%72.7%76.5%79.9%83.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%85,778$5,484,801,000$4,697,228,46485.6%$0.5299N/AN/A$0.5299$24,890,614$290$16,985,449$19868.2%
20214.7%86,650$5,906,483,368$5,076,110,00785.9%$0.4359$0.094017.7%$0.5299$26,898,307$310$21,173,344$24478.7%
20228.0%87,523$6,750,507,454$5,710,810,08584.6%$0.4557$0.074214.0%$0.5299$30,261,583$346$24,383,445$27980.6%
20234.1%88,395$7,711,061,799$6,500,812,39684.3%$0.4495$0.078114.8%$0.5276$34,298,286$388$26,089,925$29576.1%
20243.2%89,268$8,104,843,042$6,834,422,02784.3%$0.4823$0.075713.6%$0.5580$38,136,074$427$27,834,241$31273.0%
2025*2.9%90,140$8,510,085,194$7,176,143,12884.3%$0.4823$0.075713.6%$0.5580$40,042,878$444$28,982,272$32272.4%
CAGR4.2%1.0%10.3%9.8%-0.3%-1.9%1.0%11.3%10.2%13.1%12.0%1.2%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.9%6.7%7.7%7.8%8.6%7.4%8.8%9.9%8.3%8.6%9.8%8.6%$16,985,449
20217.2%8.9%6.9%6.9%11.0%8.1%8.1%9.3%7.9%7.7%10.2%7.8%$21,173,344
20228.0%9.7%10.0%7.6%9.5%8.0%7.5%8.3%7.8%7.7%8.4%7.6%$24,383,445
20237.4%9.7%7.2%6.9%9.8%7.4%8.2%9.2%9.2%8.1%8.8%8.2%$26,089,925
20248.0%9.3%7.5%9.1%8.9%7.7%7.9%8.7%8.2%7.6%8.9%8.1%$27,834,241
20258.5%11.5%7.7%7.0%8.8%7.9%7.9%8.7%8.2%7.6%8.5%7.8%$28,982,272
MEDIAN %8.0%9.6%7.7%7.4%9.3%7.9%8.1%9.0%8.3%7.8%8.9%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MISSOURI CITY (City)

Pop 74,259 PPA 4.08 %BO 51.0% Levy $75,799,379 Levy CAGR +12.1% E-Factor 5.46%
33,043 51,424 69,804 88,185 106,566 124,946 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 36,715 52,913 67,358 74,259 79,814 85,290 90,625 95,764 100,661 105,281 109,595 113,588 +3.7% +2.4% +1.0% +0.7% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% Population Trend: MISSOURI CITY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MISSOURI CITY had a 2020 population of 74,259 across 28.4 square miles, yielding a density of 4.08 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 113,588, a gain of 39,329 (+53.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.53% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 51.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MISSOURI CITY is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 78.1%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): MISSOURI CITY levied $75,799,379 in property taxes on a market value base of $15,832,660,461. The taxable value of $13,278,917,463 reflects 16.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5708 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4615 for Maintenance & Operations (80.8%) and $0.1094 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (19.2%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $984 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 12.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.6% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 5.46% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): MISSOURI CITY collected $17,497,776 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $227 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 23.1% of property tax levy, offering modest supplemental revenue. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 10.3% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: MISSOURI CITY demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MISSOURI CITY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop36,71552,91367,35874,25979,81485,29090,62595,764100,661105,281109,595113,588
PPA2.022.913.704.084.394.694.985.275.535.796.036.24
%BO25.2%36.4%46.3%51.0%54.9%58.6%62.3%65.8%69.2%72.4%75.3%78.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%74,259$8,749,126,671$7,647,933,33587.4%$0.4535$0.144524.2%$0.5980$45,737,318$616$10,973,681$14824.0%
20214.7%74,814$9,503,165,763$8,372,496,38388.1%$0.4432$0.134823.3%$0.5780$48,395,959$647$12,841,563$17226.5%
20228.0%75,370$11,920,081,429$9,671,488,73081.1%$0.4320$0.141824.7%$0.5737$55,490,166$736$14,406,145$19126.0%
20234.1%75,925$13,516,238,916$11,044,728,71281.7%$0.4413$0.129522.7%$0.5708$63,046,073$830$15,490,351$20424.6%
20243.2%76,481$15,078,724,249$12,646,588,06083.9%$0.4615$0.109419.2%$0.5708$72,189,885$944$16,253,918$21322.5%
2025*2.9%77,036$15,832,660,461$13,278,917,46383.9%$0.4615$0.109419.2%$0.5708$75,799,379$984$17,497,776$22723.1%
CAGR4.2%0.7%14.6%13.4%-0.8%0.3%-5.4%-4.5%-0.9%12.1%11.3%10.3%9.5%-0.8%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.4%10.5%7.3%7.1%8.8%7.5%8.2%9.7%7.9%7.6%10.0%8.0%$10,973,681
20217.4%9.6%6.6%6.5%9.5%7.9%8.0%9.7%8.1%7.9%10.6%8.2%$12,841,563
20227.8%9.6%6.9%6.9%9.1%7.8%8.0%9.7%8.6%8.2%9.1%8.3%$14,406,145
20237.8%10.0%7.5%7.0%9.1%7.7%8.2%8.8%8.2%8.2%9.3%8.2%$15,490,351
20248.0%9.6%7.3%7.1%8.9%7.8%8.1%9.3%8.4%8.4%9.1%8.1%$16,253,918
20257.7%11.3%7.0%6.6%8.6%8.0%7.9%9.0%8.3%8.2%9.0%8.5%$17,497,776
MEDIAN %7.8%9.8%7.1%7.0%9.0%7.8%8.1%9.5%8.2%8.2%9.3%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MITCHELL COUNTY (City)

Pop 8,990 PPA 0.02 %BO 0.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
7,214 7,905 8,595 9,286 9,977 10,667 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 8,016 9,698 9,403 8,990 9,004 9,020 9,035 9,050 9,065 9,080 9,095 9,110 +1.9% -0.3% -0.4% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: MITCHELL COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MITCHELL COUNTY had a 2020 population of 8,990 across 911.1 square miles, yielding a density of 0.02 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 9,110, a gain of 120 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MITCHELL COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: MITCHELL COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MITCHELL COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop8,0169,6989,4038,9909,0049,0209,0359,0509,0659,0809,0959,110
PPA0.010.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.02
%BO0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.4%9.5%8.7%7.6%11.4%10.0%7.7%8.4%9.6%6.6%7.7%6.6%$364,505
20216.0%8.5%6.4%6.5%9.8%10.5%7.9%9.1%8.3%9.4%9.4%8.5%$368,132
20226.7%6.1%5.9%6.1%7.8%10.7%8.3%10.7%8.7%9.2%8.1%11.5%$447,618
20237.0%9.7%7.4%5.8%7.6%8.0%8.7%8.6%7.7%9.5%8.3%11.7%$538,002
20246.4%8.1%6.1%8.5%7.3%8.9%10.3%8.7%8.6%8.5%7.7%10.9%$766,804
20256.4%10.6%9.3%9.1%10.0%6.1%6.4%10.5%7.6%6.7%6.6%10.8%$917,420
MEDIAN %6.4%8.9%6.8%7.0%8.8%9.4%8.1%8.8%8.4%8.8%7.9%10.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MONAHANS (City)

Pop 7,836 PPA 0.43 %BO 5.4% Levy $2,329,045 Levy CAGR +11.2% E-Factor 4.30%
6,138 7,778 9,418 11,058 12,698 14,338 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 8,045 6,821 6,953 7,836 8,359 8,914 9,505 10,131 10,795 11,499 12,245 13,035 -1.6% +0.2% +1.2% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% Population Trend: MONAHANS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MONAHANS had a 2020 population of 7,836 across 28.4 square miles, yielding a density of 0.43 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 13,035, a gain of 5,199 (+66.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.64% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 5.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MONAHANS has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 9.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): MONAHANS levied $2,329,045 in property taxes on a market value base of $793,500,170. The taxable value of $665,441,768 reflects 16.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3500 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3500 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $288 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 11.2% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 8.6% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.30% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): MONAHANS collected $6,281,462 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $776 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 269.7% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.7% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: MONAHANS demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MONAHANS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop8,0456,8216,9537,8368,3598,9149,50510,13110,79511,49912,24513,035
PPA0.440.380.380.430.460.490.520.560.590.630.670.72
%BO5.5%4.7%4.8%5.4%5.8%6.1%6.5%7.0%7.4%7.9%8.4%9.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%7,836$542,828,666$414,782,90176.4%$0.3500N/AN/A$0.3500$1,451,740$185$4,111,655$525283.2%
20214.7%7,888$556,457,257$434,755,33978.1%$0.3500N/AN/A$0.3500$1,521,644$193$3,647,530$462239.7%
20228.0%7,940$631,969,640$513,120,56281.2%$0.3500N/AN/A$0.3500$1,795,922$226$4,511,226$568251.2%
20234.1%7,992$719,859,250$593,279,06982.4%$0.3500N/AN/A$0.3500$2,076,477$260$5,704,567$714274.7%
20243.2%8,045$755,714,448$633,754,06583.9%$0.3500N/AN/A$0.3500$2,218,138$276$5,747,207$714259.1%
2025*2.9%8,097$793,500,170$665,441,76883.9%$0.3500N/AN/A$0.3500$2,329,045$288$6,281,462$776269.7%
CAGR4.2%0.7%8.6%11.2%1.9%11.2%10.5%8.7%8.0%-1.0%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.8%10.4%9.1%8.8%9.2%9.2%7.2%8.1%6.4%6.7%7.5%8.6%$4,111,655
20217.8%9.8%6.8%7.0%8.2%7.9%7.6%10.0%7.1%9.3%10.3%8.2%$3,647,530
20226.5%8.4%7.5%7.7%10.5%6.8%9.2%11.1%4.7%9.8%8.9%9.0%$4,511,226
20236.8%9.5%7.2%8.1%8.7%8.2%6.4%8.6%7.4%8.5%11.6%9.0%$5,704,567
20246.2%10.9%7.3%7.2%8.2%8.1%7.8%8.3%7.9%8.3%8.9%10.8%$5,747,207
20257.7%7.9%9.0%7.4%8.1%9.0%8.0%11.6%7.8%7.0%7.6%9.0%$6,281,462
MEDIAN %7.3%9.7%7.5%7.6%8.5%8.3%7.8%9.4%7.3%8.5%9.0%9.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MONT BELVIEU (City)

Pop 7,654 PPA 0.80 %BO 10.0% Levy $29,091,033 Levy CAGR +10.2% E-Factor 0.00%
1,289 17,140 32,991 48,842 64,693 80,544 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 1,433 2,324 3,835 7,654 13,338 21,939 33,243 45,607 56,652 64,853 70,132 73,222 +5.0% +5.1% +7.2% +5.7% +5.1% +4.2% +3.2% +2.2% +1.4% +0.8% +0.4% Population Trend: MONT BELVIEU (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MONT BELVIEU had a 2020 population of 7,654 across 15.0 square miles, yielding a density of 0.80 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 73,222, a gain of 65,568 (+856.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.86% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 10.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MONT BELVIEU has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 95.3%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): MONT BELVIEU levied $29,091,033 in property taxes on a market value base of $9,582,774,753. The taxable value of $6,173,963,041 reflects 35.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4712 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2582 for Maintenance & Operations (54.8%) and $0.2130 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (45.2%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $2,772 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 10.2% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 2.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): MONT BELVIEU collected $14,704,249 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $1,401 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 50.5% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.8% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: MONT BELVIEU demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MONT BELVIEU
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop1,4332,3243,8357,65413,33821,93933,24345,60756,65264,85370,13273,222
PPA0.150.240.400.801.392.283.464.755.906.757.307.62
%BO1.9%3.0%5.0%10.0%17.4%28.5%43.3%59.3%73.7%84.4%91.3%95.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%7,654$8,202,650,085$4,308,640,11952.5%$0.2112$0.225451.6%$0.4367$18,814,065$2,458$11,877,720$1,55263.1%
20214.7%8,222$7,833,739,382$4,184,417,43653.4%$0.2318$0.222949.0%$0.4547$19,028,429$2,314$9,309,087$1,13248.9%
20228.0%8,790$8,631,966,715$5,336,982,86161.8%$0.2540$0.189542.7%$0.4435$23,669,092$2,693$9,928,702$1,13041.9%
20234.1%9,359$9,135,517,293$5,917,034,81264.8%$0.2380$0.206246.4%$0.4443$26,286,546$2,809$13,306,164$1,42250.6%
20243.2%9,927$9,126,452,146$5,879,964,80164.4%$0.2582$0.213045.2%$0.4712$27,705,746$2,791$16,037,206$1,61657.9%
2025*2.9%10,496$9,582,774,753$6,173,963,04164.4%$0.2582$0.213045.2%$0.4712$29,091,033$2,772$14,704,249$1,40150.5%
CAGR4.2%6.5%2.7%8.1%4.2%4.1%-1.1%-2.6%1.5%10.2%3.2%7.8%1.0%-4.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.0%15.5%7.3%7.9%10.8%9.0%8.9%8.2%6.9%5.3%7.6%5.7%$11,877,720
20217.8%5.9%7.5%6.7%9.9%9.8%8.6%9.3%5.5%12.3%9.0%7.7%$9,309,087
20226.1%7.5%6.1%6.4%8.7%7.9%10.0%8.9%7.8%9.1%9.5%12.0%$9,928,702
20236.7%8.4%6.2%7.6%8.2%8.5%8.9%8.4%8.4%8.9%8.3%11.6%$13,306,164
20249.1%8.8%4.5%7.6%9.0%7.9%8.6%8.9%7.8%11.1%8.8%8.0%$16,037,206
20258.5%9.1%7.1%6.8%9.5%6.9%9.4%8.5%8.9%8.9%7.9%8.7%$14,704,249
MEDIAN %7.5%8.7%6.7%7.3%9.4%8.3%9.0%8.8%7.9%9.1%8.7%8.5%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MONTAGUE COUNTY (City)

Pop 19,965 PPA 0.03 %BO 0.4% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
15,546 17,872 20,198 22,523 24,849 27,175 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 17,274 19,117 19,719 19,965 20,504 21,057 21,626 22,209 22,809 23,424 24,056 24,705 +1.0% +0.3% +0.1% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: MONTAGUE COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MONTAGUE COUNTY had a 2020 population of 19,965 across 930.9 square miles, yielding a density of 0.03 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 24,705, a gain of 4,740 (+23.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.27% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MONTAGUE COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: MONTAGUE COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MONTAGUE COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop17,27419,11719,71919,96520,50421,05721,62622,20922,80923,42424,05624,705
PPA0.030.030.030.030.030.040.040.040.040.040.040.04
%BO0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MONTGOMERY (County)

Pop 1,948 PPA 0.64 %BO 8.0% Levy $406,604,729 Levy CAGR +9.8% E-Factor 0.00%
318 5,551 10,785 16,018 21,251 26,484 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 354 489 621 1,948 4,368 8,667 14,231 19,045 21,930 23,288 23,854 24,077 +3.3% +2.4% +12.1% +8.4% +7.1% +5.1% +3.0% +1.4% +0.6% +0.2% +0.1% Population Trend: MONTGOMERY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MONTGOMERY had a 2020 population of 1,948 across 4.7 square miles, yielding a density of 0.64 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 24,077, a gain of 22,129 (+1136.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.19% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 8.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MONTGOMERY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 99.4%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): MONTGOMERY levied $406,604,729 in property taxes on a market value base of $141,929,484,396. The taxable value of $124,838,073,117 reflects 12.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3790 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3345 for Maintenance & Operations (88.3%) and $0.0445 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (11.7%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $128,754 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 9.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 13.9% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts.
Strategic Outlook: MONTGOMERY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MONTGOMERY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop3544896211,9484,3688,66714,23119,04521,93023,28823,85424,077
PPA0.120.160.210.641.442.864.706.297.247.697.887.95
%BO1.5%2.0%2.6%8.0%18.0%35.8%58.8%78.6%90.6%96.2%98.5%99.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%1,948$80,207,163,615~EstN/A$0.3652$0.066015.3%$0.4312$266,888,524$137,006
20214.7%2,190$86,743,109,850~EstN/A$0.3460$0.062315.3%$0.4083$274,985,844$125,564
20228.0%2,432$114,981,775,004~EstN/A$0.3266$0.047612.7%$0.3742$318,690,281$131,040
20234.1%2,674$125,894,233,015~EstN/A$0.3236$0.046012.4%$0.3696$347,039,090$129,783
20243.2%2,916$135,170,937,520$118,893,402,96988.0%$0.3345$0.044511.7%$0.3790$387,242,599$132,799
2025~2.9%3,158$141,929,484,396$124,838,073,11788.0%$0.3345$0.044511.7%$0.3790$406,604,729$128,754
CAGR4.2%10.1%13.9%-1.7%-7.6%-5.2%-2.5%9.8%-0.8%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

MONTGOMERY COUNTY (City)

Pop 620,443 PPA 0.93 %BO 11.6% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
163,980 936,149 1,708,317 2,480,485 3,252,653 4,024,821 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 182,201 293,768 455,746 620,443 839,178 1,117,037 1,457,493 1,856,626 2,300,933 2,767,783 3,229,356 3,658,929 +4.9% +4.5% +3.1% +3.1% +2.9% +2.7% +2.4% +2.2% +1.9% +1.6% +1.3% Population Trend: MONTGOMERY COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MONTGOMERY COUNTY had a 2020 population of 620,443 across 1042.3 square miles, yielding a density of 0.93 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 3,658,929, a gain of 3,038,486 (+489.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.24% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 11.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MONTGOMERY COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 68.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: MONTGOMERY COUNTY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MONTGOMERY COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop182,201293,768455,746620,443839,1781,117,0371,457,4931,856,6262,300,9332,767,7833,229,3563,658,929
PPA0.270.440.680.931.261.672.182.783.454.154.845.49
%BO3.4%5.5%8.5%11.6%15.7%20.9%27.3%34.8%43.1%51.9%60.5%68.6%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MOORE COUNTY (City)

Pop 21,358 PPA 0.04 %BO 0.5% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
16,078 17,900 19,722 21,544 23,366 25,188 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 17,865 20,121 21,904 21,358 21,544 21,733 21,923 22,115 22,308 22,503 22,700 22,899 +1.2% +0.9% -0.3% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: MOORE COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MOORE COUNTY had a 2020 population of 21,358 across 899.7 square miles, yielding a density of 0.04 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 22,899, a gain of 1,541 (+7.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.09% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MOORE COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: MOORE COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MOORE COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop17,86520,12121,90421,35821,54421,73321,92322,11522,30822,50322,70022,899
PPA0.030.030.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.04
%BO0.4%0.4%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MORRIS COUNTY (City)

Pop 11,973 PPA 0.07 %BO 0.9% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
10,775 11,524 12,273 13,022 13,771 14,520 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 13,200 13,048 12,934 11,973 11,992 12,012 12,032 12,053 12,073 12,093 12,113 12,133 -0.1% -0.1% -0.8% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: MORRIS COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MORRIS COUNTY had a 2020 population of 11,973 across 252.0 square miles, yielding a density of 0.07 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 12,133, a gain of 160 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MORRIS COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: MORRIS COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MORRIS COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop13,20013,04812,93411,97311,99212,01212,03212,05312,07312,09312,11312,133
PPA0.080.080.080.070.070.070.070.070.070.070.080.08
%BO1.0%1.0%1.0%0.9%0.9%0.9%0.9%0.9%0.9%0.9%0.9%0.9%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%9.2%6.4%7.6%9.2%9.5%9.4%9.5%9.2%7.5%8.2%6.9%$466,156
20218.8%8.9%7.1%6.0%9.9%9.0%7.5%10.0%8.2%7.6%9.2%8.0%$406,339
20227.5%9.5%6.5%7.3%9.9%8.4%8.8%9.6%8.1%8.8%6.4%9.1%$482,591
20237.7%9.2%7.2%7.4%9.4%8.3%6.9%8.9%8.2%7.8%8.3%10.6%$547,515
20247.8%8.0%7.8%6.9%9.1%9.6%8.5%9.6%7.8%7.7%9.2%8.1%$550,595
20257.3%10.2%6.7%7.4%9.0%9.9%7.7%8.9%8.3%7.3%9.1%8.3%$580,615
MEDIAN %7.6%9.2%6.9%7.4%9.3%9.3%8.1%9.5%8.2%7.6%8.7%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MOUNT PLEASANT (City)

Pop 16,047 PPA 1.69 %BO 21.1% Levy $6,042,055 Levy CAGR +8.3% E-Factor 1.41%
11,268 13,827 16,385 18,944 21,502 24,061 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 12,521 13,935 15,564 16,047 16,708 17,389 18,089 18,809 19,547 20,305 21,080 21,874 +1.1% +1.1% +0.3% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% Population Trend: MOUNT PLEASANT (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MOUNT PLEASANT had a 2020 population of 16,047 across 14.9 square miles, yielding a density of 1.69 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 21,874, a gain of 5,827 (+36.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.39% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 21.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MOUNT PLEASANT has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 28.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): MOUNT PLEASANT levied $6,042,055 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,445,447,047. The taxable value of $1,774,913,953 reflects 27.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3404 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2649 for Maintenance & Operations (77.8%) and $0.0755 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (22.2%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $369 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.3% CAGR lagged market value growth of 12.3% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.41% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): MOUNT PLEASANT collected $8,579,533 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $524 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 142.0% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 5.4% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: MOUNT PLEASANT demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MOUNT PLEASANT
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop12,52113,93515,56416,04716,70817,38918,08918,80919,54720,30521,08021,874
PPA1.321.471.641.691.761.831.901.982.062.142.222.30
%BO16.5%18.3%20.5%21.1%22.0%22.9%23.8%24.7%25.7%26.7%27.7%28.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%16,047$1,466,431,004$1,127,986,30776.9%$0.3016$0.069618.8%$0.3712$4,187,085$261$6,896,291$430164.7%
20214.7%16,113$1,519,191,468$1,168,250,02876.9%$0.2922$0.069819.3%$0.3620$4,229,065$262$7,844,969$487185.5%
20228.0%16,179$1,837,347,730$1,371,500,62474.6%$0.2643$0.096026.6%$0.3603$4,941,311$305$8,577,273$530173.6%
20234.1%16,245$2,242,130,986$1,611,610,58271.9%$0.2692$0.075521.9%$0.3448$5,556,559$342$9,000,395$554162.0%
20243.2%16,311$2,328,997,188$1,690,394,24172.6%$0.2649$0.075522.2%$0.3404$5,754,338$353$8,502,284$521147.8%
2025*2.9%16,377$2,445,447,047$1,774,913,95372.6%$0.2649$0.075522.2%$0.3404$6,042,055$369$8,579,533$524142.0%
CAGR4.2%0.4%12.3%10.6%-1.2%-2.6%1.7%3.4%-1.7%8.3%7.8%5.4%4.9%-2.9%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%9.4%7.1%7.5%8.6%8.1%8.1%9.5%8.0%8.2%10.1%8.0%$6,896,291
20217.5%9.0%7.0%6.5%10.1%8.9%8.3%9.5%8.2%7.7%9.2%8.1%$7,844,969
20228.2%9.5%7.0%7.1%9.3%8.1%8.3%9.2%8.1%8.0%9.4%7.8%$8,577,273
20237.9%9.3%7.1%7.4%9.1%7.8%9.5%9.2%8.1%8.3%8.5%8.0%$9,000,395
20248.0%8.6%7.3%7.8%9.9%8.3%8.4%9.4%8.9%7.6%7.3%8.5%$8,502,284
20257.4%11.0%7.3%6.4%8.9%8.2%7.8%9.1%8.3%7.8%9.4%8.6%$8,579,533
MEDIAN %7.7%9.3%7.1%7.3%9.2%8.2%8.3%9.3%8.2%7.9%9.3%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

MURPHY (City)

Pop 21,013 PPA 5.81 %BO 72.6% Levy $14,176,758 Levy CAGR +0.7% E-Factor 0.00%
1,457 7,470 13,482 19,495 25,508 31,521 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 1,619 3,099 17,708 21,013 23,364 25,145 26,419 27,292 27,874 28,254 28,499 28,656 +6.7% +19.0% +1.7% +1.1% +0.7% +0.5% +0.3% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: MURPHY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: MURPHY had a 2020 population of 21,013 across 5.7 square miles, yielding a density of 5.81 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 28,656, a gain of 7,643 (+36.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.39% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 72.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), MURPHY is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 99.1%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): MURPHY levied $14,176,758 in property taxes on a market value base of $4,609,484,727. The taxable value of $3,910,473,784 reflects 15.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3625 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2713 for Maintenance & Operations (74.8%) and $0.0913 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (25.2%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $639 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 0.7% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.1% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): MURPHY collected $5,272,846 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $238 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 37.2% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 5.3% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
MURPHY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop1,6193,09917,70821,01323,36425,14526,41927,29227,87428,25428,49928,656
PPA0.450.864.905.816.466.957.317.557.717.817.887.92
%BO5.6%10.7%61.2%72.6%80.8%86.9%91.3%94.3%96.4%97.7%98.5%99.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%21,013$2,883,791,395$2,650,762,09591.9%$0.3099$0.185137.4%$0.4950$13,121,272$624$4,093,491$19531.2%
20214.7%21,248$2,971,391,930$2,735,453,51192.1%$0.3102$0.184837.3%$0.4950$13,540,495$637$4,820,622$22735.6%
20228.0%21,483$3,739,995,458$3,090,279,58482.6%$0.2906$0.174437.5%$0.4650$14,369,800$669$5,014,966$23334.9%
20234.1%21,718$4,149,213,664$3,420,891,65082.4%$0.2814$0.126731.0%$0.4080$13,958,812$643$5,127,875$23636.7%
20243.2%21,953$4,389,985,454$3,724,260,74784.8%$0.2713$0.091325.2%$0.3625$13,501,674$615$5,035,619$22937.3%
2025*2.9%22,188$4,609,484,727$3,910,473,78484.8%$0.2713$0.091325.2%$0.3625$14,176,758$639$5,272,846$23837.2%
CAGR4.2%1.1%11.1%8.9%-1.6%-2.6%-13.2%-7.6%-6.0%0.7%-0.4%5.3%4.2%3.6%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.4%9.9%6.9%6.4%8.2%7.7%9.1%10.2%8.4%7.6%9.7%8.5%$4,093,491
20217.7%9.3%6.6%5.8%9.8%7.9%8.7%10.2%8.3%8.2%9.6%8.0%$4,820,622
20228.6%9.3%7.6%6.3%9.7%8.0%7.9%9.4%8.1%8.4%8.6%8.2%$5,014,966
20238.4%9.7%7.2%6.8%9.1%8.3%8.4%9.0%9.4%7.8%8.2%7.8%$5,127,875
20248.6%16.4%0.8%7.3%8.9%8.2%8.1%8.9%9.2%6.7%8.7%8.3%$5,035,619
20258.1%11.3%6.9%5.8%8.7%8.2%8.2%8.3%8.5%8.3%8.8%8.9%$5,272,846
MEDIAN %8.3%9.9%6.9%6.4%9.1%8.2%8.3%9.3%8.5%8.0%8.8%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

NACOGDOCHES (City)

Pop 32,147 PPA 1.86 %BO 23.2% Levy $14,057,383 Levy CAGR +4.8% E-Factor 0.37%
26,922 28,797 30,671 32,546 34,421 36,295 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 31,289 29,914 32,996 32,147 32,200 32,254 32,308 32,361 32,415 32,469 32,524 32,578 -0.4% +1.0% -0.3% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: NACOGDOCHES (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: NACOGDOCHES had a 2020 population of 32,147 across 27.1 square miles, yielding a density of 1.86 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 32,578, a gain of 431 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 23.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), NACOGDOCHES has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 23.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): NACOGDOCHES levied $14,057,383 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,648,135,722. The taxable value of $2,658,506,357 reflects 27.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5288 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4715 for Maintenance & Operations (89.2%) and $0.0572 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (10.8%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $437 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 4.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.1% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.37% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): NACOGDOCHES collected $8,639,103 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $269 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 61.5% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 5.9% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: NACOGDOCHES demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
NACOGDOCHES
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop31,28929,91432,99632,14732,20032,25432,30832,36132,41532,46932,52432,578
PPA1.811.731.911.861.861.861.871.871.871.881.881.88
%BO22.6%21.6%23.8%23.2%23.3%23.3%23.3%23.4%23.4%23.4%23.5%23.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%32,147$2,277,162,240$1,800,214,57879.1%$0.5389$0.077112.5%$0.6160$11,089,322$345$6,985,376$21763.0%
20214.7%32,152$2,397,817,552$1,896,617,92879.1%$0.5337$0.082313.4%$0.6160$11,683,166$363$7,591,774$23665.0%
20228.0%32,157$2,869,378,793$2,209,259,59777.0%$0.5077$0.01082.1%$0.5185$11,455,232$356$8,313,242$25972.6%
20234.1%32,162$3,085,104,487$2,360,919,70176.5%$0.4634$0.01102.3%$0.4744$11,201,384$348$8,572,436$26776.5%
20243.2%32,168$3,474,414,973$2,531,910,81672.9%$0.4715$0.057210.8%$0.5288$13,387,984$416$8,800,873$27465.7%
2025*2.9%32,173$3,648,135,722$2,658,506,35772.9%$0.4715$0.057210.8%$0.5288$14,057,383$437$8,639,103$26961.5%
CAGR4.2%0.0%11.1%8.9%-1.6%-2.6%-5.8%-2.9%-3.0%4.8%4.8%5.9%5.9%-0.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%10.1%7.3%7.9%8.6%9.3%7.5%9.2%7.5%7.8%9.5%7.8%$6,985,376
20216.9%9.4%7.0%6.2%10.3%8.3%7.8%9.4%7.9%8.1%10.2%8.5%$7,591,774
20228.6%10.0%7.1%7.0%9.3%7.9%7.6%9.4%7.5%8.3%9.4%8.0%$8,313,242
20238.1%10.3%7.5%7.6%9.3%7.4%7.8%8.9%7.4%8.4%9.4%8.0%$8,572,436
20247.7%9.6%6.9%8.0%9.1%7.7%7.8%9.9%8.5%7.6%9.1%8.2%$8,800,873
20257.6%7.6%7.2%7.0%10.6%7.9%7.7%9.2%8.7%8.0%10.2%8.3%$8,639,103
MEDIAN %7.7%9.9%7.2%7.3%9.3%7.9%7.8%9.3%7.7%8.1%9.5%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

NACOGDOCHES (County)

Pop 32,147 PPA 1.86 %BO 23.2% Levy $25,204,369 Levy CAGR +3.6% E-Factor 0.00%
26,922 28,797 30,671 32,546 34,421 36,295 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 31,289 29,914 32,996 32,147 32,200 32,254 32,308 32,361 32,415 32,469 32,524 32,578 -0.4% +1.0% -0.3% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: NACOGDOCHES (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: NACOGDOCHES had a 2020 population of 32,147 across 27.1 square miles, yielding a density of 1.86 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 32,578, a gain of 431 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 23.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), NACOGDOCHES has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 23.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): NACOGDOCHES levied $25,204,369 in property taxes on a market value base of $10,286,819,966. The taxable value of $6,538,966,408 reflects 36.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4486 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4438 for Maintenance & Operations (98.9%) and $0.0048 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (1.1%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $783 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 3.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 12.4% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Strategic Outlook: NACOGDOCHES demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
NACOGDOCHES
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop31,28929,91432,99632,14732,20032,25432,30832,36132,41532,46932,52432,578
PPA1.811.731.911.861.861.861.871.871.871.881.881.88
%BO22.6%21.6%23.8%23.2%23.3%23.3%23.3%23.4%23.4%23.4%23.5%23.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%32,147$6,133,393,788~EstN/A$0.5387$0.02554.5%$0.5642$20,831,373$648
20214.7%32,152$6,991,398,022~EstN/A$0.5402$0.02404.3%$0.5642$21,711,090$675
20228.0%32,157$8,492,064,044~EstN/A$0.4533$0.01894.0%$0.4722$22,173,786$690
20234.1%32,162$8,591,572,601~EstN/A$0.4108$0.01744.1%$0.4281$22,281,429$693
20243.2%32,168$9,796,971,396$6,227,587,05563.6%$0.4438$0.00481.1%$0.4486$24,004,161$746
2025~2.9%32,173$10,286,819,966$6,538,966,40863.6%$0.4438$0.00481.1%$0.4486$25,204,369$783
CAGR4.2%0.0%12.4%-3.8%-28.4%-25.0%-4.5%3.6%3.6%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

NACOGDOCHES COUNTY (City)

Pop 64,653 PPA 0.11 %BO 1.3% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
49,277 56,526 63,774 71,022 78,271 85,519 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 54,753 59,203 64,524 64,653 66,162 67,706 69,286 70,902 72,555 74,246 75,975 77,745 +0.8% +0.9% +0.0% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: NACOGDOCHES COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: NACOGDOCHES COUNTY had a 2020 population of 64,653 across 946.6 square miles, yielding a density of 0.11 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 77,745, a gain of 13,092 (+20.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.23% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), NACOGDOCHES COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 1.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: NACOGDOCHES COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
NACOGDOCHES COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop54,75359,20364,52464,65366,16267,70669,28670,90272,55574,24675,97577,745
PPA0.090.100.110.110.110.110.110.120.120.120.130.13
%BO1.1%1.2%1.3%1.3%1.4%1.4%1.4%1.5%1.5%1.5%1.6%1.6%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

NAVARRO (County)

Pop 232 PPA 0.54 %BO 6.8% Levy $35,907,506 Levy CAGR +6.6% E-Factor 0.88%
171 231 291 350 410 469 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 193 191 210 232 250 271 293 316 341 368 397 427 -0.1% +1.0% +1.0% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.7% Population Trend: NAVARRO (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: NAVARRO had a 2020 population of 232 across 0.7 square miles, yielding a density of 0.54 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 427, a gain of 195 (+84.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.77% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 6.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), NAVARRO has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 12.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): NAVARRO levied $35,907,506 in property taxes on a market value base of $13,323,606,880. The taxable value of $8,142,733,436 reflects 38.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4399 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3592 for Maintenance & Operations (98.2%) and $0.0079 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (1.8%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $148,994 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 18.2% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.88% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Strategic Outlook: NAVARRO demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
NAVARRO
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop193191210232250271293316341368397427
PPA0.450.450.490.540.590.630.680.740.800.860.931.00
%BO5.6%5.6%6.1%6.8%7.3%7.9%8.5%9.2%10.0%10.7%11.6%12.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%232$6,509,663,456~EstN/A$0.6002$0.00430.7%$0.6045$26,454,813$114,029
20214.7%233$6,910,757,822~EstN/A$0.5941$0.01041.7%$0.6045$27,525,274$118,134
20228.0%235$8,745,914,006~EstN/A$0.5070$0.01032.0%$0.5173$28,406,790$120,880
20234.1%237$12,351,936,775~EstN/A$0.4253$0.00761.8%$0.4329$31,468,443$132,778
20243.2%239$12,689,149,410$7,754,984,22561.1%$0.3592$0.00791.8%$0.4399$34,197,625$143,086
2025~2.9%241$13,323,606,880$8,142,733,43661.1%$0.3592$0.00791.8%$0.4399$35,907,506$148,994
CAGR4.2%0.8%18.2%-9.8%12.9%20.3%-6.2%6.6%5.8%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

NAVARRO COUNTY (City)

Pop 52,624 PPA 0.08 %BO 1.0% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
35,933 53,282 70,630 87,979 105,327 122,676 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 39,926 45,124 47,735 52,624 57,828 63,541 69,811 76,690 84,236 92,511 101,582 111,524 +1.2% +0.6% +1.0% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% Population Trend: NAVARRO COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: NAVARRO COUNTY had a 2020 population of 52,624 across 1009.6 square miles, yielding a density of 0.08 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 111,524, a gain of 58,900 (+111.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.94% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), NAVARRO COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 2.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: NAVARRO COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
NAVARRO COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop39,92645,12447,73552,62457,82863,54169,81176,69084,23692,511101,582111,524
PPA0.060.070.070.080.090.100.110.120.130.140.160.17
%BO0.8%0.9%0.9%1.0%1.1%1.2%1.4%1.5%1.6%1.8%2.0%2.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.2%9.8%7.0%6.8%8.3%8.2%8.5%10.4%8.2%8.1%9.0%8.3%$2,879,450
20216.8%10.1%7.2%5.9%9.5%9.1%7.6%10.0%7.7%8.9%9.5%7.9%$3,379,217
20227.0%8.4%6.3%7.2%8.3%7.7%8.2%13.7%8.0%7.6%8.8%8.8%$4,376,736
20239.7%9.0%8.0%7.0%9.1%7.8%8.9%8.7%8.1%7.8%8.3%7.7%$4,131,039
20247.7%9.5%6.6%7.2%10.7%8.1%8.1%9.2%8.1%7.9%8.0%9.0%$4,226,078
20256.7%10.4%8.0%8.0%9.1%7.6%7.5%7.4%7.2%8.1%9.8%10.1%$5,246,946
MEDIAN %7.2%9.7%7.2%7.2%9.2%8.0%8.2%9.7%8.1%8.0%9.0%8.6%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

NAVASOTA (City)

Pop 7,643 PPA 1.62 %BO 20.3% Levy $4,206,984 Levy CAGR +10.4% E-Factor 3.53%
5,686 7,160 8,634 10,108 11,581 13,055 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 6,318 6,789 7,049 7,643 8,103 8,583 9,084 9,603 10,142 10,700 11,276 11,869 +0.7% +0.4% +0.8% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% Population Trend: NAVASOTA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: NAVASOTA had a 2020 population of 7,643 across 7.3 square miles, yielding a density of 1.62 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 11,869, a gain of 4,226 (+55.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.55% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 20.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), NAVASOTA has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 31.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): NAVASOTA levied $4,206,984 in property taxes on a market value base of $968,789,806. The taxable value of $828,472,654 reflects 14.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5078 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4599 for Maintenance & Operations (90.6%) and $0.0479 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (9.4%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $534 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 10.4% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.53% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): NAVASOTA collected $2,862,407 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $364 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 68.0% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.9% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: NAVASOTA demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
NAVASOTA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop6,3186,7897,0497,6438,1038,5839,0849,60310,14210,70011,27611,869
PPA1.341.441.501.621.721.821.932.042.162.272.402.52
%BO16.8%18.0%18.7%20.3%21.5%22.8%24.1%25.5%27.0%28.4%30.0%31.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%7,643$545,428,849$474,544,84087.0%$0.4912$0.078113.7%$0.5693$2,701,584$353$2,009,934$26374.4%
20214.7%7,689$584,249,781$508,317,80887.0%$0.5009$0.068412.0%$0.5693$2,893,853$376$2,145,189$27974.1%
20228.0%7,735$698,874,784$599,814,68085.8%$0.4968$0.059210.6%$0.5560$3,334,970$431$2,415,784$31272.4%
20234.1%7,781$795,651,698$689,358,75086.6%$0.4689$0.053210.2%$0.5221$3,599,142$463$2,601,213$33472.3%
20243.2%7,827$922,656,958$789,021,57585.5%$0.4599$0.04799.4%$0.5078$4,006,651$512$2,724,258$34868.0%
2025*2.9%7,873$968,789,806$828,472,65485.5%$0.4599$0.04799.4%$0.5078$4,206,984$534$2,862,407$36468.0%
CAGR4.2%0.6%14.0%13.6%-0.3%-1.3%-9.3%-7.2%-2.3%10.4%9.7%7.9%7.3%-1.8%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.0%9.1%6.7%7.6%9.9%7.5%8.0%10.3%7.7%8.0%9.8%8.3%$2,009,934
20217.5%10.8%6.4%5.5%11.3%7.5%7.7%9.4%7.8%8.1%10.7%7.3%$2,145,189
20228.0%10.5%6.5%6.4%9.3%7.4%7.5%9.9%7.5%7.8%11.5%7.8%$2,415,784
20239.9%10.8%7.1%6.0%10.1%7.4%7.6%9.3%7.1%7.6%9.6%7.4%$2,601,213
20247.2%9.7%6.6%6.7%10.4%8.3%7.4%8.7%7.9%8.0%10.6%8.5%$2,724,258
20257.4%10.8%6.6%6.3%8.9%7.6%8.0%9.2%8.1%7.4%11.2%8.3%$2,862,407
MEDIAN %7.5%10.6%6.6%6.4%10.0%7.5%7.7%9.3%7.8%7.9%10.7%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

NEDERLAND (City)

Pop 18,856 PPA 5.16 %BO 64.5% Levy $7,813,155 Levy CAGR +0.9% E-Factor 0.00%
15,167 16,914 18,662 20,409 22,156 23,904 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 16,853 17,422 17,547 18,856 19,242 19,622 19,994 20,358 20,715 21,062 21,401 21,731 +0.3% +0.1% +0.7% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: NEDERLAND (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: NEDERLAND had a 2020 population of 18,856 across 5.7 square miles, yielding a density of 5.16 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 21,731, a gain of 2,875 (+15.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.18% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 64.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), NEDERLAND is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 74.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): NEDERLAND levied $7,813,155 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,089,833,872. The taxable value of $1,830,674,862 reflects 12.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4268 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3185 for Maintenance & Operations (74.6%) and $0.1083 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (25.4%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $410 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 0.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.0% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): NEDERLAND collected $7,353,545 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $386 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 94.1% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 0.3% CAGR, reflecting stable retail environment.
Strategic Outlook: Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
NEDERLAND
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop16,85317,42217,54718,85619,24219,62219,99420,35820,71521,06221,40121,731
PPA4.614.774.805.165.275.375.475.575.675.765.865.95
%BO57.6%59.6%60.0%64.5%65.8%67.1%68.4%69.6%70.9%72.0%73.2%74.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%18,856$1,357,325,768$1,236,887,44391.1%$0.4131$0.166628.7%$0.5797$7,170,335$380$6,215,095$33086.7%
20214.7%18,894$1,583,934,831$1,414,203,93489.3%$0.3756$0.141627.4%$0.5172$7,314,348$387$5,986,897$31781.9%
20228.0%18,933$1,675,434,073$1,509,399,62490.1%$0.3484$0.132727.6%$0.4811$7,261,057$384$6,325,595$33487.1%
20234.1%18,971$1,807,454,502$1,638,562,84590.7%$0.3511$0.116524.9%$0.4676$7,662,035$404$6,326,251$33382.6%
20243.2%19,010$1,990,317,973$1,743,499,86987.6%$0.3185$0.108325.4%$0.4268$7,441,100$391$6,297,608$33184.6%
2025*2.9%19,049$2,089,833,872$1,830,674,86287.6%$0.3185$0.108325.4%$0.4268$7,813,155$410$7,353,545$38694.1%
CAGR4.2%0.2%10.0%9.0%-0.8%-5.1%-8.3%-2.5%-5.9%0.9%0.7%0.3%0.1%1.7%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.9%10.7%10.2%9.0%9.0%7.4%6.9%8.4%6.9%6.1%10.0%8.4%$6,215,095
20217.5%10.0%7.2%6.6%9.8%7.8%7.6%9.4%8.2%7.5%10.4%7.9%$5,986,897
20227.9%10.4%7.0%7.3%9.6%7.4%8.3%9.2%6.8%7.4%10.1%8.4%$6,325,595
20238.0%9.6%7.5%7.3%9.5%7.3%7.9%9.0%7.7%7.8%9.4%8.9%$6,326,251
20248.2%9.5%7.1%7.9%7.4%7.7%7.8%8.5%7.8%8.4%10.4%9.3%$6,297,608
20257.9%10.1%8.8%7.8%9.5%8.1%8.0%9.7%6.8%6.6%8.8%7.8%$7,353,545
MEDIAN %7.9%10.1%7.4%7.5%9.5%7.5%7.9%9.1%7.3%7.4%10.0%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

NEW BRAUNFELS (City)

Pop 90,403 PPA 3.22 %BO 40.2% Levy $65,826,076 Levy CAGR +7.3% E-Factor 0.00%
25,022 67,250 109,478 151,705 193,933 236,161 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 27,803 36,494 57,740 90,403 114,305 138,085 159,699 177,780 191,878 202,277 209,636 214,692 +2.8% +4.7% +4.6% +2.4% +1.9% +1.5% +1.1% +0.8% +0.5% +0.4% +0.2% Population Trend: NEW BRAUNFELS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: NEW BRAUNFELS had a 2020 population of 90,403 across 43.9 square miles, yielding a density of 3.22 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 214,692, a gain of 124,289 (+137.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.09% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 40.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), NEW BRAUNFELS has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 95.6%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): NEW BRAUNFELS levied $65,826,076 in property taxes on a market value base of $21,045,508,860. The taxable value of $16,097,229,246 reflects 23.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4089 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2050 for Maintenance & Operations (50.1%) and $0.2039 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (49.9%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $643 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.3% CAGR lagged market value growth of 13.9% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): NEW BRAUNFELS collected $46,432,168 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $454 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 70.5% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.7% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: NEW BRAUNFELS demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
NEW BRAUNFELS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop27,80336,49457,74090,403114,305138,085159,699177,780191,878202,277209,636214,692
PPA0.991.302.063.224.074.925.696.336.837.207.477.65
%BO12.4%16.2%25.7%40.2%50.9%61.5%71.1%79.1%85.4%90.1%93.3%95.6%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%90,403$11,909,924,116$9,771,608,55482.0%$0.2552$0.228047.2%$0.4832$47,215,826$522$35,099,655$38874.3%
20214.7%92,793$12,999,377,913$10,560,465,18581.2%$0.2474$0.228048.0%$0.4754$50,201,917$541$42,677,242$46085.0%
20228.0%95,183$17,517,809,624$12,987,775,86474.1%$0.2050$0.208950.5%$0.4139$53,760,950$565$44,624,144$46983.0%
20234.1%97,573$19,463,741,015$14,523,809,04174.6%$0.2000$0.208951.1%$0.4089$59,393,083$609$44,900,091$46075.6%
20243.2%99,963$20,043,341,771$15,330,694,52076.5%$0.2050$0.203949.9%$0.4089$62,691,501$627$45,412,668$45472.4%
2025*2.9%102,354$21,045,508,860$16,097,229,24676.5%$0.2050$0.203949.9%$0.4089$65,826,076$643$46,432,168$45470.5%
CAGR4.2%2.5%13.9%11.9%-1.4%-4.3%-2.2%1.1%-3.3%7.3%4.7%6.7%4.0%-1.0%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.7%9.6%7.6%7.2%8.0%7.2%8.0%9.6%8.9%8.5%9.0%8.8%$35,099,655
20217.0%8.5%6.8%5.9%9.3%8.4%7.8%9.7%9.6%9.1%9.5%8.3%$42,677,242
20228.4%10.3%7.6%6.4%8.7%7.6%9.0%9.2%8.6%8.6%8.1%7.6%$44,624,144
20238.1%10.7%7.2%7.1%6.0%7.5%8.4%9.6%9.1%9.2%8.3%9.0%$44,900,091
20247.2%9.0%7.4%7.5%8.7%8.3%8.2%9.0%9.7%8.2%8.3%8.4%$45,412,668
20257.9%11.3%6.8%6.7%8.6%7.5%8.3%9.3%8.9%8.2%8.3%8.3%$46,432,168
MEDIAN %7.8%9.9%7.3%6.9%8.6%7.5%8.3%9.4%9.0%8.5%8.3%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

NEWTON (County)

Pop 1,633 PPA 0.47 %BO 5.9% Levy $10,639,488 Levy CAGR +2.1% E-Factor 0.00%
1,469 1,720 1,972 2,223 2,474 2,725 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 1,945 2,459 2,478 1,633 1,635 1,638 1,641 1,643 1,646 1,649 1,652 1,654 +2.4% +0.1% -4.1% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: NEWTON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: NEWTON had a 2020 population of 1,633 across 5.5 square miles, yielding a density of 0.47 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 1,654, a gain of 21 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 5.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), NEWTON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 5.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): NEWTON levied $10,639,488 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,656,455,899. The taxable value of $1,665,615,019 reflects 54.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6368 per $100 valuation consists of $0.6368 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $6,511 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 2.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 7.8% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Strategic Outlook: NEWTON demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
NEWTON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop1,9452,4592,4781,6331,6351,6381,6411,6431,6461,6491,6521,654
PPA0.560.700.710.470.470.470.470.470.470.470.470.47
%BO7.0%8.8%8.9%5.9%5.9%5.9%5.9%5.9%5.9%5.9%5.9%5.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%1,633$2,582,808,227~EstN/A$0.6577$0.03314.8%$0.6909$9,333,752$5,716
20214.7%1,633$2,627,065,276~EstN/A$0.5901$0.06349.7%$0.6535$8,250,983$5,053
20228.0%1,633$2,847,471,554~EstN/A$0.6585$0.06148.5%$0.7199$10,099,341$6,185
20234.1%1,633$3,089,967,104~EstN/A$0.6642N/AN/A$0.6642$9,916,823$6,073
20243.2%1,633$3,482,338,951$1,586,300,01845.6%$0.6368N/AN/A$0.6368$10,132,846$6,205
2025~2.9%1,634$3,656,455,899$1,665,615,01945.6%$0.6368N/AN/A$0.6368$10,639,488$6,511
CAGR4.2%0.0%7.8%-0.6%-1.6%2.1%2.1%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

NEWTON COUNTY (City)

Pop 12,217 PPA 0.02 %BO 0.3% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
10,995 12,112 13,228 14,345 15,462 16,579 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 13,569 15,072 14,445 12,217 12,237 12,257 12,278 12,298 12,319 12,339 12,360 12,380 +1.1% -0.4% -1.7% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: NEWTON COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: NEWTON COUNTY had a 2020 population of 12,217 across 933.7 square miles, yielding a density of 0.02 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 12,380, a gain of 163 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), NEWTON COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: NEWTON COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
NEWTON COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop13,56915,07214,44512,21712,23712,25712,27812,29812,31912,33912,36012,380
PPA0.020.030.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.02
%BO0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

NOLAN COUNTY (City)

Pop 14,738 PPA 0.03 %BO 0.3% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
13,264 14,262 15,259 16,257 17,255 18,253 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 16,594 15,802 15,216 14,738 14,762 14,787 14,811 14,836 14,861 14,886 14,910 14,935 -0.5% -0.4% -0.3% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: NOLAN COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: NOLAN COUNTY had a 2020 population of 14,738 across 912.0 square miles, yielding a density of 0.03 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 14,935, a gain of 197 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), NOLAN COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: NOLAN COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
NOLAN COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop16,59415,80215,21614,73814,76214,78714,81114,83614,86114,88614,91014,935
PPA0.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.03
%BO0.4%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

NORTH RICHLAND HILLS (City)

Pop 69,917 PPA 6.01 %BO 75.2% Levy $46,760,293 Levy CAGR +4.4% E-Factor 0.06%
41,541 51,320 61,100 70,879 80,659 90,438 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 46,157 55,635 63,343 69,917 71,859 73,683 75,389 76,978 78,451 79,813 81,066 82,217 +1.9% +1.3% +1.0% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.1% Population Trend: NORTH RICHLAND HILLS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: NORTH RICHLAND HILLS had a 2020 population of 69,917 across 18.2 square miles, yielding a density of 6.01 persons per acre (PPA). This high density suggests an urbanized area with limited greenfield expansion potential. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 82,217, a gain of 12,300 (+17.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.20% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 75.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), NORTH RICHLAND HILLS is approaching full build-out. By 2100, build-out is projected at 88.4%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): NORTH RICHLAND HILLS levied $46,760,293 in property taxes on a market value base of $12,370,049,429. The taxable value of $9,554,831,196 reflects 22.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4894 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3314 for Maintenance & Operations (67.7%) and $0.1580 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (32.3%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $660 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 4.4% CAGR lagged market value growth of 9.9% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.06% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): NORTH RICHLAND HILLS collected $22,133,846 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $312 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 47.3% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.3% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
NORTH RICHLAND HILLS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop46,15755,63563,34369,91771,85973,68375,38976,97878,45179,81381,06682,217
PPA3.974.785.456.016.186.346.486.626.756.866.977.07
%BO49.6%59.8%68.1%75.2%77.2%79.2%81.0%82.7%84.3%85.8%87.1%88.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%69,917$8,066,968,778$6,513,732,22080.7%$0.3436$0.232140.3%$0.5757$37,499,556$536$16,470,700$23643.9%
20214.7%70,111$8,591,786,790$6,964,745,95481.1%$0.3489$0.223339.0%$0.5722$39,851,162$568$17,973,345$25645.1%
20228.0%70,305$9,936,077,883$7,694,350,39977.4%$0.3477$0.200236.5%$0.5480$42,162,886$600$19,756,420$28146.9%
20234.1%70,499$11,702,148,788$8,739,078,88074.7%$0.3136$0.175835.9%$0.4894$42,768,091$607$20,563,021$29248.1%
20243.2%70,693$11,780,999,456$9,099,839,23477.2%$0.3314$0.158032.3%$0.4894$44,533,612$630$21,009,205$29747.2%
2025*2.9%70,888$12,370,049,429$9,554,831,19677.2%$0.3314$0.158032.3%$0.4894$46,760,293$660$22,133,846$31247.3%
CAGR4.2%0.3%9.9%8.7%-0.9%-0.7%-7.4%-4.3%-3.2%4.4%4.1%6.3%6.0%1.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.4%10.8%6.8%6.5%9.2%7.2%7.9%10.1%7.8%7.8%10.0%8.3%$16,470,700
20217.3%10.1%6.8%5.8%10.9%8.1%8.0%10.2%6.4%7.8%10.2%8.3%$17,973,345
20227.8%10.1%6.9%6.2%9.9%7.7%7.7%10.1%8.0%8.0%9.7%7.9%$19,756,420
20237.6%10.7%6.8%6.8%10.0%7.5%7.8%9.6%7.9%8.3%9.4%7.5%$20,563,021
20247.8%9.8%7.6%6.9%9.7%7.7%7.6%9.2%8.3%8.5%8.7%8.2%$21,009,205
20257.4%11.4%7.1%6.4%9.5%8.4%7.6%9.2%8.3%7.4%9.4%8.0%$22,133,846
MEDIAN %7.5%10.4%6.9%6.5%9.8%7.7%7.8%9.8%7.9%7.9%9.6%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

NUECES COUNTY (City)

Pop 353,178 PPA 0.66 %BO 8.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
262,030 319,623 377,216 434,809 492,402 549,995 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 291,145 313,645 340,223 353,178 369,118 385,707 402,965 420,913 439,570 458,956 479,092 499,996 +0.7% +0.8% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% Population Trend: NUECES COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: NUECES COUNTY had a 2020 population of 353,178 across 839.1 square miles, yielding a density of 0.66 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 499,996, a gain of 146,818 (+41.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.44% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 8.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), NUECES COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 11.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: NUECES COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
NUECES COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop291,145313,645340,223353,178369,118385,707402,965420,913439,570458,956479,092499,996
PPA0.540.580.630.660.690.720.750.780.820.850.890.93
%BO6.8%7.3%7.9%8.2%8.6%9.0%9.4%9.8%10.2%10.7%11.2%11.6%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

OCHILTREE COUNTY (City)

Pop 10,015 PPA 0.02 %BO 0.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
8,105 8,733 9,361 9,989 10,617 11,245 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 9,128 9,006 10,223 10,015 10,031 10,048 10,065 10,081 10,098 10,115 10,132 10,149 -0.1% +1.3% -0.2% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: OCHILTREE COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: OCHILTREE COUNTY had a 2020 population of 10,015 across 917.7 square miles, yielding a density of 0.02 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 10,149, a gain of 134 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), OCHILTREE COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: OCHILTREE COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
OCHILTREE COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop9,1289,00610,22310,01510,03110,04810,06510,08110,09810,11510,13210,149
PPA0.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.02
%BO0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ODESSA (City)

Pop 114,428 PPA 4.26 %BO 53.3% Levy $60,963,331 Levy CAGR +4.7% E-Factor 0.61%
80,660 99,491 118,321 137,152 155,982 174,813 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 89,623 90,943 99,940 114,428 120,505 126,500 132,375 138,097 143,636 148,966 154,067 158,921 +0.1% +0.9% +1.4% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: ODESSA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ODESSA had a 2020 population of 114,428 across 42.0 square miles, yielding a density of 4.26 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 158,921, a gain of 44,493 (+38.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.41% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 53.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ODESSA is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 74.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ODESSA levied $60,963,331 in property taxes on a market value base of $15,929,956,257. The taxable value of $13,074,544,359 reflects 17.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4663 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3719 for Maintenance & Operations (79.8%) and $0.0944 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (20.2%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $519 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 4.7% CAGR lagged market value growth of 5.1% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.61% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): ODESSA collected $77,093,116 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.25% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $656 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 126.5% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.6% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ODESSA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop89,62390,94399,940114,428120,505126,500132,375138,097143,636148,966154,067158,921
PPA3.343.393.724.264.494.714.935.145.355.555.745.92
%BO41.7%42.3%46.5%53.3%56.1%58.9%61.6%64.3%66.9%69.4%71.7%74.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%114,428$12,439,025,291$10,138,944,61381.5%$0.3513$0.125926.4%$0.4771$48,374,425$423$54,472,666$476112.6%
20214.7%115,035$12,631,213,340$10,270,886,65081.3%$0.3529$0.124326.0%$0.4771$49,003,941$426$53,985,523$469110.2%
20228.0%115,643$13,251,547,827$10,681,023,06980.6%$0.3640$0.119824.8%$0.4838$51,673,828$447$63,441,233$549122.8%
20234.1%116,251$13,972,451,456$11,362,383,31781.3%$0.3709$0.112923.3%$0.4838$54,970,188$473$72,362,126$622131.6%
20243.2%116,858$15,171,386,911$12,451,947,00982.1%$0.3719$0.094420.2%$0.4663$58,060,315$497$73,027,369$625125.8%
2025*2.9%117,466$15,929,956,257$13,074,544,35982.1%$0.3719$0.094420.2%$0.4663$60,963,331$519$77,093,116$656126.5%
CAGR4.2%0.5%5.1%5.3%0.1%1.1%-5.6%-5.2%-0.5%4.7%4.1%7.6%7.0%2.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20209.3%9.9%9.6%8.9%10.6%7.5%6.9%8.2%6.9%7.1%8.0%7.0%$54,472,666
20216.5%10.9%6.4%6.2%9.1%8.1%7.8%10.0%8.3%8.1%10.2%8.3%$53,985,523
20227.2%9.1%6.5%7.1%9.4%7.9%8.2%8.9%8.6%9.0%9.3%8.8%$63,441,233
20238.0%9.2%8.6%7.2%9.4%7.6%8.4%9.2%8.2%8.4%8.4%7.4%$72,362,126
20247.5%9.7%7.1%8.0%9.0%8.2%8.1%8.7%8.1%7.9%9.1%8.5%$73,027,369
20257.6%10.6%8.1%7.2%9.4%8.3%8.0%9.3%7.1%7.7%8.3%8.3%$77,093,116
MEDIAN %7.6%9.8%7.6%7.2%9.4%8.0%8.1%9.1%8.2%8.0%8.8%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ORANGE (City)

Pop 19,324 PPA 1.42 %BO 17.7% Levy $12,325,281 Levy CAGR +6.1% E-Factor 1.02%
16,735 18,066 19,397 20,728 22,059 23,390 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 20,584 18,643 18,595 19,324 19,558 19,795 20,035 20,276 20,520 20,766 21,014 21,264 -1.0% -0.0% +0.4% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: ORANGE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ORANGE had a 2020 population of 19,324 across 21.3 square miles, yielding a density of 1.42 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 21,264, a gain of 1,940 (+10.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.12% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 17.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ORANGE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 19.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ORANGE levied $12,325,281 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,167,886,302. The taxable value of $1,567,438,822 reflects 27.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6889 per $100 valuation consists of $0.6587 for Maintenance & Operations (95.6%) and $0.0302 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (4.4%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $634 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 6.7% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.02% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): ORANGE collected $7,415,597 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $381 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 60.2% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.2% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: ORANGE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ORANGE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop20,58418,64318,59519,32419,55819,79520,03520,27620,52020,76621,01421,264
PPA1.511.371.361.421.431.451.471.491.501.521.541.56
%BO18.9%17.1%17.0%17.7%17.9%18.1%18.4%18.6%18.8%19.0%19.3%19.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%19,324$1,590,997,139$1,159,892,03672.9%$0.6796$0.04285.9%$0.7224$9,256,410$479$5,793,502$30062.6%
20214.7%19,347$1,677,589,821$1,218,902,52772.7%$0.6841$0.04966.8%$0.7338$9,745,129$504$6,829,658$35370.1%
20228.0%19,370$1,824,049,810$1,341,817,34873.6%$0.6566$0.03364.9%$0.6902$10,384,027$536$7,235,965$37469.7%
20234.1%19,394$2,037,688,322$1,492,109,42373.2%$0.6198$0.04416.6%$0.6640$11,201,042$578$9,328,328$48183.3%
20243.2%19,417$2,064,653,621$1,492,798,87872.3%$0.6587$0.03024.4%$0.6889$11,738,363$605$7,357,914$37962.7%
2025*2.9%19,441$2,167,886,302$1,567,438,82272.3%$0.6587$0.03024.4%$0.6889$12,325,281$634$7,415,597$38160.2%
CAGR4.2%0.1%6.7%6.5%-0.2%-0.6%-6.7%-5.9%-0.9%6.1%6.0%6.2%6.0%-0.8%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.0%9.4%6.9%6.3%9.1%9.1%7.6%10.0%7.6%7.0%11.0%9.0%$5,793,502
20217.2%10.3%7.1%6.6%10.7%8.0%7.5%10.4%7.1%7.6%10.5%7.0%$6,829,658
20227.7%11.4%8.4%7.5%9.3%9.8%7.0%8.7%7.0%5.5%11.4%6.4%$7,235,965
20236.7%9.4%6.1%7.8%10.0%8.0%8.8%11.9%9.7%8.1%8.7%4.7%$9,328,328
20246.0%9.5%7.2%5.7%13.4%7.8%7.9%8.9%8.2%8.1%9.8%7.4%$7,357,914
20257.3%12.1%6.8%6.5%9.7%8.7%7.7%10.0%7.8%7.2%9.1%7.2%$7,415,597
MEDIAN %7.2%10.0%7.1%6.6%10.0%8.5%7.7%10.1%7.8%7.5%10.3%7.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ORANGE (County)

Pop 19,324 PPA 1.42 %BO 17.7% Levy $46,841,639 Levy CAGR +7.5% E-Factor 2.42%
16,735 18,066 19,397 20,728 22,059 23,390 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 20,584 18,643 18,595 19,324 19,558 19,795 20,035 20,276 20,520 20,766 21,014 21,264 -1.0% -0.0% +0.4% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: ORANGE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ORANGE had a 2020 population of 19,324 across 21.3 square miles, yielding a density of 1.42 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 21,264, a gain of 1,940 (+10.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.12% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 17.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ORANGE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 19.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ORANGE levied $46,841,639 in property taxes on a market value base of $12,409,901,850. The taxable value of $9,148,278,966 reflects 26.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5100 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5045 for Maintenance & Operations (98.9%) and $0.0055 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (1.1%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $2,409 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 9.3% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.42% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Strategic Outlook: ORANGE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ORANGE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop20,58418,64318,59519,32419,55819,79520,03520,27620,52020,76621,01421,264
PPA1.511.371.361.421.431.451.471.491.501.521.541.56
%BO18.9%17.1%17.0%17.7%17.9%18.1%18.4%18.6%18.8%19.0%19.3%19.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%19,324$8,286,699,132~EstN/A$0.5358$0.00621.1%$0.5420$33,357,350$1,726
20214.7%19,347$8,705,172,194~EstN/A$0.5353$0.00671.2%$0.5420$34,936,270$1,806
20228.0%19,370$9,756,828,115~EstN/A$0.5270$0.00500.9%$0.5320$38,839,556$2,005
20234.1%19,394$11,227,671,357~EstN/A$0.5170$0.00501.0%$0.5220$43,090,120$2,222
20243.2%19,417$11,818,954,143$8,712,646,63473.7%$0.5045$0.00551.1%$0.5100$44,611,085$2,298
2025~2.9%19,441$12,409,901,850$9,148,278,96673.7%$0.5045$0.00551.1%$0.5100$46,841,639$2,409
CAGR4.2%0.1%9.3%-1.2%-2.3%-1.1%-1.2%7.5%7.4%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

ORANGE COUNTY (City)

Pop 84,808 PPA 0.40 %BO 5.0% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
72,458 81,080 89,702 98,324 106,946 115,568 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 80,509 84,966 81,837 84,808 87,121 89,494 91,928 94,424 96,985 99,610 102,302 105,062 +0.5% -0.4% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: ORANGE COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ORANGE COUNTY had a 2020 population of 84,808 across 333.8 square miles, yielding a density of 0.40 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 105,062, a gain of 20,254 (+23.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.27% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 5.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ORANGE COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 6.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: ORANGE COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ORANGE COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop80,50984,96681,83784,80887,12189,49491,92894,42496,98599,610102,302105,062
PPA0.380.400.380.400.410.420.430.440.450.470.480.49
%BO4.7%5.0%4.8%5.0%5.1%5.2%5.4%5.5%5.7%5.8%6.0%6.1%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.9%10.4%7.3%7.1%8.8%8.4%8.1%9.4%8.1%6.8%9.5%8.4%$5,753,834
20218.9%10.2%7.0%6.7%10.2%7.9%7.5%9.1%7.9%7.6%8.9%8.1%$6,524,079
20227.6%10.6%6.9%7.2%8.9%7.8%7.9%9.5%8.2%8.4%8.8%8.2%$7,290,132
20237.0%10.0%6.9%7.3%9.2%7.9%8.4%11.4%8.0%8.4%8.9%6.5%$8,001,425
20246.8%8.8%7.6%5.7%11.2%8.8%10.3%8.6%7.3%8.0%7.8%9.2%$8,519,295
20256.9%7.4%7.2%20.5%14.4%6.3%8.2%6.3%6.5%5.2%5.6%5.6%$12,847,083
MEDIAN %7.3%10.1%7.1%7.2%9.8%8.0%8.2%9.3%8.0%7.9%8.9%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

PALESTINE (City)

Pop 18,544 PPA 1.49 %BO 18.7% Levy $10,178,948 Levy CAGR +8.2% E-Factor 2.57%
15,838 16,804 17,771 18,738 19,704 20,671 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 18,134 17,598 18,712 18,544 18,574 18,605 18,636 18,667 18,699 18,730 18,761 18,792 -0.3% +0.6% -0.1% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: PALESTINE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: PALESTINE had a 2020 population of 18,544 across 19.4 square miles, yielding a density of 1.49 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 18,792, a gain of 248 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 18.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), PALESTINE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 18.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): PALESTINE levied $10,178,948 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,088,545,305. The taxable value of $1,712,805,788 reflects 18.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5943 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5686 for Maintenance & Operations (95.7%) and $0.0257 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (4.3%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $548 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.2% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.57% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): PALESTINE collected $8,960,437 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $483 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 88.0% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.0% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: PALESTINE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
PALESTINE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop18,13417,59818,71218,54418,57418,60518,63618,66718,69918,73018,76118,792
PPA1.461.421.511.491.501.501.501.501.511.511.511.51
%BO18.3%17.7%18.8%18.7%18.7%18.7%18.8%18.8%18.8%18.9%18.9%18.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%18,544$1,348,238,857$1,034,043,34176.7%$0.5557$0.128118.7%$0.6838$7,070,520$381$6,451,753$34891.2%
20214.7%18,547$1,416,832,566$1,078,383,23876.1%$0.5538$0.130019.0%$0.6838$7,373,704$398$6,871,676$37193.2%
20228.0%18,550$1,676,006,629$1,240,123,97774.0%$0.6486$0.02523.7%$0.6738$8,355,633$450$8,264,413$44698.9%
20234.1%18,553$1,954,657,238$1,561,914,97579.9%$0.5621$0.03215.4%$0.5943$9,282,226$500$8,187,461$44188.2%
20243.2%18,556$1,989,090,767$1,631,243,60882.0%$0.5686$0.02574.3%$0.5943$9,694,236$522$8,442,468$45587.1%
2025*2.9%18,559$2,088,545,305$1,712,805,78882.0%$0.5686$0.02574.3%$0.5943$10,178,948$548$8,960,437$48388.0%
CAGR4.2%0.0%10.2%12.1%1.3%0.5%-27.5%-25.4%-2.8%8.2%8.2%7.0%6.9%-0.7%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.1%10.5%7.1%7.0%9.2%7.6%8.1%10.0%7.7%7.6%10.1%8.2%$6,451,753
20216.9%9.7%6.9%5.9%11.1%8.1%6.3%9.8%8.4%8.4%9.8%8.6%$6,871,676
20227.6%7.9%6.8%6.1%8.9%8.4%14.5%9.1%7.6%7.5%8.4%7.1%$8,264,413
202310.2%10.5%7.2%7.0%9.0%7.2%8.0%9.5%7.5%8.7%8.5%6.8%$8,187,461
20248.3%10.8%7.0%7.6%9.2%7.7%7.8%8.7%7.9%7.4%9.5%8.3%$8,442,468
20257.5%11.1%6.9%6.5%8.9%8.0%8.1%9.4%8.1%7.9%9.0%8.7%$8,960,437
MEDIAN %7.6%10.6%7.0%6.8%9.2%7.9%8.1%9.5%7.9%7.8%9.3%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

PALMVIEW (City)

Pop 15,830 PPA 8.77 %BO 100.0% Levy $4,941,921 Levy CAGR +13.5% E-Factor 11.70%
2,188 5,233 8,278 11,323 14,368 17,413 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 2,432 4,107 5,460 15,830 15,830 15,830 15,830 15,830 15,830 15,830 15,830 15,830 +5.4% +2.9% +11.2% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: PALMVIEW (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: PALMVIEW had a 2020 population of 15,830 across 2.8 square miles, yielding a density of 8.77 persons per acre (PPA). This high density suggests an urbanized area with limited greenfield expansion potential. Build-Out Analysis: At 100.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), PALMVIEW is approaching full build-out. Projections show reaching theoretical capacity (100% build-out) before 2100, suggesting eventual need for annexation, densification, or growth boundary adjustments.
Property Tax Overview (2025): PALMVIEW levied $4,941,921 in property taxes on a market value base of $999,895,544. The taxable value of $867,003,606 reflects 13.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5700 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4266 for Maintenance & Operations (74.8%) and $0.1434 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (25.2%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $312 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 13.5% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 10.1% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 11.70% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): PALMVIEW collected $2,381,407 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $150 falls below regional averages, indicating primarily residential character with retail leakage to neighboring communities. Sales tax represents 48.2% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 19.9% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: PALMVIEW demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, limited greenfield options, strong economic elasticity. Long-term projections indicate eventual capacity constraints requiring proactive planning for annexation, vertical development, or managed growth boundaries. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
PALMVIEW
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop2,4324,1075,46015,83015,83015,83015,83015,83015,83015,83015,83015,830
PPA1.352.283.038.778.778.778.778.778.778.778.778.77
%BO16.8%28.4%37.8%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%15,830$647,501,911$579,506,95289.5%$0.4901N/AN/A$0.4901$2,840,164$179$1,128,603$7139.7%
20214.7%15,830$715,056,863$631,655,63288.3%$0.3457$0.154430.9%$0.5001$3,158,910$200$1,678,722$10653.1%
20228.0%15,830$793,689,213$695,764,28487.7%$0.3909$0.143726.9%$0.5346$3,719,556$235$2,255,380$14260.6%
20234.1%15,830$884,499,187$775,228,17487.6%$0.4155$0.143125.6%$0.5586$4,330,425$274$2,388,269$15155.2%
20243.2%15,830$952,281,470$825,717,72086.7%$0.4266$0.143425.2%$0.5700$4,706,591$297$2,335,609$14849.6%
2025*2.9%15,830$999,895,544$867,003,60686.7%$0.4266$0.143425.2%$0.5700$4,941,921$312$2,381,407$15048.2%
CAGR4.2%10.1%9.3%-0.6%-2.7%3.1%13.5%13.5%19.9%19.9%3.9%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.0%9.0%7.2%6.9%9.3%7.3%9.3%11.0%7.9%7.6%9.5%7.8%$1,128,603
20215.4%7.2%5.6%5.1%8.1%9.6%9.4%11.3%8.9%8.7%11.8%8.9%$1,678,722
20228.0%9.5%6.9%7.2%10.3%8.4%8.4%9.3%7.8%7.7%9.2%7.4%$2,255,380
20237.1%9.8%7.9%7.4%10.4%6.0%9.2%9.4%9.2%7.7%8.5%7.3%$2,388,269
20247.6%10.0%7.3%8.0%9.8%7.8%8.1%8.6%7.6%8.4%9.1%7.9%$2,335,609
20258.0%10.4%7.5%7.2%9.5%8.3%7.9%8.8%8.1%7.1%9.4%7.7%$2,381,407
MEDIAN %7.4%9.7%7.2%7.2%9.6%8.0%8.8%9.4%8.0%7.7%9.3%7.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

PALO PINTO COUNTY (City)

Pop 28,409 PPA 0.05 %BO 0.6% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
22,549 25,548 28,547 31,546 34,546 37,545 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 25,055 27,026 28,111 28,409 29,068 29,743 30,433 31,140 31,862 32,602 33,358 34,132 +0.8% +0.4% +0.1% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: PALO PINTO COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: PALO PINTO COUNTY had a 2020 population of 28,409 across 952.5 square miles, yielding a density of 0.05 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 34,132, a gain of 5,723 (+20.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.23% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), PALO PINTO COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.7%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: PALO PINTO COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
PALO PINTO COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop25,05527,02628,11128,40929,06829,74330,43331,14031,86232,60233,35834,132
PPA0.040.040.050.050.050.050.050.050.050.050.050.06
%BO0.5%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.2%9.1%7.6%6.8%8.0%8.9%8.7%10.0%8.6%8.2%8.9%7.9%$1,732,186
20217.2%8.8%6.7%6.3%9.7%8.4%8.4%9.6%8.3%8.8%9.3%8.4%$1,966,987
20227.4%8.4%6.8%6.1%9.1%7.8%8.1%9.5%9.6%9.8%9.3%8.3%$2,377,323
20237.8%8.4%6.4%6.3%8.5%7.7%9.6%11.3%9.1%9.2%7.9%7.8%$2,674,159
20247.9%8.8%6.8%7.3%8.7%8.3%8.1%9.3%9.0%8.6%8.9%8.5%$2,667,725
20257.6%9.8%7.1%6.8%8.7%8.4%8.4%8.6%8.6%8.2%8.5%9.3%$2,931,922
MEDIAN %7.5%8.8%6.9%6.6%8.7%8.4%8.5%9.6%8.9%8.8%9.0%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

PAMPA (City)

Pop 16,867 PPA 2.94 %BO 36.8% Levy $6,354,062 Levy CAGR +5.6% E-Factor 1.19%
15,180 16,520 17,861 19,202 20,542 21,883 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 19,894 17,887 17,994 16,867 16,895 16,923 16,951 16,979 17,008 17,036 17,064 17,093 -1.1% +0.1% -0.6% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: PAMPA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: PAMPA had a 2020 population of 16,867 across 9.0 square miles, yielding a density of 2.94 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 17,093, a gain of 226 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 36.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), PAMPA has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 37.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): PAMPA levied $6,354,062 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,115,586,188. The taxable value of $866,324,178 reflects 22.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7335 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5345 for Maintenance & Operations (72.9%) and $0.1990 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (27.1%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $376 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 6.3% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.19% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): PAMPA collected $6,097,327 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $361 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 96.0% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.8% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: PAMPA demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
PAMPA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop19,89417,88717,99416,86716,89516,92316,95116,97917,00817,03617,06417,093
PPA3.473.123.142.942.952.952.962.962.972.972.982.98
%BO43.4%39.0%39.2%36.8%36.8%36.9%37.0%37.0%37.1%37.1%37.2%37.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%16,867$833,461,200$665,538,66379.9%$0.5439$0.186125.5%$0.7300$4,858,432$288$4,601,846$27394.7%
20214.7%16,869$845,141,686$677,642,12680.2%$0.5417$0.188325.8%$0.7300$4,946,788$293$5,032,565$298101.7%
20228.0%16,872$865,343,869$697,537,11980.6%$0.5477$0.182325.0%$0.7300$5,092,021$302$5,473,459$324107.5%
20234.1%16,875$938,011,614$749,479,40479.9%$0.5694$0.190625.1%$0.7600$5,696,043$338$5,960,024$353104.6%
20243.2%16,878$1,062,463,036$825,070,64677.7%$0.5345$0.199027.1%$0.7335$6,051,488$359$5,982,458$35498.9%
2025*2.9%16,881$1,115,586,188$866,324,17877.7%$0.5345$0.199027.1%$0.7335$6,354,062$376$6,097,327$36196.0%
CAGR4.2%0.0%6.3%5.5%-0.6%-0.4%1.4%1.3%0.1%5.6%5.6%6.8%6.8%0.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.7%11.4%7.4%6.4%9.5%7.3%8.5%9.6%8.2%7.8%8.8%7.3%$4,601,846
20217.4%9.8%6.7%6.1%10.7%8.3%7.4%10.4%8.0%8.0%9.3%7.8%$5,032,565
20228.0%9.5%6.9%6.8%10.0%8.0%7.7%9.9%8.2%9.0%8.8%7.2%$5,473,459
20237.4%9.6%6.9%6.5%9.7%7.2%7.6%11.6%8.6%8.7%8.7%7.4%$5,960,024
20248.1%9.4%6.9%7.2%10.1%7.8%7.6%8.5%8.4%8.3%9.1%8.4%$5,982,458
20257.6%10.1%7.3%6.6%8.9%8.7%7.9%9.1%9.7%7.6%8.4%8.1%$6,097,327
MEDIAN %7.8%9.8%7.0%6.6%9.9%8.0%7.8%9.9%8.4%8.2%8.9%7.7%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

PANOLA COUNTY (City)

Pop 22,491 PPA 0.04 %BO 0.5% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
19,831 21,100 22,369 23,637 24,906 26,175 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 22,035 22,756 23,796 22,491 22,528 22,566 22,603 22,641 22,679 22,716 22,754 22,792 +0.3% +0.4% -0.6% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: PANOLA COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: PANOLA COUNTY had a 2020 population of 22,491 across 811.4 square miles, yielding a density of 0.04 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 22,792, a gain of 301 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), PANOLA COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: PANOLA COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
PANOLA COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop22,03522,75623,79622,49122,52822,56622,60322,64122,67922,71622,75422,792
PPA0.040.040.050.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.04
%BO0.5%0.5%0.6%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

PARIS (City)

Pop 24,476 PPA 1.05 %BO 13.1% Levy $13,762,601 Levy CAGR +7.1% E-Factor 2.07%
22,028 23,320 24,612 25,904 27,195 28,487 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 25,595 25,898 25,171 24,476 24,516 24,557 24,598 24,639 24,680 24,721 24,763 24,804 +0.1% -0.3% -0.3% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: PARIS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: PARIS had a 2020 population of 24,476 across 36.5 square miles, yielding a density of 1.05 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 24,804, a gain of 328 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 13.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), PARIS has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 13.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): PARIS levied $13,762,601 in property taxes on a market value base of $4,219,263,987. The taxable value of $2,984,085,240 reflects 29.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4612 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3129 for Maintenance & Operations (67.8%) and $0.1483 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (32.2%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $562 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 8.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.07% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): PARIS collected $13,763,951 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $562 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 100.0% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.1% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: PARIS demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
PARIS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop25,59525,89825,17124,47624,51624,55724,59824,63924,68024,72124,76324,804
PPA1.101.111.081.051.051.051.051.051.061.061.061.06
%BO13.7%13.9%13.5%13.1%13.1%13.1%13.2%13.2%13.2%13.2%13.3%13.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%24,476$2,954,908,960$2,071,847,27270.1%$0.3979$0.082917.2%$0.4808$9,961,027$407$9,950,289$40799.9%
20214.7%24,480$3,180,139,974$2,227,761,25370.1%$0.3736$0.080217.7%$0.4537$10,108,021$413$11,048,084$451109.3%
20228.0%24,484$3,533,310,660$2,423,248,49768.6%$0.3438$0.099022.4%$0.4428$10,729,660$438$11,715,521$478109.2%
20234.1%24,488$3,793,039,719$2,670,711,76770.4%$0.3218$0.156132.7%$0.4778$12,761,195$521$12,591,056$51498.7%
20243.2%24,492$4,018,346,654$2,841,985,94370.7%$0.3129$0.148332.2%$0.4612$13,107,239$535$13,079,032$53499.8%
2025*2.9%24,496$4,219,263,987$2,984,085,24070.7%$0.3129$0.148332.2%$0.4612$13,762,601$562$13,763,951$562100.0%
CAGR4.2%0.0%8.0%8.2%0.2%-4.7%12.3%13.3%-0.8%7.1%7.1%7.1%7.1%0.0%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.8%9.6%6.8%6.5%8.3%7.2%7.8%10.0%8.4%8.2%11.7%8.6%$9,950,289
20217.2%10.0%7.1%5.9%10.6%8.4%8.0%9.6%8.5%7.5%9.4%7.8%$11,048,084
20227.7%9.4%7.9%6.5%8.8%8.1%7.5%9.4%8.3%8.4%9.7%8.5%$11,715,521
20237.8%9.8%7.3%7.1%9.1%8.0%8.2%9.2%8.2%8.7%8.8%7.9%$12,591,056
20248.0%10.1%6.9%7.5%9.0%8.1%7.8%8.8%8.5%8.3%8.6%8.3%$13,079,032
20257.3%10.2%6.7%6.0%8.4%8.5%7.3%8.5%9.4%7.0%12.2%8.4%$13,763,951
MEDIAN %7.5%9.9%7.0%6.5%8.9%8.1%7.9%9.3%8.5%8.3%9.6%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

PARKER (County)

Pop 5,462 PPA 1.08 %BO 13.5% Levy $87,591,546 Levy CAGR +10.5% E-Factor 1.47%
1,055 8,191 15,328 22,464 29,600 36,736 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 1,173 1,379 3,811 5,462 7,784 10,794 14,462 18,606 22,903 26,979 30,529 33,397 +1.6% +10.7% +3.7% +3.6% +3.3% +3.0% +2.6% +2.1% +1.7% +1.2% +0.9% Population Trend: PARKER (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: PARKER had a 2020 population of 5,462 across 7.9 square miles, yielding a density of 1.08 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 33,397, a gain of 27,935 (+511.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.29% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 13.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), PARKER has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 82.5%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): PARKER levied $87,591,546 in property taxes on a market value base of $42,759,522,863. The taxable value of $29,308,190,639 reflects 31.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.2992 per $100 valuation consists of $0.1853 for Maintenance & Operations (79.7%) and $0.0607 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (20.3%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $13,225 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 10.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 17.3% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.47% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Strategic Outlook: PARKER demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
PARKER
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop1,1731,3793,8115,4627,78410,79414,46218,60622,90326,97930,52933,397
PPA0.230.270.751.081.542.132.863.684.525.336.036.60
%BO2.9%3.4%9.4%13.5%19.2%26.7%35.7%45.9%56.6%66.6%75.4%82.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%5,462$21,511,240,430~EstN/A$0.2787$0.079922.3%$0.3586$56,017,196$10,256
20214.7%5,694$25,657,394,175~EstN/A$0.2582$0.071221.6%$0.3294$60,817,093$10,681
20228.0%5,926$27,248,641,449~EstN/A$0.2577$0.057618.3%$0.3153$63,692,098$10,748
20234.1%6,158$39,805,803,761~EstN/A$0.2409$0.046216.1%$0.2871$74,375,387$12,078
20243.2%6,390$40,723,355,108$27,912,562,51368.5%$0.1853$0.060720.3%$0.2992$83,420,520$13,055
2025~2.9%6,623$42,759,522,863$29,308,190,63968.5%$0.1853$0.060720.3%$0.2992$87,591,546$13,225
CAGR4.2%3.9%17.3%-7.8%-5.4%-1.9%-3.6%10.5%6.2%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

PARKER COUNTY (City)

Pop 148,222 PPA 0.26 %BO 3.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
58,306 250,528 442,750 634,972 827,194 1,019,416 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 64,785 88,495 116,927 148,222 189,110 240,679 305,355 385,902 485,337 606,773 753,131 926,742 +3.2% +2.8% +2.4% +2.5% +2.4% +2.4% +2.4% +2.3% +2.3% +2.2% +2.1% Population Trend: PARKER COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: PARKER COUNTY had a 2020 population of 148,222 across 903.7 square miles, yielding a density of 0.26 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 926,742, a gain of 778,520 (+525.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.32% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 3.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), PARKER COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 20.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: PARKER COUNTY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
PARKER COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop64,78588,495116,927148,222189,110240,679305,355385,902485,337606,773753,131926,742
PPA0.110.150.200.260.330.420.530.670.841.051.301.60
%BO1.4%1.9%2.5%3.2%4.1%5.2%6.6%8.3%10.5%13.1%16.3%20.0%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.4%10.0%7.3%6.9%8.1%8.0%8.6%9.5%9.2%8.2%8.7%8.2%$11,089,477
20216.8%10.3%6.7%6.0%9.6%8.3%8.0%9.7%8.6%8.5%9.5%8.2%$13,254,298
20227.7%9.5%7.0%6.7%9.2%7.9%8.2%9.5%8.2%8.4%9.2%8.5%$15,426,740
20238.1%9.6%7.5%7.3%8.7%7.7%8.8%9.2%8.1%8.6%8.5%8.0%$16,797,131
20248.3%9.5%7.2%7.7%8.4%8.1%7.9%9.6%8.8%7.8%8.2%8.6%$17,642,655
20257.9%10.7%7.0%6.7%8.4%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.6%8.3%8.3%9.0%$18,707,807
MEDIAN %7.8%9.8%7.1%6.8%8.6%8.0%8.3%9.5%8.6%8.4%8.6%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

PARMER COUNTY (City)

Pop 9,869 PPA 0.02 %BO 0.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
8,876 9,360 9,844 10,328 10,812 11,295 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 9,863 10,016 10,269 9,869 9,885 9,901 9,918 9,934 9,951 9,968 9,984 10,001 +0.2% +0.2% -0.4% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: PARMER COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: PARMER COUNTY had a 2020 population of 9,869 across 880.8 square miles, yielding a density of 0.02 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 10,001, a gain of 132 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), PARMER COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: PARMER COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
PARMER COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop9,86310,01610,2699,8699,8859,9019,9189,9349,9519,9689,98410,001
PPA0.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.02
%BO0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

PASADENA (City)

Pop 151,950 PPA 5.55 %BO 69.4% Levy $78,932,276 Levy CAGR +4.7% E-Factor 0.00%
108,033 123,133 138,233 153,333 168,432 183,532 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 120,037 141,674 149,043 151,950 153,938 155,892 157,810 159,693 161,538 163,346 165,116 166,848 +1.7% +0.5% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: PASADENA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: PASADENA had a 2020 population of 151,950 across 42.8 square miles, yielding a density of 5.55 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 166,848, a gain of 14,898 (+9.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.12% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 69.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), PASADENA is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 76.2%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): PASADENA levied $78,932,276 in property taxes on a market value base of $20,272,444,300. The taxable value of $16,623,130,647 reflects 18.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4748 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3947 for Maintenance & Operations (83.1%) and $0.0801 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (16.9%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $516 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 4.7% CAGR lagged market value growth of 5.5% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): PASADENA collected $45,726,461 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $299 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 57.9% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 4.8% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
PASADENA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop120,037141,674149,043151,950153,938155,892157,810159,693161,538163,346165,116166,848
PPA4.395.185.455.555.635.705.775.845.905.976.036.10
%BO54.8%64.7%68.1%69.4%70.3%71.2%72.1%72.9%73.8%74.6%75.4%76.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%151,950$15,589,555,947$11,726,672,04475.2%$0.4233$0.110420.7%$0.5337$62,582,552$412$36,336,769$23958.1%
20214.7%152,148$16,103,734,725$12,252,229,34176.1%$0.4214$0.094518.3%$0.5159$63,210,354$415$40,103,137$26463.4%
20228.0%152,347$18,434,727,211$14,021,456,90376.1%$0.3943$0.103220.7%$0.4976$69,768,386$458$43,134,137$28361.8%
20234.1%152,546$19,530,825,781$15,879,210,97581.3%$0.3709$0.084718.6%$0.4555$72,332,029$474$43,929,246$28860.7%
20243.2%152,745$19,307,089,810$15,831,552,99782.0%$0.3947$0.080116.9%$0.4748$75,173,596$492$43,849,650$28758.3%
2025*2.9%152,944$20,272,444,300$16,623,130,64782.0%$0.3947$0.080116.9%$0.4748$78,932,276$516$45,726,461$29957.9%
CAGR4.2%0.1%5.5%7.8%1.7%-1.4%-6.2%-4.0%-2.3%4.7%4.6%4.8%4.7%-0.0%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.2%11.5%7.5%7.7%8.8%7.2%7.1%10.3%7.5%7.2%9.1%8.0%$36,336,769
20217.3%9.3%6.8%6.3%10.1%8.6%9.5%9.3%7.8%7.8%9.1%8.1%$40,103,137
20227.9%10.9%6.9%6.9%9.4%8.0%8.2%9.3%7.8%8.1%8.7%7.9%$43,134,137
20237.9%10.3%7.2%7.8%9.5%7.8%8.2%7.2%8.4%8.5%9.0%8.3%$43,929,246
20247.8%10.0%7.2%7.6%9.0%8.0%8.1%8.8%8.4%7.9%8.6%8.5%$43,849,650
20258.1%10.5%7.2%7.2%9.3%8.4%7.9%8.7%8.1%7.8%8.7%8.3%$45,726,461
MEDIAN %7.9%10.4%7.2%7.4%9.3%8.0%8.1%9.0%7.9%7.8%8.8%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

PEARLAND (City)

Pop 125,828 PPA 4.18 %BO 52.3% Levy $118,559,717 Levy CAGR +5.8% E-Factor 0.02%
20,945 68,169 115,393 162,616 209,840 257,064 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 23,273 37,640 91,252 125,828 150,681 173,098 191,782 206,351 217,130 224,797 230,099 233,695 +4.9% +9.3% +3.3% +1.8% +1.4% +1.0% +0.7% +0.5% +0.3% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: PEARLAND (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: PEARLAND had a 2020 population of 125,828 across 47.0 square miles, yielding a density of 4.18 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 233,695, a gain of 107,867 (+85.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.78% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 52.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), PEARLAND is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 97.1%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): PEARLAND levied $118,559,717 in property taxes on a market value base of $22,631,346,932. The taxable value of $18,670,821,822 reflects 17.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6350 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3350 for Maintenance & Operations (52.8%) and $0.3000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (47.2%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $858 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.3% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.02% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): PEARLAND collected $48,219,651 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $349 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 40.7% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.1% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: PEARLAND demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
PEARLAND
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop23,27337,64091,252125,828150,681173,098191,782206,351217,130224,797230,099233,695
PPA0.771.253.034.185.015.756.376.867.227.477.657.77
%BO9.7%15.6%37.9%52.3%62.6%71.9%79.7%85.7%90.2%93.4%95.6%97.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%125,828$14,578,339,994$12,537,996,52386.0%$0.3050$0.415057.6%$0.7200$90,273,574$717$33,777,755$26837.4%
20214.7%128,313$15,128,084,465$12,919,459,25185.4%$0.3094$0.392055.9%$0.7014$90,619,154$706$39,031,503$30443.1%
20228.0%130,798$17,595,298,784$14,684,237,38983.5%$0.2850$0.338854.3%$0.6238$91,595,134$700$43,064,038$32947.0%
20234.1%133,283$21,362,931,799$17,162,415,65980.3%$0.3325$0.322949.3%$0.6554$112,482,473$844$45,191,602$33940.2%
20243.2%135,769$21,553,663,745$17,781,735,06982.5%$0.3350$0.300047.2%$0.6350$112,914,016$832$46,149,273$34040.9%
2025*2.9%138,254$22,631,346,932$18,670,821,82282.5%$0.3350$0.300047.2%$0.6350$118,559,717$858$48,219,651$34940.7%
CAGR4.2%1.9%10.3%9.1%-0.8%1.9%-6.3%-3.9%-2.5%5.8%3.8%8.1%6.1%1.7%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.9%11.4%7.2%6.8%8.4%7.1%8.1%9.8%7.6%7.7%9.7%8.2%$33,777,755
20217.4%10.1%6.9%6.2%9.0%8.3%8.3%9.6%8.2%8.1%9.7%8.1%$39,031,503
20227.9%10.5%6.9%6.8%9.3%8.0%7.8%9.3%8.2%8.1%9.1%8.1%$43,064,038
20237.9%10.9%7.3%7.2%9.1%7.4%8.2%9.3%8.2%8.2%8.8%7.6%$45,191,602
20248.0%10.3%7.0%7.2%9.0%7.5%7.8%9.1%8.8%8.2%8.8%8.0%$46,149,273
20257.9%11.6%6.9%6.7%8.8%7.7%7.9%8.7%8.6%7.6%8.8%8.8%$48,219,651
MEDIAN %8.0%10.7%7.0%6.8%9.0%7.6%8.1%9.3%8.2%8.1%9.0%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

PEARSALL (City)

Pop 7,325 PPA 1.93 %BO 24.1% Levy $3,525,718 Levy CAGR +3.8% E-Factor 3.23%
6,408 7,138 7,869 8,599 9,330 10,060 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 7,120 7,157 9,146 7,325 7,337 7,349 7,361 7,373 7,386 7,398 7,410 7,423 +0.1% +2.5% -2.2% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: PEARSALL (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: PEARSALL had a 2020 population of 7,325 across 5.9 square miles, yielding a density of 1.93 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 7,423, a gain of 98 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 24.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), PEARSALL has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 24.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): PEARSALL levied $3,525,718 in property taxes on a market value base of $518,890,092. The taxable value of $406,833,693 reflects 21.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.8666 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4588 for Maintenance & Operations (52.9%) and $0.4078 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (47.1%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $481 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 3.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 5.0% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.23% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): PEARSALL collected $2,970,310 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $405 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 84.2% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 12.7% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: PEARSALL demonstrates substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
PEARSALL
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop7,1207,1579,1467,3257,3377,3497,3617,3737,3867,3987,4107,423
PPA1.881.892.411.931.931.941.941.941.951.951.951.96
%BO23.5%23.6%30.1%24.1%24.2%24.2%24.2%24.3%24.3%24.4%24.4%24.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%7,325$406,769,812$333,472,42682.0%$0.8666N/AN/A$0.8666$2,889,952$395$1,954,184$26767.6%
20214.7%7,326$392,015,800$317,668,38081.0%$0.4582$0.408447.1%$0.8666$2,752,990$376$2,197,387$30079.8%
20228.0%7,327$419,363,745$341,680,42581.5%$0.4462$0.420448.5%$0.8666$2,961,085$404$2,472,360$33783.5%
20234.1%7,328$442,997,150$358,302,83080.9%$0.4529$0.413747.7%$0.8666$3,105,138$424$2,980,402$40796.0%
20243.2%7,329$494,181,040$387,460,66078.4%$0.4588$0.407847.1%$0.8666$3,357,827$458$3,148,715$43093.8%
2025*2.9%7,331$518,890,092$406,833,69378.4%$0.4588$0.407847.1%$0.8666$3,525,718$481$2,970,310$40584.2%
CAGR4.2%0.0%5.0%3.8%-0.9%-11.9%3.8%3.8%12.7%12.7%4.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.1%12.1%9.2%8.4%9.0%8.1%7.5%8.4%7.4%6.7%8.1%7.0%$1,954,184
20219.2%8.6%6.8%6.6%9.3%8.2%7.4%8.6%7.9%10.0%9.5%7.9%$2,197,387
20227.4%10.1%6.8%7.2%8.6%7.7%7.0%10.3%8.4%8.6%8.9%9.1%$2,472,360
20238.8%8.6%7.6%7.5%8.2%9.9%9.5%11.1%8.7%10.2%3.1%6.8%$2,980,402
20247.6%7.7%7.1%6.9%8.9%12.0%8.4%8.7%8.3%8.6%7.9%7.6%$3,148,715
20256.8%10.7%7.7%7.0%9.2%9.0%7.1%8.6%7.5%8.6%9.2%8.6%$2,970,310
MEDIAN %8.0%9.5%7.5%7.2%9.1%8.7%7.6%8.8%8.2%8.8%8.7%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

PECOS (City)

Pop 12,916 PPA 2.76 %BO 34.5% Levy $6,048,303 Levy CAGR +13.5% E-Factor 3.47%
7,902 12,807 17,713 22,619 27,525 32,431 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 12,073 9,501 8,780 12,916 15,044 17,277 19,554 21,809 23,976 26,001 27,845 29,483 -2.4% -0.8% +3.9% +1.5% +1.4% +1.2% +1.1% +1.0% +0.8% +0.7% +0.6% Population Trend: PECOS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: PECOS had a 2020 population of 12,916 across 7.3 square miles, yielding a density of 2.76 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 29,483, a gain of 16,567 (+128.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.04% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 34.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), PECOS has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 78.8%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): PECOS levied $6,048,303 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,949,928,680. The taxable value of $1,486,690,668 reflects 23.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4068 per $100 valuation consists of $0.1552 for Maintenance & Operations (38.2%) and $0.2516 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (61.8%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $433 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 13.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 26.2% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.47% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): PECOS collected $9,970,491 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $713 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 164.8% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.7% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: PECOS demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
PECOS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop12,0739,5018,78012,91615,04417,27719,55421,80923,97626,00127,84529,483
PPA2.582.031.882.763.223.694.184.665.125.565.956.30
%BO32.3%25.4%23.5%34.5%40.2%46.2%52.2%58.3%64.1%69.5%74.4%78.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%12,916$732,280,368$613,644,99183.8%$0.5657N/AN/A$0.5657$3,471,316$269$7,939,648$615228.7%
20214.7%13,128$826,296,934$651,385,42278.8%$0.2731$0.292751.7%$0.5657$3,684,979$281$6,360,824$485172.6%
20228.0%13,341$947,492,555$744,913,18778.6%$0.2945$0.270447.9%$0.5649$4,208,238$315$9,140,781$685217.2%
20234.1%13,554$1,294,684,856$1,088,746,64284.1%$0.2206$0.192946.7%$0.4135$4,501,750$332$11,818,632$872262.5%
20243.2%13,767$1,857,074,933$1,415,895,87476.2%$0.1552$0.251661.8%$0.4068$5,760,289$418$10,275,084$746178.4%
2025*2.9%13,980$1,949,928,680$1,486,690,66876.2%$0.1552$0.251661.8%$0.4068$6,048,303$433$9,970,491$713164.8%
CAGR4.2%1.6%26.2%23.2%-1.9%-22.8%-6.4%13.5%11.7%6.7%5.0%-6.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
202010.3%11.7%12.9%9.6%10.6%8.1%6.1%6.7%5.4%5.5%6.7%6.4%$7,939,648
20217.3%8.5%7.8%5.3%9.7%9.3%7.8%9.9%7.6%9.3%9.7%7.7%$6,360,824
20225.9%6.4%7.0%6.2%9.1%9.5%8.8%8.8%10.1%9.3%8.5%10.4%$9,140,781
20235.8%9.3%9.4%6.4%9.7%7.7%8.3%14.7%7.0%8.2%7.1%6.5%$11,818,632
20249.3%9.4%9.7%8.0%11.1%8.3%8.0%8.6%6.4%7.8%5.3%8.2%$10,275,084
20256.9%6.9%9.3%6.5%8.5%7.9%7.4%8.8%8.0%9.8%9.8%10.2%$9,970,491
MEDIAN %7.2%9.1%9.5%6.6%9.9%8.4%8.0%8.9%7.4%8.9%8.0%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

PECOS (County)

Pop 12,916 PPA 2.76 %BO 34.5% Levy $41,112,836 Levy CAGR +6.8% E-Factor 0.16%
7,902 12,807 17,713 22,619 27,525 32,431 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 12,073 9,501 8,780 12,916 15,044 17,277 19,554 21,809 23,976 26,001 27,845 29,483 -2.4% -0.8% +3.9% +1.5% +1.4% +1.2% +1.1% +1.0% +0.8% +0.7% +0.6% Population Trend: PECOS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: PECOS had a 2020 population of 12,916 across 7.3 square miles, yielding a density of 2.76 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 29,483, a gain of 16,567 (+128.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.04% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 34.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), PECOS has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 78.8%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): PECOS levied $41,112,836 in property taxes on a market value base of $8,523,712,047. The taxable value of $6,245,150,552 reflects 26.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6700 per $100 valuation consists of $0.6700 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $2,941 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.1% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.16% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Strategic Outlook: PECOS demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
PECOS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop12,0739,5018,78012,91615,04417,27719,55421,80923,97626,00127,84529,483
PPA2.582.031.882.763.223.694.184.665.125.565.956.30
%BO32.3%25.4%23.5%34.5%40.2%46.2%52.2%58.3%64.1%69.5%74.4%78.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%12,916$5,327,610,221~EstN/A$0.7074N/AN/A$0.7074$30,128,405$2,333
20214.7%13,128$5,831,340,520~EstN/A$0.7770N/AN/A$0.7770$31,923,954$2,432
20228.0%13,341$7,818,545,432~EstN/A$0.5853N/AN/A$0.5853$33,743,484$2,529
20234.1%13,554$8,243,875,485~EstN/A$0.5380N/AN/A$0.5380$33,512,863$2,473
20243.2%13,767$8,117,820,997$5,947,762,43073.3%$0.6700N/AN/A$0.6700$39,155,082$2,844
2025~2.9%13,980$8,523,712,047$6,245,150,55273.3%$0.6700N/AN/A$0.6700$41,112,836$2,941
CAGR4.2%1.6%11.1%-1.1%-1.1%6.8%5.1%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

PECOS COUNTY (City)

Pop 15,193 PPA 0.00 %BO 0.1% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
13,207 14,263 15,320 16,376 17,433 18,489 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 14,675 16,809 15,507 15,193 15,218 15,243 15,269 15,294 15,320 15,345 15,371 15,396 +1.4% -0.8% -0.2% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: PECOS COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: PECOS COUNTY had a 2020 population of 15,193 across 4763.8 square miles, yielding a density of 0.00 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 15,396, a gain of 203 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), PECOS COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: PECOS COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
PECOS COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop14,67516,80915,50715,19315,21815,24315,26915,29415,32015,34515,37115,396
PPA0.000.010.010.000.000.000.010.010.010.010.010.01
%BO0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

PERRYTON (City)

Pop 8,492 PPA 2.88 %BO 36.0% Levy $2,903,830 Levy CAGR +6.1% E-Factor 0.00%
6,890 7,448 8,007 8,565 9,123 9,682 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 7,656 7,774 8,802 8,492 8,506 8,520 8,534 8,548 8,563 8,577 8,591 8,605 +0.2% +1.2% -0.4% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: PERRYTON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: PERRYTON had a 2020 population of 8,492 across 4.6 square miles, yielding a density of 2.88 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 8,605, a gain of 113 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 36.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), PERRYTON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 36.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): PERRYTON levied $2,903,830 in property taxes on a market value base of $552,132,213. The taxable value of $524,696,856 reflects 5.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5534 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5534 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $342 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.1% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 2.4% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): PERRYTON collected $3,083,436 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $363 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 106.2% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 3.4% CAGR, reflecting stable retail environment.
Strategic Outlook: PERRYTON demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
PERRYTON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop7,6567,7748,8028,4928,5068,5208,5348,5488,5638,5778,5918,605
PPA2.592.632.982.882.882.892.892.902.902.912.912.92
%BO32.4%32.9%37.3%36.0%36.0%36.1%36.2%36.2%36.3%36.3%36.4%36.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%8,492$478,378,066$455,537,91695.2%$0.4369$0.04138.6%$0.4783$2,178,742$257$2,652,342$312121.7%
20214.7%8,493$470,681,038$448,105,18395.2%$0.4424$0.04158.6%$0.4839$2,168,363$255$2,678,465$315123.5%
20228.0%8,494$495,994,387$469,674,36294.7%$0.5015N/AN/A$0.5015$2,355,346$277$3,249,944$383138.0%
20234.1%8,496$528,612,327$495,096,82293.7%$0.5015N/AN/A$0.5015$2,482,836$292$3,135,826$369126.3%
20243.2%8,497$525,840,203$499,711,29195.0%$0.5534N/AN/A$0.5534$2,765,552$325$3,035,441$357109.8%
2025*2.9%8,499$552,132,213$524,696,85695.0%$0.5534N/AN/A$0.5534$2,903,830$342$3,083,436$363106.2%
CAGR4.2%0.0%2.4%2.3%-0.0%4.8%3.0%6.1%6.1%3.4%3.4%-2.7%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.1%11.7%8.8%6.6%9.3%8.1%6.9%9.9%7.4%7.2%9.4%7.4%$2,652,342
20216.3%10.2%6.8%6.4%10.2%7.9%7.5%10.6%8.4%6.6%10.5%8.5%$2,678,465
20228.4%10.7%7.3%6.4%9.5%7.3%7.8%9.9%7.7%8.9%8.5%7.6%$3,249,944
20238.4%9.2%6.6%6.8%9.1%6.8%8.4%9.4%7.9%9.8%10.1%7.5%$3,135,826
20248.2%9.2%7.3%7.9%9.3%7.6%8.2%9.3%7.8%8.3%8.2%8.8%$3,035,441
20257.0%10.1%7.4%7.2%9.8%8.6%8.0%9.5%8.9%7.3%8.3%8.0%$3,083,436
MEDIAN %7.7%10.2%7.4%6.8%9.5%7.9%8.0%9.8%7.9%7.9%9.0%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

PFLUGERVILLE (City)

Pop 65,191 PPA 4.56 %BO 57.0% Levy $68,657,319 Levy CAGR +18.7% E-Factor 7.52%
5,229 29,066 52,902 76,739 100,575 124,412 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 5,811 16,335 46,936 65,191 79,222 90,727 99,193 104,937 108,622 110,902 112,280 113,102 +10.9% +11.1% +3.3% +2.0% +1.4% +0.9% +0.6% +0.3% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: PFLUGERVILLE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: PFLUGERVILLE had a 2020 population of 65,191 across 22.3 square miles, yielding a density of 4.56 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 113,102, a gain of 47,911 (+73.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.69% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 57.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), PFLUGERVILLE is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 99.0%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): PFLUGERVILLE levied $68,657,319 in property taxes on a market value base of $15,447,723,556. The taxable value of $12,648,732,388 reflects 18.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5428 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2530 for Maintenance & Operations (46.6%) and $0.2898 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (53.4%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $951 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 18.7% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 16.3% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 7.52% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): PFLUGERVILLE collected $29,726,255 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $412 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 43.3% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 10.6% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: PFLUGERVILLE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
PFLUGERVILLE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop5,81116,33546,93665,19179,22290,72799,193104,937108,622110,902112,280113,102
PPA0.411.143.294.565.556.356.947.357.607.767.867.92
%BO5.1%14.3%41.1%57.0%69.3%79.4%86.8%91.8%95.1%97.0%98.3%99.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%65,191$8,029,166,300$6,783,200,20684.5%$0.3101$0.176236.2%$0.4863$32,986,702$506$19,166,332$29458.1%
20214.7%66,594$9,076,904,657$7,626,097,90184.0%$0.2867$0.199641.0%$0.4863$37,085,714$557$24,514,859$36866.1%
20228.0%67,997$13,390,825,738$9,823,513,98173.4%$0.2682$0.213144.3%$0.4813$47,280,573$695$27,106,229$39957.3%
20234.1%69,400$14,835,986,466$11,344,199,03276.5%$0.2485$0.287753.7%$0.5362$60,827,595$876$27,700,712$39945.5%
20243.2%70,803$14,712,117,672$12,046,411,79881.9%$0.2530$0.289853.4%$0.5428$65,387,923$924$28,638,266$40443.8%
2025*2.9%72,206$15,447,723,556$12,648,732,38881.9%$0.2530$0.289853.4%$0.5428$68,657,319$951$29,726,255$41243.3%
CAGR4.2%2.1%16.3%15.4%-0.6%-4.0%10.5%8.1%2.2%18.7%16.2%10.6%8.3%-5.7%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.2%9.5%6.5%6.5%8.2%7.7%8.1%10.2%9.3%8.5%9.7%8.7%$19,166,332
20217.9%8.6%6.5%5.8%9.5%9.1%7.5%9.5%8.8%8.3%9.8%8.6%$24,514,859
20228.1%9.3%7.1%6.6%9.4%8.4%8.0%9.4%8.4%8.3%9.1%8.1%$27,106,229
20237.9%9.4%7.4%7.3%9.4%7.5%8.1%8.9%8.2%10.1%8.5%7.4%$27,700,712
20248.0%9.0%6.9%7.4%10.2%7.9%8.5%8.8%8.1%7.9%8.8%8.4%$28,638,266
20258.0%11.2%6.7%6.7%9.4%7.9%7.9%8.7%8.5%8.4%8.2%8.4%$29,726,255
MEDIAN %8.0%9.4%6.9%6.7%9.5%8.0%8.1%9.2%8.5%8.4%9.0%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

PHARR (City)

Pop 79,715 PPA 5.32 %BO 66.5% Levy $39,199,174 Levy CAGR +10.7% E-Factor 3.98%
31,806 49,104 66,401 83,698 100,995 118,292 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 35,341 46,660 70,400 79,715 84,487 88,914 92,966 96,628 99,900 102,795 105,332 107,539 +2.8% +4.2% +1.3% +0.6% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: PHARR (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: PHARR had a 2020 population of 79,715 across 23.4 square miles, yielding a density of 5.32 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 107,539, a gain of 27,824 (+34.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.37% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 66.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), PHARR is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 89.7%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): PHARR levied $39,199,174 in property taxes on a market value base of $6,504,608,063. The taxable value of $5,106,718,923 reflects 21.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7676 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5887 for Maintenance & Operations (76.7%) and $0.1789 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (23.3%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $477 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 10.7% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 8.5% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.98% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): PHARR collected $31,212,624 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $380 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 79.6% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.4% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: PHARR demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
PHARR
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop35,34146,66070,40079,71584,48788,91492,96696,62899,900102,795105,332107,539
PPA2.363.114.705.325.645.936.206.456.676.867.037.17
%BO29.5%38.9%58.7%66.5%70.5%74.2%77.5%80.6%83.3%85.7%87.8%89.7%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%79,715$4,464,979,171$3,461,042,31377.5%$0.7176N/AN/A$0.7176$24,836,440$312$21,666,223$27287.2%
20214.7%80,192$4,768,866,650$3,699,170,94177.6%$0.5671$0.150521.0%$0.7176$26,545,251$331$26,258,575$32798.9%
20228.0%80,669$5,389,824,593$4,167,074,80977.3%$0.5671$0.150521.0%$0.7176$29,902,929$371$28,559,451$35495.5%
20234.1%81,146$6,184,807,452$4,769,042,05477.1%$0.5615$0.206126.8%$0.7676$36,607,167$451$29,112,931$35979.5%
20243.2%81,623$6,194,864,822$4,863,541,83178.5%$0.5887$0.178923.3%$0.7676$37,332,547$457$29,931,328$36780.2%
2025*2.9%82,101$6,504,608,063$5,106,718,92378.5%$0.5887$0.178923.3%$0.7676$39,199,174$477$31,212,624$38079.6%
CAGR4.2%0.6%8.5%8.9%0.3%-3.9%1.4%10.7%10.1%8.4%7.8%-1.8%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.8%9.2%7.6%7.2%8.1%7.3%8.5%9.4%8.2%8.7%9.3%8.6%$21,666,223
20217.1%8.7%7.4%6.6%9.3%9.0%8.1%10.4%8.0%7.9%9.6%8.0%$26,258,575
20227.9%9.1%7.4%7.4%9.7%8.6%8.1%8.9%8.1%8.3%8.7%7.8%$28,559,451
20238.0%9.1%7.8%7.4%9.3%7.7%8.4%9.1%8.2%8.8%8.4%7.9%$29,112,931
20247.8%8.8%7.5%7.5%9.0%8.2%8.8%8.7%9.3%7.7%8.6%8.0%$29,931,328
20257.7%10.4%8.2%7.0%8.6%8.2%8.4%8.3%8.4%7.9%8.5%8.5%$31,212,624
MEDIAN %7.9%9.1%7.6%7.3%9.2%8.2%8.4%9.0%8.2%8.2%8.7%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

PLAINVIEW (City)

Pop 20,187 PPA 2.29 %BO 28.6% Levy $9,314,722 Levy CAGR +5.2% E-Factor 2.07%
18,168 19,448 20,728 22,009 23,289 24,569 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 22,144 22,336 22,194 20,187 20,220 20,254 20,288 20,321 20,355 20,389 20,423 20,457 +0.1% -0.1% -0.9% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: PLAINVIEW (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: PLAINVIEW had a 2020 population of 20,187 across 13.8 square miles, yielding a density of 2.29 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 20,457, a gain of 270 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 28.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), PLAINVIEW has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 29.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): PLAINVIEW levied $9,314,722 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,478,530,769. The taxable value of $1,233,738,084 reflects 16.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7550 per $100 valuation consists of $0.6079 for Maintenance & Operations (80.5%) and $0.1471 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (19.5%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $461 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 8.5% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.07% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): PLAINVIEW collected $7,437,241 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $368 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 79.8% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.0% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: PLAINVIEW demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
PLAINVIEW
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop22,14422,33622,19420,18720,22020,25420,28820,32120,35520,38920,42320,457
PPA2.512.532.512.292.292.292.302.302.302.312.312.32
%BO31.3%31.6%31.4%28.6%28.6%28.7%28.7%28.8%28.8%28.9%28.9%29.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%20,187$1,016,913,300$860,247,43784.6%$0.6312$0.210625.0%$0.8418$7,241,563$359$4,340,493$21559.9%
20214.7%20,190$1,031,799,040$870,171,07884.3%$0.6512$0.200623.6%$0.8518$7,412,117$367$4,845,340$24065.4%
20228.0%20,193$1,186,371,761$981,861,21482.8%$0.6400$0.176521.6%$0.8165$8,016,897$397$5,086,976$25263.5%
20234.1%20,196$1,392,662,832$1,131,807,94181.3%$0.6016$0.160021.0%$0.7616$8,619,849$427$5,859,024$29068.0%
20243.2%20,200$1,408,124,542$1,174,988,65183.4%$0.6079$0.147119.5%$0.7550$8,871,164$439$6,119,584$30369.0%
2025*2.9%20,203$1,478,530,769$1,233,738,08483.4%$0.6079$0.147119.5%$0.7550$9,314,722$461$7,437,241$36879.8%
CAGR4.2%0.0%8.5%8.1%-0.3%-0.7%-6.9%-4.9%-2.2%5.2%5.2%9.0%8.9%5.9%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.7%9.8%7.2%6.7%8.9%7.9%8.3%9.4%7.7%8.6%9.6%8.0%$4,340,493
20216.9%9.8%7.1%6.2%9.8%8.2%8.2%10.3%8.0%8.1%9.4%8.0%$4,845,340
20227.9%9.2%5.8%7.2%10.3%8.3%8.3%9.6%8.3%8.4%9.0%7.8%$5,086,976
20237.0%9.1%6.5%6.4%14.1%7.1%7.2%8.1%7.9%8.7%10.7%7.3%$5,859,024
20248.1%8.4%10.1%6.5%13.2%7.1%8.8%8.3%6.6%7.3%7.7%7.8%$6,119,584
20259.6%8.1%6.1%6.9%7.6%6.4%6.3%7.9%12.0%6.9%15.2%7.0%$7,437,241
MEDIAN %7.9%9.2%6.9%6.7%10.2%7.6%8.4%9.0%8.1%8.4%9.7%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

PLANO (City)

Pop 285,494 PPA 6.23 %BO 77.9% Levy $273,026,053 Levy CAGR +5.6% E-Factor 1.81%
116,799 168,309 219,820 271,330 322,841 374,352 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 129,777 222,030 259,841 285,494 295,315 304,207 312,193 319,316 325,628 331,189 336,064 340,320 +5.5% +1.6% +0.9% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: PLANO (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: PLANO had a 2020 population of 285,494 across 71.6 square miles, yielding a density of 6.23 persons per acre (PPA). This high density suggests an urbanized area with limited greenfield expansion potential. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 340,320, a gain of 54,826 (+19.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.22% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 77.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), PLANO is approaching full build-out. By 2100, build-out is projected at 92.9%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): PLANO levied $273,026,053 in property taxes on a market value base of $85,111,758,079. The taxable value of $65,379,802,271 reflects 23.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4176 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3026 for Maintenance & Operations (72.5%) and $0.1150 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (27.5%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $940 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 8.9% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.81% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): PLANO collected $134,370,968 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $463 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 49.2% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.7% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: PLANO demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
PLANO
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop129,777222,030259,841285,494295,315304,207312,193319,316325,628331,189336,064340,320
PPA2.834.855.676.236.456.646.816.977.117.237.347.43
%BO35.4%60.6%70.9%77.9%80.6%83.0%85.2%87.1%88.9%90.4%91.7%92.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%285,494$57,730,640,704$46,600,016,88080.7%$0.3372$0.111024.8%$0.4482$208,861,276$732$86,785,467$30441.6%
20214.7%286,476$59,422,297,260$47,842,460,36380.5%$0.3330$0.113525.4%$0.4465$213,616,585$746$94,471,712$33044.2%
20228.0%287,458$68,846,611,752$52,448,865,68876.2%$0.3026$0.115027.5%$0.4176$219,026,463$762$108,687,974$37849.6%
20234.1%288,440$77,920,631,378$57,785,609,46574.2%$0.3026$0.115027.5%$0.4176$241,312,705$837$113,984,729$39547.2%
20243.2%289,422$81,058,817,218$62,266,478,35376.8%$0.3026$0.115027.5%$0.4176$260,024,812$898$121,073,962$41846.6%
2025*2.9%290,404$85,111,758,079$65,379,802,27176.8%$0.3026$0.115027.5%$0.4176$273,026,053$940$134,370,968$46349.2%
CAGR4.2%0.3%8.9%7.5%-1.0%-2.1%0.7%2.1%-1.4%5.6%5.3%8.7%8.3%3.4%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.5%11.6%8.5%6.7%8.8%6.5%6.7%9.7%8.0%7.3%9.7%8.0%$86,785,467
20217.2%10.5%7.1%6.4%8.0%8.2%7.8%9.7%8.6%7.9%9.9%8.6%$94,471,712
20227.9%10.0%7.1%6.7%9.2%8.1%8.0%9.8%8.3%8.3%8.4%8.1%$108,687,974
20238.2%10.3%7.8%7.0%9.4%7.6%8.4%9.0%8.3%8.2%7.9%7.8%$113,984,729
20247.8%11.1%6.3%7.7%8.9%8.4%8.0%8.8%8.2%7.6%9.0%8.2%$121,073,962
20257.2%9.9%7.5%6.6%8.6%7.4%8.1%10.3%9.3%7.3%8.3%9.3%$134,370,968
MEDIAN %7.9%10.5%7.3%6.7%8.9%7.9%8.0%9.7%8.4%7.8%8.7%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

PLEASANTON (City)

Pop 10,648 PPA 2.12 %BO 26.6% Levy $5,394,258 Levy CAGR +9.1% E-Factor 3.21%
7,215 10,473 13,731 16,989 20,246 23,504 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 8,017 8,266 8,934 10,648 11,807 13,037 14,331 15,679 17,070 18,491 19,929 21,368 +0.3% +0.8% +1.8% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +0.9% +0.9% +0.8% +0.8% +0.7% Population Trend: PLEASANTON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: PLEASANTON had a 2020 population of 10,648 across 7.8 square miles, yielding a density of 2.12 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 21,368, a gain of 10,720 (+100.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.87% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 26.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), PLEASANTON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 53.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): PLEASANTON levied $5,394,258 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,250,178,705. The taxable value of $1,046,118,610 reflects 16.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5156 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2735 for Maintenance & Operations (53.0%) and $0.2421 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (47.0%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $480 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 9.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.21% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): PLEASANTON collected $6,314,766 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $562 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 117.1% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.5% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: PLEASANTON demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
PLEASANTON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop8,0178,2668,93410,64811,80713,03714,33115,67917,07018,49119,92921,368
PPA1.601.651.782.122.362.602.863.133.413.693.984.26
%BO20.0%20.6%22.3%26.6%29.5%32.5%35.7%39.1%42.6%46.1%49.7%53.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%10,648$814,044,082$726,828,69189.3%$0.2830$0.216743.4%$0.4998$3,632,421$341$4,408,258$414121.4%
20214.7%10,763$901,620,907$777,153,43586.2%$0.2689$0.264749.6%$0.5336$4,147,240$385$4,727,464$439114.0%
20228.0%10,879$1,011,028,481$854,552,05284.5%$0.2787$0.237046.0%$0.5156$4,406,455$405$6,085,858$559138.1%
20234.1%10,995$1,131,035,030$942,853,08483.4%$0.2719$0.243847.3%$0.5156$4,861,784$442$6,795,924$618139.8%
20243.2%11,111$1,190,646,386$996,303,43883.7%$0.2735$0.242147.0%$0.5156$5,137,389$462$6,338,799$570123.4%
2025*2.9%11,227$1,250,178,705$1,046,118,61083.7%$0.2735$0.242147.0%$0.5156$5,394,258$480$6,314,766$562117.1%
CAGR4.2%1.1%10.0%8.2%-1.3%-0.7%2.2%1.6%0.6%9.1%7.9%9.5%8.3%-0.7%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.1%10.8%8.5%8.9%10.2%7.7%7.7%8.0%7.7%7.0%8.2%7.1%$4,408,258
20216.5%8.7%7.3%6.6%10.5%8.4%7.5%9.7%8.2%8.6%10.3%7.8%$4,727,464
20227.5%9.7%6.9%6.9%8.3%7.6%10.1%9.1%9.0%8.0%8.2%8.6%$6,085,858
20237.9%9.9%11.2%7.7%9.2%7.0%7.9%8.9%7.5%7.7%8.5%6.6%$6,795,924
20248.1%8.8%8.2%9.5%8.9%8.4%8.6%8.5%8.3%6.3%8.2%8.2%$6,338,799
20257.7%9.5%6.4%7.2%9.6%8.4%8.6%9.2%8.4%7.9%9.0%8.2%$6,314,766
MEDIAN %7.8%9.6%7.8%7.5%9.4%8.0%8.3%9.0%8.3%7.8%8.4%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

POLK COUNTY (City)

Pop 50,123 PPA 0.07 %BO 0.9% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
27,618 51,528 75,438 99,348 123,258 147,169 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 30,687 41,133 45,413 50,123 56,709 64,150 72,555 82,044 92,752 104,831 118,449 133,790 +3.0% +1.0% +1.0% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% Population Trend: POLK COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: POLK COUNTY had a 2020 population of 50,123 across 1057.0 square miles, yielding a density of 0.07 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 133,790, a gain of 83,667 (+166.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.23% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), POLK COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 2.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: POLK COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
POLK COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop30,68741,13345,41350,12356,70964,15072,55582,04492,752104,831118,449133,790
PPA0.050.060.070.070.080.090.110.120.140.150.180.20
%BO0.6%0.8%0.8%0.9%1.0%1.2%1.3%1.5%1.7%1.9%2.2%2.5%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%9.8%6.5%6.4%8.6%7.8%8.8%10.3%8.4%8.0%9.3%8.5%$2,794,649
20216.7%9.7%6.7%6.7%9.7%9.8%8.1%9.6%7.8%7.8%9.3%8.1%$3,193,580
20226.9%9.3%7.1%7.1%8.8%9.1%8.3%9.9%7.9%8.0%9.2%8.3%$3,585,854
20238.8%8.4%7.2%7.3%10.3%7.4%8.3%9.7%7.8%8.4%8.4%8.2%$3,950,525
20248.7%10.0%7.0%7.7%9.3%7.6%7.7%8.7%8.6%7.4%8.8%8.5%$3,881,736
20257.8%10.9%7.2%6.5%9.1%8.3%7.9%8.9%8.7%7.9%8.8%8.1%$3,919,623
MEDIAN %7.7%9.8%7.0%6.9%9.2%8.1%8.2%9.6%8.2%8.0%9.1%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

PORT ARTHUR (City)

Pop 56,039 PPA 1.14 %BO 14.2% Levy $29,502,111 Levy CAGR +4.5% E-Factor 1.38%
48,436 52,764 57,091 61,419 65,747 70,075 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 58,357 57,755 53,818 56,039 56,953 57,880 58,819 59,771 60,735 61,712 62,702 63,705 -0.1% -0.7% +0.4% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: PORT ARTHUR (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: PORT ARTHUR had a 2020 population of 56,039 across 76.9 square miles, yielding a density of 1.14 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 63,705, a gain of 7,666 (+13.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.16% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 14.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), PORT ARTHUR has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 16.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): PORT ARTHUR levied $29,502,111 in property taxes on a market value base of $6,768,583,260. The taxable value of $4,710,750,600 reflects 30.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6263 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3761 for Maintenance & Operations (60.1%) and $0.2502 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (39.9%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $522 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 4.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.5% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.38% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): PORT ARTHUR collected $23,488,720 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $416 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 79.6% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.6% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: PORT ARTHUR demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
PORT ARTHUR
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop58,35757,75553,81856,03956,95357,88058,81959,77160,73561,71262,70263,705
PPA1.191.171.091.141.161.181.201.211.231.251.271.29
%BO14.8%14.7%13.7%14.2%14.5%14.7%14.9%15.2%15.4%15.7%15.9%16.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%56,039$4,166,139,900$2,977,706,93671.5%$0.5080$0.284035.9%$0.7920$23,583,439$421$16,748,533$29971.0%
20214.7%56,130$4,772,888,608$3,400,551,75771.2%$0.4921$0.248633.6%$0.7407$25,188,396$449$19,112,590$34175.9%
20228.0%56,221$5,402,168,301$3,768,686,04769.8%$0.4347$0.256937.1%$0.6915$26,061,784$464$21,899,631$39084.0%
20234.1%56,313$5,945,328,000$4,238,185,53871.3%$0.3985$0.250238.6%$0.6486$27,490,609$488$22,577,748$40182.1%
20243.2%56,404$6,446,269,771$4,486,429,14369.6%$0.3761$0.250239.9%$0.6263$28,097,249$498$23,297,543$41382.9%
2025*2.9%56,496$6,768,583,260$4,710,750,60069.6%$0.3761$0.250239.9%$0.6263$29,502,111$522$23,488,720$41679.6%
CAGR4.2%0.2%11.5%10.8%-0.5%-5.8%-2.5%2.2%-4.6%4.5%4.3%8.6%8.4%2.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%10.9%7.3%7.4%8.8%7.1%7.8%9.6%7.3%7.6%10.2%8.8%$16,748,533
20216.6%9.5%6.5%5.5%9.7%8.8%7.7%10.5%8.7%9.1%9.6%7.8%$19,112,590
20227.6%9.7%7.0%9.7%9.9%7.4%8.3%8.7%7.4%7.6%9.6%7.1%$21,899,631
20237.7%9.9%7.6%7.4%9.9%7.4%7.8%9.4%8.0%6.9%9.7%8.2%$22,577,748
20247.9%10.0%6.5%7.2%9.6%7.5%8.9%9.0%8.2%7.5%9.7%7.8%$23,297,543
20257.4%10.0%7.1%7.5%9.3%8.9%7.0%9.6%7.8%7.4%9.7%8.4%$23,488,720
MEDIAN %7.5%10.0%7.1%7.4%9.7%7.5%7.9%9.5%7.9%7.5%9.8%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

PORT LAVACA (City)

Pop 11,557 PPA 1.78 %BO 22.2% Levy $6,729,137 Levy CAGR +7.6% E-Factor 0.00%
10,266 10,907 11,548 12,190 12,831 13,472 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 11,407 12,035 12,248 11,557 11,576 11,595 11,614 11,634 11,653 11,673 11,692 11,712 +0.5% +0.2% -0.6% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: PORT LAVACA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: PORT LAVACA had a 2020 population of 11,557 across 10.2 square miles, yielding a density of 1.78 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 11,712, a gain of 155 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 22.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), PORT LAVACA has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 22.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): PORT LAVACA levied $6,729,137 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,062,792,430. The taxable value of $841,142,148 reflects 20.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.8000 per $100 valuation consists of $0.6743 for Maintenance & Operations (84.3%) and $0.1257 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (15.7%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $582 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 8.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): PORT LAVACA collected $3,531,576 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $305 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 52.5% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 2.2% CAGR, reflecting stable retail environment.
Strategic Outlook: PORT LAVACA demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
PORT LAVACA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop11,40712,03512,24811,55711,57611,59511,61411,63411,65311,67311,69211,712
PPA1.761.851.891.781.781.791.791.791.791.801.801.80
%BO22.0%23.2%23.6%22.2%22.3%22.3%22.4%22.4%22.4%22.5%22.5%22.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%11,557$744,007,567$601,249,88380.8%$0.7284$0.06608.3%$0.7944$4,776,329$413$3,360,653$29170.4%
20214.7%11,558$790,521,122$640,491,38881.0%$0.7308$0.06368.0%$0.7944$5,088,064$440$3,467,661$30068.2%
20228.0%11,560$825,157,667$661,426,85980.2%$0.7307$0.06378.0%$0.7944$5,254,375$455$3,512,566$30466.9%
20234.1%11,562$958,522,615$757,970,74479.1%$0.6986$0.082110.5%$0.7807$5,917,478$512$3,553,653$30760.1%
20243.2%11,564$1,012,183,267$801,087,76079.1%$0.6743$0.125715.7%$0.8000$6,408,702$554$3,661,499$31757.1%
2025*2.9%11,566$1,062,792,430$841,142,14879.1%$0.6743$0.125715.7%$0.8000$6,729,137$582$3,531,576$30552.5%
CAGR4.2%0.0%8.0%7.4%-0.4%-1.5%13.8%13.6%0.1%7.6%7.6%2.2%2.2%-5.7%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%9.1%8.8%6.9%8.7%7.0%7.9%10.6%7.1%8.1%8.0%10.3%$3,360,653
20218.1%8.1%7.7%7.1%10.2%8.5%8.5%9.5%8.2%8.0%9.0%7.1%$3,467,661
20227.5%9.4%7.0%7.2%9.0%7.6%7.8%9.0%10.0%8.7%9.3%7.6%$3,512,566
20237.4%9.2%8.2%6.8%8.1%7.5%8.7%9.4%8.3%9.4%8.9%7.9%$3,553,653
20247.6%9.1%7.2%7.9%9.3%8.7%8.3%8.4%8.4%8.4%8.8%7.8%$3,661,499
20258.0%10.4%7.0%7.0%9.1%8.3%7.9%9.5%8.0%7.3%9.1%8.4%$3,531,576
MEDIAN %7.7%9.3%7.5%7.1%9.1%8.0%8.2%9.5%8.4%8.4%9.0%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

PORT NECHES (City)

Pop 13,692 PPA 2.48 %BO 31.0% Levy $10,186,720 Levy CAGR +7.9% E-Factor 0.00%
11,736 12,923 14,110 15,297 16,484 17,671 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 13,611 13,601 13,040 13,692 13,978 14,267 14,559 14,855 15,153 15,454 15,758 16,065 -0.0% -0.4% +0.5% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: PORT NECHES (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: PORT NECHES had a 2020 population of 13,692 across 8.6 square miles, yielding a density of 2.48 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 16,065, a gain of 2,373 (+17.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.20% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 31.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), PORT NECHES has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 36.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): PORT NECHES levied $10,186,720 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,838,037,643. The taxable value of $1,484,944,726 reflects 19.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6860 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5278 for Maintenance & Operations (76.9%) and $0.1582 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (23.1%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $736 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 9.9% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): PORT NECHES collected $2,488,951 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $180 falls below regional averages, indicating primarily residential character with retail leakage to neighboring communities. Sales tax represents 24.4% of property tax levy, offering modest supplemental revenue. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 2.5% CAGR, reflecting stable retail environment.
Strategic Outlook: PORT NECHES demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
PORT NECHES
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop13,61113,60113,04013,69213,97814,26714,55914,85515,15315,45415,75816,065
PPA2.462.462.362.482.532.582.642.692.742.802.852.91
%BO30.8%30.8%29.5%31.0%31.6%32.3%33.0%33.6%34.3%35.0%35.7%36.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%13,692$1,197,884,804$975,062,02781.4%$0.5186$0.216429.4%$0.7350$7,166,706$523$2,159,592$15830.1%
20214.7%13,720$1,394,663,429$1,103,316,84279.1%$0.5110$0.174025.4%$0.6850$7,557,720$551$2,086,714$15227.6%
20228.0%13,749$1,530,726,509$1,229,474,24980.3%$0.5034$0.181626.5%$0.6850$8,421,899$613$2,488,694$18129.6%
20234.1%13,777$1,691,455,634$1,371,373,68781.1%$0.5067$0.163324.4%$0.6700$9,188,204$667$2,735,850$19929.8%
20243.2%13,806$1,750,512,041$1,414,233,07280.8%$0.5278$0.158223.1%$0.6860$9,701,638$703$2,380,987$17224.5%
2025*2.9%13,835$1,838,037,643$1,484,944,72680.8%$0.5278$0.158223.1%$0.6860$10,186,720$736$2,488,951$18024.4%
CAGR4.2%0.2%9.9%9.7%-0.2%0.4%-6.1%-4.8%-1.4%7.9%7.6%2.5%2.3%-4.1%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.4%18.5%5.4%6.5%9.1%7.8%8.2%9.3%6.2%6.0%10.1%6.5%$2,159,592
20217.2%11.3%7.0%5.9%10.2%7.4%7.2%11.2%6.7%6.7%12.5%6.6%$2,086,714
20227.5%10.1%6.6%6.9%9.5%11.2%16.3%2.6%2.4%8.4%10.9%7.5%$2,488,694
202312.8%10.6%3.2%6.6%9.5%7.3%7.9%8.5%7.4%8.0%11.1%7.0%$2,735,850
20249.7%10.6%6.9%7.3%9.9%7.8%7.2%9.4%6.7%6.7%10.6%7.4%$2,380,987
20256.9%12.0%7.4%6.8%10.3%7.4%7.2%10.4%7.3%7.6%8.0%8.7%$2,488,951
MEDIAN %7.6%11.2%6.9%6.9%9.9%7.8%7.7%9.5%6.8%7.3%11.0%7.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

PORTLAND (City)

Pop 20,383 PPA 4.54 %BO 56.8% Levy $16,140,272 Levy CAGR +9.7% E-Factor 1.97%
11,049 16,000 20,951 25,902 30,853 35,805 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 12,277 14,827 15,099 20,383 22,535 24,557 26,403 28,045 29,473 30,689 31,708 32,550 +1.9% +0.2% +3.0% +1.0% +0.9% +0.7% +0.6% +0.5% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: PORTLAND (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: PORTLAND had a 2020 population of 20,383 across 7.0 square miles, yielding a density of 4.54 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 32,550, a gain of 12,167 (+59.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.59% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 56.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), PORTLAND is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 90.7%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): PORTLAND levied $16,140,272 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,879,439,807. The taxable value of $2,393,094,313 reflects 16.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6745 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4424 for Maintenance & Operations (65.6%) and $0.2321 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (34.4%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $752 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 9.7% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 9.4% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.97% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): PORTLAND collected $8,425,331 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $393 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 52.2% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.3% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: PORTLAND demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
PORTLAND
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop12,27714,82715,09920,38322,53524,55726,40328,04529,47330,68931,70832,550
PPA2.743.303.374.545.025.475.896.256.576.847.077.26
%BO34.2%41.3%42.1%56.8%62.8%68.4%73.6%78.1%82.1%85.5%88.3%90.7%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%20,383$1,911,518,198$1,630,639,46385.3%$0.4144$0.236536.3%$0.6510$10,614,794$521$5,735,563$28154.0%
20214.7%20,598$1,889,953,454$1,651,972,23687.4%$0.4234$0.233635.6%$0.6571$10,854,399$527$6,399,503$31159.0%
20228.0%20,813$2,339,846,211$2,031,014,78986.8%$0.4061$0.221635.3%$0.6277$12,749,513$613$6,830,660$32853.6%
20234.1%21,028$2,823,337,321$2,347,806,06583.2%$0.4167$0.222134.8%$0.6388$14,997,527$713$7,530,908$35850.2%
20243.2%21,243$2,742,323,626$2,279,137,44183.1%$0.4424$0.232134.4%$0.6745$15,371,688$724$7,328,424$34547.7%
2025*2.9%21,459$2,879,439,807$2,393,094,31383.1%$0.4424$0.232134.4%$0.6745$16,140,272$752$8,425,331$39352.2%
CAGR4.2%1.0%9.4%8.7%-0.5%1.3%-0.4%-1.1%0.7%9.7%8.6%6.3%5.2%-0.7%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.9%10.3%7.4%7.0%8.3%7.6%8.6%9.9%8.0%8.0%9.1%7.9%$5,735,563
20217.3%9.9%7.0%5.5%10.0%9.0%8.3%9.4%8.6%7.7%10.3%7.0%$6,399,503
20228.5%9.9%7.1%7.3%8.7%8.2%8.2%9.3%9.4%7.6%8.3%7.5%$6,830,660
20238.7%9.5%8.8%6.4%9.2%7.8%9.1%9.2%7.8%7.6%8.6%7.3%$7,530,908
20247.8%10.2%7.5%7.6%9.4%7.5%8.0%8.9%8.8%8.5%7.0%8.8%$7,328,424
20257.7%10.8%7.1%7.0%9.2%7.8%8.3%9.0%8.4%8.0%8.6%8.2%$8,425,331
MEDIAN %7.9%10.1%7.3%7.0%9.3%7.8%8.3%9.3%8.6%7.9%8.7%7.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

POTTER COUNTY (City)

Pop 118,525 PPA 0.20 %BO 2.5% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
88,086 99,288 110,490 121,692 132,894 144,096 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 97,874 113,546 121,073 118,525 120,018 121,530 123,060 124,609 126,177 127,764 129,370 130,997 +1.5% +0.6% -0.2% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: POTTER COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: POTTER COUNTY had a 2020 population of 118,525 across 908.4 square miles, yielding a density of 0.20 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 130,997, a gain of 12,472 (+10.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.13% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 2.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), POTTER COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 2.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: POTTER COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
POTTER COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop97,874113,546121,073118,525120,018121,530123,060124,609126,177127,764129,370130,997
PPA0.170.200.210.200.210.210.210.210.220.220.220.23
%BO2.1%2.4%2.6%2.5%2.6%2.6%2.6%2.7%2.7%2.7%2.8%2.8%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

PRAIRIE VIEW (City)

Pop 8,184 PPA 1.77 %BO 22.2% Levy $3,097,877 Levy CAGR +14.8% E-Factor 1.63%
3,608 9,365 15,123 20,881 26,639 32,397 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 4,009 4,410 5,576 8,184 10,453 13,069 15,950 18,964 21,956 24,772 27,294 29,452 +1.0% +2.4% +3.9% +2.5% +2.3% +2.0% +1.7% +1.5% +1.2% +1.0% +0.8% Population Trend: PRAIRIE VIEW (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: PRAIRIE VIEW had a 2020 population of 8,184 across 7.2 square miles, yielding a density of 1.77 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 29,452, a gain of 21,268 (+259.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.61% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 22.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), PRAIRIE VIEW has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 79.8%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): PRAIRIE VIEW levied $3,097,877 in property taxes on a market value base of $810,651,996. The taxable value of $424,082,157 reflects 47.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7305 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5442 for Maintenance & Operations (74.5%) and $0.1863 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (25.5%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $332 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 14.8% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 9.1% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.63% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): PRAIRIE VIEW collected $969,683 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.75% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $104 falls below regional averages, indicating primarily residential character with retail leakage to neighboring communities. Sales tax represents 31.3% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 3.8% CAGR, reflecting stable retail environment.
Strategic Outlook: PRAIRIE VIEW demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
PRAIRIE VIEW
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop4,0094,4105,5768,18410,45313,06915,95018,96421,95624,77227,29429,452
PPA0.870.961.211.772.272.833.464.114.765.375.926.38
%BO10.9%11.9%15.1%22.2%28.3%35.4%43.2%51.4%59.5%67.1%73.9%79.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%8,184$544,190,315$232,704,58042.8%$0.5740$0.156521.4%$0.7305$1,699,884$208$819,226$10048.2%
20214.7%8,410$661,170,146$342,877,14151.9%$0.5682$0.162322.2%$0.7305$2,504,683$298$791,592$9431.6%
20228.0%8,637$711,469,387$372,705,66852.4%$0.5218$0.208728.6%$0.7305$2,722,578$315$828,370$9630.4%
20234.1%8,864$764,892,131$400,563,55552.4%$0.5326$0.197927.1%$0.7305$2,926,077$330$1,044,874$11835.7%
20243.2%9,091$772,049,520$403,887,76952.3%$0.5442$0.186325.5%$0.7305$2,950,359$325$951,458$10532.2%
2025*2.9%9,318$810,651,996$424,082,15752.3%$0.5442$0.186325.5%$0.7305$3,097,877$332$969,683$10431.3%
CAGR4.2%2.6%9.1%14.8%4.1%-1.1%3.6%3.6%14.8%11.8%3.8%1.1%-8.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
202010.3%11.4%20.7%10.2%10.4%8.6%3.4%4.3%6.8%5.5%4.6%4.0%$819,226
20214.5%5.9%5.3%3.8%4.4%3.6%5.0%5.6%5.0%37.3%11.6%8.1%$791,592
20228.2%3.4%19.1%7.3%7.0%6.4%7.0%5.9%6.1%5.8%6.2%17.5%$828,370
20234.6%5.1%6.2%19.0%9.3%7.5%5.1%7.6%4.7%6.1%15.7%9.1%$1,044,874
20248.6%6.5%16.3%7.1%5.0%6.0%5.3%4.2%6.3%6.5%17.5%10.6%$951,458
20257.0%7.6%4.4%19.2%6.8%6.6%3.7%16.7%1.6%4.8%16.5%5.1%$969,683
MEDIAN %8.3%6.8%12.2%9.6%7.5%7.1%5.5%6.3%6.0%6.5%14.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

PRESIDIO (County)

Pop 3,264 PPA 1.98 %BO 24.8% Levy $4,738,330 Levy CAGR +6.6% E-Factor 1.57%
2,653 3,096 3,539 3,982 4,425 4,868 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 2,948 4,167 4,426 3,264 3,269 3,274 3,280 3,285 3,291 3,296 3,302 3,307 +3.5% +0.6% -3.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: PRESIDIO (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: PRESIDIO had a 2020 population of 3,264 across 2.6 square miles, yielding a density of 1.98 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 3,307, a gain of 43 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 24.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), PRESIDIO has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 25.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): PRESIDIO levied $4,738,330 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,921,004,472. The taxable value of $1,062,841,320 reflects 44.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4851 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4851 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,451 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 7.4% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.57% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Strategic Outlook: PRESIDIO demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
PRESIDIO
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop2,9484,1674,4263,2643,2693,2743,2803,2853,2913,2963,3023,307
PPA1.792.532.691.981.991.991.992.002.002.002.012.01
%BO22.4%31.7%33.6%24.8%24.8%24.9%24.9%25.0%25.0%25.1%25.1%25.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%3,264$1,375,692,183~EstN/A$0.5530N/AN/A$0.5530$3,496,486$1,071
20214.7%3,264$1,455,804,208~EstN/A$0.5337N/AN/A$0.5337$3,986,063$1,221
20228.0%3,265$1,592,721,035~EstN/A$0.4938N/AN/A$0.4938$3,800,872$1,164
20234.1%3,265$1,795,180,421~EstN/A$0.4305N/AN/A$0.4305$3,938,931$1,206
20243.2%3,266$1,829,528,069$1,012,229,82955.3%$0.4851N/AN/A$0.4851$4,512,695$1,382
2025~2.9%3,266$1,921,004,472$1,062,841,32055.3%$0.4851N/AN/A$0.4851$4,738,330$1,451
CAGR4.2%0.0%7.4%-2.6%-2.6%6.6%6.6%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

PRINCETON (City)

Pop 17,027 PPA 3.60 %BO 44.9% Levy $18,378,100 Levy CAGR +19.3% E-Factor 10.48%
2,161 10,053 17,945 25,837 33,728 41,620 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 2,402 3,477 6,807 17,027 24,711 30,791 34,471 36,342 37,210 37,594 37,762 37,837 +3.8% +6.9% +9.6% +3.8% +2.2% +1.1% +0.5% +0.2% +0.1% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: PRINCETON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: PRINCETON had a 2020 population of 17,027 across 7.4 square miles, yielding a density of 3.60 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 37,837, a gain of 20,810 (+122.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.00% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 44.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), PRINCETON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 99.9%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): PRINCETON levied $18,378,100 in property taxes on a market value base of $4,839,652,069. The taxable value of $4,174,696,563 reflects 13.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4402 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2567 for Maintenance & Operations (58.3%) and $0.1836 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (41.7%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $881 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 19.3% CAGR lagged market value growth of 31.2% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 10.48% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): PRINCETON collected $9,104,516 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $436 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 49.5% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 20.2% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: PRINCETON demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
PRINCETON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop2,4023,4776,80717,02724,71130,79134,47136,34237,21037,59437,76237,837
PPA0.510.731.443.605.226.507.287.677.867.947.977.99
%BO6.3%9.2%18.0%44.9%65.2%81.3%91.0%95.9%98.2%99.2%99.7%99.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%17,027$1,554,941,756$1,328,407,65885.4%$0.3991$0.252138.7%$0.6512$8,650,790$508$3,898,775$22945.1%
20214.7%17,795$1,910,127,087$1,655,843,05686.7%$0.3773$0.225237.4%$0.6025$9,977,266$561$5,024,031$28250.4%
20228.0%18,563$3,016,806,768$2,454,162,33681.3%$0.3136$0.220941.3%$0.5345$13,118,553$707$5,682,609$30643.3%
20234.1%19,332$4,038,095,463$3,320,897,26082.2%$0.2609$0.179440.7%$0.4402$14,619,453$756$6,867,274$35547.0%
20243.2%20,100$4,609,192,447$3,975,901,48986.3%$0.2567$0.183641.7%$0.4402$17,502,952$871$8,129,253$40446.4%
2025*2.9%20,869$4,839,652,069$4,174,696,56386.3%$0.2567$0.183641.7%$0.4402$18,378,100$881$9,104,516$43649.5%
CAGR4.2%4.2%31.2%31.5%0.2%-8.5%-6.1%1.5%-7.5%19.3%14.4%20.2%15.3%1.9%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.1%8.8%6.2%6.5%8.4%7.8%8.7%9.6%8.9%9.0%10.3%8.8%$3,898,775
20217.1%9.1%6.7%6.0%9.1%7.9%7.8%10.0%8.0%10.5%9.5%8.3%$5,024,031
20227.6%9.8%7.5%6.7%9.1%7.9%7.8%9.4%8.0%8.5%9.4%8.2%$5,682,609
20237.1%9.1%6.4%6.8%9.4%7.8%8.5%9.1%8.3%8.4%10.0%9.2%$6,867,274
20249.2%9.0%6.9%7.3%8.8%8.0%7.9%8.9%8.5%7.9%9.1%8.6%$8,129,253
20257.4%11.1%6.6%6.5%9.9%7.7%7.7%9.2%8.4%7.9%9.2%8.4%$9,104,516
MEDIAN %7.3%9.3%6.7%6.7%9.2%8.0%8.0%9.5%8.5%8.6%9.6%8.6%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

PROSPER (City)

Pop 30,174 PPA 2.09 %BO 26.1% Levy $55,768,327 Levy CAGR +18.4% E-Factor 3.32%
1,026 26,255 51,484 76,713 101,942 127,171 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 1,141 2,097 9,423 30,174 61,305 90,919 106,847 112,835 114,765 115,355 115,568 115,610 +6.3% +16.2% +12.3% +7.3% +4.0% +1.6% +0.5% +0.2% +0.1% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: PROSPER (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: PROSPER had a 2020 population of 30,174 across 22.6 square miles, yielding a density of 2.09 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 115,610, a gain of 85,436 (+283.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.69% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 26.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), PROSPER has substantial development capacity remaining. Projections show reaching theoretical capacity (100% build-out) before 2100, suggesting eventual need for annexation, densification, or growth boundary adjustments.
Property Tax Overview (2025): PROSPER levied $55,768,327 in property taxes on a market value base of $16,748,827,765. The taxable value of $11,043,233,003 reflects 34.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5050 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3246 for Maintenance & Operations (64.3%) and $0.1804 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (35.7%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,219 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 18.4% CAGR lagged market value growth of 22.4% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.32% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): PROSPER collected $19,366,822 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $423 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 34.7% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 16.3% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: PROSPER demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Long-term projections indicate eventual capacity constraints requiring proactive planning for annexation, vertical development, or managed growth boundaries. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
PROSPER
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop1,1412,0979,42330,17461,30590,919106,847112,835114,765115,355115,568115,610
PPA0.080.150.652.094.246.297.397.817.947.988.008.00
%BO1.0%1.8%8.2%26.1%53.0%78.6%92.4%97.6%99.3%99.8%100.0%100.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%30,174$7,108,809,092$5,204,706,80873.2%$0.3675$0.152529.3%$0.5200$27,064,475$897$10,126,808$33637.4%
20214.7%33,287$8,080,386,144$6,071,577,31575.1%$0.3280$0.182035.7%$0.5100$30,965,044$930$13,662,122$41044.1%
20228.0%36,400$11,097,702,735$7,484,421,39667.4%$0.3298$0.180235.3%$0.5100$38,170,549$1,049$15,553,695$42740.7%
20234.1%39,513$14,391,439,772$9,171,343,81263.7%$0.3327$0.177334.8%$0.5100$46,773,854$1,184$16,785,055$42535.9%
20243.2%42,626$15,951,264,538$10,517,364,76565.9%$0.3246$0.180435.7%$0.5050$53,112,692$1,246$18,539,312$43534.9%
2025*2.9%45,739$16,748,827,765$11,043,233,00365.9%$0.3246$0.180435.7%$0.5050$55,768,327$1,219$19,366,822$42334.7%
CAGR4.2%8.7%22.4%19.2%-2.1%-2.5%3.4%4.0%-0.6%18.4%8.6%16.3%6.7%-1.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.6%10.2%6.4%6.0%8.4%7.1%8.1%10.6%8.2%8.1%11.3%8.9%$10,126,808
20216.6%9.4%6.3%5.8%9.4%7.9%7.6%10.1%8.1%8.5%11.4%8.8%$13,662,122
20227.7%10.9%6.3%6.0%8.9%7.6%9.1%10.0%8.0%7.7%9.9%8.0%$15,553,695
20237.5%10.1%6.2%6.3%9.5%7.6%8.2%9.6%8.0%8.8%9.7%8.4%$16,785,055
20248.3%10.3%6.7%7.2%9.1%7.8%7.7%9.1%8.7%8.6%8.2%8.3%$18,539,312
20257.8%12.0%6.5%6.3%7.8%8.0%8.8%9.4%8.3%8.0%9.3%7.8%$19,366,822
MEDIAN %7.7%10.3%6.4%6.1%9.0%7.7%8.2%9.8%8.2%8.3%9.8%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

PROVIDENCE VILLAGE (City)

Pop 7,691 PPA nan %BO 100.0% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
0 1,692 3,384 5,076 6,768 8,460 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 0 0 0 7,691 7,691 7,691 7,691 7,691 7,691 7,691 7,691 7,691 +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: PROVIDENCE VILLAGE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: PROVIDENCE VILLAGE had a 2020 population of 7,691 across 0.0 square miles, yielding a density of nan persons per acre (PPA). This high density suggests an urbanized area with limited greenfield expansion potential. Build-Out Analysis: At 100.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), PROVIDENCE VILLAGE is approaching full build-out. Projections show reaching theoretical capacity (100% build-out) before 2100, suggesting eventual need for annexation, densification, or growth boundary adjustments.
Strategic Outlook: PROVIDENCE VILLAGE demonstrates limited greenfield options. Long-term projections indicate eventual capacity constraints requiring proactive planning for annexation, vertical development, or managed growth boundaries. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
PROVIDENCE VILLAGE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop0007,6917,6917,6917,6917,6917,6917,6917,6917,691
PPAnannannannannannannannannannannannan
%BO100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.6%9.8%6.7%6.1%7.2%7.9%8.6%9.5%7.6%8.0%12.7%8.5%$460,132
20217.8%9.7%7.1%6.0%9.8%7.9%7.8%9.8%8.1%7.7%9.2%9.1%$551,157
20228.6%9.6%7.6%6.1%8.8%8.2%8.5%9.0%8.4%8.3%8.8%8.1%$670,073
20238.8%9.8%7.5%6.4%7.9%7.7%8.2%8.8%8.6%8.5%9.2%8.5%$746,526
20248.1%9.6%6.8%8.1%8.0%9.1%7.9%7.9%8.2%9.1%8.1%9.0%$814,444
20257.4%9.9%6.4%7.1%7.9%7.2%8.2%8.2%10.4%8.7%8.6%9.9%$1,003,170
MEDIAN %8.1%9.9%7.1%6.4%8.1%8.0%8.3%9.1%8.5%8.5%9.1%8.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

RAINS COUNTY (City)

Pop 12,164 PPA 0.08 %BO 1.0% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
6,043 13,143 20,242 27,342 34,441 41,541 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 6,715 9,139 10,914 12,164 14,030 16,180 18,653 21,498 24,767 28,521 32,828 37,765 +3.1% +1.8% +1.1% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% Population Trend: RAINS COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: RAINS COUNTY had a 2020 population of 12,164 across 229.5 square miles, yielding a density of 0.08 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 37,765, a gain of 25,601 (+210.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.43% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), RAINS COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 3.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: RAINS COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
RAINS COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop6,7159,13910,91412,16414,03016,18018,65321,49824,76728,52132,82837,765
PPA0.050.060.070.080.100.110.130.150.170.190.220.26
%BO0.6%0.8%0.9%1.0%1.2%1.4%1.6%1.8%2.1%2.4%2.8%3.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.0%8.1%7.1%6.2%8.2%7.5%9.2%9.7%9.3%8.8%10.6%8.2%$739,074
20217.7%8.6%7.1%5.6%9.4%7.7%8.5%9.7%8.6%8.9%9.9%8.4%$867,299
20228.1%8.5%7.4%6.6%9.7%7.9%8.2%10.0%8.3%9.0%9.1%7.3%$1,015,594
20237.8%8.6%7.2%6.8%9.5%8.3%8.6%8.9%8.4%8.6%8.6%8.7%$995,247
20248.7%9.1%6.0%9.1%8.6%7.7%8.1%9.3%9.2%7.7%8.2%8.4%$973,169
20256.3%8.3%5.5%5.5%7.2%10.3%6.7%7.4%13.1%7.2%11.7%10.9%$1,208,068
MEDIAN %7.8%8.6%7.1%6.4%9.0%7.8%8.3%9.5%8.9%8.7%9.5%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

RANDALL COUNTY (City)

Pop 140,753 PPA 0.24 %BO 3.0% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
80,705 162,257 243,808 325,360 406,912 488,463 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 89,673 104,312 120,725 140,753 163,091 188,828 218,432 252,418 291,348 335,830 386,509 444,058 +1.5% +1.5% +1.5% +1.5% +1.5% +1.5% +1.5% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% Population Trend: RANDALL COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: RANDALL COUNTY had a 2020 population of 140,753 across 912.7 square miles, yielding a density of 0.24 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 444,058, a gain of 303,305 (+215.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.45% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 3.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), RANDALL COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 9.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: RANDALL COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
RANDALL COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop89,673104,312120,725140,753163,091188,828218,432252,418291,348335,830386,509444,058
PPA0.150.180.210.240.280.320.370.430.500.570.660.76
%BO1.9%2.2%2.6%3.0%3.5%4.0%4.7%5.4%6.2%7.2%8.3%9.5%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

RAYMONDVILLE (City)

Pop 10,236 PPA 3.89 %BO 48.6% Levy $1,964,306 Levy CAGR +3.6% E-Factor 0.00%
8,058 8,929 9,800 10,670 11,541 12,412 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 8,954 9,733 11,284 10,236 10,253 10,270 10,287 10,304 10,321 10,338 10,356 10,373 +0.8% +1.5% -1.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: RAYMONDVILLE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: RAYMONDVILLE had a 2020 population of 10,236 across 4.1 square miles, yielding a density of 3.89 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 10,373, a gain of 137 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 48.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), RAYMONDVILLE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 49.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): RAYMONDVILLE levied $1,964,306 in property taxes on a market value base of $450,689,962. The taxable value of $283,695,445 reflects 37.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6924 per $100 valuation consists of $0.6134 for Maintenance & Operations (88.6%) and $0.0790 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (11.4%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $192 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 3.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 5.8% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): RAYMONDVILLE collected $1,875,491 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $183 falls below regional averages, indicating primarily residential character with retail leakage to neighboring communities. Sales tax represents 95.5% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 2.7% CAGR, reflecting stable retail environment.
Strategic Outlook: RAYMONDVILLE demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
RAYMONDVILLE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop8,9549,73311,28410,23610,25310,27010,28710,30410,32110,33810,35610,373
PPA3.403.704.293.893.903.903.913.923.923.933.943.94
%BO42.6%46.3%53.6%48.6%48.7%48.8%48.9%49.0%49.0%49.1%49.2%49.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%10,236$342,740,605$211,772,33461.8%$0.6723$0.095912.5%$0.7682$1,626,835$159$1,589,697$15597.7%
20214.7%10,237$344,677,848$214,245,40062.2%$0.6814$0.089811.6%$0.7712$1,652,261$161$1,752,673$171106.1%
20228.0%10,239$361,277,815$227,935,91763.1%$0.6486$0.089012.1%$0.7376$1,681,255$164$1,777,138$174105.7%
20234.1%10,241$386,862,534$248,457,45164.2%$0.6134$0.079011.4%$0.6924$1,720,319$168$1,753,042$171101.9%
20243.2%10,242$429,228,535$270,186,13862.9%$0.6134$0.079011.4%$0.6924$1,870,768$183$1,771,097$17394.7%
2025*2.9%10,244$450,689,962$283,695,44562.9%$0.6134$0.079011.4%$0.6924$1,964,306$192$1,875,491$18395.5%
CAGR4.2%0.0%5.8%6.3%0.4%-1.8%-3.8%-1.8%-2.1%3.6%3.5%2.7%2.7%-0.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.7%9.6%6.5%6.5%9.3%7.9%9.0%10.4%8.6%7.9%9.9%7.8%$1,589,697
20217.1%11.9%6.7%7.9%11.1%8.3%7.7%9.7%7.3%6.5%9.5%6.3%$1,752,673
20227.7%9.7%7.3%6.8%9.8%7.0%7.2%9.7%7.1%9.4%10.6%7.8%$1,777,138
20237.4%10.8%8.2%6.6%10.8%7.2%7.6%9.6%7.7%7.8%9.3%6.9%$1,753,042
20247.5%9.9%7.8%7.5%9.7%7.2%7.9%9.4%7.6%7.6%9.5%8.3%$1,771,097
20257.1%10.6%7.2%6.6%9.8%8.4%7.1%9.9%7.9%7.0%10.6%7.9%$1,875,491
MEDIAN %7.3%10.3%7.3%6.8%9.9%7.6%7.7%9.8%7.7%7.8%9.8%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

RED OAK (City)

Pop 14,222 PPA 1.48 %BO 18.6% Levy $19,801,401 Levy CAGR +20.6% E-Factor 7.92%
3,303 15,974 28,646 41,318 53,990 66,662 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 3,670 4,301 10,769 14,222 18,715 24,087 30,206 36,802 43,500 49,901 55,671 60,602 +1.6% +9.6% +2.8% +2.8% +2.6% +2.3% +2.0% +1.7% +1.4% +1.1% +0.9% Population Trend: RED OAK (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: RED OAK had a 2020 population of 14,222 across 15.0 square miles, yielding a density of 1.48 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 60,602, a gain of 46,380 (+326.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.83% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 18.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), RED OAK has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 79.1%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): RED OAK levied $19,801,401 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,663,222,564. The taxable value of $2,841,411,840 reflects 22.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6969 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4590 for Maintenance & Operations (65.9%) and $0.2379 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (34.1%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,202 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 20.6% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 18.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 7.92% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): RED OAK collected $8,212,783 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $499 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 41.5% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 11.3% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: RED OAK demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
RED OAK
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop3,6704,30110,76914,22218,71524,08730,20636,80243,50049,90155,67160,602
PPA0.380.451.121.481.952.513.153.844.545.215.816.33
%BO4.8%5.6%14.1%18.6%24.4%31.4%39.4%48.0%56.8%65.1%72.6%79.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%14,222$1,758,270,520$1,267,275,31772.1%$0.5499$0.153821.9%$0.7036$8,917,119$627$5,611,390$39562.9%
20214.7%14,671$1,971,531,761$1,443,088,74673.2%$0.5499$0.153821.9%$0.7036$10,154,222$692$6,413,067$43763.2%
20228.0%15,120$2,506,189,181$1,836,309,58973.3%$0.4810$0.216431.0%$0.6975$12,807,598$847$7,317,886$48457.1%
20234.1%15,569$3,288,243,761$2,419,948,29673.6%$0.4405$0.256436.8%$0.6969$16,864,281$1,083$7,554,400$48544.8%
20243.2%16,019$3,488,783,394$2,706,106,51477.6%$0.4590$0.237934.1%$0.6969$18,858,477$1,177$8,604,928$53745.6%
2025*2.9%16,468$3,663,222,564$2,841,411,84077.6%$0.4590$0.237934.1%$0.6969$19,801,401$1,202$8,212,783$49941.5%
CAGR4.2%3.0%18.7%20.9%1.5%-3.5%9.1%9.3%-0.2%20.6%17.1%11.3%8.0%-8.0%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.7%9.2%7.2%7.2%8.3%8.9%10.1%9.4%8.6%7.2%9.3%8.0%$5,611,390
20217.2%9.7%7.0%6.5%9.7%8.4%8.1%9.5%8.6%7.9%9.2%8.2%$6,413,067
20227.5%12.3%7.1%6.8%8.0%8.2%7.8%9.3%7.8%8.2%8.6%8.4%$7,317,886
20237.4%9.3%7.0%6.7%12.8%7.7%8.2%9.2%7.2%7.7%8.4%8.4%$7,554,400
20246.3%9.2%6.1%7.2%10.4%7.6%8.0%10.5%9.4%8.8%8.3%8.2%$8,604,928
20257.4%12.2%6.9%6.7%9.2%7.4%7.6%9.0%8.0%7.5%9.6%8.5%$8,212,783
MEDIAN %7.4%9.6%7.1%6.9%9.5%8.1%8.1%9.5%8.4%7.9%9.0%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

RED RIVER COUNTY (City)

Pop 11,587 PPA 0.02 %BO 0.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
10,428 11,492 12,556 13,620 14,684 15,748 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 14,317 14,314 12,860 11,587 11,606 11,625 11,645 11,664 11,683 11,703 11,722 11,742 -0.0% -1.1% -1.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: RED RIVER COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: RED RIVER COUNTY had a 2020 population of 11,587 across 1043.9 square miles, yielding a density of 0.02 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 11,742, a gain of 155 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), RED RIVER COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: RED RIVER COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
RED RIVER COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop14,31714,31412,86011,58711,60611,62511,64511,66411,68311,70311,72211,742
PPA0.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.02
%BO0.3%0.3%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.4%9.6%6.9%7.0%8.5%8.3%9.7%10.5%7.9%7.8%9.4%7.0%$400,542
20217.9%9.1%7.6%6.3%9.8%8.5%8.3%9.1%7.5%8.2%9.7%8.1%$396,204
20228.3%10.0%7.6%6.5%9.3%7.7%7.7%8.9%7.7%9.7%8.6%8.0%$436,589
20238.8%8.9%7.2%7.2%8.7%7.5%8.6%9.6%8.2%8.7%8.4%8.4%$455,190
20249.0%9.8%7.1%6.9%8.8%7.4%8.1%8.3%8.7%8.4%8.9%8.6%$446,285
20258.5%10.9%6.9%7.0%8.2%7.8%7.9%8.4%8.3%7.9%9.6%8.5%$482,652
MEDIAN %8.5%9.8%7.2%6.9%8.8%7.8%8.2%9.1%8.0%8.3%9.2%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

REEVES COUNTY (City)

Pop 14,748 PPA 0.01 %BO 0.1% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
11,823 13,617 15,412 17,206 19,001 20,795 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 15,852 13,137 13,783 14,748 15,213 15,692 16,187 16,697 17,224 17,767 18,327 18,905 -1.9% +0.5% +0.7% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: REEVES COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: REEVES COUNTY had a 2020 population of 14,748 across 2635.4 square miles, yielding a density of 0.01 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 18,905, a gain of 4,157 (+28.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.31% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), REEVES COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: REEVES COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
REEVES COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop15,85213,13713,78314,74815,21315,69216,18716,69717,22417,76718,32718,905
PPA0.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.01
%BO0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

REFUGIO (County)

Pop 2,712 PPA 2.70 %BO 33.7% Levy $9,386,697 Levy CAGR +5.7% E-Factor 0.68%
2,440 2,643 2,845 3,047 3,249 3,451 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 3,138 2,941 2,890 2,712 2,716 2,721 2,725 2,730 2,734 2,739 2,743 2,748 -0.6% -0.2% -0.6% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: REFUGIO (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: REFUGIO had a 2020 population of 2,712 across 1.6 square miles, yielding a density of 2.70 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 2,748, a gain of 36 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 33.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), REFUGIO has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 34.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): REFUGIO levied $9,386,697 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,407,210,128. The taxable value of $1,276,323,208 reflects 47.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.8000 per $100 valuation consists of $0.8000 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $3,459 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.7% CAGR lagged market value growth of 6.4% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.68% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Strategic Outlook: REFUGIO demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
REFUGIO
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop3,1382,9412,8902,7122,7162,7212,7252,7302,7342,7392,7432,748
PPA3.122.932.882.702.702.712.712.722.722.732.732.74
%BO39.0%36.6%36.0%33.7%33.8%33.9%33.9%34.0%34.0%34.1%34.1%34.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%2,712$1,786,210,407~EstN/A$0.7468N/AN/A$0.7468$7,165,461$2,642
20214.7%2,712$1,729,393,890~EstN/A$0.8000N/AN/A$0.8000$5,733,015$2,114
20228.0%2,712$2,017,194,474~EstN/A$0.6612N/AN/A$0.6612$6,093,137$2,247
20234.1%2,713$2,169,075,509~EstN/A$0.8000N/AN/A$0.8000$8,320,182$3,067
20243.2%2,713$2,292,581,074$1,215,545,91253.0%$0.8000N/AN/A$0.8000$8,939,711$3,295
2025~2.9%2,714$2,407,210,128$1,276,323,20853.0%$0.8000N/AN/A$0.8000$9,386,697$3,459
CAGR4.2%0.0%6.4%1.4%1.4%5.7%5.7%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

REFUGIO COUNTY (City)

Pop 6,741 PPA 0.01 %BO 0.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
6,066 6,608 7,149 7,690 8,232 8,773 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 7,976 7,828 7,383 6,741 6,752 6,763 6,774 6,786 6,797 6,808 6,820 6,831 -0.2% -0.6% -0.9% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: REFUGIO COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: REFUGIO COUNTY had a 2020 population of 6,741 across 770.5 square miles, yielding a density of 0.01 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 6,831, a gain of 90 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), REFUGIO COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: REFUGIO COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
REFUGIO COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop7,9767,8287,3836,7416,7526,7636,7746,7866,7976,8086,8206,831
PPA0.020.020.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.01
%BO0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

RICHARDSON (City)

Pop 119,469 PPA 6.54 %BO 81.7% Levy $150,628,868 Levy CAGR +4.1% E-Factor 0.00%
67,506 84,490 101,474 118,458 135,442 152,427 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 75,007 91,802 99,223 119,469 123,081 126,289 129,114 131,585 133,735 135,594 137,196 138,570 +2.0% +0.8% +1.9% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: RICHARDSON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: RICHARDSON had a 2020 population of 119,469 across 28.6 square miles, yielding a density of 6.54 persons per acre (PPA). This high density suggests an urbanized area with limited greenfield expansion potential. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 138,570, a gain of 19,101 (+16.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.19% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 81.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), RICHARDSON is approaching full build-out. By 2100, build-out is projected at 94.8%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): RICHARDSON levied $150,628,868 in property taxes on a market value base of $35,019,396,839. The taxable value of $27,782,077,745 reflects 20.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5422 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3244 for Maintenance & Operations (59.8%) and $0.2178 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (40.2%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,242 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 4.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 9.8% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): RICHARDSON collected $55,685,256 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $459 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 37.0% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 5.8% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
RICHARDSON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop75,00791,80299,223119,469123,081126,289129,114131,585133,735135,594137,196138,570
PPA4.105.025.436.546.736.917.067.207.327.427.517.58
%BO51.3%62.8%67.9%81.7%84.2%86.4%88.3%90.0%91.5%92.7%93.8%94.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%119,469$22,927,157,741$19,512,592,43085.1%$0.3812$0.243939.0%$0.6252$121,984,923$1,021$43,232,503$36235.4%
20214.7%119,830$23,395,844,069$20,056,381,70685.7%$0.3772$0.237938.7%$0.6152$123,378,837$1,030$48,121,458$40239.0%
20228.0%120,191$27,416,682,015$22,807,120,02883.2%$0.3432$0.217838.8%$0.5609$127,936,540$1,064$55,205,962$45943.2%
20234.1%120,552$30,677,110,886$24,499,075,92679.9%$0.3432$0.217838.8%$0.5609$137,427,567$1,140$58,645,858$48642.7%
20243.2%120,913$33,351,806,513$26,459,121,66279.3%$0.3244$0.217840.2%$0.5422$143,456,065$1,186$54,079,006$44737.7%
2025*2.9%121,275$35,019,396,839$27,782,077,74579.3%$0.3244$0.217840.2%$0.5422$150,628,868$1,242$55,685,256$45937.0%
CAGR4.2%0.3%9.8%7.9%-1.4%-3.2%-2.2%0.6%-2.8%4.1%3.8%5.8%5.4%0.8%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.4%13.1%7.3%6.4%8.7%7.2%7.5%10.8%7.5%7.3%9.4%8.3%$43,232,503
20216.4%9.6%7.0%5.9%9.7%8.4%8.0%9.6%8.9%7.7%10.3%8.5%$48,121,458
20227.0%10.2%7.9%6.7%9.6%7.8%7.7%10.2%7.0%7.7%9.3%8.9%$55,205,962
20237.4%9.8%8.5%7.3%8.9%7.5%7.7%9.8%7.8%8.2%9.6%7.5%$58,645,858
20247.4%9.8%8.4%7.3%8.9%7.1%7.3%9.9%8.9%7.1%9.2%8.6%$54,079,006
20257.3%11.3%9.5%6.3%8.9%6.9%7.0%9.7%8.6%7.6%8.9%8.0%$55,685,256
MEDIAN %7.2%10.1%8.2%6.6%9.0%7.4%7.7%9.9%8.2%7.7%9.4%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

RICHLAND HILLS (City)

Pop 8,621 PPA 4.29 %BO 53.6% Levy $5,667,633 Levy CAGR +7.5% E-Factor 4.17%
7,020 7,983 8,946 9,908 10,871 11,833 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 8,014 8,132 7,801 8,621 8,899 9,176 9,450 9,720 9,987 10,249 10,507 10,758 +0.1% -0.4% +1.0% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: RICHLAND HILLS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: RICHLAND HILLS had a 2020 population of 8,621 across 3.1 square miles, yielding a density of 4.29 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 10,758, a gain of 2,137 (+24.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.28% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 53.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), RICHLAND HILLS is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 66.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): RICHLAND HILLS levied $5,667,633 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,323,532,774. The taxable value of $1,092,284,321 reflects 17.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5189 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3616 for Maintenance & Operations (69.7%) and $0.1572 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (30.3%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $647 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.2% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.17% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): RICHLAND HILLS collected $7,944,860 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.12% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $907 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 140.2% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 11.4% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: RICHLAND HILLS demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
RICHLAND HILLS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop8,0148,1327,8018,6218,8999,1769,4509,7209,98710,24910,50710,758
PPA3.994.053.884.294.434.574.704.844.975.105.235.35
%BO49.8%50.6%48.5%53.6%55.4%57.1%58.8%60.5%62.1%63.8%65.4%66.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%8,621$823,296,390$722,476,54387.8%$0.4133$0.145326.0%$0.5586$4,035,400$468$5,641,501$654139.8%
20214.7%8,648$876,707,602$763,062,16187.0%$0.4133$0.145326.0%$0.5586$4,262,091$493$6,006,428$695140.9%
20228.0%8,676$990,318,514$861,291,79187.0%$0.4136$0.125323.2%$0.5389$4,641,372$535$7,634,404$880164.5%
20234.1%8,704$1,190,475,851$1,013,646,86285.1%$0.3617$0.161030.8%$0.5227$5,298,221$609$8,276,242$951156.2%
20243.2%8,732$1,260,507,404$1,040,270,78282.5%$0.3616$0.157230.3%$0.5189$5,397,746$618$8,698,938$996161.2%
2025*2.9%8,760$1,323,532,774$1,092,284,32182.5%$0.3616$0.157230.3%$0.5189$5,667,633$647$7,944,860$907140.2%
CAGR4.2%0.3%11.2%9.5%-1.2%-2.6%1.6%3.1%-1.5%7.5%7.2%11.4%11.1%0.1%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.1%8.9%8.4%8.1%8.4%8.8%8.4%10.1%7.2%7.6%9.7%8.3%$5,641,501
20216.2%7.7%9.5%6.4%8.9%8.7%8.6%9.5%9.2%8.3%8.9%8.2%$6,006,428
20226.1%6.6%8.3%7.6%9.9%8.4%8.1%9.1%9.2%9.8%9.2%7.6%$7,634,404
20236.7%6.6%8.7%6.2%9.8%7.7%9.6%8.5%8.6%9.5%9.6%8.5%$8,276,242
20247.4%7.1%9.0%8.2%9.3%9.9%8.9%7.9%7.8%6.5%7.7%10.1%$8,698,938
20257.1%8.7%16.7%7.9%9.4%10.0%7.0%7.1%6.6%6.1%6.8%6.5%$7,944,860
MEDIAN %6.5%7.4%8.9%7.8%9.4%8.8%8.6%8.9%8.3%8.0%9.1%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

RICHMOND (City)

Pop 11,627 PPA 4.62 %BO 57.8% Levy $7,465,628 Levy CAGR +14.6% E-Factor 6.61%
9,235 10,066 10,896 11,727 12,557 13,388 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 10,262 11,081 11,679 11,627 11,695 11,764 11,832 11,900 11,968 12,036 12,104 12,171 +0.8% +0.5% -0.0% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: RICHMOND (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: RICHMOND had a 2020 population of 11,627 across 3.9 square miles, yielding a density of 4.62 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 12,171, a gain of 544 (+4.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.06% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 57.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), RICHMOND is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 60.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): RICHMOND levied $7,465,628 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,803,344,193. The taxable value of $1,166,504,446 reflects 35.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6400 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3848 for Maintenance & Operations (60.1%) and $0.2552 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (39.9%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $640 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 14.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 16.4% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 6.61% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): RICHMOND collected $11,623,845 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $997 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 155.7% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.8% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: RICHMOND demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
RICHMOND
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop10,26211,08111,67911,62711,69511,76411,83211,90011,96812,03612,10412,171
PPA4.084.414.644.624.654.684.704.734.764.794.814.84
%BO51.0%55.1%58.0%57.8%58.1%58.5%58.8%59.1%59.5%59.8%60.2%60.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%11,627$934,698,471$599,504,84564.1%$0.5057$0.182126.5%$0.6878$4,123,226$355$7,623,058$656184.9%
20214.7%11,633$1,038,826,230$631,861,13860.8%$0.5086$0.171425.2%$0.6800$4,296,656$369$9,330,417$802217.2%
20228.0%11,640$1,284,688,290$782,827,56760.9%$0.4420$0.218033.0%$0.6600$5,166,662$444$8,605,124$739166.6%
20234.1%11,647$1,547,586,796$998,859,68564.5%$0.4290$0.221034.0%$0.6500$6,492,588$557$9,774,965$839150.6%
20243.2%11,654$1,717,470,660$1,110,956,61564.7%$0.3848$0.255239.9%$0.6400$7,110,122$610$10,662,252$915150.0%
2025*2.9%11,661$1,803,344,193$1,166,504,44664.7%$0.3848$0.255239.9%$0.6400$7,465,628$640$11,623,845$997155.7%
CAGR4.2%0.1%16.4%16.7%0.2%-5.3%7.0%8.5%-1.4%14.6%14.5%8.8%8.7%-3.4%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.0%9.3%7.0%7.2%8.4%7.5%7.6%9.3%7.9%7.9%10.0%10.8%$7,623,058
20216.7%8.8%6.5%6.0%13.6%10.1%5.9%9.5%7.2%7.8%9.7%8.3%$9,330,417
202210.2%10.0%7.6%6.1%8.5%7.5%8.0%8.7%7.7%8.9%8.6%8.3%$8,605,124
20238.0%9.8%6.5%6.9%8.0%7.3%8.1%9.4%8.7%9.1%8.9%9.3%$9,774,965
20248.4%9.5%7.1%7.6%8.7%8.6%8.5%8.0%9.9%7.7%8.3%7.8%$10,662,252
20257.4%12.3%7.2%8.2%7.8%8.8%7.6%7.9%8.0%7.5%8.5%8.9%$11,623,845
MEDIAN %7.8%9.8%7.2%7.2%8.6%8.2%8.0%9.2%8.1%8.0%8.9%8.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

RIO GRANDE CITY (City)

Pop 15,317 PPA 2.11 %BO 26.4% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 2.50%
9,603 13,592 17,581 21,571 25,560 29,550 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 10,670 11,923 13,834 15,317 16,583 17,911 19,295 20,732 22,215 23,736 25,289 26,864 +1.1% +1.5% +1.0% +0.8% +0.8% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% Population Trend: RIO GRANDE CITY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: RIO GRANDE CITY had a 2020 population of 15,317 across 11.3 square miles, yielding a density of 2.11 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 26,864, a gain of 11,547 (+75.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.70% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 26.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), RIO GRANDE CITY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 46.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): RIO GRANDE CITY levied $0 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,177,384,455. The taxable value of $870,975,560 reflects 26.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.50% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): RIO GRANDE CITY collected $6,386,416 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $400 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.3% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: RIO GRANDE CITY demonstrates substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
RIO GRANDE CITY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop10,67011,92313,83415,31716,58317,91119,29520,73222,21523,73625,28926,864
PPA1.471.641.902.112.282.472.662.853.063.273.483.70
%BO18.4%20.5%23.8%26.4%28.5%30.8%33.2%35.7%38.2%40.8%43.5%46.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%15,317$580,121,215$526,902,70490.8%$0.4082$0.099319.6%$0.5076$2,674,447$175$4,488,678$293167.8%
20214.7%15,443$677,581,956$599,530,10988.5%$0.3820$0.155628.9%$0.5376$3,222,948$209$4,882,954$316151.5%
20228.0%15,570$762,588,788$659,973,18786.5%$0.3805$0.180832.2%$0.5612$3,703,968$238$5,245,206$337141.6%
20234.1%15,696$998,904,570$755,952,83175.7%$0.3657$0.162130.7%$0.5279$3,990,433$254$5,835,604$372146.2%
20243.2%15,823$1,121,318,529$829,500,53374.0%N/AN/AN/AN/A~EstN/A$6,179,358$391N/A
2025*2.9%15,950$1,177,384,455$870,975,56074.0%N/AN/AN/AN/A~EstN/A$6,386,416$400N/A
CAGR4.2%0.8%17.9%12.0%-4.0%8.3%7.4%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%11.0%5.7%6.8%9.0%7.3%8.9%9.7%7.7%8.7%9.6%8.3%$4,488,678
20218.0%10.0%6.9%7.1%10.7%8.3%7.9%9.0%7.7%7.6%9.4%7.5%$4,882,954
20228.3%10.4%7.4%7.3%9.7%7.9%7.9%9.1%7.7%7.5%9.2%7.6%$5,245,206
20238.2%10.2%7.7%7.2%9.2%7.4%8.1%11.0%7.7%7.3%8.3%7.6%$5,835,604
20248.3%10.3%7.3%7.8%9.4%7.9%8.1%8.9%7.7%7.7%8.8%7.9%$6,179,358
20258.3%11.1%6.9%6.8%9.1%8.0%8.0%8.5%8.3%7.9%8.7%8.4%$6,386,416
MEDIAN %8.3%10.4%7.2%7.2%9.4%7.9%8.1%9.1%7.8%7.7%9.1%7.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

RIVER OAKS (City)

Pop 7,646 PPA 5.97 %BO 74.7% Levy $4,259,863 Levy CAGR +10.3% E-Factor 4.85%
5,973 6,575 7,177 7,780 8,382 8,984 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 6,637 6,985 7,427 7,646 7,715 7,784 7,851 7,917 7,982 8,045 8,107 8,168 +0.5% +0.6% +0.3% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: RIVER OAKS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: RIVER OAKS had a 2020 population of 7,646 across 2.0 square miles, yielding a density of 5.97 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 8,168, a gain of 522 (+6.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.08% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 74.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), RIVER OAKS is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 79.8%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): RIVER OAKS levied $4,259,863 in property taxes on a market value base of $806,464,336. The taxable value of $630,318,622 reflects 21.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6758 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5989 for Maintenance & Operations (88.6%) and $0.0769 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (11.4%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $555 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 10.3% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.85% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): RIVER OAKS collected $951,037 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $124 falls below regional averages, indicating primarily residential character with retail leakage to neighboring communities. Sales tax represents 22.3% of property tax levy, offering modest supplemental revenue. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.6% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: RIVER OAKS demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
RIVER OAKS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop6,6376,9857,4277,6467,7157,7847,8517,9177,9828,0458,1078,168
PPA5.195.465.805.976.036.086.136.196.246.296.336.38
%BO64.8%68.2%72.5%74.7%75.3%76.0%76.7%77.3%78.0%78.6%79.2%79.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%7,646$505,642,467$393,616,93177.8%$0.6974N/AN/A$0.6974$2,744,982$359$654,317$8623.8%
20214.7%7,652$538,336,072$429,430,37979.8%$0.6959$0.02493.5%$0.7209$3,095,652$405$737,151$9623.8%
20228.0%7,659$631,181,725$493,558,06878.2%$0.6530$0.101213.4%$0.7542$3,722,257$486$865,187$11323.2%
20234.1%7,666$752,490,061$569,616,62075.7%$0.5824$0.077811.8%$0.6602$3,760,666$491$945,942$12325.2%
20243.2%7,673$768,061,272$600,303,45078.2%$0.5989$0.076911.4%$0.6758$4,057,012$529$944,610$12323.3%
2025*2.9%7,680$806,464,336$630,318,62278.2%$0.5989$0.076911.4%$0.6758$4,259,863$555$951,037$12422.3%
CAGR4.2%0.1%11.0%11.1%0.1%-3.0%-0.6%10.3%10.2%9.6%9.5%-1.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.6%10.6%6.9%6.9%9.5%7.7%8.3%10.6%8.0%7.8%9.9%7.4%$654,317
20216.9%9.1%6.9%6.4%11.1%7.6%8.1%10.1%7.9%7.7%10.4%7.8%$737,151
20227.0%9.3%6.8%8.0%9.9%7.2%7.6%9.7%8.4%8.2%10.1%7.8%$865,187
20236.8%10.0%6.5%8.1%10.4%7.3%8.5%8.7%7.6%8.0%10.9%7.2%$945,942
20247.8%9.6%7.0%6.8%10.5%7.5%8.0%9.2%8.3%8.0%8.9%8.3%$944,610
20257.4%10.3%6.7%6.0%10.1%7.6%7.5%9.2%8.4%8.2%9.9%8.6%$951,037
MEDIAN %7.0%9.8%6.9%6.9%10.3%7.6%8.1%9.5%8.2%8.0%10.1%7.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ROBERTSON COUNTY (City)

Pop 16,757 PPA 0.03 %BO 0.4% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
13,959 15,327 16,695 18,063 19,431 20,798 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 15,511 16,000 16,622 16,757 17,011 17,270 17,533 17,800 18,071 18,345 18,624 18,908 +0.3% +0.4% +0.1% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: ROBERTSON COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ROBERTSON COUNTY had a 2020 population of 16,757 across 855.2 square miles, yielding a density of 0.03 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 18,908, a gain of 2,151 (+12.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.15% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ROBERTSON COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: ROBERTSON COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ROBERTSON COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop15,51116,00016,62216,75717,01117,27017,53317,80018,07118,34518,62418,908
PPA0.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.03
%BO0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ROBINSON (City)

Pop 12,443 PPA 0.62 %BO 7.8% Levy $7,300,870 Levy CAGR +6.6% E-Factor 1.86%
6,311 14,183 22,056 29,928 37,800 45,673 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 7,013 7,845 10,509 12,443 14,644 17,190 20,119 23,464 27,259 31,526 36,280 41,521 +1.1% +3.0% +1.7% +1.6% +1.6% +1.6% +1.5% +1.5% +1.5% +1.4% +1.4% Population Trend: ROBINSON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ROBINSON had a 2020 population of 12,443 across 31.2 square miles, yielding a density of 0.62 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 41,521, a gain of 29,078 (+233.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.52% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 7.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ROBINSON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 26.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ROBINSON levied $7,300,870 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,015,770,405. The taxable value of $1,622,653,795 reflects 19.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4499 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3274 for Maintenance & Operations (72.8%) and $0.1225 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (27.2%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $539 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 12.8% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.86% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): ROBINSON collected $2,765,959 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $204 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 37.9% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 10.6% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: ROBINSON demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ROBINSON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop7,0137,84510,50912,44314,64417,19020,11923,46427,25931,52636,28041,521
PPA0.350.390.530.620.730.861.011.171.361.581.812.08
%BO4.4%4.9%6.6%7.8%9.2%10.7%12.6%14.7%17.0%19.7%22.7%26.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%12,443$1,186,840,584$1,009,227,08285.0%$0.3718$0.161930.3%$0.5337$5,386,245$433$1,763,476$14232.7%
20214.7%12,663$1,319,793,868$1,116,058,97084.6%$0.3607$0.146328.9%$0.5070$5,658,419$447$1,976,660$15634.9%
20228.0%12,883$1,684,501,386$1,319,505,54278.3%$0.3354$0.124627.1%$0.4600$6,069,725$471$2,242,145$17436.9%
20234.1%13,103$1,902,089,487$1,469,753,63777.3%$0.3287$0.113725.7%$0.4424$6,501,867$496$2,411,814$18437.1%
20243.2%13,323$1,919,781,338$1,545,384,56780.5%$0.3274$0.122527.2%$0.4499$6,953,210$522$2,636,380$19837.9%
2025*2.9%13,543$2,015,770,405$1,622,653,79580.5%$0.3274$0.122527.2%$0.4499$7,300,870$539$2,765,959$20437.9%
CAGR4.2%1.7%12.8%11.2%-1.1%-2.5%-5.4%-2.1%-3.4%6.6%4.8%10.6%8.7%3.0%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.4%9.1%7.8%6.3%8.9%7.9%9.0%10.2%8.2%8.4%9.9%7.9%$1,763,476
20216.9%9.0%6.6%6.1%9.8%8.1%8.5%9.9%8.5%8.8%10.1%7.6%$1,976,660
20227.4%8.5%7.0%6.2%9.6%7.7%8.5%10.1%8.6%8.2%9.7%8.6%$2,242,145
20237.0%9.4%7.5%7.0%9.6%7.7%7.8%9.9%8.0%9.1%9.2%7.7%$2,411,814
20247.4%8.5%7.0%11.9%8.7%7.1%7.8%9.6%8.2%7.5%8.6%7.6%$2,636,380
20257.2%11.0%4.0%6.2%9.6%7.5%8.6%9.1%8.4%8.0%8.6%11.7%$2,765,959
MEDIAN %7.1%9.2%7.1%6.3%9.7%7.8%8.6%10.0%8.4%8.4%9.5%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ROBSTOWN (City)

Pop 10,143 PPA 1.02 %BO 12.8% Levy $4,245,213 Levy CAGR +2.5% E-Factor 0.00%
9,128 10,102 11,077 12,051 13,025 13,999 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 12,709 12,727 11,487 10,143 10,159 10,176 10,193 10,210 10,227 10,244 10,261 10,279 +0.0% -1.0% -1.2% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: ROBSTOWN (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ROBSTOWN had a 2020 population of 10,143 across 15.5 square miles, yielding a density of 1.02 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 10,279, a gain of 136 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 12.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ROBSTOWN has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 13.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ROBSTOWN levied $4,245,213 in property taxes on a market value base of $990,668,908. The taxable value of $605,929,252 reflects 38.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7006 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4242 for Maintenance & Operations (60.5%) and $0.2764 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (39.5%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $418 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 2.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 9.5% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): ROBSTOWN collected $2,660,381 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $262 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 62.7% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 3.5% CAGR, reflecting stable retail environment.
Strategic Outlook: ROBSTOWN demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ROBSTOWN
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop12,70912,72711,48710,14310,15910,17610,19310,21010,22710,24410,26110,279
PPA1.281.281.161.021.021.031.031.031.031.031.031.04
%BO16.0%16.0%14.5%12.8%12.8%12.8%12.8%12.9%12.9%12.9%12.9%13.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%10,143$656,834,793$403,271,09261.4%$0.5256$0.382942.1%$0.9086$3,663,952$361$1,974,501$19553.9%
20214.7%10,144$663,273,416$412,880,24962.2%$0.5233$0.371741.5%$0.8950$3,695,361$364$1,860,293$18350.3%
20228.0%10,146$736,414,720$460,680,06162.6%$0.4890$0.312939.0%$0.8019$3,694,175$364$1,879,188$18550.9%
20234.1%10,147$893,030,285$547,435,43461.3%$0.4359$0.279639.1%$0.7155$3,917,114$386$2,268,049$22457.9%
20243.2%10,149$943,494,198$577,075,47861.2%$0.4242$0.276439.5%$0.7006$4,043,060$398$2,264,025$22356.0%
2025*2.9%10,151$990,668,908$605,929,25261.2%$0.4242$0.276439.5%$0.7006$4,245,213$418$2,660,381$26262.7%
CAGR4.2%0.0%9.5%9.4%-0.1%-4.2%-6.3%-1.3%-5.1%2.5%2.5%3.5%3.5%3.1%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.0%10.9%8.7%7.3%9.2%8.3%7.3%8.7%7.2%8.4%8.6%7.3%$1,974,501
20218.0%9.7%8.1%6.6%10.1%9.3%6.8%9.4%7.6%7.3%9.4%7.7%$1,860,293
20228.9%10.0%7.4%7.0%6.1%8.2%8.3%8.7%7.8%9.3%10.6%7.8%$1,879,188
20236.0%10.3%7.4%6.6%8.9%7.3%10.5%9.7%7.0%7.8%10.0%8.6%$2,268,049
20248.5%10.8%6.8%8.0%8.6%7.9%8.4%6.1%8.4%9.4%8.4%8.7%$2,264,025
20257.3%9.3%7.0%6.4%8.8%8.7%8.3%7.8%8.5%7.9%9.6%10.3%$2,660,381
MEDIAN %8.0%10.1%7.4%6.8%8.8%8.2%8.3%8.7%7.7%8.1%9.5%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ROCKPORT (City)

Pop 10,070 PPA 1.47 %BO 18.4% Levy $12,253,986 Levy CAGR +11.4% E-Factor 2.71%
5,616 9,584 13,552 17,520 21,489 25,457 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 6,240 7,385 8,766 10,070 11,336 12,716 14,210 15,814 17,520 19,320 21,200 23,143 +1.7% +1.7% +1.4% +1.2% +1.2% +1.1% +1.1% +1.0% +1.0% +0.9% +0.9% Population Trend: ROCKPORT (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ROCKPORT had a 2020 population of 10,070 across 10.7 square miles, yielding a density of 1.47 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 23,143, a gain of 13,073 (+129.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.05% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 18.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ROCKPORT has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 42.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ROCKPORT levied $12,253,986 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,513,420,440. The taxable value of $3,040,359,450 reflects 13.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4030 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2355 for Maintenance & Operations (58.4%) and $0.1675 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (41.6%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,145 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 11.4% CAGR lagged market value growth of 13.4% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.71% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): ROCKPORT collected $3,867,406 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $361 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 31.6% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.5% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: ROCKPORT demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ROCKPORT
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop6,2407,3858,76610,07011,33612,71614,21015,81417,52019,32021,20023,143
PPA0.911.081.281.471.661.862.082.312.562.833.103.39
%BO11.4%13.5%16.0%18.4%20.7%23.3%26.0%28.9%32.0%35.3%38.8%42.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%10,070$2,022,288,345$1,801,162,31689.1%$0.2417$0.179642.6%$0.4213$7,588,495$754$2,864,159$28437.7%
20214.7%10,196$2,260,524,382$2,020,611,95989.4%$0.2084$0.184346.9%$0.3927$7,935,347$778$3,243,898$31840.9%
20228.0%10,323$2,552,596,414$2,263,818,47288.7%$0.2205$0.155841.4%$0.3763$8,518,183$825$3,665,496$35543.0%
20234.1%10,449$3,200,310,984$2,756,605,47386.1%$0.2136$0.146540.7%$0.3601$9,925,930$950$3,693,942$35437.2%
20243.2%10,576$3,346,114,705$2,895,580,42986.5%$0.2355$0.167541.6%$0.4030$11,670,463$1,103$3,687,772$34931.6%
2025*2.9%10,703$3,513,420,440$3,040,359,45086.5%$0.2355$0.167541.6%$0.4030$12,253,986$1,145$3,867,406$36131.6%
CAGR4.2%1.2%13.4%12.6%-0.6%-0.5%-1.4%-0.5%-0.9%11.4%10.0%6.5%5.2%-3.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.2%8.7%6.7%7.1%8.6%7.2%9.2%10.6%8.7%8.4%9.4%8.1%$2,864,159
20216.7%8.9%6.8%6.2%10.1%8.1%8.5%10.6%8.9%8.4%9.5%7.3%$3,243,898
20227.0%8.7%6.6%6.5%9.6%8.0%8.7%10.0%9.5%8.6%9.0%7.7%$3,665,496
20237.3%9.0%7.4%7.1%9.4%7.6%8.3%9.8%9.3%8.2%8.9%7.7%$3,693,942
20247.5%9.1%7.2%7.5%9.3%8.2%8.6%9.4%8.8%8.2%8.3%7.9%$3,687,772
20257.5%9.8%6.6%6.7%9.3%6.9%8.3%10.1%9.9%8.4%8.5%7.9%$3,867,406
MEDIAN %7.2%9.0%6.7%6.9%9.4%7.8%8.6%10.1%9.1%8.4%8.9%7.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ROCKWALL (City)

Pop 47,251 PPA 2.67 %BO 33.3% Levy $26,264,534 Levy CAGR +0.7% E-Factor 0.00%
9,750 35,349 60,948 86,547 112,146 137,745 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 10,834 17,976 37,490 47,251 58,429 70,303 82,226 93,540 103,710 112,416 119,561 125,223 +5.2% +7.6% +2.3% +2.1% +1.9% +1.6% +1.3% +1.0% +0.8% +0.6% +0.5% Population Trend: ROCKWALL (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ROCKWALL had a 2020 population of 47,251 across 27.7 square miles, yielding a density of 2.67 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 125,223, a gain of 77,972 (+165.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.23% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 33.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ROCKWALL has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 88.4%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ROCKWALL levied $26,264,534 in property taxes on a market value base of $15,049,688,772. The taxable value of $10,614,077,482 reflects 29.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.2475 per $100 valuation consists of $0.1621 for Maintenance & Operations (65.5%) and $0.0854 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (34.5%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $497 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 0.7% CAGR lagged market value growth of 17.7% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): ROCKWALL collected $38,238,836 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $724 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 145.6% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.3% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: ROCKWALL demonstrates substantial development capacity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ROCKWALL
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop10,83417,97637,49047,25158,42970,30382,22693,540103,710112,416119,561125,223
PPA0.611.012.122.673.303.974.645.285.856.356.757.07
%BO7.6%12.7%26.5%33.3%41.2%49.6%58.0%66.0%73.2%79.3%84.4%88.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%47,251$7,477,083,108$6,576,640,58188.0%$0.2154$0.154641.8%$0.3700$24,333,570$515$26,132,122$553107.4%
20214.7%48,368$7,834,752,139$6,885,174,15687.9%$0.2054$0.144641.3%$0.3500$24,098,110$498$32,094,017$664133.2%
20228.0%49,486$10,185,375,172$8,307,673,61081.6%$0.1927$0.098533.8%$0.2912$24,189,869$489$34,747,867$702143.6%
20234.1%50,604$11,372,413,803$9,244,381,12581.3%$0.1679$0.102337.9%$0.2702$24,982,478$494$36,254,025$716145.1%
20243.2%51,722$14,333,036,926$10,108,645,22170.5%$0.1621$0.085434.5%$0.2475$25,013,842$484$36,008,308$696144.0%
2025*2.9%52,840$15,049,688,772$10,614,077,48270.5%$0.1621$0.085434.5%$0.2475$26,264,534$497$38,238,836$724145.6%
CAGR4.2%2.3%17.7%11.3%-4.3%-5.5%-11.2%-3.8%-7.7%0.7%-1.6%8.3%5.9%6.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.1%11.7%7.5%6.7%8.3%6.9%7.0%10.2%8.1%8.0%10.2%8.4%$26,132,122
20217.2%9.4%6.4%8.1%11.1%8.7%7.7%8.1%7.8%7.8%9.5%8.2%$32,094,017
20227.9%10.3%6.9%6.3%9.9%7.9%8.1%9.2%8.2%8.4%8.8%8.0%$34,747,867
20238.3%10.4%7.2%7.2%9.8%6.9%8.1%9.2%8.0%8.4%8.9%7.6%$36,254,025
20248.6%12.1%5.8%5.8%9.1%8.0%8.4%8.7%8.4%8.1%8.9%8.2%$36,008,308
20257.9%12.0%7.1%6.5%8.9%8.3%8.5%9.0%8.2%7.8%7.9%8.1%$38,238,836
MEDIAN %7.9%11.0%7.0%6.5%9.4%7.9%8.1%9.1%8.1%8.0%8.9%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ROCKWALL (County)

Pop 47,251 PPA 2.67 %BO 33.3% Levy $61,997,221 Levy CAGR +8.0% E-Factor 0.75%
9,750 35,349 60,948 86,547 112,146 137,745 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 10,834 17,976 37,490 47,251 58,429 70,303 82,226 93,540 103,710 112,416 119,561 125,223 +5.2% +7.6% +2.3% +2.1% +1.9% +1.6% +1.3% +1.0% +0.8% +0.6% +0.5% Population Trend: ROCKWALL (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ROCKWALL had a 2020 population of 47,251 across 27.7 square miles, yielding a density of 2.67 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 125,223, a gain of 77,972 (+165.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.23% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 33.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ROCKWALL has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 88.4%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ROCKWALL levied $61,997,221 in property taxes on a market value base of $31,794,410,991. The taxable value of $25,213,224,316 reflects 20.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.2547 per $100 valuation consists of $0.1989 for Maintenance & Operations (78.1%) and $0.0558 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (21.9%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,173 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.0% CAGR lagged market value growth of 17.8% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.75% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Strategic Outlook: ROCKWALL demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ROCKWALL
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop10,83417,97637,49047,25158,42970,30382,22693,540103,710112,416119,561125,223
PPA0.611.012.122.673.303.974.645.285.856.356.757.07
%BO7.6%12.7%26.5%33.3%41.2%49.6%58.0%66.0%73.2%79.3%84.4%88.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%47,251$15,720,293,005~EstN/A$0.2339$0.079225.3%$0.3131$43,340,076$917
20214.7%48,368$16,821,597,913~EstN/A$0.2370$0.076124.3%$0.3131$46,520,127$962
20228.0%49,486$22,870,815,545~EstN/A$0.2276$0.064922.2%$0.2925$53,822,874$1,088
20234.1%50,604$26,192,887,951~EstN/A$0.2147$0.061322.2%$0.2760$58,206,228$1,150
20243.2%51,722$30,280,391,420$24,012,594,58779.3%$0.1989$0.055821.9%$0.2547$59,044,972$1,142
2025~2.9%52,840$31,794,410,991$25,213,224,31679.3%$0.1989$0.055821.9%$0.2547$61,997,221$1,173
CAGR4.2%2.3%17.8%-3.2%-6.8%-2.8%-4.0%8.0%5.6%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

ROCKWALL COUNTY (City)

Pop 107,819 PPA 1.32 %BO 16.6% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
23,043 135,206 247,368 359,531 471,694 583,856 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 25,604 43,080 78,337 107,819 147,044 195,482 252,005 313,744 376,474 435,672 487,744 530,779 +5.3% +6.2% +3.2% +3.2% +2.9% +2.6% +2.2% +1.8% +1.5% +1.1% +0.8% Population Trend: ROCKWALL COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ROCKWALL COUNTY had a 2020 population of 107,819 across 127.2 square miles, yielding a density of 1.32 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 530,779, a gain of 422,960 (+392.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.01% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 16.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ROCKWALL COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 81.5%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Strategic Outlook: ROCKWALL COUNTY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ROCKWALL COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop25,60443,08078,337107,819147,044195,482252,005313,744376,474435,672487,744530,779
PPA0.310.530.961.321.812.403.103.854.625.355.996.52
%BO3.9%6.6%12.0%16.6%22.6%30.0%38.7%48.2%57.8%66.9%74.9%81.5%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ROMA (City)

Pop 11,561 PPA nan %BO 100.0% Levy $1,608,424 Levy CAGR -11.1% E-Factor 0.00%
7,530 8,567 9,605 10,642 11,679 12,717 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 8,367 9,617 9,765 11,561 11,561 11,561 11,561 11,561 11,561 11,561 11,561 11,561 +1.4% +0.2% +1.7% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: ROMA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ROMA had a 2020 population of 11,561 across 0.0 square miles, yielding a density of nan persons per acre (PPA). This high density suggests an urbanized area with limited greenfield expansion potential. Build-Out Analysis: At 100.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ROMA is approaching full build-out. Projections show reaching theoretical capacity (100% build-out) before 2100, suggesting eventual need for annexation, densification, or growth boundary adjustments.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ROMA levied $1,608,424 in property taxes on a market value base of $777,256,259. The taxable value of $657,807,464 reflects 15.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.2599 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2139 for Maintenance & Operations (82.3%) and $0.0460 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (17.7%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $139 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of -11.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 15.8% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): ROMA collected $1,970,622 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $170 falls below regional averages, indicating primarily residential character with retail leakage to neighboring communities. Sales tax represents 122.5% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.3% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: ROMA demonstrates contracting fiscal capacity, limited greenfield options. Long-term projections indicate eventual capacity constraints requiring proactive planning for annexation, vertical development, or managed growth boundaries. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ROMA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop8,3679,6179,76511,56111,56111,56111,56111,56111,56111,56111,56111,561
PPAnannannannannannannannannannannannan
%BO100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%11,561$412,145,204$382,740,42892.9%$0.5042$0.146222.5%$0.6504$2,456,049$212$1,376,377$11956.0%
20214.7%11,561$433,240,124$396,974,52591.6%$0.5202$0.108917.3%$0.6292$2,479,804$214$1,451,450$12658.5%
20228.0%11,561$586,077,091$493,166,77984.1%$0.4816$0.105217.9%$0.5868$2,881,168$249$1,555,814$13554.0%
20234.1%11,561$718,204,775$591,795,48982.4%$0.4606$0.410047.1%$0.8706$5,274,496$456$1,781,529$15433.8%
20243.2%11,561$740,244,056$626,483,29984.6%$0.2139$0.046017.7%$0.2599$1,531,832$132$1,822,605$158119.0%
2025*2.9%11,561$777,256,259$657,807,46484.6%$0.2139$0.046017.7%$0.2599$1,608,424$139$1,970,622$170122.5%
CAGR4.2%15.8%13.1%-1.8%-15.8%-20.6%-4.7%-16.8%-11.1%-11.1%7.3%7.3%16.9%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.4%11.1%7.4%6.5%9.0%6.5%8.6%10.1%8.0%8.0%9.9%7.5%$1,376,377
20217.7%10.4%7.1%4.9%10.5%8.2%8.3%9.7%7.6%7.9%10.0%7.7%$1,451,450
20228.2%10.1%6.8%6.8%10.0%7.7%7.8%9.4%7.6%8.5%9.6%7.4%$1,555,814
20237.1%9.7%6.4%11.0%10.8%6.8%7.2%8.6%7.5%7.5%9.2%8.0%$1,781,529
20247.6%10.0%6.9%7.3%9.3%7.9%7.8%10.6%7.7%7.5%9.4%8.1%$1,822,605
20257.4%13.2%4.7%6.4%8.9%7.9%7.0%13.5%7.4%7.2%9.0%7.4%$1,970,622
MEDIAN %7.6%10.4%6.9%6.8%9.8%7.9%7.9%10.0%7.7%7.8%9.6%7.7%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ROSENBERG (City)

Pop 38,282 PPA 2.66 %BO 33.3% Levy $15,782,752 Levy CAGR +6.6% E-Factor 2.27%
18,883 33,757 48,630 63,503 78,377 93,250 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 20,982 24,043 30,618 38,282 43,960 49,936 56,089 62,278 68,364 74,211 79,709 84,773 +1.4% +2.4% +2.3% +1.4% +1.3% +1.2% +1.1% +0.9% +0.8% +0.7% +0.6% Population Trend: ROSENBERG (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ROSENBERG had a 2020 population of 38,282 across 22.5 square miles, yielding a density of 2.66 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 84,773, a gain of 46,491 (+121.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.00% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 33.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ROSENBERG has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 73.7%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ROSENBERG levied $15,782,752 in property taxes on a market value base of $7,138,117,514. The taxable value of $4,932,109,877 reflects 30.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3200 per $100 valuation consists of $0.1970 for Maintenance & Operations (61.6%) and $0.1230 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (38.4%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $384 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 15.3% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.27% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): ROSENBERG collected $31,755,417 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $772 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 201.2% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 10.8% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: ROSENBERG demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ROSENBERG
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop20,98224,04330,61838,28243,96049,93656,08962,27868,36474,21179,70984,773
PPA1.461.672.132.663.063.473.904.334.755.165.545.89
%BO18.2%20.9%26.6%33.3%38.2%43.4%48.7%54.1%59.4%64.5%69.3%73.7%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%38,282$3,847,352,971$2,905,855,36775.5%$0.2657$0.134333.6%$0.4000$11,623,421$304$20,837,571$544179.3%
20214.7%38,849$4,260,577,503$3,217,430,88575.5%$0.2298$0.150239.5%$0.3800$12,226,237$315$27,746,072$714226.9%
20228.0%39,417$5,176,182,212$3,697,817,54871.4%$0.1808$0.174249.1%$0.3550$13,127,252$333$34,684,528$880264.2%
20234.1%39,985$5,987,447,091$4,236,382,98070.8%$0.1944$0.148043.2%$0.3424$14,503,850$363$29,538,309$739203.7%
20243.2%40,553$6,798,207,156$4,697,247,50269.1%$0.1970$0.123038.4%$0.3200$15,031,192$371$31,401,864$774208.9%
2025*2.9%41,121$7,138,117,514$4,932,109,87769.1%$0.1970$0.123038.4%$0.3200$15,782,752$384$31,755,417$772201.2%
CAGR4.2%1.4%15.3%12.8%-1.8%-5.8%-1.7%2.7%-4.4%6.6%5.1%10.8%9.2%2.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.9%10.1%7.1%7.6%9.0%7.5%7.6%9.5%7.8%7.8%10.1%9.0%$20,837,571
20216.6%10.7%6.3%6.0%10.1%8.9%7.9%9.5%7.7%8.7%9.4%8.1%$27,746,072
20226.7%8.4%7.0%7.3%10.1%9.0%8.7%10.1%8.5%8.9%8.3%7.0%$34,684,528
20237.8%9.8%7.2%6.8%9.3%7.1%8.3%9.6%7.9%9.0%8.9%8.3%$29,538,309
20247.6%8.8%7.1%7.5%8.9%8.3%7.8%10.8%8.4%7.5%8.7%8.7%$31,401,864
20257.3%10.4%7.2%7.2%9.2%8.6%8.8%8.9%8.1%7.6%8.4%8.2%$31,755,417
MEDIAN %7.1%9.9%7.1%7.3%9.3%8.4%8.1%9.6%8.0%8.2%8.8%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ROUND ROCK (City)

Pop 119,468 PPA 5.47 %BO 68.4% Levy $95,923,522 Levy CAGR +7.6% E-Factor 1.89%
28,623 59,632 90,641 121,650 152,659 183,668 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 31,804 61,136 99,887 119,468 129,718 138,645 146,192 152,414 157,438 161,426 164,550 166,971 +6.8% +5.0% +1.8% +0.8% +0.7% +0.5% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% +0.1% Population Trend: ROUND ROCK (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ROUND ROCK had a 2020 population of 119,468 across 34.1 square miles, yielding a density of 5.47 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 166,971, a gain of 47,503 (+39.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.42% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 68.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ROUND ROCK is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 95.6%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ROUND ROCK levied $95,923,522 in property taxes on a market value base of $30,686,877,335. The taxable value of $26,645,423,135 reflects 13.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3600 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2546 for Maintenance & Operations (70.7%) and $0.1054 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (29.3%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $770 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 13.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.89% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): ROUND ROCK collected $129,332,684 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $1,038 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 134.8% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.9% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: ROUND ROCK demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ROUND ROCK
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop31,80461,13699,887119,468129,718138,645146,192152,414157,438161,426164,550166,971
PPA1.462.804.585.475.946.356.706.987.217.397.547.65
%BO18.2%35.0%57.2%68.4%74.3%79.4%83.7%87.3%90.1%92.4%94.2%95.6%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%119,468$17,901,622,410$15,532,006,46086.8%$0.2963$0.142732.5%$0.4390$68,185,508$571$86,389,824$723126.7%
20214.7%120,493$20,776,178,023$17,728,919,31185.3%$0.2649$0.132133.3%$0.3970$70,383,810$584$104,817,220$870148.9%
20228.0%121,518$28,181,365,457$21,876,238,18877.6%$0.2244$0.117634.4%$0.3420$74,816,734$616$116,966,437$963156.3%
20234.1%122,543$28,530,611,836$24,199,764,87884.8%$0.2385$0.103530.3%$0.3420$82,763,196$675$118,640,963$968143.3%
20243.2%123,568$29,225,597,462$25,376,593,46286.8%$0.2546$0.105429.3%$0.3600$91,355,735$739$117,035,675$947128.1%
2025*2.9%124,593$30,686,877,335$26,645,423,13586.8%$0.2546$0.105429.3%$0.3600$95,923,522$770$129,332,684$1,038134.8%
CAGR4.2%0.8%13.0%13.1%0.0%-3.0%-5.9%-2.1%-3.9%7.6%6.7%7.9%7.0%1.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.9%10.7%8.0%7.8%8.3%7.9%7.5%8.9%8.9%6.4%8.7%9.0%$86,389,824
20216.7%8.1%8.9%6.2%8.2%8.7%7.9%8.6%9.2%8.5%9.7%9.3%$104,817,220
20227.6%9.1%8.2%7.7%7.2%7.2%6.6%8.8%12.0%7.9%8.4%9.2%$116,966,437
20237.6%10.1%8.2%6.8%6.8%8.0%9.5%8.1%8.6%7.7%10.3%8.3%$118,640,963
20248.2%9.7%8.1%7.6%8.4%8.9%7.7%8.5%9.3%7.0%8.3%8.4%$117,035,675
20257.4%9.4%8.9%7.5%8.0%11.2%7.2%7.8%8.7%7.3%8.2%8.4%$129,332,684
MEDIAN %7.7%9.6%8.3%7.6%8.1%8.4%7.6%8.6%9.1%7.6%8.6%8.7%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ROWLETT (City)

Pop 62,535 PPA 4.91 %BO 61.4% Levy $73,827,095 Levy CAGR +12.0% E-Factor 4.28%
21,012 36,649 52,285 67,922 83,559 99,195 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 23,347 44,503 56,199 62,535 67,179 71,542 75,572 79,237 82,522 85,430 87,974 90,178 +6.7% +2.4% +1.1% +0.7% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% Population Trend: ROWLETT (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ROWLETT had a 2020 population of 62,535 across 19.9 square miles, yielding a density of 4.91 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 90,178, a gain of 27,643 (+44.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.46% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 61.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ROWLETT is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 88.6%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ROWLETT levied $73,827,095 in property taxes on a market value base of $11,401,220,550. The taxable value of $9,591,783,720 reflects 15.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7697 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5313 for Maintenance & Operations (69.0%) and $0.2384 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (31.0%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,138 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 12.0% CAGR lagged market value growth of 12.8% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.28% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): ROWLETT collected $10,060,111 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $155 falls below regional averages, indicating primarily residential character with retail leakage to neighboring communities. Sales tax represents 13.6% of property tax levy, offering modest supplemental revenue. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.0% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: ROWLETT demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ROWLETT
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop23,34744,50356,19962,53567,17971,54275,57279,23782,52285,43087,97490,178
PPA1.833.504.414.915.285.625.946.226.486.716.917.08
%BO22.9%43.7%55.2%61.4%66.0%70.3%74.2%77.8%81.0%83.9%86.4%88.6%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%62,535$6,715,991,577$5,991,915,44589.2%$0.5247$0.220329.6%$0.7450$44,639,770$714$7,222,622$11516.2%
20214.7%62,999$6,973,172,703$6,261,061,66489.8%$0.5385$0.206527.7%$0.7450$46,644,909$740$8,185,498$13017.5%
20228.0%63,463$9,116,096,329$7,503,980,82482.3%$0.5258$0.155222.8%$0.6810$51,102,110$805$8,920,800$14117.5%
20234.1%63,928$10,004,834,351$8,357,679,49083.5%$0.5313$0.179125.2%$0.7104$59,372,955$929$9,656,316$15116.3%
20243.2%64,392$10,858,305,286$9,135,032,11484.1%$0.5313$0.238431.0%$0.7697$70,311,519$1,092$9,825,283$15314.0%
2025*2.9%64,857$11,401,220,550$9,591,783,72084.1%$0.5313$0.238431.0%$0.7697$73,827,095$1,138$10,060,111$15513.6%
CAGR4.2%0.7%12.8%11.1%-1.2%0.3%1.6%0.9%0.7%12.0%11.2%8.0%7.2%-3.4%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%9.8%7.2%6.6%8.6%7.9%8.6%9.7%8.0%7.9%10.2%8.1%$7,222,622
20217.6%9.7%6.9%6.1%10.1%8.0%7.7%9.9%8.1%7.9%9.5%8.3%$8,185,498
20227.7%10.1%7.0%7.0%9.9%8.3%8.1%8.1%8.2%7.9%9.3%8.4%$8,920,800
20237.8%10.3%7.2%6.8%9.3%7.6%8.4%9.1%8.0%8.1%9.3%8.2%$9,656,316
20248.1%11.1%6.0%7.2%9.2%7.8%7.8%8.7%8.4%8.4%9.1%8.2%$9,825,283
20257.5%11.2%6.9%6.7%9.7%8.1%7.5%9.0%8.2%7.6%9.0%8.6%$10,060,111
MEDIAN %7.7%10.2%7.0%6.8%9.5%8.0%8.0%9.1%8.2%7.9%9.3%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ROYSE CITY (City)

Pop 13,508 PPA 1.41 %BO 17.6% Levy $16,121,881 Levy CAGR +21.5% E-Factor 9.70%
1,907 16,831 31,755 46,679 61,603 76,528 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 2,119 2,957 9,349 13,508 19,566 27,194 35,955 45,009 53,390 60,388 65,743 69,571 +3.4% +12.2% +3.7% +3.8% +3.3% +2.8% +2.3% +1.7% +1.2% +0.9% +0.6% Population Trend: ROYSE CITY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ROYSE CITY had a 2020 population of 13,508 across 15.0 square miles, yielding a density of 1.41 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 69,571, a gain of 56,063 (+415.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.07% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 17.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ROYSE CITY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 90.5%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): ROYSE CITY levied $16,121,881 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,306,816,186. The taxable value of $2,789,253,158 reflects 15.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5780 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3353 for Maintenance & Operations (58.0%) and $0.2427 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (42.0%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $975 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 21.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 23.4% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 9.70% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): ROYSE CITY collected $9,048,028 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $547 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 56.1% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 16.3% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: ROYSE CITY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ROYSE CITY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop2,1192,9579,34913,50819,56627,19435,95545,00953,39060,38865,74369,571
PPA0.220.310.971.412.042.833.744.695.566.296.847.24
%BO2.8%3.8%12.2%17.6%25.5%35.4%46.8%58.6%69.5%78.6%85.5%90.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%13,508$1,357,110,850$1,131,894,97583.4%$0.4380$0.183529.5%$0.6215$7,034,728$521$4,698,960$34866.8%
20214.7%14,113$1,553,389,459$1,320,795,35285.0%$0.4060$0.215534.7%$0.6215$8,208,743$582$5,988,287$42473.0%
20228.0%14,719$2,275,576,407$1,852,850,38381.4%$0.3435$0.261543.2%$0.6050$11,209,745$762$7,099,887$48263.3%
20234.1%15,325$2,907,098,814$2,388,975,99682.2%$0.3181$0.265945.5%$0.5840$13,951,619$910$7,931,551$51856.9%
20243.2%15,931$3,149,348,749$2,656,431,57984.3%$0.3353$0.242742.0%$0.5780$15,354,172$964$8,587,061$53955.9%
2025*2.9%16,537$3,306,816,186$2,789,253,15884.3%$0.3353$0.242742.0%$0.5780$16,121,881$975$9,048,028$54756.1%
CAGR4.2%4.1%23.4%23.8%0.2%-5.2%5.8%7.3%-1.4%21.5%16.6%16.3%11.6%-3.4%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.1%9.5%6.7%6.4%8.1%8.4%9.3%10.2%7.6%8.6%10.0%8.3%$4,698,960
20216.9%9.1%6.8%6.2%9.2%8.2%7.8%9.1%8.8%8.6%10.2%9.1%$5,988,287
20227.6%9.4%7.2%6.6%9.6%8.0%8.6%9.3%8.2%8.3%8.9%8.4%$7,099,887
20237.9%9.3%6.9%7.4%9.1%7.4%8.1%10.1%8.2%8.9%8.2%8.5%$7,931,551
20248.3%8.9%6.6%7.9%8.1%8.8%8.2%7.8%9.7%8.4%8.6%8.7%$8,587,061
20257.7%11.2%6.9%6.6%8.5%8.2%8.3%8.6%8.2%7.9%9.6%8.2%$9,048,028
MEDIAN %7.7%9.4%6.9%6.6%8.9%8.3%8.3%9.3%8.3%8.6%9.3%8.5%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

RUNNELS COUNTY (City)

Pop 9,900 PPA 0.01 %BO 0.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
8,910 9,656 10,403 11,150 11,897 12,644 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 11,294 11,495 10,501 9,900 9,916 9,933 9,949 9,966 9,982 9,999 10,016 10,032 +0.2% -0.9% -0.6% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: RUNNELS COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: RUNNELS COUNTY had a 2020 population of 9,900 across 1051.1 square miles, yielding a density of 0.01 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 10,032, a gain of 132 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), RUNNELS COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: RUNNELS COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
RUNNELS COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop11,29411,49510,5019,9009,9169,9339,9499,9669,9829,99910,01610,032
PPA0.020.020.020.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.01
%BO0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.1%14.5%6.5%5.1%12.0%6.0%6.1%12.0%7.2%5.6%12.8%6.2%$629,278
20215.0%14.4%4.9%4.1%13.3%5.8%5.3%14.1%5.6%6.0%15.8%5.8%$746,487
20225.5%14.9%4.5%3.9%14.0%5.1%4.6%15.5%5.9%5.3%15.5%5.4%$890,820
20236.7%16.7%5.8%5.1%11.8%5.9%5.3%13.7%5.3%6.4%12.2%5.3%$799,393
20244.9%14.5%5.2%5.0%13.6%5.9%6.2%12.6%6.7%5.1%11.3%9.0%$797,716
20258.0%13.3%8.5%5.8%10.4%6.0%6.0%12.6%5.7%6.1%11.7%6.0%$781,263
MEDIAN %5.9%14.8%5.6%5.1%12.9%6.0%5.8%13.4%5.9%5.9%12.7%6.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

RUSK (County)

Pop 5,285 PPA 1.14 %BO 14.3% Levy $28,422,801 Levy CAGR +1.6% E-Factor 0.00%
4,064 4,472 4,881 5,289 5,697 6,106 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 4,516 5,085 5,551 5,285 5,293 5,302 5,311 5,320 5,329 5,338 5,346 5,355 +1.2% +0.9% -0.5% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: RUSK (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: RUSK had a 2020 population of 5,285 across 7.2 square miles, yielding a density of 1.14 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 5,355, a gain of 70 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 14.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), RUSK has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 14.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): RUSK levied $28,422,801 in property taxes on a market value base of $9,238,070,946. The taxable value of $5,234,419,102 reflects 43.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5414 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4888 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $5,374 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 1.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.3% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Strategic Outlook: RUSK demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
RUSK
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop4,5165,0855,5515,2855,2935,3025,3115,3205,3295,3385,3465,355
PPA0.981.101.201.141.151.151.151.151.151.161.161.16
%BO12.2%13.8%15.0%14.3%14.3%14.3%14.4%14.4%14.4%14.4%14.5%14.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%5,285$5,738,694,952~EstN/A$0.6443$0.04086.0%$0.6851$25,404,633$4,807
20214.7%5,285$5,955,842,969~EstN/A$0.5896$0.04236.7%$0.6319$23,455,583$4,438
20228.0%5,286$6,969,219,088~EstN/A$0.5562N/AN/A$0.5562$23,761,094$4,495
20234.1%5,287$8,184,349,076~EstN/A$0.5139N/AN/A$0.5139$25,244,248$4,775
20243.2%5,288$8,798,162,806$4,985,161,05056.7%$0.4888N/AN/A$0.5414$27,069,334$5,119
2025~2.9%5,289$9,238,070,946$5,234,419,10256.7%$0.4888N/AN/A$0.5414$28,422,801$5,374
CAGR4.2%0.0%11.3%-5.4%-4.6%1.6%1.6%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

RUSK COUNTY (City)

Pop 52,214 PPA 0.09 %BO 1.1% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
39,361 44,021 48,681 53,341 58,001 62,661 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 43,735 47,372 53,330 52,214 52,785 53,363 53,948 54,538 55,135 55,739 56,349 56,965 +0.8% +1.2% -0.2% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: RUSK COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: RUSK COUNTY had a 2020 population of 52,214 across 924.0 square miles, yielding a density of 0.09 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 56,965, a gain of 4,751 (+9.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.11% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), RUSK COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 1.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: RUSK COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
RUSK COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop43,73547,37253,33052,21452,78553,36353,94854,53855,13555,73956,34956,965
PPA0.070.080.090.090.090.090.090.090.090.090.100.10
%BO0.9%1.0%1.1%1.1%1.1%1.1%1.1%1.2%1.2%1.2%1.2%1.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SABINE COUNTY (City)

Pop 9,894 PPA 0.03 %BO 0.4% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
8,627 9,285 9,943 10,601 11,259 11,917 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 9,586 10,469 10,834 9,894 9,910 9,927 9,943 9,960 9,976 9,993 10,010 10,026 +0.9% +0.3% -0.9% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: SABINE COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SABINE COUNTY had a 2020 population of 9,894 across 491.7 square miles, yielding a density of 0.03 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 10,026, a gain of 132 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SABINE COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: SABINE COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SABINE COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop9,58610,46910,8349,8949,9109,9279,9439,9609,9769,99310,01010,026
PPA0.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.03
%BO0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.2%7.9%6.0%6.4%8.8%9.6%9.2%12.3%7.9%7.6%9.7%7.2%$506,370
20216.8%9.8%7.1%7.1%10.6%8.2%7.5%10.7%7.7%7.2%9.8%7.4%$540,277
20226.5%9.6%5.6%6.0%9.7%9.2%8.6%11.0%6.9%8.0%10.4%8.5%$642,093
20238.0%10.9%7.9%7.0%9.9%6.7%8.1%10.5%6.4%8.4%8.8%7.4%$601,804
20247.5%10.1%6.8%8.0%10.2%6.9%7.3%9.5%7.6%6.8%9.8%9.4%$579,219
20257.5%10.5%6.9%6.1%9.6%5.2%8.0%9.8%8.1%7.1%9.9%11.3%$592,896
MEDIAN %7.4%10.0%6.9%6.7%9.8%7.5%8.1%10.6%7.7%7.5%9.8%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SACHSE (City)

Pop 27,103 PPA 4.33 %BO 54.1% Levy $31,821,052 Levy CAGR +11.6% E-Factor 4.53%
4,849 14,524 24,199 33,875 43,550 53,225 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 5,388 9,751 20,329 27,103 31,864 36,156 39,772 42,650 44,836 46,439 47,584 48,387 +6.1% +7.6% +2.9% +1.6% +1.3% +1.0% +0.7% +0.5% +0.4% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: SACHSE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SACHSE had a 2020 population of 27,103 across 9.8 square miles, yielding a density of 4.33 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 48,387, a gain of 21,284 (+78.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.73% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 54.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SACHSE is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 96.5%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SACHSE levied $31,821,052 in property taxes on a market value base of $5,701,780,324. The taxable value of $4,892,415,541 reflects 14.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6504 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4562 for Maintenance & Operations (70.1%) and $0.1942 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (29.9%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,079 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 11.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 15.9% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.53% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): SACHSE collected $5,342,553 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.75% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $181 falls below regional averages, indicating primarily residential character with retail leakage to neighboring communities. Sales tax represents 16.8% of property tax levy, offering modest supplemental revenue. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 10.9% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: SACHSE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SACHSE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop5,3889,75120,32927,10331,86436,15639,77242,65044,83646,43947,58448,387
PPA0.861.563.244.335.095.776.356.817.167.417.597.72
%BO10.7%19.5%40.6%54.1%63.6%72.1%79.3%85.1%89.4%92.6%94.9%96.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%27,103$3,006,836,871$2,716,238,43090.3%$0.5258$0.194227.0%$0.7200$19,556,916$722$3,526,953$13018.0%
20214.7%27,579$3,183,566,095$2,896,238,21691.0%$0.5065$0.194227.7%$0.7007$20,294,926$736$4,092,928$14820.2%
20228.0%28,055$4,331,779,765$3,609,208,61983.3%$0.4562$0.194229.9%$0.6504$23,474,870$837$4,866,512$17320.7%
20234.1%28,531$5,025,972,085$4,161,978,65782.8%$0.4562$0.194229.9%$0.6504$27,070,175$949$5,117,546$17918.9%
20243.2%29,007$5,430,266,975$4,659,443,37285.8%$0.4562$0.194229.9%$0.6504$30,305,764$1,045$5,335,260$18417.6%
2025*2.9%29,483$5,701,780,324$4,892,415,54185.8%$0.4562$0.194229.9%$0.6504$31,821,052$1,079$5,342,553$18116.8%
CAGR4.2%1.7%15.9%14.4%-1.0%-2.8%2.1%-2.0%11.6%9.7%10.9%9.0%-1.4%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.7%11.4%7.1%6.4%9.4%7.8%5.6%10.6%7.8%7.5%10.6%8.1%$3,526,953
20217.9%10.6%6.8%6.1%9.5%7.4%7.6%10.1%8.1%7.5%10.0%8.4%$4,092,928
20227.4%10.5%6.9%6.2%9.3%7.5%8.2%9.9%8.3%8.1%9.4%8.2%$4,866,512
20238.5%10.7%6.9%6.5%8.8%7.2%7.9%10.0%8.6%7.6%9.4%7.8%$5,117,546
20247.7%10.5%6.7%6.4%10.8%8.9%7.9%9.5%7.9%8.1%8.0%7.7%$5,335,260
20257.6%11.9%6.6%6.7%9.0%7.6%7.7%9.2%8.2%7.6%9.5%8.3%$5,342,553
MEDIAN %7.7%10.7%6.9%6.4%9.4%7.6%7.8%10.0%8.2%7.6%9.5%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SAGINAW (City)

Pop 23,890 PPA 4.94 %BO 61.7% Levy $16,394,418 Levy CAGR +10.4% E-Factor 3.69%
7,744 14,059 20,374 26,689 33,004 39,319 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 8,605 12,374 19,806 23,890 26,109 28,144 29,962 31,547 32,902 34,038 34,978 35,745 +3.7% +4.8% +1.9% +0.9% +0.8% +0.6% +0.5% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% Population Trend: SAGINAW (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SAGINAW had a 2020 population of 23,890 across 7.6 square miles, yielding a density of 4.94 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 35,745, a gain of 11,855 (+49.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.50% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 61.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SAGINAW is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 92.3%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SAGINAW levied $16,394,418 in property taxes on a market value base of $4,001,093,088. The taxable value of $3,320,408,724 reflects 17.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4937 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2753 for Maintenance & Operations (55.8%) and $0.2184 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (44.2%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $656 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 10.4% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 9.2% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.69% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): SAGINAW collected $8,332,941 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.63% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $333 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 50.8% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.8% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: SAGINAW demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SAGINAW
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop8,60512,37419,80623,89026,10928,14429,96231,54732,90234,03834,97835,745
PPA1.782.564.094.945.405.826.196.526.807.047.237.39
%BO22.2%32.0%51.2%61.7%67.5%72.7%77.4%81.5%85.0%87.9%90.4%92.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%23,890$2,681,900,305$2,277,671,96284.9%$0.2842$0.177338.4%$0.4616$10,513,255$440$5,935,360$24856.5%
20214.7%24,111$2,850,439,130$2,446,551,74385.8%$0.2851$0.194540.6%$0.4795$11,731,607$487$7,328,008$30462.5%
20228.0%24,333$3,251,814,894$2,662,204,53881.9%$0.2732$0.234946.2%$0.5080$13,525,117$556$7,858,126$32358.1%
20234.1%24,555$3,816,064,314$3,037,291,65979.6%$0.2640$0.234847.1%$0.4988$15,149,069$617$8,587,337$35056.7%
20243.2%24,777$3,810,564,846$3,162,294,02383.0%$0.2753$0.218444.2%$0.4937$15,613,731$630$8,322,828$33653.3%
2025*2.9%24,999$4,001,093,088$3,320,408,72483.0%$0.2753$0.218444.2%$0.4937$16,394,418$656$8,332,941$33350.8%
CAGR4.2%0.9%9.2%8.5%-0.5%-0.6%4.3%2.9%1.4%10.4%9.4%8.8%7.8%-2.1%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.0%10.2%7.3%6.9%8.4%7.7%8.7%9.9%7.5%8.0%9.7%7.8%$5,935,360
20216.4%9.1%6.6%5.5%17.0%6.7%7.2%8.7%7.7%7.7%10.0%7.6%$7,328,008
20227.7%9.1%6.2%6.6%9.7%7.8%7.8%11.3%8.0%8.4%9.2%8.3%$7,858,126
20237.3%9.1%6.7%6.8%8.7%7.4%7.6%8.6%7.0%8.1%14.7%8.0%$8,587,337
20248.5%10.6%8.1%7.0%9.2%7.2%7.6%9.2%7.7%7.6%8.8%8.4%$8,322,828
20257.3%10.2%6.9%6.9%9.8%7.8%8.0%9.2%8.5%7.7%9.2%8.5%$8,332,941
MEDIAN %7.7%9.9%7.0%7.0%9.7%7.7%7.9%9.4%7.9%8.0%9.7%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SAN ANGELO (City)

Pop 99,893 PPA 2.75 %BO 34.3% Levy $66,174,192 Levy CAGR +9.0% E-Factor 1.72%
76,303 90,815 105,327 119,838 134,350 148,861 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 84,782 88,439 93,200 99,893 104,104 108,392 112,750 117,172 121,649 126,173 130,736 135,329 +0.4% +0.5% +0.7% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% Population Trend: SAN ANGELO (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SAN ANGELO had a 2020 population of 99,893 across 56.9 square miles, yielding a density of 2.75 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 135,329, a gain of 35,436 (+35.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.38% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 34.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SAN ANGELO has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 46.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SAN ANGELO levied $66,174,192 in property taxes on a market value base of $10,961,856,698. The taxable value of $8,771,764,697 reflects 20.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7544 per $100 valuation consists of $0.6056 for Maintenance & Operations (80.3%) and $0.1489 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (19.7%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $649 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 9.0% CAGR lagged market value growth of 12.2% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.72% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): SAN ANGELO collected $38,784,532 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $380 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 58.6% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 5.2% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: SAN ANGELO demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SAN ANGELO
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop84,78288,43993,20099,893104,104108,392112,750117,172121,649126,173130,736135,329
PPA2.332.432.562.752.862.983.103.223.343.473.593.72
%BO29.1%30.4%32.0%34.3%35.8%37.2%38.7%40.2%41.8%43.3%44.9%46.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%99,893$6,588,656,569$5,743,492,22787.2%$0.6824$0.093612.1%$0.7760$44,569,500$446$30,495,553$30568.4%
20214.7%100,314$6,840,301,810$5,947,668,27887.0%$0.6824$0.093612.1%$0.7760$46,153,906$460$32,477,048$32470.4%
20228.0%100,735$8,512,870,069$6,946,568,46581.6%$0.6372$0.100813.7%$0.7380$51,264,981$509$34,435,460$34267.2%
20234.1%101,156$10,331,881,846$8,284,275,37280.2%$0.5899$0.114316.2%$0.7042$58,337,867$577$36,928,315$36563.3%
20243.2%101,577$10,439,863,522$8,354,061,61680.0%$0.6056$0.148919.7%$0.7544$63,023,040$620$37,395,319$36859.3%
2025*2.9%101,998$10,961,856,698$8,771,764,69780.0%$0.6056$0.148919.7%$0.7544$66,174,192$649$38,784,532$38058.6%
CAGR4.2%0.4%12.2%9.8%-1.7%-2.4%9.7%10.3%-0.6%9.0%8.6%5.2%4.8%-3.0%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.1%10.1%7.5%7.1%9.1%7.2%7.7%9.5%7.8%8.9%9.3%7.6%$30,495,553
20216.8%10.0%7.3%6.2%10.4%8.6%8.3%9.5%8.0%7.7%9.4%7.7%$32,477,048
20228.0%9.0%7.0%6.9%9.8%7.7%7.7%9.6%8.4%8.5%9.1%8.2%$34,435,460
20237.9%10.4%7.1%7.3%9.4%7.5%8.2%9.2%8.2%8.6%8.9%7.5%$36,928,315
20247.9%9.6%7.4%7.6%9.4%7.9%7.7%8.9%8.5%7.9%9.0%8.3%$37,395,319
20257.7%10.9%7.2%7.1%9.1%7.9%7.9%9.0%7.9%7.8%9.0%8.4%$38,784,532
MEDIAN %7.9%10.0%7.3%7.1%9.4%7.8%7.8%9.3%8.1%8.2%9.1%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SAN ANTONIO (City)

Pop 1,434,625 PPA 4.86 %BO 60.8% Levy $912,175,452 Levy CAGR +5.1% E-Factor 1.12%
899,361 1,118,494 1,337,628 1,556,762 1,775,896 1,995,030 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 999,290 1,144,646 1,327,407 1,434,625 1,487,561 1,539,208 1,589,386 1,637,941 1,684,741 1,729,679 1,772,673 1,813,664 +1.4% +1.5% +0.8% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: SAN ANTONIO (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SAN ANTONIO had a 2020 population of 1,434,625 across 460.9 square miles, yielding a density of 4.86 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 1,813,664, a gain of 379,039 (+26.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.29% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 60.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SAN ANTONIO is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 76.9%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SAN ANTONIO levied $912,175,452 in property taxes on a market value base of $221,648,904,948. The taxable value of $168,425,460,758 reflects 24.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5416 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3301 for Maintenance & Operations (60.9%) and $0.2115 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (39.1%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $624 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 8.7% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.12% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): SAN ANTONIO collected $499,274,421 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.25% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $342 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 54.7% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.9% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: SAN ANTONIO demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SAN ANTONIO
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop999,2901,144,6461,327,4071,434,6251,487,5611,539,2081,589,3861,637,9411,684,7411,729,6791,772,6731,813,664
PPA3.393.884.504.865.045.225.395.555.715.866.016.15
%BO42.3%48.5%56.2%60.8%63.0%65.2%67.3%69.4%71.4%73.3%75.1%76.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%1,434,625$150,969,922,480$127,540,657,90784.5%$0.3468$0.211537.9%$0.5583$712,021,231$496$362,813,047$25351.0%
20214.7%1,439,918$156,401,039,549$131,942,745,01284.4%$0.3468$0.211537.9%$0.5583$736,596,763$512$415,149,253$28856.4%
20228.0%1,445,212$184,934,580,837$145,314,086,96578.6%$0.3301$0.211539.1%$0.5416$787,035,626$545$466,369,905$32359.3%
20234.1%1,450,505$207,868,379,201$155,456,627,30674.8%$0.3301$0.211539.1%$0.5416$841,937,548$580$479,106,605$33056.9%
20243.2%1,455,799$211,094,195,189$160,405,200,72276.0%$0.3301$0.211539.1%$0.5416$868,738,526$597$491,460,528$33856.6%
2025*2.9%1,461,093$221,648,904,948$168,425,460,75876.0%$0.3301$0.211539.1%$0.5416$912,175,452$624$499,274,421$34254.7%
CAGR4.2%0.4%8.7%5.9%-2.1%-1.0%0.6%-0.6%5.1%4.7%7.9%7.5%1.4%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.9%10.8%7.8%7.3%8.5%6.9%7.7%9.6%8.0%7.8%9.3%8.5%$362,813,047
20217.0%9.5%6.8%5.9%9.9%8.1%8.2%9.8%8.3%7.8%9.8%8.8%$415,149,253
20227.9%9.9%7.1%6.8%9.7%8.1%7.9%9.4%7.9%8.2%9.0%8.1%$466,369,905
20238.0%10.2%7.4%7.4%9.3%7.6%8.1%9.3%7.9%8.1%8.5%8.1%$479,106,605
20247.9%10.0%7.7%7.5%9.2%7.9%8.0%8.8%8.2%7.9%8.6%8.3%$491,460,528
20257.6%10.9%7.2%7.1%9.3%8.3%8.0%8.9%8.3%7.7%8.7%8.2%$499,274,421
MEDIAN %7.9%10.1%7.3%7.2%9.3%8.0%8.0%9.3%8.1%7.9%8.8%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SAN ANTONIO ATD (City)

Pop 1,439,385 PPA 4.88 %BO 61.0% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
899,361 1,120,177 1,340,993 1,561,809 1,782,625 2,003,442 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 999,290 1,149,215 1,330,087 1,439,385 1,492,888 1,545,048 1,595,682 1,644,631 1,691,764 1,736,971 1,780,173 1,821,311 +1.4% +1.5% +0.8% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: SAN ANTONIO ATD (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SAN ANTONIO ATD had a 2020 population of 1,439,385 across 460.9 square miles, yielding a density of 4.88 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 1,821,311, a gain of 381,926 (+26.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.29% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 61.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SAN ANTONIO ATD is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 77.2%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Strategic Outlook: Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SAN ANTONIO ATD
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop999,2901,149,2151,330,0871,439,3851,492,8881,545,0481,595,6821,644,6311,691,7641,736,9711,780,1731,821,311
PPA3.393.904.514.885.065.245.415.585.735.896.036.17
%BO42.3%48.7%56.4%61.0%63.3%65.5%67.6%69.7%71.7%73.6%75.4%77.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.9%10.7%7.8%7.3%8.5%6.9%7.6%9.7%7.9%7.8%9.4%8.5%$71,637,473
20217.0%9.5%6.8%5.9%9.9%8.1%8.2%10.1%8.3%7.8%9.8%8.8%$82,553,747
20227.9%9.9%7.1%6.8%9.6%8.1%7.9%9.6%7.9%8.1%9.0%8.1%$92,773,343
20238.0%10.1%7.4%7.4%9.3%7.6%8.0%9.2%7.9%8.1%8.7%8.1%$95,516,744
20248.0%10.0%7.7%7.5%9.2%7.9%8.0%8.8%8.1%7.9%8.6%8.3%$97,621,756
20257.6%10.8%7.1%7.0%9.4%8.3%8.0%8.9%8.3%7.7%8.7%8.2%$99,579,523
MEDIAN %7.9%10.0%7.3%7.2%9.4%8.0%8.0%9.4%8.0%7.9%8.8%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SAN ANTONIO MTA (City)

Pop 80,457 PPA 2.05 %BO 25.7% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
45,145 80,187 115,228 150,269 185,310 220,352 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 50,162 55,190 63,674 80,457 93,248 107,145 121,972 137,490 153,410 169,405 185,145 200,320 +1.0% +1.4% +2.4% +1.5% +1.4% +1.3% +1.2% +1.1% +1.0% +0.9% +0.8% Population Trend: SAN ANTONIO MTA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SAN ANTONIO MTA had a 2020 population of 80,457 across 61.2 square miles, yielding a density of 2.05 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 200,320, a gain of 119,863 (+149.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.15% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 25.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SAN ANTONIO MTA has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 63.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: SAN ANTONIO MTA demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SAN ANTONIO MTA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop50,16255,19063,67480,45793,248107,145121,972137,490153,410169,405185,145200,320
PPA1.281.411.632.052.382.743.113.513.924.334.735.12
%BO16.0%17.6%20.3%25.7%29.8%34.2%38.9%43.9%49.0%54.1%59.1%63.9%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.9%10.7%8.1%7.2%8.4%7.0%7.6%9.5%8.0%7.8%9.3%8.5%$159,097,503
20217.0%9.6%6.9%5.8%9.8%8.1%8.2%9.8%8.3%7.9%9.8%8.8%$181,979,178
20227.9%9.9%7.1%6.8%9.6%8.1%7.9%9.4%7.9%8.2%9.0%8.2%$205,534,129
20238.0%10.2%7.5%7.4%9.3%7.7%8.1%9.2%7.9%8.0%8.5%8.1%$211,909,731
20247.9%10.0%7.6%7.4%9.2%7.9%8.0%8.7%8.1%7.9%8.7%8.3%$217,799,750
20257.6%10.5%7.1%7.0%9.2%8.2%8.0%8.9%8.4%7.7%8.8%8.5%$223,899,562
MEDIAN %7.9%10.0%7.3%7.1%9.2%8.0%8.0%9.3%8.1%7.9%8.9%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SAN AUGUSTINE (County)

Pop 1,920 PPA 0.64 %BO 7.9% Levy $5,223,885 Levy CAGR +7.4% E-Factor 2.37%
1,728 1,926 2,125 2,324 2,523 2,722 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 2,397 2,475 2,108 1,920 1,923 1,926 1,929 1,932 1,936 1,939 1,942 1,945 +0.3% -1.6% -0.9% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: SAN AUGUSTINE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SAN AUGUSTINE had a 2020 population of 1,920 across 4.7 square miles, yielding a density of 0.64 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 1,945, a gain of 25 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 7.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SAN AUGUSTINE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 8.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SAN AUGUSTINE levied $5,223,885 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,746,032,724. The taxable value of $1,278,216,914 reflects 53.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4141 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3840 for Maintenance & Operations (92.7%) and $0.0301 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (7.3%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $2,719 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.4% CAGR lagged market value growth of 9.2% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.37% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Strategic Outlook: SAN AUGUSTINE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SAN AUGUSTINE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop2,3972,4752,1081,9201,9231,9261,9291,9321,9361,9391,9421,945
PPA0.790.820.700.640.640.640.640.640.640.640.640.64
%BO9.9%10.2%8.7%7.9%8.0%8.0%8.0%8.0%8.0%8.0%8.0%8.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%1,920$1,839,107,030~EstN/A$0.2946$0.03189.7%$0.3264$3,741,251$1,949
20214.7%1,920$1,803,871,760~EstN/A$0.2989$0.02758.4%$0.3264$3,619,476$1,885
20228.0%1,920$2,085,886,809~EstN/A$0.2772$0.02718.9%$0.3043$4,078,331$2,124
20234.1%1,920$3,207,834,212~EstN/A$0.2675$0.01605.6%$0.2835$5,106,515$2,660
20243.2%1,921$2,615,269,261$1,217,349,44246.5%$0.3840$0.03017.3%$0.4141$4,975,129$2,590
2025~2.9%1,921$2,746,032,724$1,278,216,91446.5%$0.3840$0.03017.3%$0.4141$5,223,885$2,719
CAGR4.2%0.0%9.2%5.4%-1.1%-5.7%4.9%7.4%7.4%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

SAN AUGUSTINE COUNTY (City)

Pop 7,918 PPA 0.02 %BO 0.3% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
7,126 7,669 8,211 8,754 9,297 9,840 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 7,999 8,946 8,865 7,918 7,931 7,944 7,957 7,970 7,984 7,997 8,010 8,024 +1.1% -0.1% -1.1% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: SAN AUGUSTINE COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SAN AUGUSTINE COUNTY had a 2020 population of 7,918 across 530.7 square miles, yielding a density of 0.02 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 8,024, a gain of 106 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SAN AUGUSTINE COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: SAN AUGUSTINE COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SAN AUGUSTINE COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop7,9998,9468,8657,9187,9317,9447,9577,9707,9847,9978,0108,024
PPA0.020.030.030.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.02
%BO0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.5%9.8%6.5%6.4%9.8%7.6%6.5%7.9%8.7%9.6%9.3%9.2%$606,230
20216.3%16.4%6.6%5.8%9.5%8.2%7.2%9.1%7.9%7.0%8.9%7.0%$512,552
20223.9%5.4%4.7%6.0%7.6%5.9%7.5%10.7%10.7%13.3%12.6%11.6%$1,021,108
20238.3%9.3%9.0%9.4%9.8%8.2%8.4%8.0%10.1%6.8%6.2%6.5%$1,715,040
20248.7%11.1%10.2%7.1%8.1%9.0%7.0%10.8%5.1%4.7%9.2%9.0%$1,126,039
20258.2%8.5%5.1%4.8%7.0%7.8%9.3%9.3%12.2%10.5%7.9%9.4%$1,127,326
MEDIAN %8.3%9.6%6.6%6.2%8.9%8.0%7.4%9.3%9.4%8.3%9.0%9.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SAN BENITO (City)

Pop 24,861 PPA 2.46 %BO 30.8% Levy $8,742,397 Levy CAGR -5.9% E-Factor 0.00%
18,925 21,798 24,672 27,546 30,420 33,293 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 21,028 23,444 24,250 24,861 25,507 26,163 26,827 27,499 28,180 28,869 29,564 30,267 +1.1% +0.3% +0.2% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: SAN BENITO (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SAN BENITO had a 2020 population of 24,861 across 15.8 square miles, yielding a density of 2.46 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 30,267, a gain of 5,406 (+21.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.25% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 30.8% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SAN BENITO has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 37.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SAN BENITO levied $8,742,397 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,820,351,786. The taxable value of $1,234,583,817 reflects 32.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7081 per $100 valuation consists of $0.6616 for Maintenance & Operations (93.4%) and $0.0465 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (6.6%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $347 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of -5.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 15.5% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): SAN BENITO collected $7,760,304 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $308 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 88.8% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.9% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: SAN BENITO demonstrates contracting fiscal capacity, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SAN BENITO
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop21,02823,44424,25024,86125,50726,16326,82727,49928,18028,86929,56430,267
PPA2.082.322.402.462.522.592.652.722.792.862.933.00
%BO26.0%29.0%30.0%30.8%31.6%32.4%33.2%34.0%34.9%35.7%36.6%37.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%24,861$974,130,114$812,242,96383.4%$1.0250$0.279921.4%$1.3049$10,598,958$426$5,647,164$22753.3%
20214.7%24,925$1,018,282,096$847,138,80983.2%$0.6568$0.07139.8%$0.7281$6,168,229$247$6,553,656$263106.2%
20228.0%24,990$1,074,857,472$900,444,58983.8%$0.6368$0.071310.1%$0.7081$6,376,273$255$7,040,700$282110.4%
20234.1%25,054$1,321,655,282$1,052,488,41879.6%$0.6368$0.071310.1%$0.7081$7,452,934$297$7,268,303$29097.5%
20243.2%25,119$1,733,668,368$1,175,794,11167.8%$0.6616$0.04656.6%$0.7081$8,326,092$331$7,374,835$29488.6%
2025*2.9%25,184$1,820,351,786$1,234,583,81767.8%$0.6616$0.04656.6%$0.7081$8,742,397$347$7,760,304$30888.8%
CAGR4.2%0.3%15.5%9.7%-4.0%-8.4%-30.1%-21.1%-11.5%-5.9%-6.1%6.9%6.6%10.7%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.7%9.7%6.5%7.0%8.7%7.4%9.1%9.7%8.3%8.4%9.2%8.4%$5,647,164
20217.3%9.4%7.3%6.7%9.8%8.7%8.0%9.3%8.0%8.3%9.5%7.7%$6,553,656
20228.0%9.5%7.1%7.1%9.5%8.2%8.2%9.2%8.1%8.5%8.5%8.2%$7,040,700
20237.6%10.0%8.1%7.3%9.2%7.0%8.2%9.0%7.8%8.9%8.9%8.0%$7,268,303
20247.9%9.5%8.0%8.0%9.2%8.1%8.1%8.6%8.0%7.9%8.7%8.2%$7,374,835
20257.5%9.4%7.4%7.0%9.2%7.8%8.0%8.6%8.7%8.2%9.0%9.2%$7,760,304
MEDIAN %7.7%9.5%7.4%7.1%9.2%8.0%8.2%9.2%8.1%8.4%9.0%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SAN ELIZARIO (City)

Pop 10,116 PPA 1.54 %BO 19.2% Levy $1,261,765 Levy CAGR +7.7% E-Factor 4.69%
0 4,376 8,753 13,130 17,506 21,883 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 4,237 0 0 10,116 11,108 12,169 13,300 14,498 15,761 17,085 18,465 19,894 -100.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.7% Population Trend: SAN ELIZARIO (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SAN ELIZARIO had a 2020 population of 10,116 across 10.3 square miles, yielding a density of 1.54 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 19,894, a gain of 9,778 (+96.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.85% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 19.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SAN ELIZARIO has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 37.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SAN ELIZARIO levied $1,261,765 in property taxes on a market value base of $518,135,374. The taxable value of $361,672,021 reflects 30.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3489 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3489 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $119 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.7% CAGR lagged market value growth of 16.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.69% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): SAN ELIZARIO collected $402,692 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $38 falls below regional averages, indicating primarily residential character with retail leakage to neighboring communities. Sales tax represents 31.9% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 13.6% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: SAN ELIZARIO demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SAN ELIZARIO
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop4,2370010,11611,10812,16913,30014,49815,76117,08518,46519,894
PPA0.640.000.001.541.691.852.022.212.402.602.813.03
%BO8.1%0.0%0.0%19.2%21.1%23.1%25.3%27.6%30.0%32.5%35.1%37.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%10,116$266,184,259$218,187,70682.0%$0.4088N/AN/A$0.4088$891,951$88$263,794$2629.6%
20214.7%10,215$314,616,423$247,089,23178.5%$0.3981N/AN/A$0.3981$983,741$96$312,999$3131.8%
20228.0%10,314$379,071,068$287,316,76075.8%$0.3719N/AN/A$0.3719$1,068,468$104$329,061$3230.8%
20234.1%10,413$467,991,635$316,457,28967.6%$0.3581N/AN/A$0.3581$1,133,237$109$353,318$3431.2%
20243.2%10,512$493,462,261$344,449,54469.8%$0.3489N/AN/A$0.3489$1,201,681$114$438,977$4236.5%
2025*2.9%10,612$518,135,374$361,672,02169.8%$0.3489N/AN/A$0.3489$1,261,765$119$402,692$3831.9%
CAGR4.2%1.0%16.7%12.1%-3.2%-3.1%-3.1%7.7%6.7%13.6%12.5%1.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.0%8.8%7.0%5.9%8.4%9.1%9.8%10.5%8.9%8.2%9.9%7.7%$263,794
20217.6%9.6%7.2%6.6%11.7%9.0%8.0%8.9%7.8%7.2%8.9%7.4%$312,999
20228.4%10.1%6.9%6.7%10.0%8.1%8.1%11.6%7.9%5.7%8.5%7.9%$329,061
20238.1%9.4%5.9%10.2%8.9%7.5%8.8%7.9%7.7%8.4%9.2%8.0%$353,318
20247.2%7.9%5.9%13.1%8.1%7.7%8.3%8.5%8.8%8.1%8.1%8.3%$438,977
20258.7%11.1%7.5%6.6%9.0%7.6%7.6%9.1%7.9%7.7%9.2%8.0%$402,692
MEDIAN %8.0%9.7%7.1%6.8%9.1%8.1%8.4%9.2%8.1%8.1%9.2%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SAN JACINTO COUNTY (City)

Pop 27,402 PPA 0.08 %BO 0.9% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
14,734 24,206 33,678 43,150 52,622 62,095 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 16,372 22,246 26,384 27,402 30,003 32,849 35,962 39,365 43,086 47,152 51,596 56,450 +3.1% +1.7% +0.4% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% Population Trend: SAN JACINTO COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SAN JACINTO COUNTY had a 2020 population of 27,402 across 569.2 square miles, yielding a density of 0.08 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 56,450, a gain of 29,048 (+106.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.91% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SAN JACINTO COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 1.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: SAN JACINTO COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SAN JACINTO COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop16,37222,24626,38427,40230,00332,84935,96239,36543,08647,15251,59656,450
PPA0.040.060.070.080.080.090.100.110.120.130.140.15
%BO0.6%0.8%0.9%0.9%1.0%1.1%1.2%1.4%1.5%1.6%1.8%1.9%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.8%10.8%7.5%6.9%8.6%8.0%8.8%9.4%8.2%7.6%9.0%7.4%$604,747
20217.1%9.7%6.4%6.1%9.5%7.5%8.0%10.2%8.1%8.9%10.4%8.0%$654,891
20228.3%9.5%6.5%6.6%8.5%7.2%8.2%9.2%9.9%8.6%9.0%8.4%$736,947
20238.3%9.9%7.5%7.5%6.6%7.8%8.5%9.7%8.2%8.4%9.0%8.4%$761,920
20247.9%8.5%7.1%9.4%8.3%7.4%7.3%9.0%8.0%8.2%9.3%9.7%$858,279
20257.3%10.3%6.7%6.4%8.2%6.8%8.8%10.1%7.5%9.0%9.4%9.4%$1,007,520
MEDIAN %7.9%9.9%6.9%6.8%8.5%7.5%8.4%9.6%8.2%8.6%9.2%8.5%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SAN JUAN (City)

Pop 35,294 PPA 4.82 %BO 60.2% Levy $14,112,933 Levy CAGR +11.6% E-Factor 5.29%
13,502 21,418 29,334 37,250 45,166 53,082 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 15,003 26,229 33,856 35,294 37,234 39,103 40,887 42,576 44,160 45,637 47,002 48,257 +5.7% +2.6% +0.4% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: SAN JUAN (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SAN JUAN had a 2020 population of 35,294 across 11.4 square miles, yielding a density of 4.82 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 48,257, a gain of 12,963 (+36.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.39% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 60.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SAN JUAN is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 82.3%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SAN JUAN levied $14,112,933 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,576,245,913. The taxable value of $2,086,169,078 reflects 19.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6765 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4608 for Maintenance & Operations (68.1%) and $0.2157 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (31.9%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $389 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 11.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 12.3% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 5.29% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): SAN JUAN collected $7,469,287 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $206 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 52.9% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 10.1% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: SAN JUAN demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SAN JUAN
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop15,00326,22933,85635,29437,23439,10340,88742,57644,16045,63747,00248,257
PPA2.053.584.624.825.085.345.585.816.036.236.416.59
%BO25.6%44.7%57.8%60.2%63.5%66.7%69.7%72.6%75.3%77.8%80.2%82.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%35,294$1,543,311,903$1,250,474,77581.0%$0.6926N/AN/A$0.6926$8,660,788$245$4,591,855$13053.0%
20214.7%35,488$1,692,296,676$1,374,418,52381.2%$0.5302$0.157422.9%$0.6876$9,450,502$266$5,308,139$15056.2%
20228.0%35,682$1,938,342,678$1,557,920,92280.4%$0.5033$0.173225.6%$0.6765$10,539,335$295$6,028,894$16957.2%
20234.1%35,876$2,334,434,695$1,828,279,28878.3%$0.4664$0.210131.1%$0.6765$12,368,309$345$6,331,212$17651.2%
20243.2%36,070$2,453,567,536$1,986,827,69381.0%$0.4608$0.215731.9%$0.6765$13,440,889$373$6,738,653$18750.1%
2025*2.9%36,264$2,576,245,913$2,086,169,07881.0%$0.4608$0.215731.9%$0.6765$14,112,933$389$7,469,287$20652.9%
CAGR4.2%0.5%12.3%12.3%-0.0%-7.8%-0.5%11.6%11.0%10.1%9.5%-0.0%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%9.8%6.9%7.0%8.8%7.6%8.8%9.7%8.0%8.3%9.2%8.3%$4,591,855
20217.7%8.5%7.3%6.6%9.9%8.6%7.9%9.4%8.0%8.4%9.9%7.7%$5,308,139
20227.6%9.4%6.5%7.6%8.9%9.1%8.1%8.7%8.2%9.0%8.8%8.0%$6,028,894
20237.5%8.9%8.6%7.9%9.5%7.9%8.2%8.8%7.3%8.5%8.8%8.0%$6,331,212
20247.7%9.4%7.5%7.7%8.9%8.3%8.7%7.9%8.7%7.7%8.8%8.7%$6,738,653
20257.5%10.6%7.1%7.1%8.7%8.1%8.2%9.2%8.1%7.9%8.9%8.4%$7,469,287
MEDIAN %7.6%9.5%7.2%7.4%9.0%8.2%8.2%9.1%8.1%8.4%8.9%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SAN MARCOS (City)

Pop 67,553 PPA 3.49 %BO 43.7% Levy $64,155,213 Levy CAGR +12.9% E-Factor 0.00%
26,211 52,755 79,299 105,842 132,386 158,930 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 29,124 34,733 44,894 67,553 81,455 95,120 107,728 118,694 127,753 134,921 140,401 144,482 +1.8% +2.6% +4.2% +1.9% +1.6% +1.3% +1.0% +0.7% +0.5% +0.4% +0.3% Population Trend: SAN MARCOS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SAN MARCOS had a 2020 population of 67,553 across 30.2 square miles, yielding a density of 3.49 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 144,482, a gain of 76,929 (+113.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.95% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 43.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SAN MARCOS has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 93.4%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SAN MARCOS levied $64,155,213 in property taxes on a market value base of $13,007,243,175. The taxable value of $10,639,338,925 reflects 18.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6030 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4500 for Maintenance & Operations (74.6%) and $0.1530 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (25.4%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $861 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 12.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.3% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): SAN MARCOS collected $38,975,761 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $523 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 60.8% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at -5.8% CAGR, reflecting retail sector challenges or market share losses.
Strategic Outlook: SAN MARCOS demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SAN MARCOS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop29,12434,73344,89467,55381,45595,120107,728118,694127,753134,921140,401144,482
PPA1.511.802.323.494.214.925.576.146.616.987.267.47
%BO18.8%22.4%29.0%43.7%52.6%61.5%69.6%76.7%82.6%87.2%90.7%93.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%67,553$7,264,018,520$6,346,293,42987.4%$0.4194$0.173629.3%$0.5930$37,633,520$557$49,313,390$730131.0%
20214.7%68,943$7,716,109,685$6,693,574,13186.7%$0.4076$0.195432.4%$0.6030$40,362,252$585$39,962,874$58099.0%
20228.0%70,333$9,723,746,036$8,171,258,03684.0%$0.4256$0.177429.4%$0.6030$49,272,686$701$38,016,331$54177.2%
20234.1%71,723$11,696,302,305$9,692,172,19982.9%$0.4447$0.158326.3%$0.6030$58,443,798$815$39,625,475$55267.8%
20243.2%73,113$12,387,850,643$10,132,703,73881.8%$0.4500$0.153025.4%$0.6030$61,100,203$836$38,782,545$53063.5%
2025*2.9%74,504$13,007,243,175$10,639,338,92581.8%$0.4500$0.153025.4%$0.6030$64,155,213$861$38,975,761$52360.8%
CAGR4.2%2.0%14.3%12.4%-1.3%1.4%-2.5%-2.8%0.3%12.9%10.7%-5.8%-7.7%-14.2%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.0%11.8%6.8%5.3%7.6%8.7%9.4%10.0%8.2%8.1%8.7%7.3%$49,313,390
202112.3%17.1%5.7%4.6%7.8%6.8%7.2%8.9%7.5%7.5%8.0%6.7%$39,962,874
20228.1%9.8%7.1%6.3%8.7%8.0%8.2%8.7%8.2%9.5%8.8%8.6%$38,016,331
20238.8%10.2%7.6%7.0%8.7%7.6%7.8%9.0%8.6%8.8%8.2%7.6%$39,625,475
20248.7%10.4%7.5%7.3%8.8%7.5%7.8%8.5%9.2%7.8%8.4%8.2%$38,782,545
20258.4%11.0%7.1%6.5%8.5%7.9%7.7%8.8%8.3%8.8%8.8%8.3%$38,975,761
MEDIAN %8.7%10.8%7.2%6.5%8.7%7.9%7.9%8.9%8.3%8.5%8.6%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SAN PATRICIO (County)

Pop 384 PPA 0.16 %BO 1.9% Levy $65,640,108 Levy CAGR +8.9% E-Factor 3.85%
286 315 345 375 404 434 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 356 318 395 384 384 385 385 386 387 387 388 389 -1.1% +2.2% -0.3% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: SAN PATRICIO (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SAN PATRICIO had a 2020 population of 384 across 3.9 square miles, yielding a density of 0.16 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 389, a gain of 5 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SAN PATRICIO has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 2.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SAN PATRICIO levied $65,640,108 in property taxes on a market value base of $36,756,138,394. The taxable value of $17,836,907,171 reflects 51.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3958 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2771 for Maintenance & Operations (90.3%) and $0.0383 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (9.7%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $170,938 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.2% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.85% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: SAN PATRICIO demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SAN PATRICIO
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop356318395384384385385386387387388389
PPA0.140.130.160.160.160.160.160.160.160.160.160.16
%BO1.8%1.6%2.0%1.9%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%384$20,567,988,963~EstN/A$0.4557$0.03958.0%$0.4952$44,528,886$115,961
20214.7%384$23,481,388,039~EstN/A$0.5595$0.03185.4%$0.5913$58,545,683$152,463
20228.0%384$30,259,685,504~EstN/A$0.4332$0.04499.4%$0.4781$55,420,473$144,324
20234.1%384$33,990,464,651~EstN/A$0.4016$0.04009.0%$0.4416$63,437,334$165,201
20243.2%384$35,005,846,090$16,987,530,63948.5%$0.2771$0.03839.7%$0.3958$62,514,389$162,798
2025~2.9%384$36,756,138,394$17,836,907,17148.5%$0.2771$0.03839.7%$0.3958$65,640,108$170,938
CAGR4.2%14.2%-9.5%-0.6%3.9%-4.4%8.9%8.9%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

SAN PATRICIO COUNTY (City)

Pop 68,755 PPA 0.15 %BO 1.9% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
52,874 65,806 78,738 91,669 104,601 117,533 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 58,749 67,138 64,804 68,755 72,668 76,799 81,160 85,762 90,619 95,743 101,148 106,849 +1.3% -0.4% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.5% Population Trend: SAN PATRICIO COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SAN PATRICIO COUNTY had a 2020 population of 68,755 across 693.4 square miles, yielding a density of 0.15 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 106,849, a gain of 38,094 (+55.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.55% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SAN PATRICIO COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 3.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: SAN PATRICIO COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SAN PATRICIO COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop58,74967,13864,80468,75572,66876,79981,16085,76290,61995,743101,148106,849
PPA0.130.150.150.150.160.170.180.190.200.220.230.24
%BO1.7%1.9%1.8%1.9%2.0%2.2%2.3%2.4%2.6%2.7%2.8%3.0%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SAN SABA (County)

Pop 3,117 PPA 2.38 %BO 29.7% Levy $6,223,245 Levy CAGR +10.1% E-Factor 4.98%
2,373 2,677 2,982 3,287 3,591 3,896 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 2,685 2,637 3,099 3,117 3,168 3,220 3,272 3,325 3,379 3,433 3,487 3,542 -0.2% +1.6% +0.1% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: SAN SABA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SAN SABA had a 2020 population of 3,117 across 2.0 square miles, yielding a density of 2.38 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 3,542, a gain of 425 (+13.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.16% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 29.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SAN SABA has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 33.7%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SAN SABA levied $6,223,245 in property taxes on a market value base of $4,135,934,764. The taxable value of $1,211,961,828 reflects 70.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5200 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3578 for Maintenance & Operations (93.8%) and $0.0322 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (6.2%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,981 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 10.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.4% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.98% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: SAN SABA demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SAN SABA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop2,6852,6373,0993,1173,1683,2203,2723,3253,3793,4333,4873,542
PPA2.052.012.362.382.422.452.492.532.582.622.662.70
%BO25.6%25.1%29.5%29.7%30.2%30.7%31.2%31.7%32.2%32.7%33.2%33.7%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%3,117$2,651,895,801~EstN/A$0.7100N/AN/A$0.7100$4,027,417$1,292
20214.7%3,122$2,867,428,481~EstN/A$0.5950N/AN/A$0.5950$4,187,249$1,341
20228.0%3,127$3,178,079,691~EstN/A$0.5600N/AN/A$0.5600$4,687,150$1,499
20234.1%3,132$3,647,811,530~EstN/A$0.5600N/AN/A$0.5600$5,079,056$1,622
20243.2%3,137$3,938,985,490$1,154,249,36029.3%$0.3578$0.03226.2%$0.5200$5,926,900$1,889
2025~2.9%3,142$4,135,934,764$1,211,961,82829.3%$0.3578$0.03226.2%$0.5200$6,223,245$1,981
CAGR4.2%0.2%10.4%-12.8%-6.0%10.1%10.0%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

SANGER (City)

Pop 8,839 PPA 1.27 %BO 15.9% Levy $9,928,871 Levy CAGR +15.1% E-Factor 5.51%
3,272 10,158 17,044 23,931 30,817 37,703 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 3,636 4,534 6,916 8,839 11,004 13,548 16,466 19,721 23,243 26,927 30,648 34,276 +2.2% +4.3% +2.5% +2.2% +2.1% +2.0% +1.8% +1.7% +1.5% +1.3% +1.1% Population Trend: SANGER (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SANGER had a 2020 population of 8,839 across 10.9 square miles, yielding a density of 1.27 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 34,276, a gain of 25,437 (+287.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.71% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 15.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SANGER has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 61.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SANGER levied $9,928,871 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,821,301,551. The taxable value of $1,439,494,804 reflects 21.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6897 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5689 for Maintenance & Operations (82.5%) and $0.1208 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (17.5%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,001 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 15.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 18.5% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 5.51% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): SANGER collected $3,519,310 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $355 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 35.4% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 10.6% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: SANGER demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SANGER
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop3,6364,5346,9168,83911,00413,54816,46619,72123,24326,92730,64834,276
PPA0.520.650.991.271.581.942.362.833.333.864.404.92
%BO6.5%8.1%12.4%15.9%19.7%24.3%29.5%35.4%41.7%48.3%55.0%61.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%8,839$879,065,909$792,348,37090.1%$0.6055$0.073610.8%$0.6791$5,380,838$609$2,095,748$23738.9%
20214.7%9,055$1,007,086,005$903,449,96489.7%$0.6166$0.01712.7%$0.6337$5,725,262$632$2,386,450$26441.7%
20228.0%9,272$1,311,165,761$1,111,871,55684.8%$0.5752$0.01432.4%$0.5895$6,554,449$707$2,805,674$30342.8%
20234.1%9,488$1,649,143,240$1,292,368,24978.4%$0.5610$0.128818.7%$0.6897$8,914,071$940$2,931,806$30932.9%
20243.2%9,705$1,734,572,906$1,370,947,43279.0%$0.5689$0.120817.5%$0.6897$9,456,068$974$3,136,103$32333.2%
2025*2.9%9,921$1,821,301,551$1,439,494,80479.0%$0.5689$0.120817.5%$0.6897$9,928,871$1,001$3,519,310$35535.4%
CAGR4.2%2.3%18.5%14.7%-2.6%-1.2%10.4%10.1%0.3%15.1%12.5%10.6%8.0%-1.9%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20204.7%12.9%7.3%6.3%7.4%9.2%8.9%8.4%7.3%9.3%8.9%9.4%$2,095,748
20217.1%9.9%7.8%7.4%10.3%7.5%8.0%9.9%8.2%7.8%8.6%7.6%$2,386,450
20227.6%10.6%7.7%5.9%8.7%9.0%7.7%9.2%6.7%8.7%8.3%9.9%$2,805,674
20238.0%9.4%6.7%7.0%8.8%7.8%8.0%8.1%8.1%10.8%9.3%8.0%$2,931,806
20249.6%8.8%7.3%5.8%8.3%9.1%8.2%8.8%8.4%8.0%9.3%8.6%$3,136,103
20258.3%10.6%6.5%6.3%7.5%7.8%7.7%8.8%9.9%8.2%8.8%9.6%$3,519,310
MEDIAN %7.8%10.3%7.3%6.3%8.5%8.5%8.0%8.8%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SANTA FE (City)

Pop 12,735 PPA 1.16 %BO 14.5% Levy $4,057,126 Levy CAGR +6.4% E-Factor 2.67%
7,753 10,817 13,881 16,946 20,010 23,074 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 8,615 9,548 12,222 12,735 13,595 14,503 15,458 16,462 17,516 18,620 19,774 20,977 +1.0% +2.5% +0.4% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% Population Trend: SANTA FE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SANTA FE had a 2020 population of 12,735 across 17.1 square miles, yielding a density of 1.16 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 20,977, a gain of 8,242 (+64.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.63% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 14.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SANTA FE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 23.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SANTA FE levied $4,057,126 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,188,385,036. The taxable value of $1,648,588,712 reflects 24.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.2461 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2209 for Maintenance & Operations (89.8%) and $0.0252 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (10.2%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $308 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.4% CAGR lagged market value growth of 12.2% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.67% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): SANTA FE collected $4,590,712 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $349 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 113.2% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 10.3% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: SANTA FE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SANTA FE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop8,6159,54812,22212,73513,59514,50315,45816,46217,51618,62019,77420,977
PPA0.790.871.111.161.241.321.411.501.601.701.801.91
%BO9.8%10.9%13.9%14.5%15.5%16.5%17.6%18.8%20.0%21.2%22.5%23.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%12,735$1,313,231,550$1,027,022,56878.2%$0.2674$0.02679.1%$0.2940$3,019,888$237$2,790,941$21992.4%
20214.7%12,821$1,566,710,675$1,163,606,76774.3%$0.2357$0.029811.2%$0.2655$3,089,551$241$3,257,040$254105.4%
20228.0%12,907$1,721,910,063$1,294,268,31675.2%$0.2104$0.028211.8%$0.2386$3,088,150$239$3,472,395$269112.4%
20234.1%12,993$1,935,156,006$1,453,315,23475.1%$0.2131$0.025510.7%$0.2386$3,467,610$267$3,850,424$296111.0%
20243.2%13,079$2,084,176,225$1,570,084,48875.3%$0.2209$0.025210.2%$0.2461$3,863,930$295$4,133,718$316107.0%
2025*2.9%13,165$2,188,385,036$1,648,588,71275.3%$0.2209$0.025210.2%$0.2461$4,057,126$308$4,590,712$349113.2%
CAGR4.2%0.7%12.2%11.2%-0.7%-3.7%-1.2%2.4%-3.5%6.4%5.6%10.3%9.6%4.1%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.0%10.0%7.7%7.2%10.0%8.4%6.3%9.5%8.2%8.1%9.0%8.4%$2,790,941
20217.2%9.6%7.2%6.3%9.9%7.5%8.0%9.2%8.0%9.1%10.1%8.1%$3,257,040
20228.0%9.2%7.2%7.2%9.2%8.1%8.1%9.0%8.3%8.7%8.7%8.4%$3,472,395
20237.4%9.1%7.5%7.3%9.0%8.1%8.1%8.8%9.0%8.3%9.1%8.4%$3,850,424
20246.6%9.4%7.2%7.5%8.8%8.0%8.5%8.9%8.6%8.8%9.2%8.6%$4,133,718
20257.3%11.8%8.1%6.7%9.2%7.7%7.8%8.4%8.3%7.9%7.9%8.9%$4,590,712
MEDIAN %7.3%9.5%7.4%7.2%9.2%8.1%8.0%9.0%8.3%8.5%9.1%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SCHERTZ (City)

Pop 42,002 PPA 2.31 %BO 28.9% Levy $32,881,707 Levy CAGR +7.7% E-Factor 0.52%
9,594 35,808 62,022 88,237 114,451 140,665 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 10,660 18,694 31,465 42,002 53,464 66,077 79,130 91,801 103,358 113,310 121,465 127,878 +5.8% +5.3% +2.9% +2.4% +2.1% +1.8% +1.5% +1.2% +0.9% +0.7% +0.5% Population Trend: SCHERTZ (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SCHERTZ had a 2020 population of 42,002 across 28.4 square miles, yielding a density of 2.31 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 127,878, a gain of 85,876 (+204.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.40% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 28.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SCHERTZ has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 87.9%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SCHERTZ levied $32,881,707 in property taxes on a market value base of $8,793,503,236. The taxable value of $6,710,552,641 reflects 23.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4900 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3326 for Maintenance & Operations (67.9%) and $0.1574 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (32.1%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $689 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.7% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.8% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.52% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): SCHERTZ collected $39,937,714 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $837 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 121.5% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.6% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: SCHERTZ demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SCHERTZ
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop10,66018,69431,46542,00253,46466,07779,13091,801103,358113,310121,465127,878
PPA0.591.031.732.312.943.634.355.055.686.236.687.03
%BO7.3%12.9%21.6%28.9%36.8%45.4%54.4%63.1%71.1%77.9%83.5%87.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%42,002$5,554,979,962$4,548,691,57081.9%$0.3470$0.165132.2%$0.5121$23,293,850$555$14,447,931$34462.0%
20214.7%43,148$5,961,298,661$4,756,257,73079.8%$0.3517$0.160431.3%$0.5121$24,356,795$564$16,864,282$39169.2%
20228.0%44,294$7,620,794,504$5,618,021,70673.7%$0.3470$0.148029.9%$0.4950$27,809,207$628$18,307,145$41365.8%
20234.1%45,440$8,341,208,859$6,210,499,54174.5%$0.3324$0.154831.8%$0.4872$30,257,554$666$19,706,592$43465.1%
20243.2%46,586$8,374,764,987$6,391,002,51576.3%$0.3326$0.157432.1%$0.4900$31,315,911$672$20,097,986$43164.2%
2025*2.9%47,733$8,793,503,236$6,710,552,64176.3%$0.3326$0.157432.1%$0.4900$32,881,707$689$39,937,714$837121.5%
CAGR4.2%2.6%10.8%8.9%-1.4%-0.8%-1.0%-0.1%-0.9%7.7%4.9%8.6%5.8%14.4%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.8%9.4%9.9%6.9%8.7%7.4%8.0%9.1%8.8%7.7%9.3%8.0%$14,447,931
20216.8%9.4%6.9%5.8%9.2%7.8%7.8%11.9%8.2%8.9%9.8%7.4%$16,864,282
20227.6%9.0%6.9%6.6%8.9%7.9%7.8%10.0%8.7%8.3%9.8%8.5%$18,307,145
20237.3%9.3%7.5%7.1%8.9%8.6%7.8%9.1%8.1%9.0%9.1%8.2%$19,706,592
20247.4%8.8%7.2%7.4%9.2%8.9%8.3%8.5%8.8%7.6%9.4%8.4%$20,097,986
20254.0%5.5%4.0%3.5%12.6%4.5%8.8%9.2%9.1%8.2%11.0%19.6%$39,937,714
MEDIAN %7.1%9.3%7.1%6.8%9.2%8.0%8.0%9.3%8.8%8.3%9.7%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SCURRY (County)

Pop 688 PPA 0.56 %BO 7.0% Levy $21,186,355 Levy CAGR +12.4% E-Factor 7.38%
0 158 316 475 633 792 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 0 0 681 688 691 695 699 703 707 711 716 720 +0.0% +0.0% +0.1% +0.0% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: SCURRY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SCURRY had a 2020 population of 688 across 1.9 square miles, yielding a density of 0.56 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 720, a gain of 32 (+4.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.06% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 7.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SCURRY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 7.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SCURRY levied $21,186,355 in property taxes on a market value base of $6,603,431,000. The taxable value of $3,992,721,532 reflects 39.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5498 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5220 for Maintenance & Operations (94.9%) and $0.0278 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (5.1%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $30,749 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 12.4% CAGR lagged market value growth of 12.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 7.38% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: SCURRY demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SCURRY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop00681688691695699703707711716720
PPA0.000.000.550.560.560.560.570.570.570.580.580.58
%BO0.0%0.0%6.9%7.0%7.0%7.0%7.1%7.1%7.2%7.2%7.2%7.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%688$3,893,433,314~EstN/A$0.4169$0.03297.3%$0.4498$12,632,526$18,361
20214.7%688$3,729,591,807~EstN/A$0.4925$0.04368.1%$0.5361$12,899,867$18,750
20228.0%688$4,587,440,225~EstN/A$0.4475$0.03256.8%$0.4800$15,767,175$22,917
20234.1%688$5,061,930,986~EstN/A$0.4512$0.03086.4%$0.4820$17,150,834$24,929
20243.2%689$6,288,981,905$3,802,591,93560.5%$0.5220$0.02785.1%$0.5498$20,177,481$29,285
2025~2.9%689$6,603,431,000$3,992,721,53260.5%$0.5220$0.02785.1%$0.5498$21,186,355$30,749
CAGR4.2%0.0%12.7%4.6%-3.3%-7.1%4.1%12.4%12.4%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

SCURRY COUNTY (City)

Pop 16,932 PPA 0.03 %BO 0.4% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
14,724 15,879 17,033 18,188 19,342 20,497 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 18,634 16,361 16,921 16,932 16,960 16,988 17,016 17,045 17,073 17,102 17,130 17,159 -1.3% +0.3% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: SCURRY COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SCURRY COUNTY had a 2020 population of 16,932 across 905.4 square miles, yielding a density of 0.03 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 17,159, a gain of 227 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SCURRY COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: SCURRY COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SCURRY COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop18,63416,36116,92116,93216,96016,98817,01617,04517,07317,10217,13017,159
PPA0.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.03
%BO0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.3%10.3%9.1%7.7%9.6%9.1%9.3%8.0%6.1%7.0%8.6%6.9%$2,238,107
20216.3%8.1%7.1%5.2%8.5%6.9%7.2%11.4%8.7%10.1%10.0%10.4%$2,114,933
20226.7%7.5%9.4%8.5%7.6%8.2%7.7%9.1%8.0%8.4%9.5%9.3%$2,990,619
20237.7%9.4%7.5%7.6%9.9%8.0%8.5%11.3%5.8%9.0%7.9%7.5%$3,374,105
20248.3%0.0%18.3%8.0%7.8%7.4%7.9%8.6%9.2%8.1%8.3%8.3%$2,959,373
20257.4%9.0%7.4%8.4%8.2%9.1%10.0%9.8%6.7%8.0%10.1%6.0%$2,793,271
MEDIAN %7.6%8.7%8.4%8.0%8.5%8.2%8.3%9.5%7.4%8.4%9.1%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SEABROOK (City)

Pop 13,618 PPA 4.00 %BO 50.0% Levy $9,508,019 Levy CAGR +2.3% E-Factor 0.00%
6,047 9,634 13,222 16,809 20,396 23,984 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 6,719 9,443 11,952 13,618 14,796 15,957 17,085 18,164 19,183 20,133 21,007 21,804 +3.5% +2.4% +1.3% +0.8% +0.8% +0.7% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% Population Trend: SEABROOK (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SEABROOK had a 2020 population of 13,618 across 5.3 square miles, yielding a density of 4.00 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 21,804, a gain of 8,186 (+60.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.59% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 50.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SEABROOK has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 80.0%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SEABROOK levied $9,508,019 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,578,612,529. The taxable value of $2,088,958,263 reflects 19.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4552 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3513 for Maintenance & Operations (77.2%) and $0.1039 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (22.8%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $669 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 2.3% CAGR lagged market value growth of 7.4% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): SEABROOK collected $3,542,672 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $249 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 37.3% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 3.2% CAGR, reflecting stable retail environment.
Strategic Outlook: SEABROOK demonstrates substantial development capacity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SEABROOK
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop6,7199,44311,95213,61814,79615,95717,08518,16419,18320,13321,00721,804
PPA1.972.773.514.004.354.695.025.345.635.916.176.40
%BO24.7%34.7%43.9%50.0%54.3%58.6%62.7%66.7%70.4%73.9%77.1%80.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%13,618$1,843,435,114$1,523,515,35982.6%$0.3999$0.143826.4%$0.5436$8,282,028$608$2,887,442$21234.9%
20214.7%13,735$2,038,319,264$1,599,230,98178.5%$0.3901$0.134325.6%$0.5244$8,387,071$611$3,225,752$23538.5%
20228.0%13,853$2,288,143,780$1,778,836,76077.7%$0.3566$0.120025.2%$0.4765$8,476,620$612$3,435,884$24840.5%
20234.1%13,971$2,482,543,635$1,967,884,74679.3%$0.3522$0.105623.1%$0.4578$9,008,091$645$3,571,813$25639.7%
20243.2%14,089$2,455,821,456$1,989,484,06081.0%$0.3513$0.103922.8%$0.4552$9,055,256$643$3,272,320$23236.1%
2025*2.9%14,207$2,578,612,529$2,088,958,26381.0%$0.3513$0.103922.8%$0.4552$9,508,019$669$3,542,672$24937.3%
CAGR4.2%0.9%7.4%6.9%-0.4%-2.6%-6.3%-2.9%-3.5%2.3%1.4%3.2%2.3%1.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.7%10.3%7.5%6.2%9.2%7.5%8.6%10.6%7.3%7.5%10.6%7.9%$2,887,442
20216.8%10.3%7.4%6.2%10.4%8.5%8.3%10.2%7.6%7.6%8.5%8.2%$3,225,752
20227.8%10.8%6.7%6.7%10.3%8.2%7.9%9.4%7.6%9.0%8.9%6.8%$3,435,884
20236.2%9.2%8.1%7.3%9.1%5.4%7.7%8.5%14.8%8.0%8.7%7.0%$3,571,813
20247.4%9.0%6.7%7.0%9.1%8.2%8.2%9.6%8.7%9.0%8.3%8.7%$3,272,320
20256.7%10.3%6.9%6.3%9.6%7.5%8.1%9.7%8.8%7.6%9.2%9.2%$3,542,672
MEDIAN %6.9%10.4%7.3%6.6%9.5%8.0%8.3%9.8%8.3%7.9%8.9%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SEAGOVILLE (City)

Pop 18,446 PPA 1.54 %BO 19.3% Levy $11,037,913 Levy CAGR +12.6% E-Factor 5.23%
8,832 19,125 29,418 39,711 50,004 60,297 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 9,814 10,823 14,835 18,446 21,865 25,709 29,957 34,563 39,454 44,535 49,696 54,816 +1.0% +3.2% +2.2% +1.7% +1.6% +1.5% +1.4% +1.3% +1.2% +1.1% +1.0% Population Trend: SEAGOVILLE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SEAGOVILLE had a 2020 population of 18,446 across 18.7 square miles, yielding a density of 1.54 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 54,816, a gain of 36,370 (+197.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.37% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 19.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SEAGOVILLE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 57.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SEAGOVILLE levied $11,037,913 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,039,205,695. The taxable value of $1,552,597,783 reflects 23.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7109 per $100 valuation consists of $0.6252 for Maintenance & Operations (87.9%) and $0.0857 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (12.1%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $548 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 12.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 16.4% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 5.23% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): SEAGOVILLE collected $6,522,821 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $324 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 59.1% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 11.5% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: SEAGOVILLE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SEAGOVILLE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop9,81410,82314,83518,44621,86525,70929,95734,56339,45444,53549,69654,816
PPA0.820.911.241.541.832.152.512.893.303.734.164.59
%BO10.3%11.3%15.5%19.3%22.9%26.9%31.3%36.1%41.3%46.6%52.0%57.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%18,446$1,059,518,978$829,304,55878.3%$0.7205$0.06838.7%$0.7888$6,541,555$355$3,916,988$21259.9%
20214.7%18,787$1,169,511,345$934,277,22479.9%$0.7000$0.088711.3%$0.7888$7,369,579$392$4,567,331$24362.0%
20228.0%19,129$1,507,431,557$1,174,336,67277.9%$0.6783$0.07449.9%$0.7527$8,839,079$462$5,419,295$28361.3%
20234.1%19,471$1,672,219,003$1,312,048,68978.5%$0.6329$0.095113.1%$0.7280$9,551,767$491$5,633,534$28959.0%
20243.2%19,813$1,942,100,662$1,478,664,55576.1%$0.6252$0.085712.1%$0.7109$10,512,298$531$6,047,429$30557.5%
2025*2.9%20,155$2,039,205,695$1,552,597,78376.1%$0.6252$0.085712.1%$0.7109$11,037,913$548$6,522,821$32459.1%
CAGR4.2%1.8%16.4%15.6%-0.6%-2.8%4.6%6.8%-2.1%12.6%10.6%11.5%9.5%-0.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.9%10.2%6.9%7.0%8.7%8.1%9.1%9.8%8.7%8.0%8.4%8.1%$3,916,989
20217.2%9.3%6.9%5.8%10.1%8.1%8.4%9.6%7.7%8.4%9.7%8.8%$4,567,331
20227.3%9.4%6.9%6.4%9.6%8.2%8.2%9.3%9.1%8.4%9.3%7.8%$5,419,295
20237.5%10.2%7.4%8.0%9.0%7.5%8.0%9.3%7.7%8.2%8.8%8.3%$5,633,534
20247.7%9.1%6.9%7.6%8.9%7.8%8.2%9.4%10.0%7.4%8.7%8.5%$6,047,429
20259.5%9.6%6.6%9.4%6.5%7.5%8.6%8.7%8.5%7.9%8.4%8.9%$6,522,821
MEDIAN %7.4%9.5%6.9%7.3%9.0%8.0%8.4%9.4%8.7%8.2%8.8%8.5%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SEALY (City)

Pop 6,839 PPA 1.07 %BO 13.3% Levy $4,264,350 Levy CAGR +17.2% E-Factor 6.25%
4,361 6,773 9,186 11,598 14,010 16,423 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 4,846 5,248 6,019 6,839 7,599 8,428 9,328 10,301 11,348 12,470 13,664 14,930 +0.8% +1.4% +1.3% +1.1% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% Population Trend: SEALY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SEALY had a 2020 population of 6,839 across 10.0 square miles, yielding a density of 1.07 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 14,930, a gain of 8,091 (+118.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.98% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 13.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SEALY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 29.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SEALY levied $4,264,350 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,627,912,534. The taxable value of $1,371,570,711 reflects 15.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3109 per $100 valuation consists of $0.1969 for Maintenance & Operations (63.3%) and $0.1140 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (36.7%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $591 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 17.2% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 14.1% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 6.25% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): SEALY collected $4,016,161 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $556 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 94.2% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.5% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: SEALY demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SEALY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop4,8465,2486,0196,8397,5998,4289,32810,30111,34812,47013,66414,930
PPA0.760.820.941.071.191.321.461.611.771.952.132.33
%BO9.5%10.2%11.7%13.3%14.8%16.4%18.2%20.1%22.1%24.3%26.7%29.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%6,839$913,802,101$796,663,69087.2%$0.1947$0.075227.9%$0.2699$2,150,514$314$2,693,621$394125.3%
20214.7%6,915$970,438,241$854,052,12388.0%$0.1965$0.069226.1%$0.2657$2,269,644$328$2,926,179$423128.9%
20228.0%6,991$1,122,621,899$982,663,74387.5%$0.1926$0.159645.3%$0.3522$3,460,843$495$3,067,808$43988.6%
20234.1%7,067$1,357,889,577$1,163,185,88385.7%$0.1849$0.126040.5%$0.3109$3,616,461$512$3,370,900$47793.2%
20243.2%7,143$1,550,392,890$1,306,257,82084.3%$0.1969$0.114036.7%$0.3109$4,061,286$569$3,592,983$50388.5%
2025*2.9%7,219$1,627,912,534$1,371,570,71184.3%$0.1969$0.114036.7%$0.3109$4,264,350$591$4,016,161$55694.2%
CAGR4.2%1.1%14.1%13.2%-0.7%0.2%8.7%5.6%2.9%17.2%16.0%7.5%6.3%-5.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.6%10.3%6.7%7.1%9.1%8.4%8.4%9.7%8.8%7.0%8.5%8.7%$2,693,621
20216.8%9.0%6.8%6.1%10.2%7.7%8.4%9.5%9.4%7.9%9.8%8.4%$2,926,179
20229.5%7.9%8.1%7.0%10.2%8.1%8.2%9.0%7.9%7.7%8.9%7.7%$3,067,808
20237.2%9.7%8.5%7.1%9.8%7.6%8.2%9.9%8.1%8.0%8.5%7.3%$3,370,900
20248.8%9.0%6.0%7.0%8.9%7.8%8.0%9.6%8.1%9.1%9.1%8.7%$3,592,983
20258.6%10.7%7.4%6.4%8.4%8.1%7.5%8.6%8.8%8.8%8.3%8.4%$4,016,161
MEDIAN %8.1%9.3%7.1%7.0%9.4%7.9%8.2%9.5%8.4%7.9%8.7%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SEGUIN (City)

Pop 29,433 PPA 1.33 %BO 16.7% Levy $24,569,855 Levy CAGR +14.8% E-Factor 8.31%
18,857 29,800 40,744 51,687 62,630 73,573 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 20,953 22,011 25,175 29,433 33,008 36,910 41,141 45,699 50,575 55,750 61,198 66,885 +0.5% +1.4% +1.6% +1.2% +1.1% +1.1% +1.1% +1.0% +1.0% +0.9% +0.9% Population Trend: SEGUIN (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SEGUIN had a 2020 population of 29,433 across 34.5 square miles, yielding a density of 1.33 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 66,885, a gain of 37,452 (+127.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.03% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 16.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SEGUIN has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 37.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SEGUIN levied $24,569,855 in property taxes on a market value base of $6,933,812,079. The taxable value of $4,794,118,099 reflects 30.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5125 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2957 for Maintenance & Operations (57.7%) and $0.2168 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (42.3%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $787 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 14.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 17.3% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 8.31% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): SEGUIN collected $14,070,277 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $451 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 57.3% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 14.2% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: SEGUIN demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SEGUIN
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop20,95322,01125,17529,43333,00836,91041,14145,69950,57555,75061,19866,885
PPA0.951.001.141.331.501.671.872.072.292.532.773.03
%BO11.9%12.5%14.3%16.7%18.7%20.9%23.3%25.9%28.7%31.6%34.7%37.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%29,433$3,487,885,103$2,485,328,21971.3%$0.2811$0.260148.1%$0.5412$13,450,596$457$8,374,198$28562.3%
20214.7%29,790$3,925,877,623$2,825,045,80172.0%$0.2880$0.253246.8%$0.5412$15,289,148$513$9,684,904$32563.3%
20228.0%30,148$5,193,251,408$3,467,177,08966.8%$0.3012$0.221342.4%$0.5225$18,116,000$601$11,717,547$38964.7%
20234.1%30,505$6,053,038,324$4,170,164,42168.9%$0.3017$0.210841.1%$0.5125$21,372,093$701$12,652,764$41559.2%
20243.2%30,863$6,603,630,551$4,565,826,76169.1%$0.2957$0.216842.3%$0.5125$23,399,862$758$14,218,298$46160.8%
2025*2.9%31,220$6,933,812,079$4,794,118,09969.1%$0.2957$0.216842.3%$0.5125$24,569,855$787$14,070,277$45157.3%
CAGR4.2%1.2%17.3%16.4%-0.6%1.0%-3.6%-2.5%-1.1%14.8%13.5%14.2%12.8%-1.7%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%10.5%7.7%7.0%8.7%8.1%8.1%9.5%7.9%7.8%9.3%8.1%$8,374,198
20216.5%8.8%7.2%6.1%9.5%8.1%7.5%9.5%8.3%8.7%10.5%9.2%$9,684,904
20228.0%9.3%7.5%6.9%9.2%8.7%8.1%9.1%7.8%8.4%9.1%8.0%$11,717,547
20237.8%8.8%7.4%6.9%9.4%7.8%8.2%9.4%8.3%8.6%8.8%8.4%$12,652,764
20247.3%8.9%7.0%7.2%8.5%8.0%12.7%8.3%7.7%8.2%8.2%8.0%$14,218,298
20257.7%10.8%7.3%6.8%8.7%8.2%7.9%9.5%7.9%8.1%8.6%8.6%$14,070,277
MEDIAN %7.6%9.2%7.4%7.0%9.1%8.2%8.2%9.6%8.0%8.4%9.1%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SELMA (City)

Pop 10,952 PPA 3.39 %BO 42.4% Levy $4,317,698 Levy CAGR +8.9% E-Factor 0.00%
552 6,119 11,687 17,254 22,821 28,388 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 614 788 5,540 10,952 16,117 20,415 23,149 24,597 25,290 25,606 25,746 25,808 +2.5% +21.5% +7.1% +3.9% +2.4% +1.3% +0.6% +0.3% +0.1% +0.1% +0.0% Population Trend: SELMA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SELMA had a 2020 population of 10,952 across 5.0 square miles, yielding a density of 3.39 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 25,808, a gain of 14,856 (+135.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.08% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 42.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SELMA has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 99.8%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SELMA levied $4,317,698 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,633,807,226. The taxable value of $2,297,870,892 reflects 12.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.1879 per $100 valuation consists of $0.0871 for Maintenance & Operations (46.4%) and $0.1008 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (53.6%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $319 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.1% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): SELMA collected $9,936,610 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $734 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 230.1% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.2% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: SELMA demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SELMA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop6147885,54010,95216,11720,41523,14924,59725,29025,60625,74625,808
PPA0.190.241.713.394.996.327.167.617.837.927.977.99
%BO2.4%3.0%21.4%42.4%62.3%79.0%89.5%95.1%97.8%99.0%99.6%99.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%10,952$1,709,239,431$1,482,999,90386.8%$0.0798$0.117059.5%$0.1968$2,918,544$266$6,913,447$631236.9%
20214.7%11,468$1,792,060,024$1,519,149,04184.8%$0.0761$0.120761.3%$0.1968$2,989,686$261$8,605,179$750287.8%
20228.0%11,985$2,180,371,913$1,825,059,96983.7%$0.0855$0.106455.4%$0.1919$3,502,291$292$9,313,580$777265.9%
20234.1%12,501$2,429,456,525$2,067,441,58585.1%$0.0886$0.099352.8%$0.1879$3,884,723$311$9,786,548$783251.9%
20243.2%13,018$2,508,387,834$2,188,448,46987.2%$0.0871$0.100853.6%$0.1879$4,112,093$316$9,836,719$756239.2%
2025*2.9%13,534$2,633,807,226$2,297,870,89287.2%$0.0871$0.100853.6%$0.1879$4,317,698$319$9,936,610$734230.1%
CAGR4.2%4.3%10.1%10.2%0.1%1.8%-2.9%-2.0%-0.9%8.9%4.3%9.2%4.6%-0.6%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.8%11.7%6.0%6.7%8.8%6.6%7.2%10.0%7.9%8.0%11.8%7.6%$6,913,447
20216.8%11.1%6.6%5.7%10.3%8.9%7.8%10.1%7.5%7.9%10.1%7.2%$8,605,179
20227.9%10.1%7.3%6.4%10.8%7.1%7.7%9.7%7.4%8.2%9.5%7.8%$9,313,580
20238.0%11.2%7.1%6.9%10.9%7.3%8.1%10.0%7.3%7.3%8.7%7.0%$9,786,548
20248.0%11.0%6.4%7.0%9.0%7.7%9.6%8.9%7.7%7.2%9.2%8.2%$9,836,719
20258.5%13.4%6.8%6.3%9.1%7.2%8.4%8.8%7.5%7.5%8.7%7.7%$9,936,610
MEDIAN %8.0%11.2%6.7%6.6%9.8%7.3%8.0%9.9%7.6%7.8%9.4%7.7%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SEMINOLE (City)

Pop 6,988 PPA 3.25 %BO 40.6% Levy $2,897,015 Levy CAGR +6.1% E-Factor 3.63%
5,319 6,239 7,160 8,080 9,001 9,922 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 6,504 5,910 6,430 6,988 7,236 7,487 7,740 7,995 8,251 8,507 8,763 9,020 -1.0% +0.8% +0.8% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: SEMINOLE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SEMINOLE had a 2020 population of 6,988 across 3.4 square miles, yielding a density of 3.25 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 9,020, a gain of 2,032 (+29.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.32% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 40.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SEMINOLE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 52.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SEMINOLE levied $2,897,015 in property taxes on a market value base of $761,322,739. The taxable value of $578,891,376 reflects 24.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5004 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4332 for Maintenance & Operations (86.6%) and $0.0672 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (13.4%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $407 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.1% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 5.9% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.63% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): SEMINOLE collected $5,814,872 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $818 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 200.7% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 11.8% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: SEMINOLE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SEMINOLE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop6,5045,9106,4306,9887,2367,4877,7407,9958,2518,5078,7639,020
PPA3.022.752.993.253.373.483.603.723.843.964.084.19
%BO37.8%34.4%37.4%40.6%42.1%43.5%45.0%46.5%48.0%49.5%50.9%52.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%6,988$576,936,833$407,766,62770.7%$0.4964$0.03717.0%$0.5335$2,175,435$311$3,761,959$538172.9%
20214.7%7,012$562,004,889$409,843,66372.9%$0.4955$0.03807.1%$0.5335$2,186,659$312$4,016,897$573183.7%
20228.0%7,037$657,393,674$486,044,27473.9%$0.4271$0.03347.2%$0.4604$2,237,923$318$4,903,602$697219.1%
20234.1%7,062$706,364,785$535,004,84575.7%$0.4042$0.301742.7%$0.7059$3,776,546$535$5,514,614$781146.0%
20243.2%7,087$725,069,275$551,325,12076.0%$0.4332$0.067213.4%$0.5004$2,759,062$389$5,887,429$831213.4%
2025*2.9%7,112$761,322,739$578,891,37676.0%$0.4332$0.067213.4%$0.5004$2,897,015$407$5,814,872$818200.7%
CAGR4.2%0.4%5.9%7.8%1.5%-2.7%12.6%14.1%-1.3%6.1%5.7%11.8%11.5%3.0%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.2%10.1%7.6%7.1%9.3%9.3%7.7%9.1%7.8%7.7%8.9%7.3%$3,761,959
20217.5%8.8%7.1%7.2%8.9%7.8%7.5%9.3%8.3%9.1%9.9%8.6%$4,016,897
20227.5%8.7%6.5%6.9%9.0%7.7%8.4%8.8%8.4%9.6%9.7%8.8%$4,903,602
20238.6%9.7%7.4%7.5%8.9%7.7%8.5%7.5%7.8%8.4%9.5%8.6%$5,514,614
20249.0%9.1%7.4%7.1%8.5%7.7%9.1%9.1%8.5%8.0%8.1%8.3%$5,887,429
20257.5%10.8%7.8%7.1%8.7%8.2%7.8%9.1%6.5%7.9%9.1%9.4%$5,814,872
MEDIAN %7.9%9.4%7.4%7.2%8.9%7.8%8.2%9.1%8.0%8.2%9.3%8.6%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SHELBY COUNTY (City)

Pop 24,022 PPA 0.05 %BO 0.6% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
19,830 21,463 23,095 24,727 26,360 27,992 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 22,034 25,224 25,448 24,022 24,062 24,102 24,142 24,182 24,222 24,263 24,303 24,344 +1.4% +0.1% -0.6% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: SHELBY COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SHELBY COUNTY had a 2020 population of 24,022 across 795.6 square miles, yielding a density of 0.05 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 24,344, a gain of 322 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SHELBY COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: SHELBY COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SHELBY COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop22,03425,22425,44824,02224,06224,10224,14224,18224,22224,26324,30324,344
PPA0.040.050.050.050.050.050.050.050.050.050.050.05
%BO0.5%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SHERMAN (City)

Pop 43,645 PPA 1.65 %BO 20.6% Levy $45,189,447 Levy CAGR +23.1% E-Factor 11.87%
29,051 41,654 54,257 66,861 79,464 92,067 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 32,279 35,082 38,521 43,645 47,776 52,179 56,847 61,772 66,940 72,333 77,929 83,698 +0.8% +0.9% +1.3% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.7% +0.7% Population Trend: SHERMAN (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SHERMAN had a 2020 population of 43,645 across 41.4 square miles, yielding a density of 1.65 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 83,698, a gain of 40,053 (+91.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.82% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 20.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SHERMAN has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 39.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SHERMAN levied $45,189,447 in property taxes on a market value base of $11,025,159,809. The taxable value of $8,895,560,529 reflects 19.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5080 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3075 for Maintenance & Operations (60.5%) and $0.2005 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (39.5%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $989 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 23.1% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 20.5% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 11.87% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): SHERMAN collected $34,295,836 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $750 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 75.9% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 12.5% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: SHERMAN demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SHERMAN
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop32,27935,08238,52143,64547,77652,17956,84761,77266,94072,33377,92983,698
PPA1.221.321.451.651.801.972.152.332.532.732.943.16
%BO15.2%16.6%18.2%20.6%22.5%24.6%26.8%29.1%31.6%34.1%36.8%39.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%43,645$4,972,117,923$3,836,576,42377.2%$0.3376$0.151431.0%$0.4890$18,760,859$430$23,091,316$529123.1%
20214.7%44,058$5,466,811,978$4,137,934,84175.7%$0.3056$0.183437.5%$0.4890$20,234,501$459$26,772,030$608132.3%
20228.0%44,471$6,744,677,592$4,908,845,96472.8%$0.2654$0.204643.5%$0.4699$23,068,238$519$30,835,316$693133.7%
20234.1%44,884$7,926,739,855$5,789,440,84473.0%$0.2638$0.244248.1%$0.5080$29,410,359$655$36,655,738$817124.6%
20243.2%45,297$10,500,152,199$8,471,962,40980.7%$0.3075$0.200539.5%$0.5080$43,037,569$950$37,046,579$81886.1%
2025*2.9%45,710$11,025,159,809$8,895,560,52980.7%$0.3075$0.200539.5%$0.5080$45,189,447$989$34,295,836$75075.9%
CAGR4.2%0.9%20.5%21.9%0.9%-1.9%5.8%5.0%0.8%23.1%21.9%12.5%11.5%-9.2%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.7%11.2%7.1%7.1%8.6%6.4%7.9%10.1%7.9%8.0%9.8%8.2%$23,091,316
20217.1%10.0%6.9%5.8%10.8%8.0%7.7%9.6%8.2%8.2%9.7%8.0%$26,772,030
20227.6%9.5%6.3%6.4%9.3%7.4%7.5%9.5%9.3%9.5%9.8%7.8%$30,835,316
20238.6%9.5%5.8%6.4%9.3%7.7%9.3%10.2%9.7%7.6%8.0%8.0%$36,655,738
20248.5%9.9%6.9%7.3%8.9%9.1%8.3%9.3%8.3%7.4%8.6%7.6%$37,046,579
202510.4%11.9%7.4%6.8%9.1%8.0%7.6%8.7%7.5%7.1%8.1%7.4%$34,295,836
MEDIAN %8.2%10.0%7.0%6.7%9.3%7.9%7.9%9.7%8.3%7.9%9.2%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SHERMAN (County)

Pop 43,645 PPA 1.65 %BO 20.6% Levy $4,318,989 Levy CAGR +1.3% E-Factor 0.00%
29,051 41,654 54,257 66,861 79,464 92,067 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 32,279 35,082 38,521 43,645 47,776 52,179 56,847 61,772 66,940 72,333 77,929 83,698 +0.8% +0.9% +1.3% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.7% +0.7% Population Trend: SHERMAN (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SHERMAN had a 2020 population of 43,645 across 41.4 square miles, yielding a density of 1.65 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 83,698, a gain of 40,053 (+91.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.82% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 20.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SHERMAN has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 39.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SHERMAN levied $4,318,989 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,579,103,324. The taxable value of $822,842,678 reflects 47.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5277 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5277 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $94 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 1.3% CAGR lagged market value growth of 8.9% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Strategic Outlook: SHERMAN demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SHERMAN
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop32,27935,08238,52143,64547,77652,17956,84761,77266,94072,33377,92983,698
PPA1.221.321.451.651.801.972.152.332.532.732.943.16
%BO15.2%16.6%18.2%20.6%22.5%24.6%26.8%29.1%31.6%34.1%36.8%39.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%43,645$1,067,975,244~EstN/A$0.7465N/AN/A$0.7465$3,900,326$89
20214.7%44,058$1,207,210,246~EstN/A$0.6861N/AN/A$0.6861$3,989,740$91
20228.0%44,471$1,385,554,190~EstN/A$0.5706N/AN/A$0.5706$4,028,794$91
20234.1%44,884$1,530,501,940~EstN/A$0.4867N/AN/A$0.4867$3,967,521$88
20243.2%45,297$1,503,907,928$783,659,69352.1%$0.5277N/AN/A$0.5277$4,113,323$91
2025~2.9%45,710$1,579,103,324$822,842,67852.1%$0.5277N/AN/A$0.5277$4,318,989$94
CAGR4.2%0.9%8.9%-6.7%-6.7%1.3%0.4%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

SILSBEE (City)

Pop 6,935 PPA 1.41 %BO 17.6% Levy $2,373,463 Levy CAGR +8.5% E-Factor 0.09%
5,753 6,526 7,299 8,072 8,845 9,618 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 6,559 6,393 6,611 6,935 7,143 7,357 7,576 7,800 8,028 8,262 8,500 8,744 -0.3% +0.3% +0.5% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: SILSBEE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SILSBEE had a 2020 population of 6,935 across 7.7 square miles, yielding a density of 1.41 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 8,744, a gain of 1,809 (+26.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.29% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 17.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SILSBEE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 22.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SILSBEE levied $2,373,463 in property taxes on a market value base of $692,276,887. The taxable value of $528,409,800 reflects 23.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4492 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4492 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $337 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.1% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.09% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): SILSBEE collected $3,681,971 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $523 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 155.1% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 2.3% CAGR, reflecting stable retail environment.
Strategic Outlook: SILSBEE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SILSBEE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop6,5596,3936,6116,9357,1437,3577,5767,8008,0288,2628,5008,744
PPA1.331.301.351.411.451.501.541.591.631.681.731.78
%BO16.7%16.3%16.8%17.6%18.2%18.7%19.3%19.8%20.4%21.0%21.6%22.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%6,935$448,844,510$366,161,29681.6%$0.4450N/AN/A$0.4450$1,629,418$235$3,261,018$470200.1%
20214.7%6,955$520,206,212$406,052,30178.1%$0.4659N/AN/A$0.4659$1,891,814$272$3,570,565$513188.7%
20228.0%6,976$535,309,394$433,047,63780.9%$0.4700N/AN/A$0.4700$2,035,324$292$3,581,821$513176.0%
20234.1%6,997$671,876,855$508,008,63575.6%$0.4438N/AN/A$0.4438$2,254,654$322$3,510,539$502155.7%
20243.2%7,018$659,311,321$503,247,42976.3%$0.4492N/AN/A$0.4492$2,260,441$322$3,565,563$508157.7%
2025*2.9%7,039$692,276,887$528,409,80076.3%$0.4492N/AN/A$0.4492$2,373,463$337$3,681,971$523155.1%
CAGR4.2%0.3%10.1%8.3%-1.3%0.2%0.2%8.5%8.2%2.3%2.0%-5.0%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.3%10.9%6.3%6.0%9.2%7.3%7.5%10.0%11.2%6.8%9.3%7.3%$3,261,018
20216.8%9.6%6.4%8.9%10.8%8.5%8.6%9.4%7.7%7.1%9.8%6.5%$3,570,565
20228.0%11.5%6.7%6.6%10.0%7.9%7.8%8.7%8.2%7.5%9.6%7.4%$3,581,821
20237.6%10.5%7.3%7.1%10.4%7.1%7.9%9.3%7.2%8.3%9.5%7.7%$3,510,539
20247.8%10.4%6.8%7.1%10.0%7.4%8.0%9.7%7.5%7.7%9.7%7.9%$3,565,563
20257.7%11.4%6.8%6.6%9.8%7.9%7.8%9.4%7.7%7.6%9.4%7.8%$3,681,971
MEDIAN %7.8%10.8%6.8%6.9%10.1%7.7%7.9%9.4%7.8%7.6%9.6%7.6%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SMITH COUNTY (City)

Pop 233,479 PPA 0.40 %BO 4.9% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
136,178 235,233 334,287 433,342 532,397 631,452 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 151,309 174,706 209,714 233,479 262,165 294,147 329,744 369,290 413,136 461,638 515,157 574,048 +1.4% +1.8% +1.1% +1.2% +1.2% +1.1% +1.1% +1.1% +1.1% +1.1% +1.1% Population Trend: SMITH COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SMITH COUNTY had a 2020 population of 233,479 across 921.5 square miles, yielding a density of 0.40 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 574,048, a gain of 340,569 (+145.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.13% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 4.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SMITH COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 12.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: SMITH COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SMITH COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop151,309174,706209,714233,479262,165294,147329,744369,290413,136461,638515,157574,048
PPA0.260.300.360.400.440.500.560.630.700.780.870.97
%BO3.2%3.7%4.4%4.9%5.6%6.2%7.0%7.8%8.8%9.8%10.9%12.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.4%10.4%7.3%7.1%8.0%7.0%9.1%9.7%8.2%8.1%9.1%8.5%$20,924,064
20216.9%9.3%6.8%5.8%9.7%8.7%8.2%10.1%8.6%7.8%9.7%8.3%$24,555,337
20228.5%9.7%7.0%6.8%9.2%7.8%8.0%9.4%8.2%8.6%8.6%8.2%$27,747,297
20238.2%9.8%7.6%7.6%9.1%7.9%8.2%9.2%8.0%8.2%8.4%7.6%$28,870,884
20247.9%9.3%7.1%7.5%8.6%8.2%8.1%8.8%8.6%7.9%9.6%8.4%$28,942,614
20258.0%10.6%7.4%6.9%8.7%8.1%8.4%8.6%8.5%8.0%8.5%8.2%$29,868,337
MEDIAN %7.9%9.8%7.2%7.0%8.9%8.0%8.2%9.3%8.4%8.0%8.9%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SNYDER (City)

Pop 11,438 PPA 2.08 %BO 26.0% Levy $3,356,562 Levy CAGR +1.1% E-Factor 2.12%
9,704 10,550 11,396 12,242 13,088 13,934 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 12,668 10,783 11,202 11,438 11,457 11,476 11,495 11,514 11,533 11,552 11,572 11,591 -1.6% +0.4% +0.2% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: SNYDER (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SNYDER had a 2020 population of 11,438 across 8.6 square miles, yielding a density of 2.08 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 11,591, a gain of 153 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 26.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SNYDER has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 26.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SNYDER levied $3,356,562 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,051,804,973. The taxable value of $843,145,587 reflects 19.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3981 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3981 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $293 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 1.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 6.1% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.12% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): SNYDER collected $5,200,278 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $454 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 154.9% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 13.1% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: SNYDER demonstrates substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SNYDER
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop12,66810,78311,20211,43811,45711,47611,49511,51411,53311,55211,57211,591
PPA2.301.962.042.082.082.092.092.092.102.102.102.11
%BO28.8%24.5%25.4%26.0%26.0%26.1%26.1%26.2%26.2%26.2%26.3%26.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%11,438$790,054,329$649,814,60082.2%$0.4700N/AN/A$0.4700$3,054,129$267$3,202,835$280104.9%
20214.7%11,439$810,054,056$652,761,04180.6%$0.4800N/AN/A$0.4800$3,133,253$274$3,879,052$339123.8%
20228.0%11,441$861,190,818$695,635,16480.8%$0.4443N/AN/A$0.4443$3,090,707$270$4,900,223$428158.5%
20234.1%11,443$972,449,534$778,685,31180.1%$0.3981N/AN/A$0.3981$3,099,946$271$5,722,449$500184.6%
20243.2%11,445$1,001,719,022$802,995,79780.2%$0.3981N/AN/A$0.3981$3,196,726$279$5,243,310$458164.0%
2025*2.9%11,447$1,051,804,973$843,145,58780.2%$0.3981N/AN/A$0.3981$3,356,562$293$5,200,278$454154.9%
CAGR4.2%0.0%6.1%5.4%-0.5%-3.3%-3.3%1.1%1.1%13.1%13.1%8.1%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.0%9.0%8.6%6.3%9.8%8.7%8.3%9.8%7.1%8.1%8.9%8.4%$3,202,835
20216.2%8.7%7.9%5.0%9.3%7.2%8.4%11.7%8.5%9.5%9.1%8.4%$3,879,052
20227.4%7.9%6.7%6.0%8.1%7.9%8.6%9.6%8.6%9.6%9.3%10.2%$4,900,223
20238.9%8.9%8.6%7.3%10.1%6.8%8.5%10.0%7.9%8.1%7.7%7.2%$5,722,449
20249.1%1.0%16.3%8.3%8.3%8.2%8.6%8.1%8.2%8.0%7.7%8.2%$5,243,310
20257.5%9.8%7.0%7.9%8.2%9.4%8.2%9.9%8.0%7.6%8.4%8.2%$5,200,278
MEDIAN %7.5%8.8%8.3%6.9%8.8%8.1%8.5%9.9%8.1%8.1%8.7%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SOCORRO (City)

Pop 34,306 PPA 2.43 %BO 30.4% Levy $15,855,101 Levy CAGR +12.2% E-Factor 5.26%
20,894 28,643 36,393 44,142 51,892 59,642 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 23,216 27,152 32,013 34,306 36,584 38,939 41,364 43,850 46,389 48,970 51,584 54,220 +1.6% +1.7% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% Population Trend: SOCORRO (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SOCORRO had a 2020 population of 34,306 across 22.0 square miles, yielding a density of 2.43 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 54,220, a gain of 19,914 (+58.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.57% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 30.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SOCORRO has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 48.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SOCORRO levied $15,855,101 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,264,214,390. The taxable value of $2,377,433,085 reflects 27.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6669 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5610 for Maintenance & Operations (84.1%) and $0.1059 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (15.9%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $447 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 12.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 20.1% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 5.26% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): SOCORRO collected $2,540,215 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $72 falls below regional averages, indicating primarily residential character with retail leakage to neighboring communities. Sales tax represents 16.0% of property tax levy, offering modest supplemental revenue. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.6% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: SOCORRO demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SOCORRO
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop23,21627,15232,01334,30636,58438,93941,36443,85046,38948,97051,58454,220
PPA1.651.932.272.432.592.762.933.113.293.473.663.85
%BO20.6%24.1%28.4%30.4%32.4%34.5%36.7%38.9%41.1%43.4%45.7%48.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%34,306$1,495,145,948$1,138,711,18976.2%$0.6580$0.179021.4%$0.8370$9,531,013$278$1,724,243$5018.1%
20214.7%34,533$1,858,688,177$1,326,843,89271.4%$0.6410$0.162220.2%$0.8032$10,656,653$309$1,996,930$5818.7%
20228.0%34,761$2,303,139,308$1,577,707,70868.5%$0.6069$0.158520.7%$0.7655$12,077,226$347$2,324,264$6719.2%
20234.1%34,989$2,748,673,016$1,925,562,69070.1%$0.5812$0.120817.2%$0.7020$13,517,854$386$2,450,541$7018.1%
20243.2%35,217$3,108,775,610$2,264,221,98672.8%$0.5610$0.105915.9%$0.6669$15,100,096$429$2,491,529$7116.5%
2025*2.9%35,445$3,264,214,390$2,377,433,08572.8%$0.5610$0.105915.9%$0.6669$15,855,101$447$2,540,215$7216.0%
CAGR4.2%0.7%20.1%18.7%-0.9%-3.1%-10.0%-5.8%-4.4%12.2%11.5%9.6%8.9%-2.4%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.7%9.0%7.3%6.8%9.1%8.1%8.8%9.5%8.0%8.3%9.9%8.5%$1,724,243
20217.1%9.6%6.8%7.0%10.4%8.3%8.4%9.5%7.7%7.6%9.7%8.0%$1,996,930
20227.6%9.4%6.8%6.9%8.6%7.1%7.3%8.8%7.2%7.7%14.6%8.1%$2,324,264
20237.9%8.9%7.5%9.3%9.5%7.4%7.5%9.0%7.9%8.4%8.3%8.3%$2,450,541
20248.1%9.3%7.4%7.8%9.0%7.8%7.7%9.2%7.9%8.4%8.8%8.7%$2,491,529
20257.9%10.4%8.2%7.2%9.3%8.0%8.1%8.9%8.2%6.1%9.3%8.5%$2,540,215
MEDIAN %7.8%9.4%7.4%7.2%9.2%7.9%8.0%9.2%8.0%8.1%9.6%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SOMERVELL COUNTY (City)

Pop 9,205 PPA 0.08 %BO 1.0% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
4,824 9,097 13,371 17,644 21,918 26,192 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 5,360 6,809 8,490 9,205 10,373 11,688 13,167 14,831 16,701 18,803 21,163 23,811 +2.4% +2.2% +0.8% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% Population Trend: SOMERVELL COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SOMERVELL COUNTY had a 2020 population of 9,205 across 186.5 square miles, yielding a density of 0.08 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 23,811, a gain of 14,606 (+158.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.20% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SOMERVELL COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 2.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: SOMERVELL COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SOMERVELL COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop5,3606,8098,4909,20510,37311,68813,16714,83116,70118,80321,16323,811
PPA0.040.060.070.080.090.100.110.120.140.160.180.20
%BO0.6%0.7%0.9%1.0%1.1%1.2%1.4%1.6%1.7%2.0%2.2%2.5%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SOUTH HOUSTON (City)

Pop 16,153 PPA 8.28 %BO 100.0% Levy $7,578,771 Levy CAGR +6.7% E-Factor 2.34%
13,005 14,140 15,276 16,411 17,546 18,681 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 14,451 15,833 16,983 16,153 16,153 16,153 16,153 16,153 16,153 16,153 16,153 16,153 +0.9% +0.7% -0.5% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: SOUTH HOUSTON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SOUTH HOUSTON had a 2020 population of 16,153 across 3.0 square miles, yielding a density of 8.28 persons per acre (PPA). This high density suggests an urbanized area with limited greenfield expansion potential. Build-Out Analysis: At 100.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SOUTH HOUSTON is approaching full build-out. Projections show reaching theoretical capacity (100% build-out) before 2100, suggesting eventual need for annexation, densification, or growth boundary adjustments.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SOUTH HOUSTON levied $7,578,771 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,554,947,477. The taxable value of $1,333,077,278 reflects 14.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5685 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5353 for Maintenance & Operations (94.2%) and $0.0332 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (5.8%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $469 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.7% CAGR lagged market value growth of 12.4% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.34% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): SOUTH HOUSTON collected $4,992,437 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.75% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $309 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 65.9% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.0% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: SOUTH HOUSTON demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, limited greenfield options, strong economic elasticity. Long-term projections indicate eventual capacity constraints requiring proactive planning for annexation, vertical development, or managed growth boundaries. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SOUTH HOUSTON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop14,45115,83316,98316,15316,15316,15316,15316,15316,15316,15316,15316,153
PPA7.408.118.708.288.288.288.288.288.288.288.288.28
%BO92.5%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%16,153$929,450,276$797,719,61985.8%$0.6451$0.05297.6%$0.6981$5,568,506$345$3,476,550$21562.4%
20214.7%16,153$1,076,487,685$870,985,53580.9%$0.6409$0.04917.1%$0.6900$6,009,800$372$3,792,750$23563.1%
20228.0%16,153$1,312,832,925$1,039,416,34379.2%$0.5953$0.03816.0%$0.6334$6,583,746$408$4,224,037$26264.2%
20234.1%16,153$1,466,230,391$1,237,773,16184.4%$0.5204$0.03235.8%$0.5527$6,840,665$423$4,487,672$27865.6%
20243.2%16,153$1,480,902,359$1,269,597,40885.7%$0.5353$0.03325.8%$0.5685$7,217,877$447$4,727,668$29365.5%
2025*2.9%16,153$1,554,947,477$1,333,077,27885.7%$0.5353$0.03325.8%$0.5685$7,578,771$469$4,992,437$30965.9%
CAGR4.2%12.4%12.3%-0.0%-3.7%-8.9%-5.1%-4.0%6.7%6.7%8.0%8.0%1.1%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.4%9.5%8.9%7.9%7.9%7.7%8.3%9.1%8.2%7.5%9.2%8.4%$3,476,550
20217.2%8.4%7.1%6.8%10.0%8.5%7.6%9.2%8.3%8.6%10.1%8.1%$3,792,750
20227.8%8.7%7.1%6.7%9.8%7.7%7.9%9.8%8.8%8.7%8.7%8.3%$4,224,037
20237.9%8.6%7.5%9.5%7.6%8.2%8.3%8.8%7.9%8.7%8.7%8.3%$4,487,672
20247.2%8.1%7.4%8.5%8.6%8.1%7.7%8.0%8.8%8.8%9.1%9.5%$4,727,668
20256.9%11.3%7.0%6.8%9.4%8.5%7.9%8.9%8.0%8.0%8.3%8.9%$4,992,437
MEDIAN %7.4%8.8%7.4%7.4%9.1%8.3%8.0%9.1%8.3%8.7%9.0%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SOUTHLAKE (City)

Pop 31,265 PPA 2.23 %BO 27.9% Levy $38,489,260 Levy CAGR +1.4% E-Factor 0.00%
6,473 25,064 43,654 62,244 80,835 99,425 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 7,193 21,519 26,575 31,265 38,352 46,137 54,347 62,638 70,654 78,082 84,698 90,387 +11.6% +2.1% +1.6% +2.1% +1.9% +1.7% +1.4% +1.2% +1.0% +0.8% +0.7% Population Trend: SOUTHLAKE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SOUTHLAKE had a 2020 population of 31,265 across 21.9 square miles, yielding a density of 2.23 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 90,387, a gain of 59,122 (+189.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.34% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 27.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SOUTHLAKE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 80.7%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SOUTHLAKE levied $38,489,260 in property taxes on a market value base of $17,791,686,191. The taxable value of $12,619,429,608 reflects 29.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3050 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2500 for Maintenance & Operations (82.0%) and $0.0550 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (18.0%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,106 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 1.4% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.3% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): SOUTHLAKE collected $42,504,708 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.87% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $1,221 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 110.4% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.9% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: SOUTHLAKE demonstrates substantial development capacity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SOUTHLAKE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop7,19321,51926,57531,26538,35246,13754,34762,63870,65478,08284,69890,387
PPA0.511.541.902.232.743.293.884.475.055.586.056.45
%BO6.4%19.2%23.7%27.9%34.2%41.2%48.5%55.9%63.1%69.7%75.6%80.7%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%31,265$11,050,741,790$8,578,108,32777.6%$0.3300$0.075018.5%$0.4050$34,741,338$1,111$29,330,626$93884.4%
20214.7%31,973$11,548,560,634$8,952,165,04177.5%$0.3250$0.065016.7%$0.3900$34,913,444$1,092$34,851,151$1,09099.8%
20228.0%32,682$13,489,747,614$9,859,011,65573.1%$0.2950$0.065018.1%$0.3600$35,492,442$1,086$39,680,288$1,214111.8%
20234.1%33,391$16,749,737,296$11,348,238,34767.8%$0.2640$0.055017.2%$0.3190$36,200,880$1,084$41,988,244$1,257116.0%
20243.2%34,099$16,944,463,039$12,018,504,38970.9%$0.2500$0.055018.0%$0.3050$36,656,438$1,075$39,776,449$1,166108.5%
2025*2.9%34,808$17,791,686,191$12,619,429,60870.9%$0.2500$0.055018.0%$0.3050$38,489,260$1,106$42,504,708$1,221110.4%
CAGR4.2%2.2%11.3%8.8%-1.8%-5.4%-6.0%-0.5%-5.5%1.4%-0.8%7.9%5.6%5.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.4%12.8%8.8%6.5%7.5%6.7%7.4%8.8%7.7%7.9%9.1%8.4%$29,330,626
20215.9%10.4%6.8%5.3%9.4%8.0%6.8%14.0%7.8%7.7%9.1%8.7%$34,851,151
20227.9%11.7%7.6%6.6%9.4%8.2%8.2%8.5%7.6%7.9%7.8%8.6%$39,680,288
20238.1%11.3%6.9%6.5%8.3%7.7%7.8%8.2%7.3%11.8%8.8%7.4%$41,988,244
20248.1%11.3%7.8%6.9%8.8%8.3%7.9%8.4%7.8%8.1%8.0%8.5%$39,776,449
20258.1%11.3%7.6%6.5%8.7%8.1%8.2%8.2%8.0%7.6%8.4%9.3%$42,504,708
MEDIAN %8.1%11.4%7.7%6.5%8.8%8.1%7.9%8.5%7.8%8.0%8.7%8.6%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

STAFFORD (City)

Pop 17,666 PPA 3.95 %BO 49.4% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 2.02%
7,368 11,321 15,274 19,227 23,180 27,133 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 8,187 15,681 17,693 17,666 18,584 19,499 20,406 21,300 22,177 23,033 23,864 24,667 +6.7% +1.2% -0.0% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% Population Trend: STAFFORD (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: STAFFORD had a 2020 population of 17,666 across 7.0 square miles, yielding a density of 3.95 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 24,667, a gain of 7,001 (+39.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.42% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 49.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), STAFFORD has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 68.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): STAFFORD levied $0 in property taxes on a market value base of $6,015,280,649. The taxable value of $5,212,208,099 reflects 13.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.02% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): STAFFORD collected $28,897,732 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $1,594 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.5% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: STAFFORD demonstrates substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
STAFFORD
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop8,18715,68117,69317,66618,58419,49920,40621,30022,17723,03323,86424,667
PPA1.833.513.953.954.154.364.564.764.965.155.335.51
%BO22.9%43.8%49.4%49.4%51.9%54.5%57.0%59.5%62.0%64.4%66.7%68.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%17,666~Est~EstN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A~EstN/A$19,728,798$1,117N/A
20243.2%18,033$5,728,838,713$4,964,007,71386.6%N/AN/AN/AN/A~EstN/A$26,382,263$1,463N/A
2025*2.9%18,125$6,015,280,649$5,212,208,09986.6%N/AN/AN/AN/A~EstN/A$28,897,732$1,594N/A
CAGR4.2%0.5%7.5%7.0%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%8.9%7.2%7.2%9.0%7.5%7.6%9.8%8.7%8.3%10.0%8.4%$19,728,798
20217.0%8.6%6.8%5.9%10.4%7.9%7.5%10.2%8.5%8.5%10.2%8.6%$23,152,837
20229.5%9.8%7.4%6.9%9.0%7.7%7.8%9.6%8.0%7.9%8.6%7.8%$25,991,690
20238.0%8.8%7.0%7.4%9.6%8.0%8.6%9.1%8.1%8.7%9.1%7.6%$25,520,745
20248.2%8.9%6.6%8.1%8.7%8.3%8.0%8.8%7.6%8.3%9.4%9.1%$26,382,263
20257.5%9.0%6.9%6.7%9.1%12.8%7.7%7.8%7.7%7.4%9.2%8.3%$28,897,732
MEDIAN %7.9%9.0%7.1%7.2%9.2%8.0%7.8%9.4%8.2%8.4%9.4%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

STARR COUNTY (City)

Pop 65,920 PPA 0.08 %BO 1.1% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
36,466 64,124 91,782 119,440 147,097 174,755 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 40,518 53,597 60,968 65,920 73,628 82,227 91,815 102,502 114,410 127,674 142,440 158,869 +2.8% +1.3% +0.8% +1.1% +1.1% +1.1% +1.1% +1.1% +1.1% +1.1% +1.1% Population Trend: STARR COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: STARR COUNTY had a 2020 population of 65,920 across 1223.2 square miles, yielding a density of 0.08 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 158,869, a gain of 92,949 (+141.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.11% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), STARR COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 2.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: STARR COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
STARR COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop40,51853,59760,96865,92073,62882,22791,815102,502114,410127,674142,440158,869
PPA0.050.070.080.080.090.110.120.130.150.160.180.20
%BO0.6%0.9%1.0%1.1%1.2%1.3%1.5%1.6%1.8%2.0%2.3%2.5%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

STEPHENS COUNTY (City)

Pop 9,101 PPA 0.02 %BO 0.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
8,109 8,615 9,121 9,628 10,134 10,641 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 9,010 9,674 9,630 9,101 9,116 9,131 9,146 9,161 9,177 9,192 9,207 9,223 +0.7% -0.0% -0.6% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: STEPHENS COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: STEPHENS COUNTY had a 2020 population of 9,101 across 896.7 square miles, yielding a density of 0.02 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 9,223, a gain of 122 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), STEPHENS COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: STEPHENS COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
STEPHENS COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop9,0109,6749,6309,1019,1169,1319,1469,1619,1779,1929,2079,223
PPA0.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.02
%BO0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

STEPHENVILLE (City)

Pop 20,897 PPA 2.75 %BO 34.3% Levy $8,473,514 Levy CAGR +5.1% E-Factor 1.64%
12,538 19,117 25,697 32,276 38,855 45,434 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 13,932 14,921 17,123 20,897 23,348 25,902 28,524 31,175 33,817 36,409 38,915 41,304 +0.7% +1.4% +2.0% +1.1% +1.0% +1.0% +0.9% +0.8% +0.7% +0.7% +0.6% Population Trend: STEPHENVILLE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: STEPHENVILLE had a 2020 population of 20,897 across 11.9 square miles, yielding a density of 2.75 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 41,304, a gain of 20,407 (+97.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.86% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 34.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), STEPHENVILLE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 67.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): STEPHENVILLE levied $8,473,514 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,060,381,334. The taxable value of $2,212,983,498 reflects 27.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3829 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3680 for Maintenance & Operations (96.1%) and $0.0149 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (3.9%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $383 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 8.1% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.64% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): STEPHENVILLE collected $10,096,515 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $456 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 119.2% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 10.5% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: STEPHENVILLE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
STEPHENVILLE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop13,93214,92117,12320,89723,34825,90228,52431,17533,81736,40938,91541,304
PPA1.831.962.252.753.073.403.754.104.444.785.115.43
%BO22.9%24.5%28.1%34.3%38.4%42.5%46.9%51.2%55.6%59.8%63.9%67.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%20,897$2,134,522,580$1,454,811,17368.2%$0.4368$0.01824.0%$0.4550$6,619,391$317$6,498,578$31198.2%
20214.7%21,142$2,242,067,390$1,536,535,89568.5%$0.4245$0.01754.0%$0.4420$6,791,489$321$7,781,201$368114.6%
20228.0%21,387$2,619,313,110$1,951,077,63174.5%$0.3812$0.01463.7%$0.3958$7,722,365$361$8,940,774$418115.8%
20234.1%21,632$2,754,817,110$1,948,986,00770.7%$0.3714$0.01584.1%$0.3872$7,546,474$349$9,461,550$437125.4%
20243.2%21,877$2,914,648,890$2,107,603,33172.3%$0.3680$0.01493.9%$0.3829$8,070,013$369$9,691,424$443120.1%
2025*2.9%22,122$3,060,381,334$2,212,983,49872.3%$0.3680$0.01493.9%$0.3829$8,473,514$383$10,096,515$456119.2%
CAGR4.2%1.1%8.1%9.7%1.2%-3.4%-3.9%-0.5%-3.4%5.1%3.9%10.5%9.2%3.9%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.6%9.6%7.8%6.9%8.0%6.7%7.7%9.1%7.9%9.7%10.7%8.3%$6,498,578
20216.8%12.1%7.1%5.7%9.1%7.7%7.9%8.8%7.6%8.9%10.5%7.8%$7,781,201
20227.3%8.7%7.3%6.4%9.3%7.7%8.1%9.1%8.1%9.6%10.1%8.4%$8,940,774
20237.9%9.4%7.6%7.4%8.8%7.5%8.1%8.4%7.6%9.6%9.7%7.8%$9,461,550
20248.2%9.3%7.9%7.3%8.6%7.9%7.9%8.3%7.9%8.6%9.8%8.2%$9,691,424
20257.3%9.8%7.7%6.8%8.6%8.3%8.1%8.4%7.7%7.8%10.9%8.6%$10,096,515
MEDIAN %7.5%9.5%7.7%6.8%8.7%7.7%8.0%8.6%7.8%9.2%10.3%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SUGAR LAND (City)

Pop 111,026 PPA 4.05 %BO 50.6% Levy $80,201,697 Levy CAGR +8.1% E-Factor 2.13%
40,357 77,440 114,523 151,606 188,689 225,772 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 44,842 63,328 78,817 111,026 128,911 145,826 161,031 174,087 184,860 193,463 200,153 205,248 +3.5% +2.2% +3.5% +1.5% +1.2% +1.0% +0.8% +0.6% +0.5% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: SUGAR LAND (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SUGAR LAND had a 2020 population of 111,026 across 42.9 square miles, yielding a density of 4.05 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 205,248, a gain of 94,222 (+84.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.77% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 50.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SUGAR LAND is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 93.5%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SUGAR LAND levied $80,201,697 in property taxes on a market value base of $29,440,239,363. The taxable value of $22,706,519,724 reflects 22.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3532 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2072 for Maintenance & Operations (58.7%) and $0.1460 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (41.3%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $669 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 8.6% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.13% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): SUGAR LAND collected $79,818,888 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $665 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 99.5% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.3% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: SUGAR LAND demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SUGAR LAND
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop44,84263,32878,817111,026128,911145,826161,031174,087184,860193,463200,153205,248
PPA1.632.312.874.054.705.325.876.356.747.057.307.48
%BO20.4%28.9%35.9%50.6%58.7%66.5%73.4%79.3%84.2%88.2%91.2%93.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%111,026$20,137,570,036$16,610,129,31582.5%$0.2031$0.133539.7%$0.3365$55,893,085$503$49,752,744$44889.0%
20214.7%112,814$20,629,808,867$16,898,968,59881.9%$0.2089$0.137639.7%$0.3465$58,554,926$519$56,596,368$50296.7%
20228.0%114,603$24,030,728,679$18,864,271,19878.5%$0.2001$0.146442.3%$0.3465$65,364,700$570$64,773,080$56599.1%
20234.1%116,391$26,563,921,284$20,467,146,48577.0%$0.2040$0.146041.7%$0.3500$71,635,013$615$67,135,093$57793.7%
20243.2%118,180$28,038,323,203$21,625,256,88077.1%$0.2072$0.146041.3%$0.3532$76,382,569$646$70,973,191$60192.9%
2025*2.9%119,968$29,440,239,363$22,706,519,72477.1%$0.2072$0.146041.3%$0.3532$80,201,697$669$79,818,888$66599.5%
CAGR4.2%1.6%8.6%6.8%-1.3%0.4%1.8%0.8%1.0%8.1%6.4%9.3%7.6%2.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.9%11.8%8.4%7.5%8.5%6.2%7.4%8.9%7.8%7.4%8.8%8.4%$49,752,744
20216.9%10.4%6.7%6.3%9.1%8.3%8.5%9.7%8.3%8.2%9.2%8.3%$56,596,368
20228.2%10.8%7.4%7.2%9.3%8.0%8.1%8.0%8.0%8.1%8.8%8.2%$64,773,080
20238.2%10.7%7.4%7.4%8.9%7.3%9.0%8.9%7.1%8.4%8.9%8.0%$67,135,093
20247.8%10.2%7.5%7.3%9.3%7.8%8.2%8.5%8.1%8.5%8.6%8.3%$70,973,191
20257.5%11.5%7.4%7.1%8.4%8.1%8.3%8.5%8.5%7.8%8.7%8.2%$79,818,888
MEDIAN %8.0%10.7%7.4%7.2%9.0%7.9%8.2%8.7%8.0%8.1%8.8%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SULPHUR SPRINGS (City)

Pop 15,941 PPA 1.23 %BO 15.4% Levy $7,027,200 Levy CAGR +9.6% E-Factor 3.16%
12,763 14,614 16,465 18,316 20,166 22,017 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 14,182 14,551 15,449 15,941 16,410 16,891 17,383 17,886 18,401 18,928 19,466 20,016 +0.3% +0.6% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: SULPHUR SPRINGS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SULPHUR SPRINGS had a 2020 population of 15,941 across 20.2 square miles, yielding a density of 1.23 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 20,016, a gain of 4,075 (+25.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.28% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 15.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SULPHUR SPRINGS has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 19.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SULPHUR SPRINGS levied $7,027,200 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,169,176,033. The taxable value of $1,612,741,736 reflects 25.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4357 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3571 for Maintenance & Operations (81.9%) and $0.0786 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (18.1%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $434 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 9.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.16% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): SULPHUR SPRINGS collected $9,406,165 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $582 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 133.9% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.3% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: SULPHUR SPRINGS demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SULPHUR SPRINGS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop14,18214,55115,44915,94116,41016,89117,38317,88618,40118,92819,46620,016
PPA1.101.121.191.231.271.311.341.381.421.461.501.55
%BO13.7%14.1%14.9%15.4%15.9%16.3%16.8%17.3%17.8%18.3%18.8%19.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%15,941$1,327,679,135$1,052,745,58879.3%$0.3671$0.072916.6%$0.4400$4,632,081$291$6,944,271$436149.9%
20214.7%15,987$1,531,990,425$1,232,709,95180.5%$0.3624$0.064515.1%$0.4269$5,262,685$329$7,700,523$482146.3%
20228.0%16,034$1,679,330,307$1,269,791,62775.6%$0.3655$0.074516.9%$0.4400$5,587,083$348$8,584,810$535153.7%
20234.1%16,081$1,758,200,435$1,352,988,85377.0%$0.3599$0.080118.2%$0.4400$5,953,151$370$8,777,616$546147.4%
20243.2%16,128$2,065,881,936$1,535,944,51074.3%$0.3571$0.078618.1%$0.4357$6,692,571$415$9,194,334$570137.4%
2025*2.9%16,175$2,169,176,033$1,612,741,73674.3%$0.3571$0.078618.1%$0.4357$7,027,200$434$9,406,165$582133.9%
CAGR4.2%0.3%11.7%9.9%-1.3%-0.6%1.5%1.7%-0.2%9.6%9.3%7.3%7.0%-2.2%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%9.2%7.5%6.9%7.9%8.4%8.4%10.2%8.6%8.0%9.2%8.3%$6,944,271
20217.3%9.4%7.0%6.1%10.3%8.9%7.2%9.5%8.4%7.9%9.2%8.6%$7,700,523
20227.8%9.6%7.0%6.6%8.6%8.5%9.7%8.3%8.2%8.8%9.0%7.9%$8,584,810
20238.2%9.8%7.4%7.5%9.3%7.4%8.5%9.0%8.4%8.6%8.8%7.1%$8,777,616
20248.4%9.3%7.1%7.6%9.2%8.0%8.0%8.9%8.8%7.6%8.8%8.3%$9,194,334
20258.3%10.4%7.4%6.7%8.4%10.0%8.0%9.2%8.8%6.2%8.4%8.0%$9,406,165
MEDIAN %8.0%9.5%7.3%6.8%8.9%8.5%8.2%9.1%8.5%8.0%8.9%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SUNNYVALE (City)

Pop 7,893 PPA 0.75 %BO 9.3% Levy $10,119,661 Levy CAGR +9.8% E-Factor 4.05%
1,860 15,986 30,113 44,239 58,365 72,492 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 2,067 2,693 5,130 7,893 11,638 16,780 23,476 31,618 40,729 50,016 58,618 65,902 +2.7% +6.7% +4.4% +4.0% +3.7% +3.4% +3.0% +2.6% +2.1% +1.6% +1.2% Population Trend: SUNNYVALE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SUNNYVALE had a 2020 population of 7,893 across 16.5 square miles, yielding a density of 0.75 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 65,902, a gain of 58,009 (+734.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.69% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 9.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SUNNYVALE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 77.8%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SUNNYVALE levied $10,119,661 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,309,442,017. The taxable value of $2,233,920,688 reflects 32.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4530 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3069 for Maintenance & Operations (67.7%) and $0.1461 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (32.3%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,036 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 9.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 13.9% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.05% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): SUNNYVALE collected $6,636,251 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $680 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 65.6% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 17.2% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: SUNNYVALE demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SUNNYVALE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop2,0672,6935,1307,89311,63816,78023,47631,61840,72950,01658,61865,902
PPA0.200.250.480.751.101.592.222.993.854.725.546.23
%BO2.4%3.2%6.1%9.3%13.7%19.8%27.7%37.3%48.1%59.1%69.2%77.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%7,893$1,872,598,782$1,453,581,14677.6%$0.3105$0.146232.0%$0.4567$6,638,505$841$3,334,538$42250.2%
20214.7%8,267$2,015,620,710$1,554,708,84077.1%$0.3212$0.131829.1%$0.4530$7,042,831$852$4,160,766$50359.1%
20228.0%8,642$2,296,064,700$1,775,966,60477.3%$0.3069$0.146132.3%$0.4530$8,045,129$931$6,161,407$71376.6%
20234.1%9,016$2,920,429,690$1,898,016,72865.0%$0.3069$0.146132.3%$0.4530$8,598,016$954$6,238,412$69272.6%
20243.2%9,391$3,151,849,540$2,127,543,51267.5%$0.3069$0.146132.3%$0.4530$9,637,772$1,026$6,292,466$67065.3%
2025*2.9%9,765$3,309,442,017$2,233,920,68867.5%$0.3069$0.146132.3%$0.4530$10,119,661$1,036$6,636,251$68065.6%
CAGR4.2%4.3%13.9%10.0%-2.8%-0.2%-0.0%0.2%-0.2%9.8%5.1%17.2%12.2%5.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.3%9.2%6.9%7.5%8.1%7.8%8.1%9.9%8.9%8.2%9.8%9.3%$3,334,538
20217.4%5.8%6.3%5.6%8.8%8.0%8.2%10.5%8.2%9.8%11.5%10.1%$4,160,766
20227.6%8.5%6.9%5.9%9.8%7.7%7.9%8.6%7.7%9.0%10.1%10.3%$6,161,407
20237.4%8.5%8.0%6.7%8.6%8.1%8.3%8.6%8.7%8.9%9.4%8.9%$6,238,412
20248.9%8.3%6.3%7.3%8.3%8.1%8.0%9.0%8.4%8.7%10.2%8.7%$6,292,466
20258.3%9.9%8.0%6.8%7.8%7.3%7.7%8.6%8.7%7.9%9.2%9.8%$6,636,251
MEDIAN %7.5%8.5%6.9%6.7%8.5%8.0%8.1%8.8%8.5%8.8%10.0%9.6%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SWEETWATER (City)

Pop 10,622 PPA 1.65 %BO 20.7% Levy $3,522,700 Levy CAGR +6.1% E-Factor 3.68%
9,559 10,288 11,016 11,744 12,472 13,201 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 12,001 11,415 10,906 10,622 10,639 10,657 10,675 10,693 10,710 10,728 10,746 10,764 -0.5% -0.5% -0.3% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: SWEETWATER (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SWEETWATER had a 2020 population of 10,622 across 10.0 square miles, yielding a density of 1.65 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 10,764, a gain of 142 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 20.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SWEETWATER has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 20.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): SWEETWATER levied $3,522,700 in property taxes on a market value base of $918,733,510. The taxable value of $695,063,482 reflects 24.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5068 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4758 for Maintenance & Operations (93.9%) and $0.0310 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (6.1%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $331 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 7.7% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.68% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): SWEETWATER collected $3,984,844 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $375 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 113.1% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 11.3% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: SWEETWATER demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SWEETWATER
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop12,00111,41510,90610,62210,63910,65710,67510,69310,71010,72810,74610,764
PPA1.871.781.701.651.661.661.661.661.671.671.671.68
%BO23.3%22.2%21.2%20.7%20.7%20.7%20.8%20.8%20.8%20.9%20.9%20.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%10,622$650,464,798$486,397,12874.8%$0.5440N/AN/A$0.5440$2,646,000$249$2,849,078$268107.7%
20214.7%10,623$674,199,614$506,455,34475.1%$0.5480N/AN/A$0.5480$2,775,375$261$3,099,698$292111.7%
20228.0%10,625$725,267,521$550,373,76675.9%$0.5075N/AN/A$0.5075$2,793,147$263$3,613,310$340129.4%
20234.1%10,627$803,249,147$617,506,02276.9%$0.4743$0.03286.5%$0.5071$3,131,682$295$3,586,907$338114.5%
20243.2%10,628$874,984,295$661,965,22175.7%$0.4758$0.03106.1%$0.5068$3,354,952$316$4,369,121$411130.2%
2025*2.9%10,630$918,733,510$695,063,48275.7%$0.4758$0.03106.1%$0.5068$3,522,700$331$3,984,844$375113.1%
CAGR4.2%0.0%7.7%8.0%0.2%-2.6%-1.4%6.1%6.1%11.3%11.3%1.0%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.8%10.7%7.6%7.6%9.6%8.0%8.5%9.5%7.6%7.2%8.4%7.5%$2,849,078
20216.8%9.5%6.7%5.7%11.0%8.3%7.9%11.0%8.0%7.7%9.4%8.1%$3,099,698
20227.1%8.8%7.0%8.0%10.3%7.4%8.2%9.3%9.1%8.5%8.4%8.0%$3,613,310
20239.7%7.5%6.9%6.6%9.6%7.8%7.6%11.0%7.7%9.0%9.3%7.3%$3,586,907
202421.0%8.3%6.0%0.0%9.2%8.8%9.3%8.1%6.9%6.8%8.5%7.2%$4,369,121
20257.4%10.5%7.0%7.2%8.7%7.8%7.6%8.8%8.0%7.8%9.7%9.6%$3,984,844
MEDIAN %7.7%9.3%7.1%7.0%9.8%8.1%8.2%9.6%8.0%7.9%9.1%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

SWISHER COUNTY (City)

Pop 6,971 PPA 0.01 %BO 0.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
6,273 6,862 7,450 8,039 8,627 9,215 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 8,133 8,378 7,854 6,971 6,982 6,994 7,005 7,017 7,029 7,041 7,052 7,064 +0.3% -0.6% -1.2% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: SWISHER COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: SWISHER COUNTY had a 2020 population of 6,971 across 890.2 square miles, yielding a density of 0.01 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 7,064, a gain of 93 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), SWISHER COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: SWISHER COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
SWISHER COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop8,1338,3787,8546,9716,9826,9947,0057,0177,0297,0417,0527,064
PPA0.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.01
%BO0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.8%8.5%7.9%6.8%8.3%9.3%9.0%10.0%8.7%7.7%9.1%7.9%$193,683
20217.6%8.4%7.0%6.4%9.9%8.1%8.2%9.8%8.9%10.5%7.3%7.9%$221,282
20227.9%9.3%8.1%7.2%9.9%8.0%7.6%9.3%8.1%7.9%8.6%8.2%$225,730
20235.8%7.4%10.6%5.4%6.7%6.5%6.4%6.2%5.3%12.1%11.3%16.2%$323,719
20247.0%6.1%18.8%6.6%15.0%13.6%11.2%8.4%3.1%3.5%2.9%3.9%$692,476
20257.4%10.7%7.9%7.8%7.9%8.3%8.2%8.6%8.8%8.3%7.7%8.4%$272,863
MEDIAN %7.4%8.7%8.2%6.9%9.3%8.4%8.4%9.2%8.6%8.3%8.3%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

TARRANT COUNTY (City)

Pop 2,110,640 PPA 3.81 %BO 47.6% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
1,053,092 1,605,643 2,158,194 2,710,746 3,263,297 3,815,848 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 1,170,103 1,446,219 1,809,034 2,110,640 2,301,005 2,490,184 2,675,447 2,854,282 3,024,530 3,184,469 3,332,861 3,468,953 +2.1% +2.3% +1.6% +0.9% +0.8% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% Population Trend: TARRANT COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: TARRANT COUNTY had a 2020 population of 2,110,640 across 865.3 square miles, yielding a density of 3.81 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 3,468,953, a gain of 1,358,313 (+64.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.62% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 47.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), TARRANT COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 78.3%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Strategic Outlook: TARRANT COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
TARRANT COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop1,170,1031,446,2191,809,0342,110,6402,301,0052,490,1842,675,4472,854,2823,024,5303,184,4693,332,8613,468,953
PPA2.112.613.273.814.154.504.835.155.465.756.026.26
%BO26.4%32.6%40.8%47.6%51.9%56.2%60.4%64.4%68.3%71.9%75.2%78.3%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

TAYLOR (City)

Pop 16,267 PPA 1.48 %BO 18.5% Levy $18,668,522 Levy CAGR +10.8% E-Factor 22.65%
10,371 14,355 18,339 22,323 26,306 30,290 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 11,524 13,575 15,191 16,267 17,454 18,705 20,021 21,401 22,845 24,350 25,915 27,537 +1.7% +1.1% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% Population Trend: TAYLOR (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: TAYLOR had a 2020 population of 16,267 across 17.2 square miles, yielding a density of 1.48 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 27,537, a gain of 11,270 (+69.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.66% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 18.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), TAYLOR has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 31.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): TAYLOR levied $18,668,522 in property taxes on a market value base of $4,550,260,575. The taxable value of $3,601,283,763 reflects 20.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4111 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2704 for Maintenance & Operations (65.8%) and $0.1407 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (34.2%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,107 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 10.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 18.4% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 22.65% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): TAYLOR collected $12,563,267 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $745 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 67.3% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 46.0% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: TAYLOR demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
TAYLOR
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop11,52413,57515,19116,26717,45418,70520,02121,40122,84524,35025,91527,537
PPA1.051.231.381.481.591.701.821.942.082.212.352.50
%BO13.1%15.4%17.2%18.5%19.8%21.2%22.7%24.3%25.9%27.7%29.4%31.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%16,267$2,203,082,641$1,805,828,55382.0%$0.4368$0.097718.3%$0.5346$11,805,979$726$5,032,710$30942.6%
20214.7%16,385$2,505,787,934$2,030,897,38581.0%$0.4113$0.097719.2%$0.5091$12,741,987$778$5,797,281$35445.5%
20228.0%16,504$3,779,498,499$2,660,669,88170.4%$0.3457$0.097822.0%$0.4435$14,772,559$895$9,809,162$59466.4%
20234.1%16,623$4,087,675,301$3,124,832,95076.4%$0.2927$0.134131.4%$0.4268$16,938,502$1,019$28,725,317$1,728169.6%
20243.2%16,741$4,333,581,500$3,429,794,06079.1%$0.2704$0.140734.2%$0.4111$17,779,545$1,062$22,848,532$1,365128.5%
2025*2.9%16,860$4,550,260,575$3,601,283,76379.1%$0.2704$0.140734.2%$0.4111$18,668,522$1,107$12,563,267$74567.3%
CAGR4.2%0.7%18.4%17.4%-0.7%-9.1%7.6%13.4%-5.1%10.8%10.0%46.0%44.9%9.6%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.1%10.1%6.9%6.6%9.1%8.0%8.4%10.2%8.1%7.8%9.6%8.0%$5,032,710
20217.0%9.5%6.8%6.8%10.0%8.5%7.6%9.5%8.1%8.1%10.0%8.2%$5,797,281
20224.3%6.9%5.1%4.6%7.2%6.2%8.7%7.2%8.8%10.4%12.7%17.8%$9,809,162
20235.8%8.7%6.6%2.4%13.2%7.6%6.8%8.5%9.6%6.1%5.0%19.7%$28,725,317
202414.7%17.1%10.9%9.3%9.3%6.9%7.0%6.3%6.4%3.8%4.2%4.1%$22,848,532
20259.6%8.4%9.4%6.7%6.4%10.6%7.8%7.6%9.0%8.4%8.3%8.0%$12,563,267
MEDIAN %7.3%9.5%7.1%6.9%9.6%8.1%8.0%8.4%8.8%8.3%9.3%8.5%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

TAYLOR (County)

Pop 16,267 PPA 1.48 %BO 18.5% Levy $80,576,346 Levy CAGR +6.8% E-Factor 1.04%
10,371 14,355 18,339 22,323 26,306 30,290 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 11,524 13,575 15,191 16,267 17,454 18,705 20,021 21,401 22,845 24,350 25,915 27,537 +1.7% +1.1% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% Population Trend: TAYLOR (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: TAYLOR had a 2020 population of 16,267 across 17.2 square miles, yielding a density of 1.48 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 27,537, a gain of 11,270 (+69.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.66% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 18.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), TAYLOR has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 31.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): TAYLOR levied $80,576,346 in property taxes on a market value base of $21,472,994,998. The taxable value of $15,573,737,437 reflects 27.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5486 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5140 for Maintenance & Operations (93.7%) and $0.0346 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (6.3%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $4,779 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 9.9% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.04% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Strategic Outlook: TAYLOR demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
TAYLOR
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop11,52413,57515,19116,26717,45418,70520,02121,40122,84524,35025,91527,537
PPA1.051.231.381.481.591.701.821.942.082.212.352.50
%BO13.1%15.4%17.2%18.5%19.8%21.2%22.7%24.3%25.9%27.7%29.4%31.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%16,267$14,027,547,180~EstN/A$0.5702$0.04817.8%$0.6183$59,060,323$3,631
20214.7%16,385$14,906,454,621~EstN/A$0.5512$0.05589.2%$0.6070$61,359,052$3,745
20228.0%16,504$17,083,743,262~EstN/A$0.5201$0.04748.4%$0.5675$65,375,725$3,961
20234.1%16,623$19,187,982,704~EstN/A$0.4994$0.04037.5%$0.5397$70,607,958$4,248
20243.2%16,741$20,450,471,427$14,832,130,89272.5%$0.5140$0.03466.3%$0.5486$76,739,377$4,584
2025~2.9%16,860$21,472,994,998$15,573,737,43772.5%$0.5140$0.03466.3%$0.5486$80,576,346$4,779
CAGR4.2%0.7%9.9%-2.1%-6.4%-4.1%-2.4%6.8%6.0%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

TAYLOR COUNTY (City)

Pop 143,208 PPA 0.24 %BO 3.1% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
107,689 142,205 176,721 211,237 245,753 280,269 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 119,655 126,555 131,506 143,208 154,013 165,604 178,034 191,356 205,631 220,919 237,283 254,790 +0.6% +0.4% +0.9% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% Population Trend: TAYLOR COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: TAYLOR COUNTY had a 2020 population of 143,208 across 915.5 square miles, yielding a density of 0.24 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 254,790, a gain of 111,582 (+77.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.72% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 3.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), TAYLOR COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 5.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: TAYLOR COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
TAYLOR COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop119,655126,555131,506143,208154,013165,604178,034191,356205,631220,919237,283254,790
PPA0.200.220.220.240.260.280.300.330.350.380.400.43
%BO2.6%2.7%2.8%3.1%3.3%3.5%3.8%4.1%4.4%4.7%5.1%5.4%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

TEMPLE (City)

Pop 82,073 PPA 1.86 %BO 23.2% Levy $70,504,853 Levy CAGR +13.8% E-Factor 6.12%
43,919 81,766 119,614 157,462 195,310 233,158 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 48,799 54,514 66,102 82,073 95,321 109,849 125,522 142,133 159,414 177,044 194,676 211,962 +1.1% +1.9% +2.2% +1.5% +1.4% +1.3% +1.3% +1.2% +1.1% +1.0% +0.9% Population Trend: TEMPLE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: TEMPLE had a 2020 population of 82,073 across 69.0 square miles, yielding a density of 1.86 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 211,962, a gain of 129,889 (+158.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.19% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 23.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), TEMPLE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 60.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): TEMPLE levied $70,504,853 in property taxes on a market value base of $15,394,518,005. The taxable value of $11,253,767,473 reflects 26.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6265 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2976 for Maintenance & Operations (47.5%) and $0.3289 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (52.5%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $795 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 13.8% CAGR lagged market value growth of 15.6% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 6.12% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): TEMPLE collected $38,379,686 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $433 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 54.4% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 11.6% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: TEMPLE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
TEMPLE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop48,79954,51466,10282,07395,321109,849125,522142,133159,414177,044194,676211,962
PPA1.101.231.501.862.162.492.843.223.614.014.414.80
%BO13.8%15.4%18.7%23.2%27.0%31.1%35.5%40.2%45.1%50.1%55.1%60.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%82,073$8,209,756,809$6,135,940,49774.7%$0.3000$0.352554.0%$0.6525$40,037,012$488$24,773,832$30261.9%
20214.7%83,397$9,057,322,167$6,696,924,60673.9%$0.3030$0.337052.7%$0.6400$42,860,317$514$29,239,893$35168.2%
20228.0%84,722$11,573,344,588$8,208,899,92070.9%$0.2863$0.326753.3%$0.6130$50,320,557$594$33,418,026$39466.4%
20234.1%86,047$13,705,368,985$9,708,153,94270.8%$0.2670$0.346056.4%$0.6130$59,510,984$692$36,512,012$42461.4%
20243.2%87,372$14,661,445,719$10,717,873,78473.1%$0.2976$0.328952.5%$0.6265$67,147,479$769$38,405,573$44057.2%
2025*2.9%88,697$15,394,518,005$11,253,767,47373.1%$0.2976$0.328952.5%$0.6265$70,504,853$795$38,379,686$43354.4%
CAGR4.2%1.6%15.6%15.0%-0.4%-0.2%-1.4%-0.6%-0.8%13.8%12.0%11.6%9.9%-2.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.1%11.7%7.1%6.6%8.6%7.4%8.0%10.0%7.9%7.8%9.4%8.3%$24,773,832
20216.8%9.6%7.0%5.8%10.3%8.1%8.0%9.6%8.3%8.4%9.9%8.1%$29,239,893
20228.0%9.1%6.8%6.7%9.7%7.8%8.1%9.8%8.0%7.7%10.2%8.1%$33,418,026
20237.6%10.4%7.0%7.6%9.2%7.6%8.1%9.7%7.7%8.3%9.0%7.8%$36,512,012
20247.3%13.0%3.5%7.2%8.6%8.1%8.0%9.6%9.0%8.0%9.4%8.2%$38,405,573
20258.0%10.9%7.4%6.9%8.9%7.8%7.9%9.2%8.4%7.9%8.4%8.2%$38,379,686
MEDIAN %7.4%10.6%7.0%6.8%9.0%7.8%8.0%9.7%8.1%7.9%9.4%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

TERRELL (City)

Pop 17,465 PPA 1.39 %BO 17.4% Levy $28,663,400 Levy CAGR +10.6% E-Factor 4.20%
11,444 16,280 21,116 25,952 30,788 35,624 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 12,716 13,606 15,816 17,465 18,984 20,604 22,324 24,144 26,064 28,080 30,189 32,386 +0.7% +1.5% +1.0% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% Population Trend: TERRELL (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: TERRELL had a 2020 population of 17,465 across 19.6 square miles, yielding a density of 1.39 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 32,386, a gain of 14,921 (+85.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.77% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 17.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), TERRELL has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 32.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): TERRELL levied $28,663,400 in property taxes on a market value base of $5,930,472,365. The taxable value of $4,918,240,980 reflects 17.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5595 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4654 for Maintenance & Operations (83.2%) and $0.0940 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (16.8%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,573 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 10.6% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 10.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.20% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): TERRELL collected $19,766,761 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $1,085 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 69.0% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.5% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: TERRELL demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
TERRELL
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop12,71613,60615,81617,46518,98420,60422,32424,14426,06428,08030,18932,386
PPA1.011.081.261.391.511.641.781.922.072.242.402.58
%BO12.7%13.5%15.7%17.4%18.9%20.5%22.2%24.0%25.9%27.9%30.0%32.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%17,465$3,853,361,477$3,213,628,69983.4%$0.4621$0.102518.2%$0.5646$18,241,410$1,044$13,386,516$76673.4%
20214.7%17,616$3,956,356,690$3,358,268,69484.9%$0.4622$0.102418.1%$0.5646$19,172,409$1,088$16,769,812$95287.5%
20228.0%17,768$4,614,733,290$3,807,123,27582.5%$0.4699$0.097117.1%$0.5670$22,085,396$1,243$18,484,392$1,04083.7%
20234.1%17,920$5,320,065,792$4,349,785,55781.8%$0.4664$0.095417.0%$0.5618$25,264,720$1,410$18,572,948$1,03673.5%
20243.2%18,072$5,648,068,919$4,684,039,02982.9%$0.4654$0.094016.8%$0.5595$27,298,476$1,511$19,259,975$1,06670.6%
2025*2.9%18,224$5,930,472,365$4,918,240,98082.9%$0.4654$0.094016.8%$0.5595$28,663,400$1,573$19,766,761$1,08569.0%
CAGR4.2%0.9%10.0%9.9%-0.1%0.1%-1.7%-1.5%-0.2%10.6%9.7%9.5%8.6%-1.2%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.7%10.6%7.5%7.4%8.0%7.2%7.9%9.4%7.8%8.2%9.5%8.8%$13,386,516
20216.6%8.4%6.5%5.8%10.2%8.5%8.0%10.0%8.5%8.6%9.7%9.1%$16,769,812
20227.7%9.6%6.9%6.5%9.1%8.0%9.2%9.1%8.5%8.6%8.2%8.5%$18,484,392
20237.8%10.1%7.3%7.4%9.0%7.4%7.7%9.6%7.8%9.4%7.9%8.7%$18,572,948
20248.2%10.9%5.8%7.5%7.9%8.4%8.1%7.6%10.1%8.6%8.5%8.4%$19,259,975
20257.8%11.6%7.1%7.0%8.8%8.0%8.2%8.1%8.8%7.9%8.1%8.6%$19,766,761
MEDIAN %7.7%10.3%6.9%7.2%8.8%8.0%8.0%9.2%8.5%8.5%8.3%8.6%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

TERRELL (County)

Pop 17,465 PPA 1.39 %BO 17.4% Levy $1,897,164 Levy CAGR +2.9% E-Factor 0.00%
11,444 16,280 21,116 25,952 30,788 35,624 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 12,716 13,606 15,816 17,465 18,984 20,604 22,324 24,144 26,064 28,080 30,189 32,386 +0.7% +1.5% +1.0% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% Population Trend: TERRELL (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: TERRELL had a 2020 population of 17,465 across 19.6 square miles, yielding a density of 1.39 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 32,386, a gain of 14,921 (+85.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.77% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 17.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), TERRELL has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 32.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): TERRELL levied $1,897,164 in property taxes on a market value base of $715,570,271. The taxable value of $245,405,280 reflects 65.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.8000 per $100 valuation consists of $0.8000 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $104 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 2.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 3.3% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Strategic Outlook: TERRELL demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
TERRELL
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop12,71613,60615,81617,46518,98420,60422,32424,14426,06428,08030,18932,386
PPA1.011.081.261.391.511.641.781.922.072.242.402.58
%BO12.7%13.5%15.7%17.4%18.9%20.5%22.2%24.0%25.9%27.9%30.0%32.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%17,465$599,540,811~EstN/A$0.8000N/AN/A$0.8000$1,612,190$92
20214.7%17,616$607,396,554~EstN/A$0.8000N/AN/A$0.8000$1,671,394$95
20228.0%17,768$711,446,089~EstN/A$0.3856N/AN/A$0.3856$1,102,907$62
20234.1%17,920$702,313,654~EstN/A$0.7038N/AN/A$0.7038$1,940,740$108
20243.2%18,072$681,495,496$233,719,31434.3%$0.8000N/AN/A$0.8000$1,806,823$100
2025~2.9%18,224$715,570,271$245,405,28034.3%$0.8000N/AN/A$0.8000$1,897,164$104
CAGR4.2%0.9%3.3%2.9%2.0%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

TERRY COUNTY (City)

Pop 11,831 PPA 0.02 %BO 0.3% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
10,647 11,426 12,204 12,983 13,761 14,539 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 13,218 12,761 12,651 11,831 11,850 11,870 11,890 11,910 11,929 11,949 11,969 11,989 -0.4% -0.1% -0.7% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: TERRY COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: TERRY COUNTY had a 2020 population of 11,831 across 888.8 square miles, yielding a density of 0.02 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 11,989, a gain of 158 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), TERRY COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: TERRY COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
TERRY COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop13,21812,76112,65111,83111,85011,87011,89011,91011,92911,94911,96911,989
PPA0.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.02
%BO0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.5%11.9%6.0%6.1%11.4%6.6%8.2%11.7%6.5%7.3%9.5%6.3%$650,765
20215.8%8.8%5.6%5.8%12.7%5.9%6.7%10.4%7.4%9.4%13.2%8.3%$662,213
20228.2%7.6%6.2%5.9%9.7%7.4%7.7%14.9%8.0%9.0%8.2%7.2%$705,324
20237.7%10.0%6.0%6.1%7.4%7.6%6.9%12.9%7.6%10.5%10.3%7.1%$837,466
20247.7%9.6%6.6%6.9%10.7%7.7%7.7%9.2%7.9%7.4%10.5%8.0%$809,831
20256.5%9.2%6.3%5.8%11.9%7.5%6.3%9.2%8.4%7.2%13.8%7.9%$917,270
MEDIAN %7.7%9.4%6.1%6.0%11.1%7.4%7.3%11.0%7.8%8.2%10.4%7.5%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

TEXARKANA (City)

Pop 36,193 PPA 1.95 %BO 24.3% Levy $25,707,694 Levy CAGR +6.4% E-Factor 1.42%
30,285 32,489 34,693 36,897 39,101 41,305 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 33,651 34,782 36,411 36,193 36,360 36,529 36,697 36,867 37,037 37,207 37,378 37,550 +0.3% +0.5% -0.1% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: TEXARKANA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: TEXARKANA had a 2020 population of 36,193 across 29.0 square miles, yielding a density of 1.95 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 37,550, a gain of 1,357 (+3.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.05% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 24.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), TEXARKANA has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 25.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): TEXARKANA levied $25,707,694 in property taxes on a market value base of $5,415,396,331. The taxable value of $3,955,029,884 reflects 27.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6500 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4313 for Maintenance & Operations (66.3%) and $0.2187 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (33.7%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $709 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.4% CAGR lagged market value growth of 7.5% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.42% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): TEXARKANA collected $22,344,932 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $616 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 86.9% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.6% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: TEXARKANA demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
TEXARKANA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop33,65134,78236,41136,19336,36036,52936,69736,86737,03737,20737,37837,550
PPA1.811.871.961.951.961.971.971.981.992.002.012.02
%BO22.6%23.4%24.5%24.3%24.5%24.6%24.7%24.8%24.9%25.0%25.1%25.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%36,193$3,860,981,857$2,733,016,33270.8%$0.5623$0.137719.7%$0.7000$19,131,114$529$17,030,947$47189.0%
20214.7%36,209$3,975,250,770$2,801,264,11670.5%$0.5244$0.125619.3%$0.6500$18,208,217$503$19,852,819$548109.0%
20228.0%36,226$4,432,269,203$3,132,793,50070.7%$0.4678$0.182228.0%$0.6500$20,363,158$562$21,045,184$581103.3%
20234.1%36,243$4,857,683,497$3,475,835,01671.6%$0.4327$0.217333.4%$0.6500$22,592,928$623$21,846,103$60396.7%
20243.2%36,259$5,157,520,315$3,766,695,12873.0%$0.4313$0.218733.7%$0.6500$24,483,518$675$21,961,626$60689.7%
2025*2.9%36,276$5,415,396,331$3,955,029,88473.0%$0.4313$0.218733.7%$0.6500$25,707,694$709$22,344,932$61686.9%
CAGR4.2%0.0%7.5%8.4%0.6%-5.2%9.7%11.3%-1.5%6.4%6.3%6.6%6.5%-0.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%11.2%7.3%6.8%8.3%6.6%8.3%10.1%8.4%8.0%9.8%7.7%$17,030,947
20217.1%10.0%6.7%6.0%10.4%8.5%8.0%10.1%8.3%7.7%9.1%8.1%$19,852,819
20227.9%10.2%6.7%6.9%9.6%7.7%8.0%9.5%7.9%8.1%9.4%8.1%$21,045,184
20238.1%10.3%7.1%7.6%9.3%7.5%8.1%9.4%7.9%8.4%8.7%7.6%$21,846,103
20248.4%8.7%7.0%7.6%9.4%8.0%7.9%9.1%8.7%7.8%9.1%8.3%$21,961,626
20258.0%11.5%7.1%6.6%9.0%7.9%7.8%10.0%8.1%7.6%8.7%7.9%$22,344,932
MEDIAN %7.9%10.3%7.0%6.8%9.4%7.8%8.0%9.7%8.2%7.9%9.1%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

TEXAS CITY (City)

Pop 51,898 PPA 1.27 %BO 15.9% Levy $42,605,930 Levy CAGR +7.0% E-Factor 2.18%
36,890 52,737 68,584 84,432 100,279 116,127 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 40,989 41,521 45,099 51,898 57,158 62,831 68,923 75,438 82,372 89,718 97,459 105,570 +0.1% +0.8% +1.4% +1.0% +1.0% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.8% +0.8% Population Trend: TEXAS CITY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: TEXAS CITY had a 2020 population of 51,898 across 63.8 square miles, yielding a density of 1.27 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 105,570, a gain of 53,672 (+103.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.89% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 15.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), TEXAS CITY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 32.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): TEXAS CITY levied $42,605,930 in property taxes on a market value base of $12,378,396,106. The taxable value of $8,719,377,501 reflects 29.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4886 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4443 for Maintenance & Operations (90.9%) and $0.0444 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (9.1%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $781 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.0% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.5% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.18% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): TEXAS CITY collected $34,035,844 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $624 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 79.9% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.4% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: TEXAS CITY demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
TEXAS CITY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop40,98941,52145,09951,89857,15862,83168,92375,43882,37289,71897,459105,570
PPA1.001.021.101.271.401.541.691.852.022.202.392.59
%BO12.5%12.7%13.8%15.9%17.5%19.2%21.1%23.1%25.2%27.5%29.8%32.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%51,898$7,631,064,799$6,070,330,32779.5%$0.4465$0.063512.5%$0.5100$30,958,685$597$23,881,780$46077.1%
20214.7%52,424$8,228,178,387$6,280,024,23776.3%$0.4295$0.060512.3%$0.4900$30,772,119$587$23,780,139$45477.3%
20228.0%52,950$9,797,951,605$7,403,880,81375.6%$0.4401$0.049910.2%$0.4900$36,279,016$685$28,055,492$53077.3%
20234.1%53,476$10,802,023,794$7,728,818,01571.5%$0.3874$0.102720.9%$0.4900$37,871,208$708$30,052,563$56279.4%
20243.2%54,002$11,788,948,672$8,304,169,04970.4%$0.4443$0.04449.1%$0.4886$40,577,076$751$34,153,101$63284.2%
2025*2.9%54,528$12,378,396,106$8,719,377,50170.4%$0.4443$0.04449.1%$0.4886$42,605,930$781$34,035,844$62479.9%
CAGR4.2%1.0%11.5%8.1%-2.4%-0.1%-6.9%-6.1%-0.9%7.0%5.9%9.4%8.3%0.7%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.9%11.2%8.4%7.5%9.4%7.0%6.9%8.6%7.4%7.5%8.6%8.6%$23,881,780
20218.0%9.2%6.2%6.2%9.6%8.2%8.0%9.8%8.7%8.4%8.6%9.1%$23,780,139
20228.1%9.8%7.0%6.6%9.8%7.8%8.7%8.6%8.1%8.7%8.3%8.5%$28,055,492
20237.4%9.4%7.9%7.4%10.4%8.3%7.5%9.1%7.4%8.2%8.3%8.6%$30,052,563
20247.5%9.1%7.2%7.9%7.7%7.6%6.6%17.7%7.2%7.3%6.5%7.7%$34,153,101
20257.5%8.1%7.4%10.0%8.8%7.6%7.5%8.9%8.5%8.7%7.9%9.1%$34,035,844
MEDIAN %7.9%9.4%7.4%7.6%9.7%7.8%7.6%9.2%7.9%8.4%8.4%8.7%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

THE COLONY (City)

Pop 44,534 PPA 4.96 %BO 62.0% Levy $55,353,876 Levy CAGR +8.9% E-Factor 2.76%
20,161 30,370 40,579 50,788 60,997 71,206 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 22,402 26,531 36,328 44,534 48,070 51,359 54,359 57,046 59,414 61,471 63,236 64,733 +1.7% +3.2% +2.1% +0.8% +0.7% +0.6% +0.5% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% Population Trend: THE COLONY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: THE COLONY had a 2020 population of 44,534 across 14.0 square miles, yielding a density of 4.96 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 64,733, a gain of 20,199 (+45.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.47% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 62.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), THE COLONY is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 90.2%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): THE COLONY levied $55,353,876 in property taxes on a market value base of $9,978,776,762. The taxable value of $8,717,145,944 reflects 12.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6350 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4812 for Maintenance & Operations (75.8%) and $0.1538 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (24.2%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,195 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.76% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): THE COLONY collected $46,705,775 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $1,009 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 84.4% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.2% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: THE COLONY demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
THE COLONY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop22,40226,53136,32844,53448,07051,35954,35957,04659,41461,47163,23664,733
PPA2.502.964.054.965.365.726.066.366.626.857.057.21
%BO31.2%37.0%50.6%62.0%67.0%71.5%75.7%79.5%82.8%85.6%88.1%90.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%44,534$6,255,942,922$5,725,557,55791.5%$0.4950$0.160024.4%$0.6550$37,502,402$842$34,469,111$77491.9%
20214.7%44,887$6,719,195,975$6,094,331,88290.7%$0.4900$0.160024.6%$0.6500$39,613,157$883$43,659,860$973110.2%
20228.0%45,241$7,998,632,147$6,920,267,16486.5%$0.5425$0.105016.2%$0.6475$44,808,730$990$48,659,229$1,076108.6%
20234.1%45,594$9,326,440,233$7,884,149,13584.5%$0.5316$0.110917.3%$0.6425$50,655,658$1,111$48,177,359$1,05795.1%
20243.2%45,948$9,503,596,916$8,302,043,75687.4%$0.4812$0.153824.2%$0.6350$52,717,977$1,147$47,246,413$1,02889.6%
2025*2.9%46,302$9,978,776,762$8,717,145,94487.4%$0.4812$0.153824.2%$0.6350$55,353,876$1,195$46,705,775$1,00984.4%
CAGR4.2%0.8%11.0%9.7%-0.9%-0.6%-0.8%-0.2%-0.6%8.9%8.0%8.2%7.4%-1.7%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20205.5%9.4%9.7%7.2%5.0%8.9%5.6%12.4%6.9%9.3%10.3%9.9%$34,469,111
20217.6%9.2%7.5%5.8%8.9%8.1%8.1%11.3%6.9%8.3%9.2%9.1%$43,659,860
20228.6%11.3%7.0%4.7%10.4%6.2%7.7%11.2%6.8%8.4%9.0%8.6%$48,659,229
20238.7%10.1%7.7%7.2%8.5%7.8%8.1%8.5%8.6%8.3%8.5%8.1%$48,177,359
20248.5%9.9%7.5%7.0%8.3%7.9%7.7%8.6%9.4%8.3%8.6%8.2%$47,246,413
20258.4%11.8%8.0%7.2%8.8%8.3%8.4%8.8%9.3%6.9%7.3%6.9%$46,705,775
MEDIAN %8.4%9.9%7.5%7.0%8.6%7.9%7.8%9.9%7.7%8.2%8.7%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

THROCKMORTON (County)

Pop 727 PPA 0.68 %BO 8.6% Levy $2,170,285 Levy CAGR +1.0% E-Factor 0.00%
654 748 843 938 1,032 1,127 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 1,025 905 828 727 728 729 730 731 733 734 735 736 -1.2% -0.9% -1.3% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: THROCKMORTON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: THROCKMORTON had a 2020 population of 727 across 1.7 square miles, yielding a density of 0.68 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 736, a gain of 9 (+1.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 8.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), THROCKMORTON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 8.7%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): THROCKMORTON levied $2,170,285 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,237,372,004. The taxable value of $242,584,845 reflects 89.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.8900 per $100 valuation consists of $0.7600 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $2,985 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 1.0% CAGR lagged market value growth of 22.1% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Strategic Outlook: THROCKMORTON demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
THROCKMORTON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop1,025905828727728729730731733734735736
PPA0.960.850.780.680.690.690.690.690.690.690.690.69
%BO12.1%10.6%9.7%8.6%8.6%8.6%8.6%8.6%8.6%8.6%8.7%8.7%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%727$960,145,352~EstN/A$0.9062N/AN/A$0.9062$1,984,635$2,730
20214.7%727$944,850,132~EstN/A$0.9966N/AN/A$0.9966$1,830,103$2,517
20228.0%727$1,778,167,093~EstN/A$0.8780N/AN/A$0.8780$1,902,565$2,617
20234.1%727$2,194,092,562~EstN/A$0.8700N/AN/A$0.8700$1,951,453$2,684
20243.2%727$2,130,830,480$231,033,18610.8%$0.7600N/AN/A$0.8900$2,066,938$2,843
2025~2.9%727$2,237,372,004$242,584,84510.8%$0.7600N/AN/A$0.8900$2,170,285$2,985
CAGR4.2%22.1%-3.5%-0.4%1.0%1.0%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

TITUS COUNTY (City)

Pop 31,247 PPA 0.12 %BO 1.5% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
21,608 25,009 28,411 31,813 35,214 38,616 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 24,009 28,118 32,334 31,247 31,705 32,170 32,642 33,121 33,607 34,099 34,599 35,106 +1.6% +1.4% -0.3% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: TITUS COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: TITUS COUNTY had a 2020 population of 31,247 across 406.1 square miles, yielding a density of 0.12 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 35,106, a gain of 3,859 (+12.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.15% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), TITUS COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 1.7%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: TITUS COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
TITUS COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop24,00928,11832,33431,24731,70532,17032,64233,12133,60734,09934,59935,106
PPA0.090.110.120.120.120.120.130.130.130.130.130.14
%BO1.2%1.4%1.6%1.5%1.5%1.5%1.6%1.6%1.6%1.6%1.7%1.7%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%9.4%7.3%7.5%8.3%8.2%8.5%9.4%8.1%8.3%9.6%8.1%$2,497,459
20217.5%8.8%7.0%7.1%9.7%8.9%8.2%9.3%8.3%7.8%9.3%8.1%$2,875,126
20228.0%9.5%7.2%7.1%9.1%8.2%8.4%9.2%8.1%8.3%9.0%7.9%$3,149,282
20238.1%9.1%7.1%7.4%8.8%7.8%9.4%9.8%8.2%8.4%8.1%8.0%$3,378,612
20248.1%8.1%7.3%7.8%9.3%8.3%8.3%9.0%8.6%7.8%8.7%8.7%$3,225,372
20257.4%11.1%7.2%6.7%8.5%8.2%7.8%9.0%8.4%7.9%9.2%8.5%$3,292,526
MEDIAN %7.8%9.2%7.2%7.3%9.0%8.2%8.4%9.3%8.3%8.1%9.1%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

TOM GREEN COUNTY (City)

Pop 120,003 PPA 0.12 %BO 1.5% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
88,612 119,287 149,962 180,636 211,311 241,986 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 98,458 104,010 110,224 120,003 129,499 139,732 150,759 162,638 175,431 189,205 204,033 219,988 +0.6% +0.6% +0.9% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% Population Trend: TOM GREEN COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: TOM GREEN COUNTY had a 2020 population of 120,003 across 1522.0 square miles, yielding a density of 0.12 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 219,988, a gain of 99,985 (+83.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.76% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), TOM GREEN COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 2.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: TOM GREEN COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
TOM GREEN COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop98,458104,010110,224120,003129,499139,732150,759162,638175,431189,205204,033219,988
PPA0.100.110.110.120.130.140.150.170.180.190.210.23
%BO1.3%1.3%1.4%1.5%1.7%1.8%1.9%2.1%2.3%2.4%2.6%2.8%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.0%11.3%7.5%7.8%8.9%7.2%7.6%9.1%7.6%8.7%8.8%7.6%$10,755,910
20217.1%9.9%7.4%6.3%10.1%8.9%8.3%9.2%8.0%7.8%9.1%7.9%$11,243,501
20227.8%8.8%6.9%6.9%9.1%7.7%7.7%9.2%9.8%9.0%8.8%8.2%$12,286,271
20237.8%9.9%7.3%7.0%9.0%7.4%8.1%9.3%8.0%8.4%8.3%9.6%$13,308,349
20248.1%9.4%7.5%8.0%9.3%8.0%7.7%8.6%8.5%7.9%8.7%8.3%$13,012,188
20257.8%10.8%7.5%7.2%8.9%8.0%8.0%8.8%7.9%7.9%8.4%8.7%$13,370,085
MEDIAN %7.9%10.0%7.5%7.1%9.1%7.9%7.9%9.2%8.1%8.2%8.8%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

TOMBALL (City)

Pop 12,341 PPA 1.64 %BO 20.5% Levy $13,009,845 Levy CAGR +13.6% E-Factor 5.48%
5,716 11,261 16,806 22,352 27,897 33,442 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 6,352 9,089 10,753 12,341 14,110 16,049 18,150 20,401 22,780 25,262 27,814 30,402 +3.6% +1.7% +1.4% +1.3% +1.3% +1.2% +1.2% +1.1% +1.0% +1.0% +0.9% Population Trend: TOMBALL (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: TOMBALL had a 2020 population of 12,341 across 11.8 square miles, yielding a density of 1.64 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 30,402, a gain of 18,061 (+146.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.13% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 20.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), TOMBALL has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 50.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): TOMBALL levied $13,009,845 in property taxes on a market value base of $4,639,968,904. The taxable value of $3,867,776,277 reflects 16.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3364 per $100 valuation consists of $0.1907 for Maintenance & Operations (56.7%) and $0.1457 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (43.3%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $984 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 13.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 13.8% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 5.48% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): TOMBALL collected $24,572,569 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $1,858 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 188.9% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 10.1% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: TOMBALL demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
TOMBALL
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop6,3529,08910,75312,34114,11016,04918,15020,40122,78025,26227,81430,402
PPA0.841.211.431.641.872.132.412.713.023.353.694.04
%BO10.5%15.1%17.8%20.5%23.4%26.6%30.1%33.9%37.8%41.9%46.2%50.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%12,341$2,630,558,669$2,200,133,32583.6%$0.1643$0.173651.4%$0.3379$7,433,414$602$16,085,731$1,303216.4%
20214.7%12,517$3,037,495,397$2,313,590,60676.2%$0.1776$0.155846.7%$0.3333$7,712,100$616$18,106,092$1,447234.8%
20228.0%12,694$3,564,124,761$2,657,472,20774.6%$0.1804$0.106937.2%$0.2872$7,633,536$601$21,545,451$1,697282.2%
20234.1%12,871$4,027,138,596$3,318,639,84982.4%$0.1868$0.106536.3%$0.2933$9,734,234$756$22,431,180$1,743230.4%
20243.2%13,048$4,419,018,004$3,683,596,45483.4%$0.1907$0.145743.3%$0.3364$12,390,329$950$23,672,934$1,814191.1%
2025*2.9%13,225$4,639,968,904$3,867,776,27783.4%$0.1907$0.145743.3%$0.3364$13,009,845$984$24,572,569$1,858188.9%
CAGR4.2%1.4%13.8%13.8%-0.1%3.0%-3.4%-3.4%-0.1%13.6%12.1%10.1%8.6%-2.7%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.3%11.0%6.8%7.4%8.5%7.0%8.3%8.9%8.6%7.8%9.3%8.1%$16,085,731
20217.2%9.7%6.7%6.2%9.9%8.3%8.7%9.7%6.4%7.9%9.4%10.1%$18,106,092
20227.4%9.4%7.9%6.8%8.9%7.8%8.2%10.0%7.9%8.0%9.3%8.5%$21,545,451
20237.9%9.6%6.7%7.6%8.4%7.3%7.9%9.0%8.1%10.0%8.9%8.7%$22,431,180
20248.3%9.8%6.9%7.2%8.6%7.9%8.0%8.9%8.6%7.9%8.8%8.9%$23,672,934
20258.1%11.6%7.3%6.8%8.6%8.1%8.2%8.5%7.8%7.8%8.4%8.7%$24,572,569
MEDIAN %8.1%9.9%6.9%7.1%8.7%8.0%8.3%9.1%8.0%8.0%9.2%8.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

TRAVIS COUNTY (City)

Pop 1,290,188 PPA 2.03 %BO 25.4% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
518,766 1,210,790 1,902,814 2,594,838 3,286,862 3,978,887 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 576,407 812,280 1,024,266 1,290,188 1,541,913 1,819,418 2,117,270 2,427,904 2,742,285 3,050,915 3,344,950 3,617,170 +3.5% +2.3% +2.3% +1.8% +1.7% +1.5% +1.4% +1.2% +1.1% +0.9% +0.8% Population Trend: TRAVIS COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: TRAVIS COUNTY had a 2020 population of 1,290,188 across 993.5 square miles, yielding a density of 2.03 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 3,617,170, a gain of 2,326,982 (+180.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.30% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 25.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), TRAVIS COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 71.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: TRAVIS COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
TRAVIS COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop576,407812,2801,024,2661,290,1881,541,9131,819,4182,117,2702,427,9042,742,2853,050,9153,344,9503,617,170
PPA0.911.281.612.032.432.863.333.824.314.805.265.69
%BO11.3%16.0%20.1%25.4%30.3%35.8%41.6%47.7%53.9%60.0%65.8%71.1%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

TRINITY (County)

Pop 2,343 PPA 0.97 %BO 12.1% Levy $8,283,306 Levy CAGR +8.2% E-Factor 3.14%
2,108 2,285 2,462 2,639 2,816 2,993 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 2,646 2,721 2,697 2,343 2,346 2,350 2,354 2,358 2,362 2,366 2,370 2,374 +0.3% -0.1% -1.4% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: TRINITY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: TRINITY had a 2020 population of 2,343 across 3.8 square miles, yielding a density of 0.97 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 2,374, a gain of 31 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 12.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), TRINITY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 12.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): TRINITY levied $8,283,306 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,641,062,329. The taxable value of $1,581,324,533 reflects 56.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5390 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5390 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $3,534 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 9.6% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.14% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: TRINITY demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
TRINITY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop2,6462,7212,6972,3432,3462,3502,3542,3582,3622,3662,3702,374
PPA1.091.121.110.970.970.970.970.970.970.980.980.98
%BO13.6%14.0%13.9%12.1%12.1%12.1%12.1%12.2%12.2%12.2%12.2%12.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%2,343$2,405,853,452~EstN/A$0.5846N/AN/A$0.5846$5,766,233$2,461
20214.7%2,343$2,554,206,012~EstN/A$0.5846N/AN/A$0.5846$6,365,979$2,717
20228.0%2,343$2,821,976,275~EstN/A$0.5700N/AN/A$0.5700$6,858,107$2,927
20234.1%2,343$3,311,308,451~EstN/A$0.5390N/AN/A$0.5390$7,304,647$3,118
20243.2%2,344$3,467,678,409$1,506,023,36543.4%$0.5390N/AN/A$0.5390$7,888,863$3,366
2025~2.9%2,344$3,641,062,329$1,581,324,53343.4%$0.5390N/AN/A$0.5390$8,283,306$3,534
CAGR4.2%0.0%9.6%-1.6%-1.6%8.2%8.1%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

TRINITY COUNTY (City)

Pop 13,602 PPA 0.03 %BO 0.4% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
10,300 11,449 12,597 13,746 14,894 16,043 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 11,445 13,779 14,585 13,602 13,624 13,647 13,670 13,692 13,715 13,738 13,761 13,784 +1.9% +0.6% -0.7% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: TRINITY COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: TRINITY COUNTY had a 2020 population of 13,602 across 693.8 square miles, yielding a density of 0.03 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 13,784, a gain of 182 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), TRINITY COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: TRINITY COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
TRINITY COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop11,44513,77914,58513,60213,62413,64713,67013,69213,71513,73813,76113,784
PPA0.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.03
%BO0.3%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

TROPHY CLUB (City)

Pop 13,688 PPA 5.41 %BO 67.7% Levy $14,114,205 Levy CAGR +7.1% E-Factor 2.28%
3,660 7,337 11,013 14,690 18,367 22,044 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 4,067 6,350 8,024 13,688 15,652 17,162 18,238 18,964 19,436 19,736 19,924 20,040 +4.6% +2.4% +5.5% +1.3% +0.9% +0.6% +0.4% +0.2% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: TROPHY CLUB (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: TROPHY CLUB had a 2020 population of 13,688 across 4.0 square miles, yielding a density of 5.41 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 20,040, a gain of 6,352 (+46.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.48% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 67.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), TROPHY CLUB is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 99.1%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): TROPHY CLUB levied $14,114,205 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,931,963,259. The taxable value of $3,397,174,271 reflects 13.6% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4155 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3110 for Maintenance & Operations (74.9%) and $0.1044 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (25.1%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $962 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.28% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): TROPHY CLUB collected $3,352,846 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.75% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $229 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 23.8% of property tax levy, offering modest supplemental revenue. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 10.2% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: TROPHY CLUB demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
TROPHY CLUB
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop4,0676,3508,02413,68815,65217,16218,23818,96419,43619,73619,92420,040
PPA1.612.513.175.416.196.797.217.507.697.817.887.93
%BO20.1%31.4%39.7%67.7%77.4%84.9%90.2%93.8%96.1%97.6%98.5%99.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%13,688$2,492,832,507$2,285,683,53691.7%$0.3364$0.110024.6%$0.4464$10,204,252$745$2,049,415$15020.1%
20214.7%13,884$2,629,381,915$2,405,985,36591.5%$0.3350$0.110024.7%$0.4450$10,706,634$771$2,329,798$16821.8%
20228.0%14,080$3,138,660,727$2,703,281,81486.1%$0.3350$0.099823.0%$0.4348$11,753,843$835$2,589,800$18422.0%
20234.1%14,277$3,697,072,303$3,044,506,73582.3%$0.3157$0.099824.0%$0.4155$12,648,981$886$2,649,011$18620.9%
20243.2%14,473$3,744,726,913$3,235,404,06886.4%$0.3110$0.104425.1%$0.4155$13,442,100$929$3,026,109$20922.5%
2025*2.9%14,670$3,931,963,259$3,397,174,27186.4%$0.3110$0.104425.1%$0.4155$14,114,205$962$3,352,846$22923.8%
CAGR4.2%1.4%10.7%9.1%-1.2%-1.6%-1.0%0.4%-1.4%7.1%5.6%10.2%8.7%3.4%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.9%12.7%6.8%6.5%7.9%7.0%8.0%10.1%7.6%7.8%10.1%8.6%$2,049,415
20218.1%10.0%6.3%6.8%8.6%8.0%8.7%9.5%7.2%8.5%9.7%8.6%$2,329,798
20228.6%10.6%7.5%6.9%8.9%7.9%7.8%8.8%7.8%8.3%8.8%8.0%$2,589,800
20238.4%10.2%6.9%7.4%8.6%7.4%10.3%8.1%8.1%8.0%8.7%7.9%$2,649,011
20248.9%9.9%6.5%8.1%10.0%9.0%7.9%8.6%8.0%6.4%8.4%8.2%$3,026,109
20258.1%10.8%7.2%6.9%8.5%7.9%8.7%8.2%8.0%7.7%9.2%8.7%$3,352,846
MEDIAN %8.4%10.5%6.9%7.0%8.7%8.0%8.4%8.8%8.0%8.0%9.0%8.5%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

TYLER (City)

Pop 105,995 PPA 3.07 %BO 38.4% Levy $33,769,226 Levy CAGR +7.2% E-Factor 1.70%
68,171 89,684 111,197 132,710 154,223 175,736 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 75,746 83,650 96,900 105,995 112,514 119,153 125,883 132,672 139,487 146,296 153,064 159,760 +1.0% +1.5% +0.9% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% Population Trend: TYLER (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: TYLER had a 2020 population of 105,995 across 53.9 square miles, yielding a density of 3.07 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 159,760, a gain of 53,765 (+50.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.51% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 38.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), TYLER has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 57.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): TYLER levied $33,769,226 in property taxes on a market value base of $19,325,197,942. The taxable value of $14,065,529,523 reflects 27.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.2401 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2401 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $309 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.3% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.70% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): TYLER collected $63,264,919 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $579 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 187.3% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.4% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: TYLER demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
TYLER
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop75,74683,65096,900105,995112,514119,153125,883132,672139,487146,296153,064159,760
PPA2.202.432.813.073.263.463.653.854.054.244.444.63
%BO27.5%30.3%35.1%38.4%40.8%43.2%45.6%48.1%50.6%53.1%55.5%57.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%105,995$12,415,761,177$9,408,102,12375.8%$0.2590N/AN/A$0.2590$24,366,984$230$45,976,113$434188.7%
20214.7%106,646$12,851,279,073$9,832,700,07676.5%$0.2699N/AN/A$0.2699$26,538,458$249$53,216,955$499200.5%
20228.0%107,298$14,464,479,589$10,947,917,34475.7%$0.2619N/AN/A$0.2619$28,667,122$267$58,253,320$543203.2%
20234.1%107,950$16,531,522,942$12,188,066,73473.7%$0.2479N/AN/A$0.2479$30,216,655$280$61,117,731$566202.3%
20243.2%108,602$18,404,950,421$13,395,742,40372.8%$0.2401N/AN/A$0.2401$32,161,168$296$61,227,563$564190.4%
2025*2.9%109,254$19,325,197,942$14,065,529,52372.8%$0.2401N/AN/A$0.2401$33,769,226$309$63,264,919$579187.3%
CAGR4.2%0.6%10.3%9.2%-0.8%-1.5%-1.5%7.2%6.5%7.4%6.8%-0.1%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.4%10.8%7.3%7.2%8.1%6.4%9.3%9.7%8.0%8.0%9.5%8.3%$45,976,113
20216.9%9.7%6.9%5.9%10.0%8.5%8.2%9.7%8.4%8.1%9.3%8.3%$53,216,955
20228.6%10.4%7.2%7.1%9.3%7.8%7.8%7.8%8.1%8.7%8.9%8.3%$58,253,320
20238.1%10.3%7.8%7.6%9.2%7.8%8.1%8.7%8.4%8.2%8.5%7.5%$61,117,731
20247.8%9.5%7.2%7.5%8.8%8.1%8.0%8.8%8.4%8.0%9.8%8.3%$61,227,563
20257.8%10.9%7.3%6.7%8.7%7.8%8.3%8.7%9.0%8.0%8.6%8.1%$63,264,919
MEDIAN %7.8%10.3%7.2%7.1%9.0%7.8%8.1%8.7%8.4%8.0%9.1%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

TYLER (County)

Pop 105,995 PPA 3.07 %BO 38.4% Levy $15,866,671 Levy CAGR +7.5% E-Factor 1.87%
68,171 89,684 111,197 132,710 154,223 175,736 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 75,746 83,650 96,900 105,995 112,514 119,153 125,883 132,672 139,487 146,296 153,064 159,760 +1.0% +1.5% +0.9% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% Population Trend: TYLER (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: TYLER had a 2020 population of 105,995 across 53.9 square miles, yielding a density of 3.07 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 159,760, a gain of 53,765 (+50.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.51% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 38.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), TYLER has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 57.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): TYLER levied $15,866,671 in property taxes on a market value base of $4,603,213,106. The taxable value of $1,818,276,230 reflects 60.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.8701 per $100 valuation consists of $0.8701 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $145 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.9% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.87% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Strategic Outlook: TYLER demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
TYLER
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop75,74683,65096,900105,995112,514119,153125,883132,672139,487146,296153,064159,760
PPA2.202.432.813.073.263.463.653.854.054.244.444.63
%BO27.5%30.3%35.1%38.4%40.8%43.2%45.6%48.1%50.6%53.1%55.5%57.9%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%105,995$2,797,139,982~EstN/A$0.9329N/AN/A$0.9329$11,322,188$107
20214.7%106,646$3,213,355,141~EstN/A$0.8629N/AN/A$0.8629$11,407,411$107
20228.0%107,298$3,825,469,177~EstN/A$0.7797N/AN/A$0.7797$13,447,232$125
20234.1%107,950$4,386,468,637~EstN/A$0.8057N/AN/A$0.8057$14,211,443$132
20243.2%108,602$4,384,012,482$1,731,691,64839.5%$0.8701N/AN/A$0.8701$15,111,115$139
2025~2.9%109,254$4,603,213,106$1,818,276,23039.5%$0.8701N/AN/A$0.8701$15,866,671$145
CAGR4.2%0.6%11.9%-1.4%-1.4%7.5%6.8%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

TYLER COUNTY (City)

Pop 19,798 PPA 0.03 %BO 0.4% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
14,981 16,773 18,565 20,358 22,150 23,942 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 16,646 20,871 21,766 19,798 19,831 19,864 19,897 19,930 19,963 19,996 20,030 20,063 +2.3% +0.4% -0.9% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: TYLER COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: TYLER COUNTY had a 2020 population of 19,798 across 924.4 square miles, yielding a density of 0.03 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 20,063, a gain of 265 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), TYLER COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: TYLER COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
TYLER COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop16,64620,87121,76619,79819,83119,86419,89719,93019,96319,99620,03020,063
PPA0.030.040.040.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.03
%BO0.4%0.4%0.5%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.4%10.5%7.4%6.8%8.3%8.6%8.1%9.8%7.7%7.3%9.8%8.3%$760,512
20217.3%9.4%6.1%5.3%10.5%7.7%8.0%9.4%7.8%10.3%9.5%8.6%$834,679
20227.4%9.4%6.6%5.8%8.9%6.9%7.6%9.4%8.9%9.2%8.7%11.3%$1,132,685
20238.5%10.6%8.0%7.8%9.5%7.8%8.1%9.6%7.3%7.6%8.2%7.0%$1,216,003
20249.0%10.7%7.7%6.9%10.4%8.0%7.4%8.8%7.6%7.9%8.3%7.3%$1,061,221
20258.6%10.3%6.1%9.6%10.8%9.1%7.9%7.7%7.7%6.9%8.3%7.0%$1,100,902
MEDIAN %8.0%10.5%7.1%6.9%10.0%8.0%8.0%9.5%7.8%7.8%8.6%7.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

UNIVERSAL CITY (City)

Pop 19,720 PPA 5.52 %BO 69.0% Levy $11,875,198 Levy CAGR +5.5% E-Factor 1.62%
12,045 14,790 17,535 20,280 23,024 25,769 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 13,384 14,849 18,530 19,720 20,256 20,773 21,269 21,744 22,198 22,629 23,039 23,427 +1.0% +2.2% +0.6% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: UNIVERSAL CITY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: UNIVERSAL CITY had a 2020 population of 19,720 across 5.6 square miles, yielding a density of 5.52 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 23,427, a gain of 3,707 (+18.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.22% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 69.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), UNIVERSAL CITY is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 82.0%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): UNIVERSAL CITY levied $11,875,198 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,643,566,471. The taxable value of $2,308,634,223 reflects 12.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5144 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4369 for Maintenance & Operations (84.9%) and $0.0775 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (15.1%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $594 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 9.4% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.62% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): UNIVERSAL CITY collected $7,797,870 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $390 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 65.7% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.2% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: UNIVERSAL CITY demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
UNIVERSAL CITY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop13,38414,84918,53019,72020,25620,77321,26921,74422,19822,62923,03923,427
PPA3.754.165.195.525.675.825.966.096.226.346.456.56
%BO46.8%52.0%64.9%69.0%70.9%72.7%74.4%76.1%77.7%79.2%80.6%82.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%19,720$1,756,671,264$1,557,552,89388.7%$0.4752$0.109818.8%$0.5851$9,112,650$462$5,437,060$27659.7%
20214.7%19,773$1,827,378,042$1,621,932,68188.8%$0.4889$0.100517.1%$0.5894$9,559,638$483$6,058,861$30663.4%
20228.0%19,827$2,244,598,493$1,890,345,64384.2%$0.4284$0.111620.7%$0.5400$10,207,866$515$6,763,939$34166.3%
20234.1%19,880$2,498,960,605$2,132,417,15585.3%$0.4309$0.086616.7%$0.5175$11,035,237$555$7,068,969$35664.1%
20243.2%19,934$2,517,682,353$2,198,699,26087.3%$0.4369$0.077515.1%$0.5144$11,309,712$567$7,462,383$37466.0%
2025*2.9%19,988$2,643,566,471$2,308,634,22387.3%$0.4369$0.077515.1%$0.5144$11,875,198$594$7,797,870$39065.7%
CAGR4.2%0.3%9.4%9.0%-0.3%-1.7%-6.7%-4.3%-2.5%5.5%5.3%8.2%7.9%1.9%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.6%10.1%6.9%6.9%8.8%7.9%8.8%9.4%8.2%8.1%9.2%8.2%$5,437,060
20217.6%9.6%7.1%6.6%9.8%8.2%8.1%9.2%8.3%8.0%10.2%7.3%$6,058,861
20227.9%9.9%7.3%6.9%9.3%8.0%8.1%9.4%8.1%8.2%8.6%8.4%$6,763,939
20238.0%9.6%7.2%7.2%9.1%7.8%8.2%8.9%8.3%8.6%8.6%8.3%$7,068,969
20247.7%9.3%7.5%7.6%9.4%8.2%8.4%8.8%7.9%7.8%8.7%8.8%$7,462,383
20257.5%10.0%7.0%7.0%8.9%8.3%7.8%8.8%9.1%8.3%8.7%8.6%$7,797,870
MEDIAN %7.7%9.8%7.2%7.0%9.2%8.1%8.2%9.1%8.3%8.2%8.8%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

UNIVERSITY PARK (City)

Pop 25,278 PPA 10.70 %BO 100.0% Levy $28,269,664 Levy CAGR +4.6% E-Factor 3.50%
20,094 21,636 23,178 24,721 26,263 27,805 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 22,327 23,324 23,068 25,278 25,278 25,278 25,278 25,278 25,278 25,278 25,278 25,278 +0.4% -0.1% +0.9% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: UNIVERSITY PARK (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: UNIVERSITY PARK had a 2020 population of 25,278 across 3.7 square miles, yielding a density of 10.70 persons per acre (PPA). This high density suggests an urbanized area with limited greenfield expansion potential. Build-Out Analysis: At 100.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), UNIVERSITY PARK is approaching full build-out. Projections show reaching theoretical capacity (100% build-out) before 2100, suggesting eventual need for annexation, densification, or growth boundary adjustments.
Property Tax Overview (2025): UNIVERSITY PARK levied $28,269,664 in property taxes on a market value base of $21,712,483,958. The taxable value of $12,293,082,719 reflects 43.4% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.2300 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2300 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,118 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 4.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.9% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.50% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): UNIVERSITY PARK collected $7,331,452 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $290 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 25.9% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 12.5% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: UNIVERSITY PARK demonstrates limited greenfield options, strong economic elasticity. Long-term projections indicate eventual capacity constraints requiring proactive planning for annexation, vertical development, or managed growth boundaries. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
UNIVERSITY PARK
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop22,32723,32423,06825,27825,27825,27825,27825,27825,27825,27825,27825,278
PPA9.459.889.7710.7010.7010.7010.7010.7010.7010.7010.7010.70
%BO100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%25,278$13,186,069,825$8,510,988,05964.5%$0.2647N/AN/A$0.2647$22,532,841$891$4,459,673$17619.8%
20214.7%25,278$13,403,947,850$8,604,140,69164.2%$0.2644N/AN/A$0.2644$22,748,315$900$5,786,399$22925.4%
20228.0%25,278$15,386,922,600$9,609,760,33062.5%$0.2460N/AN/A$0.2460$23,637,608$935$6,825,335$27028.9%
20234.1%25,278$18,175,838,750$10,695,003,25958.8%$0.2362N/AN/A$0.2362$25,264,378$999$6,726,381$26626.6%
20243.2%25,278$20,678,556,150$11,707,697,82856.6%$0.2300N/AN/A$0.2300$26,923,490$1,065$7,132,505$28226.5%
2025*2.9%25,278$21,712,483,958$12,293,082,71956.6%$0.2300N/AN/A$0.2300$28,269,664$1,118$7,331,452$29025.9%
CAGR4.2%11.9%8.3%-2.6%-2.8%-2.8%4.6%4.6%12.5%12.5%5.6%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.1%13.6%8.1%6.9%7.8%6.2%6.7%8.5%6.9%7.5%11.2%8.4%$4,459,673
20216.4%10.5%5.5%5.7%8.7%7.0%7.4%8.4%6.9%9.7%12.8%10.9%$5,786,399
202210.3%10.6%6.5%7.7%8.7%7.2%7.7%8.4%6.8%7.4%10.3%8.2%$6,825,335
20238.5%12.3%7.1%7.3%9.5%7.6%6.7%7.1%7.0%8.4%9.9%8.7%$6,726,381
20248.5%11.0%7.0%7.7%8.9%8.3%7.7%8.1%7.5%6.9%9.6%8.8%$7,132,505
20257.4%10.5%7.0%6.6%9.2%7.8%7.9%8.7%7.3%7.5%10.6%9.6%$7,331,452
MEDIAN %8.4%10.9%7.1%7.1%8.9%7.5%7.6%8.5%7.0%7.6%10.6%8.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

UPSHUR COUNTY (City)

Pop 40,892 PPA 0.11 %BO 1.4% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
28,233 36,898 45,563 54,228 62,893 71,558 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 31,370 35,291 39,309 40,892 43,343 45,940 48,690 51,601 54,683 57,945 61,399 65,053 +1.2% +1.1% +0.4% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% Population Trend: UPSHUR COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: UPSHUR COUNTY had a 2020 population of 40,892 across 583.0 square miles, yielding a density of 0.11 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 65,053, a gain of 24,161 (+59.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.58% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), UPSHUR COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 2.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: UPSHUR COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
UPSHUR COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop31,37035,29139,30940,89243,34345,94048,69051,60154,68357,94561,39965,053
PPA0.080.090.110.110.120.120.130.140.150.160.160.17
%BO1.1%1.2%1.3%1.4%1.5%1.5%1.6%1.7%1.8%1.9%2.1%2.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.5%9.5%7.1%6.3%11.8%8.7%8.9%9.4%7.8%7.5%8.6%7.7%$1,432,232
20217.2%9.0%7.1%6.5%9.9%8.8%8.2%10.0%8.1%7.7%9.0%8.5%$1,549,184
20227.5%9.4%7.9%6.5%8.2%7.8%7.6%8.8%8.8%9.1%9.0%9.4%$1,832,396
20238.4%9.4%7.5%7.9%8.9%8.0%8.6%8.7%8.2%7.8%8.6%8.0%$1,908,983
20248.7%9.5%7.5%7.8%8.7%8.1%7.9%9.3%8.3%7.7%8.3%8.2%$1,924,420
20258.0%10.5%7.9%6.1%8.5%8.0%8.0%8.5%8.9%7.9%9.3%8.4%$1,998,434
MEDIAN %7.9%9.6%7.6%6.6%9.0%8.2%8.2%9.2%8.4%7.9%9.0%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

UVALDE (City)

Pop 15,217 PPA 3.11 %BO 38.9% Levy $6,051,998 Levy CAGR +3.0% E-Factor 0.00%
13,363 14,155 14,948 15,740 16,533 17,326 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 14,848 14,929 15,751 15,217 15,242 15,267 15,293 15,318 15,344 15,369 15,395 15,421 +0.1% +0.5% -0.3% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: UVALDE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: UVALDE had a 2020 population of 15,217 across 7.7 square miles, yielding a density of 3.11 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 15,421, a gain of 204 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 38.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), UVALDE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 39.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): UVALDE levied $6,051,998 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,422,083,571. The taxable value of $1,165,639,210 reflects 18.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5192 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3381 for Maintenance & Operations (65.1%) and $0.1811 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (34.9%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $397 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 3.0% CAGR lagged market value growth of 12.3% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): UVALDE collected $3,795,659 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $249 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 62.7% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 4.7% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: UVALDE demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
UVALDE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop14,84814,92915,75115,21715,24215,26715,29315,31815,34415,36915,39515,421
PPA3.033.053.223.113.113.123.123.133.133.143.143.15
%BO37.9%38.1%40.2%38.9%38.9%39.0%39.0%39.1%39.2%39.2%39.3%39.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%15,217$851,248,340$749,544,76288.1%$0.4384$0.245435.9%$0.6838$5,125,387$337$3,045,952$20059.4%
20214.7%15,219$907,706,531$799,597,83888.1%$0.4257$0.239836.0%$0.6655$5,321,324$350$3,359,116$22163.1%
20228.0%15,222$1,061,796,331$923,911,10187.0%$0.3983$0.218735.4%$0.6170$5,700,531$374$3,615,304$23863.4%
20234.1%15,224$1,239,778,359$1,034,844,06083.5%$0.3512$0.201536.5%$0.5527$5,719,583$376$3,724,692$24565.1%
20243.2%15,227$1,354,365,306$1,110,132,58182.0%$0.3381$0.181134.9%$0.5192$5,763,808$379$3,664,220$24163.6%
2025*2.9%15,229$1,422,083,571$1,165,639,21082.0%$0.3381$0.181134.9%$0.5192$6,051,998$397$3,795,659$24962.7%
CAGR4.2%0.0%12.3%10.3%-1.4%-5.1%-5.9%-0.6%-5.4%3.0%3.0%4.7%4.7%1.1%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%10.0%6.6%6.7%8.7%8.2%8.8%9.9%8.4%7.7%9.3%8.4%$3,045,952
20217.2%9.3%7.2%5.9%10.6%8.1%8.1%9.4%8.4%8.0%10.0%7.7%$3,359,116
20229.0%8.1%7.0%7.3%9.4%7.6%8.8%9.5%8.0%7.9%8.9%8.5%$3,615,304
20238.1%10.2%7.2%7.0%8.9%7.1%8.1%9.2%8.7%8.6%8.7%8.1%$3,724,692
20248.5%9.7%7.8%7.6%9.2%8.0%7.3%8.8%8.2%7.9%8.5%8.5%$3,664,220
20257.6%10.7%7.5%6.7%9.0%7.8%7.9%9.8%8.2%8.1%8.6%8.1%$3,795,659
MEDIAN %7.8%9.9%7.2%6.9%9.1%7.9%8.1%9.5%8.3%8.0%8.8%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

UVALDE (County)

Pop 15,217 PPA 3.11 %BO 38.9% Levy $21,221,065 Levy CAGR +8.1% E-Factor 3.12%
13,363 14,155 14,948 15,740 16,533 17,326 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 14,848 14,929 15,751 15,217 15,242 15,267 15,293 15,318 15,344 15,369 15,395 15,421 +0.1% +0.5% -0.3% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: UVALDE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: UVALDE had a 2020 population of 15,217 across 7.7 square miles, yielding a density of 3.11 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 15,421, a gain of 204 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 38.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), UVALDE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 39.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): UVALDE levied $21,221,065 in property taxes on a market value base of $7,860,082,008. The taxable value of $3,213,919,294 reflects 59.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6589 per $100 valuation consists of $0.6022 for Maintenance & Operations (91.4%) and $0.0567 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (8.6%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,393 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 14.2% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.12% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: UVALDE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
UVALDE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop14,84814,92915,75115,21715,24215,26715,29315,31815,34415,36915,39515,421
PPA3.033.053.223.113.113.123.123.133.133.143.143.15
%BO37.9%38.1%40.2%38.9%38.9%39.0%39.0%39.1%39.2%39.2%39.3%39.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%15,217$4,394,155,349~EstN/A$0.6500$0.090012.2%$0.7400$14,778,453$971
20214.7%15,219$4,762,698,743~EstN/A$0.6700$0.07009.5%$0.7400$15,896,902$1,045
20228.0%15,222$5,296,409,657~EstN/A$0.4812$0.075313.5%$0.5565$14,046,647$923
20234.1%15,224$6,230,861,217~EstN/A$0.5242$0.063010.7%$0.5872$16,492,448$1,083
20243.2%15,227$7,485,792,389$3,060,875,51840.9%$0.6022$0.05678.6%$0.6589$20,210,538$1,327
2025~2.9%15,229$7,860,082,008$3,213,919,29440.9%$0.6022$0.05678.6%$0.6589$21,221,065$1,393
CAGR4.2%0.0%14.2%-1.5%-8.8%-6.7%-2.3%8.1%8.1%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

UVALDE COUNTY (City)

Pop 24,564 PPA 0.02 %BO 0.3% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
21,006 22,613 24,221 25,829 27,437 29,045 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 23,340 25,926 26,405 24,564 24,604 24,645 24,687 24,728 24,769 24,810 24,852 24,893 +1.1% +0.2% -0.7% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: UVALDE COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: UVALDE COUNTY had a 2020 population of 24,564 across 1551.9 square miles, yielding a density of 0.02 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 24,893, a gain of 329 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), UVALDE COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: UVALDE COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
UVALDE COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop23,34025,92626,40524,56424,60424,64524,68724,72824,76924,81024,85224,893
PPA0.020.030.030.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.030.03
%BO0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.1%9.4%6.7%6.5%8.4%8.2%8.8%10.6%9.0%8.1%9.0%8.1%$1,903,478
20216.9%9.0%6.8%5.8%10.8%8.1%8.5%10.1%8.9%8.0%9.7%7.4%$2,132,307
20228.7%8.1%6.6%7.4%9.2%7.6%8.8%10.1%8.7%8.0%8.6%8.3%$2,290,180
20237.6%9.3%6.9%6.6%8.5%7.2%8.2%9.7%9.8%8.8%8.4%9.2%$2,405,407
20247.8%14.0%7.7%7.2%8.5%7.3%7.5%8.6%8.7%7.6%7.3%7.8%$2,533,345
20257.4%9.9%7.2%6.9%9.4%8.3%7.9%10.0%8.8%8.0%8.3%8.1%$2,459,683
MEDIAN %7.5%9.5%6.9%6.8%8.9%8.0%8.4%10.1%9.0%8.1%8.6%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

VAL VERDE COUNTY (City)

Pop 47,586 PPA 0.02 %BO 0.3% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
34,848 39,354 43,860 48,365 52,871 57,377 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 38,721 44,856 48,879 47,586 48,135 48,690 49,252 49,821 50,396 50,978 51,566 52,161 +1.5% +0.9% -0.3% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: VAL VERDE COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: VAL VERDE COUNTY had a 2020 population of 47,586 across 3144.7 square miles, yielding a density of 0.02 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 52,161, a gain of 4,575 (+9.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.11% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), VAL VERDE COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: VAL VERDE COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
VAL VERDE COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop38,72144,85648,87947,58648,13548,69049,25249,82150,39650,97851,56652,161
PPA0.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.030.030.030.03
%BO0.2%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%9.8%6.8%6.4%7.8%7.6%8.8%10.0%8.5%8.4%9.7%8.8%$2,581,376
20217.1%8.8%6.8%5.8%9.5%8.0%14.3%9.0%7.6%7.3%8.4%7.2%$3,014,823
20228.6%10.2%7.3%7.0%9.6%8.1%8.1%8.9%8.1%7.9%8.4%7.8%$3,063,841
20238.0%9.3%7.1%7.1%10.0%7.6%9.8%8.8%7.8%8.2%8.1%8.1%$3,310,214
20248.5%9.7%7.7%7.8%9.1%8.7%7.8%8.2%8.1%7.8%8.3%8.4%$3,250,428
20257.3%10.4%6.5%8.9%7.5%8.0%7.5%7.5%12.1%8.4%8.5%7.5%$3,789,629
MEDIAN %7.8%9.9%7.1%7.1%9.4%8.1%8.6%9.0%8.2%8.2%8.5%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

VAN ZANDT COUNTY (City)

Pop 59,541 PPA 0.11 %BO 1.4% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
34,149 64,801 95,453 126,104 156,756 187,408 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 37,944 48,140 52,579 59,541 67,991 77,619 88,582 101,057 115,241 131,355 149,642 170,371 +2.4% +0.9% +1.3% +1.3% +1.3% +1.3% +1.3% +1.3% +1.3% +1.3% +1.3% Population Trend: VAN ZANDT COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: VAN ZANDT COUNTY had a 2020 population of 59,541 across 842.6 square miles, yielding a density of 0.11 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 170,371, a gain of 110,830 (+186.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.32% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), VAN ZANDT COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 3.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: VAN ZANDT COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
VAN ZANDT COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop37,94448,14052,57959,54167,99177,61988,582101,057115,241131,355149,642170,371
PPA0.070.090.100.110.130.140.160.190.210.240.280.32
%BO0.9%1.1%1.2%1.4%1.6%1.8%2.1%2.3%2.7%3.0%3.5%3.9%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

VERNON (City)

Pop 10,078 PPA 1.99 %BO 24.9% Levy $2,904,186 Levy CAGR +5.0% E-Factor 0.19%
9,070 9,910 10,749 11,589 12,429 13,269 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 12,063 11,660 11,002 10,078 10,094 10,111 10,128 10,145 10,162 10,179 10,196 10,213 -0.3% -0.6% -0.9% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: VERNON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: VERNON had a 2020 population of 10,078 across 7.9 square miles, yielding a density of 1.99 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 10,213, a gain of 135 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 24.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), VERNON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 25.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): VERNON levied $2,904,186 in property taxes on a market value base of $839,906,978. The taxable value of $558,497,303 reflects 33.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5200 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3524 for Maintenance & Operations (67.8%) and $0.1676 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (32.2%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $288 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.0% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.4% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.19% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): VERNON collected $2,785,780 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $276 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 95.9% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 5.4% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: VERNON demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
VERNON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop12,06311,66011,00210,07810,09410,11110,12810,14510,16210,17910,19610,213
PPA2.392.312.181.992.002.002.002.012.012.012.022.02
%BO29.8%28.8%27.2%24.9%25.0%25.0%25.0%25.1%25.1%25.2%25.2%25.3%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%10,078$519,620,295$426,087,71682.0%$0.4182$0.116021.7%$0.5342$2,276,246$226$2,045,185$20389.8%
20214.7%10,079$557,627,902$438,017,62478.6%$0.5362$0.124818.9%$0.6610$2,895,296$287$2,255,647$22477.9%
20228.0%10,081$611,196,896$457,594,68174.9%$0.4026$0.127324.0%$0.5299$2,424,794$241$2,322,858$23095.8%
20234.1%10,082$748,119,401$504,984,22167.5%$0.3703$0.149728.8%$0.5200$2,625,918$260$2,361,270$23489.9%
20243.2%10,084$799,911,408$531,902,19366.5%$0.3524$0.167632.2%$0.5200$2,765,891$274$2,525,293$25091.3%
2025*2.9%10,086$839,906,978$558,497,30366.5%$0.3524$0.167632.2%$0.5200$2,904,186$288$2,785,780$27695.9%
CAGR4.2%0.0%11.4%5.7%-4.1%-3.4%7.6%8.2%-0.5%5.0%5.0%5.4%5.4%1.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.8%14.8%6.6%6.2%9.0%7.0%7.8%9.2%8.0%8.1%9.0%7.6%$2,045,185
20218.5%9.5%7.7%7.1%10.5%7.9%7.6%9.0%7.2%7.3%10.4%7.2%$2,255,647
20227.7%10.9%6.5%7.1%10.3%7.2%7.0%9.1%7.0%7.6%12.0%7.6%$2,322,858
20237.8%11.3%7.4%7.8%9.9%6.9%7.9%8.0%7.8%8.1%9.5%7.7%$2,361,270
20248.3%10.0%6.6%7.2%9.6%7.9%7.6%9.2%7.8%8.3%9.6%8.0%$2,525,293
20258.3%10.9%6.3%7.3%44.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%4.9%9.1%8.6%$2,785,779
MEDIAN %8.1%11.0%6.7%7.2%10.2%7.2%7.7%9.1%7.6%7.9%9.7%7.7%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

VICTORIA (City)

Pop 65,534 PPA 2.89 %BO 36.1% Levy $33,059,436 Levy CAGR +3.5% E-Factor 0.00%
50,028 58,255 66,481 74,708 82,935 91,162 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 55,587 60,603 62,592 65,534 67,624 69,740 71,882 74,045 76,229 78,430 80,646 82,875 +0.9% +0.3% +0.5% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: VICTORIA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: VICTORIA had a 2020 population of 65,534 across 35.5 square miles, yielding a density of 2.89 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 82,875, a gain of 17,341 (+26.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.29% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 36.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), VICTORIA has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 45.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): VICTORIA levied $33,059,436 in property taxes on a market value base of $8,068,972,788. The taxable value of $7,023,462,074 reflects 13.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4707 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2979 for Maintenance & Operations (63.3%) and $0.1728 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (36.7%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $497 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 3.5% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.4% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): VICTORIA collected $31,705,927 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $476 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 95.9% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 5.2% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: VICTORIA demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
VICTORIA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop55,58760,60362,59265,53467,62469,74071,88274,04576,22978,43080,64682,875
PPA2.452.672.762.892.983.073.173.263.363.453.553.65
%BO30.6%33.4%34.5%36.1%37.2%38.4%39.6%40.8%42.0%43.2%44.4%45.6%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%65,534$5,167,623,981$4,494,777,71187.0%$0.3658$0.245740.2%$0.6115$27,485,566$419$24,506,431$37489.2%
20214.7%65,743$5,557,757,220$4,882,820,16087.9%$0.3506$0.237640.4%$0.5882$28,720,748$437$27,178,638$41394.6%
20228.0%65,952$6,153,372,709$5,426,584,01088.2%$0.3455$0.212738.1%$0.5582$30,291,192$459$29,280,513$44496.7%
20234.1%66,161$7,431,379,849$6,504,106,62787.5%$0.2995$0.190338.9%$0.4898$31,857,114$482$30,307,699$45895.1%
20243.2%66,370$7,684,735,989$6,689,011,49987.0%$0.2979$0.172836.7%$0.4707$31,485,177$474$30,065,070$45395.5%
2025*2.9%66,579$8,068,972,788$7,023,462,07487.0%$0.2979$0.172836.7%$0.4707$33,059,436$497$31,705,927$47695.9%
CAGR4.2%0.3%10.4%10.4%0.0%-4.0%-6.8%-1.8%-5.1%3.5%3.1%5.2%4.9%1.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.7%11.3%7.2%7.6%8.9%7.4%7.8%9.4%7.7%7.7%9.3%7.9%$24,506,431
20217.0%10.1%7.4%6.6%10.3%8.3%7.7%9.6%7.6%7.9%9.8%7.8%$27,178,638
20227.9%9.9%6.9%6.5%9.4%8.1%7.8%9.4%7.9%8.6%9.5%8.1%$29,280,513
20237.9%9.2%7.8%7.9%9.4%7.7%8.4%9.0%7.8%8.7%8.5%7.7%$30,307,699
20247.9%10.1%7.5%7.6%9.1%8.0%8.1%8.6%8.7%7.8%8.6%8.2%$30,065,070
20257.4%10.8%10.7%6.8%8.2%7.8%7.8%8.6%8.0%7.5%8.3%8.2%$31,705,927
MEDIAN %7.9%10.1%7.5%7.2%9.3%7.9%7.9%9.3%7.9%7.9%9.0%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

VICTORIA (County)

Pop 65,534 PPA 2.89 %BO 36.1% Levy $52,131,907 Levy CAGR +13.3% E-Factor 8.01%
50,028 58,255 66,481 74,708 82,935 91,162 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 55,587 60,603 62,592 65,534 67,624 69,740 71,882 74,045 76,229 78,430 80,646 82,875 +0.9% +0.3% +0.5% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% Population Trend: VICTORIA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: VICTORIA had a 2020 population of 65,534 across 35.5 square miles, yielding a density of 2.89 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 82,875, a gain of 17,341 (+26.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.29% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 36.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), VICTORIA has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 45.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): VICTORIA levied $52,131,907 in property taxes on a market value base of $15,359,943,218. The taxable value of $11,571,674,427 reflects 24.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4485 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4133 for Maintenance & Operations (92.2%) and $0.0352 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (7.8%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $783 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 13.3% CAGR outpaced market value growth of 10.1% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 8.01% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: VICTORIA demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
VICTORIA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop55,58760,60362,59265,53467,62469,74071,88274,04576,22978,43080,64682,875
PPA2.452.672.762.892.983.073.173.263.363.453.553.65
%BO30.6%33.4%34.5%36.1%37.2%38.4%39.6%40.8%42.0%43.2%44.4%45.6%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%65,534$9,964,443,013~EstN/A$0.3687$0.02726.9%$0.3959$30,098,677$459
20214.7%65,743$10,639,765,007~EstN/A$0.3064$0.02658.0%$0.3329$27,519,092$419
20228.0%65,952$11,990,976,428~EstN/A$0.3605$0.03298.4%$0.3934$35,908,921$544
20234.1%66,161$14,010,810,098~EstN/A$0.3531$0.03499.0%$0.3880$41,272,836$624
20243.2%66,370$14,628,517,350$11,020,642,31175.3%$0.4133$0.03527.8%$0.4485$49,649,435$748
2025~2.9%66,579$15,359,943,218$11,571,674,42775.3%$0.4133$0.03527.8%$0.4485$52,131,907$783
CAGR4.2%0.3%10.1%2.3%5.3%2.7%2.5%13.3%13.0%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

VICTORIA COUNTY (City)

Pop 91,319 PPA 0.16 %BO 2.0% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
66,924 85,089 103,254 121,419 139,584 157,749 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 74,361 84,088 86,793 91,319 96,645 102,275 108,226 114,513 121,156 128,173 135,583 143,409 +1.2% +0.3% +0.5% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% Population Trend: VICTORIA COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: VICTORIA COUNTY had a 2020 population of 91,319 across 882.1 square miles, yielding a density of 0.16 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 143,409, a gain of 52,090 (+57.0%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.57% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 2.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), VICTORIA COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 3.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: VICTORIA COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
VICTORIA COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop74,36184,08886,79391,31996,645102,275108,226114,513121,156128,173135,583143,409
PPA0.130.150.150.160.170.180.190.200.210.230.240.25
%BO1.6%1.9%1.9%2.0%2.1%2.3%2.4%2.5%2.7%2.8%3.0%3.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.8%10.8%7.8%7.5%9.1%7.3%8.2%9.2%7.8%7.8%8.8%7.9%$9,148,982
20217.0%9.8%7.4%6.6%9.6%8.4%7.7%9.4%7.8%8.0%10.0%8.3%$9,891,242
20227.6%9.4%6.7%7.1%8.9%7.8%7.6%9.0%7.6%10.6%9.4%8.3%$11,457,658
20238.1%9.3%7.8%8.0%9.4%7.8%8.5%9.0%7.7%8.5%8.1%7.8%$11,304,405
20248.0%10.1%7.3%7.5%9.1%8.0%8.2%8.4%8.6%7.7%8.6%8.5%$11,051,713
20257.8%10.6%9.4%6.5%8.2%7.7%7.8%8.2%8.0%7.5%9.9%8.4%$11,786,091
MEDIAN %7.9%10.0%7.6%7.3%9.1%7.8%8.0%9.0%7.9%7.9%9.1%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

VIDOR (City)

Pop 9,789 PPA 1.31 %BO 16.3% Levy $3,831,739 Levy CAGR +5.7% E-Factor 0.00%
8,810 9,564 10,319 11,074 11,829 12,584 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 11,392 11,440 10,579 9,789 9,805 9,821 9,838 9,854 9,870 9,887 9,903 9,920 +0.0% -0.8% -0.8% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: VIDOR (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: VIDOR had a 2020 population of 9,789 across 11.7 square miles, yielding a density of 1.31 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 9,920, a gain of 131 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 16.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), VIDOR has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 16.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): VIDOR levied $3,831,739 in property taxes on a market value base of $835,888,106. The taxable value of $604,002,804 reflects 27.7% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6344 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5415 for Maintenance & Operations (85.4%) and $0.0929 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (14.6%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $391 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.7% CAGR lagged market value growth of 9.0% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): VIDOR collected $4,142,504 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $423 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 108.1% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 2.8% CAGR, reflecting stable retail environment.
Strategic Outlook: VIDOR demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
VIDOR
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop11,39211,44010,5799,7899,8059,8219,8389,8549,8709,8879,9039,920
PPA1.521.531.411.311.311.311.311.311.321.321.321.32
%BO19.0%19.1%17.6%16.3%16.3%16.4%16.4%16.4%16.4%16.5%16.5%16.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%9,789$563,071,512$416,195,34073.9%$0.5996$0.104114.8%$0.7037$2,928,808$299$3,392,496$347115.8%
20214.7%9,790$623,135,610$461,824,07474.1%$0.5779$0.114016.5%$0.6919$3,195,361$326$3,550,296$363111.1%
20228.0%9,792$658,735,054$493,224,00074.9%$0.5615$0.112416.7%$0.6739$3,323,985$339$3,543,714$362106.6%
20234.1%9,793$758,513,991$543,273,91471.6%$0.5680$0.086013.1%$0.6539$3,552,631$363$3,770,109$385106.1%
20243.2%9,795$796,083,910$575,240,76672.3%$0.5415$0.092914.6%$0.6344$3,649,275$373$3,793,551$387104.0%
2025*2.9%9,797$835,888,106$604,002,80472.3%$0.5415$0.092914.6%$0.6344$3,831,739$391$4,142,504$423108.1%
CAGR4.2%0.0%9.0%8.4%-0.5%-2.0%-2.3%-0.2%-2.1%5.7%5.6%2.8%2.8%-1.4%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.1%10.5%7.3%7.3%9.4%8.5%8.6%9.8%7.5%6.5%9.1%7.4%$3,392,496
20217.3%10.2%7.0%6.2%11.3%7.9%7.4%9.4%9.3%7.0%9.8%7.3%$3,550,296
20227.6%10.5%7.3%6.8%9.6%7.5%7.6%9.8%7.6%8.3%9.8%7.5%$3,543,714
20236.9%9.6%6.7%7.1%10.3%7.0%7.8%10.1%9.7%7.7%9.6%7.3%$3,770,109
20248.0%9.9%6.7%7.7%9.4%7.1%8.9%9.8%7.2%7.5%10.1%7.6%$3,793,551
20258.7%10.9%6.3%6.7%9.8%8.3%7.5%9.2%8.3%7.4%9.0%7.9%$4,142,504
MEDIAN %7.8%10.4%6.9%7.0%9.8%7.7%7.8%9.8%8.0%7.5%9.7%7.5%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

WACO (City)

Pop 138,486 PPA 2.43 %BO 30.4% Levy $127,417,402 Levy CAGR +8.4% E-Factor 2.74%
93,741 124,513 155,285 186,057 216,830 247,602 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 104,157 113,726 124,805 138,486 148,364 158,596 169,147 179,975 191,036 202,278 213,649 225,093 +0.9% +0.9% +1.0% +0.7% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% Population Trend: WACO (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WACO had a 2020 population of 138,486 across 89.0 square miles, yielding a density of 2.43 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 225,093, a gain of 86,607 (+62.5%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.61% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 30.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WACO has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 49.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): WACO levied $127,417,402 in property taxes on a market value base of $24,052,553,603. The taxable value of $16,876,477,163 reflects 29.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7550 per $100 valuation consists of $0.6047 for Maintenance & Operations (80.1%) and $0.1503 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (19.9%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $888 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.4% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.9% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.74% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): WACO collected $61,575,705 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $429 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 48.3% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 8.5% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: WACO demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WACO
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop104,157113,726124,805138,486148,364158,596169,147179,975191,036202,278213,649225,093
PPA1.832.002.192.432.612.792.973.163.363.553.753.95
%BO22.9%25.0%27.4%30.4%32.6%34.8%37.1%39.5%41.9%44.4%46.9%49.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%138,486$15,167,888,473$11,311,086,36774.6%$0.6467$0.129516.7%$0.7762$87,800,272$634$41,139,585$29746.9%
20214.7%139,473$16,043,091,211$11,956,801,68974.5%$0.6404$0.126916.5%$0.7673$91,742,387$658$49,245,158$35353.7%
20228.0%140,461$19,328,975,301$13,422,043,57769.4%$0.6192$0.140818.5%$0.7600$102,007,531$726$54,357,455$38753.3%
20234.1%141,449$22,385,906,609$15,705,528,48570.2%$0.6144$0.140618.6%$0.7550$118,576,740$838$55,868,335$39547.1%
20243.2%142,437$22,907,193,908$16,072,835,39370.2%$0.6047$0.150319.9%$0.7550$121,349,907$852$56,949,342$40046.9%
2025*2.9%143,425$24,052,553,603$16,876,477,16370.2%$0.6047$0.150319.9%$0.7550$127,417,402$888$61,575,705$42948.3%
CAGR4.2%0.7%10.9%9.2%-1.2%-1.3%3.0%3.6%-0.6%8.4%7.7%8.5%7.7%0.6%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.7%11.4%7.3%7.1%8.4%6.4%7.6%9.9%7.7%8.2%9.9%8.4%$41,139,585
20216.8%9.4%6.7%5.8%10.9%8.6%8.2%9.2%8.0%8.1%10.2%8.1%$49,245,158
20228.3%9.9%7.2%6.7%9.3%7.8%7.8%9.0%8.2%8.4%9.6%7.8%$54,357,455
20238.1%10.8%7.1%7.5%9.7%7.0%7.9%8.8%7.7%8.4%9.2%7.8%$55,868,335
20248.1%8.8%8.2%7.5%9.5%7.8%7.5%8.7%8.6%8.2%9.3%7.9%$56,949,342
20257.4%11.3%7.1%6.8%9.8%8.1%7.8%8.3%8.1%8.1%8.9%8.2%$61,575,705
MEDIAN %7.9%10.3%7.1%6.9%9.6%7.8%7.8%8.9%8.0%8.2%9.4%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

WALKER COUNTY (City)

Pop 76,400 PPA 0.15 %BO 1.9% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
45,825 80,985 116,146 151,306 186,467 221,628 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 50,917 61,758 67,861 76,400 86,373 97,617 110,284 124,542 140,578 158,595 178,815 201,480 +1.9% +0.9% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% +1.2% Population Trend: WALKER COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WALKER COUNTY had a 2020 population of 76,400 across 784.2 square miles, yielding a density of 0.15 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 201,480, a gain of 125,080 (+163.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.22% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WALKER COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 5.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: WALKER COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WALKER COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop50,91761,75867,86176,40086,37397,617110,284124,542140,578158,595178,815201,480
PPA0.100.120.140.150.170.190.220.250.280.320.360.40
%BO1.3%1.5%1.7%1.9%2.2%2.4%2.7%3.1%3.5%3.9%4.5%5.0%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%10.0%8.6%6.4%8.7%7.5%7.9%9.6%8.0%8.3%9.9%7.6%$4,092,914
20217.6%8.8%7.2%5.9%9.8%8.6%7.7%9.5%8.1%8.3%10.3%8.1%$4,560,196
20227.6%9.7%7.7%6.3%9.1%8.5%7.9%9.5%7.9%8.4%9.4%8.0%$5,061,428
20237.8%9.9%8.0%7.5%9.6%7.8%7.6%8.7%7.8%8.5%9.2%7.7%$5,093,938
20247.9%9.5%7.7%7.1%8.7%8.5%7.5%8.7%8.1%8.2%9.6%8.4%$5,168,661
20257.4%10.2%7.5%6.9%9.1%8.2%7.2%8.5%8.7%8.1%9.7%8.4%$5,524,213
MEDIAN %7.6%9.8%7.7%6.7%9.1%8.3%7.6%9.1%8.1%8.3%9.7%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

WALLER (County)

Pop 2,682 PPA 2.03 %BO 25.4% Levy $70,160,258 Levy CAGR +13.6% E-Factor 7.45%
1,404 2,393 3,382 4,371 5,361 6,350 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 1,560 2,092 2,326 2,682 3,010 3,361 3,733 4,123 4,527 4,939 5,357 5,773 +3.0% +1.1% +1.4% +1.2% +1.1% +1.1% +1.0% +0.9% +0.9% +0.8% +0.8% Population Trend: WALLER (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WALLER had a 2020 population of 2,682 across 2.1 square miles, yielding a density of 2.03 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 5,773, a gain of 3,091 (+115.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.96% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 25.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WALLER has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 54.7%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): WALLER levied $70,160,258 in property taxes on a market value base of $23,832,170,505. The taxable value of $14,117,514,216 reflects 40.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4960 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4370 for Maintenance & Operations (88.1%) and $0.0590 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (11.9%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $24,652 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 13.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 18.4% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 7.45% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: WALLER demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WALLER
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop1,5602,0922,3262,6823,0103,3613,7334,1234,5274,9395,3575,773
PPA1.181.591.762.032.282.552.833.133.433.754.064.38
%BO14.8%19.8%22.1%25.4%28.5%31.9%35.4%39.1%42.9%46.8%50.8%54.7%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%2,682$11,554,542,044~EstN/A$0.5491$0.067511.0%$0.6167$40,056,322$14,935
20214.7%2,714$13,129,316,786~EstN/A$0.5196$0.085014.1%$0.6046$45,218,625$16,661
20228.0%2,747$16,363,626,187~EstN/A$0.4904$0.058010.6%$0.5484$51,016,947$18,572
20234.1%2,780$20,168,343,575~EstN/A$0.4604$0.03056.2%$0.4909$56,901,038$20,468
20243.2%2,813$22,697,305,243$13,445,251,63459.2%$0.4370$0.059011.9%$0.4960$66,819,293$23,754
2025~2.9%2,846$23,832,170,505$14,117,514,21659.2%$0.4370$0.059011.9%$0.4960$70,160,258$24,652
CAGR4.2%1.2%18.4%-4.5%-2.7%1.7%-4.3%13.6%12.3%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

WALLER COUNTY (City)

Pop 56,794 PPA 0.17 %BO 2.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
21,051 117,974 214,897 311,820 408,743 505,666 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 23,390 32,663 43,205 56,794 74,804 98,311 128,838 168,222 218,607 282,375 361,985 459,697 +3.4% +2.8% +2.8% +2.8% +2.8% +2.7% +2.7% +2.7% +2.6% +2.5% +2.4% Population Trend: WALLER COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WALLER COUNTY had a 2020 population of 56,794 across 513.3 square miles, yielding a density of 0.17 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 459,697, a gain of 402,903 (+709.4%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.65% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 2.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WALLER COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 17.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: WALLER COUNTY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WALLER COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop23,39032,66343,20556,79474,80498,311128,838168,222218,607282,375361,985459,697
PPA0.070.100.130.170.230.300.390.510.670.861.101.40
%BO0.9%1.2%1.6%2.2%2.8%3.7%4.9%6.4%8.3%10.7%13.8%17.5%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

WARD COUNTY (City)

Pop 11,644 PPA 0.02 %BO 0.3% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
9,592 11,126 12,660 14,194 15,728 17,262 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 13,115 10,909 10,658 11,644 12,086 12,546 13,023 13,518 14,032 14,565 15,118 15,693 -1.8% -0.2% +0.9% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% Population Trend: WARD COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WARD COUNTY had a 2020 population of 11,644 across 835.6 square miles, yielding a density of 0.02 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 15,693, a gain of 4,049 (+34.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.37% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WARD COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: WARD COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WARD COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop13,11510,90910,65811,64412,08612,54613,02313,51814,03214,56515,11815,693
PPA0.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.030.030.030.030.03
%BO0.3%0.3%0.2%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.4%0.4%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

WASHINGTON COUNTY (City)

Pop 35,805 PPA 0.09 %BO 1.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
23,538 33,379 43,220 53,061 62,903 72,744 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 26,154 30,373 33,718 35,805 38,670 41,763 45,099 48,697 52,577 56,760 61,270 66,131 +1.5% +1.1% +0.6% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% +0.8% Population Trend: WASHINGTON COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WASHINGTON COUNTY had a 2020 population of 35,805 across 604.2 square miles, yielding a density of 0.09 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 66,131, a gain of 30,326 (+84.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.77% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WASHINGTON COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 2.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: WASHINGTON COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WASHINGTON COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop26,15430,37333,71835,80538,67041,76345,09948,69752,57756,76061,27066,131
PPA0.070.080.090.090.100.110.120.130.140.150.160.17
%BO0.8%1.0%1.1%1.2%1.3%1.4%1.5%1.6%1.7%1.8%2.0%2.1%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.6%10.3%7.8%6.8%8.4%7.5%8.2%9.6%8.2%8.1%9.4%8.3%$3,058,963
20217.0%8.7%7.2%5.9%9.5%8.0%8.6%9.3%8.9%8.6%9.9%8.4%$3,576,154
20227.6%9.5%7.3%6.5%9.7%8.4%7.7%8.7%8.5%8.1%9.2%8.7%$4,324,193
20238.1%9.4%7.1%7.8%10.0%8.1%8.4%9.3%7.5%7.9%8.8%7.5%$4,715,863
20248.4%9.3%6.9%7.7%10.3%8.4%7.7%8.2%8.8%7.7%8.5%8.1%$4,607,020
20257.2%10.8%7.4%6.9%9.1%8.8%8.0%8.2%8.3%8.4%8.4%8.4%$4,910,171
MEDIAN %7.6%9.4%7.2%6.9%9.6%8.3%8.1%9.0%8.4%8.1%9.0%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

WATAUGA (City)

Pop 23,650 PPA 8.88 %BO 100.0% Levy $13,841,126 Levy CAGR +8.6% E-Factor 2.55%
18,090 19,675 21,260 22,845 24,430 26,015 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 20,101 21,908 23,497 23,650 23,650 23,650 23,650 23,650 23,650 23,650 23,650 23,650 +0.9% +0.7% +0.1% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: WATAUGA (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WATAUGA had a 2020 population of 23,650 across 4.2 square miles, yielding a density of 8.88 persons per acre (PPA). This high density suggests an urbanized area with limited greenfield expansion potential. Build-Out Analysis: At 100.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WATAUGA is approaching full build-out. Projections show reaching theoretical capacity (100% build-out) before 2100, suggesting eventual need for annexation, densification, or growth boundary adjustments.
Property Tax Overview (2025): WATAUGA levied $13,841,126 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,786,836,979. The taxable value of $2,427,416,090 reflects 12.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5702 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3611 for Maintenance & Operations (63.3%) and $0.2091 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (36.7%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $585 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.6% CAGR lagged market value growth of 9.1% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.55% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): WATAUGA collected $5,813,869 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $246 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 42.0% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.5% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: WATAUGA demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, limited greenfield options, strong economic elasticity. Long-term projections indicate eventual capacity constraints requiring proactive planning for annexation, vertical development, or managed growth boundaries. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WATAUGA
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop20,10121,90823,49723,65023,65023,65023,65023,65023,65023,65023,65023,650
PPA7.558.238.838.888.888.888.888.888.888.888.888.88
%BO94.4%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%23,650$1,873,097,007$1,632,820,96887.2%$0.4007$0.179731.0%$0.5804$9,476,958$401$4,455,441$18847.0%
20214.7%23,650$1,974,133,903$1,735,459,74287.9%$0.3954$0.185031.9%$0.5804$10,072,608$426$4,578,750$19445.5%
20228.0%23,650$2,217,337,011$1,925,004,69386.8%$0.3752$0.195034.2%$0.5702$10,976,377$464$5,562,968$23550.7%
20234.1%23,650$2,640,489,752$2,195,117,49983.1%$0.3597$0.210536.9%$0.5702$12,516,560$529$5,672,039$24045.3%
20243.2%23,650$2,654,130,456$2,311,824,84887.1%$0.3611$0.209136.7%$0.5702$13,182,025$557$5,733,540$24243.5%
2025*2.9%23,650$2,786,836,979$2,427,416,09087.1%$0.3611$0.209136.7%$0.5702$13,841,126$585$5,813,869$24642.0%
CAGR4.2%9.1%9.1%-0.0%-2.1%3.1%3.4%-0.4%8.6%8.6%6.5%6.5%-2.2%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.7%11.9%7.6%6.9%8.1%6.3%7.1%10.1%7.7%8.3%10.0%8.4%$4,455,441
20218.2%12.4%6.4%5.7%9.9%7.2%7.5%9.1%8.0%7.2%9.0%9.4%$4,578,750
20227.7%10.8%6.9%6.4%9.3%7.8%8.0%9.8%8.1%8.0%9.3%7.9%$5,562,968
20237.8%11.4%7.2%7.0%9.7%7.0%7.9%9.3%7.9%8.3%9.1%7.4%$5,672,039
20248.0%11.1%7.5%7.2%9.4%7.7%7.6%9.1%8.0%7.9%8.8%7.9%$5,733,540
20258.2%11.8%7.3%6.7%9.4%7.6%8.3%8.9%8.2%6.8%8.6%8.3%$5,813,869
MEDIAN %7.9%11.6%7.2%6.7%9.4%7.4%7.7%9.2%8.0%7.9%9.0%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

WAXAHACHIE (City)

Pop 41,140 PPA 1.35 %BO 16.9% Levy $48,237,436 Levy CAGR +13.7% E-Factor 4.32%
16,398 50,915 85,432 119,949 154,466 188,983 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 18,221 21,426 29,621 41,140 52,715 66,492 82,337 99,855 118,393 137,122 155,175 171,803 +1.6% +3.3% +3.3% +2.5% +2.3% +2.2% +1.9% +1.7% +1.5% +1.2% +1.0% Population Trend: WAXAHACHIE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WAXAHACHIE had a 2020 population of 41,140 across 47.6 square miles, yielding a density of 1.35 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 171,803, a gain of 130,663 (+317.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.80% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 16.9% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WAXAHACHIE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 70.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): WAXAHACHIE levied $48,237,436 in property taxes on a market value base of $10,577,380,043. The taxable value of $7,907,776,482 reflects 25.2% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6100 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3769 for Maintenance & Operations (61.8%) and $0.2331 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (38.2%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,028 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 13.7% CAGR lagged market value growth of 16.9% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.32% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): WAXAHACHIE collected $31,430,625 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $670 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 65.2% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 10.3% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: WAXAHACHIE demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WAXAHACHIE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop18,22121,42629,62141,14052,71566,49282,33799,855118,393137,122155,175171,803
PPA0.600.700.971.351.732.182.703.273.884.505.095.63
%BO7.5%8.8%12.1%16.9%21.6%27.3%33.7%40.9%48.5%56.2%63.6%70.4%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%41,140$5,401,490,623$4,161,152,25377.0%$0.4920$0.168025.5%$0.6600$27,463,605$668$20,313,540$49474.0%
20214.7%42,297$5,885,181,122$4,624,748,64678.6%$0.4561$0.178928.2%$0.6350$29,367,154$694$24,300,910$57582.7%
20228.0%43,455$7,894,685,217$5,923,618,50475.0%$0.4065$0.223535.5%$0.6300$37,318,797$859$27,724,231$63874.3%
20234.1%44,612$9,742,245,395$7,137,511,52573.3%$0.3797$0.230337.8%$0.6100$43,538,820$976$29,111,221$65366.9%
20243.2%45,770$10,073,695,279$7,531,215,69774.8%$0.3769$0.233138.2%$0.6100$45,940,415$1,004$30,093,798$65865.5%
2025*2.9%46,927$10,577,380,043$7,907,776,48274.8%$0.3769$0.233138.2%$0.6100$48,237,436$1,028$31,430,625$67065.2%
CAGR4.2%2.7%16.9%16.0%-0.6%-5.2%6.8%8.5%-1.6%13.7%10.7%10.3%7.4%-2.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.3%10.5%7.4%6.5%8.3%7.2%8.2%10.0%8.4%8.5%9.4%8.3%$20,313,540
20217.1%9.3%6.5%6.0%9.9%8.3%8.2%10.0%8.4%8.3%9.9%8.1%$24,300,910
20227.8%9.5%6.9%6.3%9.3%8.4%8.8%9.5%8.3%8.3%9.0%7.9%$27,724,231
20237.7%9.8%6.9%7.0%9.6%7.8%8.9%9.2%8.1%8.1%9.0%7.9%$29,111,221
20248.0%10.1%7.1%7.7%9.1%7.9%8.1%9.0%8.5%7.7%8.9%8.0%$30,093,798
20257.6%11.1%6.6%6.6%8.8%8.5%8.1%9.3%8.6%7.7%8.8%8.3%$31,430,625
MEDIAN %7.7%10.0%6.9%6.6%9.2%8.2%8.2%9.5%8.4%8.3%9.0%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

WEATHERFORD (City)

Pop 30,854 PPA 1.94 %BO 24.2% Levy $20,418,960 Levy CAGR +7.1% E-Factor 0.90%
14,256 29,109 43,963 58,816 73,670 88,523 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 15,840 19,000 25,250 30,854 36,017 41,675 47,759 54,173 60,794 67,482 74,089 80,476 +1.8% +2.9% +2.0% +1.6% +1.5% +1.4% +1.3% +1.2% +1.0% +0.9% +0.8% Population Trend: WEATHERFORD (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WEATHERFORD had a 2020 population of 30,854 across 24.9 square miles, yielding a density of 1.94 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 80,476, a gain of 49,622 (+160.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.21% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 24.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WEATHERFORD has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 63.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): WEATHERFORD levied $20,418,960 in property taxes on a market value base of $6,231,326,495. The taxable value of $5,124,984,003 reflects 17.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3984 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2988 for Maintenance & Operations (75.0%) and $0.0996 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (25.0%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $611 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 13.2% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.90% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): WEATHERFORD collected $22,402,751 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $670 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 109.7% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.9% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: WEATHERFORD demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WEATHERFORD
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop15,84019,00025,25030,85436,01741,67547,75954,17360,79467,48274,08980,476
PPA1.001.191.591.942.262.623.003.403.824.244.665.06
%BO12.4%14.9%19.8%24.2%28.3%32.7%37.5%42.6%47.8%53.0%58.2%63.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%30,854$3,620,037,406$3,056,640,72384.4%$0.3343$0.148630.8%$0.4829$14,760,518$478$15,161,932$491102.7%
20214.7%31,370$4,107,007,053$3,469,256,62984.5%$0.3245$0.133629.2%$0.4581$15,892,665$507$18,143,987$578114.2%
20228.0%31,886$4,284,078,553$3,667,146,20885.6%$0.3303$0.126027.6%$0.4563$16,734,802$525$20,464,414$642122.3%
20234.1%32,402$5,907,799,051$4,717,561,03779.9%$0.3035$0.095523.9%$0.3990$18,823,069$581$20,719,332$639110.1%
20243.2%32,919$5,934,596,662$4,880,937,14682.2%$0.2988$0.099625.0%$0.3984$19,446,629$591$20,569,196$625105.8%
2025*2.9%33,435$6,231,326,495$5,124,984,00382.2%$0.2988$0.099625.0%$0.3984$20,418,960$611$22,402,751$670109.7%
CAGR4.2%1.6%13.2%12.4%-0.5%-2.2%-7.7%-4.1%-3.8%7.1%5.4%7.9%6.2%1.3%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.6%10.4%7.4%6.9%8.1%7.6%8.7%9.5%8.3%8.1%8.9%8.3%$15,161,932
20217.1%9.9%6.7%5.8%9.8%8.5%8.2%9.7%8.7%8.3%9.1%8.4%$18,143,987
20228.2%10.1%7.0%6.5%9.5%8.1%8.2%9.8%7.9%7.9%8.4%8.3%$20,464,414
20238.4%10.1%6.9%7.2%9.1%7.9%9.2%9.1%8.1%8.4%8.1%7.4%$20,719,332
20248.5%9.9%7.3%7.4%8.8%7.9%8.4%8.6%9.0%7.6%8.2%8.3%$20,569,196
20257.8%11.4%7.1%6.3%8.3%8.2%8.3%8.7%8.6%8.1%8.5%8.7%$22,402,751
MEDIAN %8.0%10.1%7.0%6.7%8.9%8.0%8.4%9.3%8.5%8.1%8.5%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

WEBB COUNTY (City)

Pop 267,114 PPA 0.12 %BO 1.6% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
119,915 260,216 400,518 540,819 681,121 821,422 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 133,239 193,117 250,304 267,114 304,165 346,252 394,028 448,221 509,644 579,195 657,867 746,748 +3.8% +2.6% +0.7% +1.3% +1.3% +1.3% +1.3% +1.3% +1.3% +1.3% +1.3% Population Trend: WEBB COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WEBB COUNTY had a 2020 population of 267,114 across 3361.5 square miles, yielding a density of 0.12 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 746,748, a gain of 479,634 (+179.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.29% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WEBB COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 4.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: WEBB COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WEBB COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop133,239193,117250,304267,114304,165346,252394,028448,221509,644579,195657,867746,748
PPA0.060.090.120.120.140.160.180.210.240.270.310.35
%BO0.8%1.1%1.5%1.6%1.8%2.0%2.3%2.6%3.0%3.4%3.8%4.3%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20209.1%10.9%8.3%7.4%8.4%6.6%7.6%8.8%7.8%7.7%9.1%8.3%$16,599,609
20217.2%9.5%7.0%6.8%10.2%8.2%7.9%9.1%8.2%8.2%9.3%8.4%$19,928,033
20227.9%10.1%7.1%7.2%8.8%7.9%7.6%8.9%8.0%8.5%9.3%8.6%$23,991,679
20238.4%11.7%7.8%7.1%8.7%7.7%8.6%8.5%8.0%8.2%7.7%7.5%$27,197,739
20248.3%9.9%7.1%7.7%8.6%8.1%8.1%8.8%8.0%8.0%8.9%8.5%$27,458,030
20258.4%10.5%6.9%6.2%9.0%8.5%7.9%9.1%8.6%8.0%8.3%8.6%$28,138,928
MEDIAN %8.3%10.3%7.1%7.2%8.8%8.0%7.9%8.8%8.0%8.1%9.0%8.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

WEBSTER (City)

Pop 12,499 PPA 3.08 %BO 38.5% Levy $12,418,460 Levy CAGR +6.4% E-Factor 0.52%
4,591 9,385 14,178 18,971 23,764 28,558 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 5,102 9,083 10,400 12,499 14,315 16,183 18,053 19,877 21,610 23,217 24,672 25,962 +5.9% +1.4% +1.9% +1.4% +1.2% +1.1% +1.0% +0.8% +0.7% +0.6% +0.5% Population Trend: WEBSTER (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WEBSTER had a 2020 population of 12,499 across 6.3 square miles, yielding a density of 3.08 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 25,962, a gain of 13,463 (+107.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.92% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 38.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WEBSTER has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 80.0%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): WEBSTER levied $12,418,460 in property taxes on a market value base of $3,845,766,044. The taxable value of $3,313,091,348 reflects 13.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3748 per $100 valuation consists of $0.2749 for Maintenance & Operations (73.3%) and $0.0999 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (26.7%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $926 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.4% CAGR lagged market value growth of 7.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.52% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): WEBSTER collected $25,487,493 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $1,901 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 205.2% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.5% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: WEBSTER demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WEBSTER
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop5,1029,08310,40012,49914,31516,18318,05319,87721,61023,21724,67225,962
PPA1.262.242.563.083.533.994.454.905.335.726.086.40
%BO15.7%28.0%32.0%38.5%44.1%49.9%55.6%61.2%66.6%71.5%76.0%80.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%12,499$2,717,743,441$2,474,256,94391.0%$0.2681$0.105528.2%$0.3736$9,243,082$740$17,676,478$1,414191.2%
20214.7%12,680$2,900,453,943$2,526,119,09587.1%$0.2710$0.122331.1%$0.3933$9,936,237$784$20,648,901$1,628207.8%
20228.0%12,862$3,236,642,117$2,831,983,84187.5%$0.2595$0.105228.8%$0.3648$10,329,661$803$22,303,322$1,734215.9%
20234.1%13,043$3,526,683,789$3,161,063,91589.6%$0.2383$0.095728.6%$0.3339$10,556,057$809$23,300,516$1,786220.7%
20243.2%13,225$3,662,634,328$3,155,325,09386.1%$0.2749$0.099926.7%$0.3748$11,827,105$894$23,633,477$1,787199.8%
2025*2.9%13,407$3,845,766,044$3,313,091,34886.1%$0.2749$0.099926.7%$0.3748$12,418,460$926$25,487,493$1,901205.2%
CAGR4.2%1.4%7.7%6.3%-1.1%0.5%-1.1%-1.1%0.1%6.4%4.9%7.5%6.0%1.4%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.7%10.8%8.0%7.2%6.8%6.1%8.2%10.7%7.7%8.4%9.3%8.2%$17,676,478
20217.2%8.8%6.9%6.2%10.5%9.1%8.5%8.9%8.5%7.9%9.4%8.1%$20,648,901
20228.5%9.7%7.5%7.1%9.5%8.2%8.4%8.6%7.9%8.2%8.3%8.1%$22,303,322
20238.0%9.7%7.4%7.6%9.3%7.7%8.5%9.2%8.8%8.2%7.9%7.8%$23,300,516
20247.9%9.4%7.5%8.0%8.5%8.0%8.7%8.7%8.1%8.2%8.2%8.8%$23,633,477
20258.5%10.6%8.4%6.9%9.1%8.0%8.4%8.6%7.9%7.7%8.1%7.7%$25,487,493
MEDIAN %8.3%9.7%7.5%7.2%9.3%8.1%8.5%8.8%8.0%8.2%8.3%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

WESLACO (City)

Pop 40,160 PPA 4.26 %BO 53.3% Levy $21,488,121 Levy CAGR +9.9% E-Factor 4.09%
23,133 31,194 39,256 47,317 55,378 63,440 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 25,704 26,935 35,670 40,160 42,606 45,011 47,357 49,625 51,802 53,874 55,833 57,673 +0.5% +2.8% +1.2% +0.6% +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% Population Trend: WESLACO (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WESLACO had a 2020 population of 40,160 across 14.7 square miles, yielding a density of 4.26 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 57,673, a gain of 17,513 (+43.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.45% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 53.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WESLACO is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 76.5%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): WESLACO levied $21,488,121 in property taxes on a market value base of $4,026,843,479. The taxable value of $3,129,186,225 reflects 22.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6867 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4379 for Maintenance & Operations (63.8%) and $0.2488 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (36.2%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $519 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 9.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.1% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.09% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): WESLACO collected $21,229,917 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $513 exceeds regional averages, suggesting a commercial/retail hub drawing external shoppers. Sales tax represents 98.8% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.5% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: WESLACO demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WESLACO
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop25,70426,93535,67040,16042,60645,01147,35749,62551,80253,87455,83357,673
PPA2.732.863.794.264.524.785.035.275.505.725.936.12
%BO34.1%35.7%47.3%53.3%56.5%59.7%62.8%65.8%68.7%71.5%74.1%76.5%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%40,160$2,606,048,993$2,014,633,42977.3%$0.6967N/AN/A$0.6967$14,035,951$350$14,134,837$352100.7%
20214.7%40,404$2,789,751,407$2,181,230,83678.2%$0.5066$0.190127.3%$0.6967$15,196,635$376$16,790,071$416110.5%
20228.0%40,649$3,104,774,471$2,424,971,84678.1%$0.4643$0.232433.4%$0.6967$16,894,779$416$18,252,668$449108.0%
20234.1%40,893$3,700,595,971$2,837,145,10276.7%$0.4356$0.251136.6%$0.6867$19,482,675$476$19,625,127$480100.7%
20243.2%41,138$3,835,089,028$2,980,177,35777.7%$0.4379$0.248836.2%$0.6867$20,464,877$497$20,315,671$49499.3%
2025*2.9%41,383$4,026,843,479$3,129,186,22577.7%$0.4379$0.248836.2%$0.6867$21,488,121$519$21,229,917$51398.8%
CAGR4.2%0.6%10.1%10.3%0.1%-8.9%-0.3%9.9%9.2%9.5%8.8%-0.4%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%10.3%6.9%7.0%8.8%7.2%8.7%9.6%8.1%8.0%9.5%8.3%$14,134,837
20217.2%9.2%7.2%6.7%10.7%8.3%8.2%9.6%8.0%7.6%9.5%7.9%$16,790,071
20228.2%10.2%7.4%7.3%9.2%8.2%7.9%9.0%7.9%7.9%8.8%7.9%$18,252,668
20238.1%9.9%7.8%7.5%9.4%7.5%8.3%8.9%8.2%8.3%8.5%7.6%$19,625,127
20248.0%9.7%7.5%7.7%9.3%8.1%7.9%8.7%8.8%7.7%8.4%8.2%$20,315,671
20257.9%11.1%7.8%7.0%9.0%8.1%8.0%8.7%8.1%7.7%8.4%8.1%$21,229,917
MEDIAN %7.9%10.1%7.5%7.2%9.3%8.1%8.2%9.0%8.1%7.8%8.6%8.1%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

WEST UNIVERSITY PLACE (City)

Pop 14,955 PPA 11.68 %BO 100.0% Levy $21,614,727 Levy CAGR +1.0% E-Factor 0.00%
11,694 12,645 13,596 14,548 15,499 16,450 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 12,994 14,211 14,787 14,955 14,955 14,955 14,955 14,955 14,955 14,955 14,955 14,955 +0.9% +0.4% +0.1% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: WEST UNIVERSITY PLACE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WEST UNIVERSITY PLACE had a 2020 population of 14,955 across 2.0 square miles, yielding a density of 11.68 persons per acre (PPA). This high density suggests an urbanized area with limited greenfield expansion potential. Build-Out Analysis: At 100.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WEST UNIVERSITY PLACE is approaching full build-out. Projections show reaching theoretical capacity (100% build-out) before 2100, suggesting eventual need for annexation, densification, or growth boundary adjustments.
Property Tax Overview (2025): WEST UNIVERSITY PLACE levied $21,614,727 in property taxes on a market value base of $9,798,461,441. The taxable value of $8,934,289,619 reflects 8.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.2419 per $100 valuation consists of $0.1801 for Maintenance & Operations (74.4%) and $0.0619 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (25.6%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $1,445 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 1.0% CAGR lagged market value growth of 5.7% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): WEST UNIVERSITY PLACE collected $1,925,471 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $129 falls below regional averages, indicating primarily residential character with retail leakage to neighboring communities. Sales tax represents 8.9% of property tax levy, offering modest supplemental revenue. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 6.8% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: WEST UNIVERSITY PLACE demonstrates limited greenfield options. Long-term projections indicate eventual capacity constraints requiring proactive planning for annexation, vertical development, or managed growth boundaries. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WEST UNIVERSITY PLACE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop12,99414,21114,78714,95514,95514,95514,95514,95514,95514,95514,95514,955
PPA10.1511.1011.5511.6811.6811.6811.6811.6811.6811.6811.6811.68
%BO100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%14,955$7,470,061,859$6,731,611,84890.1%$0.1925$0.101634.5%$0.2941$19,795,382$1,324$1,373,276$926.9%
20214.7%14,955$7,703,562,719$6,946,698,00590.2%$0.1938$0.084730.4%$0.2785$19,348,082$1,294$1,448,058$977.5%
20228.0%14,955$8,072,710,282$7,288,482,82790.3%$0.1927$0.084730.5%$0.2774$20,218,397$1,352$1,664,337$1118.2%
20234.1%14,955$8,950,586,197$8,041,536,30589.8%$0.1824$0.078430.1%$0.2608$20,975,543$1,403$1,703,787$1148.1%
20243.2%14,955$9,331,868,039$8,508,847,25691.2%$0.1801$0.061925.6%$0.2419$20,585,454$1,376$1,786,579$1198.7%
2025*2.9%14,955$9,798,461,441$8,934,289,61991.2%$0.1801$0.061925.6%$0.2419$21,614,727$1,445$1,925,471$1298.9%
CAGR4.2%5.7%6.0%0.2%-1.3%-9.4%-5.8%-3.8%1.0%1.0%6.8%6.8%5.1%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
202010.7%10.6%7.4%7.0%8.1%7.1%7.8%8.9%1.8%14.0%8.7%8.0%$1,373,276
20218.9%10.2%7.6%6.4%9.5%7.9%8.5%9.0%7.9%7.9%10.4%5.8%$1,448,058
20228.2%9.6%7.4%7.2%8.3%7.5%8.6%8.8%8.2%8.2%9.2%8.8%$1,664,337
20238.4%11.2%8.3%7.7%9.0%7.2%7.0%8.3%7.9%8.4%8.7%7.9%$1,703,787
20248.5%9.6%7.5%7.3%8.3%8.7%8.2%8.3%8.0%7.9%9.3%8.4%$1,786,579
20257.8%11.2%7.4%7.0%8.1%7.7%8.0%8.7%7.3%8.2%9.4%9.2%$1,925,471
MEDIAN %8.5%10.4%7.5%7.1%8.3%7.6%8.1%8.8%7.9%8.2%9.3%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

WHARTON (City)

Pop 8,627 PPA 1.80 %BO 22.5% Levy $3,385,285 Levy CAGR +8.1% E-Factor 2.92%
7,764 8,243 8,722 9,202 9,681 10,160 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 9,170 9,237 8,832 8,627 8,641 8,655 8,670 8,684 8,699 8,713 8,728 8,742 +0.1% -0.4% -0.2% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: WHARTON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WHARTON had a 2020 population of 8,627 across 7.5 square miles, yielding a density of 1.80 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 8,742, a gain of 115 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 22.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WHARTON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 22.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): WHARTON levied $3,385,285 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,011,436,400. The taxable value of $775,321,101 reflects 23.3% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4366 per $100 valuation consists of $0.0952 for Maintenance & Operations (21.8%) and $0.3414 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (78.2%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $392 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 8.6% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.92% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): WHARTON collected $3,285,066 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $380 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 97.0% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.8% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: WHARTON demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WHARTON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop9,1709,2378,8328,6278,6418,6558,6708,6848,6998,7138,7288,742
PPA1.921.931.841.801.811.811.811.811.821.821.821.83
%BO23.9%24.1%23.1%22.5%22.6%22.6%22.6%22.7%22.7%22.8%22.8%22.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%8,627$693,118,620$540,291,72878.0%$0.0962$0.341078.0%$0.4373$2,362,480$274$2,305,306$26797.6%
20214.7%8,628$777,133,596$586,243,58275.4%$0.0997$0.319476.2%$0.4191$2,457,064$285$2,642,792$306107.6%
20228.0%8,629$853,516,927$652,194,03376.4%$0.0974$0.320276.7%$0.4176$2,723,628$316$2,783,094$323102.2%
20234.1%8,631$935,019,785$714,072,07476.4%$0.0974$0.320276.7%$0.4176$2,982,036$346$3,083,309$357103.4%
20243.2%8,632$963,272,762$738,401,04976.7%$0.0952$0.341478.2%$0.4366$3,224,081$374$3,111,768$36096.5%
2025*2.9%8,634$1,011,436,400$775,321,10176.7%$0.0952$0.341478.2%$0.4366$3,385,285$392$3,285,066$38097.0%
CAGR4.2%0.0%8.6%8.1%-0.3%-0.2%0.0%0.1%-0.0%8.1%8.1%7.8%7.8%-0.1%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.8%9.8%6.8%6.9%8.8%7.8%8.9%10.4%7.0%8.5%9.2%8.1%$2,305,306
20217.5%10.0%7.2%6.9%10.1%8.7%7.8%8.7%8.3%7.9%9.6%7.3%$2,642,792
20227.8%10.2%6.7%6.7%8.8%7.8%8.1%9.1%8.6%8.1%9.9%8.1%$2,783,094
20237.6%9.7%6.9%8.5%9.6%6.5%7.9%10.4%7.3%9.1%7.7%8.9%$3,083,309
20247.9%9.3%7.2%8.9%7.8%9.4%8.1%7.3%10.3%8.1%7.6%8.1%$3,111,768
20257.6%11.3%7.1%6.9%7.3%7.8%7.8%8.8%9.3%8.7%8.9%8.4%$3,285,066
MEDIAN %7.8%10.0%7.1%7.0%8.9%7.9%8.1%9.0%8.5%8.4%9.1%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

WHARTON (County)

Pop 8,627 PPA 1.80 %BO 22.5% Levy $22,810,362 Levy CAGR +6.2% E-Factor 1.19%
7,764 8,243 8,722 9,202 9,681 10,160 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 9,170 9,237 8,832 8,627 8,641 8,655 8,670 8,684 8,699 8,713 8,728 8,742 +0.1% -0.4% -0.2% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: WHARTON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WHARTON had a 2020 population of 8,627 across 7.5 square miles, yielding a density of 1.80 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 8,742, a gain of 115 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 22.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WHARTON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 22.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): WHARTON levied $22,810,362 in property taxes on a market value base of $10,925,296,197. The taxable value of $6,459,794,264 reflects 40.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3524 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3524 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $2,642 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.2% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.19% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Strategic Outlook: WHARTON demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WHARTON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop9,1709,2378,8328,6278,6418,6558,6708,6848,6998,7138,7288,742
PPA1.921.931.841.801.811.811.811.811.821.821.821.83
%BO23.9%24.1%23.1%22.5%22.6%22.6%22.6%22.7%22.7%22.8%22.8%22.8%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%8,627$6,794,381,925~EstN/A$0.4587N/AN/A$0.4587$17,072,359$1,979
20214.7%8,628$7,351,166,734~EstN/A$0.4248N/AN/A$0.4248$17,246,618$1,999
20228.0%8,629$8,280,663,718~EstN/A$0.3906N/AN/A$0.3906$18,424,634$2,135
20234.1%8,631$9,375,945,819~EstN/A$0.4020N/AN/A$0.4020$21,775,285$2,523
20243.2%8,632$10,405,043,997$6,152,185,01359.1%$0.3524N/AN/A$0.3524$21,724,154$2,517
2025~2.9%8,634$10,925,296,197$6,459,794,26459.1%$0.3524N/AN/A$0.3524$22,810,362$2,642
CAGR4.2%0.0%11.2%-5.1%-5.1%6.2%6.2%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

WHARTON COUNTY (City)

Pop 41,570 PPA 0.06 %BO 0.7% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
35,959 38,628 41,296 43,965 46,633 49,302 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 39,955 41,188 41,280 41,570 41,963 42,359 42,760 43,164 43,572 43,984 44,400 44,820 +0.3% +0.0% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: WHARTON COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WHARTON COUNTY had a 2020 population of 41,570 across 1086.2 square miles, yielding a density of 0.06 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 44,820, a gain of 3,250 (+7.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.09% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WHARTON COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.8%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: WHARTON COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WHARTON COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop39,95541,18841,28041,57041,96342,35942,76043,16443,57243,98444,40044,820
PPA0.060.060.060.060.060.060.060.060.060.060.060.06
%BO0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.2%9.0%6.7%6.5%8.5%8.3%9.2%10.4%8.1%9.4%8.8%7.9%$3,257,478
20216.3%8.5%9.3%5.3%9.8%8.8%9.2%10.3%8.2%8.1%8.7%7.5%$4,159,205
20228.1%9.2%6.8%6.2%8.2%7.2%7.8%8.5%7.8%12.4%10.3%7.5%$4,210,491
20236.1%7.0%6.0%8.8%7.8%11.0%11.0%8.4%10.7%7.2%8.7%7.4%$5,265,001
20246.8%8.6%13.4%7.9%8.0%9.0%7.3%7.3%7.4%8.4%7.7%8.1%$5,262,840
20256.6%9.1%7.1%6.8%8.8%8.2%8.8%8.0%9.4%9.9%9.0%8.5%$5,376,769
MEDIAN %6.9%9.1%7.2%6.8%8.6%8.8%9.3%8.7%8.4%9.2%9.1%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

WHEELER (County)

Pop 1,487 PPA 1.52 %BO 19.0% Levy $7,303,026 Levy CAGR -2.2% E-Factor 0.00%
1,240 1,342 1,444 1,546 1,649 1,751 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 1,411 1,378 1,592 1,487 1,489 1,491 1,494 1,496 1,499 1,501 1,504 1,506 -0.2% +1.5% -0.7% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: WHEELER (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WHEELER had a 2020 population of 1,487 across 1.5 square miles, yielding a density of 1.52 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 1,506, a gain of 19 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 19.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WHEELER has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 19.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): WHEELER levied $7,303,026 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,372,622,460. The taxable value of $1,495,919,710 reflects 37.0% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4872 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4268 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $4,908 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of -2.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 0.1% CAGR. Levy growth below inflation (4.3% average CPI) may indicate fiscal constraint, efficiency gains, or declining service demand.
Strategic Outlook: WHEELER demonstrates contracting fiscal capacity, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WHEELER
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop1,4111,3781,5921,4871,4891,4911,4941,4961,4991,5011,5041,506
PPA1.441.411.631.521.521.521.531.531.531.531.541.54
%BO18.0%17.6%20.3%19.0%19.0%19.0%19.1%19.1%19.1%19.2%19.2%19.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%1,487$2,251,296,707~EstN/A$0.5231N/AN/A$0.5231$7,610,225$5,118
20214.7%1,487$2,154,043,855~EstN/A$0.7293N/AN/A$0.7293$9,910,195$6,665
20228.0%1,487$2,460,362,106~EstN/A$0.4899N/AN/A$0.4899$8,131,332$5,468
20234.1%1,487$2,569,424,599~EstN/A$0.4872N/AN/A$0.4872$8,658,244$5,823
20243.2%1,487$2,259,640,438$1,424,685,43863.0%$0.4268N/AN/A$0.4872$6,955,263$4,677
2025~2.9%1,488$2,372,622,460$1,495,919,71063.0%$0.4268N/AN/A$0.4872$7,303,026$4,908
CAGR4.2%0.0%0.1%-4.0%-1.4%-2.2%-2.2%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

WHITE SETTLEMENT (City)

Pop 18,269 PPA 5.65 %BO 70.7% Levy $11,163,350 Levy CAGR +7.9% E-Factor 2.29%
13,347 15,454 17,560 19,666 21,772 23,878 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 15,564 14,831 16,116 18,269 18,778 19,266 19,731 20,173 20,591 20,987 21,359 21,708 -0.5% +0.8% +1.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% Population Trend: WHITE SETTLEMENT (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WHITE SETTLEMENT had a 2020 population of 18,269 across 5.0 square miles, yielding a density of 5.65 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 21,708, a gain of 3,439 (+18.8%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.22% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 70.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WHITE SETTLEMENT is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 84.0%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): WHITE SETTLEMENT levied $11,163,350 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,162,788,598. The taxable value of $1,642,113,618 reflects 24.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6798 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5519 for Maintenance & Operations (81.2%) and $0.1279 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (18.8%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $603 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 7.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.8% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 2.29% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): WHITE SETTLEMENT collected $4,713,681 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $254 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 42.2% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 7.2% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: WHITE SETTLEMENT demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, strong economic elasticity. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WHITE SETTLEMENT
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop15,56414,83116,11618,26918,77819,26619,73120,17320,59120,98721,35921,708
PPA4.824.594.995.655.815.966.106.246.376.496.616.72
%BO60.2%57.4%62.3%70.7%72.6%74.5%76.3%78.0%79.6%81.2%82.6%84.0%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%18,269$1,367,916,266$1,051,123,36876.8%$0.6111$0.135118.1%$0.7462$7,843,483$429$3,433,728$18843.8%
20214.7%18,319$1,486,102,608$1,144,790,15577.0%$0.6165$0.125316.9%$0.7418$8,491,996$464$3,863,685$21145.5%
20228.0%18,370$1,687,386,692$1,312,938,24877.8%$0.5898$0.122317.2%$0.7121$9,349,630$509$4,279,734$23345.8%
20234.1%18,421$1,993,251,558$1,492,947,85074.9%$0.5479$0.119417.9%$0.6672$9,961,441$541$5,110,852$27751.3%
20243.2%18,472$2,059,798,665$1,563,917,73175.9%$0.5519$0.127918.8%$0.6798$10,631,762$576$4,538,983$24642.7%
2025*2.9%18,523$2,162,788,598$1,642,113,61875.9%$0.5519$0.127918.8%$0.6798$11,163,350$603$4,713,681$25442.2%
CAGR4.2%0.3%10.8%10.4%-0.2%-2.0%-1.1%0.8%-1.8%7.9%7.6%7.2%6.9%-0.7%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.9%9.7%6.4%8.0%9.0%7.6%8.4%10.5%8.1%8.3%9.3%7.9%$3,433,728
20216.8%8.0%6.2%5.5%10.0%8.0%8.1%10.4%9.2%8.4%11.1%8.4%$3,863,685
20228.0%9.6%7.2%6.7%9.8%7.1%7.9%9.5%7.5%8.2%9.7%8.8%$4,279,734
20237.6%7.9%7.7%7.1%9.3%6.4%11.0%9.9%9.1%8.2%7.7%8.2%$5,110,852
20248.9%9.0%6.8%7.4%8.9%7.2%7.9%9.5%9.7%8.3%8.5%8.0%$4,538,983
20256.6%10.1%5.6%5.0%8.9%7.7%8.2%9.1%13.8%8.3%8.4%8.2%$4,713,681
MEDIAN %7.3%9.4%6.6%7.0%9.2%7.4%8.2%9.8%9.3%8.4%9.0%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

WHITEHOUSE (City)

Pop 8,257 PPA 2.41 %BO 30.1% Levy $6,115,351 Levy CAGR +10.1% E-Factor 4.39%
3,698 6,375 9,053 11,731 14,409 17,087 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 4,109 5,346 7,660 8,257 9,078 9,939 10,833 11,754 12,693 13,643 14,593 15,534 +2.7% +3.7% +0.8% +1.0% +0.9% +0.9% +0.8% +0.8% +0.7% +0.7% +0.6% Population Trend: WHITEHOUSE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WHITEHOUSE had a 2020 population of 8,257 across 5.3 square miles, yielding a density of 2.41 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 15,534, a gain of 7,277 (+88.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.79% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 30.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WHITEHOUSE has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 56.7%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): WHITEHOUSE levied $6,115,351 in property taxes on a market value base of $1,007,842,463. The taxable value of $851,892,278 reflects 15.5% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.7179 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4280 for Maintenance & Operations (59.6%) and $0.2899 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (40.4%). The elevated debt service component indicates significant capital investment commitments, potentially for infrastructure, facilities, or equipment. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $706 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 10.1% CAGR lagged market value growth of 13.0% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.39% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): WHITEHOUSE collected $1,659,352 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $191 falls below regional averages, indicating primarily residential character with retail leakage to neighboring communities. Sales tax represents 27.1% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 10.6% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: WHITEHOUSE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WHITEHOUSE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop4,1095,3467,6608,2579,0789,93910,83311,75412,69313,64314,59315,534
PPA1.201.562.242.412.652.903.163.433.713.984.264.54
%BO15.0%19.5%28.0%30.1%33.1%36.3%39.6%42.9%46.3%49.8%53.3%56.7%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%8,257$588,478,590$499,560,58084.9%$0.3204$0.472559.6%$0.7929$3,960,971$480$1,046,931$12726.4%
20214.7%8,339$636,340,663$545,937,28485.8%$0.3679$0.425053.6%$0.7929$4,328,688$519$1,230,643$14828.4%
20228.0%8,421$752,391,560$640,405,33085.1%$0.4088$0.364147.1%$0.7729$4,949,635$588$1,448,740$17229.3%
20234.1%8,503$932,483,051$771,153,15582.7%$0.4356$0.282239.3%$0.7179$5,535,761$651$1,632,031$19229.5%
20243.2%8,585$959,849,965$811,325,97984.5%$0.4280$0.289940.4%$0.7179$5,824,144$678$1,567,318$18326.9%
2025*2.9%8,667$1,007,842,463$851,892,27884.5%$0.4280$0.289940.4%$0.7179$6,115,351$706$1,659,352$19127.1%
CAGR4.2%1.0%13.0%12.9%-0.1%6.0%-9.3%-7.5%-2.0%10.1%9.1%10.6%9.5%0.5%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.6%9.4%7.3%6.8%8.5%8.7%8.7%10.2%8.5%8.8%9.1%7.4%$1,046,931
20217.1%9.0%7.1%6.1%9.7%8.7%8.8%9.1%8.2%8.3%9.6%8.2%$1,230,643
20228.2%8.8%7.3%6.9%8.7%8.0%7.8%9.1%8.1%8.8%9.8%8.6%$1,448,740
20238.0%9.0%7.6%7.9%8.6%8.7%7.9%9.2%8.1%8.2%8.7%8.2%$1,632,031
20248.7%10.2%8.2%7.8%7.1%8.4%8.5%9.0%8.3%6.1%9.2%8.5%$1,567,318
20257.9%10.7%7.6%7.1%8.8%8.2%8.0%8.9%8.2%8.3%8.2%8.2%$1,659,352
MEDIAN %8.0%9.2%7.4%7.0%8.7%8.5%8.3%9.1%8.2%8.3%9.1%8.2%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

WICHITA COUNTY (City)

Pop 129,350 PPA 0.32 %BO 4.0% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
110,140 117,078 124,016 130,954 137,892 144,830 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 122,378 131,664 131,500 129,350 129,565 129,781 129,998 130,214 130,431 130,649 130,867 131,085 +0.7% -0.0% -0.2% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: WICHITA COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WICHITA COUNTY had a 2020 population of 129,350 across 627.6 square miles, yielding a density of 0.32 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 131,085, a gain of 1,735 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 4.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WICHITA COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 4.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: WICHITA COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WICHITA COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop122,378131,664131,500129,350129,565129,781129,998130,214130,431130,649130,867131,085
PPA0.300.330.330.320.320.320.320.320.320.330.330.33
%BO3.8%4.1%4.1%4.0%4.0%4.0%4.0%4.1%4.1%4.1%4.1%4.1%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

WICHITA FALLS (City)

Pop 102,316 PPA 2.22 %BO 27.7% Levy $55,004,168 Levy CAGR +5.9% E-Factor 0.58%
86,947 92,559 98,171 103,783 109,396 115,008 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 96,608 104,197 104,553 102,316 102,486 102,657 102,828 103,000 103,171 103,343 103,516 103,688 +0.8% +0.0% -0.2% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: WICHITA FALLS (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WICHITA FALLS had a 2020 population of 102,316 across 72.1 square miles, yielding a density of 2.22 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 103,688, a gain of 1,372 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 27.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WICHITA FALLS has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 28.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): WICHITA FALLS levied $55,004,168 in property taxes on a market value base of $11,436,282,969. The taxable value of $8,032,150,828 reflects 29.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.6848 per $100 valuation consists of $0.6585 for Maintenance & Operations (96.2%) and $0.0263 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (3.8%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $537 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 5.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 10.2% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 0.58% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating modest economic outperformance.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): WICHITA FALLS collected $42,171,162 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $412 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 76.7% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 5.2% CAGR, reflecting healthy commercial activity growth.
Strategic Outlook: WICHITA FALLS demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WICHITA FALLS
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop96,608104,197104,553102,316102,486102,657102,828103,000103,171103,343103,516103,688
PPA2.092.262.262.222.222.222.232.232.232.242.242.25
%BO26.2%28.2%28.3%27.7%27.7%27.8%27.8%27.9%27.9%28.0%28.0%28.1%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%102,316$7,373,081,937$5,447,996,10473.9%$0.7227$0.04065.3%$0.7633$41,585,807$406$33,360,413$32680.2%
20214.7%102,333$7,816,142,696$5,800,133,11574.2%$0.7266$0.03444.5%$0.7609$44,134,837$431$37,897,794$37085.9%
20228.0%102,350$9,201,114,631$6,588,021,53371.6%$0.6616$0.03274.7%$0.6943$45,742,017$447$41,372,278$40490.4%
20234.1%102,367$10,288,872,552$7,210,025,21370.1%$0.6499$0.03014.4%$0.6800$49,028,171$479$40,808,452$39983.2%
20243.2%102,384$10,891,698,066$7,649,667,45570.2%$0.6585$0.02633.8%$0.6848$52,384,922$512$40,926,948$40078.1%
2025*2.9%102,401$11,436,282,969$8,032,150,82870.2%$0.6585$0.02633.8%$0.6848$55,004,168$537$42,171,162$41276.7%
CAGR4.2%0.0%10.2%8.9%-1.0%-1.8%-8.3%-6.3%-2.1%5.9%5.9%5.2%5.2%-0.9%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%11.1%6.6%7.0%8.9%6.8%8.1%10.1%8.0%8.1%10.0%7.9%$33,360,413
20216.9%9.8%7.0%5.2%11.8%8.0%7.8%9.8%8.0%8.0%9.7%7.8%$37,897,794
20227.7%10.2%7.0%6.3%9.8%7.8%8.0%9.8%8.0%8.4%9.5%7.6%$41,372,278
20238.0%10.8%7.0%7.1%9.8%7.4%8.3%9.3%7.6%8.2%9.3%7.1%$40,808,452
20248.0%9.8%7.3%7.4%9.7%8.1%8.1%9.2%8.1%7.4%9.0%7.8%$40,926,948
20257.2%11.1%6.9%6.2%9.1%7.6%7.9%9.6%8.3%8.0%9.4%8.5%$42,171,162
MEDIAN %7.6%10.5%7.0%6.6%9.7%7.7%8.0%9.7%8.0%8.1%9.4%7.8%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

WILBARGER COUNTY (City)

Pop 12,887 PPA 0.02 %BO 0.3% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
11,598 12,605 13,612 14,619 15,626 16,633 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 15,121 14,676 13,535 12,887 12,908 12,930 12,951 12,973 12,994 13,016 13,038 13,059 -0.3% -0.8% -0.5% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: WILBARGER COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WILBARGER COUNTY had a 2020 population of 12,887 across 970.9 square miles, yielding a density of 0.02 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 13,059, a gain of 172 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WILBARGER COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: WILBARGER COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WILBARGER COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop15,12114,67613,53512,88712,90812,93012,95112,97312,99413,01613,03813,059
PPA0.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.02
%BO0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%13.1%6.1%6.1%9.3%7.4%7.8%10.4%8.2%8.2%8.2%7.9%$805,639
20218.2%10.8%8.9%7.5%10.0%10.7%7.1%9.1%5.5%6.5%8.8%6.7%$885,764
20228.0%10.5%6.7%7.0%9.6%8.2%7.1%8.6%7.4%7.9%10.9%8.0%$810,678
20238.1%10.4%7.4%7.7%9.0%7.0%8.6%7.7%8.2%8.4%9.4%8.1%$831,228
20248.2%10.9%7.6%7.2%9.9%7.4%7.2%8.2%7.1%9.0%9.7%7.5%$954,657
20255.9%8.5%4.6%5.4%31.0%7.0%7.4%6.8%5.4%5.4%6.4%6.2%$1,362,277
MEDIAN %8.3%10.9%7.2%7.3%9.9%7.6%7.4%8.6%7.4%8.2%9.3%7.9%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

WILLACY COUNTY (City)

Pop 20,164 PPA 0.05 %BO 0.7% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
15,934 17,617 19,299 20,982 22,664 24,347 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 17,705 20,082 22,134 20,164 20,197 20,231 20,265 20,298 20,332 20,366 20,400 20,434 +1.3% +1.0% -0.9% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: WILLACY COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WILLACY COUNTY had a 2020 population of 20,164 across 590.6 square miles, yielding a density of 0.05 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 20,434, a gain of 270 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WILLACY COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.7%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: WILLACY COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WILLACY COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop17,70520,08222,13420,16420,19720,23120,26520,29820,33220,36620,40020,434
PPA0.050.050.060.050.050.050.050.050.050.050.050.05
%BO0.6%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

WILLIAMSON COUNTY (City)

Pop 609,017 PPA 0.85 %BO 10.7% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
125,595 1,073,065 2,020,535 2,968,005 3,915,475 4,862,944 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 139,551 249,967 422,679 609,017 875,787 1,231,703 1,682,735 2,218,289 2,806,924 3,401,097 3,951,168 4,420,859 +6.0% +5.4% +3.7% +3.7% +3.5% +3.2% +2.8% +2.4% +1.9% +1.5% +1.1% Population Trend: WILLIAMSON COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WILLIAMSON COUNTY had a 2020 population of 609,017 across 1115.5 square miles, yielding a density of 0.85 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 4,420,859, a gain of 3,811,842 (+625.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.51% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 10.7% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WILLIAMSON COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 77.4%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Strategic Outlook: WILLIAMSON COUNTY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WILLIAMSON COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop139,551249,967422,679609,017875,7871,231,7031,682,7352,218,2892,806,9243,401,0973,951,1684,420,859
PPA0.200.350.590.851.231.732.363.113.934.765.536.19
%BO2.4%4.4%7.4%10.7%15.3%21.6%29.5%38.8%49.1%59.5%69.2%77.4%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

WILSON (County)

Pop 434 PPA 1.04 %BO 13.0% Levy $27,696,837 Levy CAGR +8.7% E-Factor 3.66%
390 436 482 529 575 621 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 565 532 489 434 434 435 436 436 437 438 439 439 -0.6% -0.8% -1.2% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: WILSON (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WILSON had a 2020 population of 434 across 0.7 square miles, yielding a density of 1.04 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 439, a gain of 5 (+1.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.01% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 13.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WILSON has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 13.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): WILSON levied $27,696,837 in property taxes on a market value base of $10,993,163,895. The taxable value of $7,349,136,879 reflects 33.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.4147 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4044 for Maintenance & Operations (97.5%) and $0.0104 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (2.5%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $63,818 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 8.7% CAGR lagged market value growth of 16.1% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 3.66% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: WILSON demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WILSON
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop565532489434434435436436437438439439
PPA1.361.281.181.041.051.051.051.051.051.051.061.06
%BO17.0%16.0%14.7%13.0%13.1%13.1%13.1%13.1%13.1%13.2%13.2%13.2%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%434$5,761,592,385~EstN/A$0.4687$0.01643.4%$0.4851$18,919,946$43,594
20214.7%434$7,527,526,011~EstN/A$0.4076$0.01523.6%$0.4228$18,892,345$43,531
20228.0%434$8,278,154,634~EstN/A$0.4174$0.01283.0%$0.4302$21,822,460$50,282
20234.1%434$9,329,351,744~EstN/A$0.4016$0.01152.8%$0.4131$23,812,656$54,868
20243.2%434$10,469,679,900$6,999,177,98066.9%$0.4044$0.01042.5%$0.4147$26,377,940$60,779
2025~2.9%434$10,993,163,895$7,349,136,87966.9%$0.4044$0.01042.5%$0.4147$27,696,837$63,818
CAGR4.2%16.1%-2.9%-8.7%-5.8%-3.1%8.7%8.7%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

WILSON COUNTY (City)

Pop 49,753 PPA 0.10 %BO 1.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
20,385 65,683 110,981 156,279 201,577 246,875 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 22,650 32,408 42,918 49,753 60,235 72,887 88,139 106,499 128,563 155,024 186,677 224,432 +3.6% +2.8% +1.5% +1.9% +1.9% +1.9% +1.9% +1.9% +1.9% +1.9% +1.9% Population Trend: WILSON COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WILSON COUNTY had a 2020 population of 49,753 across 803.7 square miles, yielding a density of 0.10 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 224,432, a gain of 174,679 (+351.1%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.90% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WILSON COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 5.5%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: WILSON COUNTY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WILSON COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop22,65032,40842,91849,75360,23572,88788,139106,499128,563155,024186,677224,432
PPA0.040.060.080.100.120.140.170.210.250.300.360.44
%BO0.6%0.8%1.0%1.2%1.5%1.8%2.1%2.6%3.1%3.8%4.5%5.5%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

WINKLER COUNTY (City)

Pop 7,791 PPA 0.01 %BO 0.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
6,399 7,506 8,613 9,720 10,827 11,935 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 8,626 7,173 7,110 7,791 8,120 8,463 8,821 9,194 9,583 9,988 10,410 10,850 -1.8% -0.1% +0.9% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% Population Trend: WINKLER COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WINKLER COUNTY had a 2020 population of 7,791 across 841.3 square miles, yielding a density of 0.01 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 10,850, a gain of 3,059 (+39.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.41% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WINKLER COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.3%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: WINKLER COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WINKLER COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop8,6267,1737,1107,7918,1208,4638,8219,1949,5839,98810,41010,850
PPA0.020.010.010.010.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.02
%BO0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.3%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20209.6%10.1%11.0%9.5%10.0%7.7%6.5%9.7%6.6%5.9%7.8%5.8%$2,728,879
20216.6%7.8%7.8%7.4%6.9%7.8%7.8%9.6%9.2%11.4%8.0%9.7%$2,133,824
20226.1%7.3%7.8%8.0%8.0%8.5%9.5%10.0%8.2%7.6%9.8%9.0%$3,495,192
20236.6%8.1%5.9%5.6%6.8%5.8%9.0%13.2%10.9%9.7%9.5%8.8%$4,997,561
20246.8%9.1%7.7%8.0%6.6%13.2%7.9%7.6%7.6%7.8%8.5%9.2%$6,571,093
20257.7%8.8%8.0%8.1%9.5%9.5%8.2%8.8%7.1%6.9%7.4%10.0%$6,193,184
MEDIAN %6.9%8.7%8.0%8.2%7.7%8.4%8.3%9.9%8.1%7.9%8.5%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

WISE COUNTY (City)

Pop 68,632 PPA 0.12 %BO 1.5% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
31,211 86,063 140,916 195,769 250,622 305,475 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 34,679 48,793 59,127 68,632 81,973 97,852 116,729 139,137 165,690 197,091 234,133 277,705 +3.5% +1.9% +1.5% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% +1.8% +1.7% +1.7% Population Trend: WISE COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WISE COUNTY had a 2020 population of 68,632 across 904.4 square miles, yielding a density of 0.12 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 277,705, a gain of 209,073 (+304.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.76% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.5% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WISE COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 6.0%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: WISE COUNTY demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WISE COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop34,67948,79359,12768,63281,97397,852116,729139,137165,690197,091234,133277,705
PPA0.060.080.100.120.140.170.200.240.290.340.400.48
%BO0.7%1.1%1.3%1.5%1.8%2.1%2.5%3.0%3.6%4.3%5.1%6.0%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20208.3%9.6%7.1%7.3%8.1%7.9%8.9%9.5%8.7%8.3%8.2%7.9%$4,937,583
20217.0%8.2%5.8%6.3%10.8%8.2%8.1%9.5%8.4%8.5%10.7%8.4%$5,742,587
20227.4%9.5%7.3%6.5%8.8%8.2%9.0%7.8%8.7%8.7%8.9%9.1%$6,981,159
20237.6%7.7%8.6%6.9%10.7%8.5%8.6%9.2%8.1%8.4%8.2%7.5%$7,905,186
20248.4%10.2%6.7%7.6%9.2%8.4%7.9%8.5%8.4%7.7%8.2%8.8%$7,785,531
20257.8%11.0%7.9%7.1%9.3%8.8%8.5%9.3%9.2%8.3%3.1%9.6%$7,815,075
MEDIAN %7.7%9.5%7.1%6.9%9.2%8.3%8.5%9.2%8.5%8.3%8.2%8.6%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

WOOD COUNTY (City)

Pop 44,843 PPA 0.11 %BO 1.4% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
26,442 42,133 57,825 73,517 89,208 104,900 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 29,380 36,752 41,964 44,843 49,306 54,207 59,586 65,489 71,963 79,061 86,841 95,364 +2.3% +1.3% +0.7% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% +0.9% Population Trend: WOOD COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WOOD COUNTY had a 2020 population of 44,843 across 645.2 square miles, yielding a density of 0.11 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 95,364, a gain of 50,521 (+112.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.95% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 1.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WOOD COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 2.9%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: WOOD COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WOOD COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop29,38036,75241,96444,84349,30654,20759,58665,48971,96379,06186,84195,364
PPA0.070.090.100.110.120.130.140.160.170.190.210.23
%BO0.9%1.1%1.3%1.4%1.5%1.6%1.8%2.0%2.2%2.4%2.6%2.9%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%9.5%7.2%6.9%8.8%8.4%10.0%9.5%7.8%7.6%8.3%8.5%$2,347,597
20217.1%9.2%7.2%6.1%9.6%9.0%8.0%10.0%8.3%8.0%8.9%8.5%$2,574,283
20227.8%9.2%7.2%7.2%8.6%7.9%8.5%9.9%7.9%8.3%9.2%8.2%$2,909,452
20237.9%10.3%7.3%7.4%8.9%8.3%8.2%9.1%8.4%8.0%8.5%7.6%$2,957,121
20248.3%4.4%12.1%7.6%8.7%7.9%7.8%8.6%8.6%8.7%8.7%8.6%$2,986,506
20257.5%9.6%7.0%6.4%8.4%7.9%7.8%8.7%8.7%10.8%8.5%8.8%$3,279,712
MEDIAN %7.7%9.4%7.3%7.1%8.8%8.2%8.2%9.4%8.4%8.3%8.7%8.6%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

WOODWAY (City)

Pop 9,383 PPA 2.24 %BO 28.0% Levy $7,300,899 Levy CAGR +4.4% E-Factor 1.39%
7,606 9,153 10,700 12,247 13,793 15,340 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 8,517 8,733 8,452 9,383 9,903 10,439 10,991 11,558 12,138 12,730 13,333 13,946 +0.3% -0.3% +1.1% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% Population Trend: WOODWAY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WOODWAY had a 2020 population of 9,383 across 6.5 square miles, yielding a density of 2.24 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 13,946, a gain of 4,563 (+48.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.50% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 28.0% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WOODWAY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 41.7%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): WOODWAY levied $7,300,899 in property taxes on a market value base of $2,338,354,204. The taxable value of $2,040,126,545 reflects 12.8% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.3579 per $100 valuation consists of $0.3406 for Maintenance & Operations (95.2%) and $0.0173 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (4.8%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $757 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 4.4% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.9% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.39% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): WOODWAY collected $4,656,407 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 1.50% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $483 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 63.8% of property tax levy, providing significant revenue diversification and reducing property tax dependence. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 9.5% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: WOODWAY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WOODWAY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop8,5178,7338,4529,3839,90310,43910,99111,55812,13812,73013,33313,946
PPA2.032.092.022.242.372.492.632.762.903.043.193.33
%BO25.4%26.1%25.2%28.0%29.6%31.2%32.8%34.5%36.2%38.0%39.8%41.7%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%9,383$1,419,582,001$1,301,959,64891.7%$0.4500N/AN/A$0.4500$5,858,818$624$2,970,376$31750.7%
20214.7%9,435$1,566,623,452$1,423,078,20590.8%$0.4454$0.02465.2%$0.4700$6,688,468$709$3,456,675$36651.7%
20228.0%9,487$1,895,328,237$1,599,625,91084.4%$0.3956$0.02165.2%$0.4172$6,673,223$703$3,900,567$41158.5%
20234.1%9,539$2,175,352,053$1,839,909,73784.6%$0.3546$0.01915.1%$0.3737$6,875,761$721$4,225,792$44361.5%
20243.2%9,591$2,227,004,004$1,942,977,66287.2%$0.3406$0.01734.8%$0.3579$6,953,237$725$4,271,916$44561.4%
2025*2.9%9,643$2,338,354,204$2,040,126,54587.2%$0.3406$0.01734.8%$0.3579$7,300,899$757$4,656,407$48363.8%
CAGR4.2%0.5%11.9%10.5%-1.0%-5.4%-4.5%4.4%3.8%9.5%8.9%4.7%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.2%9.7%6.1%6.8%9.3%7.6%7.7%9.9%8.5%8.5%10.0%8.7%$2,970,376
20217.2%8.9%7.3%6.1%9.9%7.9%8.3%9.5%8.0%8.8%11.5%6.7%$3,456,675
20227.9%9.4%7.0%6.6%9.3%8.1%7.9%9.0%7.7%8.8%9.6%8.8%$3,900,567
20237.5%9.8%7.4%7.2%9.2%7.8%7.6%8.7%8.1%8.6%9.0%9.2%$4,225,792
20248.1%8.1%7.4%7.6%8.6%7.7%8.1%9.3%8.9%8.9%8.8%8.5%$4,271,916
20257.1%9.7%7.2%6.9%8.6%7.9%8.8%9.4%8.0%8.3%9.2%9.0%$4,656,407
MEDIAN %7.3%9.5%7.2%6.8%9.2%7.8%8.0%9.3%8.1%8.6%9.4%8.7%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

WYLIE (City)

Pop 57,526 PPA 4.27 %BO 53.4% Levy $48,161,385 Levy CAGR +6.2% E-Factor 1.34%
8,375 29,846 51,317 72,788 94,259 115,729 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 9,306 15,132 41,427 57,526 69,139 79,412 87,756 94,073 98,604 101,729 103,826 105,209 +5.0% +10.6% +3.3% +1.9% +1.4% +1.0% +0.7% +0.5% +0.3% +0.2% +0.1% Population Trend: WYLIE (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: WYLIE had a 2020 population of 57,526 across 21.0 square miles, yielding a density of 4.27 persons per acre (PPA). This higher density indicates a maturing community approaching suburban saturation. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 105,209, a gain of 47,683 (+82.9%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.76% reflects moderate growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 53.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), WYLIE is moderately developed with room to grow. By 2100, build-out is projected at 97.7%, indicating limited remaining greenfield development potential.
Property Tax Overview (2025): WYLIE levied $48,161,385 in property taxes on a market value base of $10,590,164,837. The taxable value of $9,013,905,470 reflects 14.9% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5343 per $100 valuation consists of $0.4172 for Maintenance & Operations (78.1%) and $0.1171 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (21.9%). The moderate debt service component reflects ongoing infrastructure financing within typical ranges. Per Capita Burden: The levy of $760 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 6.2% CAGR lagged market value growth of 13.4% CAGR. Levy growth roughly tracked inflation (4.3% average CPI), suggesting stable service levels with inflationary adjustments. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 1.34% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating healthy economic growth.
Sales Tax Revenue (2025): WYLIE collected $20,131,249 in local sales tax revenue. The local rate of 2.00% supplements the state's 6.25% for a combined 8.25% maximum allowable rate. Per capita sales tax of $318 is typical for mixed-use communities with balanced residential and commercial activity. Sales tax represents 41.8% of property tax levy, contributing meaningful revenue diversification. Sales Tax Trend: Revenue grew at 10.4% CAGR, reflecting robust retail sector expansion and commercial development.
Strategic Outlook: WYLIE demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base. Approaching build-out suggests prioritizing infill development and infrastructure efficiency over greenfield expansion. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
WYLIE
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop9,30615,13241,42757,52669,13979,41287,75694,07398,604101,729103,826105,209
PPA0.691.123.084.275.135.906.526.997.327.557.717.81
%BO8.6%14.0%38.5%53.4%64.2%73.7%81.5%87.3%91.5%94.4%96.4%97.7%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/CapSalesTax1ยข ST/Cap%Levy
20201.2%57,526$6,107,019,569$5,363,622,77387.8%$0.5122$0.159823.8%$0.6720$36,042,419$627$13,168,839$22936.5%
20214.7%58,687$6,564,857,985$5,791,275,96588.2%$0.4919$0.151923.6%$0.6438$37,281,397$635$15,614,669$26641.9%
20228.0%59,848$8,304,750,021$6,846,591,40482.4%$0.4279$0.134423.9%$0.5623$38,500,642$643$16,945,723$28344.0%
20234.1%61,009$9,603,094,125$7,837,967,87581.6%$0.3984$0.140526.1%$0.5389$42,237,397$692$18,591,022$30544.0%
20243.2%62,171$10,085,871,273$8,584,671,87685.1%$0.4172$0.117121.9%$0.5343$45,867,986$738$19,560,631$31542.6%
2025*2.9%63,332$10,590,164,837$9,013,905,47085.1%$0.4172$0.117121.9%$0.5343$48,161,385$760$20,131,249$31841.8%
CAGR4.2%1.9%13.4%12.5%-0.6%-4.0%-6.0%-1.6%-4.5%6.2%4.2%10.4%8.3%2.7%
Trend
* 2025 sales tax is ACTUAL; property values estimated
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20206.6%11.0%6.9%6.2%8.8%7.3%9.0%9.9%7.9%7.6%11.7%7.1%$13,168,839
20216.7%11.7%6.6%5.7%10.3%7.4%8.1%10.0%7.9%8.4%10.5%6.8%$15,614,669
20227.7%9.9%7.2%6.3%9.5%8.1%7.8%10.1%8.0%8.2%9.3%8.0%$16,945,723
20237.9%10.3%6.7%6.7%9.4%7.1%8.2%9.6%8.0%8.1%9.9%8.1%$18,591,022
20248.1%5.4%11.8%7.0%9.2%7.7%7.7%9.5%8.4%8.2%9.1%8.0%$19,560,631
20257.6%12.0%6.5%6.4%9.4%7.7%7.8%9.2%8.2%7.5%9.5%8.1%$20,131,249
MEDIAN %7.7%10.7%6.8%6.3%9.4%7.6%7.9%9.8%8.0%8.1%9.7%8.0%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

YOAKUM (County)

Pop 5,908 PPA 2.02 %BO 25.2% Levy $24,915,037 Levy CAGR +9.9% E-Factor 4.81%
5,082 5,490 5,897 6,305 6,713 7,121 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 5,647 5,731 5,815 5,908 5,976 6,046 6,116 6,187 6,258 6,329 6,401 6,474 +0.1% +0.1% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% Population Trend: YOAKUM (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: YOAKUM had a 2020 population of 5,908 across 4.6 square miles, yielding a density of 2.02 persons per acre (PPA). This moderate density suggests a suburban development pattern with significant growth capacity remaining. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 6,474, a gain of 566 (+9.6%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.11% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 25.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), YOAKUM has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 27.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Property Tax Overview (2025): YOAKUM levied $24,915,037 in property taxes on a market value base of $4,784,627,521. The taxable value of $4,252,100,455 reflects 11.1% in exemptions (homestead, over-65, disabled, agricultural, etc.). Tax Rate Structure: The total rate of $0.5855 per $100 valuation consists of $0.5855 for Maintenance & Operations (100.0%) and $0.0000 for Interest & Sinking/debt service (0.0%). Per Capita Burden: The levy of $4,193 per capita provides context for individual tax burden relative to services provided. Multi-Year Trends (2020-2025): Levy growth of 9.9% CAGR lagged market value growth of 11.7% CAGR. Levy growth significantly exceeded inflation (4.3% average CPI), indicating expanding services, capital needs, or tax base composition shifts. E-Factor (Economic Elasticity): 4.81% - This measures revenue growth above population growth plus inflation, indicating strong economic expansion and tax base diversification.
Strategic Outlook: YOAKUM demonstrates rapidly expanding tax base, substantial development capacity, strong economic elasticity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
YOAKUM
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop5,6475,7315,8155,9085,9766,0466,1166,1876,2586,3296,4016,474
PPA1.931.961.982.022.042.062.092.112.142.162.182.21
%BO24.1%24.4%24.8%25.2%25.5%25.8%26.1%26.4%26.7%27.0%27.3%27.6%
Property Tax History (with Per Capita & Sales Tax)
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%TaxM&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
20201.2%5,908$2,931,844,880~EstN/A$0.6197$0.02253.5%$0.6422$16,250,784$2,751
20214.7%5,914$2,321,720,857~EstN/A$0.7154$0.02964.0%$0.7450$14,457,786$2,445
20228.0%5,921$4,225,313,256~EstN/A$0.5462N/AN/A$0.5462$20,795,421$3,512
20234.1%5,928$4,836,901,817~EstN/A$0.4679N/AN/A$0.4679$20,699,566$3,492
20243.2%5,935$4,556,788,115$4,049,619,48188.9%$0.5855N/AN/A$0.5855$23,728,607$3,998
2025~2.9%5,942$4,784,627,521$4,252,100,45588.9%$0.5855N/AN/A$0.5855$24,915,037$4,193
CAGR4.2%0.1%11.7%-1.1%-1.8%9.9%9.8%
Trend
~ 2025 row is ESTIMATED (sales tax +6.5%, property values +5% from 2024)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...

YOAKUM COUNTY (City)

Pop 7,694 PPA 0.02 %BO 0.2% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
6,589 7,204 7,819 8,434 9,049 9,664 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 8,786 7,322 7,879 7,694 7,706 7,719 7,732 7,745 7,758 7,771 7,784 7,797 -1.8% +0.7% -0.2% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: YOAKUM COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: YOAKUM COUNTY had a 2020 population of 7,694 across 799.7 square miles, yielding a density of 0.02 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 7,797, a gain of 103 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.2% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), YOAKUM COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.2%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: YOAKUM COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
YOAKUM COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop8,7867,3227,8797,6947,7067,7197,7327,7457,7587,7717,7847,797
PPA0.020.010.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.02
%BO0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

YOUNG COUNTY (City)

Pop 17,867 PPA 0.03 %BO 0.4% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
16,080 16,945 17,810 18,675 19,540 20,405 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 18,126 17,943 18,550 17,867 17,896 17,926 17,956 17,986 18,016 18,046 18,076 18,106 -0.1% +0.3% -0.4% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: YOUNG COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: YOUNG COUNTY had a 2020 population of 17,867 across 914.5 square miles, yielding a density of 0.03 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 18,106, a gain of 239 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.4% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), YOUNG COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: YOUNG COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
YOUNG COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop18,12617,94318,55017,86717,89617,92617,95617,98618,01618,04618,07618,106
PPA0.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.03
%BO0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20207.5%10.0%7.6%7.4%9.4%7.8%8.0%9.6%8.0%7.1%9.4%8.1%$1,311,058
20216.7%8.8%7.1%6.0%10.0%7.9%8.2%9.6%8.1%8.8%9.9%8.9%$1,498,600
20227.9%9.6%6.9%4.9%8.4%8.0%9.3%9.7%8.3%8.7%9.9%8.3%$1,732,904
20238.3%9.8%7.0%7.4%8.2%7.9%8.3%9.9%7.6%8.2%9.3%8.1%$1,700,948
20248.5%6.2%10.5%7.6%8.9%8.4%7.9%9.0%7.9%8.0%8.7%8.3%$1,682,553
202511.6%10.4%6.5%6.9%7.3%8.0%7.8%8.9%7.8%7.5%8.8%8.6%$1,817,607
MEDIAN %8.1%9.7%7.1%7.1%8.7%8.0%8.1%9.6%8.0%8.1%9.4%8.3%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ZAPATA COUNTY (City)

Pop 13,889 PPA 0.02 %BO 0.3% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
8,351 11,178 14,005 16,832 19,660 22,487 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 9,279 12,182 14,018 13,889 14,576 15,298 16,056 16,851 17,685 18,560 19,479 20,443 +2.8% +1.4% -0.1% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% +0.5% Population Trend: ZAPATA COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ZAPATA COUNTY had a 2020 population of 13,889 across 998.4 square miles, yielding a density of 0.02 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 20,443, a gain of 6,554 (+47.2%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.48% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.3% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ZAPATA COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.4%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: ZAPATA COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ZAPATA COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop9,27912,18214,01813,88914,57615,29816,05616,85117,68518,56019,47920,443
PPA0.010.020.020.020.020.020.030.030.030.030.030.03
%BO0.2%0.2%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.4%0.4%0.4%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ZAVALA COUNTY (City)

Pop 9,670 PPA 0.01 %BO 0.1% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
8,703 9,638 10,573 11,508 12,443 13,378 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 12,162 11,600 11,677 9,670 9,686 9,702 9,718 9,734 9,750 9,767 9,783 9,799 -0.5% +0.1% -1.9% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% Population Trend: ZAVALA COUNTY (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ZAVALA COUNTY had a 2020 population of 9,670 across 1297.4 square miles, yielding a density of 0.01 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 9,799, a gain of 129 (+1.3%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.02% reflects slow growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.1% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ZAVALA COUNTY has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 0.1%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: ZAVALA COUNTY demonstrates substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ZAVALA COUNTY
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop12,16211,60011,6779,6709,6869,7029,7189,7349,7509,7679,7839,799
PPA0.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.01
%BO0.2%0.2%0.2%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

ZZ-UNINCORPORATED (City)

Pop 8,082,261 PPA 0.05 %BO 0.6% Levy $0 Levy CAGR +0.0% E-Factor 0.00%
3,315,225 12,727,962 22,140,698 31,553,434 40,966,171 50,378,907 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 3,683,584 5,129,093 6,664,725 8,082,261 10,061,035 12,519,569 15,571,613 19,356,484 24,044,064 29,840,342 36,993,334 45,799,007 +3.4% +2.7% +1.9% +2.2% +2.2% +2.2% +2.2% +2.2% +2.2% +2.2% +2.2% Population Trend: ZZ-UNINCORPORATED (1990-2100) Decadal values with CAGR between periods Population
Population & Density: ZZ-UNINCORPORATED had a 2020 population of 8,082,261 across 250564.8 square miles, yielding a density of 0.05 persons per acre (PPA). This represents a very low-density, rural character with abundant room for growth. Long-Term Projection: By 2100, the population is projected to reach 45,799,007, a gain of 37,716,746 (+466.7%) over 80 years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.19% reflects strong sustained growth. Build-Out Analysis: At 0.6% built-out in 2020 (based on 8 PPA capacity), ZZ-UNINCORPORATED has substantial development capacity remaining. By 2100, build-out is projected at 3.6%, indicating significant remaining capacity.
Strategic Outlook: ZZ-UNINCORPORATED demonstrates strong population growth trajectory, substantial development capacity. Remaining development capacity provides flexibility for managed growth while preserving community character. See the Revenue Projections section below for detailed assumptions and scenario analysis regarding property tax and sales tax forecasts.
ZZ-UNINCORPORATED
Population Projections (1990-2100)
Year199020002010202020302040205020602070208020902100Trend
Pop3,683,5845,129,0936,664,7258,082,26110,061,03512,519,56915,571,61319,356,48424,044,06429,840,34236,993,33445,799,007
PPA0.020.030.040.050.060.080.100.120.150.190.230.29
%BO0.3%0.4%0.5%0.6%0.8%1.0%1.2%1.5%1.9%2.3%2.9%3.6%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Projections 2026-2035 (Base: 2025) SUBJECT TO CONSULTATION WITH ENTITY STAFF
Sales Tax Growth = Pop + CPI + E-Factor
YearCPI%PopMkt ValTax Val%Tax M&OI&S%I&STotRateLevyLevy/Cap SalesTaxST/Cap%Levy
Adjust parameters above to generate forecast analysis...
๐Ÿ“Š Monthly Sales Tax Distribution Analysis (Using typical Texas pattern) View:
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
MEDIAN %7.8%7.5%8.2%8.4%8.5%8.3%8.1%8.3%8.2%8.5%8.8%9.4%100%
Projected Monthly Sales Tax (2026-2035)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal

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